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K E Y N O T E 
                                                                                  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH
India Morning Note
Friday, February 24, 2012

Domestic Markets Snapshot                                  Views on markets today
 Name of Index         Feb 22        Feb 23   Change (%)   • Indian markets fell for the second straight day
 Sensex              18,145.25    18,078.50     -0.37%
                                                             yesterday to reach their lowest closing level in more
                                                             than a week as investors took profits on expiry of
 CNX Nifty            5,505.35     5,483.30     -0.40%
                                                             monthly derivatives amid concerns about high oil
 BSE Mid-cap          6,375.69     6,340.54     -0.55%       prices. Volatility was high as traders rolled over
 BSE IT               6,284.61     6,274.72     -0.16%       positions in futures & options (F&O) segment from the
 BSE Banks           12,348.87    12,308.49     -0.33%       near-month February 2012 series to March 2012
                                                             series. Investors are also awaiting further evidence on
FII Activity                                     (`Cr)       the health of the global economy as high oil prices
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       threaten to fuel inflationary pressures and increase
 22-Feb                 4,024         3,057        967       costs for companies, affecting their profitability. UBS
 21-Feb                 4,094         2,599       1495
                                                             also said in a note that India looks vulnerable to profit-
                                                             taking in the short term after recent outperformance,
 Total Feb             49,498        35,116      14382
                                                             rising oil prices and seasonally tighter monetary
 2012 YTD             102,437        76,974      25463       conditions. The downward movement was mainly led
MF Activity                                       (`Cr)      by selling pressure in real estate, metal, auto and
                                                             capital goods stocks while FMCG, power and oil & gas
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net
                                                             stocks witnessed some buying activities which gave
 22-Feb                   662         1,288        -626      some support to the markets. Realty stocks edged
 21-Feb                   634          972         -338      lower on profit taking after recent strong gains. DLF,
 Total Feb             10,666        12,974      -2308       Phoenix Mills, HDIL and Unitech dropped between
 2012 YTD              21,087        25,250       -4163
                                                             1.08-6.17%. Sterlite Industries fell 4.09%, with the
                                                             stock extending Wednesday's 6.62% slide. As per
Volume & Advances / Declines                                 media reports, the Vedanta Resources group may
                                      NSE          BSE       merge iron ore firm Sesa Goa with copper and
 Trading Volume (Cr)               123.07         32.34
                                                             aluminium maker Sterlite Industries to simplify and
                                                             consolidate its corporate structure. PNB fell 1.96% as
 Turnover (`Cr)                    18,316         3,223
                                                             the board of directors of the bank at its meeting has
 Advances                             476         1,092      approved issuance of up to 1.28Cr equity shares to
 Declines                           1,024         1,786      Government of India and up to 1.58Cr equity shares to
 Unchanged                             62          108       LIC on preferential basis, at a premium of `993.69.
 Total                              1,562         2,986    • Market breadth was weak at ~0.61x as investors sold
                                                             large cap stocks. On provisional basis, FIIs bought
Global Markets
                                                             equity of `1.05bn while domestic institutions sold
 Index                     Latest Values      Change (%)     equity of `6.41bn in cash segment.
 DJIA                            12,984.69       0.36%     • Asian markets were flat today after rising crude oil
 NASDAQ                           2,956.98       0.81%       prices and tension related to Iran weighed on the
 Nikkei *                         9,597.19       0.02%       equities.
 Hang Seng *                     21,365.86      -0.07%     • We expect a flat to cautious opening for the Indian
* as of 8.25AM IST                                           markets today following the cues from the Asian
                                                             markets.
Currencies / Commodities Snapshot
                                                           Economic and Corporate Developments
                                    Latest     Previous
                                    Quote         Close    • Amid the country facing an acute coal shortage, a
 Indian Rupee per $                  49.11        49.15      ministerial panel, headed by Finance Minister Pranab
 Indian Rupee per €                  65.73        65.72      Mukherjee, will meet on March 1 to address the
                                                             environmental issues that hurt the coal output.
 NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl)            108.44        107.83
 Gold ($/oz)                      1,778.50     1,784.90    • A panel of ministers will meet on Feb 27 to discuss a
                                                             share sale in state-run oil explorer and producer Oil
 Silver ($/oz)                       35.32        35.56
                                                             and Natural Gas Corp, Oil Minister S. Jaipal Reddy said.


