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HYDERABAD
RESIDENTIAL & OFFICE
JULY TO DECEMBER 2017
KnightFrank.co.in
2
RESIDENTIAL
RECAP H1 2017
• New launches hit an all-time low of
just over 2,500 units in H1 2017
Ambiguity on RERA
Sales remained steady
Lack of proper
implementation of RERA
pulls new launches to a
grinding halt
3
14,828
19,919
22,726
18,643
13,050
11,197 11,600
3,511
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Launches down
70% YoY
Launches
Launches all time low
4
7,899
5,151
5,457
5,740 5,700 5,900
2,571
940
H1 2014 H2 2014 H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017
84%
YoY
Lack of systems and
processes pulls down new
launches to a historic low in
2nd half of 2017
Half-yearly launches
In a first, city witnesses
sub 1,000 unit launches
5
15,021
16,902
19,050
18,428
15,111 14,903
15,500
14,243
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
8%
YoY
Sales
Sales tad below
2016 levels
Lack of clarity in RERA and
GST
Inadequate ready-to-move-in
homes
EAST
23 units
-54% YoY
426 units
-23% YoY
CENTRAL
23 units
-54% YoY
416 units
-41% YoY
NORTH
23 units
-54% YoY
818 units
-18% YoY
WEST
23 units
-54% YoY
4,403 units
-11% YoY
SOUTH
23 units
-54% YoY
279 units
-54% YoY
The biggest market, West
Hyderabad also faces stress
Sales drop across
all micro-markets
in H2
Lack of launches and shortage
of ready to move in houses
push up prices by 3%
7
2,960
3,316
3,502
3,610
3,710
3,821
2,000
2,200
2,400
2,600
2,800
3,000
3,200
3,400
3,600
3,800
4,000
Q4 2012 Q4 2013 Q4 2014 Q4 2015 Q4 2016 Q4 2017
3%
YoY
Amidst price
correction in most
cities, Hyderabad
records an
appreciation
JUBILEE HILLS
INR 10,980-11,034/sq ft
3%
BANJARA HILLS
INR 10,100-10,464/sq ft
3%
NACHARAM
INR 3,467-3,535/sq ft
4%
MANIKONDA
INR 4,390-4,484/sq ft
7%
BANDLAGUDA
INR 2,700-2,752/sq ft
8%
SAINIKPURI
INR 2,700-2,787/sq ft
2%
KOKAPET
INR 4,234-4,314/sq ft
4%
All micro markets
witnessed a positive
growth in prices
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
CPI HYDERABAD
Residential prices up by by
3% compared to an inflation
growth of 5.5% in 2017
Price growth evident,
albeit under retail
inflation
9
CPI
HYDERABAD
10
Hyderabad an affordable market,
hovers around the
Knight Frank Affordability
Benchmark* of
4.5
(*house price to income ratio)
2017
5
2010
5.7
Inventory levels and
QTS lowest since 2014
Age of inventory a major
concern at 4.5 years
Unsold inventory
declines 38% YoY on
the back of negligible
launches
11
37,861
35,183
33,517
31,477
29,477
28,088
22,658
17,356
8.2 8.4
8.7
8.4
7.7
7.3
5.9
5.0
-
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
-10,00020,00030,00040,000
H1 2014 H2 2014 H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017
QTS
UnsoldInventory
Unsold inventory QTS
EAST
CENTRAL
NORTH
WEST
SOUTH
Unsold units
2.993
QTS 7.2
Age 20.7
Unsold units
909
QTS 3.6
Age 23.1
Unsold units
1,037
QTS 3.6
Age 14.5
Unsold units
2,286
QTS 8.9
Age 21
Unsold units
10,131
QTS 4.1
Age 16.1
Drastic reduction in launches and
steady sales has further pushed
down the QTS from 8 quarters in
H2 2016 to 5 quarters in H2 2017
Affordable
housing lifts
peripheral markets
Age and QTS in quarters
KEY FINDINGS
13
01 03
02 04
Launches down by 84% YoY
in H2 2017
Amidst price correction in most
cities, Hyderabad records an
appreciation
Unsold inventory down
by 38% YoY
Age of inventory a major concern at 4.5
years
Sales in H2 2017
down by 13% YoY
• Lack of clarity in RERA and GST
• Inadequate ready-to-move-in homes
Lack of proper implementation of RERA
pulls new launches to a grinding halt
Lack of launches push up house price by 3%
14
H1 2017 recorded highest number of
deals
Vacancy was at new low, low supply
failed to keep pace with demand
IT/ITeS took a hit in share of
transaction
OFFICE
RECAP H1 2017
15
3.4
5.0
3.9
6.0
3.3
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
New completions
New completions were
down 46% in 2017
Robust supply pipeline, but
dearth of new completions in
2017
Mn.Sqft.
