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3Q 2019 Results
14 NOVEMBER 2019
LUCA BETTONTE, CEO
DISCLAIMER
This document contains certain forward-looking information that is subject to a
number of factors that may influence the accuracy of the statements and the
projections upon which the statements are based.
There can be non assurance that the projections or forecasts will ultimately prove to
be accurate; accordingly, the Company makes no representation or warranty as to
the accuracy of such information or the likelihood that the Company will perform as
projected.
2
AGENDA
3Q 2019 Highlights
Key Figures
Recent Developments
Results Review
Business Environment
9M 2019 Group EBITDA
Results by Segments
Key Financials
Profit & Loss
Investments
Cash Flow Statement
2019 Guidance and Conclusions
Appendix
3
HIGHLIGHTS: KEY FIGURES
4
Adjusted EBITDA (€ mn)
Adjusted NFP (€ mn)
Adjusted Net Profit (€ mn)
380381
75
1,569
30/09/201931/12/2018
CCGT
Wind
Corporate
EBITDA Margin
Solar
Hydro
9M 2019
1,343
Adj. Leverage
Derivatives
Adj. NFP excl. Derivatives
7
3Q 20193Q 20189M 2018
17
92
9M 2019 3Q 20193Q 20189M 2018
107105
Scarcity of Wind and Hydro mitigated by growth and generation mix
KEEP ON GROWING SUSTAINABLE
5
Recent Developments
ESG REWARD
Rating from Gaia(2) and included in the Ethibel Excellence Investment and Pioneer Registers
ENHANCING REVENUES STABILITY
• Signed 2 PPA with ACEA Energia (1.5TWh over the next 3 years) paving the way for longer duration
• Capacity Market in Italy: awarded 340MW of our CCGT. Secured €11mn of 2022 revenues
GROWING INSTALLED CAPACITY
• Further expansion in Germany: +34MW(1) high quality asset acquired. Wind capacity to reach 272MW
• Organic growth: new authorisation for 22MW in France and 12MW in UK: overall secured capacity at 95%
(1) EV of €84mn, which brings the total M&A capex spent in 2018-2019 (ForVEI, Andromeda, Polaris and Barkow acquisitions) to roughly €700mn for a total capacity of 227MW,
out of which 141MW in PV and 86MW in Wind
(2) Score 78/100
RESULTS REVIEW
PAOLO MERLI, CORPORATE GENERAL MANAGER & CFO
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
7
Electricity Prices in Italy (€/MWh)
Italy: Electricity Production vs Demand (TWh)
All-in Wind Prices abroad (€/MWh)
Clean Spark Spread Indicator (€/MWh)
3Q 2018 3Q 2019 Delta %
Italian Electricity Demand 84 85 1%
Italian Electricity Production 74 76 3%
of which:
- Thermo 49 50 2%
- Hydro 13 13 7%
- Solar 8 8 2%
- Wind 3 3 8%
- Other Sources 1 1 2%
9M 2019 GROUP EBITDA EVOLUTION
8
381 380
199
48
118
214
15
28
11
9M 2018 9M 2019Wind Hydro CCGT Corporate
(11) (13)
Solar
(54)
56
59
64
CorporateHydroSolar CCGTWind
(1)
28
WIND RESULTS
9
Adjusted Ebitda (€ mn) Volumes (GWh)
Italy East EuropeFrance Germany UK
140
214
30
22
23
1,575
2,509