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                                  K E Y N O T E 
                                                                              INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH

TOP GAINERS                                              Buzzing Stocks
(BSE A-Group)                                            • Shasun Pharmaceuticals would meet on February 27,
                     Previous   Current    Change          2012, to consider issue of equity shares on a
 Company Name
                     Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)          preferential basis to private equity investor.
 Voltas               102.65     110.65      7.79
                                                         • Coal India Ltd. will seek offtake commitments from
 Lanco Infra           19.50      20.85      6.92
                                                           power utilities before importing, as has been asked
 Amtek Auto-$         133.30     140.50      5.40          by the Prime Minister’s Office.
 BPCL                 625.40     657.15      5.08
                                                         • The state-owned coal sector monopoly was recently
 Oracle Fin          2119.55    2218.40      4.66
                                                           asked by the Prime Minister’s office (PMO) to meet
(BSE Mid-Cap)                                              the supply commitments of the power sector even if
                                                           it means resorting to imports.
                     Previous   Current    Change
 Company Name
                     Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)        • Zuari and Chambal eye UB's Mangalore Chemicals.
 Alfa Laval          2821.35    3267.55     15.82          According to two independent sources, Mallya has
 Voltas               102.65     110.65       7.79         been approached by two Indian companies to buy
 Lanco Infra           19.50      20.85       6.92         him out of Mangalore Chemicals & Fertilisers (MCF),
 Amtek India-$         99.25     105.65       6.45         a 36-year-old company owned by the group. These
 Amtek Auto-$         133.30     140.50       5.40         sources said leading agro chemicals players Zuari
                                                           Industries and Chambal Fertilisers & Chemicals have
TOP LOSERS                                                 had preliminary dialogue with the group brass, with
                                                           buyout proposals, and have even submitted initial
(BSE A-Group)
                                                           term sheets.
                     Previous   Current    Change
 Company Name                                            • Amara Raja Batteries is planning to set up a
                     Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 Jaiprakash Asso       80.00      74.60      -6.75         greenfield project and has earmarked `190Cr for the
 HDIL                 119.90    112.50       -6.17         first phase.
 Reliance Cap         443.70    420.10       -5.32       • Ashok Leyland is planning to        set   up   a   new
 Sun TV Network       331.45    315.20       -4.90         production facility near Chennai.
 Jain Irrigation      112.40    107.10       -4.72       US markets
(BSE Mid-Cap)                                            US markets closed with broad gains Thursday, with the
                                                         S&P 500 near a 10-month high, as reports underlining
                     Previous   Current    Change
 Company Name                                            general improvement in the economy offset a
                     Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 Prestige Estates     106.95     100.05      -6.45       disappointing outlook from Hewlett-Packard Co.
 HDIL                 119.90     112.50      -6.17       The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 46.02 points, or
 Sobha Dev            296.15     278.65      -5.91       0.4%, to 12,984.69. The S&P 500 gained 5.80, or 0.4%,
 Kalpataru Power      115.05     109.10      -5.17       to 1,363.46, its highest since April 29. The Nasdaq
 D B REALTY             88.90     84.35      -5.12       Composite advanced 23.81 points, or 0.8%, to
                                                         2,956.98.
                                                         U.S. data showed home prices climbed 0.7% in the final
                                                         month of last year. And jobless claims last week held
                                                         near a four-year low.




Keynote Capitals Institutional Research              (research@keynotecapitals.net)            (+9122-30266000)
                                  K E Y N O T E  
                                                                                                                                                        INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H 

 India and Global Economic Calendar

   Countries /                                Friday                                              Monday                                            Tuesday

   Regions                                   24/Feb                                               27/Feb                                             28/Feb

   India                   Forex Reserves Data

                           Weekly Supplement of RBI



   US                      Reuters/ Michigan                                    Pending Home Sales (MoM)                           Durable Goods Orders
                           Consumer Sentiment Index

                           New Home Sales (Jan)                                                                                    Consumer Confidence




