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This provincially funded, three-storey school in southern Kelowna, will be built to LEED gold standards. It will
accommodate 750 students in grades 6-8, with a neighbourhood learning centre for child care and other
community programs.
Total Estimated Project Value: $38.1M
BRITISH COLUMBIA
MAJOR PROJECTS INVENTORY
SECOND QUARTER 2019
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
British Columbia Major Projects Inventory
Second Quarter 2019
Major Projects Inventory as of June 30, 2019.
Publisher: Workforce Innovation and Division Responsible for Skills Training, Ministry of Advanced
Education, Skills and Training.
Major projects data collection and highlights by Rene Corcoran, Research Contractor.
Report prepared by Workforce Innovation and Division Responsible for Skills Training staff.
While information sources are checked regularly, the Government of British Columbia and its contractors are
not responsible for any errors or omissions in this publication.
Statistics Canada data referenced in this report are reproduced and distributed on an "as is" basis with the
permission of Statistics Canada.
Copyright Province of British Columbia, 2019. All rights reserved.
About this Report
The objectives of this report are to analyze the updates to the Major Projects Inventory and to provide
additional context on changes to economic conditions and construction activities. These snapshots of current
economic activities are provided to help readers form expectations of the construction activities into the next
quarter. This report was prepared with the most current data from economic indicators.
Detailed project listings are available in a searchable Excel database: www.majorprojectsinventory.com
Please address report feedback to Man Wang, Labour Market Insights, Evaluation and Outreach Branch at:
Man.Wang@gov.bc.ca
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
British Columbia Major Projects Inventory 1
1. B.C. Major Projects Highlights – Q2 2019 5
2. B.C. Major Projects Inventory – Q2 2019 6
3. B.C. Economy 11
4. B.C. Demographics 16
5. Regional Summaries 17
6. Vancouver Island/Coast Region 18
7. Mainland/Southwest Region 22
8. Thompson - Okanagan Region 26
9. Kootenay Region 30
10. Cariboo Region 34
11. North Coast Region 38
12. Nechako Region 42
13. Northeast Region 46
Appendices 50
Appendix 1 ___________________________________________50
Appendix 2 ___________________________________________51
Appendix 3 ___________________________________________52
Appendix 4 ___________________________________________53
Appendix 5 ___________________________________________54
B.C. Government Contact 55
ABOUT THE MAJOR PROJECTS INVENTORY
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 1
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
The B.C. Major Projects Inventory (MPI), published quarterly, provides summary information on major projects
in the Province of British Columbia. The MPI includes a listing of private and public sector construction projects
in B.C. with an estimated capital cost of $15 million (CAD) or greater ($20 million or greater within the Lower
Mainland–Vancouver area).
Since 2019 Quarter 1, about 75% of all the existing projects received an update. New projects are added to the
list every quarter. Projects on hold for longer than two years are removed from the publication. Completed
projects are removed from the list in the following quarter.
Information collected in the MPI includes:
Project
identification
Project name, description, specific and regional location, geographic coordinates,
developer, contact information, project type, and project category
Project status
• Proposed, under construction, completed, or on hold
• Proposed stages
• Start and completion dates (if available)
• Update activity on project status
• Environmental assessment stage
Project size Estimated capital cost (if available)
Other project
characteristics
Construction type, construction subtype, public sector projects, clean energy
projects and/or green (i.e. LEED) building projects, Indigenous peoples’
agreements, the number of construction jobs and operating jobs.
While every effort is made to maintain a comprehensive project list that includes the most current publicly
available information, it is important to note that projects are constantly added and re-evaluated by industry. Not
all major projects are included in the MPI since projects need to be publicly announced in order to be included
and some project information is not published due to confidentiality requirements.
Sources of MPI Information
Information sources include print and electronic media, developers, architects, general contractors, and
government agencies (provincial, regional, municipal) as well as occasional site visits. Projects that are under
consideration or proposed to be funded by the provincial government may be listed where there is public
information about such projects. The description may indicate the status of provincial funding applications if
such information is publicly available.
Project Location
Projects are listed within the eight economic development regions: Vancouver Island/Coast,
Mainland/Southwest (Vancouver area), Thompson-Okanagan, Kootenay, Cariboo, North Coast, Nechako, and
Northeast. A map showing the location of the regions and main population centres is included in the regional
sections of the MPI. Projects are also listed according to the nearest population centre, which could be an
unincorporated centre or a local government (e.g., a municipality).
ABOUT THE MAJOR PROJECTS INVENTORY
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 2
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Estimated Cost
Cost estimates are general estimates from the information sources used and are not necessarily produced in a
consistent manner. The estimated costs are revised when new information is available. All estimates are recorded
in millions of dollars. All capital costs in this report are estimates and therefore subject to change. This is
particularly applicable in the early stages of a project proposal. Some capital costs are not included because they
were not available at press time or the developer or owner requested that no capital cost be shown.
Start and Finish Dates
Start and finish dates for proposed projects are based on estimates from the sources used, or in some cases,
reasonable assumptions. These dates are revised as new information becomes available.
Project Status
Projects are listed by status: proposed, under construction, completed, or on hold. Projects that are on hold for
longer than two years are normally removed from the publication (although retained in our database). Cancelled
projects are noted in the project description as “cancelled” and noted in a new field - Update Activity is identified
as “cancelled-removing next issue”. Cancelled projects and completed projects in this quarter will be removed
from the next issue of the MPI. Changes to project status are based on public information releases and/or
information supplied by project proponents. Cancelled projects are not included in reported totals in this report.
The following diagram illustrates the project stages listed in the database.
Technically, projects can have their status moved to “cancelled” at any stage except at the construction completed
stage.
Proposed
Any major projects in the public realm with an intention to proceed on the part of a credible proponent are added
to the database. Often major projects with an official news release or funding confirmed are added to the
inventory. Projects released on the official websites may be included but are subject to approval for inclusion by
the proponent. A review process for public projects is obtained by the project manager where the respective
ministry can decide to include or remove the proposed projects based on feasibility or funding available for the
project.
Proposed projects usually go through the four stages prior to the construction.
At the Preliminary/Feasibility stage, the feasibility of the project has been reviewed and the project's design
and planning are in process.
Preliminary
/Feasibility
Consultation/
Approvals
Permitting
Tender/ Pre-
construction
Construction
Started
Construction
Completed
Proposed Stages
ABOUT THE MAJOR PROJECTS INVENTORY
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 3
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Consultation/Approvals stage includes approvals for the zoning, environmental assessment, Indigenous
people and other public open house processes.
A proposed project will enter Permitting stage after obtaining the required approvals (i.e. environmental
assessment certificate, if indicated). This stage includes development and building permits, mines, water licenses
and other additional information required before moving into pre-construction stage.
Tender/Pre-construction stage includes construction tenders and building site preparation such as pre-
loading, demolition, and excavation. The pre-construction work such as excavation or site work may begin in
preparation for the construction permit.
Sustainable Building Design
Information on sustainable building design is identified as well as construction projects that are registered and
certified under a recognized green building rating system (e.g., Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design
(LEED®), Green Globes). LEED buildings provide an environmentally responsible standard for energy efficiency
in the home and workplace. This designation has been added to the project description to promote awareness of
the benefits of green buildings.
Indigenous Affiliation
Information related to Indigenous people’s involvement in projects is based on news releases and published
project information that is publicly available. The information is consistent with the information maintained in
the Indigenous Business and Investment Council Database (BCIBIC; www.bcibic.ca).
ABOUT THE MAJOR PROJECTS INVENTORY
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 4
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Project Category
Project Category lists the seven industrial categories:
a.) manufacturing;
b.) mining, oil and gas extraction;
c.) other services;
d.) public services;
e.) residential or commercial;
f.) transportation and warehousing; and,
g.) utilities (including sewage treatment).
Note that Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) projects are classified under mining, oil and gas extraction. This is
different from the North American Industry Classification System in which LNG is classified as being in the
transportation industry.
Environmental Assessment Stage
The stages of environmental assessment for each project undergoing review under the B.C. Environmental
Assessment Act are added to this issue.
Latitude and Longitude
Fields Latitude and longitude in the format of Degrees minutes seconds (DMS).
Telephone
Contact number of the project developer or representative.
Update Activity
Readers can search for and select projects based on the following seven criteria:
a.) new proposed projects;
b.) project started construction;
c.) cancelled-removing next issue;
d.) project added-under construction;
e.) project completed-removing next issue;
f.) project placed on hold; and,
g.) project removed from hold.
B.C. MAJOR PROJECTS INVENTORY – Q2 2019
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 5
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
1. B.C. Major Projects Highlights – Q2 2019
The estimated capital cost of all 975 major projects in the second quarter of 2019, totaling $350.14 billion (B),
has decreased from $355.30 B in the first quarter of 2019. Note that the total capital cost is the combined
estimated value of projects identified as proposed, construction started, completed, and on hold excluding
cancelled projects.
There are 24 new proposed projects over $15 million (M) with available capital cost estimates totaling $1.25 B
if all the projects were to proceed. The potential capital investment for new projects has decreased compared
to $2.50 B in the first quarter of 2019.
There are 29 projects that have started construction in B.C., representing an estimated capital cost of $1.76 B,
up from the $1.45 B reported in the first quarter of 2019. Twenty projects completed construction in the second
quarter of 2019, with an estimated capital cost of $1.45 B compared to $2.39 B in the first quarter of 2019.
There are 246 projects with public funding contributions with a total capital cost of $42.92 B. Funding for these
projects is allocated through municipal, provincial and/or federal levels of government, crown corporations,
public institutions and may include private partnerships. Of these, 141 projects worth a total of $20.39 B have
provincial government funding contributions.
There are 64 projects with a total estimated cost of $122.53 B involving Indigenous communities in capacities
such as project owners, project partners or benefit agreements.
Major projects currently under construction in B.C. totaled $115.17 B, up from the $114.83 B in the first quarter
of 2019. Proposed projects totaled $205.64 B, slightly up from $204.93 B in the previous quarter. Many major
project proposals listed are in very preliminary stages and are not approved for construction, therefore capital
cost estimates should be viewed with caution. Approximately $27.89 B of projects are judged to be ‘on hold’
for the time being, a decrease from the previous quarter value of $32.61 B.
All capital costs in this report are estimates and therefore subject to change. Some capital costs are not included
because they were not available at press time or the developer or owner requested that no capital cost be
shown.
Figure 1 B.C. MPI Highlights0
Number of total major projects975
Value of all projects$350.14 B
Number of total proposed projects519
Value of proposed projects$205.64 B
Number of projects under construction353
Value of projects under construction$115.17 B
Number of projects completed20
Value of projects completed$1.45 B
Number of new proposed projects24
Value of newly proposed projects$1.25 B
B.C. MAJOR PROJECTS INVENTORY – Q2 2019
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 6
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
2. B.C. Major Projects Inventory – Q2 2019
By Project Category, Construction Type or Subtype
Exhibit 2.1 Estimated Cost Trends in B.C. Major Projects, by Project Category ($ M)
Note: Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) projects are classified under mining, oil and gas extraction. This is different from the North
American Industry Classification System in which LNG is classified as being in the transportation industry.
Project Category 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2
Change
from the
previous
quarter
Change
from the
previous
year
Mining & Oil & Gas Extraction 187,837 178,669 173,035 117,125 116,530 -0.5% -38.0%
Residential/Commercial 70,377 71,478 71,581 72,382 72,614 0.3% 3.2%
Transportation & Warehousing 62,475 62,055 66,910 68,001 62,701 -7.8% 0.4%
Manufacturing 36,155 36,155 36,195 36,195 36,337 0.4% 0.5%
Utilities (incl sewage treatment) 37,799 37,958 36,005 36,237 35,916 -0.9% -5.0%
Public Services 10,408 9,970 13,721 13,818 14,403 4.2% 38.4%
Other Services 11,213 11,229 11,539 11,539 11,641 0.9% 3.8%
Grand Total 416,264 407,514 408,986 355,297 350,142 -1.5% -15.9%
Note: chart excludes mining oil & gas extraction and other services projects
The total estimated capital cost of major projects in B.C was down in the second quarter of 2019 (Q2),
totalling $350.14 B, representing a 1.5% decrease over the previous quarter and a 15.9% decrease compared
to one year earlier.
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
2009Q2
2009Q3
2009Q4
2010Q1
2010Q2
2010Q3
2010Q4
2011Q1
2011Q2
2011Q3
2011Q4
2012Q1
2012Q2
2012Q3
2012Q4
2013Q1
2013Q2
2013Q3
2013Q4
2014Q1
2014Q2
2014Q3
2014Q4
2015Q1
2015Q2
2015Q3
2015Q4
2016Q1
2016Q2
2016Q3
2016Q4
2017Q1
2017Q2
2017Q3
2017Q4
2018Q1
2018Q2
2018Q3
2018Q4
2019Q1
2019Q2
Manufacturing Public Services
Residential/Commercial Transportation & Warehousing
Utilities
B.C. MAJOR PROJECTS INVENTORY – Q2 2019
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 7
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Exhibit 2.2 Major Projects Status in B.C., by Construction Subtype ($ M)
Note: See Appendix 4 for the data underlying this chart.
• In the second quarter of 2019, Oil and Gas projects (including LNG) represent 36% percent of the total
estimated capital cost in the MPI.
• Residential and Commercial development projects comprise 576 of the 975 projects listed in the second
quarter of 2019, representing a total estimated capital cost of $84.5 B.
• Residential projects are concentrated in the Mainland/Southwest region (75 percent), Vancouver Island
(15.1 percent), and Thompson-Okanagan (9.3 percent).
• Utility projects continue to be a significant driver for the province. The total cost of utilities projects is
nearly $36 B while the total cost of projects which are currently underway is over $16 B.
• There are 53 mining projects listed in the MPI with a total estimated value of $35.3 B.
• The top categories for new projects added to the MPI are Education ($618 M), Primarily Residential –
Single Use ($386 M), and Other Manufacturing ($142 M).
• Public Infrastructure - The value of public funding contributions was $42.9 B for 246 projects – across
all levels of government. Of these, 141 projects worth a total of $20.4 B have provincial government
funding contributions. It is important to note that this figure reflects the total cost, not just the provincial
contribution.
0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000
Office
Warehousing & Other…
Government & Other…
Retail
Health
Education
Other Infrastructure
Roads & Highways
Recreation
Accommodation
Mixed use
Residential
Manufacturing
Mining
Utilities
Oil & Gas
ESTIMATED CAPITAL COST ($ MILLION)
Completed Construction started On hold Proposed
$127 B
B.C. MAJOR PROJECTS INVENTORY – Q2 2019
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 8
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Exhibit 2.3 Estimated Cost of Regional Major Projects, by Construction Type and Subtype ($ M)
Construction
Type & Subtype
Vancouver
Island/Coast
Mainland/
Southwest
Thompson-
Okanagan
Kootenay Cariboo
North
Coast
Nechako Northeast Total
Residential
Subtotal
12,250 28,531 9,485 80 0 0 100 0 50,446
Primarily
residential -
Single use
8,450 19,172 8,035 80 0 0 100 0 35,837
Residential
Mixed Use
3,800 9,359 1,450 0 0 0 0 0 14,609
Commercial
Subtotal
3,719 17,871 5,654 4,902 1,322 46 0 540 34,054
Commercial
Mixed Use
200 2,690 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,890
Accommodation 2,266 4,851 3,299 2,302 940 0 0 0 13,658
Recreation 220 6,575 2,210 2,600 0 16 0 0 11,621
Retail 923 1,960 115 0 0 0 0 500 3,498
Office 70 472 0 0 0 0 0 0 542
Warehousing 0 265 0 0 0 0 0 0 265
Other
Commercial
40 1,058 30 0 382 30 0 40 1,580
Industrial
Subtotal
2,130 2,517 1,069 2,936 7,231 157,161 6,328 19,745 199,117
Mining 130 160 1,039 2,936 2,646 17,991 6,328 4,101 35,331
Oil & Gas 2,000 2,125 0 0 4,570 107,110 0 11,644 127,449
Manufacturing -
Wood Products
0 0 30 0 0 60 0 0 90
Manufacturing -
Petrochemical
0 0 0 0 0 32,000 0 4,000 36,000
Other
Manufacturing
0 232 0 0 15 0 0 0 247
Institutional &
Government
Subtotal
3,789 7,980 1,638 76 289 448 79 124 14,423
Education 2,120 3,249 488 18 44 0 29 31 5,979
Health 34 4,478 1,110 58 245 448 50 50 6,473
Government
buildings
1,615 253 40 0 0 0 0 43 1,951
Other
Institutional &
Government
20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20
Infrastructure
Subtotal
8,652 16,392 2,942 974 1,560 4,543 551 16,488 52,102
Utilities 6,716 5,172 1,083 974 1,090 3,939 506 16,436 35,916
Roads &
Highways
306 5,822 1,709 0 470 69 45 52 8,473
Other
Transportation
1,630 5,398 150 0 0 535 0 0 7,713
Grand Total 30,540 73,291 20,788 8,968 10,402 162,198 7,058 36,897 350,142
B.C. MAJOR PROJECTS INVENTORY – Q2 2019
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 9
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
By Project Status
Exhibit 2.4 Estimated Cost Trends in B.C. Major Projects, by Project Status ($ M)
Status 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2
Change
from the
previous
quarter
Change
from the
previous
year
Proposed 311,674 301,051 260,341 205,769 205,635 -0.1% -34.0%
Construction started 73,672 74,406 115,366 114,825 115,165 0.3% 56.3%
Completed 989 748 2,214 2,393 1452 -39.3% 46.8%
On hold 29,929 31,309 31,065 32,310 27,890 -13.7% -6.8%
Grand Total 416,264 407,514 408,986 355,297 350,142 -1.5% -15.9%
The value of completed projects decreased by 39.3% to $1.45 B in Q2 2019 over the previous quarter. Notable
projects completed were Interior Heart and Surgical Centre ($381 M) in Kelowna and Narrows Inlet Hydro
Project ($210 M) in Sechelt.
