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Artificial Intelligence and the
Real Estate & Store
Development Lifecycle
Tango Introduction
Tango is a
Store Lifecycle Management
Analytics & Software Company
Countries
140+
Locations Managed
300K+
Companies
200+
Geospatial Location
Platform
Lease
Administration
Data
Franchisee Lifecycle
Management
Facilities
Maintenance
Program & Project
Management
Market Planning
& Site Selection
Predictive
Analytics
Restaurants Mall-Based Retail Big Box Retail Specialty
Retail Disruption
Retail Disruption is Here
Shifting consumer shopping behavior fueled by
technology is disrupting the retail industry and retail real
estate.
Delivery Technologies
‐ 3rd party service partners (customer information)
‐ Autonomous vehicles
Ordering/eCommerce Technologies
‐ Online ordering
‐ Self-serve kiosks
Effects on Real Estate Product
‐ Commissary kitchens
‐ Stores as points of distribution
‐ Optimizing balance of physical retail vs ecommerce
Retailers are aggressively investing in digital and other
technologies to stay ahead.
Sephora
Heavy investment in
Color IQ technology –
augmented reality tools
like Visual Artist which
lets customers try on a
given look or style.
Ulta
Invested in e-commerce
platform Spruce and
acquired AI and
augmented reality
startups QM Scientific
and GlamST.
Walmart expands its robot
program to 50 stores across the
country.
The autonomous robots
go up and down the
aisles, scanning for out-
of-stock items, incorrect
prices, and wrong or
missing labels.
Digital ordering and delivery is
expected to reach $200 billion
over the next four years.
That’s a bigger share than
drive-thru all together and
it’s happening in a period
that is 10 times shorter
than the history of the
drive-thru.
Digital Delivery Driving Industry-wide Shifts in Restaurant Real Estate; Forbes, 11/21/18
As digital and delivery
continue to grow, expect a
major shift in how
restaurants approach their
real estate footprints.
Already according to NPD
Group, nearly 50% of
dinners purchased from a
restaurant are consumed
offsite.
That impact will
include smaller
footprints,
nontraditional
footprints and the
emergence of
commissary-only
locations that focus
on delivering and
catering orders.
Digital Delivery Driving Industry-wide Shifts in Restaurant Real Estate; Forbes, 11/21/18
AI & Machine Learning in Retail
Potential Impact
as a Percentage
of Sales
3.2% - 5.7%
Estimated
impact of
artificial
intelligence by
industry,
function and
business
problem.
Retail - $800
Billion or 3.2% -
Advanced Deep
Learning AI
techniques can be
applied across
industries,
alongside more
traditional
analytics
Computational Infrastructure
Infrastructure speed, availability, and sheer scale
has enabled bolder algorithms to tackle more
ambitious problems
Big Data
Collecting every piece of data possible has
brought about a high demand for solutions that
go beyond simple statistical analysis of data
According to Accenture, 85% of executives plan to invest extensively in AI in the next three years, and in the same
time period, Forrester estimates that businesses using AI will “steal” $1.2 trillion from companies that don’t.
Why the Time for AI is Now
Fewer than 20% of
retailers have deployed
artificial intelligence.
What’s holding them
back?
The belief that they lack
the data, skills, tools,
culture and leadership
required.
AI – A Retail Growth Opportunity Hiding in Plain Sight; Accenture, 06/01/18
Barriers to Adoption of AI
Technology
Rapidly changing
and very different
than traditional
enterprise IT
requirements and
systems
Data
Massive and
Unstructured
Skills
Different and may
not exist in most IT
organizations
Methodologies
Far more complex
and often originate
from non-traditional
disciplines
Required Skillsets & Human Infrastructure
Data Scientist
vs.
Data Analyst
Ability to handle abstract
concepts and unstructured
data vs. solving a specific
industry problem with
structured data.
Deeper understanding of
theory and programming vs.
using off the shelf tools
(always evolving) and basic
interpretation skills.
ML Engineers
vs.
Application Users
Success requires a different
skillset with a different
mindset.
Recruiting is critical and
talent is scarce and in high
demand.
Revolutionary
vs.
