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K E Y N O T E 
                                                                                  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH
India Morning Note
Thursday, March 29, 2012

Domestic Markets Snapshot                                  Views on markets today
 Name of Index         Mar 27       Mar 28    Change (%)   • Indian markets closed down nearly 1% yesterday,
                                                             reversing previous session's gains tracking weak
 Sensex              17,257.36    17,121.62     -0.79%
                                                             global markets. Banks stocks declined on worries of a
 CNX Nifty            5,243.15     5,194.75     -0.92%
                                                             rise in cost of funds and heavy government borrowing
 BSE Mid-cap          6,245.06     6,190.94     -0.87%       in the first half of next fiscal year starting April 2011.
 BSE IT               6,072.27     6,021.39     -0.84%       SBI has raised interest rates on short-term deposits by
 BSE Banks           11,678.27    11,475.87     -1.73%       up to 100 basis points. Investors expect other banks to
FII Activity                                     (`Cr)       follow the leader, which is likely to put pressure on
                                                             their margins. In addition, Indian banks have also been
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       facing acute cash crunch in the absence of adequate
 27-Mar                 3,022         2,943         79       government spending following the outflow of advance
 26-Mar                 3,990         4,084         -94      taxes estimated at around `700bn earlier this month.
 Total Mar             52,914        44,133       8782       Except FMCG and pharma, all sectoral indices closed
 2012 YTD             185,971      140,892       45079       on negative note with consumer durable, bank, real
                                                             estate and oil & gas stocks were major losers. The
MF Activity                                       (`Cr)      BSE's banking sector index, which has risen 25% so far
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       in 2012, ended 1.86% lower. SBI lost 2.3%, while top
 27-Mar                   554          707         -153      private lender ICICI Bank and smaller rival HDFC Bank
 26-Mar                   373          547         -174      declined 2.1% and 1.4%. Shares in UB group
                                                             companies, except Kingfisher Airlines, rose after news
 Total Mar              9,200        10,607      -1407
                                                             channel CNBC TV18 reported Heineken may buy 12-13
 2012 YTD              34,560        39,994       -5434
                                                             percent of Chairman Vijay Mallya's stake in United
Volume & Advances / Declines                                 Breweries (UBL). Dr. Reddy's Laboratories rose 1.11%
                                      NSE          BSE       as the company said it has launched Quetiapine
                                                             fumarate tablets (25 mg, 50 mg, 100 mg, 200 mg, 300
 Trading Volume (Cr)                69.68         49.81
                                                             mg and 400 mg), a bioequivalent generic version of
 Turnover (`Cr)                    10,907         3,686
                                                             Seroquel tablets in US market. Cairn India tumbled
 Advances                             366          889       4.06% after the company's chief executive officer told
 Declines                           1,144         2,030      the media that a proposed 80% increase in cess on
 Unchanged                             45           96       crude petroleum oil produced in India could
 Total                              1,555         3,015      discourage the firm's expansion plan.

Global Markets                                             • Market breadth was weak at ~0.44x as investors sold
                                                             large cap stocks. On provisional basis, FIIs sold equity
 Index                     Latest Values      Change (%)     of `1.48bn while domestic institutions bought equity of
 DJIA                            13,126.21      -0.54%       `0.73bn in cash segment.
 NASDAQ                           3,104.96      -0.49%     • Asian shares dropped sharply today led by commodity
 Nikkei *                        10,103.06      -0.78%       firms under pressure around the region after a sell-off
 Hang Seng *                     20,681.15      -0.98%       for metals and oil overnight in US, while earnings
* as of 8.25AM IST                                           provided an extra drag for the Hong Kong market.
Currencies / Commodities Snapshot                          • We expect a weak opening for the Indian markets
                                                             today following the cues from the global markets and
                                    Latest     Previous
                                    Quote         Close      rising risk averseness of the global investors, which
 Indian Rupee per $                  50.73        50.78      are very much on sell side these days.
 Indian Rupee per €                  67.68        67.61    Economic and Corporate Developments
 NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl)            105.45        105.41    • Prime Minister's Economic Advisory Council Chairman
 Gold ($/oz)                      1,661.10     1,657.90      C Rangarajan said the government should consider
                                                             decontrolling diesel prices to keep petroleum subsides
 Silver ($/oz)                       32.05        31.83
                                                             at the budgetary level.