Exhibit 2.5 Summary of B.C. Major Projects (by Project Status)
Estimated Capital
Cost ($M)
Percentage of
Total
Number of
Projects
Average Project
Value ($ M)
Average Years in
Inventory
Proposed 205,635 59% 519 445 5.5
Preliminary/Feasibility 51,594 15% 128 491 4.4
Consultation/Approvals 71,882 21% 229 346 6.1
Permitting 51,226 15% 44 1348 4.8
Tender/Preconstruction 13,853 4% 70 207 3.3
Stage Unknown 17,080 5% 48 388 9.0
On hold 27,890 8% 54 558 11.5
Construction started 115,165 33% 382 308 6.2
Completed 1452 0% 20 73 4.9
Total 350,142 100% 975 386 6.1
Note: Average project value is the average of those projects for which there is a cost estimate. An average year in inventory is the average
time span between the projects as first recorded in the MPI and the current period. Regional detail is provided in Exhibit 2.6.
B.C. MAJOR PROJECTS INVENTORY – Q2 2019
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 10
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Exhibit 2.6 Estimated Cost of Regional Major Projects, by Project Status ($ M)
Development Region Proposed Started Completed On Hold Total
Change
from the
previous
quarter
Change
from the
previous
year
1. Vancouver Island/Coast 16,449 11,838 100 2,153 30,540 -1.9% -49.5%
2. Mainland/Southwest 41,898 30,098 933 362 73,291 -6.1% 6.7%
3. Thompson-Okanagan 4,648 14,383 419 1,338 20,788 1.1% -2.3%
4. Kootenay 2,647 3,901 0 2,420 8,968 0.2% 1.5%
5. Cariboo 9,588 514 0 300 10,402 2.4% 1.0%
6. North Coast 113,996 36221 0 11,981 162,198 0.0% -19.9%
7. Nechako 4,522 201 0 2,335 7,058 0.0% 1.2%
8. Northeast 11,887 18,009 0 7,001 36,897 -0.8% -0.9%
Total 205,635 115,165 1452 27,890 350,142 -1.5% -15.9%
Exhibit 2.7 Estimated Cost Trends in B.C. Major Projects ($ M)
-
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
500,000
2009Q2
2009Q4
2010Q2
2010Q4
2011Q2
2011Q4
2012Q2
2012Q4
2013Q2
2013Q4
2014Q2
2014Q4
2015Q2
2015Q4
2016Q2
2016Q4
2017Q2
2017Q4
2018Q2
2018Q4
2019Q2
Proposed Construction Started Completed On Hold
Started
Proposed
B.C. ECONOMY
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 11
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
3. B.C. Economy
Exhibit 3.1 Economic Activity
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Real GDP +2.4 % +2.3 % +2.1 % +2.0 % +2.0%
Source: B.C. Budget and Fiscal Plan 2019/20 – 2021/22
Most Recent Period Amount
Change
from
previous
month
Change
from
previous
year
Data Type
Retail trade ($ M) May-19 7,216 -0.2% -0.1% seasonally adjusted
Manufacturing sales ($ M) Aug-19 4,267 -1.4% -7.7% seasonally adjusted
Residential - building permits ($ M) Jul-19 867 -6.1% -17.8% seasonally adjusted
Residential - housing starts (units) Aug-19 36,862 -27.5% -18.4%
seasonally adjusted at
annual rates
Non-Residential building permits ($ M) Jul-19 603 48.1% 63.0% seasonally adjusted
Exports - all merchandise ($ M) Jul-19 3,628 -5% -7.6% seasonally adjusted
Prices
B.C. Consumer price index (2002=100) Jul-19 132.4 0.1% 3.3% not seasonally adjusted
Exchange rate Aug-19 US 0.75 -1.3% -1.8% not seasonally adjusted
Average 5-year residential mortgage
rate
Aug-19 4.08% -0.06p.p. -0.35p.p. not seasonally adjusted
Labour Market
Employment Aug-19 2,561,600 -0.3% 3.0% seasonally adjusted
Unemployment rate Aug-19 5.0% 0.6p.p. -0.1p.p. seasonally adjusted
Participation rate Aug-19 65.6% 0.1p.p. 0.7p.p. seasonally adjusted
Average weekly earnings Aug-19 1013.11 0.7% 3.2% seasonally adjusted
Source: Statistics Canada & Bank of Canada
Note: p.p. is percentage point, used here to show the difference between two percentage rates.
B.C. ECONOMY
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 12
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Exhibit 3.2 Key Commodity Prices
• The forestry price index increased by 5.4% in September and it is still lower (-14.8%) than a year ago.
• Natural gas dropped to US$2.22/mm BTU, 26 percent decrease from the previous year.
• Oil (WTI) decreased 5% to US$54.81/bbl in September, down by 22% from a year ago.
• Copper remained unchanged compared to August 2019 and down by 5% from a year ago.
• Gold increased by 1% in August compared to the previous month and is up greatly by 26% from a year
ago.
• Metallurgical coal (3 month moving average) decreased by 9.7% in September, and down 15.6% from a
year ago.
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Sep-14
Dec-14
Mar-15
Jun-15
Sep-15
Dec-15
Mar-16
Jun-16
Sep-16
Dec-16
Mar-17
Jun-17
Sep-17
Dec-17
Mar-18
Jun-18
Sep-18
Dec-18
Mar-19
Jun-19
Sep-19
US$ Index (Jan
2013=100)
Natural Gas (Henry Hub) Forestry Oil (WTI)
Source: Forestry from Bank of Canada, Natural Gas and Oil from U.S. Energy Information
Administration
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Sep-14
Dec-14
Mar-15
Jun-15
Sep-15
Dec-15
Mar-16
Jun-16
Sep-16
Dec-16
Mar-17
Jun-17
Sep-17
Dec-17
Mar-18
Jun-18
Sep-18
Dec-18
Mar-19
Jun-19
Sep-19
US$ Index (Jan
2013=100)
Copper Met. Coal (3 mth moving average) Gold
Source: B.C. Ministry of Energy and Mines, monthly average of daily values, Met. Coal: quarterly average to March 2016, 3-
month moving average after March 2016
B.C. ECONOMY
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 13
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Exhibit 3.3 Value of Building Permits
Source: Statistics Canada
During July, an average of $1.4 billion worth of building permits was issued in B.C. based on 3-month
moving average, 24.9% decrease compared to the previous month and 7% decrease compared to the
same month in the previous year. This drop is largely driven by the one-time surge in April due to
changes in regulation getting out of the calculation of the 3-month moving average. Residential building
permits value increased by 48.1% from June 2019 and by 63% compared to the same month in the
previous year.
Exhibit 3.4 Investment in Non-Residential Building Construction
Source: Statistics Canada
B.C. spending in non-residential building construction was increased by 0.5% from the previous month and
up 36.5% from the previous year. The current level of non-residential building investment in July 2019 was
$772.6 M. Note that this is building investment only and does not include infrastructure investment.
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
Jul-14 Jul-15 Jul-16 Jul-17 Jul-18 Jul-19
MonthlyValue($'000)
SeasonallyAdjusted
Non-residential Residential
6-months moving average (Non-residential) 6-months moving average (Residential)
-
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
2015-01
2015-04
2015-07
2015-10
2016-01
2016-04
2016-07
2016-10
2017-01
2017-04
2017-07
2017-10
2018-01
2018-04
2018-07
2018-10
2019-01
2019-04
2019-07
CurrentDollars($'000)
(seasonallyadjusted)Thousands
Total non-residential Total industrial Total commercial Total institutional and governmental
B.C. ECONOMY
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 14
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Exhibit 3.5 B.C. Housing Starts
Source: Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC)
Note: All housing starts are the sum of the major centres with populations more than 10,000.
B.C.’s seasonally adjusted annualized housing starts increased to 53,352 units in May (8.4% increase from April).
This increase is driven by increase in apartments since housing starts declined for other types of residences. The
6-month moving average of the series increased by 6.6% from the previous month and by 4.3% from a year ago.
Exhibit 3.6 B.C. Construction Industry Employment
Source: Statistics Canada; North American Industry Classification System (NAICS 23), not seasonally adjusted
Employment levels in construction kept growing since May 2019. Employment month-over-month was
unchanged while labour force decreased 0.5%. The unemployment rate in B.C.’s construction industry
decreased 0.5 percentage points to the historical low: 2.1%.
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
55,000
60,000
65,000
Aug-14 Aug-15 Aug-16 Aug-17 Aug-18 Aug-19
NumberofStarts
(monthly,seasonallyadjustedatannual
rates)
Actual Housing Starts 6-month moving average
2
4
6
8
10
12
50
100
150
200
250
300
Aug-14 Aug-15 Aug-16 Aug-17 Aug-18 Aug-19
UnemploymentRate
(%,3-mthmovingaverage)
LabourForce&Employment
('000,3-mthmovingaverage)
Labour Force Employment Unemployment Rate ( Right Scale)
B.C. ECONOMY
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 15
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Exhibit 3.7 Manufacturing Sales
Source: Statistic Canada
In August, B.C.’s manufacturing sales dropped 1.4%, down to $4.3 B. In comparison to August 2018, sales
declined 7.7%.
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
180
190
200
Aug-14
Nov-14
Feb-15
May-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Feb-16
May-16
Aug-16
Nov-16
Feb-17
May-17
Aug-17
Nov-17
Feb-18
May-18
Aug-18
Nov-18
Feb-19
May-19
Aug-19
Manufacturing Sales $B
(seasonally adjusted)
Employment '000s
(seasonally adjusted)
Manufacturing Employment Manufacturing Sales (right)
Source: Statistics Canada. CANSIM Tables 16-10-0048-
B.C. DEMOGRAPHICS
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 16
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
4. B.C. Demographics
Exhibit 4.1 Population by Age Group
Source: BC Stats
B.C.’s population is estimated to be 4.9 M in 2018. Over the next 5 years, the population is projected to grow
1.2% per year.
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041
EstimatedPopulation('000s)
0 to 4 5 to 17 18 to 24 25 to 44 45 to 64 65+
45 to 64
65+
25 to 44
5 to 17
18 to 28
0 to 4
REGIONAL SUMMARIES
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 17
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
5. Regional Summaries
Regional Labour Market Statistics – September 2019
Note: Employment growth is over the previous 12 months. Data for B.C. at the provincial level is seasonally adjusted. Data for the regions
is not seasonally adjusted and is based on 3-month moving averages. This means that the data at the provincial level is not directly
comparable to the regional data, but the data for each region is directly comparable with the other regions.
Source: Statistics Canada
Employment: 43,100
Employment Growth 0.7%
Unemployment Rate: 4.9%
Employment: 396,700
Employment Growth: -2.4%
Unemployment Rate: 4.1%
Employment: 82,000
Employment Growth: 0.9%
Unemployment Rate: 6.8%
Employment:
284,600
Employment
Growth: 9.1%
Unemployment
Rate: 4.5%
British Columbia
Employment: 2,553,200
Employment Growth: 1.3%
Unemployment Rate: 4.8%
Labour Force: 2,682,300
Employment: 39,400
Employment Growth: -1.7%
Unemployment Rate: 6.2%
Employment: 1,663,400
Employment Growth: 3.4%
Unemployment Rate: 4.9%
Employment:
68,800
Employment
Growth: -6.6%
Unemployment
Rate: 6.6%
VANCOUVER ISLAND/COAST REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 18
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
6. Vancouver Island/Coast Region
Key Economic Indicators
Exhibit 6.1 Population Growth 2017 - 2018
Source: BC Stats
Exhibit 6.2 Value of Non-Residential Building Permits
Source: BC Stats
0.7% 0.9%
4.1%
1.0%
0.4%
4.6%
-4.0%
-3.0%
-2.0%
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
0 to 19 years 20 to 64 years 65 years and over
BC Vancouver Island and Coast
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000
200,000
Q22014
Q42014
Q22015
Q32015
Q42015
Q12016
Q22016
Q32016
Q42016
Q12017
Q22017
Q32017
Q42017
Q12018
Q22018
Q32018
Q42018
Q12019
Q22019
CurrentDollars($'000)
Industrial Commercial Institutional & Governmental Total Non-Residential
VANCOUVER ISLAND/COAST REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 19
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Exhibit 6.3 Value of Residential Building Permits
Source: BC Stats
Exhibit 6.4 Housing Starts
Source: CMHC
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
Q22014
Q42014
Q22015
Q32015
Q42015
Q12016
Q22016
Q32016
Q42016
Q12017
Q22017
Q32017
Q42017
Q12018
Q22018
Q32018
Q42018
Q12019
Q22019
CurrentDollars($,'000)
1,887
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Q2-2015
Q3-2015
Q4-2015
Q1-2016
Q3-2016
Q3-2016
Q4-2016
Q1-2017
Q2-2017
Q3-2017
Q4-2017
Q1-2018
Q2-2018
Q3-2018
Q4-2018
Q1-2019
Q2-2019
NumberofHousingStarts
VANCOUVER ISLAND/COAST REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 20
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Trends in Major Projects
Exhibit 6.5 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects ($ M)
Vancouver Island/Coast Region
• In Q2 2019, the Vancouver Island/Coast region has a total of 152 major projects with a combined value of
$30.5 B.
• There are 5 newly proposed projects added to the MPI this quarter West Langford Elementary and Middle
School in Langford ($89 M), Victoria High School Upgrades ($80 M), Ucluelet Secondary School in Alberni
($33 M), Hammond Bay Elementary in Nanaimo-Ladysmith ($16 M) and the Haro Condominiums in Victoria.
• Sandown Commons Retail Centre in North Saanich ($40 M), Jukebox Lofts ($35 M) and BlueSky Victoria
Condominiums ($25 M) in Victoria were completed in this quarter.
• Townley Lodge Redevelopment in Victoria ($18 M) began construction in this quarter.
Exhibit 6.6 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects, by Project Status ($M)
Vancouver Island/Coast Region
Status 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2
Change from
the previous
quarter
Change from
the previous
year
Proposed 45,685 45,157 45,317 16,152 16,449 1.8% -64.0%
Construction started 12,557 13,205 12,834 11,923 11,838 -0.7% -5.7%
Completed 204 68 195 985 100 -89.8% -51.0%
On hold 2,073 2,073 2,223 2,073 2,153 3.9% 3.9%
Grand Total 60,519 60,503 60,569 31,133 30,540 -1.9% -49.5%
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
2009Q2
2009Q3
2009Q4
2010Q1
2010Q2
2010Q3
2010Q4
2011Q1
2011Q2
2011Q3
2011Q4
2012Q1
2012Q2
2012Q3
2012Q4
2013Q1
2013Q2
2013Q3
2013Q4
2014Q1
2014Q2
2014Q3
2014Q4
2015Q1
2015Q2
2015Q3
2015Q4
2016Q1
2016Q2
2016Q3
2016Q4
2017Q1
2017Q2
2017Q3
2017Q4
2018Q1
2018Q2
2018Q3
2018Q4
2019Q1
2019Q2
Proposed Construction Started Completed On Hold
Started
Proposed
VANCOUVER ISLAND/COAST REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 21
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Exhibit 6.7 Summary of Major Projects (by Project Status)
Vancouver Island/Coast Region
Estimated Capital
Cost ($ million)
Percentage of
Total
Number of
Projects
Average Project
Value ($ million)
Average Year in
Inventory
Proposed 16,449 54% 81 222 6.2
Preliminary/Feasibility 3,565 12% 24 178 5.4
Consultation/Approvals 5,974 20% 36 181 6.4
Permitting 2643 9% 8 330 4.7
Tender/Preconstruction 101 0% 5 20 3.1
Stage Unknown 4166 14% 8 521 11.5
On hold 2,153 7% 11 215 11.2
Construction started 11,838 39% 57 211 7.8
Completed 100 0% 3 33 4.8
Total 30,540 100% 152 214 7.2
Notes: Average project value is the average of those projects for which there is a cost estimate. Average number of years in inventory is the
average time span between the entry of the projects in the MPI and the current period.
Exhibit 6.8 Major Projects Status, by Construction Subtype
Vancouver Island/Coast Region
Note: Oil and Gas Extraction includes LNG
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000
Office
Warehousing & Other Commercial
Government & Other Institutional
Retail
Health
Education
Other Infrastructure
Roads & Highways
Recreation
Accommodation
Mixed use
Residential
Manufacturing
Mining
Utilities
Oil & Gas
ESTIMATED CAPITAL COST ($ MILLION)
Completed Construction started On hold Proposed
MAINLAND/SOUTHWEST REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 22
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
7. Mainland/Southwest Region
Key Economic Indicators
Exhibit 7.1 Population Growth 2017 - 2018
Source: BC Stats
Exhibit 7.2 Value of Non-Residential Building Permits
Source: BC Stats
0.7% 0.9%
4.1%
0.6% 1.2%
3.9%
-4.0%
-3.0%
-2.0%
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
0 to 19 years 20 to 64 years 65 years and over
BC Mainland-Southwest
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
1,600,000
1,800,000
2,000,000
Q22015
Q32015
Q42015
Q12016
Q22016
Q32016
Q42016
Q12017
Q22017
Q32017
Q42017
Q12018
Q22018
Q32018
Q42018
Q12019
Q22019
CurrentDollars($'000)
Industrial Commercial Institutional & Governmental Total Non-Residential
MAINLAND/SOUTHWEST REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 23
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Exhibit 7.3 Value of Residential Building Permits
Source: BC Stats
Exhibit 7.4 Housing Starts
Source: CMHC
Note: The housing starts is the sum of the major centres: Abbotsford-Mission, Chilliwack, Squamish, and Vancouver.
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
Q22015
Q32015
Q42015
Q12016
Q22016
Q32016
Q42016
Q12017
Q22017
Q32017
Q42017
Q12018
Q22018
Q32018
Q42018
Q12019
Q22019
CurrentDollars($'000)
10,849
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
Q2-2015
Q3-2015
Q4-2015
Q1-2016
Q2-2016
Q3-2016
Q4-2016
Q1-2017
Q2-2017
Q3-2017
Q4-2017
Q1-2018
Q2-2018
Q3-2018
Q4-2018
Q1-2019
Q2-2019
NumberofHousingStarts
MAINLAND/SOUTHWEST REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 24
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Trends in Major Projects
Exhibit 7.5 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects ($M)
Mainland/Southwest Region
• In Q2 2019, the Mainland/Southwest region has a total of 542 major projects with a combined value of
$73.3 B, representing a 6.1% decrease over the previous quarter but still a 6.7% increase compared to one
year earlier.
