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Bengaluru
July – Dec 2014
Residential
July – Dec 2014
Residential Launches, Absorption and Price Trends
RESIDENTIAL
10% fall in H2 2014 vs. H2 2013
H2 2013 – 36,145 units
H2 2014 – 32,589 units
11% rise in H2 2014 vs. H2 2013
H2 2013 – 25,522 units
H2 2014 – 28,445 units
7% rise in price
Y-O-Y in 2014
New launches in H2 2014 plummet Y-O-Y–
a decline of 10%
RESIDENTIAL
Residential Market in Bengaluru in Year 2014
Sales
volume
fell
by
3%
55,701 units sold vs.
57,366 units in 2013
New
launches
dropped
by
13%
68,134 units launched vs.
78,300 units in 2013
South Bengaluru sees a severe decline in launches,
North Bengaluru holds strong
RESIDENTIAL
241units
26units
55units
9,469units
8,221units
8,973units
4,917units
7,024units
11,008units
18,555units
16,107units
8,260units
2,962units
4,162units
4,293units
Micro-market-wise residential launches – Share in %
Not much of a difference in the share of absorption
during 2013 and 2014
RESIDENTIAL
97units
63units
48units
6,887units
6,961units
6,681units
4,932units
5,247units
7,439units
11,747units
13,050units
12,003units
1,858units
1,936units
2,275units
Micro-market-wise residential absorption – Share in %s
Nearly 24 months to exhaust the existing unsold
inventory
RESIDENTIAL
North and South continue to suffer – South has the
largest unsold inventory while North has the oldest
RESIDENTIAL
Total Unsold Units
100,968
as on December 2014
Hebbal witnesses the highest price rise backed by
infrastructure initiatives
RESIDENTIAL
Location Micromarket
Price range in H1 2014
(`/sq ft)
12-month
change
6-month
change
Langford Town Central 15,000–20,000 10% 6%
Lavelle Road Central 22,000–30,000 10% 4%
K.R. Puram East 4,000–6,500 8% 5%
Whitefield East 4,500–8,000 11% 4%
Marathahalli East 4,500–6,800 7% 5%
Indiranagar East 9,000–12,000 5% 0%
Yeshwanthpur West 6,500–9,500 6% 0%
Malleswaram West 9,000–12,000 6% 0%
Rajajinagar West 8,500–13,500 6% 0%
Tumkur Road West 4,000–4,700 10% 3%
Yelahanka North 4,500–7,000 8% 0%
Hebbal North 5,000–9,500 12% 4%
Hennur North 4,200–6,000 8% 5%
Thanisandra North 4,000–7,000 8% 0%
Sarjapur Road South 4,200–7,000 7% 0%
Electronics City South 4,000–6,300 11% 3%
Kanakapura Road South 4,300–6,000 10% 6%
Bannerghatta Road South 4,200–7,000 9% 0%
Concluding Remarks
 Residential market on sticky wicket as sales head South – 3%
decline Y-O-Y in 2014
 Launches down by 13% but North Bengaluru is an outlier
 Prices have risen by 7% in H2 2014 Y-O-Y, although overall
momentum in price rise seems to have lost its steam in the last six
months, as the IT industry failed to offer sufficient pay hikes.
RESIDENTIAL
Going forward
 Launches to decline by 4% in the Jan – Jun 2015 period but sales
will see a growth of 11%
 Price during Jan – Jun 2015 will increase by 3% Y-O-Y indicating
signs of recovery
 Demand for residential units is likely to be concentrated in and
around North and South East corridor in the coming months
RESIDENTIAL
Office
July – Dec 2014
At 102.3 mn. sq. ft., Bengaluru records the highest
occupied stock in the country
OFFICE
Vacancy level to drop to a single digit
of 9.6% during Jan – Jun 2015
OFFICE
E-Commerce drives space consolidation;
IT / ITeS takes a beating in share
OFFICE
ORR continues to lead in total office space absorption
OFFICE
10%
19%
39%
33%
0%
3%
9%
59%
24%
4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
CBD & Off CBD SBD ORR PBD East PBD South
H2 2013 H2 2014
Business District-wise Absorption Split
479,283sq.ft.
145,968sq.ft.
923,835sq.ft.
407,950sq.ft.
1,888,612sq.ft.
2,633,937sq.ft.
1,596,067sq.ft.
1,077,520sq.ft.
4,888sq.ft.
169,388sq.ft.
