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Understanding the Switch Theory 
Root Cause Analysis and Leadership – The Core of a Successful Continuous Improvement 
Effort in your Organization 
By Josh Hoops, UMS Group Inc. 
Leadership WILL Be The Difference! 
What is the difference between a problem and a root cause?  The answer is not as simple as one might think.  Most 
people can give you a general definition of the two, at a hypothetical or even a theoretical level.  However, when an 
unfortunate event occurs in your organization, these two terms often become interchangeable.  Some may say it’s 
the “chicken or egg problem”.  I call it a “self‐licking ice cream cone”, always working but never really satisfied.  
Ultimately, you can’t understand the real reason for a near miss or actual incident without being able to define the 
problem  in  the  first  place.    Likewise,  some  may  argue  you  can’t  understand  a  problem  without  having  full 
comprehension of the root causes and events that led to the problem. 
Root Cause Analysis comes in many forms.  There are diagrams and steps and 
processes one “must follow” in order to achieve results.  However, RCA is 
much more than defining a root cause.  It’s what the organization does with 
the results that defines the level of success achieved.  At the core of any 
successful organization is the ability for that organization to learn from their 
mistakes.  This  all  starts  with  the  organization’s  leaders.    The  drumbeat  of 
continuous  improvement  must  be  constant…  and  consistent  across  the 
organization. 
During my time in the U.S. Navy, while serving as an officer on board Submarines for over 26 years, I learned the 
most vital component in leadership is consistency.  The U.S. Nuclear Navy has undeniably one of the best RCA 
systems in the world.  However, it would be a worthless pile of paperwork, binders, and databases if it were not for 
the involvement of its leaders.  Continuous improvement must be ingrained in the organization’s culture.  Again, this 
starts with the leadership.  Establishing a drumbeat and continually driving for improvement must be a daily activity 
from the CEO all the way to the operator/technician/mechanic/clerk.  I used to ask my most junior sailors on any 
given day “What are we getting better at today?”, and when their response was exactly what I was thinking, I felt I 
had achieved absolute utopia.  Consistent, and constant communication was the key to achieving our goals for 
continuous improvement.   
If you get 10 people in a room and ask them to describe a successful 
RCA program, you will inevitably get 10 different answers, and many 
if not most, are likely to be correct!  The point is that a complete RCA 
program,  well  implemented,  can  dramatically  improve  the  many 
different  facets  of  safety,  operations,  maintenance,  and  training 
throughout  the  organization.    And  in  an  immature  program,  most 
people will have different views of what success looks like. 
 
 
Switching to Success 
The switch theory is an excellent method for understanding the true nature and getting to the root causes of any 
untoward event.  Although there are many different methods for conducting an RCA investigation, the switch theory 
 
is a simple and easy method for determining the most significant factors that led up to the problem.  Below is a 
simplistic diagram of how the switch theory can unfold the story of an incident or near miss. 
The idea here is that a problem will occur only when all of the switches are closed.  In this example there are three 
causes, three conditions, and an action by a worker.  If any of these seven events had not occurred, the event would 
not have happened.  It is then up to the organization (leadership) to determine the best method to prevent all the 
switches from closing in the future.   
Development of an effective and consistent RCA program is vital to the success of the organization.  In the more 
advanced organizations, these analyses look beyond the immediate event and determine where and how these 
organizations can apply these actions in other methods or forms to prevent additional / different problems from 
occurring.  This is where an effective RCA program can be a vital part of any organization. 
 
An effective RCA program achieves the following: 
 
1. Defines the problem(s) – Although this may seem rather simple, I have sat through more critiques/RCA 
sessions than I care to remember, arguing with some very smart people over the definition of a problem.  
This can be a very difficult concept to grasp.  It usually takes someone looking in, from outside the event, 
to assist in accurately defining the problem. 
2. Identifies contributing factors, conditions, and causes – Again, 
this  may  seem  straightforward  to  most  people.    However, 
when you have a group of people with different perspectives 
on any given event, they will undoubtedly see each of these 
items differently.  Most people have heard of the “five whys”.  
This is an excellent system for getting down to the actual root 
causes of an event.  However, it is vital to capture each level of 
the “whys” and analyze them independently.  There may be a 
seemingly “insignificant” factor buried in one of these “whys” 
that could save someone’s life down the road. 
3. Develops  immediate,  short‐term,  and  long‐term  corrective 
actions – Determining corrective actions can be very difficult; 
determining  effective  corrective  actions  even  more  so.  
Unfortunately, this step in the process occurs late in the investigation and usually does not get the full 
attention it deserves. 
4. Initiates Follow Up – By far this most IMPORTANT part of an effective RCA program is dependent upon the 
organization’s  processes  and  determination  to  follow  up  on  the  corrective  actions.    This  is  where 
leadership’s involvement is paramount.  More often than not, the RCA is conducted and actions are defined 
and promulgated; only to be left with no follow up or further direction.  A system MUST be in place to go 
back  and  determine  the  effectiveness  of  the  corrective  actions.    Most  importantly,  the  process  must 
redefine new actions if the original corrective actions are determined to be ineffective.  Unfortunately, this 
can become a lengthy and iterative process.  However, with the proper leadership and “buy‐in” throughout 
the organization, follow up will eventually become second nature and be ingrained in the organization’s 
culture. 
 
 
Continuous improvement starts with leadership.  An effective RCA program is an excellent tool that leadership can 
leverage to improve many different aspects of the organization; safety, operations, maintenance, environmental, 
training, etc.  However, real success depends on constant and effective communication regarding the importance 
and success of the RCA program.  Remember, it is important to celebrate the wins across your organization!  Once 
your team realizes how important continuous improvement is, they will respond accordingly and RCA will become 
part of your day‐to‐day successes and achievements. 
 
Josh Hoops is a Senior Associate with UMS Group Inc.  UMS Group is a Management Consulting firm specializing in 
Asset Management, Enterprise Performance Management and Learning Consortia; working primarily within the 
utility industry.  He has been involved with Asset Management Assessment and Transformation projects, as well as 
Corporate Governance, Operational Efficiency, and other Management Performance projects with major utilities 
across the globe. 

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Understanding the Switch Theory - Root Cause Analysis and Leadership by Josh Hoops