• There are 15 newly proposed projects added to the MPI this quarter. The top three largest projects are DELTA
SCM Grinding Facility ($142 M) and UBC’s Nursing and Kinesiology Building ($134 M) and Mathematics
Building replacement ($118 M). See more new projects in Appendix 1.
• Fifteen major projects were completed in this quarter, such as Narrows Inlet Hydro Project in Sechelt ($210
M), Ironworks Commercial Development in Vancouver ($90 M) and UBC - Biological Sciences Building
addition and renovation ($88 M). See more completed projects in Appendix 3.
• Twenty-five major projects began construction in this quarter with total capital costs of $1.58 B. The top three
largest projects are Annacis Island Wastewater Treatment Plant upgrades ($550 M), Burnaby Gilmore Place
mixed-use development ($100 M), and Grandview Heights Secondary School ($93 M). See more projects
underway in Appendix 2.
Exhibit 7.6 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects, by Project Status ($ M)
Mainland/Southwest Region
Status 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2
Change
from the
previous
quarter
Change from
the previous
year
Proposed 38,912 39,725 46,522 47,607 41,898 -12.0% 7.7%
Construction started 28,283 28,515 28,725 29,415 30,098 2.3% 6.4%
Completed 600 451 384 643 933 45.1% 55.5%
On hold 892 892 467 362 362 0.0% -59.4%
Grand Total 68,687 69,583 76,098 78,027 73,291 -6.1% 6.7%
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
2009Q2
2009Q3
2009Q4
2010Q1
2010Q2
2010Q3
2010Q4
2011Q1
2011Q2
2011Q3
2011Q4
2012Q1
2012Q2
2012Q3
2012Q4
2013Q1
2013Q2
2013Q3
2013Q4
2014Q1
2014Q2
2014Q3
2014Q4
2015Q1
2015Q2
2015Q3
2015Q4
2016Q1
2016Q2
2016Q3
2016Q4
2017Q1
2017Q2
2017Q3
2017Q4
2018Q1
2018Q2
2018Q3
2018Q4
2019Q1
2019Q2
Proposed Construction Started Completed On Hold
Started
Proposed
MAINLAND/SOUTHWEST REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 25
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Exhibit 7.8 Major Projects Status, by Construction Subtype
Mainland/Southwest Region
Note: Oil and Gas Extraction includes LNG
0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000
Office
Warehousing & Other…
Government & Other Institutional
Retail
Health
Education
Other Infrastructure
Roads & Highways
Recreation
Accommodation
Mixed use
Residential
Manufacturing
Mining
Utilities
Oil & Gas
ESTIMATED CAPITAL COST ($ MILLION)
Completed Construction started On hold Proposed
Exhibit 7.7 Summary of Major Projects (by Project Status)
Mainland/Southwest Region
Estimated Capital
Cost ($ million)
Percentage of
Total
Number of
Projects
Average Project
Value ($ million)
Average Year in
Inventory
Proposed 41,898 57% 283 165 4.4
Preliminary/Feasibility 10,668 15% 63 201 3.9
Consultation/Approvals 13,747 19% 121 128 4.8
Permitting 4,351 6% 22 218 3.4
Tender/Preconstruction 7,213 10% 56 134 3.0
Stage Unknown 5,919 8% 21 296 8.3
On Hold 362 0% 9 52 10.0
Construction Started 30,098 41% 233 133 4.7
Completed 933 1% 15 62 4.8
Total 73,291 100% 540 146 4.6
Notes: Average project value is the average of those projects for which there is a cost estimate. Average number of years in inventory is
the average time span between the entry of the projects in the MPI and the current period.
THOMPSON - OKANAGAN REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 26
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
8. Thompson - Okanagan Region
Key Economic Indicators
Exhibit 8.1 Population Growth 2017 - 2018
Source: BC Stats
Exhibit 8.2 Value of Non-Residential Building Permits
Source: BC Stats
0.7%
0.9%
4.1%
1.3%
0.9%
3.7%
-4.0%
-3.0%
-2.0%
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
0 to 19 years 20 to 64 years 65 years and over
BC Thompson-Okanagan
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
Q22015
Q32015
Q42015
Q12016
Q22016
Q32016
Q42016
Q12017
Q22017
Q32017
Q42017
Q12018
Q22018
Q32018
Q42018
Q12019
Q22019
CurretnDollars($'000)
Industrial Commercial Institutional & Governmental Total Non-Residential
THOMPSON - OKANAGAN REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 27
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Exhibit 8.3 Value of Residential Building Permits
Source: BC Stats
Exhibit 8.4 Housing Starts
Source: CMHC
Note: The housing starts is the sum of the major centres: Cranbrook, Kamloops, Kelowna, Penticton, Salmon Arm, Summerland, and
Vernon.
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
Q22015
Q32015
Q42015
Q12016
Q22016
Q32016
Q42016
Q12017
Q22017
Q32017
Q42017
Q12018
Q22018
Q32018
Q42018
Q12019
Q22019
CurretnDollars($'000)
987
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
Q2-2015
Q3-2015
Q4-2015
Q1-2016
Q2-2016
Q3-2016
Q4-2016
Q1-2017
Q2-2017
Q3-2017
Q4-2017
Q1-2018
Q2-2018
Q3-2018
Q4-2018
Q1-2019
Q2-2019
NumberofHousingStarts
THOMPSON - OKANAGAN REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 28
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Trends in Major Projects
Exhibit 8.5 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects ($M)
Thompson-Okanagan Region
• In Q2 2019, the Thompson-Okanagan region has a total of 110 major projects with a combined value of
$20.8 B, a 1.1% increase from previous quarter and 2.3% declined compared to one year earlier.
• There are two newly proposed projects added to the MPI this quarter: UBC Okanagan - Industrial Scale
Engineering Laboratory Expansion and Interdisciplinary Collaboration & Innovation Building ($130 M) in
Kelowna,
• Interior Heart and Surgical Centre in Kelowna ($381 M) and Canyon Falls Middle (formerly Okanagan Mission
Junior Middle) ($38 M) were completed in this quarter.
• Highway 1 Illecillewaet four laning in Revelstoke ($85 M) and UBC Okanagan ’s Skeena Residence ($25 M) and
Nechako Residence ($51M) in Kelowna began construction in this quarter.
Exhibit 8.6 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects, by Project Status ($ M)
Thompson-Okanagan Region
Status 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2
Change from
the previous
quarter
Change from
the previous
year
Proposed 5,210 4,276 4,533 4,581 4,648 1.5% -10.8%
Construction started 14,438 14,387 14,516 14,641 14,383 -1.8% -0.4%
Completed 0 90 183 0 419 0.0% 0.0%
On hold 1,638 2,621 1,338 1,338 1,338 0.0% -18.3%
Grand Total 21,286 21,374 20,570 20,560 20,788 1.1% -2.3%
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
2009Q2
2009Q3
2009Q4
2010Q1
2010Q2
2010Q3
2010Q4
2011Q1
2011Q2
2011Q3
2011Q4
2012Q1
2012Q2
2012Q3
2012Q4
2013Q1
2013Q2
2013Q3
2013Q4
2014Q1
2014Q2
2014Q3
2014Q4
2015Q1
2015Q2
2015Q3
2015Q4
2016Q1
2016Q2
2016Q3
2016Q4
2017Q1
2017Q2
2017Q3
2017Q4
2018Q1
2018Q2
2018Q3
2018Q4
2019Q1
2019Q2
Proposed Construction Started Completed On Hold
Started
Proposed
THOMPSON - OKANAGAN REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 29
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Exhibit 8.8 Major Projects Status, by Construction Subtype
Thompson-Okanagan Region
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000
Office
Warehousing & Other Commercial
Government & Other Institutional
Retail
Health
Education
Other Infrastructure
Roads & Highways
Recreation
Accommodation
Mixed use
Residential
Manufacturing
Mining
Utilities
Oil & Gas
ESTIMATED CAPITAL COST ($ MILLION)
Completed Construction started On hold Proposed
Exhibit 8.7 Summary of Major Projects (by Project Status)
Thompson-Okanagan Region
Estimated Capital
Cost ($ million)
Percentage of
Total
Number of
Projects
Average Project
Value ($ million)
Average Year in
Inventory
Proposed 4,648 22% 44 116 6.5
Preliminary/Feasibility 845 4% 14 77 4.3
Consultation/Approvals 2,647 13% 15 176 8.3
Permitting 432 2% 5 86 7.4
Tender/Preconstruction 385 2% 3 128 1.7
Stage Unknown 339 2% 7 57 8.3
On hold 1,338 6% 6 223 12.6
Construction started 14,383 69% 58 252 9.2
Completed 419 2% 2 210 5.7
Total 20,788 100% 110 198 8.2
Notes: Average project value is the average of those projects for which there is a cost estimate. Average number of years in inventory is the
average time span between the entry of the projects in the MPI and the current period.
KOOTENAY REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 30
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
9. Kootenay Region
Key Economic Indicators
Exhibit 9.1 Population Growth 2017 - 2018
Source: BC Stats
Exhibit 9.2 Value of Non-Residential Building Permits
Source: BC Stats
0.7% 0.9%
4.1%
0.3%
0.3%
3.5%
-4.0%
-3.0%
-2.0%
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
0 to 19 years 20 to 64 years 65 years and over
BC Kootenay
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
Q22015
Q32015
Q42015
Q12016
Q22016
Q32016
Q42016
Q12017
Q22017
Q32017
Q42017
Q12018
Q22018
Q32018
Q42018
Q12019
Q22019
CurrentDollars($,'000)
Industrial Commercial Institutional & Governmental Total Non-Residential
KOOTENAY REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 31
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Exhibit 9.3 Value of Residential Building Permits
Source: BC Stats
Exhibit 9.4 Housing Starts - Nelson
Source: CMHC
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000 Q22015
Q32015
Q42015
Q12016
Q22016
Q32016
Q42016
Q12017
Q22017
Q32017
Q42017
Q12018
Q22018
Q32018
Q42018
Q12019
Q22019
CurrentDollars($,'000)
51
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Q2-2015
Q3-2015
Q4-2015
Q1-2016
Q2-2016
Q3-2016
Q4-2016
Q1-2017
Q2-2017
Q3-2017
Q4-2017
Q1-2018
Q2-2018
Q3-2018
Q4-2018
Q1-2019
Q2-2019
NumberofHousingStarts
KOOTENAY REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 32
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Trends in Major Projects
Exhibit 9.5 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects ($M)
Kootenay Region
• In Q2 2019, the Kootenay region had a total of 29 major projects with nearly $9 B combined value, with a slight
increase (0.2%) compared to the previous quarter, which represents a 1.5% increase compared to one year
earlier.
• Newly proposed College of the Rockies student housing ($18 M) in Cranbrook is added to the MPI this quarter.
Exhibit 9.6 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects, by Project Status ($M)
Kootenay Region
Status 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2
Change from the
previous quarter
Change from the
previous year
Proposed
2,779 2,590 2,590 2,629 2,647
0.7% -4.7%
Construction
started 3,634 3,623 3,601 3,901 3,901
0.0% 7.3%
Completed
- 28 22 - -
0.0% 0.0%
On hold
2,420 2,592 2,420 2,420 2,420
0.0% 0.0%
Grand Total
8,833 8,833 8,633 8,950 8,968
0.2% 1.5%
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
2009Q2
2009Q3
2009Q4
2010Q1
2010Q2
2010Q3
2010Q4
2011Q1
2011Q2
2011Q3
2011Q4
2012Q1
2012Q2
2012Q3
2012Q4
2013Q1
2013Q2
2013Q3
2013Q4
2014Q1
2014Q2
2014Q3
2014Q4
2015Q1
2015Q2
2015Q3
2015Q4
2016Q1
2016Q2
2016Q3
2016Q4
2017Q1
2017Q2
2017Q3
2017Q4
2018Q1
2018Q2
2018Q3
2018Q4
2019Q1
2019Q2
Proposed Construction Started Completed On Hold
Started
Proposed
KOOTENAY REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 33
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Exhibit 9.8 Major Projects Status, by Construction Subtype
Kootenay Region
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500
Office
Warehousing & Other Commercial
Government & Other Institutional
Retail
Health
Education
Other Infrastructure
Roads & Highways
Recreation
Accommodation
Mixed use
Residential
Manufacturing
Mining
Utilities
Oil & Gas
ESTIMATED CAPITAL COST ($ MILLION)
Completed Construction started On hold Proposed
Exhibit 9.7 Summary of Major Projects (by Project Status)
Kootenay Region
Estimated Capital
Cost ($ million)
Percentage of
Total
Number of
Projects
Average Project
Value ($ million)
Average Year in
Inventory
Proposed 2,647 30% 11 331 5.0
Preliminary/Feasibility 57 1% 4 29 2.0
Consultation/Approvals 2,540 28% 5 508 7.5
Permitting 0 0% 0 0 0.0
Tender/Preconstruction 0 0% 0 0 0.0
Stage Unknown 50 1% 2 50 5.0
On hold 2,420 27% 4 605 15.2
Construction started 3,901 43% 14 279 15.2
Completed 0 0% 0 0 0.0
Total 8,968 100% 29 345 11.3
Notes: Average project value is the average of those projects for which there is a cost estimate. Average number of years in inventory is the
average time span between the entry of the projects in the MPI and the current period.
CARIBOO REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 34
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
10. Cariboo Region
Key Economic Indicators
Exhibit 10.1 Population Growth 2017 - 2018
Source: BC Stats
Exhibit 10.2 Value of Non-Residential Building Permits
Source: BC Stats
0.7% 0.9%
4.1%
0.7%
0.0%
4.0%
-4.0%
-3.0%
-2.0%
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
0 to 19 years 20 to 64 years 65 years and over
BC Cariboo
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
Q22015
Q32015
Q42015
Q12016
Q22016
Q32016
Q42016
Q12017
Q22017
Q32017
Q42017
Q12018
Q22018
Q32018
Q42018
Q12019
Q22019
CurrentDollars($'000)
Industrial Commercial Institutional & Governmental Total Non-Residential
CARIBOO REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 35
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Exhibit 10.3 Value of Residential Building Permits
Source: BC Stats
Exhibit 10.4 Housing Starts
Source: CMHC
Note: The housing starts is the sum of the major centres: Prince George, Quesnel, and Williams Lake
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
Q22015
Q32015
Q42015
Q12016
Q22016
Q32016
Q42016
Q12017
Q22017
Q32017
Q42017
Q12018
Q22018
Q32018
Q42018
Q12019
Q22019
CurrentDollars($'000)
119
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Q2-2015
Q3-2015
Q4-2015
Q1-2016
Q2-2016
Q3-2016
Q3-2016
Q1-2017
Q2-2017
Q3-2017
Q4-2017
Q1-2018
Q2-2018
Q3-2018
Q4-2018
Q1-2019
Q2-2019
NumberofHousingStarts
CARIBOO REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 36
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Trends in Major Projects
Exhibit 10.5 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects ($ M)
Cariboo Region
• In Q2 2019, the Cariboo region had a total of 25 major projects with a combined value of $10.4 B, a
2.4% increase from the previous quarter and up 1.0% compared to the same quarter last year.
• GR Baker Memorial hospital upgrades in Quesnel ($27 M) was newly proposed in this quarter.
• Trans Mountain Pipeline Expansion was removed from “on hold” status to “proposed” stage in this
quarter.
Exhibit 10.6 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects, by Project Status ($M)
Cariboo Region
Status 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2
Change from
the previous
quarter
Change from
the previous
year
Proposed 8,443 8,343 4,843 4,843 9,588 98.0% 13.6%
Construction started 559 559 514 514 514 0.0% -8.1%
Completed 0 0 43 0 0 0.0% 0.0%
On hold 1,300 1,400 4,800 4,800 300 -93.8% -76.9%
Grand Total 10,302 10,302 10,200 10,157 10,402 2.4% 1.0%
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
2009Q2
2009Q3
2009Q4
2010Q1
2010Q2
2010Q3
2010Q4
2011Q1
2011Q2
2011Q3
2011Q4
2012Q1
2012Q2
2012Q3
2012Q4
2013Q1
2013Q2
2013Q3
2013Q4
2014Q1
2014Q2
2014Q3
2014Q4
2015Q1
2015Q2
2015Q3
2015Q4
2016Q1
2016Q2
2016Q3
2016Q4
2017Q1
2017Q2
2017Q3
2017Q4
2018Q1
2018Q2
2018Q3
2018Q4
2019Q1
2019Q2
Proposed Construction Started Completed On Hold
Started
Proposed
CARIBOO REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 37
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Exhibit 10.8 Major Projects Status, by Construction Subtype
Cariboo Region
Note: Oil and Gas Extraction includes LNG
0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000
Office
Warehousing & Other…
Government & Other Institutional
Retail
Health
Education
Other Infrastructure
Roads & Highways
Recreation
Accommodation
Mixed use
Residential
Manufacturing
Mining
Utilities
Oil & Gas
ESTIMATED CAPITAL COST ($ MILLION)
Completed Construction started On hold Proposed
Exhibit 10.7 Summary of Major Projects (by Project Status)
Cariboo Region
Estimated Capital
Cost ($ million)
Percentage of
Total
Number of
Projects
Average Project
Value ($ million)
Average Year in
Inventory
Proposed 9,588 92% 20 505 8.6
Preliminary/Feasibility 1,019 10% 6 204 4.8
Consultation/Approvals 8,439 81% 10 844 9.2
Permitting 0 0% 0 0 0.0
Tender/Preconstruction 60 1% 1 60 20.3
Stage Unknown 70 1% 3 23 10.3
On hold 300 3% 2 150 15.2
Construction started 514 5% 3 171 6.3
Completed 0 0% 0 0 0.0
Total 10,402 100% 25 433 8.9
Notes: Average project value is the average of those projects for which there is a cost estimate. Average number of years in inventory is the
average time span between the entry of the projects in the MPI and the current period.
