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Fracking
America’s Alternative Energy Revolution
America’s Alternative Energy
Revolution
America’s Alternative Energy
Revolution
 History
 Current Status
 A Few Basics
 Investing in Energy
 Environmental Issues
 Policy Issues
 Q & A
 Experiments began in 1947
 Success by 1998: George Mitchell
 2.5M wells have been fracked in U S: 60% of all wells
 Hydraulic fracturing has added to US inventory:
 9 Bbbls of oil
 700Tcf of gas
 Industry employment
increased by 27% from 2010 to 20142
virtually all of the net employment gain in U S
 Six major fields - independently developed
 Barnett 119,000 jobs; $100B economic activity
 Bakken 214,000 jobs; $12B
 Haynesville 100,000 jobs; $40B
 Fayetteville 28,000 jobs; $22B
 Marcellus 65,000 jobs; $11B
 Utica 13,000 jobs; $1.7B
 Eagle Ford 12,000 jobs; $3B
 Man Bites Dog?
 Federal government vs. local, state regulators, legislators
 E & P: Exploration and Production
 Find it, extract it
 Midstream
 Pipe it
 Downstream
 Refine, store and ship it
 Majors and Independents
 Whose on First?
 Suppliers
 E & P
 Find it, size it, drill it, produce it
 Midstream
 Pipelines; storage; separation; forwarding
 Downstream
 Refine, distill, store
 Information Sources
 www.mlpdata.com
 www.finviz.com
 www.quantumonline.com
 Formats
 Direct security ownership
 Stocks or bonds
 Indirect Ownership
 ETFs
 ETNs
 CEFs
 Mutual funds
 Income vs. Growth
 Investing upstream: growth emphasis
 Investing midstream & downstream: income emphasis
 Tax Issues
 K-1 vs. 1099
 Leverage Issues
 Enhances yield, at risk of capital
 Yield
 Pure distribution rights vs. enhanced yield
 Expenses
 Portfolio, management, market, debt, distribution rights
 Risks: macro, industrial, political, portfolio
 Build a $1M Retirement Portfolio with 5% Yield
 70% to your design criteria = 4%
 30% to energy stocks = 7%
 10% E&P 8% yield
 10% Midstream 7% yield
 10% downstream 6% yield
 Reduced GGEs – greenhouse gas emissions
 Lowest in US since 1994
 CO2 emissions continue plummeting
 feedback mechanism
 Reduced imports from less aware nations
 Reduced environmental site impact via technology
 Increased tax revenues available to EPA, EIA, et al
 EUR: estimated ultimate recovery
 correlation to price, access, technology varies
 Accessibility: majors vs. independents
 HSE: health, safety and environment
 Get in, get down, get fracked, get it out
 20-30 days in 2011 has become 10-15 days today
 Crude, gas and NGL pricing
 $125 has become $48: whence pricing?
 Gas remains a ‘stranded’ power source, pricewise
 Universality of delivery, pricing challenges for NGLs
 Political, regulatory, legislative
 Local, state, national
 XL pipeline; LNG/crude exports
 EPA vs. an informed citizenry
 Global
 Stranded markets are becoming global markets
 Qatar, Indonesia, Australia, US - LNG exports
 India, China, Japan, European - LNG imports
 Energy politics vs. Energy policy
 Decade of lead time for U S
 Landowners rights
 energy industry workers, skills & technology
 Power generation for a global emerging middle class
 2B new admissions to global consumption pool by 2050
 Reduced imports
 44% over 2007
 Employment
 1.6M new jobs since 2008
 5M by 2030
 -130,000 since 12/14!
 Tax revenue
 $85B in 2014
 Improved local infrastructure
 Local employment, gross income
 Capital recycling: new schools, cars, trucks and toys
 Participate in the New American Revolution
 Enjoy significant yield advantages
 Enhance portfolio growth potential
 Diversify globally without leaving home
 Manage a client’s portfolio with a moderation of risk
 Moderate growth potential with yield opportunities
 Risks:
 excess supply coupled to demand shortfall
 Political, environmental, economic & regulatory
www.frackusa.com
www.jveventsgroup.com/mlpguest
Featured Speakers:
Greg Reid – Salient
Brian Sulley- Tortoise Capital Advisors
Jerry Swank – Cushing Asset Management
Jeremy Held – ALPS Portfolio Solutions
Kristina Kazarian – Deutsche Bank
Scott Dillow – PwC
Rick Daskin – Cumberland Advisors
Daphne Foster – Global Partners
Richard Robert – Vanguard Natural Resources
Jay Hatfield – Infrastructure Capital Advisors
John Graves – The Renaissance Group

