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FUTURE OF HIGHER
EDUCATION
Mostafa Mohsen Radwan
FUTURE OF HIGHER EDUCATION
1. Why Higher/Tertiary Education
2. The Changing World and Future of Work
3. Education for the Future
4. Recommendations for Policy Makers
1. Why Higher/Tertiary Education
Source: Education at a Glance, OECD Indicators 2019. September 2019
•Those with tertiary education are less likely to be
NEET (neither employed nor in education or
training)
• Tertiary-educated adults are more resilient
against long-term unemployment
•The relative earnings of tertiary-educated adults
increases with professional experience
•Tertiary graduates are more likely to keep
improving their skills through continuous adult
learning
OECD Indicators 2019
Education at a Glance
Embargo:
11am CEST
10am GMT
10 September 2019
Those with tertiary education are less likely to be NEET Fig.A2.4
Percentage of NEETs (neither employed nor in education or training) among 25-29 year-olds, by educational attainment (2018)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Below upper secondary Upper secondary or post-secondary non-tertiary Tertiary%
Tertiary-educated adults are more resilient against long-
term unemployment Figure A3.2
Percentage of long-term unemployed 25-64 year-olds, by educational attainment (2018)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Tertiary Upper secondary or post-secondary non-tertiary Below upper secondary%
The relative earnings of tertiary-educated adults
increases with professional experience Figure A4.2
Relative earnings of tertiary-educated adults compared to those with upper secondary education, by age group (2017)
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
260
280
300
45-54 year-old workers 25-34 year-old workers
Index
Tertiary graduates are more likely to keep improving
their skills through continuous adult learning Figure A7.1
Participation of 25-64 year-olds in education and training, by educational attainment(2016)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
% Tertiary
Upper secondary or post-secondary non-tertiary
Below upper secondary
Adult Education Survey (AES)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
%
Survey of Adult Skills (PIAAC) or national surveys
2. The Changing World and Future of Work
Facts & Figures
Source: The World Bank Group, WORLD DEVELOPMEN0T REPORT 2019, The
Changing Nature of Work, Chapter 1. 2019.
• Over the last century, machines have replaced workers in many
tasks.
• The declining cost of machines especially puts at risk those
workers in low skill jobs engaged in routine tasks.
• The number of robots operating worldwide is rising quickly. By
2019, 1.4 million new industrial robots will be in operation,
raising the total to 2.6 million worldwide.
• Tasks traditionally performed by humans are being—or are at
risk of being—taken over by robots, especially those enabled
with artificial intelligence.
• However, technology has created more jobs than it has displaced.
• As technology advances, firms adopt new methods of production,
markets expand, and societies evolve.
• Firms rely on new technologies to better use capital, overcome
information barriers, outsource, and innovate.
• Technology facilitated the creation of jobs through working online
or joining the so-called gig economy.
• Technology increases proximity to markets, facilitating the
creation of new, efficient value chains.
• New technologies allow for more efficient management of the
operations of firms
• Because of Technology, consumers enjoy a wider range of
products at lower prices.
• During this process of technology adoption, some workers will be
replaced by technology. Workers involved in routine tasks that are
“codifiable” are the most vulnerable.
• Technology is disrupting the demand for skills
• The demand for routine job-specific skills is declining.
• The demand for nonroutine cognitive and sociobehavioral skills
appears to be rising in both advanced and emerging economies.
• These changes show up not just through new jobs replacing old
jobs, but also through the changing skills profile of existing jobs,
Sociobehavioral skills are becoming more important
• Globally, returns to tertiary education are almost 15 percent a year.
Individuals with more advanced skills are taking better advantage of
new technologies to adapt to the changing nature of work.
3. Education for the Future
• Universities has two main functions, to prepare students for
the future work environment and through innovation and
research to lead the technology and society change
• To cope with changes, Higher Education has to change
• Learning has to change from Teacher-Centered-Learning into
Student-Centered-Learning
• Change should extend to Education Modes, Education
Setting and Information Sources
• Curricular innovations and Innovative pedagogical
approaches would support the change
Education Modes
Traditional University
First degree
Postgraduate studies
On-campus / Face to
Face
Future University
Undergraduate Studies
Graduate Studies
Continuing Professional Development
Career Change Studies
Citizenship & Life Skills
On-campus / Face to Face
On-line
Hybrid
Itinerant
Multiple
Education Setting
Information Sources
Curricular innovations
• Experiential learning
• Multi-disciplinary programs
• Competency-based learning
• Modular Learning
• Micro Masters
• Internationalization
Innovative pedagogical
approaches
• Peer learning
• Clickers / Flipped classroom
• Project and design based learning
• MOOCs
• Simulations
• Learning through games
• Self-learning using AI-driven software
21st Century
Education
Source: Skills for the 21st
Century: What Should
Students Learn?
Center for Curriculum
Redesign
Boston, Massachusetts.