NORTH COAST REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 38
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
11. North Coast Region
Key Economic Indicators
Exhibit 11.1 Population Growth 2017-2018
Source: BC Stats
Exhibit 11.2 Value of Non-Residential Building Permits
Source: BC Stats
0.7%
0.9%
4.1%
-0.7% -0.4%
3.7%
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
0 to 19 years 20 to 64 years 65 years and over
BC North Coast
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
Q22015
Q32015
Q42015
Q12016
Q22016
Q32016
Q42016
Q12017
Q22017
Q32017
Q42017
Q12018
Q22018
Q32018
Q42018
Q12019
Q22019
CurrentDollars($'000)
Industrial Commercial Institutional & Governmental Total Non-Residential
NORTH COAST REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 39
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Exhibit 11.3 Value of Residential Building Permits
Source: BC Stats
Exhibit 11.4 Housing Starts – North Coast
Source: CMHC
Note: The housing starts is the sum of the major centres: Prince Rupert and Terrace.
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000 Q22015
Q32015
Q42015
Q12016
Q22016
Q32016
Q42016
Q12017
Q22017
Q32017
Q42017
Q12018
Q22018
Q32018
Q42018
Q12019
Q22019
CurrentDollars($'000)
43
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Q2-2015
Q3-2015
Q4-2015
Q1-2016
Q2-2016
Q3-2016
Q4-2016
Q1-2017
Q2-2017
Q3-2017
Q4-2017
Q1-2018
Q2-2018
Q3-2018
Q4-2018
Q1-2019
Q2-2019
NumberofHousingStarts
NORTH COAST REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 40
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Trends in Major Projects
Exhibit 11.5 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects ($M)
North Coast Region
In Q2 2019, the North Coast region has a total of 52 major projects with a combined value of $162.2 B,
remaining the same as the previous quarter but declining 19.9%compared to one year earlier.
Exhibit 11.6 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects, by Project Status ($M)
North Coast Region
Status 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2
Change
from the
previous
quarter
Change
from the
previous
year
Proposed 187,963 178,348 138,612 113,548 113,996 0.4% -39.4%
Construction started 669 669 36696 36221 36221 0.0% 5314.2%
Completed 15 0 18 475 0 0.0% 0.0%
On hold 13,770 13,770 11,981 11,981 11,981 0.0% -13.0%
Grand Total 202,417 192,787 187,307 162,225 162,198 0.0% -19.9%
-
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
2009Q2
2009Q3
2009Q4
2010Q1
2010Q2
2010Q3
2010Q4
2011Q1
2011Q2
2011Q3
2011Q4
2012Q1
2012Q2
2012Q3
2012Q4
2013Q1
2013Q2
2013Q3
2013Q4
2014Q1
2014Q2
2014Q3
2014Q4
2015Q1
2015Q2
2015Q3
2015Q4
2016Q1
2016Q2
2016Q3
2016Q4
2017Q1
2017Q2
2017Q3
2017Q4
2018Q1
2018Q2
2018Q3
2018Q4
2019Q1
2019Q2
Proposed Construction Started Completed On Hold
Started Proposed
NORTH COAST REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 41
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Exhibit 11.8 Major Projects Status, by Construction Subtype
North Coast Region
Note: Oil and Gas Extraction includes LNG
0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000
Office
Warehousing & Other Commercial
Government & Other Institutional
Retail
Health
Education
Other Infrastructure
Roads & Highways
Recreation
Accommodation
Mixed use
Residential
Manufacturing
Mining
Utilities
Oil & Gas
ESTIMATED CAPITAL COST ($ MILLION)
Completed Construction started On hold Proposed
$107.1 B
Exhibit 11.7 Summary of Major Projects (by Project Status)
North Coast Region
Estimated Capital
Cost ($ million)
Percentage of
Total
Number of
Projects
Average Project
Value ($ million)
Average Year in
Inventory
Proposed 113,996 70% 39 3,677 7.1
Preliminary/Feasibility 34,415 21% 12 3,824 5.2
Consultation/Approvals 28,560 18% 16 2,040 7.3
Permitting 39,800 25% 5 13,267 9.0
Tender/Preconstruction 6000 4% 2 6000 7.2
Stage Unknown 5,221 3% 4 1,305 9.8
On hold 11,981 7% 8 1,712 12.0
Construction started 36221 22% 5 7244.2 4.0
Completed 0 0% 0 0 0.0
Total 162,198 100% 52 3,772 7.6
Notes: Average project value is the average of those projects for which there is a cost estimate. Average number of years in inventory is the
average time span between the entry of the projects in the MPI and the current period.
NECHAKO REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 42
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
12. Nechako Region
Key Economic Indicators
Exhibit 12.1 Population Growth 2017-2018
Source: BC Stats
Exhibit 12.2 Value of Non-Residential Building Permits
Source: BC Stats
0.7% 0.9%
4.1%
0.2%
-0.3%
6.4%
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
0 to 19 years 20 to 64 years 65 years and over
BC Nechako
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
Q22015
Q32015
Q42015
Q12016
Q22016
Q32016
Q42016
Q12017
Q22017
Q32017
Q42017
Q12018
Q22018
Q32018
Q42018
Q12019
Q22019
CurrentDollars($'000)
Industrial Commercial Institutional & Governmental Total Non-Residential
NECHAKO REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 43
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Exhibit 12.3 Value of Residential Building Permits
Source: BC Stats
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
Q22015
Q32015
Q42015
Q12016
Q22016
Q32016
Q42016
Q12017
Q22017
Q32017
Q42017
Q12018
Q22018
Q32018
Q42018
Q12019
Q22019
CurrentDollars($'000)
NECHAKO REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 44
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Trends in Major Projects
Exhibit 12.4 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects ($M)
Nechako Region
In Q2 2019, the Nechako region has a total of 20 major projects with a combined value of $7.1 B, remained the
same level as the previous quarter and a 1.2% increase from the previous year.
Exhibit 12.5 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects, by Project Status ($M)
Nechako Region
Status 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2
Change
from the
previous
quarter
Change from
the previous
year
Proposed 4,390 4,472 4,522 4,522 4,522 0.0% 3.0%
Construction started 251 201 201 201 201 0.0% -19.9%
Completed 0 50 0 0 0 0.0% 0.0%
On hold 2,335 2,335 2,335 2,335 2,335 0.0% 0.0%
Grand Total 6,976 7,058 7,058 7,058 7,058 0.0% 1.2%
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
2009Q2
2009Q3
2009Q4
2010Q1
2010Q2
2010Q3
2010Q4
2011Q1
2011Q2
2011Q3
2011Q4
2012Q1
2012Q2
2012Q3
2012Q4
2013Q1
2013Q2
2013Q3
2013Q4
2014Q1
2014Q2
2014Q3
2014Q4
2015Q1
2015Q2
2015Q3
2015Q4
2016Q1
2016Q2
2016Q3
2016Q4
2017Q1
2017Q2
2017Q3
2017Q4
2018Q1
2018Q2
2018Q3
2018Q4
2019Q1
2019Q2
Proposed Construction Started Completed On Hold
on hold
Proposed
NECHAKO REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 45
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Exhibit 12.7 Major Projects Status, by Construction Subtype
Nechako Region
0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000
Office
Warehousing & Other Commercial
Government & Other Institutional
Retail
Health
Education
Other Infrastructure
Roads & Highways
Recreation
Accommodation
Mixed use
Residential
Manufacturing
Mining
Utilities
Oil & Gas
ESTIMATED CAPITAL COST ($ MILLION)
Completed Construction started On hold Proposed
Exhibit 12.6 Summary of Major Projects (by Project Status)
Nechako Region
Estimated Capital
Cost ($ million)
Percentage of
Total
Number of
Projects
Average Project
Value ($ million)
Average Year in
Inventory
Proposed 4,522 64% 14 348 9.1
Preliminary/Feasibility 925 13% 3 308 8.7
Consultation/Approvals 2,268 32% 8 284 10.1
Permitting 0 0% 0 0 0.0
Tender/Preconstruction 29 0% 1 29 1.1
Stage Unknown 1,300 18% 2 1300 9.8
On hold 2,335 33% 5 467 13.7
Construction started 201 3% 1 201 7.6
Completed 0 0% 0 0 0.0
Total 7,058 100% 20 371 10.2
Notes: Average project value is the average of those projects for which there is a cost estimate. Average number of years in inventory is the
average time span between the entry of the projects in the MPI and the current period.
NORTHEAST REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 46
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
13. Northeast Region
Key Economic Indicators
Exhibit 13.1 Population Growth 2017-2018
Source: BC Stats
Exhibit 13.2 Value of Non-Residential Building Permits
Source: BC Stats
0.7% 0.9%
4.1%
-0.1% -0.4%
5.6%
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
0 to 19 years 20 to 64 years 65 years and over
BC Northeast
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
Q22015
Q32015
Q42015
Q12016
Q22016
Q32016
Q42016
Q12017
Q22017
Q32017
Q42017
Q12018
Q22018
Q32018
Q42018
Q12019
Q22019
CurrentDollars($'000)
Industrial Commercial Institutional & Governmental Total Non-Residential
NORTHEAST REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 47
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Exhibit 13.3 Value of Residential Building Permits
Source: BC Stats
Exhibit 13.4 Housing Starts
Source: CMHC
Note: The housing starts is the sum of the major centres: Dawson Creek and Fort St. John
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
Q22015
Q32015
Q42015
Q12016
Q22016
Q32016
Q42016
Q12017
Q22017
Q32017
Q42017
Q12018
Q22018
Q32018
Q42018
Q12019
Q22019
CurrentDollars($'000)
26
0
50
100
150
200
250
Q2-2015
Q3-2015
Q4-2015
Q1-2016
Q2-2016
Q3-2016
Q4-2016
Q1-2017
Q2-2017
Q3-2017
Q4-2017
Q1-2018
Q2-2018
Q3-2018
Q4-2018
Q1-2019
Q2-2019
NumberofHousingStarts
NORTHEAST REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 48
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Trends in Major Projects
Exhibit 13.5 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects ($M)
Northeast Region
In Q2 2019, the Northeast region has a total of 47 major projects with a combined value of $36.9 B,
representing a 0.8% decrease over the previous quarter and a 0.9% decrease compared to one year earlier.
Exhibit 13.6 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects, by Project Status ($M)
Northeast Region
Status 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2
Change
from the
previous
quarter
Change from
the previous
year
Proposed 18,292 18,140 13,402 11,887 11,887 0.0% -35.0%
Construction started 13,281 13,247 18,279 18,009 18,009 0.0% 35.6%
Completed 170 61 1369 290 0 0.0% 0.0%
On hold 5,501 5,626 5,501 7,001 7,001 0.0% 27.3%
Grand Total 37,244 37,074 38,551 37,187 36,897 -0.8% -0.9%
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
2009Q2
2009Q3
2009Q4
2010Q1
2010Q2
2010Q3
2010Q4
2011Q1
2011Q2
2011Q3
2011Q4
2012Q1
2012Q2
2012Q3
2012Q4
2013Q1
2013Q2
2013Q3
2013Q4
2014Q1
2014Q2
2014Q3
2014Q4
2015Q1
2015Q2
2015Q3
2015Q4
2016Q1
2016Q2
2016Q3
2016Q4
2017Q1
2017Q2
2017Q3
2017Q4
2018Q1
2018Q2
2018Q3
2018Q4
2019Q1
2019Q2
Proposed Construction Started Completed On Hold
Proposed
Started
NORTHEAST REGION
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 49
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Exhibit 13.8 Major Projects Status, by Construction Subtype
Northeast Region
Note: Oil and Gas Extraction includes LNG
0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000
Office
Warehousing & Other Commercial
Government & Other Institutional
Retail
Health
Education
Other Infrastructure
Roads & Highways
Recreation
Accommodation
Mixed use
Residential
Manufacturing
Mining
Utilities
Oil & Gas
ESTIMATED CAPITAL COST ($ MILLION)
Completed Construction started On hold Proposed
Exhibit 13.7 Summary of Major Projects (by Project Status)
Northeast Region
Estimated Capital
Cost ($ million)
Percentage of
Total
Number of Projects
Average Project
Value ($ million)
Average Year in
Inventory
Proposed 11,887 32% 27 517 6.5
Preliminary/Feasibility 100 0% 2 50 1.2
Consultation/Approvals 7,707 21% 18 482 7.8
Permitting 4,000 11% 4 2000 3.8
Tender/Preconstruction 65 0% 2 33 4.0
Stage Unknown 15 0% 1 15 8.6
On hold 7,001 19% 9 778 8.8
Construction started 18,009 49% 11 1637 4.6
Completed 0 0% 0 0 0.0
Total 36,897 100% 47 858 6.5
Notes: Average project value is the average of those projects for which there is a cost estimate. Average number of years in inventory is the
average time span between the entry of the projects in the MPI and the current period.
