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Course Objectives
Project Schedule Management
4
Project Schedule Management
Project Schedule Management includes the processes
required to manage the timely completion of the project.
5
Processes Orientation
Planning
• 6.1 Plan schedule Management
• 6.2 Define Activities
• 6.3 Sequence Activities
• 6.4 Estimate Activity Durations
• 6.5 Develop Schedule
Controlling
• 6.6 Schedule Control
6
Plan Schedule Management
● Plan schedule management is the process of establishing the
policies, procedures, and documentation for planning,
developing, managing, executing, and controlling the project
schedule.
● The key benefit of this process is that it provides guidance and
direction on how the project schedule will be managed
throughout the project.
7
Plan schedule management
Tools & Techniques
1- Expert judgment
2- Data analysis
3- Meetings
8
Plan Schedule Management: Output
Schedule management plan can establish the following:
‐ Project schedule model development
‐ Release and iteration length
‐ Level of accuracy
‐ Unit of measure
‐ Organizational procedures links
‐ Project schedule model maintenance
‐ Control thresholds
‐ Rules of performance measurement
9
Define activities
Define Activities Is the process of identifying and documenting the
specific actions to be performed to produce the project deliverables.
The key benefit of this process is that it decomposed work package
into schedule activity that provide a basis for estimating, scheduling,
executing, and monitoring and controlling the project works.
Project Management Institute, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge, (PMBOK®
Guide) – Fifth Edition, Project Management Institute, Inc., 2013, Page 149.
10
Define Activities
Tools &Techniques
1- Expert judgment
2- Decomposition
3- Rolling wave planning
4- Meeting
11
Define activities: Tools & Tech.
• Decomposition
Dividing and subdividing project scope and project deliverables into
smaller, more manageable parts.
• Rolling wave planning
Rolling wave planning is an iterative planning technique in which the
work to be accomplished in the near term is planned in detail, while
work further in the future is planned at high level.
It is a form of progressive elaboration applicable to work package
and planning package.
12
Define Activities: Outputs
• Activity List
Includes the schedule activities required on the project.
• Activity Attributes
Includes the unique activity identifier (ID), WBS (ID), and
activity label or name. When completed, they may includes
activity description, predecessor activities, successor
activities, logical relationship, leads and lags, resource
requirements, imposed dates, constraints and assumptions.
13
Define Activities: Outputs
• Milestone list
Milestone is a significant point or event in a project.
A milestone list identifies all project milestones and indicates whether the
milestone is mandatory, such as those required by the contract, or optional,
such as those based on historical information. Milestones have zero duration.
• Change Request
Once the project has been baseline, the progressive elaboration of
deliverables into activities may revel work that was not initially part of the
project baseline.
14
Sequence Activities
● Sequence Activities is the process of identifying and documenting the
relationships among the project activities.
● The key benefit of this process is that it defines the logical sequence of the
work to obtain the greatest efficiency given all project constraints.
● Every activity and milestone except the first and the last are connected to at
least one predecessor and one successor.
● Sequencing can be performed by using project management software or by
using manual technique.
15
Sequence Activities
Tools &Techniques
1- Precedence Diagramming Method
2- Dependency determination and
integration
3- Leads and lags
4- PMIS
16
Sequence activities: Tools & Tech.
• Precedence Diagramming Method (PDM)
○ This is a method of constructing a project network diagram.
○ This technique is also called activity-on-node (AON) and is the
method used by most project management software packages.
A
Begin END
E
D
C
F
B
17
Sequence activities: Tools & Tech.
Logical relationships
Finish-To-Start
Start-To Start
Finish-To-Finish
Start-To-Finish
Predecessor Successor
Activity A
Activity A
Activity B
Activity B
Activity A Activity B
Activity A
Activity B
18
Arrow Diagramming Method (ADM)
• This method of constructing a project network diagram is also called
Activity-on-Arrow (AOA) and, although less prevalent than PDM,
• The dummy ensures correct
precedent relationships
(the dashed line)
• Dummies have 0 effort
• Only Finished to Starts F
C
E
B
D
A
Begin
Finished
Sequence activities
19
Sequence activities: Tools & Tech.
