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A look into the real estate figures in NCR region during the period July - December 2015.
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NCR Real Estate Presentation
1.
NCR July – December
2015
2.
ncr residential market yet
to pick up RESIDENTIAL
3.
launches continue to
fall; lowest level over last 6 years 172,571 110,751 100,259 99,407 79,577 63,458 117,559 93,986 79,178 74,966 48,630 48,503 - 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 180,000 200,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 No.ofunits Launches Absorption
4.
Slight growth in
terms of % sales, however base remains low compared to preceding years 92,611 43,076 57,717 36,989 45,000 34,000 64,097 40,433 44,979 29,690 20,630 23,800 - 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 100,000 H2 2010 H2 2011 H2 2012 H2 2013 H2 2014 H2 2015 No.ofunits Launches Absorption
5.
Premium market under
pressure – Noida pushes premium market from bad to worse 4 5 5 6 6 6 7 8 8 9 9 11 12 13 15 17 17 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 5 5 7 8 10 14 15 25 28 31 8 8 9 10 10 10 10 11 10 11 11 12 14 15 16 17 18 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Quarterstosell NCR Premium markets Budget UNSOLD INVENTORY PRESSURE
6.
LAUNCHES Consistently down
across all micro markets - 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50,000 Delhi Faridabad Ghaziabad Greater Noida Gurgaon Noida H2 2010 H2 2011 H2 2012 H2 2013 H2 2014 H2 2015 MICRO-MARKET SPLIT OF LAUNCHES
7.
Marginal uptick in
sales in H2 2015, however sustainable recovery still under question - 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 Delhi Faridabad Ghaziabad Greater Noida Gurgaon Noida H2 2010 H2 2011 H2 2012 H2 2013 H2 2014 H2 2015 MICRO-MARKET SPLIT OF SALES
8.
KEY TAKEAWAY leanest year
of new launches since 2010, while sales showing marginal increase from H2 2014
9.
NCR office absorption
holds steady Office
10.
Pent up new
completions hit the market 12.6 9.6 7.0 8.1 11.5 7.2 6.4 6.6 7.6 7.4 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 mnsqft New completions Absorption YEARLY OFFICE MARKET TRENDS 42% growth
11.
Influx of new
office space in 2015 nudges vacancy levels to 22% HALF YEARLY OFFICE MARKET TRENDS OF STOCK AND SUPPLY 122 126 132 138 96.5 101 104 108 21% 20% 20.7% 21.5% 15% 16% 17% 18% 19% 20% 21% 22% 23% 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 H1 2014 H2 2014 H1 2015 H2 2015 Mnsqft Stock Occupied Stock Vacancy (RHS)
12.
Half yearly absorption
levels faring well since 2011 HALF YEARLY OFFICE MARKET TRENDS 6.3 6.0 3.5 4.1 6 3.26 3.0 3.2 4.1 3.7 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 H2 2011 H2 2012 H2 2013 H2 2014 H2 2015 mnsqft New completions Absorption
13.
rentals look up
with lack of quality office space in key locations WEIGHTED AVRAGE PRICE RENTALS 53 53 52 53 56 58 62 64 50 52 54 56 58 60 62 64 66 H1 2012 H2 2012 H1 2013 H2 2013 H1 2014 H2 2014 H1 2015 H2 2015 INR/sqft/month 11% growth
14.
KEY TAKEAWAYS Office absorption
holds steady in 2015 upward movement on rentals due to lack of quality supply
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