APPENDICES
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 50
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Appendices
Appendix 1
New Proposed Projects (April - June 2019)
Region Municipality Project
Estimated
Cost ($ million)
1. Vancouver Island/Coast
Langford
West Langford Elementary and Middle
School
89
Victoria
Victoria High School Upgrades 80
The Haro Condominiums n/a
Alberni Ucluelet Secondary School 33
Nanaimo-
Ladysmith
Hammond Bay Elementary 16
2. Mainland/Southwest
Abbotsford The News Urban Homes 35
Burnaby
South Burnaby Arena 45
Western Canada Tennis Centre 30
Delta SCM Grinding Facility 142
Mission Wren = Raven Condominiums 30
Richmond Galleria Condominiums 100
Vancouver
UBC - Nursing and Kinesiology Building 134
UBC - Mathematics Building
Replacement
118
Affordable Housing Development 49
Condominium Development - 1298 East
Hastings Street
38
Union Gospel Mission Women's Centre 36
Condominium Development 28
Robson & Cardero Condominium 28
Condominium Development - 1967 East
Hastings
22
Dunbar Ryerson United Church
Redevelopment
20
3. Thompson-Okanagan Kelowna
UBC Okanagan - Interdisciplinary
Collaboration & Innovation Building
130
UBC Okanagan - Industrial Scale
Engineering Laboratory Expansion
n/a
4. Kootenay Cranbrook Student Housing 18
5. Cariboo Quesnel GR Baker Memorial Hospital Upgrades 27
Grand Total
1,248
APPENDICES
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 51
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Appendix 2
Construction Started (April - June 2019)
Region Municipality Project
Completion
Date
Estimated
Cost
($ million)
1. Vancouver
Island/Coast Saanich Townley Lodge Redevelopment 2020-Q3 18
2. Mainland/Southwest
Abbotsford
Court Condominium 2020-Q3 25
Mount Lehman Substation Expansion
Project 2022-Q2 59
Burnaby
Condominium Development 28
Gilmore Place Mixed-Use
Development 2022-Q4 100
Akimbo Condominium Tower 2021-Q4 35
SFU - Stadium 2020-Q3 20
Coquitlam
Irvine Elementary School
Replacement 2020-Q4 24
Delta
Annacis Island Wastewater Treatment
Plant Upgrades 2020-Q2 550
Langley
The Wesley Lowrise Condominium 2020-Q3 20
Westbrooke at Willoughby 2020-Q2 28
Latimer Heights Community 2021-Q4 50
New
Westminster 618 Carnarvon Condominium 2021-Q4 48
North
Vancouver
Park West at Lions Gate
Condominiums 2021-Q3 40
Crest by Adera 2020-Q4 28
Capilano Substation Upgrade Project 2024-Q2 87
Squamish Vantage Condominiums 2020-Q1 20
Surrey
Grandview Heights Secondary 2021-Q3 93
Spectator Arena 2020-Q1 52
Douglas Area Elementary 2021-Q1 33
Aloha Estates 2020-Q3 23
Avani Centre Condominium 2021-Q2 35
Vancouver
Condominium Development - 1335
Howe Street 2020-Q4 45
Avenue One Condominiums 2020-Q4 44
Fraser Commons at Marine 2021-Q2 50
Gateway (Park Royal) Condominiums 2020-Q4 40
3. Thompson-Okanagan
Kelowna
UBC Okanagan - Skeena Residence 2020-Q3 25
UBC Okanagan - Nechako Residence 2021-Q2 51
Revelstoke Highway 1 Illecillewaet Four Laning 2022-Q2 85
Grand Total 1756
APPENDICES
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 52
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Appendix 3
Construction Completed (April - June 2019)
Region Municipality Project
Estimated Cost
($ million)
1. Vancouver
Island/Coast
North Saanich Sandown Commons Retail Centre 40
Victoria
BlueSky Victoria Condominiums 35
Jukebox Lofts 25
2. Mainland/Southwest
Burnaby The Seasons Condominium 20
Langley
Gloucester Industrial Park - Northeast Quadrant 20
Willoughby Slope Secondary School 59
Lillooet Bridge River 2 Units 5 and 6 Upgrade Project 86
North
Vancouver City Operations Centre 20
Port
Coquitlam
Ecole Des Pionniers-De-Maillardville Elementary-
Secondary 33
Richmond
Park Estates - Concord Gardens 45
IntraUrban Rivershore Industrial Park 68
Sechelt Narrows Inlet Hydro Project 210
Squamish Cheakamus Unit 1 and Unit 2 Generator Replacement 74
Vancouver
The Jervis Condominium 20
Ironworks Commercial Development 90
Cambria Park Condominium Development 20
Shannon Wall Centre Residential Development 80
UBC - Biological Sciences Building Addition and
Renovation 88
3. Thompson-
Okanagan
Kelowna
Interior Heart and Surgical Centre 381
Canyon Falls Middle (formerly Okanagan Mission
Junior Middle) 38
Grand Total 1452
APPENDICES
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 53
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Appendix 4
Project Value and Project Status for each Industry Sector – (April - June 2019)
Proposed Construction started Completed On hold Total
Oil and Gas 82,265 42,200 - 2,984 127,449
Utilities 12,212 16,240 370 7,094 35,916
Mining 21,063 301 - 13,967 35,331
Manufacturing 36,247 90 - 0 36,337
Residential 12,894 22,474 245 224 35,837
Mixed Use 5,336 11,163 - 1,000 17,499
Accommodation 7,878 4,424 - 1,356 13,658
Recreation 6,466 4,030 - 1,125 11,621
Roads & Highways 5,884 2,529 - 60 8,473
Other Infrastructure 4,750 2,963 - 0 7,713
Education 4,339 1,422 218 0 5,979
Health 4,056 2,036 381 0 6,473
Retail 650 2,808 40 0 3,498
Government & Other Institutional 281 1,670 20 0 1,971
Warehousing & Other Commercial 962 705 178 0 1,845
Office
352 110
-
80
542
Total 205,635 115,165 1,452 27,890 350,142
APPENDICES
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 54
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Appendix 5
Number of Regional Major Projects Excluding Completed Projects (by Project Category)
Development Region
Residential/
Commercial
Transportation
& Warehousing
Mining, Oil &
Gas
Extraction
Utilities Manufacturing
Public
Services
Other
Services
Total
Vancouver
Island/Coast
95 9 4 16 0 17 8 149
Mainland/Southwest 357 41 4 34 4 70 15 525
Thompson-Okanagan 55 11 3 19 1 14 5 108
Kootenay 10 1 7 3 0 3 5 29
Cariboo 5 3 6 7 1 3 0 25
North Coast 2 11 22 10 5 1 1 52
Nechako 1 1 12 4 0 2 0 20
Northeast 2 7 15 18 2 3 0 47
Total 526 84 73 111 13 113 34 955
B.C. GOVERNMENT CONTACT
Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 55
© Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
B.C. Government Contact
Man Wang, Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training
Tel: (778) 698-7681
Email: Man.Wang@gov.bc.ca
www.majorprojectsinventory.com

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British Columbia Capital Projects Inventory 2019-2021

  • 1. Image from Google Maps/Dalton Sears This provincially funded, three-storey school in southern Kelowna, will be built to LEED gold standards. It will accommodate 750 students in grades 6-8, with a neighbourhood learning centre for child care and other community programs. Total Estimated Project Value: $38.1M BRITISH COLUMBIA MAJOR PROJECTS INVENTORY SECOND QUARTER 2019
  • 2. TABLE OF CONTENTS Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Second Quarter 2019 Major Projects Inventory as of June 30, 2019. Publisher: Workforce Innovation and Division Responsible for Skills Training, Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training. Major projects data collection and highlights by Rene Corcoran, Research Contractor. Report prepared by Workforce Innovation and Division Responsible for Skills Training staff. While information sources are checked regularly, the Government of British Columbia and its contractors are not responsible for any errors or omissions in this publication. Statistics Canada data referenced in this report are reproduced and distributed on an "as is" basis with the permission of Statistics Canada. Copyright Province of British Columbia, 2019. All rights reserved. About this Report The objectives of this report are to analyze the updates to the Major Projects Inventory and to provide additional context on changes to economic conditions and construction activities. These snapshots of current economic activities are provided to help readers form expectations of the construction activities into the next quarter. This report was prepared with the most current data from economic indicators. Detailed project listings are available in a searchable Excel database: www.majorprojectsinventory.com Please address report feedback to Man Wang, Labour Market Insights, Evaluation and Outreach Branch at: Man.Wang@gov.bc.ca
  • 3. TABLE OF CONTENTS Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training British Columbia Major Projects Inventory 1 1. B.C. Major Projects Highlights – Q2 2019 5 2. B.C. Major Projects Inventory – Q2 2019 6 3. B.C. Economy 11 4. B.C. Demographics 16 5. Regional Summaries 17 6. Vancouver Island/Coast Region 18 7. Mainland/Southwest Region 22 8. Thompson - Okanagan Region 26 9. Kootenay Region 30 10. Cariboo Region 34 11. North Coast Region 38 12. Nechako Region 42 13. Northeast Region 46 Appendices 50 Appendix 1 ___________________________________________50 Appendix 2 ___________________________________________51 Appendix 3 ___________________________________________52 Appendix 4 ___________________________________________53 Appendix 5 ___________________________________________54 B.C. Government Contact 55
  • 4. ABOUT THE MAJOR PROJECTS INVENTORY Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 1 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training The B.C. Major Projects Inventory (MPI), published quarterly, provides summary information on major projects in the Province of British Columbia. The MPI includes a listing of private and public sector construction projects in B.C. with an estimated capital cost of $15 million (CAD) or greater ($20 million or greater within the Lower Mainland–Vancouver area). Since 2019 Quarter 1, about 75% of all the existing projects received an update. New projects are added to the list every quarter. Projects on hold for longer than two years are removed from the publication. Completed projects are removed from the list in the following quarter. Information collected in the MPI includes: Project identification Project name, description, specific and regional location, geographic coordinates, developer, contact information, project type, and project category Project status • Proposed, under construction, completed, or on hold • Proposed stages • Start and completion dates (if available) • Update activity on project status • Environmental assessment stage Project size Estimated capital cost (if available) Other project characteristics Construction type, construction subtype, public sector projects, clean energy projects and/or green (i.e. LEED) building projects, Indigenous peoples’ agreements, the number of construction jobs and operating jobs. While every effort is made to maintain a comprehensive project list that includes the most current publicly available information, it is important to note that projects are constantly added and re-evaluated by industry. Not all major projects are included in the MPI since projects need to be publicly announced in order to be included and some project information is not published due to confidentiality requirements. Sources of MPI Information Information sources include print and electronic media, developers, architects, general contractors, and government agencies (provincial, regional, municipal) as well as occasional site visits. Projects that are under consideration or proposed to be funded by the provincial government may be listed where there is public information about such projects. The description may indicate the status of provincial funding applications if such information is publicly available. Project Location Projects are listed within the eight economic development regions: Vancouver Island/Coast, Mainland/Southwest (Vancouver area), Thompson-Okanagan, Kootenay, Cariboo, North Coast, Nechako, and Northeast. A map showing the location of the regions and main population centres is included in the regional sections of the MPI. Projects are also listed according to the nearest population centre, which could be an unincorporated centre or a local government (e.g., a municipality).
  • 5. ABOUT THE MAJOR PROJECTS INVENTORY Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 2 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Estimated Cost Cost estimates are general estimates from the information sources used and are not necessarily produced in a consistent manner. The estimated costs are revised when new information is available. All estimates are recorded in millions of dollars. All capital costs in this report are estimates and therefore subject to change. This is particularly applicable in the early stages of a project proposal. Some capital costs are not included because they were not available at press time or the developer or owner requested that no capital cost be shown. Start and Finish Dates Start and finish dates for proposed projects are based on estimates from the sources used, or in some cases, reasonable assumptions. These dates are revised as new information becomes available. Project Status Projects are listed by status: proposed, under construction, completed, or on hold. Projects that are on hold for longer than two years are normally removed from the publication (although retained in our database). Cancelled projects are noted in the project description as “cancelled” and noted in a new field - Update Activity is identified as “cancelled-removing next issue”. Cancelled projects and completed projects in this quarter will be removed from the next issue of the MPI. Changes to project status are based on public information releases and/or information supplied by project proponents. Cancelled projects are not included in reported totals in this report. The following diagram illustrates the project stages listed in the database. Technically, projects can have their status moved to “cancelled” at any stage except at the construction completed stage. Proposed Any major projects in the public realm with an intention to proceed on the part of a credible proponent are added to the database. Often major projects with an official news release or funding confirmed are added to the inventory. Projects released on the official websites may be included but are subject to approval for inclusion by the proponent. A review process for public projects is obtained by the project manager where the respective ministry can decide to include or remove the proposed projects based on feasibility or funding available for the project. Proposed projects usually go through the four stages prior to the construction. At the Preliminary/Feasibility stage, the feasibility of the project has been reviewed and the project's design and planning are in process. Preliminary /Feasibility Consultation/ Approvals Permitting Tender/ Pre- construction Construction Started Construction Completed Proposed Stages
  • 6. ABOUT THE MAJOR PROJECTS INVENTORY Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 3 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Consultation/Approvals stage includes approvals for the zoning, environmental assessment, Indigenous people and other public open house processes. A proposed project will enter Permitting stage after obtaining the required approvals (i.e. environmental assessment certificate, if indicated). This stage includes development and building permits, mines, water licenses and other additional information required before moving into pre-construction stage. Tender/Pre-construction stage includes construction tenders and building site preparation such as pre- loading, demolition, and excavation. The pre-construction work such as excavation or site work may begin in preparation for the construction permit. Sustainable Building Design Information on sustainable building design is identified as well as construction projects that are registered and certified under a recognized green building rating system (e.g., Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED®), Green Globes). LEED buildings provide an environmentally responsible standard for energy efficiency in the home and workplace. This designation has been added to the project description to promote awareness of the benefits of green buildings. Indigenous Affiliation Information related to Indigenous people’s involvement in projects is based on news releases and published project information that is publicly available. The information is consistent with the information maintained in the Indigenous Business and Investment Council Database (BCIBIC; www.bcibic.ca).
  • 7. ABOUT THE MAJOR PROJECTS INVENTORY Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 4 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Project Category Project Category lists the seven industrial categories: a.) manufacturing; b.) mining, oil and gas extraction; c.) other services; d.) public services; e.) residential or commercial; f.) transportation and warehousing; and, g.) utilities (including sewage treatment). Note that Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) projects are classified under mining, oil and gas extraction. This is different from the North American Industry Classification System in which LNG is classified as being in the transportation industry. Environmental Assessment Stage The stages of environmental assessment for each project undergoing review under the B.C. Environmental Assessment Act are added to this issue. Latitude and Longitude Fields Latitude and longitude in the format of Degrees minutes seconds (DMS). Telephone Contact number of the project developer or representative. Update Activity Readers can search for and select projects based on the following seven criteria: a.) new proposed projects; b.) project started construction; c.) cancelled-removing next issue; d.) project added-under construction; e.) project completed-removing next issue; f.) project placed on hold; and, g.) project removed from hold.
  • 8. B.C. MAJOR PROJECTS INVENTORY – Q2 2019 Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 5 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training 1. B.C. Major Projects Highlights – Q2 2019 The estimated capital cost of all 975 major projects in the second quarter of 2019, totaling $350.14 billion (B), has decreased from $355.30 B in the first quarter of 2019. Note that the total capital cost is the combined estimated value of projects identified as proposed, construction started, completed, and on hold excluding cancelled projects. There are 24 new proposed projects over $15 million (M) with available capital cost estimates totaling $1.25 B if all the projects were to proceed. The potential capital investment for new projects has decreased compared to $2.50 B in the first quarter of 2019. There are 29 projects that have started construction in B.C., representing an estimated capital cost of $1.76 B, up from the $1.45 B reported in the first quarter of 2019. Twenty projects completed construction in the second quarter of 2019, with an estimated capital cost of $1.45 B compared to $2.39 B in the first quarter of 2019. There are 246 projects with public funding contributions with a total capital cost of $42.92 B. Funding for these projects is allocated through municipal, provincial and/or federal levels of government, crown corporations, public institutions and may include private partnerships. Of these, 141 projects worth a total of $20.39 B have provincial government funding contributions. There are 64 projects with a total estimated cost of $122.53 B involving Indigenous communities in capacities such as project owners, project partners or benefit agreements. Major projects currently under construction in B.C. totaled $115.17 B, up from the $114.83 B in the first quarter of 2019. Proposed projects totaled $205.64 B, slightly up from $204.93 B in the previous quarter. Many major project proposals listed are in very preliminary stages and are not approved for construction, therefore capital cost estimates should be viewed with caution. Approximately $27.89 B of projects are judged to be ‘on hold’ for the time being, a decrease from the previous quarter value of $32.61 B. All capital costs in this report are estimates and therefore subject to change. Some capital costs are not included because they were not available at press time or the developer or owner requested that no capital cost be shown. Figure 1 B.C. MPI Highlights0 Number of total major projects975 Value of all projects$350.14 B Number of total proposed projects519 Value of proposed projects$205.64 B Number of projects under construction353 Value of projects under construction$115.17 B Number of projects completed20 Value of projects completed$1.45 B Number of new proposed projects24 Value of newly proposed projects$1.25 B
  • 9. B.C. MAJOR PROJECTS INVENTORY – Q2 2019 Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 6 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training 2. B.C. Major Projects Inventory – Q2 2019 By Project Category, Construction Type or Subtype Exhibit 2.1 Estimated Cost Trends in B.C. Major Projects, by Project Category ($ M) Note: Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) projects are classified under mining, oil and gas extraction. This is different from the North American Industry Classification System in which LNG is classified as being in the transportation industry. Project Category 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2 Change from the previous quarter Change from the previous year Mining & Oil & Gas Extraction 187,837 178,669 173,035 117,125 116,530 -0.5% -38.0% Residential/Commercial 70,377 71,478 71,581 72,382 72,614 0.3% 3.2% Transportation & Warehousing 62,475 62,055 66,910 68,001 62,701 -7.8% 0.4% Manufacturing 36,155 36,155 36,195 36,195 36,337 0.4% 0.5% Utilities (incl sewage treatment) 37,799 37,958 36,005 36,237 35,916 -0.9% -5.0% Public Services 10,408 9,970 13,721 13,818 14,403 4.2% 38.4% Other Services 11,213 11,229 11,539 11,539 11,641 0.9% 3.8% Grand Total 416,264 407,514 408,986 355,297 350,142 -1.5% -15.9% Note: chart excludes mining oil & gas extraction and other services projects The total estimated capital cost of major projects in B.C was down in the second quarter of 2019 (Q2), totalling $350.14 B, representing a 1.5% decrease over the previous quarter and a 15.9% decrease compared to one year earlier. - 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 2009Q2 2009Q3 2009Q4 2010Q1 2010Q2 2010Q3 2010Q4 2011Q1 2011Q2 2011Q3 2011Q4 2012Q1 2012Q2 2012Q3 2012Q4 2013Q1 2013Q2 2013Q3 2013Q4 2014Q1 2014Q2 2014Q3 2014Q4 2015Q1 2015Q2 2015Q3 2015Q4 2016Q1 2016Q2 2016Q3 2016Q4 2017Q1 2017Q2 2017Q3 2017Q4 2018Q1 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2 Manufacturing Public Services Residential/Commercial Transportation & Warehousing Utilities
  • 10. B.C. MAJOR PROJECTS INVENTORY – Q2 2019 Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 7 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Exhibit 2.2 Major Projects Status in B.C., by Construction Subtype ($ M) Note: See Appendix 4 for the data underlying this chart. • In the second quarter of 2019, Oil and Gas projects (including LNG) represent 36% percent of the total estimated capital cost in the MPI. • Residential and Commercial development projects comprise 576 of the 975 projects listed in the second quarter of 2019, representing a total estimated capital cost of $84.5 B. • Residential projects are concentrated in the Mainland/Southwest region (75 percent), Vancouver Island (15.1 percent), and Thompson-Okanagan (9.3 percent). • Utility projects continue to be a significant driver for the province. The total cost of utilities projects is nearly $36 B while the total cost of projects which are currently underway is over $16 B. • There are 53 mining projects listed in the MPI with a total estimated value of $35.3 B. • The top categories for new projects added to the MPI are Education ($618 M), Primarily Residential – Single Use ($386 M), and Other Manufacturing ($142 M). • Public Infrastructure - The value of public funding contributions was $42.9 B for 246 projects – across all levels of government. Of these, 141 projects worth a total of $20.4 B have provincial government funding contributions. It is important to note that this figure reflects the total cost, not just the provincial contribution. 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 Office Warehousing & Other… Government & Other… Retail Health Education Other Infrastructure Roads & Highways Recreation Accommodation Mixed use Residential Manufacturing Mining Utilities Oil & Gas ESTIMATED CAPITAL COST ($ MILLION) Completed Construction started On hold Proposed $127 B
  • 11. B.C. MAJOR PROJECTS INVENTORY – Q2 2019 Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 8 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Exhibit 2.3 Estimated Cost of Regional Major Projects, by Construction Type and Subtype ($ M) Construction Type & Subtype Vancouver Island/Coast Mainland/ Southwest Thompson- Okanagan Kootenay Cariboo North Coast Nechako Northeast Total Residential Subtotal 12,250 28,531 9,485 80 0 0 100 0 50,446 Primarily residential - Single use 8,450 19,172 8,035 80 0 0 100 0 35,837 Residential Mixed Use 3,800 9,359 1,450 0 0 0 0 0 14,609 Commercial Subtotal 3,719 17,871 5,654 4,902 1,322 46 0 540 34,054 Commercial Mixed Use 200 2,690 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,890 Accommodation 2,266 4,851 3,299 2,302 940 0 0 0 13,658 Recreation 220 6,575 2,210 2,600 0 16 0 0 11,621 Retail 923 1,960 115 0 0 0 0 500 3,498 Office 70 472 0 0 0 0 0 0 542 Warehousing 0 265 0 0 0 0 0 0 265 Other Commercial 40 1,058 30 0 382 30 0 40 1,580 Industrial Subtotal 2,130 2,517 1,069 2,936 7,231 157,161 6,328 19,745 199,117 Mining 130 160 1,039 2,936 2,646 17,991 6,328 4,101 35,331 Oil & Gas 2,000 2,125 0 0 4,570 107,110 0 11,644 127,449 Manufacturing - Wood Products 0 0 30 0 0 60 0 0 90 Manufacturing - Petrochemical 0 0 0 0 0 32,000 0 4,000 36,000 Other Manufacturing 0 232 0 0 15 0 0 0 247 Institutional & Government Subtotal 3,789 7,980 1,638 76 289 448 79 124 14,423 Education 2,120 3,249 488 18 44 0 29 31 5,979 Health 34 4,478 1,110 58 245 448 50 50 6,473 Government buildings 1,615 253 40 0 0 0 0 43 1,951 Other Institutional & Government 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 Infrastructure Subtotal 8,652 16,392 2,942 974 1,560 4,543 551 16,488 52,102 Utilities 6,716 5,172 1,083 974 1,090 3,939 506 16,436 35,916 Roads & Highways 306 5,822 1,709 0 470 69 45 52 8,473 Other Transportation 1,630 5,398 150 0 0 535 0 0 7,713 Grand Total 30,540 73,291 20,788 8,968 10,402 162,198 7,058 36,897 350,142
  • 12. B.C. MAJOR PROJECTS INVENTORY – Q2 2019 Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 9 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training By Project Status Exhibit 2.4 Estimated Cost Trends in B.C. Major Projects, by Project Status ($ M) Status 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2 Change from the previous quarter Change from the previous year Proposed 311,674 301,051 260,341 205,769 205,635 -0.1% -34.0% Construction started 73,672 74,406 115,366 114,825 115,165 0.3% 56.3% Completed 989 748 2,214 2,393 1452 -39.3% 46.8% On hold 29,929 31,309 31,065 32,310 27,890 -13.7% -6.8% Grand Total 416,264 407,514 408,986 355,297 350,142 -1.5% -15.9% The value of completed projects decreased by 39.3% to $1.45 B in Q2 2019 over the previous quarter. Notable projects completed were Interior Heart and Surgical Centre ($381 M) in Kelowna and Narrows Inlet Hydro Project ($210 M) in Sechelt. Exhibit 2.5 Summary of B.C. Major Projects (by Project Status) Estimated Capital Cost ($M) Percentage of Total Number of Projects Average Project Value ($ M) Average Years in Inventory Proposed 205,635 59% 519 445 5.5 Preliminary/Feasibility 51,594 15% 128 491 4.4 Consultation/Approvals 71,882 21% 229 346 6.1 Permitting 51,226 15% 44 1348 4.8 Tender/Preconstruction 13,853 4% 70 207 3.3 Stage Unknown 17,080 5% 48 388 9.0 On hold 27,890 8% 54 558 11.5 Construction started 115,165 33% 382 308 6.2 Completed 1452 0% 20 73 4.9 Total 350,142 100% 975 386 6.1 Note: Average project value is the average of those projects for which there is a cost estimate. An average year in inventory is the average time span between the projects as first recorded in the MPI and the current period. Regional detail is provided in Exhibit 2.6.