• Dependency determination
 Mandatory dependencies (Hard Logic)
Are those that are legally or contractual required or inherent
in the nature of the work. They often involve physical
limitations.
 Discretionary dependencies (Soft Logic )
Are established based on knowledge of the best practices.
20
Sequence activities: Tools & Tech.
 External dependencies
Are those that involve a relationship between project activities
and non-project activities, Are usually outside of the project
team’s control.
 Internal dependencies
Are those that involve a precedence relationship between
project activities are generally inside the project team’s control.
21
Sequence Activities: Tools & Tech.
• Leads and lags
Finished to start
- Activity (A) must finish before (B) can start
Finished to start (FS + 3wks lag)
- Activity (A) Must be finished for 3 weeks before (B) can
start
- The start of activity (B) lags the finish of (A) by 3 week
- The finish of A leads the start of B by 3 weeks
Finished to start (FS - 3wks lag)
- Activity (B) can start three weeks prior to the finish of (A) .
- The start of activity (B) leads the projected finish of (A) by
3 weeks
- The finish of (A) lags the start of (B) by 3 weeks
1 3 4 5 6 7 1
0
9
8
2
A (du = 4)
B (du=3)
A (du = 4)
B (du=3)
FS 0
FS+3
A (du = 4)
B (du=3)
FS-3
22
PMIS
Project Management Information System (PMIS)
Is a standardized set of automated tools available
within the organization and integrated into the system.
22
23
Estimate Activity Durations
● The process of estimating the number of the work periods
needed to complete individual activities with estimated
resources.
● The key benefit of this process is that it provide the amount of
time each activity will take to complete.
● The duration estimate is progressively elaborated, and the
process considers the quality and availability of the input data.
24
Estimate Activity Durations
Tools &Techniques
1- Expert Judgment
2- Analogous Est.
3- Parametric Est.
4- Three-point Est.
5- Bottom up est.
6- Data analysis
- Alternative analysis
- Reserve analysis
7- Decision making
6- Meeting
25
Estimate Activity Durations: Tools & Tech.
• Analogous Estimating (Top-Down estimating)
‐ It is a technique for estimating the duration and the cost of an
activity using historical data from similar activity or project.
‐ It is frequently used to estimate project duration when there is a
limited amount of detailed information about the project (e.g., in
the early phases)
‐ Less costly, and time consuming than other techniques, but
generally less accurate.
26
Estimate Activity Durations: Tools & Tech.
• Parametric Estimating
‐ Determined by multiplying the quantity of work to be performed by the productivity
rate or labor hours / unit work (i.e., meter of cables, tons of steel, number of
drawings, etc.)
‐ Can produce higher levels of accuracy depending on the sophistication and data
built into the model.
Example:
■ Expected Qty. for Activity A: 10 units
■ Productivity unit rate: 2 day / unit
■ Total duration: 20 days
Estimate Activity Durations: Tools &
Tech.
Three point Estimating
● The Optimistic Time (O)
Is the minimum time an activity could take (the situation,
where every thing goes well)
● The Most Likely Time (M)
Is the normal time to complete the job. It is the time would
occur most frequently if the activity could be repeated.
● The Pessimistic Time (P)
Is the maximum time an activity could take (the situation,
where bad luck is encountered at every step)
● Expected Time = (O+ 4*M +P) /6
● Standard Deviation = (P – O) / 6
Most Likely
Expected Time
Pessimistic
Optimistic
Shorter Longer
Probability
of
Occurrence
Higher
Lower
28
Develop Schedule
● Develop Schedule is the process of analyzing activity sequences,
durations, resource requirements, and schedule constraints to
create the schedule model for project execution, monitoring and
controlling.
● Developing an acceptable project schedule is an iterative
process.
● Schedule model is used to determine the planned start and finish
dates for project activities and milestones.