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                                  K E Y N O T E 
                                                                               INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH

TOP GAINERS                                              Buzzing Stocks
(BSE A-Group)                                            • Panacea Biotec, has set up a new state-of-the-art
                     Previous   Current    Change          cancer drug manufacturing facility at Baddi,
 Company Name
                     Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)          Himachal Pradesh. The `55Cr facility has an annual
 United Spirits       559.10     586.45      4.89          production capacity of about 1.2 million vials, and
 India Sec             56.55      58.45      3.36          complies with international regulatory standards
 Muthoot Fin          128.00     131.80      2.97          such as current good manufacturing practice, US
 Manappuram Fin        29.95      30.70      2.50          Food and Drug Administration and UK Medicines and
 Union Bank           216.90     222.25      2.47          Healthcare products Regulatory Agency

(BSE Mid-Cap)                                            • GMR Infra's plans to have a power zone at its
                                                           11,000-acre Special Economic Zone in Andhra’s
                     Previous   Current    Change          Kakinada have taken a back seat, due to drop in gas
 Company Name
                     Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
                                                           production at the Krishna-Godavari basin.
 Rajesh Exports       118.60     126.40       6.58
 Bajaj Elect          182.15     194.00       6.51       • A government official said the civil aviation regulator
 Procter & Gambl     2020.15    2128.00       5.34         might take action against Kingfisher Airlines, if its
 Strides Arco         560.90     582.40       3.83         employees and vendors were not paid soon.
 Jagran Prakashan      97.40     101.00       3.70       • In major restructuring that may play out shortly in
                                                           India’s largest brewer, United Breweries Ltd (UBL),
TOP LOSERS                                                 Amsterdam-based global beer major Heineken may
                                                           raise its stake from the current 37.5%.
(BSE A-Group)
                                                         • Force Motors exited from its joint venture with
                     Previous   Current    Change
 Company Name                                              Germany's MAN Truck & Bus AG to make commercial
                     Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 Gitanjali Gems       350.70    327.20       -6.70         vehicles in India by selling its stake for €150mn
 Titan Inds           237.75    223.95       -5.80         (over `1,000Cr).
 HDIL                  87.40      82.40      -5.72       • GAIL India has signed an agreement to supply
 IB Real Est           64.00      60.45      -5.55         natural gas to Information Technology Park,
 JPINFRATEC            48.40      45.80      -5.37         Bangalore.
                                                         • ACC announced an investment of `3,300Cr by 2015
(BSE Mid-Cap)
                                                           to set up three grinding units and a clinker facility.
                     Previous   Current    Change
 Company Name                                            US markets
                     Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 Gitanjali Gems       350.70     327.20      -6.70       U.S. stocks fell for a second session Wednesday as
 Hindustan Const       25.85      24.35      -5.80       investors dumped energy and other stocks closely
 HDIL                  87.40      82.40      -5.72       related to global growth after a disappointing report on
 IB Real Est           64.00      60.45      -5.55       durable-goods orders.
 JPINFRATEC             48.40     45.80      -5.37       The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended down 71.52
                                                         points, or 0.5%, to 13,126.21. The Nasdaq Composite
                                                         Index fell 15.39 points, or 0.5%, to 3,104.96.
                                                         The S&P 500 Index SPX -0.49%        lost 6.98 points, or
                                                         0.5%, to 1,405.54.




Keynote Capitals Institutional Research              (research@keynotecapitals.net)             (+9122-30266000)
                                  K E Y N O T E  
                                                                                                                                                        INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H 

 India and Global Economic Calendar
   Countries /                 Thursday                                    Friday                                  Monday                                  Tuesday
   Regions                       29/Mar                                   30/Mar                                     2/Apr                                    3/Apr
   India                                                     Forex Reserves Data
                                                             Trade Deficit - RBI;
                                                             External Debt


   US               US GDP Data                              Personal                                  Construction                             Factory Orders
                                                             Consumption                               spending                                 (MoM)
                                                             Expenditure - Price
                                                             Index (Feb) (YoY &
                                                             MoM)
                                                             Core Personal                                                                      Total Vehicle Sales
                                                             Consumption
                                                             Expenditure - Price
                                                             Index (Feb) (YoY &
                                                             MoM)
                                                             Personal Income
                                                             (Feb, MoM); Chicago
                                                             Purchasing
                                                             Managers' Index
                                                             (Mar)
   Global           Germany                                  Eurozone Consumer                         UK & Germany                             Eurozone's Producer
                    Unemployment data                        Price Index (YoY)                         Purchasing Manager                       Price Index (MoM)
                                                                                                       Index Manufacturing                      and (YoY)
                    UK GFK consumer                          Construction Orders                                                                UK's BRC Shop Price
                    spending                                 (YoY); Housing                                                                     Index (MoM)
                                                             Starts (YoY)
                    Japan
                    manufacturing, CPI
                    & Unemployment
                    data




