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Still growing
9m 2013 financial results
Analyst Presentation
13th November 2013
9m โ€˜13: positive growth and Acegas Aps underpin results

9m โ€™13 strong growth in all main financial targets
driven by the Acegas Aps consolidation and relevant
merger synergies.

9m โ€˜13 Result Highlights

Market expansion (Energy and Waste) confirmed to be
effective in spite of a still difficult macro scenario.

(mโ‚ฌ)

Positive performance in all businesses even on
โ€œproforma basisโ€ (+7.4% or +41mโ‚ฌ โ€œlike for likeโ€ โ€˜13 Group
Ebitda). 9m Ebitda perc. margin up to 16.8% (from 13.6%)
underpinned by reduced trading activity on commodities
and cost savings.

+27.6%

24.3%
+81.9%
+140%

Pretax profit benefits from 74.8mโ‚ฌ extraordinary
earnings for IAS accounting related to Acegas Aps
merger (as reported in Q1 โ€˜13), subject to impairment
procedure.
Net financial debts in line with H1 โ€˜13 (2.78mโ‚ฌ from
2.75mโ‚ฌ of H1 2013).

1
9m โ€™13: strong growth down to bottom line

Ch.%

(mโ‚ฌ)
Revenues*
Ebitda

3,451.0
467.9

3,548.6
597.2

D&A + Prov.

(231.0)

(302.6)

Ebit

236.9

294.5

(88.3)

(104.9)

+18.8%

Figurative interests (IAS)

(10.6)

(10.4)

(1.9%)

3.4

3.1

(6.8%)

Profit/dividends
Other non oper. exp.

74.8

Pre tax Profit
Normalised 9M โ€˜13
tax rate ~46%.

Reduced Gas
wholesale

+2.8%
+27.6%
+31.0%
+24.3%

Financials

Financial
charges
increased
mainly
due to Acegas Aps
merger (12.5 mโ‚ฌ).

9M '12 9M '13

141.4

257.2

+81.9%

Tax

(64.5)

(84.3)

+30.7%

(45.6%)

(32.8%)

(28.2%)

Net Profit

76.8

Minorities

(9.5)

Hera Profit

67.3

172.8 +124.9%
(11.2)
+17.5%
161.8 +140.0%

Booked
difference
between Acegas Aps
net equity value and
price
paid
(IAS
principles) of about
74.8mโ‚ฌ.

* Revenues include sales, change in stock and other revenues

2
Ebitda growth both in Hera and Acegas Aps
Ebitda growth

โ€ข All activities, both liberalised and
regulated, performed positive Ebitda growth.

(mโ‚ฌ)
+27.6%

+88,2

+35,9

+5,3

597,2

467,9

9m '12

Acegas
9m '12

Hera + AA
Org. Growth

Merger
synergies

9m '13

โ€ข Acegas Aps Ebitda increased in all core
activities supported by synergy exploitation
from the merger.
โ€ข Market expansion progressed: special
waste volumes from third parties increased by
+290k tons and electricity customers further
developed by 48k clients since the beginning
of the year (Hera stand alone).

Ebitda by strategic area
(mโ‚ฌ)

โ€ข Balanced portfolio mix confirmed
(about 58% Ebitda from regulated).

โ€ข Water best performer among regulated
activities benefitting from new regulatory
system.

*

3
Positive operating cash flows

Hera stand alone 9m โ€˜13 fcf
(mโ‚ฌ)
+295,5
(33.6)

Hera (stand alone) 9m free cash generation
reached +54mโ‚ฌ. Debt affected mainly by
487.8mโ‚ฌ Acegas debt and 130.5mโ‚ฌ dividend
payments (reaching 2.78 bโ‚ฌ as of 30/09/โ€˜13 vs
2.22bโ‚ฌ as of 31/12/โ€™12).

(48.4)
+53,6

bโ‚ฌ vs 2.75 bโ‚ฌ of H1 โ€™13 ).

(159.9)
Operating
CF
*

NWC

Provision

Net capex

In Q3 โ€˜13 financial debt almost stable (2.78

Free CF

* Net profit+depreciations and provisioning+adjust. for non cash
items (such as โ€œExtraordinary incomeโ€ and IAS fig. interests)

New bonds issued (500mโ‚ฌ โ€œplain vanillaโ€) and
EIB long term loan (200mโ‚ฌ) underpin debt
restructuring post merger. Debt average
duration of 8 years.