16
2.7
1.0
2.0
2.4 2.4
1.2
H2 2012 H2 2013 H2 2014 H2 2015 H2 2016 H2 2017
Half-yearly new completions
Similar trend evident in
H2 2017
Mn.Sqft.
17
3.74
4.70 4.57
5.92
5.67
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
4% YoY
Transactions
Lack of quality supply
limits transaction
volume in an otherwise
robust market
Mn.Sqft.
18
1.1
1.2
2.8
3.1
3.2
3.3
H2 2012 H2 2013 H2 2014 H2 2015 H2 2016 H2 2017
Half-yearly transactions
Highest transaction in
H2 recorded in the last
five years
Mn.Sqft.
19
8.7
8.4
6.5
5.9
5.1
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Vacancy
Want of quality office
space pushed vacancy
to abysmally low levels
percentage
Average rentals grew by
around 9% YoY
12 month change
PBD WEST
INR 45-55/sq ft/month
10%
SBD
INR 55-65/sq ft/month
8%
CBD & Off CBD
INR 40-50/sq ft/month
4%
PBD EAST
INR 30-35/sq ft/month
9%
21
Industry H2 2017 H2 2016
BANKING, FINANCIAL
SERVICES &
INSURANCE
1% 7%
IT/ITES 75% 87%
MANUFACTURING 6% 1%
OTHER SERVICES 17% 5%
IT/ITeS still the market
leader; heightened
traction seen by other
services sector
KEY FINDINGS
01 03
02 04
22
New supply at an all time
low
Vacancy at an all time
low
IT/ ITeS maintains its
leadership in the share of
transactions
Rentals increase 9% YoY.
All micro markets witness
positive growth in rentals
HYDERABAD
RESIDENTIAL & OFFICE
Amidst price correction in most cities, Hyderabad
records an appreciation in the residential segment
Hyderabad office market among better performing
IT / ITeS driven market
KnightFrank.co.inknightfrank.india@in.knightfrank.com

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Hyderabad Real Estate Report H2 2017 Presentation

  • 1. HYDERABAD RESIDENTIAL & OFFICE JULY TO DECEMBER 2017 KnightFrank.co.in
  • 2. 2 RESIDENTIAL RECAP H1 2017 • New launches hit an all-time low of just over 2,500 units in H1 2017 Ambiguity on RERA Sales remained steady
  • 3. Lack of proper implementation of RERA pulls new launches to a grinding halt 3 14,828 19,919 22,726 18,643 13,050 11,197 11,600 3,511 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Launches down 70% YoY Launches Launches all time low
  • 4. 4 7,899 5,151 5,457 5,740 5,700 5,900 2,571 940 H1 2014 H2 2014 H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 84% YoY Lack of systems and processes pulls down new launches to a historic low in 2nd half of 2017 Half-yearly launches In a first, city witnesses sub 1,000 unit launches
  • 5. 5 15,021 16,902 19,050 18,428 15,111 14,903 15,500 14,243 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 8% YoY Sales Sales tad below 2016 levels Lack of clarity in RERA and GST Inadequate ready-to-move-in homes
  • 6. EAST 23 units -54% YoY 426 units -23% YoY CENTRAL 23 units -54% YoY 416 units -41% YoY NORTH 23 units -54% YoY 818 units -18% YoY WEST 23 units -54% YoY 4,403 units -11% YoY SOUTH 23 units -54% YoY 279 units -54% YoY The biggest market, West Hyderabad also faces stress Sales drop across all micro-markets in H2
  • 7. Lack of launches and shortage of ready to move in houses push up prices by 3% 7 2,960 3,316 3,502 3,610 3,710 3,821 2,000 2,200 2,400 2,600 2,800 3,000 3,200 3,400 3,600 3,800 4,000 Q4 2012 Q4 2013 Q4 2014 Q4 2015 Q4 2016 Q4 2017 3% YoY Amidst price correction in most cities, Hyderabad records an appreciation
  • 8. JUBILEE HILLS INR 10,980-11,034/sq ft 3% BANJARA HILLS INR 10,100-10,464/sq ft 3% NACHARAM INR 3,467-3,535/sq ft 4% MANIKONDA INR 4,390-4,484/sq ft 7% BANDLAGUDA INR 2,700-2,752/sq ft 8% SAINIKPURI INR 2,700-2,787/sq ft 2% KOKAPET INR 4,234-4,314/sq ft 4% All micro markets witnessed a positive growth in prices