2,846
527
417
327
5
2
338
79
10456
146
199
20
14
16
40
23
30
3
1,490
375
382
234
578
692
317
142
103
130
6
7
43
8
3
29
9M 2018 3Q 20199M 2019 3Q 2018 9M 2018 3Q 20199M 2019 3Q 2018
SOLAR RESULTS
10
Adjusted Ebitda (€ mn) Volumes (GWh)
56
28
9M 2018 3Q 20199M 2019 3Q 2018
22
12
194
109
9M 2018 3Q 20199M 2019 3Q 2018
75
45
HYDRO RESULTS
11
Adjusted Ebitda (€ mn) Volumes (GWh)
64
118
9M 2018 3Q 20199M 2019 3Q 2018
20
38
867
1,402
9M 2018 3Q 20199M 2019 3Q 2018
274
401
CCGT RESULTS
12
Adjusted Ebitda (€ mn) Volumes (GWh)
59
48
9M 2018 3Q 20199M 2019 3Q 2018
25
18
1, 941
1,645
9M 2018 3Q 20199M 2019 3Q 2018
725
591
INVESTMENTS
13
(1) M&A CAPEX include: Vent d’Est acquisition for €13.5mn, Epuron acquisition for €67mn, Valle de l’AA extension acquisition for €1mn,
Creag Riabhach for €22.5mn, and ForVEI consolidation for €345mn
(2) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of Andromeda acquisition for €220mn, Polaris acquisition for €52mn, Craiggore and Windwarts
acquisitions - respectively for €6mn and €2mn - and Barkow acquisition (which took place on September 13, 2019) for €84mn
(3) M&A CAPEX mainly referred to Creag Riabhach for €22.5mn
(4) M&A CAPEX related to Barkow acquisition for €84mn, which took place on September 13, 2019
94
Solar
Wind
Corporate
Hydro
220
CCGT
484
M&A:
364(2)
345
M&A:
449(1)
M&A:
84(4)
401
37
M&A:
24(3)
KEY FINANCIALS
ADJUSTED P&L
15
Note: figures based on NO GAAP measures
9M2019 9M2018 Euro millions 3Q 2019 3Q 2018
380 381 Adjusted EBITDA 107 105
(223) (203) Amortization and depreciation (78) (67)
157 178 Adjusted EBIT 29 38
(48) (53) Net financial income (expenses) (15) (15)
0 0 Net income (loss) from equity investments 0 0
109 125 Adjusted Results before taxes 14 22
(33) (33) Income taxes (6) (6)
76 92 Adjusted Results for the period 8 17
(1) (0) Minority interests (1) (0)
75 92 Adjusted Net Profit 7 17
30% 26% Tax Rate 43% 26%
3Q 2019 CASH FLOW STATEMENT
16
Adj. Leverage
1,569
Adj. Net Debt
30/06/2019
Net working
capital
Adj. Net Debt
30/09/2019
Adj.
EBITDA
CAPEX &
Acquisitions
Financial
charges
(107) (118)
47%
49%
94
15
1,662
22
Taxes &
Others
2019 GUIDANCE
LUCA BETTONTE, CEO
CAPEX:
Guidance increased at €430-450mn
2019 GUIDANCE
18
Adj. EBITDA:
Guidance confirmed at €495-505mn
495-505
Adj. NFP:
Guidance revised at €1.50-1.56bn
9M 2019
Guidance range
Guidance
Actual
(1) 2019 Guidance does not include IFRS 16 effects
430-450
380
401
1,569 1,500-1,560
2019 FCST9M 2019
2019 FCST(1)9M 2019
2019 FCST(1)
APPENDIX
3Q 2019 GROUP EBITDA EVOLUTION
20
105 107
40
18
38
43
4
10
6
3Q 2018 3Q 2019Wind Hydro CCGT Corporate
(3) (4)
Solar
(18)
22
25
20
CorporateHydroSolar CCGTWind
(0.4)
12
9M 2019 CASH FLOW STATEMENT
21
Adj. Leverage
1,343
1,569
Adj. Net Debt
31/12/2018
Net working
capital
Adj. Net Debt
30/09/2019
Adj.