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Fracking2_DF

  • 4.  History  Current Status  A Few Basics  Investing in Energy  Environmental Issues  Policy Issues  Q & A
  • 5.  Experiments began in 1947  Success by 1998: George Mitchell  2.5M wells have been fracked in U S: 60% of all wells  Hydraulic fracturing has added to US inventory:  9 Bbbls of oil  700Tcf of gas  Industry employment increased by 27% from 2010 to 20142 virtually all of the net employment gain in U S
  • 6.  Six major fields - independently developed  Barnett 119,000 jobs; $100B economic activity  Bakken 214,000 jobs; $12B  Haynesville 100,000 jobs; $40B  Fayetteville 28,000 jobs; $22B  Marcellus 65,000 jobs; $11B  Utica 13,000 jobs; $1.7B  Eagle Ford 12,000 jobs; $3B  Man Bites Dog?  Federal government vs. local, state regulators, legislators
  • 7.
  • 8.  E & P: Exploration and Production  Find it, extract it  Midstream  Pipe it  Downstream  Refine, store and ship it  Majors and Independents  Whose on First?  Suppliers
  • 9.  E & P  Find it, size it, drill it, produce it  Midstream  Pipelines; storage; separation; forwarding  Downstream  Refine, distill, store
  • 10.  Information Sources  www.mlpdata.com  www.finviz.com  www.quantumonline.com  Formats  Direct security ownership  Stocks or bonds  Indirect Ownership  ETFs  ETNs  CEFs  Mutual funds
  • 11.  Income vs. Growth  Investing upstream: growth emphasis  Investing midstream & downstream: income emphasis  Tax Issues  K-1 vs. 1099  Leverage Issues  Enhances yield, at risk of capital  Yield  Pure distribution rights vs. enhanced yield  Expenses  Portfolio, management, market, debt, distribution rights  Risks: macro, industrial, political, portfolio
  • 12.  Build a $1M Retirement Portfolio with 5% Yield  70% to your design criteria = 4%  30% to energy stocks = 7%  10% E&P 8% yield  10% Midstream 7% yield  10% downstream 6% yield
  • 13.  Reduced GGEs – greenhouse gas emissions  Lowest in US since 1994  CO2 emissions continue plummeting  feedback mechanism  Reduced imports from less aware nations  Reduced environmental site impact via technology  Increased tax revenues available to EPA, EIA, et al
  • 14.  EUR: estimated ultimate recovery  correlation to price, access, technology varies  Accessibility: majors vs. independents  HSE: health, safety and environment  Get in, get down, get fracked, get it out  20-30 days in 2011 has become 10-15 days today  Crude, gas and NGL pricing  $125 has become $48: whence pricing?  Gas remains a ‘stranded’ power source, pricewise  Universality of delivery, pricing challenges for NGLs
  • 15.  Political, regulatory, legislative  Local, state, national  XL pipeline; LNG/crude exports  EPA vs. an informed citizenry  Global  Stranded markets are becoming global markets  Qatar, Indonesia, Australia, US - LNG exports  India, China, Japan, European - LNG imports  Energy politics vs. Energy policy  Decade of lead time for U S  Landowners rights  energy industry workers, skills & technology  Power generation for a global emerging middle class  2B new admissions to global consumption pool by 2050
  • 16.
  • 17.  Reduced imports  44% over 2007  Employment  1.6M new jobs since 2008  5M by 2030  -130,000 since 12/14!  Tax revenue  $85B in 2014  Improved local infrastructure  Local employment, gross income  Capital recycling: new schools, cars, trucks and toys
  • 18.  Participate in the New American Revolution  Enjoy significant yield advantages  Enhance portfolio growth potential  Diversify globally without leaving home  Manage a client’s portfolio with a moderation of risk  Moderate growth potential with yield opportunities  Risks:  excess supply coupled to demand shortfall  Political, environmental, economic & regulatory
  • 20. www.jveventsgroup.com/mlpguest Featured Speakers: Greg Reid – Salient Brian Sulley- Tortoise Capital Advisors Jerry Swank – Cushing Asset Management Jeremy Held – ALPS Portfolio Solutions Kristina Kazarian – Deutsche Bank Scott Dillow – PwC Rick Daskin – Cumberland Advisors Daphne Foster – Global Partners Richard Robert – Vanguard Natural Resources Jay Hatfield – Infrastructure Capital Advisors John Graves – The Renaissance Group

Editor's Notes

  1. George Mitchell