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VIRAL GROWTH
Nice, July 20, 2015
Andreas Ehn <ehn@a8n.se>
Twitter: @ehn
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See
Desire
to share
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Desire
to share
On-ramp
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See
Desire
to share
On-ramp
Branching
factor
“Given that I get a new customer today, how many
new customers will they bring in over the next p days?”
Viral factor K = I・C
Cycle time p
K = 0.5
1 + 0.5 + 0.25 + 0.125 + … = 2
{
p
K = 1.1
1 + 1.1 + 1.21 + 1.331 + … = ∞
U(t) =U(0)⋅
K
t
p
+1
−1
K −1
K = I ⋅C
0 5 10 15 20
0
50
100
150
200
K = 1.2
K = 1.1
K = 0.5
0 5 10 15 20
0
100
200
300
400
500
p = 0.5
p = 1
p = 2
Maximize viral factor K = IC
Maximize no of invites I
Maximize conversion rate C
Minimize cycle time p
Win – win – win
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• Have content/product people want to share
• Make it easy to invite a lot of friends
• Make it easy and desirable to act on invites
• Make it easy and fast to sign up and start
inviting more users
• Measure everything, iterate fast
THANK YOU
Andreas Ehn <ehn@a8n.se>
Twitter: @ehn

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