EBITDA
CAPEX &
Acquisitions
Financial
charges
(380)
112
(39)
47%
42%
401
Dividends
48
Taxes &
Others(1)
84
(1) Out of which €43mn is a non-cash item linked to the write-off of a positive FV associated to Erg Wind Project Financing, while the remainder is mainly linked
to the IRS unwinding of the same Project Financing
ENERGY PORTFOLIO
22
Wind Capacity
1,929MW
Sun Capacity
141MW
Water Capacity
527MW
Natural Gas Capacity
480MW
9M 2019 Production
2,846GWh
9M 2019 Production
194GWh
9M 2019 Production
867GWh
9M 2019 Production
1,941GWh
Total 9M 2019 Production: 5.8TWh
Total Energy Portfolio including hedging & other sales: 11.2TWh
WIND: KEY FIGURES (1/2)
23
9M2019 9M2018 3Q 2019 3Q 2018
1,929 1,791 Installed capacity (end-period, MW) 1,929 1,791
of which:
1,093 1,093 - Italy 1,093 1,093
359 276 - France 359 276
272 216 - Germany 272 216
82 82 - Poland 82 82
70 70 - Romania 70 70
54 54 - Bulgaria 54 54
0 0 - UK 0 0
2,846 2,509 Electricity Production (GWh) 692 578
of which:
1,575 1,490 - Italy 317 338
527 375 - France 142 79
327 234 - Germany 130 56
179 151 - Poland 44 39
138 130 - Romania 34 39
100 101 - Bulgaria 25 26
0 29 - UK 0 0
WIND: KEY FIGURES (2/2)
24
9M2019 9M 2018 Euro millions 3Q 2019 3Q 2018
Unitary Revenues (€/MWh):
119 125 - Italy 121 131
89 87 - France 88 87
98 94 - Germany 95 95
71 58 - Poland 73 58
69 53 - Romania 72 60
75 72 - Bulgaria 67 73
n.a. 100 - UK n.a. n.a.
Adjusted EBITDA:
140 146 - Italy 23 30
30 20 - France 7 2
22 14 - Germany 8 3
10 6 - Poland 2 2
7 4 - Romania 2 2
6 5 - Bulgaria 1 1
0 3 - UK 0 0
214 199 Total Adjusted EBITDA 43 40
(127) (120) Depreciation (45) (39)
87 79 Adjusted EBIT (1) 1
SOLAR: KEY FIGURES
25
9M2019 9M2018 Euro millions 3Q 2019 3Q 2018
194 109 Electricity Prodution (GWh) 75 45
316 295 Unitary Revenues (€/MWh) 319 302
56 28 Adjusted EBITDA 22 12
(31) (15) Depreciation (11) (5)
25 13 Adjusted EBIT 12 7
HYDRO: KEY FIGURES
26
9M2019 9M2018 Euro millions 3Q 2019 3Q 2018
867 1,402 Electricity Prodution (GWh) 274 401
105 105 Unitary Revenues (€/MWh) 106 119
64 118 Adjusted EBITDA 20 38
(43) (43) Depreciation (14) (14)
21 74 Adjusted EBIT 6 23
CCGT: KEY FIGURES
27
9M2019 9M2018 Euro millions 3Q 2019 3Q 2018
1,941 1,645 Electricity Prodution (GWh) 725 591
40 43 Unitary Revenues (€/MWh) 43 47
59 48 Adjusted EBITDA 25 18
(21) (23) Depreciation (7) (8)
38 25 Adjusted EBIT 18 11
9M2019 9M2018 Euro millions 3Q 2019 3Q 2018
172 130 Wind 92 32
220 345 Solar 0 0
3 3 Hydro 1 2
5 4 CCGT 1 2
1 2 Corporate 0 1
401 484 Total 94 37
INVESTMENTS
28
(2)(1)
(1) It includes: Polaris acquisition for €52mn, plus Craiggore and Windwarts acquisitions - respectively for €6mn and €2mn -
and Barkow acquisition (which took place on September 13, 2019) for €84mn
(2) It includes: Vent d’Est acquisition for €13.5mn, Epuron acquisition for €67mn, Valle de l’AA extension acquisition for €1mn,
and Creag Riabhach acquisition for €22.5mn
(3) It refers to the closing of Andromeda acquisition (which took place on February 12, 2019)