Net Capex
(mโ‚ฌ)

Mโ‚ฌ
Waste
Water
Gas
Electricity
Other
Holding
Investments

Capex

9m '12

9m '13

31.6
60.5
27.2
13.1
8.6
42.9
0.0

32.7
68.1
33.6
14.2
13.7
31.9
0.4

183.8

Committed credit lines available at 540mโ‚ฌ.

194.6

Net capex of Hera and Acegas Aps of
194.6mโ‚ฌ (31.1mโ‚ฌ Acegas Aps capex).

4
Waste: recovery in Special waste volumes speeds up
Group Ebitda records solid growth rates on like
for like basis.

Ebitda growth
(mโ‚ฌ)

Mโ‚ฌ

9M '12

Revenues

Ebitda

9M '13

531.7
130.8

633.8
174.6

+33.5%

Higher special waste volumes +290K tons and
increased renewable electricity gen. (+240 GWh
reaching almost 0.8 TWh generated) fully compensate
lower pricing (in some high-competitive market
segments), lower CIP6 incentives* and negative
impact of an exhausted landfill (~4mโ‚ฌ due to โ€œCagliโ€
in Marche region).
WTE treatment capacity was exploited at full
capacity (+50% WTE treatment increase also due to
Acegas) and sorted collection increased to ~53%
(from 50% 9m โ€™12). New bio-digesters capacity fully
on stream in first 9 month โ€™13 (2MW installed).

Ch. %
+19.2%

Consolidated data
Data

9M '12

9M '13 Ch.%

Urban W. Volumes (Kton)

1,306.1

1,502.0

+15.0%

Special W. Volumes (Kton)

1,086.6

1,377.1

+26.7%

Waste from third parties

2,392.7

2,879.1

+20.3%

Landfill treatm.

882.2

907.1

+2.8%

WTE treatm.
Sorting plants treatm.

697.2
233.5

1,048.2
279.2

+50.3%
+19.5%

of which:

Urban waste increased due to Acegas merger
(Hera stand alone volumes enhanced by +6%).

Energonut produced 74 GWh and was merged
into Herambiente (effective starting from 1 July โ€™13)

*Change in incentives CIP6 (Nov. 2012; June 2013)

5
Water: tariff framework underpinned results

Group Ebitda increase underpinned by
new tariff framework and M&A.

Financial highlights
Mโ‚ฌ

9M '12

Revenues

457.3
118.7

Ebitda

9M '13
543.8

170.6

Ch. %
+18.9%
+43.7%

New transitory tariff system (2012-2013)
underpin
growth
along
with
cost
efficiencies providing an Ebitda growth of
about 20.5mโ‚ฌ (on a like for like basis).
Awaiting Authority tariffs for next years.

Consolidated data
Data

9M '12

9M '13

195.7

226.8

+15.9%

Sewerage (mm )

169.7

190.5

+12.3%

Purification (mm3)

168.3

188.3

+11.9%

Aqueduct (mm 3)
3

Volumes (-4% on like for like basis) and
new connections still affected by negative
macro scenario and drought weather
conditions.

Ch.%

Full cost structure under tight control
also thanks to the new divisional
organisation.

6
Gas: good performance in spite of lower whole sale

Financial highlights
Mโ‚ฌ

9M '12

Revenues

1,254.2
159.3

Ebitda

9M '13

Ch. %

1,194.4

(4.8%)
+17.0%

186.3

Consolidated data
Data

9M '12

9M '13

Ch.%

Volumes distrib. (mm3)

1,569.6

1,951.5

+24.3%

Volumes sold (mm3)

2,551.8

2,256.7
695.6

360.0

Ebitda increase mainly driven by Gas
supply (mainly achieved in Q1) and District
Heating (+2mโ‚ฌ). Distribution activities
slightly suffered due to lower works for third
parties and new connections.

(39.1%)

357.3

Volumes sold to final clients remained
almost stable (outperforming national demand
negative trends) underpinned by favourable
winter season at the beginning of the year.

(11.6%)

1,141.8

Revenues
reflect
reduced
trading
volumes due to fall in demand of CCGT
plants.

+0.8%

of which trading

(mm 3 )

District Heating (GWht)

7
Electricity: market expansion continues

Financial highlights
Mโ‚ฌ

9M '12

Revenues

Ebitda

9M '13

Ch. %

1,151.6

(10.2%)
+36.5%

1,282.3
46.0

62.8

Revenues affected by lower sales as a
consequence of the negative macro
scenario (-3.8% domestic demand) and Hera
selective commercial policy.

