Value Proposition canvas- Customer needs and pains
Project Management: Minimizing Risk and Maximizing Project Success
1.
2. What is Project Management (PM)?
Ensuring Project Success
Planning Process
Fast Track Approaches
Case Studies
› Success and Failure Examples
3. “The project manager is expected to
integrate ALL aspects of the project,
ensure that the proper knowledge and
resources are available when and where
needed, and above all, ensure that the
expected results are produced in a
timely, cost-effective manner.”
– Meredith and Mantel
4. Project Mangers have to Plan and
Manage:
› Cost
› Schedule
› Resources (Labor, Equipment, Etc)
› Quality
› Performance
› Safety
RISK
5. Project Managers do not focus on RISK
What is the largest RISK in geothermal
projects?
› Geothermal Resource
Highest project cost
Unknown parameters
Highest deviation from original
budget
Poor Planning = High of Failure
7. Tools Available to PM:
Reservoir Assessment & Site Exploration
Feasibility Study
Detailed Project Estimate
Detailed Schedule
Contracting Approach
Experienced Design/Construction Firm
8. Reservoir Assessment
Geophysics & MT Survey, Flow Testing,
Interference Test, 3D Reservoir Model
Site Exploration
Geochemistry, Topo & Field Mapping, Weather
Station
Goal: Understand Geothermal Resource
9. Feasibility Study
Identifies RISK and mitigation methods early in
project
Defines reservoir development plan
Recommends cycle selection
Small % of total project budget
Very high importance
10. Typical Topics Covered:
Cycle Selection
Cost Estimate
Project Schedule
General Arrangement
Design Criteria
Land Acquisition & Permitting
Local Issues & Electrical Intertie
11. Life of a Geothermal Project
Exploration Phase
› License, PPA, Legal Framework
› Land Appropriation & Permitting
› Reservoir Assessment & Development
› Feasibility Study
› Obtaining Financing
Engineering Design Phase
› Well Field Design & Construction
› Power Plant Design & Construction
2-5 Years
2-4 Years
12. 0 12 24 36 48
Resource Gathering System
Power Plant
DETAILED DESIGN
Feasibility Study
Reservoir Assessment
Well Drilling & Well Pad
Site Exploration/Development
Legal Framework
PROJECT DEVELOPMENT
13. Procurement & Timing
› Well Field Development
Drill rigs, strings, bits, flow test equipment
› Plant Design
Turbine, Generator, Pump, etc. lead times
Cooling Tower construction duration
› Commissioning Schedule
› Existing Plants
Planned Outages
14. “Fast Track” Project Prerequisites:
High confidence in reservoir
Solid understanding of scheduling issues
Detailed feasibility study and resource assessment
Experienced design and construction firm
Correct contracting approach/project delivery
method
15. “Fast Track” Drawbacks
Owner must assume risk
Equipment must be bought early (or used)
Design elements are sacrificed
Risk of expanding design budget
Financiers wary of extra risk
16. Fast, Good Cheap, Quality
Fast:
Accelerated project schedule
Better return on investment, incentives
Sacrifice quality design, efficiency, and
performance
Higher risk
Usually the first to go
17. Fast, Good, Cheap,
Cheap:
Lower project costs - better return on
investment
Easier to finance
Sacrifice good design, quality, efficiency,
durability
Higher risk of long term problems
18. Fast, Good, Cheap – Can only pick two
Quality:
Higher quality design, better efficiency,
performance, longevity
Lower overall risk
More expensive- lower return on investment
Longer project schedule
19. You are given the options of Fast, Good and
Cheap, and told to pick any two. Here Fast refers to
the time required to deliver the product, Good is
the quality of the final product, and Cheap refers to
the total cost of designing and building the
product. This triangle reflects the fact that the three
properties of a project are interrelated, and it is not
possible to optimize all three – one will always suffer.
In other words you have three options:
Design something quickly and to a high
standard, but then it will not be cheap.
Design something quickly and cheaply, but it
will not be of high quality.
Design something with high quality and
cheaply, but it will take a long time.
21. Preliminary Site Exploration completed
by MTA is 1988
Guris Awarded license in 1998
Initial Reservoir and Project Assessment
Completed in 2005 through a USTDA
Sponsored Feasibility Study
Project Completed and Commissioned
in 2009
22. Project Challenges
› High Gas 1.8 to 2.2% NC Gas in the reservoir
› High Calcite Scaling in production wells
› High Injection Pressure
› First Privately Developed Project in Turkey
› Owner had no prior Geothermal Development
Experience
› Owner Required EPCM contracting approach
› Constrained Project Schedule as a result of
financing requirements and land acquisition
delays
23. High NC Gas
› Required Efficient Gas removal system
› Advanced Direct Contact Condenser
› Hybrid Gas Removal System
24. High Calcite Scaling in production wells
› Long Term Scaling Testing
› Multiple Scale Inhibitors Tested
› Testing Resulted in Optimum Scaling
mitigation system
25. High Injection Pressure
› Injection Testing performed during Long Term
Flow Test
› Success during Long Term Test defined
injection Requirements
26. First Privately Developed Project in Turkey
› Land Acquisition challenges delayed project
implementation
› Special Governmental Intervention to
complete land procurement process
27. Owner had no prior Geothermal Development
Experience
› PM requested “Geothermal 101” Training
Learned about Reservoir Risk and mitigating
approaches
Followed Recommendation presented in
Feasibility Report
Evaluated Risks and implemented Strategies to
Minimize Risk
28. › Owner Required EPCM contracting
Approach
Engineering, Procurement and Construction
Management performed by owner using a
dedicated experience team
Relied on International Firms to supplement
Turkish Consultants
29. Constrained Project Schedule as a result of
financing requirements and land acquisition
delays
Direct communication with local authorities
Special Procurement and Land Acquisition
Approach
30. Aggressive and Directed Project Management
1. Owner Required Detail Feasibility Study
2. Feasibility Study Identified high risk items
3. PM directed solution to all high risk items
4. PM understood reservoir risks and defined
mitigation measures
5. Delays in project completion were a result of
deviation from the Feasibility Study cost
estimate.
31. Alașehir Geothermal
› Manisa Province, Turkey
› USTDA Funded
Developed detailed Feasibility Study:
› Identified all risks
› Recommends risk mitigation measures
› Focuses on reservoir development
Currently in drilling phase
On track for success
34. Did not implement results of Feasibility Study
Changed Equipment Selection and Project
Development Strategies
Inexperienced drilling strategies
Transitioned from PC to EPCM approach
with inexperienced contractor
Selected unproven project elements
Project late, over budget and did not meet
proforma requirements
35. 1. Detailed Understanding of all project elements
2. Develop Project Team with previous
Geothermal Experience
3. Reevaluate project development approach
through out project Implementation
4. Prepare a Detailed Feasibility Study and focus
on risk identification
5. Insist on Tried and True over new and
unproven technologies
6. Develop realistic project schedule and
budget
36. Henry Veizades
5 Third Street, Suite 400
San Francisco, CA 94103
email: HGVeizades@veizades.com
tel: +1.415.394.8855
www.veizades.com
Questions?