(4) It refers to ForVEI consolidation (whose acquisition took place on January 12, 2018)
(5) It refers to Barkow acquisition (which took place on September 13, 2019) for €84mn
(6) It includes: Vent d’Est acquisition for €2mn, and Creag Riabhach acquisition for €22.5mn
(3) (4)
(6)(5)

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Third quarter 2019 results

  • 1. 3Q 2019 Results 14 NOVEMBER 2019 LUCA BETTONTE, CEO
  • 2. DISCLAIMER This document contains certain forward-looking information that is subject to a number of factors that may influence the accuracy of the statements and the projections upon which the statements are based. There can be non assurance that the projections or forecasts will ultimately prove to be accurate; accordingly, the Company makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of such information or the likelihood that the Company will perform as projected. 2
  • 3. AGENDA 3Q 2019 Highlights Key Figures Recent Developments Results Review Business Environment 9M 2019 Group EBITDA Results by Segments Key Financials Profit & Loss Investments Cash Flow Statement 2019 Guidance and Conclusions Appendix 3
  • 4. HIGHLIGHTS: KEY FIGURES 4 Adjusted EBITDA (€ mn) Adjusted NFP (€ mn) Adjusted Net Profit (€ mn) 380381 75 1,569 30/09/201931/12/2018 CCGT Wind Corporate EBITDA Margin Solar Hydro 9M 2019 1,343 Adj. Leverage Derivatives Adj. NFP excl. Derivatives 7 3Q 20193Q 20189M 2018 17 92 9M 2019 3Q 20193Q 20189M 2018 107105 Scarcity of Wind and Hydro mitigated by growth and generation mix
  • 5. KEEP ON GROWING SUSTAINABLE 5 Recent Developments ESG REWARD Rating from Gaia(2) and included in the Ethibel Excellence Investment and Pioneer Registers ENHANCING REVENUES STABILITY • Signed 2 PPA with ACEA Energia (1.5TWh over the next 3 years) paving the way for longer duration • Capacity Market in Italy: awarded 340MW of our CCGT. Secured €11mn of 2022 revenues GROWING INSTALLED CAPACITY • Further expansion in Germany: +34MW(1) high quality asset acquired. Wind capacity to reach 272MW • Organic growth: new authorisation for 22MW in France and 12MW in UK: overall secured capacity at 95% (1) EV of €84mn, which brings the total M&A capex spent in 2018-2019 (ForVEI, Andromeda, Polaris and Barkow acquisitions) to roughly €700mn for a total capacity of 227MW, out of which 141MW in PV and 86MW in Wind (2) Score 78/100
  • 6. RESULTS REVIEW PAOLO MERLI, CORPORATE GENERAL MANAGER & CFO
  • 7. BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT 7 Electricity Prices in Italy (€/MWh) Italy: Electricity Production vs Demand (TWh) All-in Wind Prices abroad (€/MWh) Clean Spark Spread Indicator (€/MWh) 3Q 2018 3Q 2019 Delta % Italian Electricity Demand 84 85 1% Italian Electricity Production 74 76 3% of which: - Thermo 49 50 2% - Hydro 13 13 7% - Solar 8 8 2% - Wind 3 3 8% - Other Sources 1 1 2%