                                               KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD.
           4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA
                                   Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25                            •   www.keynotecapitals.com

Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to
various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day,
unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before
acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note march 29-'12

  • 1. K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH India Morning Note Thursday, March 29, 2012 Domestic Markets Snapshot Views on markets today Name of Index Mar 27 Mar 28 Change (%) • Indian markets closed down nearly 1% yesterday, reversing previous session's gains tracking weak Sensex 17,257.36 17,121.62 -0.79% global markets. Banks stocks declined on worries of a CNX Nifty 5,243.15 5,194.75 -0.92% rise in cost of funds and heavy government borrowing BSE Mid-cap 6,245.06 6,190.94 -0.87% in the first half of next fiscal year starting April 2011. BSE IT 6,072.27 6,021.39 -0.84% SBI has raised interest rates on short-term deposits by BSE Banks 11,678.27 11,475.87 -1.73% up to 100 basis points. Investors expect other banks to FII Activity (`Cr) follow the leader, which is likely to put pressure on their margins. In addition, Indian banks have also been Date Buy Sell Net facing acute cash crunch in the absence of adequate 27-Mar 3,022 2,943 79 government spending following the outflow of advance 26-Mar 3,990 4,084 -94 taxes estimated at around `700bn earlier this month. Total Mar 52,914 44,133 8782 Except FMCG and pharma, all sectoral indices closed 2012 YTD 185,971 140,892 45079 on negative note with consumer durable, bank, real estate and oil & gas stocks were major losers. The MF Activity (`Cr) BSE's banking sector index, which has risen 25% so far Date Buy Sell Net in 2012, ended 1.86% lower. SBI lost 2.3%, while top 27-Mar 554 707 -153 private lender ICICI Bank and smaller rival HDFC Bank 26-Mar 373 547 -174 declined 2.1% and 1.4%. Shares in UB group companies, except Kingfisher Airlines, rose after news Total Mar 9,200 10,607 -1407 channel CNBC TV18 reported Heineken may buy 12-13 2012 YTD 34,560 39,994 -5434 percent of Chairman Vijay Mallya's stake in United Volume & Advances / Declines Breweries (UBL). Dr. Reddy's Laboratories rose 1.11% NSE BSE as the company said it has launched Quetiapine fumarate tablets (25 mg, 50 mg, 100 mg, 200 mg, 300 Trading Volume (Cr) 69.68 49.81 mg and 400 mg), a bioequivalent generic version of Turnover (`Cr) 10,907 3,686 Seroquel tablets in US market. Cairn India tumbled Advances 366 889 4.06% after the company's chief executive officer told Declines 1,144 2,030 the media that a proposed 80% increase in cess on Unchanged 45 96 crude petroleum oil produced in India could Total 1,555 3,015 discourage the firm's expansion plan. Global Markets • Market breadth was weak at ~0.44x as investors sold large cap stocks. On provisional basis, FIIs sold equity Index Latest Values Change (%) of `1.48bn while domestic institutions bought equity of DJIA 13,126.21 -0.54% `0.73bn in cash segment. NASDAQ 3,104.96 -0.49% • Asian shares dropped sharply today led by commodity Nikkei * 10,103.06 -0.78% firms under pressure around the region after a sell-off Hang Seng * 20,681.15 -0.98% for metals and oil overnight in US, while earnings * as of 8.25AM IST provided an extra drag for the Hong Kong market. Currencies / Commodities Snapshot • We expect a weak opening for the Indian markets today following the cues from the global markets and Latest Previous Quote Close rising risk averseness of the global investors, which Indian Rupee per $ 50.73 50.78 are very much on sell side these days. Indian Rupee per € 67.68 67.61 Economic and Corporate Developments NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 105.45 105.41 • Prime Minister's Economic Advisory Council Chairman Gold ($/oz) 1,661.10 1,657.90 C Rangarajan said the government should consider decontrolling diesel prices to keep petroleum subsides Silver ($/oz) 32.05 31.83 at the budgetary level. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-30266000) Keynote Capitals Institutional Research is also available on Bloomberg KNTE <GO>, Thomson One Analytics, Reuters Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and securities.com Keynote Capitals Institutional Research - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubscribe from this mailing list, please reply to unsubscribe@keynotecapitals.net