Customer base further increased by +48k
to about 700k clients considering Acegas
contribution (~125K).

Consolidated data
Data

9M '12

9M '13

Ch.%

Volumes sold (GWh)

7,301.1

7,136.5

(2.3%)

Volumes distrib. (GWh)

1,672.5

2,207.1

+32.0%

EBITDA reflects good performance of
commercial activities more and more
focused on residential customers
Power generation margins still under
pressure (low impact due to Hera short upstream
position).

8
Closing remarks

9m EPS* track record
(โ‚ฌ cents)

12.2

In a difficult scenario, proactive marketing
approach,
cost
cutting
and
M&A
contributed to enhance value creation (EPS
positive growth).
Acegas Aps aggregation activities progress
on track yielding good results in terms of
synergy exploitation (confirmed target of +7mโ‚ฌ
synergies to year end). Acegas Aps investments
subject to further rationalisation.

Negotiation in progress with AMGA Udine
to
pursue
an
integration.
Letter
of
understanding valid to year end.
Share capital increase is in progress (~80
million shares equal to ~5.6% of total shares
post merger) and will be executed by mid in
December.
ADJ EPS*

*9m 2013 ADJ EPS calculated on Net Profit adjusted by 74.8mโ‚ฌ extraordinary income

9
Q&A session
Proforma Profit and Loss accounts

Proforma P&L 9m 2012 and 2013
(mโ‚ฌ)

9M '12 9M '13
Revenues*
Ebitda
D&A

Ch.%

3,885.7 3,548.6
556.1 597.2

(8.7%)
+7.4%

(216.6)

(229.0)

D&A + Prov.

(278.6)

Ebit

277.5

+5.7%
(73.5) +18.6%
(302.6)
+8.6%
294.6 +6.2%

Financial inc/(exp)

(108.0)

(112.2)

0.0

74.8

Provision

Other non oper. exp.

(62.0)

Pre tax Profit

169.5

Tax

(78.3)

Net Profit

91.1

Minorities

(9.5)

Profit to shareh.

81.6

+3.9%

257.2 +51.8%
(84.3)
+7.6%
172.9 +89.7%
(11.2) +18.0%
161.7 +98.1%

* Revenues include sales, change in stock and other revenues

10

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Hera Group 9M 2013 financial results - Analyst presentation, 13 November 2013