  • 8. 9M 2019 GROUP EBITDA EVOLUTION 8 381 380 199 48 118 214 15 28 11 9M 2018 9M 2019Wind Hydro CCGT Corporate (11) (13) Solar (54) 56 59 64 CorporateHydroSolar CCGTWind (1) 28
  • 9. WIND RESULTS 9 Adjusted Ebitda (€ mn) Volumes (GWh) Italy East EuropeFrance Germany UK 140 214 30 22 23 1,575 2,509 2,846 527 417 327 5 2 338 79 10456 146 199 20 14 16 40 23 30 3 1,490 375 382 234 578 692 317 142 103 130 6 7 43 8 3 29 9M 2018 3Q 20199M 2019 3Q 2018 9M 2018 3Q 20199M 2019 3Q 2018
  • 10. SOLAR RESULTS 10 Adjusted Ebitda (€ mn) Volumes (GWh) 56 28 9M 2018 3Q 20199M 2019 3Q 2018 22 12 194 109 9M 2018 3Q 20199M 2019 3Q 2018 75 45
  • 11. HYDRO RESULTS 11 Adjusted Ebitda (€ mn) Volumes (GWh) 64 118 9M 2018 3Q 20199M 2019 3Q 2018 20 38 867 1,402 9M 2018 3Q 20199M 2019 3Q 2018 274 401
  • 12. CCGT RESULTS 12 Adjusted Ebitda (€ mn) Volumes (GWh) 59 48 9M 2018 3Q 20199M 2019 3Q 2018 25 18 1, 941 1,645 9M 2018 3Q 20199M 2019 3Q 2018 725 591
  • 13. INVESTMENTS 13 (1) M&A CAPEX include: Vent d’Est acquisition for €13.5mn, Epuron acquisition for €67mn, Valle de l’AA extension acquisition for €1mn, Creag Riabhach for €22.5mn, and ForVEI consolidation for €345mn (2) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of Andromeda acquisition for €220mn, Polaris acquisition for €52mn, Craiggore and Windwarts acquisitions - respectively for €6mn and €2mn - and Barkow acquisition (which took place on September 13, 2019) for €84mn (3) M&A CAPEX mainly referred to Creag Riabhach for €22.5mn (4) M&A CAPEX related to Barkow acquisition for €84mn, which took place on September 13, 2019 94 Solar Wind Corporate Hydro 220 CCGT 484 M&A: 364(2) 345 M&A: 449(1) M&A: 84(4) 401 37 M&A: 24(3)
  • 15. ADJUSTED P&L 15 Note: figures based on NO GAAP measures 9M2019 9M2018 Euro millions 3Q 2019 3Q 2018 380 381 Adjusted EBITDA 107 105 (223) (203) Amortization and depreciation (78) (67) 157 178 Adjusted EBIT 29 38 (48) (53) Net financial income (expenses) (15) (15) 0 0 Net income (loss) from equity investments 0 0 109 125 Adjusted Results before taxes 14 22 (33) (33) Income taxes (6) (6) 76 92 Adjusted Results for the period 8 17 (1) (0) Minority interests (1) (0) 75 92 Adjusted Net Profit 7 17 30% 26% Tax Rate 43% 26%
  • 16. 3Q 2019 CASH FLOW STATEMENT 16 Adj. Leverage 1,569 Adj. Net Debt 30/06/2019 Net working capital Adj. Net Debt 30/09/2019 Adj. EBITDA CAPEX & Acquisitions Financial charges (107) (118) 47% 49% 94 15 1,662 22 Taxes & Others
  • 18. CAPEX: Guidance increased at €430-450mn 2019 GUIDANCE 18 Adj. EBITDA: Guidance confirmed at €495-505mn 495-505 Adj. NFP: Guidance revised at €1.50-1.56bn 9M 2019 Guidance range Guidance Actual (1) 2019 Guidance does not include IFRS 16 effects 430-450 380 401 1,569 1,500-1,560 2019 FCST9M 2019 2019 FCST(1)9M 2019 2019 FCST(1)
  • 20. 3Q 2019 GROUP EBITDA EVOLUTION 20 105 107 40 18 38 43 4 10 6 3Q 2018 3Q 2019Wind Hydro CCGT Corporate (3) (4) Solar (18) 22 25 20 CorporateHydroSolar CCGTWind (0.4) 12