  • 13. B.C. MAJOR PROJECTS INVENTORY – Q2 2019 Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 10 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Exhibit 2.6 Estimated Cost of Regional Major Projects, by Project Status ($ M) Development Region Proposed Started Completed On Hold Total Change from the previous quarter Change from the previous year 1. Vancouver Island/Coast 16,449 11,838 100 2,153 30,540 -1.9% -49.5% 2. Mainland/Southwest 41,898 30,098 933 362 73,291 -6.1% 6.7% 3. Thompson-Okanagan 4,648 14,383 419 1,338 20,788 1.1% -2.3% 4. Kootenay 2,647 3,901 0 2,420 8,968 0.2% 1.5% 5. Cariboo 9,588 514 0 300 10,402 2.4% 1.0% 6. North Coast 113,996 36221 0 11,981 162,198 0.0% -19.9% 7. Nechako 4,522 201 0 2,335 7,058 0.0% 1.2% 8. Northeast 11,887 18,009 0 7,001 36,897 -0.8% -0.9% Total 205,635 115,165 1452 27,890 350,142 -1.5% -15.9% Exhibit 2.7 Estimated Cost Trends in B.C. Major Projects ($ M) - 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000 450,000 500,000 2009Q2 2009Q4 2010Q2 2010Q4 2011Q2 2011Q4 2012Q2 2012Q4 2013Q2 2013Q4 2014Q2 2014Q4 2015Q2 2015Q4 2016Q2 2016Q4 2017Q2 2017Q4 2018Q2 2018Q4 2019Q2 Proposed Construction Started Completed On Hold Started Proposed
  • 14. B.C. ECONOMY Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 11 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training 3. B.C. Economy Exhibit 3.1 Economic Activity 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Real GDP +2.4 % +2.3 % +2.1 % +2.0 % +2.0% Source: B.C. Budget and Fiscal Plan 2019/20 – 2021/22 Most Recent Period Amount Change from previous month Change from previous year Data Type Retail trade ($ M) May-19 7,216 -0.2% -0.1% seasonally adjusted Manufacturing sales ($ M) Aug-19 4,267 -1.4% -7.7% seasonally adjusted Residential - building permits ($ M) Jul-19 867 -6.1% -17.8% seasonally adjusted Residential - housing starts (units) Aug-19 36,862 -27.5% -18.4% seasonally adjusted at annual rates Non-Residential building permits ($ M) Jul-19 603 48.1% 63.0% seasonally adjusted Exports - all merchandise ($ M) Jul-19 3,628 -5% -7.6% seasonally adjusted Prices B.C. Consumer price index (2002=100) Jul-19 132.4 0.1% 3.3% not seasonally adjusted Exchange rate Aug-19 US 0.75 -1.3% -1.8% not seasonally adjusted Average 5-year residential mortgage rate Aug-19 4.08% -0.06p.p. -0.35p.p. not seasonally adjusted Labour Market Employment Aug-19 2,561,600 -0.3% 3.0% seasonally adjusted Unemployment rate Aug-19 5.0% 0.6p.p. -0.1p.p. seasonally adjusted Participation rate Aug-19 65.6% 0.1p.p. 0.7p.p. seasonally adjusted Average weekly earnings Aug-19 1013.11 0.7% 3.2% seasonally adjusted Source: Statistics Canada & Bank of Canada Note: p.p. is percentage point, used here to show the difference between two percentage rates.
  • 15. B.C. ECONOMY Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 12 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Exhibit 3.2 Key Commodity Prices • The forestry price index increased by 5.4% in September and it is still lower (-14.8%) than a year ago. • Natural gas dropped to US$2.22/mm BTU, 26 percent decrease from the previous year. • Oil (WTI) decreased 5% to US$54.81/bbl in September, down by 22% from a year ago. • Copper remained unchanged compared to August 2019 and down by 5% from a year ago. • Gold increased by 1% in August compared to the previous month and is up greatly by 26% from a year ago. • Metallurgical coal (3 month moving average) decreased by 9.7% in September, and down 15.6% from a year ago. 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19 US$ Index (Jan 2013=100) Natural Gas (Henry Hub) Forestry Oil (WTI) Source: Forestry from Bank of Canada, Natural Gas and Oil from U.S. Energy Information Administration 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19 US$ Index (Jan 2013=100) Copper Met. Coal (3 mth moving average) Gold Source: B.C. Ministry of Energy and Mines, monthly average of daily values, Met. Coal: quarterly average to March 2016, 3- month moving average after March 2016
  • 16. B.C. ECONOMY Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 13 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Exhibit 3.3 Value of Building Permits Source: Statistics Canada During July, an average of $1.4 billion worth of building permits was issued in B.C. based on 3-month moving average, 24.9% decrease compared to the previous month and 7% decrease compared to the same month in the previous year. This drop is largely driven by the one-time surge in April due to changes in regulation getting out of the calculation of the 3-month moving average. Residential building permits value increased by 48.1% from June 2019 and by 63% compared to the same month in the previous year. Exhibit 3.4 Investment in Non-Residential Building Construction Source: Statistics Canada B.C. spending in non-residential building construction was increased by 0.5% from the previous month and up 36.5% from the previous year. The current level of non-residential building investment in July 2019 was $772.6 M. Note that this is building investment only and does not include infrastructure investment. 0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 Jul-14 Jul-15 Jul-16 Jul-17 Jul-18 Jul-19 MonthlyValue($'000) SeasonallyAdjusted Non-residential Residential 6-months moving average (Non-residential) 6-months moving average (Residential) - 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 800,000 900,000 2015-01 2015-04 2015-07 2015-10 2016-01 2016-04 2016-07 2016-10 2017-01 2017-04 2017-07 2017-10 2018-01 2018-04 2018-07 2018-10 2019-01 2019-04 2019-07 CurrentDollars($'000) (seasonallyadjusted)Thousands Total non-residential Total industrial Total commercial Total institutional and governmental
  • 17. B.C. ECONOMY Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 14 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Exhibit 3.5 B.C. Housing Starts Source: Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) Note: All housing starts are the sum of the major centres with populations more than 10,000. B.C.’s seasonally adjusted annualized housing starts increased to 53,352 units in May (8.4% increase from April). This increase is driven by increase in apartments since housing starts declined for other types of residences. The 6-month moving average of the series increased by 6.6% from the previous month and by 4.3% from a year ago. Exhibit 3.6 B.C. Construction Industry Employment Source: Statistics Canada; North American Industry Classification System (NAICS 23), not seasonally adjusted Employment levels in construction kept growing since May 2019. Employment month-over-month was unchanged while labour force decreased 0.5%. The unemployment rate in B.C.’s construction industry decreased 0.5 percentage points to the historical low: 2.1%. 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50,000 55,000 60,000 65,000 Aug-14 Aug-15 Aug-16 Aug-17 Aug-18 Aug-19 NumberofStarts (monthly,seasonallyadjustedatannual rates) Actual Housing Starts 6-month moving average 2 4 6 8 10 12 50 100 150 200 250 300 Aug-14 Aug-15 Aug-16 Aug-17 Aug-18 Aug-19 UnemploymentRate (%,3-mthmovingaverage) LabourForce&Employment ('000,3-mthmovingaverage) Labour Force Employment Unemployment Rate ( Right Scale)
  • 18. B.C. ECONOMY Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 15 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Exhibit 3.7 Manufacturing Sales Source: Statistic Canada In August, B.C.’s manufacturing sales dropped 1.4%, down to $4.3 B. In comparison to August 2018, sales declined 7.7%. 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200 Aug-14 Nov-14 Feb-15 May-15 Aug-15 Nov-15 Feb-16 May-16 Aug-16 Nov-16 Feb-17 May-17 Aug-17 Nov-17 Feb-18 May-18 Aug-18 Nov-18 Feb-19 May-19 Aug-19 Manufacturing Sales $B (seasonally adjusted) Employment '000s (seasonally adjusted) Manufacturing Employment Manufacturing Sales (right) Source: Statistics Canada. CANSIM Tables 16-10-0048-
  • 19. B.C. DEMOGRAPHICS Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 16 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training 4. B.C. Demographics Exhibit 4.1 Population by Age Group Source: BC Stats B.C.’s population is estimated to be 4.9 M in 2018. Over the next 5 years, the population is projected to grow 1.2% per year. 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 EstimatedPopulation('000s) 0 to 4 5 to 17 18 to 24 25 to 44 45 to 64 65+ 45 to 64 65+ 25 to 44 5 to 17 18 to 28 0 to 4
  • 20. REGIONAL SUMMARIES Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 17 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training 5. Regional Summaries Regional Labour Market Statistics – September 2019 Note: Employment growth is over the previous 12 months. Data for B.C. at the provincial level is seasonally adjusted. Data for the regions is not seasonally adjusted and is based on 3-month moving averages. This means that the data at the provincial level is not directly comparable to the regional data, but the data for each region is directly comparable with the other regions. Source: Statistics Canada Employment: 43,100 Employment Growth 0.7% Unemployment Rate: 4.9% Employment: 396,700 Employment Growth: -2.4% Unemployment Rate: 4.1% Employment: 82,000 Employment Growth: 0.9% Unemployment Rate: 6.8% Employment: 284,600 Employment Growth: 9.1% Unemployment Rate: 4.5% British Columbia Employment: 2,553,200 Employment Growth: 1.3% Unemployment Rate: 4.8% Labour Force: 2,682,300 Employment: 39,400 Employment Growth: -1.7% Unemployment Rate: 6.2% Employment: 1,663,400 Employment Growth: 3.4% Unemployment Rate: 4.9% Employment: 68,800 Employment Growth: -6.6% Unemployment Rate: 6.6%
  • 21. VANCOUVER ISLAND/COAST REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 18 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training 6. Vancouver Island/Coast Region Key Economic Indicators Exhibit 6.1 Population Growth 2017 - 2018 Source: BC Stats Exhibit 6.2 Value of Non-Residential Building Permits Source: BC Stats 0.7% 0.9% 4.1% 1.0% 0.4% 4.6% -4.0% -3.0% -2.0% -1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 0 to 19 years 20 to 64 years 65 years and over BC Vancouver Island and Coast 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 180,000 200,000 Q22014 Q42014 Q22015 Q32015 Q42015 Q12016 Q22016 Q32016 Q42016 Q12017 Q22017 Q32017 Q42017 Q12018 Q22018 Q32018 Q42018 Q12019 Q22019 CurrentDollars($'000) Industrial Commercial Institutional & Governmental Total Non-Residential
  • 22. VANCOUVER ISLAND/COAST REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 19 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Exhibit 6.3 Value of Residential Building Permits Source: BC Stats Exhibit 6.4 Housing Starts Source: CMHC 0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 Q22014 Q42014 Q22015 Q32015 Q42015 Q12016 Q22016 Q32016 Q42016 Q12017 Q22017 Q32017 Q42017 Q12018 Q22018 Q32018 Q42018 Q12019 Q22019 CurrentDollars($,'000) 1,887 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Q2-2015 Q3-2015 Q4-2015 Q1-2016 Q3-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 Q3-2018 Q4-2018 Q1-2019 Q2-2019 NumberofHousingStarts
  • 23. VANCOUVER ISLAND/COAST REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 20 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Trends in Major Projects Exhibit 6.5 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects ($ M) Vancouver Island/Coast Region • In Q2 2019, the Vancouver Island/Coast region has a total of 152 major projects with a combined value of $30.5 B. • There are 5 newly proposed projects added to the MPI this quarter West Langford Elementary and Middle School in Langford ($89 M), Victoria High School Upgrades ($80 M), Ucluelet Secondary School in Alberni ($33 M), Hammond Bay Elementary in Nanaimo-Ladysmith ($16 M) and the Haro Condominiums in Victoria. • Sandown Commons Retail Centre in North Saanich ($40 M), Jukebox Lofts ($35 M) and BlueSky Victoria Condominiums ($25 M) in Victoria were completed in this quarter. • Townley Lodge Redevelopment in Victoria ($18 M) began construction in this quarter. Exhibit 6.6 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects, by Project Status ($M) Vancouver Island/Coast Region Status 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2 Change from the previous quarter Change from the previous year Proposed 45,685 45,157 45,317 16,152 16,449 1.8% -64.0% Construction started 12,557 13,205 12,834 11,923 11,838 -0.7% -5.7% Completed 204 68 195 985 100 -89.8% -51.0% On hold 2,073 2,073 2,223 2,073 2,153 3.9% 3.9% Grand Total 60,519 60,503 60,569 31,133 30,540 -1.9% -49.5% - 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 2009Q2 2009Q3 2009Q4 2010Q1 2010Q2 2010Q3 2010Q4 2011Q1 2011Q2 2011Q3 2011Q4 2012Q1 2012Q2 2012Q3 2012Q4 2013Q1 2013Q2 2013Q3 2013Q4 2014Q1 2014Q2 2014Q3 2014Q4 2015Q1 2015Q2 2015Q3 2015Q4 2016Q1 2016Q2 2016Q3 2016Q4 2017Q1 2017Q2 2017Q3 2017Q4 2018Q1 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2 Proposed Construction Started Completed On Hold Started Proposed
  • 24. VANCOUVER ISLAND/COAST REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 21 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Exhibit 6.7 Summary of Major Projects (by Project Status) Vancouver Island/Coast Region Estimated Capital Cost ($ million) Percentage of Total Number of Projects Average Project Value ($ million) Average Year in Inventory Proposed 16,449 54% 81 222 6.2 Preliminary/Feasibility 3,565 12% 24 178 5.4 Consultation/Approvals 5,974 20% 36 181 6.4 Permitting 2643 9% 8 330 4.7 Tender/Preconstruction 101 0% 5 20 3.1 Stage Unknown 4166 14% 8 521 11.5 On hold 2,153 7% 11 215 11.2 Construction started 11,838 39% 57 211 7.8 Completed 100 0% 3 33 4.8 Total 30,540 100% 152 214 7.2 Notes: Average project value is the average of those projects for which there is a cost estimate. Average number of years in inventory is the average time span between the entry of the projects in the MPI and the current period. Exhibit 6.8 Major Projects Status, by Construction Subtype Vancouver Island/Coast Region Note: Oil and Gas Extraction includes LNG 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 Office Warehousing & Other Commercial Government & Other Institutional Retail Health Education Other Infrastructure Roads & Highways Recreation Accommodation Mixed use Residential Manufacturing Mining Utilities Oil & Gas ESTIMATED CAPITAL COST ($ MILLION) Completed Construction started On hold Proposed
  • 25. MAINLAND/SOUTHWEST REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 22 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training 7. Mainland/Southwest Region Key Economic Indicators Exhibit 7.1 Population Growth 2017 - 2018 Source: BC Stats Exhibit 7.2 Value of Non-Residential Building Permits Source: BC Stats 0.7% 0.9% 4.1% 0.6% 1.2% 3.9% -4.0% -3.0% -2.0% -1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 0 to 19 years 20 to 64 years 65 years and over BC Mainland-Southwest 0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 1,600,000 1,800,000 2,000,000 Q22015 Q32015 Q42015 Q12016 Q22016 Q32016 Q42016 Q12017 Q22017 Q32017 Q42017 Q12018 Q22018 Q32018 Q42018 Q12019 Q22019 CurrentDollars($'000) Industrial Commercial Institutional & Governmental Total Non-Residential
  • 26. MAINLAND/SOUTHWEST REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 23 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Exhibit 7.3 Value of Residential Building Permits Source: BC Stats Exhibit 7.4 Housing Starts Source: CMHC Note: The housing starts is the sum of the major centres: Abbotsford-Mission, Chilliwack, Squamish, and Vancouver. 0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000 Q22015 Q32015 Q42015 Q12016 Q22016 Q32016 Q42016 Q12017 Q22017 Q32017 Q42017 Q12018 Q22018 Q32018 Q42018 Q12019 Q22019 CurrentDollars($'000) 10,849 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 Q2-2015 Q3-2015 Q4-2015 Q1-2016 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 Q3-2018 Q4-2018 Q1-2019 Q2-2019 NumberofHousingStarts
  • 27. MAINLAND/SOUTHWEST REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 24 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Trends in Major Projects Exhibit 7.5 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects ($M) Mainland/Southwest Region • In Q2 2019, the Mainland/Southwest region has a total of 542 major projects with a combined value of $73.3 B, representing a 6.1% decrease over the previous quarter but still a 6.7% increase compared to one year earlier. • There are 15 newly proposed projects added to the MPI this quarter. The top three largest projects are DELTA SCM Grinding Facility ($142 M) and UBC’s Nursing and Kinesiology Building ($134 M) and Mathematics Building replacement ($118 M). See more new projects in Appendix 1. • Fifteen major projects were completed in this quarter, such as Narrows Inlet Hydro Project in Sechelt ($210 M), Ironworks Commercial Development in Vancouver ($90 M) and UBC - Biological Sciences Building addition and renovation ($88 M). See more completed projects in Appendix 3. • Twenty-five major projects began construction in this quarter with total capital costs of $1.58 B. The top three largest projects are Annacis Island Wastewater Treatment Plant upgrades ($550 M), Burnaby Gilmore Place mixed-use development ($100 M), and Grandview Heights Secondary School ($93 M). See more projects underway in Appendix 2. Exhibit 7.6 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects, by Project Status ($ M) Mainland/Southwest Region Status 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2 Change from the previous quarter Change from the previous year Proposed 38,912 39,725 46,522 47,607 41,898 -12.0% 7.7% Construction started 28,283 28,515 28,725 29,415 30,098 2.3% 6.4% Completed 600 451 384 643 933 45.1% 55.5% On hold 892 892 467 362 362 0.0% -59.4% Grand Total 68,687 69,583 76,098 78,027 73,291 -6.1% 6.7% - 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 2009Q2 2009Q3 2009Q4 2010Q1 2010Q2 2010Q3 2010Q4 2011Q1 2011Q2 2011Q3 2011Q4 2012Q1 2012Q2 2012Q3 2012Q4 2013Q1 2013Q2 2013Q3 2013Q4 2014Q1 2014Q2 2014Q3 2014Q4 2015Q1 2015Q2 2015Q3 2015Q4 2016Q1 2016Q2 2016Q3 2016Q4 2017Q1 2017Q2 2017Q3 2017Q4 2018Q1 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2 Proposed Construction Started Completed On Hold Started Proposed
  • 28. MAINLAND/SOUTHWEST REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 25 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Exhibit 7.8 Major Projects Status, by Construction Subtype Mainland/Southwest Region Note: Oil and Gas Extraction includes LNG 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 Office Warehousing & Other… Government & Other Institutional Retail Health Education Other Infrastructure Roads & Highways Recreation Accommodation Mixed use Residential Manufacturing Mining Utilities Oil & Gas ESTIMATED CAPITAL COST ($ MILLION) Completed Construction started On hold Proposed Exhibit 7.7 Summary of Major Projects (by Project Status) Mainland/Southwest Region Estimated Capital Cost ($ million) Percentage of Total Number of Projects Average Project Value ($ million) Average Year in Inventory Proposed 41,898 57% 283 165 4.4 Preliminary/Feasibility 10,668 15% 63 201 3.9 Consultation/Approvals 13,747 19% 121 128 4.8 Permitting 4,351 6% 22 218 3.4 Tender/Preconstruction 7,213 10% 56 134 3.0 Stage Unknown 5,919 8% 21 296 8.3 On Hold 362 0% 9 52 10.0 Construction Started 30,098 41% 233 133 4.7 Completed 933 1% 15 62 4.8 Total 73,291 100% 540 146 4.6 Notes: Average project value is the average of those projects for which there is a cost estimate. Average number of years in inventory is the average time span between the entry of the projects in the MPI and the current period.