  • 1. Still growing 9m 2013 financial results Analyst Presentation 13th November 2013
  • 2. 9m โ€˜13: positive growth and Acegas Aps underpin results 9m โ€™13 strong growth in all main financial targets driven by the Acegas Aps consolidation and relevant merger synergies. 9m โ€˜13 Result Highlights Market expansion (Energy and Waste) confirmed to be effective in spite of a still difficult macro scenario. (mโ‚ฌ) Positive performance in all businesses even on โ€œproforma basisโ€ (+7.4% or +41mโ‚ฌ โ€œlike for likeโ€ โ€˜13 Group Ebitda). 9m Ebitda perc. margin up to 16.8% (from 13.6%) underpinned by reduced trading activity on commodities and cost savings. +27.6% 24.3% +81.9% +140% Pretax profit benefits from 74.8mโ‚ฌ extraordinary earnings for IAS accounting related to Acegas Aps merger (as reported in Q1 โ€˜13), subject to impairment procedure. Net financial debts in line with H1 โ€˜13 (2.78mโ‚ฌ from 2.75mโ‚ฌ of H1 2013). 1
  • 3. 9m โ€™13: strong growth down to bottom line Ch.% (mโ‚ฌ) Revenues* Ebitda 3,451.0 467.9 3,548.6 597.2 D&A + Prov. (231.0) (302.6) Ebit 236.9 294.5 (88.3) (104.9) +18.8% Figurative interests (IAS) (10.6) (10.4) (1.9%) 3.4 3.1 (6.8%) Profit/dividends Other non oper. exp. 74.8 Pre tax Profit Normalised 9M โ€˜13 tax rate ~46%. Reduced Gas wholesale +2.8% +27.6% +31.0% +24.3% Financials Financial charges increased mainly due to Acegas Aps merger (12.5 mโ‚ฌ). 9M '12 9M '13 141.4 257.2 +81.9% Tax (64.5) (84.3) +30.7% (45.6%) (32.8%) (28.2%) Net Profit 76.8 Minorities (9.5) Hera Profit 67.3 172.8 +124.9% (11.2) +17.5% 161.8 +140.0% Booked difference between Acegas Aps net equity value and price paid (IAS principles) of about 74.8mโ‚ฌ. * Revenues include sales, change in stock and other revenues 2
  • 4. Ebitda growth both in Hera and Acegas Aps Ebitda growth โ€ข All activities, both liberalised and regulated, performed positive Ebitda growth. (mโ‚ฌ) +27.6% +88,2 +35,9 +5,3 597,2 467,9 9m '12 Acegas 9m '12 Hera + AA Org. Growth Merger synergies 9m '13 โ€ข Acegas Aps Ebitda increased in all core activities supported by synergy exploitation from the merger. โ€ข Market expansion progressed: special waste volumes from third parties increased by +290k tons and electricity customers further developed by 48k clients since the beginning of the year (Hera stand alone). Ebitda by strategic area (mโ‚ฌ) โ€ข Balanced portfolio mix confirmed (about 58% Ebitda from regulated). โ€ข Water best performer among regulated activities benefitting from new regulatory system. * 3
  • 5. Positive operating cash flows Hera stand alone 9m โ€˜13 fcf (mโ‚ฌ) +295,5 (33.6) Hera (stand alone) 9m free cash generation reached +54mโ‚ฌ. Debt affected mainly by 487.8mโ‚ฌ Acegas debt and 130.5mโ‚ฌ dividend payments (reaching 2.78 bโ‚ฌ as of 30/09/โ€˜13 vs 2.22bโ‚ฌ as of 31/12/โ€™12). (48.4) +53,6 bโ‚ฌ vs 2.75 bโ‚ฌ of H1 โ€™13 ). (159.9) Operating CF * NWC Provision Net capex In Q3 โ€˜13 financial debt almost stable (2.78 Free CF * Net profit+depreciations and provisioning+adjust. for non cash items (such as โ€œExtraordinary incomeโ€ and IAS fig. interests) New bonds issued (500mโ‚ฌ โ€œplain vanillaโ€) and EIB long term loan (200mโ‚ฌ) underpin debt restructuring post merger. Debt average duration of 8 years. Net Capex (mโ‚ฌ) Mโ‚ฌ Waste Water Gas Electricity Other Holding Investments Capex 9m '12 9m '13 31.6 60.5 27.2 13.1 8.6 42.9 0.0 32.7 68.1 33.6 14.2 13.7 31.9 0.4 183.8 Committed credit lines available at 540mโ‚ฌ. 194.6 Net capex of Hera and Acegas Aps of 194.6mโ‚ฌ (31.1mโ‚ฌ Acegas Aps capex). 4
  • 6. Waste: recovery in Special waste volumes speeds up Group Ebitda records solid growth rates on like for like basis. Ebitda growth (mโ‚ฌ) Mโ‚ฌ 9M '12 Revenues Ebitda 9M '13 531.7 130.8 633.8 174.6 +33.5% Higher special waste volumes +290K tons and increased renewable electricity gen. (+240 GWh reaching almost 0.8 TWh generated) fully compensate lower pricing (in some high-competitive market segments), lower CIP6 incentives* and negative impact of an exhausted landfill (~4mโ‚ฌ due to โ€œCagliโ€ in Marche region). WTE treatment capacity was exploited at full capacity (+50% WTE treatment increase also due to Acegas) and sorted collection increased to ~53% (from 50% 9m โ€™12). New bio-digesters capacity fully on stream in first 9 month โ€™13 (2MW installed). Ch. % +19.2% Consolidated data Data 9M '12 9M '13 Ch.% Urban W. Volumes (Kton) 1,306.1 1,502.0 +15.0% Special W. Volumes (Kton) 1,086.6 1,377.1 +26.7% Waste from third parties 2,392.7 2,879.1 +20.3% Landfill treatm. 882.2 907.1 +2.8% WTE treatm. Sorting plants treatm. 697.2 233.5 1,048.2 279.2 +50.3% +19.5% of which: Urban waste increased due to Acegas merger (Hera stand alone volumes enhanced by +6%). Energonut produced 74 GWh and was merged into Herambiente (effective starting from 1 July โ€™13) *Change in incentives CIP6 (Nov. 2012; June 2013) 5