29
Project Schedule Management
SN Activity List Duration 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A6
A7
A8
A9
A10
A11
A12
Start
BBB
CCC
DDD
EEE
FFF
GGG
HHH
III
JJJ
KKK
END
0
2
4
4
2
3
1
2
3
1
1
0
SS
FS
SS+1
SS
FS
SS+1
FS
SS
FS
SS
FS
FS
30
Develop Schedule
Tools &Techniques
1- Schedule Network Analysis
2- Critical Path Methods
3- Resource optimization
4- Data analysis
- What-if scenario analysis
- simulation
5- Leads and Lags
6- Schedule Compression
7- project management information system
8- Agile release planning
31
Develop Schedule Tools & Tech.
• Critical Path Method (CPM)
Is used to estimate the minimum project duration and determine the amount
of schedule flexibility.
A
START END
E
D
B
32
Develop Schedule
Exercise 2
1.What is the critical path?
2. How many days can activity F slip without extending the project end
date?
G, 2
F, 3
B, 4
E,4
A, 3
C, 8 D, 1
33
Develop Schedule
1. The critical path CG
2. Activity F can slip 3 days without extending the project
end date
G, 2
F, 3
B, 4
E,4
A, 3
C, 8 D, 1
34
Develop Schedule, Tools & Tech.
• Resource optimization techniques
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
250
275
300
9 16 23 30 6 13 20 27 6 13 20 27 3 10 17 24 1 8 15 22
Jan Feb Mar Apr May
Resource
Usage
Resource Histogram
35
Develop Schedule , Tools & Tech.
• Data Analysis
‐ What-if scenario analysis
Is the process of evaluating scenarios in order to predict their effect, positive
or negative, on project objectives.
‐ Simulation
Simulation models the combined effects of individual project
risk and other sources of uncertainty to evaluate their
potential impact on achieving project objectives.
36
Develop Schedule , Tools & Tech.
• Schedule Compression
Shortens or accelerate the schedule duration without reduce the project scope in
order to meet schedule constraints, imposed dates, or other schedule objectives.
‐ Crashing: shorten the schedule duration for the least incremental cost by
adding resources, and It may result in increased risk and /or cost.
‐ Fast tracking: activities or phases normally done in sequences are performed
in parallel for at least a portion of their duration.
‐ Fast tracking often results in rework and increased risk. It may also increase
project costs.
Develop Schedule
Expected Project duration = 14
standard deviation = 0.44 + 0.44 + 0.11 = 1.00 Day
Variance
σ
Standard
Deviation
(P – O)
6
Expected
duration
(O+ 4*M +P)
6
Pessimistic
Most
likely
Optimistic
Activity
0.44
0.67
4
6
4
2
A
0.44
0.67
5
7
5
3
B
1
1
7
10
7
4
C
0.11
0.33
5
6
5
4
D
B
D
C
A
2
Standard deviation
38
Normal distribution
σ = 1
µ = 14
(µ - 3σ) to (µ + 3σ) 17
11 99.73%
50%
16
12 95.46%
(µ - 2σ) to (µ + 2σ)
13 15 68.26%
(µ - σ) to (µ + σ)
The Standard Deviation tells you how unsure the estimate is
39
Crashing Cost
Crash
cost/day
Crash
cost $
Normal
cost $
Crash
duration
Normal
duration
Activity
1000
8000
6000
2
4
A
750
5750
5000
4
5
B
500
8500
8000
6
7
C
2000
8000
6000
4
5
D
B
D
C
A
Develop Schedule
40
Develop Schedule , Outputs
• Schedule Baseline
Is the approved version of a schedule model that can be
changed only through formal change control procedures and
used as basis for comparison to actual results.
- Bar charts (Gantt charts)
- Milestone charts
- Project schedule network diagram
41
Control Schedule
41
Control Schedule
Is the process of monitoring the status of the project to update the
project schedule and managing changes to the schedule baseline.
The key benefit of this process is that the schedule baseline is
maintained throughout the project.
*This definition is taken from the Glossary of the Project Management Institute, A Guide to the Project Management Body of
Knowledge, (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, Project Management Institute, Inc., 2017.