  • 29. THOMPSON - OKANAGAN REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 26 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training 8. Thompson - Okanagan Region Key Economic Indicators Exhibit 8.1 Population Growth 2017 - 2018 Source: BC Stats Exhibit 8.2 Value of Non-Residential Building Permits Source: BC Stats 0.7% 0.9% 4.1% 1.3% 0.9% 3.7% -4.0% -3.0% -2.0% -1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 0 to 19 years 20 to 64 years 65 years and over BC Thompson-Okanagan 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 Q22015 Q32015 Q42015 Q12016 Q22016 Q32016 Q42016 Q12017 Q22017 Q32017 Q42017 Q12018 Q22018 Q32018 Q42018 Q12019 Q22019 CurretnDollars($'000) Industrial Commercial Institutional & Governmental Total Non-Residential
  • 30. THOMPSON - OKANAGAN REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 27 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Exhibit 8.3 Value of Residential Building Permits Source: BC Stats Exhibit 8.4 Housing Starts Source: CMHC Note: The housing starts is the sum of the major centres: Cranbrook, Kamloops, Kelowna, Penticton, Salmon Arm, Summerland, and Vernon. 0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 Q22015 Q32015 Q42015 Q12016 Q22016 Q32016 Q42016 Q12017 Q22017 Q32017 Q42017 Q12018 Q22018 Q32018 Q42018 Q12019 Q22019 CurretnDollars($'000) 987 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 Q2-2015 Q3-2015 Q4-2015 Q1-2016 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 Q3-2018 Q4-2018 Q1-2019 Q2-2019 NumberofHousingStarts
  • 31. THOMPSON - OKANAGAN REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 28 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Trends in Major Projects Exhibit 8.5 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects ($M) Thompson-Okanagan Region • In Q2 2019, the Thompson-Okanagan region has a total of 110 major projects with a combined value of $20.8 B, a 1.1% increase from previous quarter and 2.3% declined compared to one year earlier. • There are two newly proposed projects added to the MPI this quarter: UBC Okanagan - Industrial Scale Engineering Laboratory Expansion and Interdisciplinary Collaboration & Innovation Building ($130 M) in Kelowna, • Interior Heart and Surgical Centre in Kelowna ($381 M) and Canyon Falls Middle (formerly Okanagan Mission Junior Middle) ($38 M) were completed in this quarter. • Highway 1 Illecillewaet four laning in Revelstoke ($85 M) and UBC Okanagan ’s Skeena Residence ($25 M) and Nechako Residence ($51M) in Kelowna began construction in this quarter. Exhibit 8.6 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects, by Project Status ($ M) Thompson-Okanagan Region Status 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2 Change from the previous quarter Change from the previous year Proposed 5,210 4,276 4,533 4,581 4,648 1.5% -10.8% Construction started 14,438 14,387 14,516 14,641 14,383 -1.8% -0.4% Completed 0 90 183 0 419 0.0% 0.0% On hold 1,638 2,621 1,338 1,338 1,338 0.0% -18.3% Grand Total 21,286 21,374 20,570 20,560 20,788 1.1% -2.3% - 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 2009Q2 2009Q3 2009Q4 2010Q1 2010Q2 2010Q3 2010Q4 2011Q1 2011Q2 2011Q3 2011Q4 2012Q1 2012Q2 2012Q3 2012Q4 2013Q1 2013Q2 2013Q3 2013Q4 2014Q1 2014Q2 2014Q3 2014Q4 2015Q1 2015Q2 2015Q3 2015Q4 2016Q1 2016Q2 2016Q3 2016Q4 2017Q1 2017Q2 2017Q3 2017Q4 2018Q1 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2 Proposed Construction Started Completed On Hold Started Proposed
  • 32. THOMPSON - OKANAGAN REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 29 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Exhibit 8.8 Major Projects Status, by Construction Subtype Thompson-Okanagan Region 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 Office Warehousing & Other Commercial Government & Other Institutional Retail Health Education Other Infrastructure Roads & Highways Recreation Accommodation Mixed use Residential Manufacturing Mining Utilities Oil & Gas ESTIMATED CAPITAL COST ($ MILLION) Completed Construction started On hold Proposed Exhibit 8.7 Summary of Major Projects (by Project Status) Thompson-Okanagan Region Estimated Capital Cost ($ million) Percentage of Total Number of Projects Average Project Value ($ million) Average Year in Inventory Proposed 4,648 22% 44 116 6.5 Preliminary/Feasibility 845 4% 14 77 4.3 Consultation/Approvals 2,647 13% 15 176 8.3 Permitting 432 2% 5 86 7.4 Tender/Preconstruction 385 2% 3 128 1.7 Stage Unknown 339 2% 7 57 8.3 On hold 1,338 6% 6 223 12.6 Construction started 14,383 69% 58 252 9.2 Completed 419 2% 2 210 5.7 Total 20,788 100% 110 198 8.2 Notes: Average project value is the average of those projects for which there is a cost estimate. Average number of years in inventory is the average time span between the entry of the projects in the MPI and the current period.
  • 33. KOOTENAY REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 30 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training 9. Kootenay Region Key Economic Indicators Exhibit 9.1 Population Growth 2017 - 2018 Source: BC Stats Exhibit 9.2 Value of Non-Residential Building Permits Source: BC Stats 0.7% 0.9% 4.1% 0.3% 0.3% 3.5% -4.0% -3.0% -2.0% -1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 0 to 19 years 20 to 64 years 65 years and over BC Kootenay 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 Q22015 Q32015 Q42015 Q12016 Q22016 Q32016 Q42016 Q12017 Q22017 Q32017 Q42017 Q12018 Q22018 Q32018 Q42018 Q12019 Q22019 CurrentDollars($,'000) Industrial Commercial Institutional & Governmental Total Non-Residential
  • 34. KOOTENAY REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 31 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Exhibit 9.3 Value of Residential Building Permits Source: BC Stats Exhibit 9.4 Housing Starts - Nelson Source: CMHC 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 Q22015 Q32015 Q42015 Q12016 Q22016 Q32016 Q42016 Q12017 Q22017 Q32017 Q42017 Q12018 Q22018 Q32018 Q42018 Q12019 Q22019 CurrentDollars($,'000) 51 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Q2-2015 Q3-2015 Q4-2015 Q1-2016 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 Q3-2018 Q4-2018 Q1-2019 Q2-2019 NumberofHousingStarts
  • 35. KOOTENAY REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 32 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Trends in Major Projects Exhibit 9.5 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects ($M) Kootenay Region • In Q2 2019, the Kootenay region had a total of 29 major projects with nearly $9 B combined value, with a slight increase (0.2%) compared to the previous quarter, which represents a 1.5% increase compared to one year earlier. • Newly proposed College of the Rockies student housing ($18 M) in Cranbrook is added to the MPI this quarter. Exhibit 9.6 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects, by Project Status ($M) Kootenay Region Status 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2 Change from the previous quarter Change from the previous year Proposed 2,779 2,590 2,590 2,629 2,647 0.7% -4.7% Construction started 3,634 3,623 3,601 3,901 3,901 0.0% 7.3% Completed - 28 22 - - 0.0% 0.0% On hold 2,420 2,592 2,420 2,420 2,420 0.0% 0.0% Grand Total 8,833 8,833 8,633 8,950 8,968 0.2% 1.5% - 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 2009Q2 2009Q3 2009Q4 2010Q1 2010Q2 2010Q3 2010Q4 2011Q1 2011Q2 2011Q3 2011Q4 2012Q1 2012Q2 2012Q3 2012Q4 2013Q1 2013Q2 2013Q3 2013Q4 2014Q1 2014Q2 2014Q3 2014Q4 2015Q1 2015Q2 2015Q3 2015Q4 2016Q1 2016Q2 2016Q3 2016Q4 2017Q1 2017Q2 2017Q3 2017Q4 2018Q1 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2 Proposed Construction Started Completed On Hold Started Proposed
  • 36. KOOTENAY REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 33 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Exhibit 9.8 Major Projects Status, by Construction Subtype Kootenay Region 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 Office Warehousing & Other Commercial Government & Other Institutional Retail Health Education Other Infrastructure Roads & Highways Recreation Accommodation Mixed use Residential Manufacturing Mining Utilities Oil & Gas ESTIMATED CAPITAL COST ($ MILLION) Completed Construction started On hold Proposed Exhibit 9.7 Summary of Major Projects (by Project Status) Kootenay Region Estimated Capital Cost ($ million) Percentage of Total Number of Projects Average Project Value ($ million) Average Year in Inventory Proposed 2,647 30% 11 331 5.0 Preliminary/Feasibility 57 1% 4 29 2.0 Consultation/Approvals 2,540 28% 5 508 7.5 Permitting 0 0% 0 0 0.0 Tender/Preconstruction 0 0% 0 0 0.0 Stage Unknown 50 1% 2 50 5.0 On hold 2,420 27% 4 605 15.2 Construction started 3,901 43% 14 279 15.2 Completed 0 0% 0 0 0.0 Total 8,968 100% 29 345 11.3 Notes: Average project value is the average of those projects for which there is a cost estimate. Average number of years in inventory is the average time span between the entry of the projects in the MPI and the current period.
  • 37. CARIBOO REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 34 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training 10. Cariboo Region Key Economic Indicators Exhibit 10.1 Population Growth 2017 - 2018 Source: BC Stats Exhibit 10.2 Value of Non-Residential Building Permits Source: BC Stats 0.7% 0.9% 4.1% 0.7% 0.0% 4.0% -4.0% -3.0% -2.0% -1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 0 to 19 years 20 to 64 years 65 years and over BC Cariboo 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 Q22015 Q32015 Q42015 Q12016 Q22016 Q32016 Q42016 Q12017 Q22017 Q32017 Q42017 Q12018 Q22018 Q32018 Q42018 Q12019 Q22019 CurrentDollars($'000) Industrial Commercial Institutional & Governmental Total Non-Residential
  • 38. CARIBOO REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 35 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Exhibit 10.3 Value of Residential Building Permits Source: BC Stats Exhibit 10.4 Housing Starts Source: CMHC Note: The housing starts is the sum of the major centres: Prince George, Quesnel, and Williams Lake 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 Q22015 Q32015 Q42015 Q12016 Q22016 Q32016 Q42016 Q12017 Q22017 Q32017 Q42017 Q12018 Q22018 Q32018 Q42018 Q12019 Q22019 CurrentDollars($'000) 119 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 Q2-2015 Q3-2015 Q4-2015 Q1-2016 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q3-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 Q3-2018 Q4-2018 Q1-2019 Q2-2019 NumberofHousingStarts
  • 39. CARIBOO REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 36 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Trends in Major Projects Exhibit 10.5 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects ($ M) Cariboo Region • In Q2 2019, the Cariboo region had a total of 25 major projects with a combined value of $10.4 B, a 2.4% increase from the previous quarter and up 1.0% compared to the same quarter last year. • GR Baker Memorial hospital upgrades in Quesnel ($27 M) was newly proposed in this quarter. • Trans Mountain Pipeline Expansion was removed from “on hold” status to “proposed” stage in this quarter. Exhibit 10.6 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects, by Project Status ($M) Cariboo Region Status 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2 Change from the previous quarter Change from the previous year Proposed 8,443 8,343 4,843 4,843 9,588 98.0% 13.6% Construction started 559 559 514 514 514 0.0% -8.1% Completed 0 0 43 0 0 0.0% 0.0% On hold 1,300 1,400 4,800 4,800 300 -93.8% -76.9% Grand Total 10,302 10,302 10,200 10,157 10,402 2.4% 1.0% - 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 2009Q2 2009Q3 2009Q4 2010Q1 2010Q2 2010Q3 2010Q4 2011Q1 2011Q2 2011Q3 2011Q4 2012Q1 2012Q2 2012Q3 2012Q4 2013Q1 2013Q2 2013Q3 2013Q4 2014Q1 2014Q2 2014Q3 2014Q4 2015Q1 2015Q2 2015Q3 2015Q4 2016Q1 2016Q2 2016Q3 2016Q4 2017Q1 2017Q2 2017Q3 2017Q4 2018Q1 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2 Proposed Construction Started Completed On Hold Started Proposed
  • 40. CARIBOO REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 37 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Exhibit 10.8 Major Projects Status, by Construction Subtype Cariboo Region Note: Oil and Gas Extraction includes LNG 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 Office Warehousing & Other… Government & Other Institutional Retail Health Education Other Infrastructure Roads & Highways Recreation Accommodation Mixed use Residential Manufacturing Mining Utilities Oil & Gas ESTIMATED CAPITAL COST ($ MILLION) Completed Construction started On hold Proposed Exhibit 10.7 Summary of Major Projects (by Project Status) Cariboo Region Estimated Capital Cost ($ million) Percentage of Total Number of Projects Average Project Value ($ million) Average Year in Inventory Proposed 9,588 92% 20 505 8.6 Preliminary/Feasibility 1,019 10% 6 204 4.8 Consultation/Approvals 8,439 81% 10 844 9.2 Permitting 0 0% 0 0 0.0 Tender/Preconstruction 60 1% 1 60 20.3 Stage Unknown 70 1% 3 23 10.3 On hold 300 3% 2 150 15.2 Construction started 514 5% 3 171 6.3 Completed 0 0% 0 0 0.0 Total 10,402 100% 25 433 8.9 Notes: Average project value is the average of those projects for which there is a cost estimate. Average number of years in inventory is the average time span between the entry of the projects in the MPI and the current period.
