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Glaciers are melting
- 1. Creating a Water-Secure Pakistan (Islamabad. October 19-21, 2018) GILGIT-BALTISTAN, CAN BE A BIG PART OF THE SOLUTION, FOR THE CURRENT WATER CRISES IN MAINLAND PAKITAN A Road Map By: Izhar Hunzai
- 4. A SUSTAINABLE WHITE GOLDMINE • 2,066 km3 of glaciers, or 1,675 MAF of water • Natural storage equivalent to 11.6 years of supplies, renewable, but now subject to CC • Provides 70-80% of annual water flows to the Indus River, sustaining Pakistan’s agriculture, industries and cities
- 5. CONCORDIA
- 7. BATURA
- 8. SIACHIN
- 14. WAY FORWARD • Articulate a Vision for Integrated River Basin Management (IRBM) • Create an inclusive legal framework • Develop, implement and monitor smart resource development & management plans • Ensure equity in access to benefits for all stakeholders
- 15. VISION STATEMENT Indus River is the Sacred National Asset of Pakistan. Indus and Pakistan are sine qua non (As articulated by the Honorable CJP)
- 16. STRATEGY • Increase the size of the pie for everyone, by systematically developing all feasible projects under a long term plan • Reform/innovate from top to bottom, from the Constitution, to government, business and community practices • Leverage Pakistan’s entrepreneurial, intellectual and financial resources • Continue to inspire and energize Pakistan’s philanthropic spirit
- 18. ADDRESS LIMINAL STATUS OF GB • GB’s unsettled status has prevented it from realizing even a fraction of its potential • If DBD, Bunji Project and KBD were built in time, Pakistan would have managed a double digit growth rate for a decade or more by now • ADB/ WB pulled out of an earlier understanding to invest in DBD in 2006 under pressure from India • China also shies away from investing CPEC money in GB
- 19. LINK MACRO WITH MICRO • Benefits of mega projects don’t necessarily trickle down; they need specific planning for the context • Create mechanisms for top down and bottom up development • Invest in transformative projects and programs to integrate local communities in the benefits of dams and other large projects, which ca be quite disruptive • Supplement cash payments (land compensation) with education and skills
- 21. ACTION PLAN • Develop a total basin development plan and set targets • Use international benchmarks for storage, per capita water/energy needs, anticipate future needs • Start from the Upper Indus Basin which is more or less immune to vagaries of the political economy of Pakistan • Go for scale and multipurpose projects, energy, storage, food control (20,000 MW and 20 MAF • Leverage public money to attract private capital investment
- 22. RECOMMENDATIONS • Develop all economically feasible storage and hydroelectric projects: target 20,000 MW & 20 MAF in GB in 20 years and build smart grids • Decentralize authority to develop at lest 1,000 MW and below projects to GB • Create a special purpose vehicle for community development in Diamer/ Kohistan districts • Incentivize private sector investment in generation, transmission, and distribution of hydropower and market- based water management services • Pull out of plans to bring electricity from Tajikistan (KASA) over difficult terrain and unstable Afghanistan, and use that money to extend National Grid to GB • Encourage Engineering universities in mainland Pakistan to open a campus in GB to prepare HR for DBD and other long-term projects
Editor's Notes
- God has created this region for water and clean energy.