Evolutionary
Required Technology Infrastructure
Scalable
Able to handle vast
datasets and changing
usage demands
Adaptable
Different algorithms by
situation
Reusable across
customers / problems
Changing datasets
Interpretable
& Deployable
Not a black box
Easily deployable
Platform agnostic
Infrastructure agnostic
Secure &
Compliant
Sensitive datasets
Secure and rest /
transit
GDPR compliant
Stacked Models Are Superior but Require
Advanced Skill Sets and Industry Specific
Experience
• Fundamental Techniques
• Lasso
• Elastic Net
• Neural Network
• Random Forest
• XGBoost
• Etc.
• Models are Stacked and Pre-
Processors Applied
• Deep Model Interpretability –
Influence on Target Based on
Primary Features
Lower Machine Learning Complexity
Higher Interpretability
Higher Machine Learning Complexi
Lower Interpretability
Stacking of
models and
algorithms
drives/
improves
accuracy but
reduces
interpretabilit
y
Lower Machine Learning Complexity
Higher Interpretability
Higher Machine Learning Complexi
Lower Interpretability
Balancing
complexity
and
interpretabili
ty results in
accurate
AND
interpretable
models.
Tango’s
Infrastructure
for Machine
Learning.
The Biggest Lever: AI & Machine Learning and
The Store Lifecycle
Brick and Mortar Stores
#1 Source of
Revenue
$4.14 Billion
in revenue
$158 Million
in annual rent
expense (1)
$161 Million
in CAPEX for new &
existing restaurants
#1 Use of
Capital
#2 or #3
Operating Expense
$36.0 Billion
in revenue
$521 Million
in annual rent
expense (2)
$770 Million
in CAPEX for new &
existing stores2,427 Stores (1) Panera Bread Company FY16 10-K
(2) Loblaw Companies Limited 2017 Annual Report
2,088 Restaurants
AI/ML Has Broad Applicability for Retailers but
Brick and Mortar Real Estate has the Greatest
Value Potential
Brick and Mortar Stores
#1 Source of
Revenue
$4.14 Billion
in revenue
$158 Million
in annual rent
expense (1)
$161 Million
in CAPEX for new &
existing restaurants
#1 Use of
Capital
#2 or #3
Operating Expense
$36.0 Billion
in revenue
$521 Million
in annual rent
expense (2)
$770 Million
in CAPEX for new &
existing stores
(1) Panera Bread Company FY16 10-K
(2) Loblaw Companies Limited 2017 Annual Report
2,088 Restaurants
2,427 Stores
AI/ML Has Broad Applicability for Retailers but Brick
and Mortar Real Estate has the Greatest Value
Potential
Market
Optimization -
A Retail Case
Study
Retail Market Optimization
Optimizatio
nWhat are the optimal number stores
in what locations within a market to
optimize revenue and profit?
Trade areas define the puzzle pieces that
make up market strategy
Market Planning
&
Site Selection
Deal Management
Market Planning
Site Analysis
Site Identification
Trade areas define the puzzle pieces that
make up market strategy
Deal Management
Market Planning
Site Analysis
Site Identification
Trade areas define the puzzle pieces that
make up market strategy
Massive Datasets That Change at Various Frequen
Location MatrixStore & Transaction Customer Profiles
Brand EquitySite Variables Crime
DemographicSocial Media Affinity
Cell Phone
Competition
PsychographicDaytime PopTraffic Trade Areas
Demographic Data
Over 3000 variables for 54MM Zip+4
Geospatial Data
Over 1 Billion records
Customer Data
50-100 million records analyzed
Merchandize Data
120+ product categories w/1000s
SKUs
MHI
75K
20k
Cars
North
Comp
Count
Traditional Approaches
Sales Surface – Multi
Dimensional
Next Generation
Modeling
Traditional Informs Next Generation Modeling
Existing stores: 7,390
Competitor points: 241,220
Seed points: 120,339
Demo variables: 300
Psychographic Segments: 73
Site characteristic variables: 150
Customer transactions: 39,334,367
CBSAs: 940
Block groups: 220,334
Tango analyzes over 1.7 trillion
inputs just to create the surface
to run the optimization, for
which there are 1.071509e+301
possible combinations
Dunkin Brands Case Study
Brick and Mortar Stores
#1 Source of
Revenue
$4.14 Billion
in revenue
$158 Million
in annual rent
expense (1)
$161 Million
in CAPEX for new &
existing restaurants
#1 Use of
Capital
#2 or #3
Operating Expense
$36.0 Billion
in revenue
$521 Million
in annual rent
expense (2)
$770 Million
in CAPEX for new &
existing stores
(1) Panera Bread Company FY16 10-K
(2) Loblaw Companies Limited 2017 Annual Report
2,088 Restaurants
2,427 Stores
AI/ML Has Broad Applicability for Retailers but Brick
and Mortar Real Estate has the Greatest Value
Potential
EARLY STAGE CONTRUCTION AI
Project Schedule
Optimizers
Consider millions of
alternatives for project
delivery and continuously
enhance overall project
planning.