  • 41. NORTH COAST REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 38 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training 11. North Coast Region Key Economic Indicators Exhibit 11.1 Population Growth 2017-2018 Source: BC Stats Exhibit 11.2 Value of Non-Residential Building Permits Source: BC Stats 0.7% 0.9% 4.1% -0.7% -0.4% 3.7% -1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 0 to 19 years 20 to 64 years 65 years and over BC North Coast 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 Q22015 Q32015 Q42015 Q12016 Q22016 Q32016 Q42016 Q12017 Q22017 Q32017 Q42017 Q12018 Q22018 Q32018 Q42018 Q12019 Q22019 CurrentDollars($'000) Industrial Commercial Institutional & Governmental Total Non-Residential
  • 42. NORTH COAST REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 39 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Exhibit 11.3 Value of Residential Building Permits Source: BC Stats Exhibit 11.4 Housing Starts – North Coast Source: CMHC Note: The housing starts is the sum of the major centres: Prince Rupert and Terrace. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 Q22015 Q32015 Q42015 Q12016 Q22016 Q32016 Q42016 Q12017 Q22017 Q32017 Q42017 Q12018 Q22018 Q32018 Q42018 Q12019 Q22019 CurrentDollars($'000) 43 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Q2-2015 Q3-2015 Q4-2015 Q1-2016 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 Q3-2018 Q4-2018 Q1-2019 Q2-2019 NumberofHousingStarts
  • 43. NORTH COAST REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 40 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Trends in Major Projects Exhibit 11.5 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects ($M) North Coast Region In Q2 2019, the North Coast region has a total of 52 major projects with a combined value of $162.2 B, remaining the same as the previous quarter but declining 19.9%compared to one year earlier. Exhibit 11.6 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects, by Project Status ($M) North Coast Region Status 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2 Change from the previous quarter Change from the previous year Proposed 187,963 178,348 138,612 113,548 113,996 0.4% -39.4% Construction started 669 669 36696 36221 36221 0.0% 5314.2% Completed 15 0 18 475 0 0.0% 0.0% On hold 13,770 13,770 11,981 11,981 11,981 0.0% -13.0% Grand Total 202,417 192,787 187,307 162,225 162,198 0.0% -19.9% - 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 2009Q2 2009Q3 2009Q4 2010Q1 2010Q2 2010Q3 2010Q4 2011Q1 2011Q2 2011Q3 2011Q4 2012Q1 2012Q2 2012Q3 2012Q4 2013Q1 2013Q2 2013Q3 2013Q4 2014Q1 2014Q2 2014Q3 2014Q4 2015Q1 2015Q2 2015Q3 2015Q4 2016Q1 2016Q2 2016Q3 2016Q4 2017Q1 2017Q2 2017Q3 2017Q4 2018Q1 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2 Proposed Construction Started Completed On Hold Started Proposed
  • 44. NORTH COAST REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 41 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Exhibit 11.8 Major Projects Status, by Construction Subtype North Coast Region Note: Oil and Gas Extraction includes LNG 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 Office Warehousing & Other Commercial Government & Other Institutional Retail Health Education Other Infrastructure Roads & Highways Recreation Accommodation Mixed use Residential Manufacturing Mining Utilities Oil & Gas ESTIMATED CAPITAL COST ($ MILLION) Completed Construction started On hold Proposed $107.1 B Exhibit 11.7 Summary of Major Projects (by Project Status) North Coast Region Estimated Capital Cost ($ million) Percentage of Total Number of Projects Average Project Value ($ million) Average Year in Inventory Proposed 113,996 70% 39 3,677 7.1 Preliminary/Feasibility 34,415 21% 12 3,824 5.2 Consultation/Approvals 28,560 18% 16 2,040 7.3 Permitting 39,800 25% 5 13,267 9.0 Tender/Preconstruction 6000 4% 2 6000 7.2 Stage Unknown 5,221 3% 4 1,305 9.8 On hold 11,981 7% 8 1,712 12.0 Construction started 36221 22% 5 7244.2 4.0 Completed 0 0% 0 0 0.0 Total 162,198 100% 52 3,772 7.6 Notes: Average project value is the average of those projects for which there is a cost estimate. Average number of years in inventory is the average time span between the entry of the projects in the MPI and the current period.
  • 45. NECHAKO REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 42 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training 12. Nechako Region Key Economic Indicators Exhibit 12.1 Population Growth 2017-2018 Source: BC Stats Exhibit 12.2 Value of Non-Residential Building Permits Source: BC Stats 0.7% 0.9% 4.1% 0.2% -0.3% 6.4% -4.0% -2.0% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 0 to 19 years 20 to 64 years 65 years and over BC Nechako 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 Q22015 Q32015 Q42015 Q12016 Q22016 Q32016 Q42016 Q12017 Q22017 Q32017 Q42017 Q12018 Q22018 Q32018 Q42018 Q12019 Q22019 CurrentDollars($'000) Industrial Commercial Institutional & Governmental Total Non-Residential
  • 46. NECHAKO REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 43 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Exhibit 12.3 Value of Residential Building Permits Source: BC Stats 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 Q22015 Q32015 Q42015 Q12016 Q22016 Q32016 Q42016 Q12017 Q22017 Q32017 Q42017 Q12018 Q22018 Q32018 Q42018 Q12019 Q22019 CurrentDollars($'000)
  • 47. NECHAKO REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 44 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Trends in Major Projects Exhibit 12.4 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects ($M) Nechako Region In Q2 2019, the Nechako region has a total of 20 major projects with a combined value of $7.1 B, remained the same level as the previous quarter and a 1.2% increase from the previous year. Exhibit 12.5 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects, by Project Status ($M) Nechako Region Status 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2 Change from the previous quarter Change from the previous year Proposed 4,390 4,472 4,522 4,522 4,522 0.0% 3.0% Construction started 251 201 201 201 201 0.0% -19.9% Completed 0 50 0 0 0 0.0% 0.0% On hold 2,335 2,335 2,335 2,335 2,335 0.0% 0.0% Grand Total 6,976 7,058 7,058 7,058 7,058 0.0% 1.2% - 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 2009Q2 2009Q3 2009Q4 2010Q1 2010Q2 2010Q3 2010Q4 2011Q1 2011Q2 2011Q3 2011Q4 2012Q1 2012Q2 2012Q3 2012Q4 2013Q1 2013Q2 2013Q3 2013Q4 2014Q1 2014Q2 2014Q3 2014Q4 2015Q1 2015Q2 2015Q3 2015Q4 2016Q1 2016Q2 2016Q3 2016Q4 2017Q1 2017Q2 2017Q3 2017Q4 2018Q1 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2 Proposed Construction Started Completed On Hold on hold Proposed
  • 48. NECHAKO REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 45 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Exhibit 12.7 Major Projects Status, by Construction Subtype Nechako Region 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 Office Warehousing & Other Commercial Government & Other Institutional Retail Health Education Other Infrastructure Roads & Highways Recreation Accommodation Mixed use Residential Manufacturing Mining Utilities Oil & Gas ESTIMATED CAPITAL COST ($ MILLION) Completed Construction started On hold Proposed Exhibit 12.6 Summary of Major Projects (by Project Status) Nechako Region Estimated Capital Cost ($ million) Percentage of Total Number of Projects Average Project Value ($ million) Average Year in Inventory Proposed 4,522 64% 14 348 9.1 Preliminary/Feasibility 925 13% 3 308 8.7 Consultation/Approvals 2,268 32% 8 284 10.1 Permitting 0 0% 0 0 0.0 Tender/Preconstruction 29 0% 1 29 1.1 Stage Unknown 1,300 18% 2 1300 9.8 On hold 2,335 33% 5 467 13.7 Construction started 201 3% 1 201 7.6 Completed 0 0% 0 0 0.0 Total 7,058 100% 20 371 10.2 Notes: Average project value is the average of those projects for which there is a cost estimate. Average number of years in inventory is the average time span between the entry of the projects in the MPI and the current period.
  • 49. NORTHEAST REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 46 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training 13. Northeast Region Key Economic Indicators Exhibit 13.1 Population Growth 2017-2018 Source: BC Stats Exhibit 13.2 Value of Non-Residential Building Permits Source: BC Stats 0.7% 0.9% 4.1% -0.1% -0.4% 5.6% -4.0% -2.0% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 0 to 19 years 20 to 64 years 65 years and over BC Northeast 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 Q22015 Q32015 Q42015 Q12016 Q22016 Q32016 Q42016 Q12017 Q22017 Q32017 Q42017 Q12018 Q22018 Q32018 Q42018 Q12019 Q22019 CurrentDollars($'000) Industrial Commercial Institutional & Governmental Total Non-Residential
  • 50. NORTHEAST REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 47 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Exhibit 13.3 Value of Residential Building Permits Source: BC Stats Exhibit 13.4 Housing Starts Source: CMHC Note: The housing starts is the sum of the major centres: Dawson Creek and Fort St. John 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50,000 Q22015 Q32015 Q42015 Q12016 Q22016 Q32016 Q42016 Q12017 Q22017 Q32017 Q42017 Q12018 Q22018 Q32018 Q42018 Q12019 Q22019 CurrentDollars($'000) 26 0 50 100 150 200 250 Q2-2015 Q3-2015 Q4-2015 Q1-2016 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 Q3-2018 Q4-2018 Q1-2019 Q2-2019 NumberofHousingStarts
  • 51. NORTHEAST REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 48 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Trends in Major Projects Exhibit 13.5 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects ($M) Northeast Region In Q2 2019, the Northeast region has a total of 47 major projects with a combined value of $36.9 B, representing a 0.8% decrease over the previous quarter and a 0.9% decrease compared to one year earlier. Exhibit 13.6 Estimated Cost Trends in Major Projects, by Project Status ($M) Northeast Region Status 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2 Change from the previous quarter Change from the previous year Proposed 18,292 18,140 13,402 11,887 11,887 0.0% -35.0% Construction started 13,281 13,247 18,279 18,009 18,009 0.0% 35.6% Completed 170 61 1369 290 0 0.0% 0.0% On hold 5,501 5,626 5,501 7,001 7,001 0.0% 27.3% Grand Total 37,244 37,074 38,551 37,187 36,897 -0.8% -0.9% - 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 2009Q2 2009Q3 2009Q4 2010Q1 2010Q2 2010Q3 2010Q4 2011Q1 2011Q2 2011Q3 2011Q4 2012Q1 2012Q2 2012Q3 2012Q4 2013Q1 2013Q2 2013Q3 2013Q4 2014Q1 2014Q2 2014Q3 2014Q4 2015Q1 2015Q2 2015Q3 2015Q4 2016Q1 2016Q2 2016Q3 2016Q4 2017Q1 2017Q2 2017Q3 2017Q4 2018Q1 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2 Proposed Construction Started Completed On Hold Proposed Started
  • 52. NORTHEAST REGION Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 49 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Exhibit 13.8 Major Projects Status, by Construction Subtype Northeast Region Note: Oil and Gas Extraction includes LNG 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 Office Warehousing & Other Commercial Government & Other Institutional Retail Health Education Other Infrastructure Roads & Highways Recreation Accommodation Mixed use Residential Manufacturing Mining Utilities Oil & Gas ESTIMATED CAPITAL COST ($ MILLION) Completed Construction started On hold Proposed Exhibit 13.7 Summary of Major Projects (by Project Status) Northeast Region Estimated Capital Cost ($ million) Percentage of Total Number of Projects Average Project Value ($ million) Average Year in Inventory Proposed 11,887 32% 27 517 6.5 Preliminary/Feasibility 100 0% 2 50 1.2 Consultation/Approvals 7,707 21% 18 482 7.8 Permitting 4,000 11% 4 2000 3.8 Tender/Preconstruction 65 0% 2 33 4.0 Stage Unknown 15 0% 1 15 8.6 On hold 7,001 19% 9 778 8.8 Construction started 18,009 49% 11 1637 4.6 Completed 0 0% 0 0 0.0 Total 36,897 100% 47 858 6.5 Notes: Average project value is the average of those projects for which there is a cost estimate. Average number of years in inventory is the average time span between the entry of the projects in the MPI and the current period.
  • 53. APPENDICES Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 50 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Appendices Appendix 1 New Proposed Projects (April - June 2019) Region Municipality Project Estimated Cost ($ million) 1. Vancouver Island/Coast Langford West Langford Elementary and Middle School 89 Victoria Victoria High School Upgrades 80 The Haro Condominiums n/a Alberni Ucluelet Secondary School 33 Nanaimo- Ladysmith Hammond Bay Elementary 16 2. Mainland/Southwest Abbotsford The News Urban Homes 35 Burnaby South Burnaby Arena 45 Western Canada Tennis Centre 30 Delta SCM Grinding Facility 142 Mission Wren = Raven Condominiums 30 Richmond Galleria Condominiums 100 Vancouver UBC - Nursing and Kinesiology Building 134 UBC - Mathematics Building Replacement 118 Affordable Housing Development 49 Condominium Development - 1298 East Hastings Street 38 Union Gospel Mission Women's Centre 36 Condominium Development 28 Robson & Cardero Condominium 28 Condominium Development - 1967 East Hastings 22 Dunbar Ryerson United Church Redevelopment 20 3. Thompson-Okanagan Kelowna UBC Okanagan - Interdisciplinary Collaboration & Innovation Building 130 UBC Okanagan - Industrial Scale Engineering Laboratory Expansion n/a 4. Kootenay Cranbrook Student Housing 18 5. Cariboo Quesnel GR Baker Memorial Hospital Upgrades 27 Grand Total 1,248
  • 54. APPENDICES Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 51 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Appendix 2 Construction Started (April - June 2019) Region Municipality Project Completion Date Estimated Cost ($ million) 1. Vancouver Island/Coast Saanich Townley Lodge Redevelopment 2020-Q3 18 2. Mainland/Southwest Abbotsford Court Condominium 2020-Q3 25 Mount Lehman Substation Expansion Project 2022-Q2 59 Burnaby Condominium Development 28 Gilmore Place Mixed-Use Development 2022-Q4 100 Akimbo Condominium Tower 2021-Q4 35 SFU - Stadium 2020-Q3 20 Coquitlam Irvine Elementary School Replacement 2020-Q4 24 Delta Annacis Island Wastewater Treatment Plant Upgrades 2020-Q2 550 Langley The Wesley Lowrise Condominium 2020-Q3 20 Westbrooke at Willoughby 2020-Q2 28 Latimer Heights Community 2021-Q4 50 New Westminster 618 Carnarvon Condominium 2021-Q4 48 North Vancouver Park West at Lions Gate Condominiums 2021-Q3 40 Crest by Adera 2020-Q4 28 Capilano Substation Upgrade Project 2024-Q2 87 Squamish Vantage Condominiums 2020-Q1 20 Surrey Grandview Heights Secondary 2021-Q3 93 Spectator Arena 2020-Q1 52 Douglas Area Elementary 2021-Q1 33 Aloha Estates 2020-Q3 23 Avani Centre Condominium 2021-Q2 35 Vancouver Condominium Development - 1335 Howe Street 2020-Q4 45 Avenue One Condominiums 2020-Q4 44 Fraser Commons at Marine 2021-Q2 50 Gateway (Park Royal) Condominiums 2020-Q4 40 3. Thompson-Okanagan Kelowna UBC Okanagan - Skeena Residence 2020-Q3 25 UBC Okanagan - Nechako Residence 2021-Q2 51 Revelstoke Highway 1 Illecillewaet Four Laning 2022-Q2 85 Grand Total 1756
  • 55. APPENDICES Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 52 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Appendix 3 Construction Completed (April - June 2019) Region Municipality Project Estimated Cost ($ million) 1. Vancouver Island/Coast North Saanich Sandown Commons Retail Centre 40 Victoria BlueSky Victoria Condominiums 35 Jukebox Lofts 25 2. Mainland/Southwest Burnaby The Seasons Condominium 20 Langley Gloucester Industrial Park - Northeast Quadrant 20 Willoughby Slope Secondary School 59 Lillooet Bridge River 2 Units 5 and 6 Upgrade Project 86 North Vancouver City Operations Centre 20 Port Coquitlam Ecole Des Pionniers-De-Maillardville Elementary- Secondary 33 Richmond Park Estates - Concord Gardens 45 IntraUrban Rivershore Industrial Park 68 Sechelt Narrows Inlet Hydro Project 210 Squamish Cheakamus Unit 1 and Unit 2 Generator Replacement 74 Vancouver The Jervis Condominium 20 Ironworks Commercial Development 90 Cambria Park Condominium Development 20 Shannon Wall Centre Residential Development 80 UBC - Biological Sciences Building Addition and Renovation 88 3. Thompson- Okanagan Kelowna Interior Heart and Surgical Centre 381 Canyon Falls Middle (formerly Okanagan Mission Junior Middle) 38 Grand Total 1452
  • 56. APPENDICES Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 53 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Appendix 4 Project Value and Project Status for each Industry Sector – (April - June 2019) Proposed Construction started Completed On hold Total Oil and Gas 82,265 42,200 - 2,984 127,449 Utilities 12,212 16,240 370 7,094 35,916 Mining 21,063 301 - 13,967 35,331 Manufacturing 36,247 90 - 0 36,337 Residential 12,894 22,474 245 224 35,837 Mixed Use 5,336 11,163 - 1,000 17,499 Accommodation 7,878 4,424 - 1,356 13,658 Recreation 6,466 4,030 - 1,125 11,621 Roads & Highways 5,884 2,529 - 60 8,473 Other Infrastructure 4,750 2,963 - 0 7,713 Education 4,339 1,422 218 0 5,979 Health 4,056 2,036 381 0 6,473 Retail 650 2,808 40 0 3,498 Government & Other Institutional 281 1,670 20 0 1,971 Warehousing & Other Commercial 962 705 178 0 1,845 Office 352 110 - 80 542 Total 205,635 115,165 1,452 27,890 350,142
  • 57. APPENDICES Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 54 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Appendix 5 Number of Regional Major Projects Excluding Completed Projects (by Project Category) Development Region Residential/ Commercial Transportation & Warehousing Mining, Oil & Gas Extraction Utilities Manufacturing Public Services Other Services Total Vancouver Island/Coast 95 9 4 16 0 17 8 149 Mainland/Southwest 357 41 4 34 4 70 15 525 Thompson-Okanagan 55 11 3 19 1 14 5 108 Kootenay 10 1 7 3 0 3 5 29 Cariboo 5 3 6 7 1 3 0 25 North Coast 2 11 22 10 5 1 1 52 Nechako 1 1 12 4 0 2 0 20 Northeast 2 7 15 18 2 3 0 47 Total 526 84 73 111 13 113 34 955
  • 58. B.C. GOVERNMENT CONTACT Q2 2019 British Columbia Major Projects Inventory Page | 55 © Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training B.C. Government Contact Man Wang, Ministry of Advanced Education, Skills and Training Tel: (778) 698-7681 Email: Man.Wang@gov.bc.ca www.majorprojectsinventory.com