Day 3 Schedule -walaa (3).pptx
Day 3 Schedule -walaa (3).pptx
Day 3 Schedule -walaa (3).pptx

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Day 3 Schedule -walaa (3).pptx

  • 1.
  • 4. 4 Project Schedule Management Project Schedule Management includes the processes required to manage the timely completion of the project.
  • 5. 5 Processes Orientation Planning • 6.1 Plan schedule Management • 6.2 Define Activities • 6.3 Sequence Activities • 6.4 Estimate Activity Durations • 6.5 Develop Schedule Controlling • 6.6 Schedule Control
  • 6. 6 Plan Schedule Management ● Plan schedule management is the process of establishing the policies, procedures, and documentation for planning, developing, managing, executing, and controlling the project schedule. ● The key benefit of this process is that it provides guidance and direction on how the project schedule will be managed throughout the project.
  • 7. 7 Plan schedule management Tools & Techniques 1- Expert judgment 2- Data analysis 3- Meetings
  • 8. 8 Plan Schedule Management: Output Schedule management plan can establish the following: ‐ Project schedule model development ‐ Release and iteration length ‐ Level of accuracy ‐ Unit of measure ‐ Organizational procedures links ‐ Project schedule model maintenance ‐ Control thresholds ‐ Rules of performance measurement
  • 9. 9 Define activities Define Activities Is the process of identifying and documenting the specific actions to be performed to produce the project deliverables. The key benefit of this process is that it decomposed work package into schedule activity that provide a basis for estimating, scheduling, executing, and monitoring and controlling the project works. Project Management Institute, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge, (PMBOK® Guide) – Fifth Edition, Project Management Institute, Inc., 2013, Page 149.
  • 10. 10 Define Activities Tools &Techniques 1- Expert judgment 2- Decomposition 3- Rolling wave planning 4- Meeting
  • 11. 11 Define activities: Tools & Tech. • Decomposition Dividing and subdividing project scope and project deliverables into smaller, more manageable parts. • Rolling wave planning Rolling wave planning is an iterative planning technique in which the work to be accomplished in the near term is planned in detail, while work further in the future is planned at high level. It is a form of progressive elaboration applicable to work package and planning package.
  • 12. 12 Define Activities: Outputs • Activity List Includes the schedule activities required on the project. • Activity Attributes Includes the unique activity identifier (ID), WBS (ID), and activity label or name. When completed, they may includes activity description, predecessor activities, successor activities, logical relationship, leads and lags, resource requirements, imposed dates, constraints and assumptions.
  • 13. 13 Define Activities: Outputs • Milestone list Milestone is a significant point or event in a project. A milestone list identifies all project milestones and indicates whether the milestone is mandatory, such as those required by the contract, or optional, such as those based on historical information. Milestones have zero duration. • Change Request Once the project has been baseline, the progressive elaboration of deliverables into activities may revel work that was not initially part of the project baseline.
  • 14. 14 Sequence Activities ● Sequence Activities is the process of identifying and documenting the relationships among the project activities. ● The key benefit of this process is that it defines the logical sequence of the work to obtain the greatest efficiency given all project constraints. ● Every activity and milestone except the first and the last are connected to at least one predecessor and one successor. ● Sequencing can be performed by using project management software or by using manual technique.
  • 15. 15 Sequence Activities Tools &Techniques 1- Precedence Diagramming Method 2- Dependency determination and integration 3- Leads and lags 4- PMIS
  • 16. 16 Sequence activities: Tools & Tech. • Precedence Diagramming Method (PDM) ○ This is a method of constructing a project network diagram. ○ This technique is also called activity-on-node (AON) and is the method used by most project management software packages. A Begin END E D C F B
  • 17. 17 Sequence activities: Tools & Tech. Logical relationships Finish-To-Start Start-To Start Finish-To-Finish Start-To-Finish Predecessor Successor Activity A Activity A Activity B Activity B Activity A Activity B Activity A Activity B
  • 18. 18 Arrow Diagramming Method (ADM) • This method of constructing a project network diagram is also called Activity-on-Arrow (AOA) and, although less prevalent than PDM, • The dummy ensures correct precedent relationships (the dashed line) • Dummies have 0 effort • Only Finished to Starts F C E B D A Begin Finished Sequence activities
  • 19. 19 Sequence activities: Tools & Tech. • Dependency determination  Mandatory dependencies (Hard Logic) Are those that are legally or contractual required or inherent in the nature of the work. They often involve physical limitations.  Discretionary dependencies (Soft Logic ) Are established based on knowledge of the best practices.