Image
Recognition
Image recognition and
classification can assess
video data collected on work
sites to identify unsafe
worker behavior and
aggregate data to inform
future training and education
priorities
Enhanced
Analytics
Enhanced analytics
platforms can collect and
analyze data from sensors to
understand signals and
patterns to deploy real-time
solutions, cut costs, prioritize
preventative maintenance
and prevent unplanned
downtime.
Source: Artificial Intelligence: Construction technology’s next frontier; McKinsey, April 2018
Additional
machine
learning
algorithms with
potential to
disrupt
engineering &
construction.
Brick and Mortar Stores
#1 Source of
Revenue
$4.14 Billion
in revenue
$158 Million
in annual rent
expense (1)
$161 Million
in CAPEX for new &
existing restaurants
#1 Use of
Capital
#2 or #3
Operating Expense
$36.0 Billion
in revenue
$521 Million
in annual rent
expense (2)
$770 Million
in CAPEX for new &
existing stores
(1) Panera Bread Company FY16 10-K
(2) Loblaw Companies Limited 2017 Annual Report
2,088 Restaurants
2,427 Stores
AI/ML Has Broad Applicability for Retailers but Brick
and Mortar Real Estate has the Greatest Value
Potential
RETAIL LEASE AI OPPORTUNITIES
CAM
Reconciliations
Analyze
common area
maintenance
charges to
identify lease
contract
violations and
anomalies.
Lease
Negotiations
Mine market,
landlord and
deal data to
determine rent
thresholds and
deal proforma
optimization.
Deal
Matching
Set criteria such
as site
characteristics,
demographic
requirements,
geographic
parameters, etc.
and be notified
when a deal
matches criteria.
Lease
Renewals
Analyze lease
renewal options
relative to sales
and profit
forecasts to fuel
renewal
decisions and/or
renegotiation
tactics and
thresholds.
Lease
Abstraction
Use of machine
learning to
identify, extract
and transform
lease data from
contracts.
Artificial intelligence and the real estate and store development lifecycle

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Artificial intelligence and the real estate and store development lifecycle

  • 1. Artificial Intelligence and the Real Estate & Store Development Lifecycle
  • 3. Tango is a Store Lifecycle Management Analytics & Software Company Countries 140+ Locations Managed 300K+ Companies 200+
  • 5. Restaurants Mall-Based Retail Big Box Retail Specialty
  • 7. Retail Disruption is Here Shifting consumer shopping behavior fueled by technology is disrupting the retail industry and retail real estate. Delivery Technologies ‐ 3rd party service partners (customer information) ‐ Autonomous vehicles Ordering/eCommerce Technologies ‐ Online ordering ‐ Self-serve kiosks Effects on Real Estate Product ‐ Commissary kitchens ‐ Stores as points of distribution ‐ Optimizing balance of physical retail vs ecommerce
  • 8. Retailers are aggressively investing in digital and other technologies to stay ahead. Sephora Heavy investment in Color IQ technology – augmented reality tools like Visual Artist which lets customers try on a given look or style. Ulta Invested in e-commerce platform Spruce and acquired AI and augmented reality startups QM Scientific and GlamST.
  • 9. Walmart expands its robot program to 50 stores across the country. The autonomous robots go up and down the aisles, scanning for out- of-stock items, incorrect prices, and wrong or missing labels.