   Global                  UK GDP (YoY & QoQ) (Q3)                             Eurozone M3 Money Supply                            Japan's National Consumer
                                                                               (YoY)                                               Price Index (YoY)

                           UK Index of Services (3M)                           UK,s Mortgage Approvals                             Japan's National CPI Ex
                           (Jan)                                                                                                   Food, Energy (YoY)

                           UK Total Business                                   Germany,s Retail Sales
                           Investment (YoY & QoQ)                              (MoM)
                           (Q4)




                                               KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD.
           4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA
                                   Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25                            •   www.keynotecapitals.com

Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to
various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day,
unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before
acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note february 24-'12

  • 1. K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH India Morning Note Friday, February 24, 2012 Domestic Markets Snapshot Views on markets today Name of Index Feb 22 Feb 23 Change (%) • Indian markets fell for the second straight day Sensex 18,145.25 18,078.50 -0.37% yesterday to reach their lowest closing level in more than a week as investors took profits on expiry of CNX Nifty 5,505.35 5,483.30 -0.40% monthly derivatives amid concerns about high oil BSE Mid-cap 6,375.69 6,340.54 -0.55% prices. Volatility was high as traders rolled over BSE IT 6,284.61 6,274.72 -0.16% positions in futures & options (F&O) segment from the BSE Banks 12,348.87 12,308.49 -0.33% near-month February 2012 series to March 2012 series. Investors are also awaiting further evidence on FII Activity (`Cr) the health of the global economy as high oil prices Date Buy Sell Net threaten to fuel inflationary pressures and increase 22-Feb 4,024 3,057 967 costs for companies, affecting their profitability. UBS 21-Feb 4,094 2,599 1495 also said in a note that India looks vulnerable to profit- taking in the short term after recent outperformance, Total Feb 49,498 35,116 14382 rising oil prices and seasonally tighter monetary 2012 YTD 102,437 76,974 25463 conditions. The downward movement was mainly led MF Activity (`Cr) by selling pressure in real estate, metal, auto and capital goods stocks while FMCG, power and oil & gas Date Buy Sell Net stocks witnessed some buying activities which gave 22-Feb 662 1,288 -626 some support to the markets. Realty stocks edged 21-Feb 634 972 -338 lower on profit taking after recent strong gains. DLF, Total Feb 10,666 12,974 -2308 Phoenix Mills, HDIL and Unitech dropped between 2012 YTD 21,087 25,250 -4163 1.08-6.17%. Sterlite Industries fell 4.09%, with the stock extending Wednesday's 6.62% slide. As per Volume & Advances / Declines media reports, the Vedanta Resources group may NSE BSE merge iron ore firm Sesa Goa with copper and Trading Volume (Cr) 123.07 32.34 aluminium maker Sterlite Industries to simplify and consolidate its corporate structure. PNB fell 1.96% as Turnover (`Cr) 18,316 3,223 the board of directors of the bank at its meeting has Advances 476 1,092 approved issuance of up to 1.28Cr equity shares to Declines 1,024 1,786 Government of India and up to 1.58Cr equity shares to Unchanged 62 108 LIC on preferential basis, at a premium of `993.69. Total 1,562 2,986 • Market breadth was weak at ~0.61x as investors sold large cap stocks. On provisional basis, FIIs bought Global Markets equity of `1.05bn while domestic institutions sold Index Latest Values Change (%) equity of `6.41bn in cash segment. DJIA 12,984.69 0.36% • Asian markets were flat today after rising crude oil NASDAQ 2,956.98 0.81% prices and tension related to Iran weighed on the Nikkei * 9,597.19 0.02% equities. Hang Seng * 21,365.86 -0.07% • We expect a flat to cautious opening for the Indian * as of 8.25AM IST markets today following the cues from the Asian markets. Currencies / Commodities Snapshot Economic and Corporate Developments Latest Previous Quote Close • Amid the country facing an acute coal shortage, a Indian Rupee per $ 49.11 49.15 ministerial panel, headed by Finance Minister Pranab Indian Rupee per € 65.73 65.72 Mukherjee, will meet on March 1 to address the environmental issues that hurt the coal output. NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 108.44 107.83 Gold ($/oz) 1,778.50 1,784.90 • A panel of ministers will meet on Feb 27 to discuss a share sale in state-run oil explorer and producer Oil Silver ($/oz) 35.32 35.56 and Natural Gas Corp, Oil Minister S. Jaipal Reddy said. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-30266000) Keynote Capitals Institutional Research is also available on Bloomberg KNTE <GO>, Thomson One Analytics, Reuters Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and securities.com Keynote Capitals Institutional Research - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubscribe from this mailing list, please reply to unsubscribe@keynotecapitals.net
  • 2.                                   K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH TOP GAINERS Buzzing Stocks (BSE A-Group) • Shasun Pharmaceuticals would meet on February 27, Previous Current Change 2012, to consider issue of equity shares on a Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) preferential basis to private equity investor. Voltas 102.65 110.65 7.79 • Coal India Ltd. will seek offtake commitments from Lanco Infra 19.50 20.85 6.92 power utilities before importing, as has been asked Amtek Auto-$ 133.30 140.50 5.40 by the Prime Minister’s Office. BPCL 625.40 657.15 5.08 • The state-owned coal sector monopoly was recently Oracle Fin 2119.55 2218.40 4.66 asked by the Prime Minister’s office (PMO) to meet (BSE Mid-Cap) the supply commitments of the power sector even if it means resorting to imports. Previous Current Change Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) • Zuari and Chambal eye UB's Mangalore Chemicals. Alfa Laval 2821.35 3267.55 15.82 According to two independent sources, Mallya has Voltas 102.65 110.65 7.79 been approached by two Indian companies to buy Lanco Infra 19.50 20.85 6.92 him out of Mangalore Chemicals & Fertilisers (MCF), Amtek India-$ 99.25 105.65 6.45 a 36-year-old company owned by the group. These Amtek Auto-$ 133.30 140.50 5.40 sources said leading agro chemicals players Zuari Industries and Chambal Fertilisers & Chemicals have TOP LOSERS had preliminary dialogue with the group brass, with buyout proposals, and have even submitted initial (BSE A-Group) term sheets. Previous Current Change Company Name • Amara Raja Batteries is planning to set up a Close(`) Price(`) (%) Jaiprakash Asso 80.00 74.60 -6.75 greenfield project and has earmarked `190Cr for the HDIL 119.90 112.50 -6.17 first phase. Reliance Cap 443.70 420.10 -5.32 • Ashok Leyland is planning to set up a new Sun TV Network 331.45 315.20 -4.90 production facility near Chennai. Jain Irrigation 112.40 107.10 -4.72 US markets (BSE Mid-Cap) US markets closed with broad gains Thursday, with the S&P 500 near a 10-month high, as reports underlining Previous Current Change Company Name general improvement in the economy offset a Close(`) Price(`) (%) Prestige Estates 106.95 100.05 -6.45 disappointing outlook from Hewlett-Packard Co. HDIL 119.90 112.50 -6.17 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 46.02 points, or Sobha Dev 296.15 278.65 -5.91 0.4%, to 12,984.69. The S&P 500 gained 5.80, or 0.4%, Kalpataru Power 115.05 109.10 -5.17 to 1,363.46, its highest since April 29. The Nasdaq D B REALTY 88.90 84.35 -5.12 Composite advanced 23.81 points, or 0.8%, to 2,956.98. U.S. data showed home prices climbed 0.7% in the final month of last year. And jobless claims last week held near a four-year low. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-30266000)
  • 3.                                   K E Y N O T E                                                                                                                                       INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H  India and Global Economic Calendar Countries / Friday Monday Tuesday Regions 24/Feb 27/Feb 28/Feb India Forex Reserves Data Weekly Supplement of RBI US Reuters/ Michigan Pending Home Sales (MoM) Durable Goods Orders Consumer Sentiment Index New Home Sales (Jan) Consumer Confidence Global UK GDP (YoY & QoQ) (Q3) Eurozone M3 Money Supply Japan's National Consumer (YoY) Price Index (YoY) UK Index of Services (3M) UK,s Mortgage Approvals Japan's National CPI Ex (Jan) Food, Energy (YoY) UK Total Business Germany,s Retail Sales Investment (YoY & QoQ) (MoM) (Q4) KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD. 4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25 • www.keynotecapitals.com Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day, unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.