  • 20. 20 Sequence activities: Tools & Tech.  External dependencies Are those that involve a relationship between project activities and non-project activities, Are usually outside of the project team’s control.  Internal dependencies Are those that involve a precedence relationship between project activities are generally inside the project team’s control.
  • 21. 21 Sequence Activities: Tools & Tech. • Leads and lags Finished to start - Activity (A) must finish before (B) can start Finished to start (FS + 3wks lag) - Activity (A) Must be finished for 3 weeks before (B) can start - The start of activity (B) lags the finish of (A) by 3 week - The finish of A leads the start of B by 3 weeks Finished to start (FS - 3wks lag) - Activity (B) can start three weeks prior to the finish of (A) . - The start of activity (B) leads the projected finish of (A) by 3 weeks - The finish of (A) lags the start of (B) by 3 weeks 1 3 4 5 6 7 1 0 9 8 2 A (du = 4) B (du=3) A (du = 4) B (du=3) FS 0 FS+3 A (du = 4) B (du=3) FS-3
  • 22. 22 PMIS Project Management Information System (PMIS) Is a standardized set of automated tools available within the organization and integrated into the system. 22
  • 23. 23 Estimate Activity Durations ● The process of estimating the number of the work periods needed to complete individual activities with estimated resources. ● The key benefit of this process is that it provide the amount of time each activity will take to complete. ● The duration estimate is progressively elaborated, and the process considers the quality and availability of the input data.
  • 24. 24 Estimate Activity Durations Tools &Techniques 1- Expert Judgment 2- Analogous Est. 3- Parametric Est. 4- Three-point Est. 5- Bottom up est. 6- Data analysis - Alternative analysis - Reserve analysis 7- Decision making 6- Meeting
  • 25. 25 Estimate Activity Durations: Tools & Tech. • Analogous Estimating (Top-Down estimating) ‐ It is a technique for estimating the duration and the cost of an activity using historical data from similar activity or project. ‐ It is frequently used to estimate project duration when there is a limited amount of detailed information about the project (e.g., in the early phases) ‐ Less costly, and time consuming than other techniques, but generally less accurate.
  • 26. 26 Estimate Activity Durations: Tools & Tech. • Parametric Estimating ‐ Determined by multiplying the quantity of work to be performed by the productivity rate or labor hours / unit work (i.e., meter of cables, tons of steel, number of drawings, etc.) ‐ Can produce higher levels of accuracy depending on the sophistication and data built into the model. Example: ■ Expected Qty. for Activity A: 10 units ■ Productivity unit rate: 2 day / unit ■ Total duration: 20 days
  • 27. Estimate Activity Durations: Tools & Tech. Three point Estimating ● The Optimistic Time (O) Is the minimum time an activity could take (the situation, where every thing goes well) ● The Most Likely Time (M) Is the normal time to complete the job. It is the time would occur most frequently if the activity could be repeated. ● The Pessimistic Time (P) Is the maximum time an activity could take (the situation, where bad luck is encountered at every step) ● Expected Time = (O+ 4*M +P) /6 ● Standard Deviation = (P – O) / 6 Most Likely Expected Time Pessimistic Optimistic Shorter Longer Probability of Occurrence Higher Lower
  • 28. 28 Develop Schedule ● Develop Schedule is the process of analyzing activity sequences, durations, resource requirements, and schedule constraints to create the schedule model for project execution, monitoring and controlling. ● Developing an acceptable project schedule is an iterative process. ● Schedule model is used to determine the planned start and finish dates for project activities and milestones.