  • 2.                                   K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH TOP GAINERS Buzzing Stocks (BSE A-Group) • Panacea Biotec, has set up a new state-of-the-art Previous Current Change cancer drug manufacturing facility at Baddi, Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) Himachal Pradesh. The `55Cr facility has an annual United Spirits 559.10 586.45 4.89 production capacity of about 1.2 million vials, and India Sec 56.55 58.45 3.36 complies with international regulatory standards Muthoot Fin 128.00 131.80 2.97 such as current good manufacturing practice, US Manappuram Fin 29.95 30.70 2.50 Food and Drug Administration and UK Medicines and Union Bank 216.90 222.25 2.47 Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (BSE Mid-Cap) • GMR Infra's plans to have a power zone at its 11,000-acre Special Economic Zone in Andhra’s Previous Current Change Kakinada have taken a back seat, due to drop in gas Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) production at the Krishna-Godavari basin. Rajesh Exports 118.60 126.40 6.58 Bajaj Elect 182.15 194.00 6.51 • A government official said the civil aviation regulator Procter & Gambl 2020.15 2128.00 5.34 might take action against Kingfisher Airlines, if its Strides Arco 560.90 582.40 3.83 employees and vendors were not paid soon. Jagran Prakashan 97.40 101.00 3.70 • In major restructuring that may play out shortly in India’s largest brewer, United Breweries Ltd (UBL), TOP LOSERS Amsterdam-based global beer major Heineken may raise its stake from the current 37.5%. (BSE A-Group) • Force Motors exited from its joint venture with Previous Current Change Company Name Germany's MAN Truck & Bus AG to make commercial Close(`) Price(`) (%) Gitanjali Gems 350.70 327.20 -6.70 vehicles in India by selling its stake for €150mn Titan Inds 237.75 223.95 -5.80 (over `1,000Cr). HDIL 87.40 82.40 -5.72 • GAIL India has signed an agreement to supply IB Real Est 64.00 60.45 -5.55 natural gas to Information Technology Park, JPINFRATEC 48.40 45.80 -5.37 Bangalore. • ACC announced an investment of `3,300Cr by 2015 (BSE Mid-Cap) to set up three grinding units and a clinker facility. Previous Current Change Company Name US markets Close(`) Price(`) (%) Gitanjali Gems 350.70 327.20 -6.70 U.S. stocks fell for a second session Wednesday as Hindustan Const 25.85 24.35 -5.80 investors dumped energy and other stocks closely HDIL 87.40 82.40 -5.72 related to global growth after a disappointing report on IB Real Est 64.00 60.45 -5.55 durable-goods orders. JPINFRATEC 48.40 45.80 -5.37 The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended down 71.52 points, or 0.5%, to 13,126.21. The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 15.39 points, or 0.5%, to 3,104.96. The S&P 500 Index SPX -0.49% lost 6.98 points, or 0.5%, to 1,405.54. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-30266000)
  • 3.                                   K E Y N O T E                                                                                                                                       INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H  India and Global Economic Calendar Countries / Thursday Friday Monday Tuesday Regions 29/Mar 30/Mar 2/Apr 3/Apr India Forex Reserves Data Trade Deficit - RBI; External Debt US US GDP Data Personal Construction Factory Orders Consumption spending (MoM) Expenditure - Price Index (Feb) (YoY & MoM) Core Personal Total Vehicle Sales Consumption Expenditure - Price Index (Feb) (YoY & MoM) Personal Income (Feb, MoM); Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index (Mar) Global Germany Eurozone Consumer UK & Germany Eurozone's Producer Unemployment data Price Index (YoY) Purchasing Manager Price Index (MoM) Index Manufacturing and (YoY) UK GFK consumer Construction Orders UK's BRC Shop Price spending (YoY); Housing Index (MoM) Starts (YoY) Japan manufacturing, CPI & Unemployment data KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD. 4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25 • www.keynotecapitals.com Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day, unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.