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THE FUTURE OF MEDIA
      and the possible consequences for the
      media industry and online advertising.



Amsterdam
DISCLAIMER

Predictions are based on input from subject matter experts from Deloitte and industry, Deloitte research
and secondary research



Deloitte cannot predict the future (unfortunately)



Whatever we communicate about the future is intended for discussion purposes; it is a point of view.



Any conclusions, actions or decisions you want to take based on what we say here is your own
responsibility




1   THE FUTURE OF MEDIA                                                                © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
Future of
Media Consumption
This is a story about two famous people...




                     Abraham Maslow              Gordon Moore
                       (1908 - 1970)                (1929 -)



3     THE FUTURE OF MEDIA                                   © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
DRAFT
2012 is very different from 1943

Maslow - 1943                      2012 




                       Self
                                             Internet /
                   actualization
                                            Mobile Phone
                      Esteem

                                              Shelter
                    Belonging


                          Safety

                                            Food / Water
                  Physiological


4   THE FUTURE OF MEDIA                             © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
Today, we have a new pyramid of human needs...




                   TV
                                                   Newspaper




      PC/
    Internet                                     Books



                         Mobile                               Radio



5      THE FUTURE OF MEDIA                           © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
Smartphones colonized half the American market in under ten years

   Years to penetration of US household
                    0          10   20    30   40   50   60   70           80
                                                                                        0-50%
    Smartphone
                                                                                        51-80%
           Radio
            VCR
         Internet
       Color TV
     Microwave
      Cellphone
    Refrigerator
Home computer
 Electric power
     Automobile
  Clothes dryer
Air conditioning
Clothes washer
           Stove
   Dish washer
      Telephone

   6     THE FUTURE OF MEDIA                                       © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
While some believe that we have seen the end of Moore’s law




7   THE FUTURE OF MEDIA                                       © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
Today’s Moore’s Law constantly improves consumer technology’s value for
money




8   THE FUTURE OF MEDIA                                    © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
Consumer tech demand defies the economic headwinds




9   THE FUTURE OF MEDIA                              © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
It takes two to tablet: the rise of the multi-tablet owner




10   THE FUTURE OF MEDIA                                     © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
One million apps and little to download

 11   THE FUTURE OF MEDIA                 © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
All aboard for the catch-up commuter




12   THE FUTURE OF MEDIA               © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
The schedule remains supreme




13   THE FUTURE OF MEDIA       © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
(Near) Future of
Advertising
Targeted television advertisements miss the target




15   THE FUTURE OF MEDIA                             © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
Can a bartender ever guess what you want to drink?




16   THE FUTURE OF MEDIA                             © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
Social recommendation: complementary, not core




17   THE FUTURE OF MEDIA                         © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
A “brand” new day for online ads




18   THE FUTURE OF MEDIA           © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
Where are we now?
Time spend versus Share of advertising spend (2011)




20   THE FUTURE OF MEDIA                              © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
Tablets and Smartphones




21   THE FUTURE OF MEDIA   © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
Power Ratio




22   THE FUTURE OF MEDIA   © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
Automated Trading




23   THE FUTURE OF MEDIA   © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
Deloitte refers to one or more of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, a UK private company limited by guarantee, and its network of member firms,
each of which is a legally separate and independent entity. Please see www.deloitte.com/about for a detailed description of the legal structure of
Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited and its member firms.

Deloitte provides audit, tax, consulting, and financial advisory services to public and private clients spanning multiple industries. With a globally
connected network of member firms in more than 150 countries, Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and deep local expertise to help clients
succeed wherever they operate. Deloitte's approximately 170,000 professionals are committed to becoming the standard of excellence.

This publication contains general information only, and none of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, its member firms, or their related entities
(collectively, the “Deloitte Network”) is, by means of this publication, rendering professional advice or services. Before making any decision or
taking any action that may affect your finances or your business, you should consult a qualified professional adviser. No entity in the Deloitte
Network shall be responsible for any loss whatsoever sustained by any person who relies on this publication.