2015
www.curriculumredesign.org
4. Recommendations for Policy Makers
To Adopt Long and Short Term Strategies with
following Objectives:
• Increase opportunities for higher education
• High quality graduates & strong research-based institutions
• Stakeholders’ continuous support of higher education
improvement & modernization
• Enhancement of the creativity & innovation skills of
younger generations
• Excellence and Internationalization of higher education
• Use of technology and facilitating lifelong-learning
• Development of technical education and vocational training

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Future of Higher Education

  • 2. FUTURE OF HIGHER EDUCATION 1. Why Higher/Tertiary Education 2. The Changing World and Future of Work 3. Education for the Future 4. Recommendations for Policy Makers
  • 3. 1. Why Higher/Tertiary Education Source: Education at a Glance, OECD Indicators 2019. September 2019 •Those with tertiary education are less likely to be NEET (neither employed nor in education or training) • Tertiary-educated adults are more resilient against long-term unemployment •The relative earnings of tertiary-educated adults increases with professional experience •Tertiary graduates are more likely to keep improving their skills through continuous adult learning
  • 4. OECD Indicators 2019 Education at a Glance Embargo: 11am CEST 10am GMT 10 September 2019
  • 5. Those with tertiary education are less likely to be NEET Fig.A2.4 Percentage of NEETs (neither employed nor in education or training) among 25-29 year-olds, by educational attainment (2018) 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Below upper secondary Upper secondary or post-secondary non-tertiary Tertiary%
  • 6. Tertiary-educated adults are more resilient against long- term unemployment Figure A3.2 Percentage of long-term unemployed 25-64 year-olds, by educational attainment (2018) 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Tertiary Upper secondary or post-secondary non-tertiary Below upper secondary%
  • 7. The relative earnings of tertiary-educated adults increases with professional experience Figure A4.2 Relative earnings of tertiary-educated adults compared to those with upper secondary education, by age group (2017) 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 280 300 45-54 year-old workers 25-34 year-old workers Index
  • 8. Tertiary graduates are more likely to keep improving their skills through continuous adult learning Figure A7.1 Participation of 25-64 year-olds in education and training, by educational attainment(2016) 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 % Tertiary Upper secondary or post-secondary non-tertiary Below upper secondary Adult Education Survey (AES) 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 % Survey of Adult Skills (PIAAC) or national surveys
  • 9. 2. The Changing World and Future of Work Facts & Figures Source: The World Bank Group, WORLD DEVELOPMEN0T REPORT 2019, The Changing Nature of Work, Chapter 1. 2019. • Over the last century, machines have replaced workers in many tasks. • The declining cost of machines especially puts at risk those workers in low skill jobs engaged in routine tasks. • The number of robots operating worldwide is rising quickly. By 2019, 1.4 million new industrial robots will be in operation, raising the total to 2.6 million worldwide. • Tasks traditionally performed by humans are being—or are at risk of being—taken over by robots, especially those enabled with artificial intelligence.
  • 10. • However, technology has created more jobs than it has displaced. • As technology advances, firms adopt new methods of production, markets expand, and societies evolve. • Firms rely on new technologies to better use capital, overcome information barriers, outsource, and innovate. • Technology facilitated the creation of jobs through working online or joining the so-called gig economy. • Technology increases proximity to markets, facilitating the creation of new, efficient value chains. • New technologies allow for more efficient management of the operations of firms • Because of Technology, consumers enjoy a wider range of products at lower prices.
  • 11. • During this process of technology adoption, some workers will be replaced by technology. Workers involved in routine tasks that are “codifiable” are the most vulnerable. • Technology is disrupting the demand for skills • The demand for routine job-specific skills is declining. • The demand for nonroutine cognitive and sociobehavioral skills appears to be rising in both advanced and emerging economies. • These changes show up not just through new jobs replacing old jobs, but also through the changing skills profile of existing jobs, Sociobehavioral skills are becoming more important • Globally, returns to tertiary education are almost 15 percent a year. Individuals with more advanced skills are taking better advantage of new technologies to adapt to the changing nature of work.
  • 12. 3. Education for the Future • Universities has two main functions, to prepare students for the future work environment and through innovation and research to lead the technology and society change • To cope with changes, Higher Education has to change • Learning has to change from Teacher-Centered-Learning into Student-Centered-Learning • Change should extend to Education Modes, Education Setting and Information Sources • Curricular innovations and Innovative pedagogical approaches would support the change
  • 13. Education Modes Traditional University First degree Postgraduate studies On-campus / Face to Face Future University Undergraduate Studies Graduate Studies Continuing Professional Development Career Change Studies Citizenship & Life Skills On-campus / Face to Face On-line Hybrid Itinerant Multiple
  • 16. Curricular innovations • Experiential learning • Multi-disciplinary programs • Competency-based learning • Modular Learning • Micro Masters • Internationalization
  • 17. Innovative pedagogical approaches • Peer learning • Clickers / Flipped classroom • Project and design based learning • MOOCs • Simulations • Learning through games • Self-learning using AI-driven software
  • 18. 21st Century Education Source: Skills for the 21st Century: What Should Students Learn? Center for Curriculum Redesign Boston, Massachusetts. 2015 www.curriculumredesign.org
  • 19. 4. Recommendations for Policy Makers To Adopt Long and Short Term Strategies with following Objectives: • Increase opportunities for higher education • High quality graduates & strong research-based institutions • Stakeholders’ continuous support of higher education improvement & modernization • Enhancement of the creativity & innovation skills of younger generations • Excellence and Internationalization of higher education • Use of technology and facilitating lifelong-learning • Development of technical education and vocational training