  • 10. Digital ordering and delivery is expected to reach $200 billion over the next four years. That’s a bigger share than drive-thru all together and it’s happening in a period that is 10 times shorter than the history of the drive-thru. Digital Delivery Driving Industry-wide Shifts in Restaurant Real Estate; Forbes, 11/21/18
  • 11. As digital and delivery continue to grow, expect a major shift in how restaurants approach their real estate footprints. Already according to NPD Group, nearly 50% of dinners purchased from a restaurant are consumed offsite. That impact will include smaller footprints, nontraditional footprints and the emergence of commissary-only locations that focus on delivering and catering orders. Digital Delivery Driving Industry-wide Shifts in Restaurant Real Estate; Forbes, 11/21/18
  • 12. AI & Machine Learning in Retail
  • 13. Potential Impact as a Percentage of Sales 3.2% - 5.7% Estimated impact of artificial intelligence by industry, function and business problem. Retail - $800 Billion or 3.2% -
  • 14.
  • 15. Advanced Deep Learning AI techniques can be applied across industries, alongside more traditional analytics
  • 16.
  • 17. Computational Infrastructure Infrastructure speed, availability, and sheer scale has enabled bolder algorithms to tackle more ambitious problems Big Data Collecting every piece of data possible has brought about a high demand for solutions that go beyond simple statistical analysis of data According to Accenture, 85% of executives plan to invest extensively in AI in the next three years, and in the same time period, Forrester estimates that businesses using AI will “steal” $1.2 trillion from companies that don’t. Why the Time for AI is Now
  • 18. Fewer than 20% of retailers have deployed artificial intelligence. What’s holding them back? The belief that they lack the data, skills, tools, culture and leadership required. AI – A Retail Growth Opportunity Hiding in Plain Sight; Accenture, 06/01/18
  • 19. Barriers to Adoption of AI Technology Rapidly changing and very different than traditional enterprise IT requirements and systems Data Massive and Unstructured Skills Different and may not exist in most IT organizations Methodologies Far more complex and often originate from non-traditional disciplines
  • 20. Required Skillsets & Human Infrastructure Data Scientist vs. Data Analyst Ability to handle abstract concepts and unstructured data vs. solving a specific industry problem with structured data. Deeper understanding of theory and programming vs. using off the shelf tools (always evolving) and basic interpretation skills. ML Engineers vs. Application Users Success requires a different skillset with a different mindset. Recruiting is critical and talent is scarce and in high demand. Revolutionary vs. Evolutionary
  • 21. Required Technology Infrastructure Scalable Able to handle vast datasets and changing usage demands Adaptable Different algorithms by situation Reusable across customers / problems Changing datasets Interpretable & Deployable Not a black box Easily deployable Platform agnostic Infrastructure agnostic Secure & Compliant Sensitive datasets Secure and rest / transit GDPR compliant
  • 22. Stacked Models Are Superior but Require Advanced Skill Sets and Industry Specific Experience • Fundamental Techniques • Lasso • Elastic Net • Neural Network • Random Forest • XGBoost • Etc. • Models are Stacked and Pre- Processors Applied • Deep Model Interpretability – Influence on Target Based on Primary Features
  • 23. Lower Machine Learning Complexity Higher Interpretability Higher Machine Learning Complexi Lower Interpretability Stacking of models and algorithms drives/ improves accuracy but reduces interpretabilit y
  • 24. Lower Machine Learning Complexity Higher Interpretability Higher Machine Learning Complexi Lower Interpretability Balancing complexity and interpretabili ty results in accurate AND interpretable models.
  • 26. The Biggest Lever: AI & Machine Learning and The Store Lifecycle
  • 27. Brick and Mortar Stores #1 Source of Revenue $4.14 Billion in revenue $158 Million in annual rent expense (1) $161 Million in CAPEX for new & existing restaurants #1 Use of Capital #2 or #3 Operating Expense $36.0 Billion in revenue $521 Million in annual rent expense (2) $770 Million in CAPEX for new & existing stores2,427 Stores (1) Panera Bread Company FY16 10-K (2) Loblaw Companies Limited 2017 Annual Report 2,088 Restaurants AI/ML Has Broad Applicability for Retailers but Brick and Mortar Real Estate has the Greatest Value Potential
  • 28. Brick and Mortar Stores #1 Source of Revenue $4.14 Billion in revenue $158 Million in annual rent expense (1) $161 Million in CAPEX for new & existing restaurants #1 Use of Capital #2 or #3 Operating Expense $36.0 Billion in revenue $521 Million in annual rent expense (2) $770 Million in CAPEX for new & existing stores (1) Panera Bread Company FY16 10-K (2) Loblaw Companies Limited 2017 Annual Report 2,088 Restaurants 2,427 Stores AI/ML Has Broad Applicability for Retailers but Brick and Mortar Real Estate has the Greatest Value Potential
  • 30. Retail Market Optimization Optimizatio nWhat are the optimal number stores in what locations within a market to optimize revenue and profit?