  • 7. Water: tariff framework underpinned results Group Ebitda increase underpinned by new tariff framework and M&A. Financial highlights Mโ‚ฌ 9M '12 Revenues 457.3 118.7 Ebitda 9M '13 543.8 170.6 Ch. % +18.9% +43.7% New transitory tariff system (2012-2013) underpin growth along with cost efficiencies providing an Ebitda growth of about 20.5mโ‚ฌ (on a like for like basis). Awaiting Authority tariffs for next years. Consolidated data Data 9M '12 9M '13 195.7 226.8 +15.9% Sewerage (mm ) 169.7 190.5 +12.3% Purification (mm3) 168.3 188.3 +11.9% Aqueduct (mm 3) 3 Volumes (-4% on like for like basis) and new connections still affected by negative macro scenario and drought weather conditions. Ch.% Full cost structure under tight control also thanks to the new divisional organisation. 6
  • 8. Gas: good performance in spite of lower whole sale Financial highlights Mโ‚ฌ 9M '12 Revenues 1,254.2 159.3 Ebitda 9M '13 Ch. % 1,194.4 (4.8%) +17.0% 186.3 Consolidated data Data 9M '12 9M '13 Ch.% Volumes distrib. (mm3) 1,569.6 1,951.5 +24.3% Volumes sold (mm3) 2,551.8 2,256.7 695.6 360.0 Ebitda increase mainly driven by Gas supply (mainly achieved in Q1) and District Heating (+2mโ‚ฌ). Distribution activities slightly suffered due to lower works for third parties and new connections. (39.1%) 357.3 Volumes sold to final clients remained almost stable (outperforming national demand negative trends) underpinned by favourable winter season at the beginning of the year. (11.6%) 1,141.8 Revenues reflect reduced trading volumes due to fall in demand of CCGT plants. +0.8% of which trading (mm 3 ) District Heating (GWht) 7
  • 9. Electricity: market expansion continues Financial highlights Mโ‚ฌ 9M '12 Revenues Ebitda 9M '13 Ch. % 1,151.6 (10.2%) +36.5% 1,282.3 46.0 62.8 Revenues affected by lower sales as a consequence of the negative macro scenario (-3.8% domestic demand) and Hera selective commercial policy. Customer base further increased by +48k to about 700k clients considering Acegas contribution (~125K). Consolidated data Data 9M '12 9M '13 Ch.% Volumes sold (GWh) 7,301.1 7,136.5 (2.3%) Volumes distrib. (GWh) 1,672.5 2,207.1 +32.0% EBITDA reflects good performance of commercial activities more and more focused on residential customers Power generation margins still under pressure (low impact due to Hera short upstream position). 8
  • 10. Closing remarks 9m EPS* track record (โ‚ฌ cents) 12.2 In a difficult scenario, proactive marketing approach, cost cutting and M&A contributed to enhance value creation (EPS positive growth). Acegas Aps aggregation activities progress on track yielding good results in terms of synergy exploitation (confirmed target of +7mโ‚ฌ synergies to year end). Acegas Aps investments subject to further rationalisation. Negotiation in progress with AMGA Udine to pursue an integration. Letter of understanding valid to year end. Share capital increase is in progress (~80 million shares equal to ~5.6% of total shares post merger) and will be executed by mid in December. ADJ EPS* *9m 2013 ADJ EPS calculated on Net Profit adjusted by 74.8mโ‚ฌ extraordinary income 9
  • 12. Proforma Profit and Loss accounts Proforma P&L 9m 2012 and 2013 (mโ‚ฌ) 9M '12 9M '13 Revenues* Ebitda D&A Ch.% 3,885.7 3,548.6 556.1 597.2 (8.7%) +7.4% (216.6) (229.0) D&A + Prov. (278.6) Ebit 277.5 +5.7% (73.5) +18.6% (302.6) +8.6% 294.6 +6.2% Financial inc/(exp) (108.0) (112.2) 0.0 74.8 Provision Other non oper. exp. (62.0) Pre tax Profit 169.5 Tax (78.3) Net Profit 91.1 Minorities (9.5) Profit to shareh. 81.6 +3.9% 257.2 +51.8% (84.3) +7.6% 172.9 +89.7% (11.2) +18.0% 161.7 +98.1% * Revenues include sales, change in stock and other revenues 10