E-Commerce and IT / ITeS to drive rise in rentals in
the next 6 months
OFFICE
Concluding Remarks
• Bengaluru market gains steams; Records highest
occupied stock in the country
• Absorption in 2014 recorded a 9% growth over 2013; New
completion also grew by 4% Y-O-Y
• The weighted average rental values witnessed a nominal
increase of 3%, from INR 47/sq ft/month in H2 2013 to INR
48.5/sq ft/month in H2 2014
Going Forward
 E-Commerce to drive office market; more jobs in the
anvil
 IT rebound to aid office growth in Bengaluru; big ticket
deals expected
 Vacancy level to touch a single digit 9.6% during Jan –
Jun 2015
Contact
knightfrank.india@in.knightfrank.com
research@in.knightfrank.com

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Bengaluru - India Real Estate Outlook Report

  • 3. Residential Launches, Absorption and Price Trends RESIDENTIAL 10% fall in H2 2014 vs. H2 2013 H2 2013 – 36,145 units H2 2014 – 32,589 units 11% rise in H2 2014 vs. H2 2013 H2 2013 – 25,522 units H2 2014 – 28,445 units 7% rise in price Y-O-Y in 2014 New launches in H2 2014 plummet Y-O-Y– a decline of 10%
  • 4. RESIDENTIAL Residential Market in Bengaluru in Year 2014 Sales volume fell by 3% 55,701 units sold vs. 57,366 units in 2013 New launches dropped by 13% 68,134 units launched vs. 78,300 units in 2013
  • 5. South Bengaluru sees a severe decline in launches, North Bengaluru holds strong RESIDENTIAL 241units 26units 55units 9,469units 8,221units 8,973units 4,917units 7,024units 11,008units 18,555units 16,107units 8,260units 2,962units 4,162units 4,293units Micro-market-wise residential launches – Share in %
  • 6. Not much of a difference in the share of absorption during 2013 and 2014 RESIDENTIAL 97units 63units 48units 6,887units 6,961units 6,681units 4,932units 5,247units 7,439units 11,747units 13,050units 12,003units 1,858units 1,936units 2,275units Micro-market-wise residential absorption – Share in %s
  • 7. Nearly 24 months to exhaust the existing unsold inventory RESIDENTIAL
  • 8. North and South continue to suffer – South has the largest unsold inventory while North has the oldest RESIDENTIAL Total Unsold Units 100,968 as on December 2014
  • 9. Hebbal witnesses the highest price rise backed by infrastructure initiatives RESIDENTIAL Location Micromarket Price range in H1 2014 (`/sq ft) 12-month change 6-month change Langford Town Central 15,000–20,000 10% 6% Lavelle Road Central 22,000–30,000 10% 4% K.R. Puram East 4,000–6,500 8% 5% Whitefield East 4,500–8,000 11% 4% Marathahalli East 4,500–6,800 7% 5% Indiranagar East 9,000–12,000 5% 0% Yeshwanthpur West 6,500–9,500 6% 0% Malleswaram West 9,000–12,000 6% 0% Rajajinagar West 8,500–13,500 6% 0% Tumkur Road West 4,000–4,700 10% 3% Yelahanka North 4,500–7,000 8% 0% Hebbal North 5,000–9,500 12% 4% Hennur North 4,200–6,000 8% 5% Thanisandra North 4,000–7,000 8% 0% Sarjapur Road South 4,200–7,000 7% 0% Electronics City South 4,000–6,300 11% 3% Kanakapura Road South 4,300–6,000 10% 6% Bannerghatta Road South 4,200–7,000 9% 0%
  • 10. Concluding Remarks  Residential market on sticky wicket as sales head South – 3% decline Y-O-Y in 2014  Launches down by 13% but North Bengaluru is an outlier  Prices have risen by 7% in H2 2014 Y-O-Y, although overall momentum in price rise seems to have lost its steam in the last six months, as the IT industry failed to offer sufficient pay hikes. RESIDENTIAL
  • 11. Going forward  Launches to decline by 4% in the Jan – Jun 2015 period but sales will see a growth of 11%  Price during Jan – Jun 2015 will increase by 3% Y-O-Y indicating signs of recovery  Demand for residential units is likely to be concentrated in and around North and South East corridor in the coming months RESIDENTIAL
  • 13. At 102.3 mn. sq. ft., Bengaluru records the highest occupied stock in the country OFFICE
  • 14. Vacancy level to drop to a single digit of 9.6% during Jan – Jun 2015 OFFICE
  • 15. E-Commerce drives space consolidation; IT / ITeS takes a beating in share OFFICE
  • 16. ORR continues to lead in total office space absorption OFFICE 10% 19% 39% 33% 0% 3% 9% 59% 24% 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% CBD & Off CBD SBD ORR PBD East PBD South H2 2013 H2 2014 Business District-wise Absorption Split 479,283sq.ft. 145,968sq.ft. 923,835sq.ft. 407,950sq.ft. 1,888,612sq.ft. 2,633,937sq.ft. 1,596,067sq.ft. 1,077,520sq.ft. 4,888sq.ft. 169,388sq.ft.
  • 17. E-Commerce and IT / ITeS to drive rise in rentals in the next 6 months OFFICE
  • 18. Concluding Remarks • Bengaluru market gains steams; Records highest occupied stock in the country • Absorption in 2014 recorded a 9% growth over 2013; New completion also grew by 4% Y-O-Y • The weighted average rental values witnessed a nominal increase of 3%, from INR 47/sq ft/month in H2 2013 to INR 48.5/sq ft/month in H2 2014
  • 19. Going Forward  E-Commerce to drive office market; more jobs in the anvil  IT rebound to aid office growth in Bengaluru; big ticket deals expected  Vacancy level to touch a single digit 9.6% during Jan – Jun 2015