  • 31. Trade areas define the puzzle pieces that make up market strategy
  • 32. Market Planning & Site Selection Deal Management Market Planning Site Analysis Site Identification Trade areas define the puzzle pieces that make up market strategy
  • 33. Deal Management Market Planning Site Analysis Site Identification Trade areas define the puzzle pieces that make up market strategy
  • 34. Massive Datasets That Change at Various Frequen Location MatrixStore & Transaction Customer Profiles Brand EquitySite Variables Crime DemographicSocial Media Affinity Cell Phone Competition PsychographicDaytime PopTraffic Trade Areas Demographic Data Over 3000 variables for 54MM Zip+4 Geospatial Data Over 1 Billion records Customer Data 50-100 million records analyzed Merchandize Data 120+ product categories w/1000s SKUs
  • 35. MHI 75K 20k Cars North Comp Count Traditional Approaches Sales Surface – Multi Dimensional Next Generation Modeling Traditional Informs Next Generation Modeling
  • 36. Existing stores: 7,390 Competitor points: 241,220 Seed points: 120,339 Demo variables: 300 Psychographic Segments: 73 Site characteristic variables: 150 Customer transactions: 39,334,367 CBSAs: 940 Block groups: 220,334 Tango analyzes over 1.7 trillion inputs just to create the surface to run the optimization, for which there are 1.071509e+301 possible combinations Dunkin Brands Case Study
  • 37. Brick and Mortar Stores #1 Source of Revenue $4.14 Billion in revenue $158 Million in annual rent expense (1) $161 Million in CAPEX for new & existing restaurants #1 Use of Capital #2 or #3 Operating Expense $36.0 Billion in revenue $521 Million in annual rent expense (2) $770 Million in CAPEX for new & existing stores (1) Panera Bread Company FY16 10-K (2) Loblaw Companies Limited 2017 Annual Report 2,088 Restaurants 2,427 Stores AI/ML Has Broad Applicability for Retailers but Brick and Mortar Real Estate has the Greatest Value Potential
  • 38. EARLY STAGE CONTRUCTION AI Project Schedule Optimizers Consider millions of alternatives for project delivery and continuously enhance overall project planning. Image Recognition Image recognition and classification can assess video data collected on work sites to identify unsafe worker behavior and aggregate data to inform future training and education priorities Enhanced Analytics Enhanced analytics platforms can collect and analyze data from sensors to understand signals and patterns to deploy real-time solutions, cut costs, prioritize preventative maintenance and prevent unplanned downtime. Source: Artificial Intelligence: Construction technology’s next frontier; McKinsey, April 2018
  • 40. Brick and Mortar Stores #1 Source of Revenue $4.14 Billion in revenue $158 Million in annual rent expense (1) $161 Million in CAPEX for new & existing restaurants #1 Use of Capital #2 or #3 Operating Expense $36.0 Billion in revenue $521 Million in annual rent expense (2) $770 Million in CAPEX for new & existing stores (1) Panera Bread Company FY16 10-K (2) Loblaw Companies Limited 2017 Annual Report 2,088 Restaurants 2,427 Stores AI/ML Has Broad Applicability for Retailers but Brick and Mortar Real Estate has the Greatest Value Potential
  • 41. RETAIL LEASE AI OPPORTUNITIES CAM Reconciliations Analyze common area maintenance charges to identify lease contract violations and anomalies. Lease Negotiations Mine market, landlord and deal data to determine rent thresholds and deal proforma optimization. Deal Matching Set criteria such as site characteristics, demographic requirements, geographic parameters, etc. and be notified when a deal matches criteria. Lease Renewals Analyze lease renewal options relative to sales and profit forecasts to fuel renewal decisions and/or renegotiation tactics and thresholds. Lease Abstraction Use of machine learning to identify, extract and transform lease data from contracts.

Editor's Notes

  1. Add contract abstraction