  • 29. 29 Project Schedule Management SN Activity List Duration 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 A1 A2 A3 A4 A5 A6 A7 A8 A9 A10 A11 A12 Start BBB CCC DDD EEE FFF GGG HHH III JJJ KKK END 0 2 4 4 2 3 1 2 3 1 1 0 SS FS SS+1 SS FS SS+1 FS SS FS SS FS FS
  • 30. 30 Develop Schedule Tools &Techniques 1- Schedule Network Analysis 2- Critical Path Methods 3- Resource optimization 4- Data analysis - What-if scenario analysis - simulation 5- Leads and Lags 6- Schedule Compression 7- project management information system 8- Agile release planning
  • 31. 31 Develop Schedule Tools & Tech. • Critical Path Method (CPM) Is used to estimate the minimum project duration and determine the amount of schedule flexibility. A START END E D B
  • 32. 32 Develop Schedule Exercise 2 1.What is the critical path? 2. How many days can activity F slip without extending the project end date? G, 2 F, 3 B, 4 E,4 A, 3 C, 8 D, 1
  • 33. 33 Develop Schedule 1. The critical path CG 2. Activity F can slip 3 days without extending the project end date G, 2 F, 3 B, 4 E,4 A, 3 C, 8 D, 1
  • 34. 34 Develop Schedule, Tools & Tech. • Resource optimization techniques 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 250 275 300 9 16 23 30 6 13 20 27 6 13 20 27 3 10 17 24 1 8 15 22 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Resource Usage Resource Histogram
  • 35. 35 Develop Schedule , Tools & Tech. • Data Analysis ‐ What-if scenario analysis Is the process of evaluating scenarios in order to predict their effect, positive or negative, on project objectives. ‐ Simulation Simulation models the combined effects of individual project risk and other sources of uncertainty to evaluate their potential impact on achieving project objectives.
  • 36. 36 Develop Schedule , Tools & Tech. • Schedule Compression Shortens or accelerate the schedule duration without reduce the project scope in order to meet schedule constraints, imposed dates, or other schedule objectives. ‐ Crashing: shorten the schedule duration for the least incremental cost by adding resources, and It may result in increased risk and /or cost. ‐ Fast tracking: activities or phases normally done in sequences are performed in parallel for at least a portion of their duration. ‐ Fast tracking often results in rework and increased risk. It may also increase project costs.
  • 37. Develop Schedule Expected Project duration = 14 standard deviation = 0.44 + 0.44 + 0.11 = 1.00 Day Variance σ Standard Deviation (P – O) 6 Expected duration (O+ 4*M +P) 6 Pessimistic Most likely Optimistic Activity 0.44 0.67 4 6 4 2 A 0.44 0.67 5 7 5 3 B 1 1 7 10 7 4 C 0.11 0.33 5 6 5 4 D B D C A 2 Standard deviation
  • 38. 38 Normal distribution σ = 1 µ = 14 (µ - 3σ) to (µ + 3σ) 17 11 99.73% 50% 16 12 95.46% (µ - 2σ) to (µ + 2σ) 13 15 68.26% (µ - σ) to (µ + σ) The Standard Deviation tells you how unsure the estimate is
  • 39. 39 Crashing Cost Crash cost/day Crash cost $ Normal cost $ Crash duration Normal duration Activity 1000 8000 6000 2 4 A 750 5750 5000 4 5 B 500 8500 8000 6 7 C 2000 8000 6000 4 5 D B D C A Develop Schedule
  • 40. 40 Develop Schedule , Outputs • Schedule Baseline Is the approved version of a schedule model that can be changed only through formal change control procedures and used as basis for comparison to actual results. - Bar charts (Gantt charts) - Milestone charts - Project schedule network diagram
  • 41. 41 Control Schedule 41 Control Schedule Is the process of monitoring the status of the project to update the project schedule and managing changes to the schedule baseline. The key benefit of this process is that the schedule baseline is maintained throughout the project. *This definition is taken from the Glossary of the Project Management Institute, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge, (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, Project Management Institute, Inc., 2017.