  • 9. 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 CPI HYDERABAD Residential prices up by by 3% compared to an inflation growth of 5.5% in 2017 Price growth evident, albeit under retail inflation 9 CPI HYDERABAD
  • 10. 10 Hyderabad an affordable market, hovers around the Knight Frank Affordability Benchmark* of 4.5 (*house price to income ratio) 2017 5 2010 5.7
  • 11. Inventory levels and QTS lowest since 2014 Age of inventory a major concern at 4.5 years Unsold inventory declines 38% YoY on the back of negligible launches 11 37,861 35,183 33,517 31,477 29,477 28,088 22,658 17,356 8.2 8.4 8.7 8.4 7.7 7.3 5.9 5.0 - 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 -10,00020,00030,00040,000 H1 2014 H2 2014 H1 2015 H2 2015 H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 QTS UnsoldInventory Unsold inventory QTS
  • 12. EAST CENTRAL NORTH WEST SOUTH Unsold units 2.993 QTS 7.2 Age 20.7 Unsold units 909 QTS 3.6 Age 23.1 Unsold units 1,037 QTS 3.6 Age 14.5 Unsold units 2,286 QTS 8.9 Age 21 Unsold units 10,131 QTS 4.1 Age 16.1 Drastic reduction in launches and steady sales has further pushed down the QTS from 8 quarters in H2 2016 to 5 quarters in H2 2017 Affordable housing lifts peripheral markets Age and QTS in quarters
  • 13. KEY FINDINGS 13 01 03 02 04 Launches down by 84% YoY in H2 2017 Amidst price correction in most cities, Hyderabad records an appreciation Unsold inventory down by 38% YoY Age of inventory a major concern at 4.5 years Sales in H2 2017 down by 13% YoY • Lack of clarity in RERA and GST • Inadequate ready-to-move-in homes Lack of proper implementation of RERA pulls new launches to a grinding halt Lack of launches push up house price by 3%
  • 14. 14 H1 2017 recorded highest number of deals Vacancy was at new low, low supply failed to keep pace with demand IT/ITeS took a hit in share of transaction OFFICE RECAP H1 2017
  • 15. 15 3.4 5.0 3.9 6.0 3.3 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 New completions New completions were down 46% in 2017 Robust supply pipeline, but dearth of new completions in 2017 Mn.Sqft.
  • 16. 16 2.7 1.0 2.0 2.4 2.4 1.2 H2 2012 H2 2013 H2 2014 H2 2015 H2 2016 H2 2017 Half-yearly new completions Similar trend evident in H2 2017 Mn.Sqft.
  • 17. 17 3.74 4.70 4.57 5.92 5.67 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 4% YoY Transactions Lack of quality supply limits transaction volume in an otherwise robust market Mn.Sqft.
  • 18. 18 1.1 1.2 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.3 H2 2012 H2 2013 H2 2014 H2 2015 H2 2016 H2 2017 Half-yearly transactions Highest transaction in H2 recorded in the last five years Mn.Sqft.
  • 19. 19 8.7 8.4 6.5 5.9 5.1 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Vacancy Want of quality office space pushed vacancy to abysmally low levels percentage
  • 20. Average rentals grew by around 9% YoY 12 month change PBD WEST INR 45-55/sq ft/month 10% SBD INR 55-65/sq ft/month 8% CBD & Off CBD INR 40-50/sq ft/month 4% PBD EAST INR 30-35/sq ft/month 9%
  • 21. 21 Industry H2 2017 H2 2016 BANKING, FINANCIAL SERVICES & INSURANCE 1% 7% IT/ITES 75% 87% MANUFACTURING 6% 1% OTHER SERVICES 17% 5% IT/ITeS still the market leader; heightened traction seen by other services sector
  • 22. KEY FINDINGS 01 03 02 04 22 New supply at an all time low Vacancy at an all time low IT/ ITeS maintains its leadership in the share of transactions Rentals increase 9% YoY. All micro markets witness positive growth in rentals
  • 23. HYDERABAD RESIDENTIAL & OFFICE Amidst price correction in most cities, Hyderabad records an appreciation in the residential segment Hyderabad office market among better performing IT / ITeS driven market KnightFrank.co.inknightfrank.india@in.knightfrank.com