24                                                                                                                                          © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands

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Daan Witteveen - The future of Media #ATSNL

  • 1. THE FUTURE OF MEDIA and the possible consequences for the media industry and online advertising. Amsterdam
  • 2. DISCLAIMER Predictions are based on input from subject matter experts from Deloitte and industry, Deloitte research and secondary research Deloitte cannot predict the future (unfortunately) Whatever we communicate about the future is intended for discussion purposes; it is a point of view. Any conclusions, actions or decisions you want to take based on what we say here is your own responsibility 1 THE FUTURE OF MEDIA © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 4. This is a story about two famous people... Abraham Maslow Gordon Moore (1908 - 1970) (1929 -) 3 THE FUTURE OF MEDIA © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 5. DRAFT 2012 is very different from 1943 Maslow - 1943 2012  Self Internet / actualization Mobile Phone Esteem Shelter Belonging Safety Food / Water Physiological 4 THE FUTURE OF MEDIA © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 6. Today, we have a new pyramid of human needs... TV Newspaper PC/ Internet Books Mobile Radio 5 THE FUTURE OF MEDIA © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 7. Smartphones colonized half the American market in under ten years Years to penetration of US household 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 0-50% Smartphone 51-80% Radio VCR Internet Color TV Microwave Cellphone Refrigerator Home computer Electric power Automobile Clothes dryer Air conditioning Clothes washer Stove Dish washer Telephone 6 THE FUTURE OF MEDIA © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 8. While some believe that we have seen the end of Moore’s law 7 THE FUTURE OF MEDIA © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 9. Today’s Moore’s Law constantly improves consumer technology’s value for money 8 THE FUTURE OF MEDIA © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 10. Consumer tech demand defies the economic headwinds 9 THE FUTURE OF MEDIA © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 11. It takes two to tablet: the rise of the multi-tablet owner 10 THE FUTURE OF MEDIA © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 12. One million apps and little to download 11 THE FUTURE OF MEDIA © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 13. All aboard for the catch-up commuter 12 THE FUTURE OF MEDIA © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 14. The schedule remains supreme 13 THE FUTURE OF MEDIA © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 16. Targeted television advertisements miss the target 15 THE FUTURE OF MEDIA © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 17. Can a bartender ever guess what you want to drink? 16 THE FUTURE OF MEDIA © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 18. Social recommendation: complementary, not core 17 THE FUTURE OF MEDIA © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 19. A “brand” new day for online ads 18 THE FUTURE OF MEDIA © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 20. Where are we now?
  • 21. Time spend versus Share of advertising spend (2011) 20 THE FUTURE OF MEDIA © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 22. Tablets and Smartphones 21 THE FUTURE OF MEDIA © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 23. Power Ratio 22 THE FUTURE OF MEDIA © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 24. Automated Trading 23 THE FUTURE OF MEDIA © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands
  • 25. Deloitte refers to one or more of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, a UK private company limited by guarantee, and its network of member firms, each of which is a legally separate and independent entity. Please see www.deloitte.com/about for a detailed description of the legal structure of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited and its member firms. Deloitte provides audit, tax, consulting, and financial advisory services to public and private clients spanning multiple industries. With a globally connected network of member firms in more than 150 countries, Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and deep local expertise to help clients succeed wherever they operate. Deloitte's approximately 170,000 professionals are committed to becoming the standard of excellence. This publication contains general information only, and none of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, its member firms, or their related entities (collectively, the “Deloitte Network”) is, by means of this publication, rendering professional advice or services. Before making any decision or taking any action that may affect your finances or your business, you should consult a qualified professional adviser. No entity in the Deloitte Network shall be responsible for any loss whatsoever sustained by any person who relies on this publication. 24 © 2012 Deloitte The Netherlands