  • 21. 9M 2019 CASH FLOW STATEMENT 21 Adj. Leverage 1,343 1,569 Adj. Net Debt 31/12/2018 Net working capital Adj. Net Debt 30/09/2019 Adj. EBITDA CAPEX & Acquisitions Financial charges (380) 112 (39) 47% 42% 401 Dividends 48 Taxes & Others(1) 84 (1) Out of which €43mn is a non-cash item linked to the write-off of a positive FV associated to Erg Wind Project Financing, while the remainder is mainly linked to the IRS unwinding of the same Project Financing
  • 22. ENERGY PORTFOLIO 22 Wind Capacity 1,929MW Sun Capacity 141MW Water Capacity 527MW Natural Gas Capacity 480MW 9M 2019 Production 2,846GWh 9M 2019 Production 194GWh 9M 2019 Production 867GWh 9M 2019 Production 1,941GWh Total 9M 2019 Production: 5.8TWh Total Energy Portfolio including hedging & other sales: 11.2TWh
  • 23. WIND: KEY FIGURES (1/2) 23 9M2019 9M2018 3Q 2019 3Q 2018 1,929 1,791 Installed capacity (end-period, MW) 1,929 1,791 of which: 1,093 1,093 - Italy 1,093 1,093 359 276 - France 359 276 272 216 - Germany 272 216 82 82 - Poland 82 82 70 70 - Romania 70 70 54 54 - Bulgaria 54 54 0 0 - UK 0 0 2,846 2,509 Electricity Production (GWh) 692 578 of which: 1,575 1,490 - Italy 317 338 527 375 - France 142 79 327 234 - Germany 130 56 179 151 - Poland 44 39 138 130 - Romania 34 39 100 101 - Bulgaria 25 26 0 29 - UK 0 0
  • 24. WIND: KEY FIGURES (2/2) 24 9M2019 9M 2018 Euro millions 3Q 2019 3Q 2018 Unitary Revenues (€/MWh): 119 125 - Italy 121 131 89 87 - France 88 87 98 94 - Germany 95 95 71 58 - Poland 73 58 69 53 - Romania 72 60 75 72 - Bulgaria 67 73 n.a. 100 - UK n.a. n.a. Adjusted EBITDA: 140 146 - Italy 23 30 30 20 - France 7 2 22 14 - Germany 8 3 10 6 - Poland 2 2 7 4 - Romania 2 2 6 5 - Bulgaria 1 1 0 3 - UK 0 0 214 199 Total Adjusted EBITDA 43 40 (127) (120) Depreciation (45) (39) 87 79 Adjusted EBIT (1) 1
  • 25. SOLAR: KEY FIGURES 25 9M2019 9M2018 Euro millions 3Q 2019 3Q 2018 194 109 Electricity Prodution (GWh) 75 45 316 295 Unitary Revenues (€/MWh) 319 302 56 28 Adjusted EBITDA 22 12 (31) (15) Depreciation (11) (5) 25 13 Adjusted EBIT 12 7
  • 26. HYDRO: KEY FIGURES 26 9M2019 9M2018 Euro millions 3Q 2019 3Q 2018 867 1,402 Electricity Prodution (GWh) 274 401 105 105 Unitary Revenues (€/MWh) 106 119 64 118 Adjusted EBITDA 20 38 (43) (43) Depreciation (14) (14) 21 74 Adjusted EBIT 6 23
  • 27. CCGT: KEY FIGURES 27 9M2019 9M2018 Euro millions 3Q 2019 3Q 2018 1,941 1,645 Electricity Prodution (GWh) 725 591 40 43 Unitary Revenues (€/MWh) 43 47 59 48 Adjusted EBITDA 25 18 (21) (23) Depreciation (7) (8) 38 25 Adjusted EBIT 18 11
  • 28. 9M2019 9M2018 Euro millions 3Q 2019 3Q 2018 172 130 Wind 92 32 220 345 Solar 0 0 3 3 Hydro 1 2 5 4 CCGT 1 2 1 2 Corporate 0 1 401 484 Total 94 37 INVESTMENTS 28 (2)(1) (1) It includes: Polaris acquisition for €52mn, plus Craiggore and Windwarts acquisitions - respectively for €6mn and €2mn - and Barkow acquisition (which took place on September 13, 2019) for €84mn (2) It includes: Vent d’Est acquisition for €13.5mn, Epuron acquisition for €67mn, Valle de l’AA extension acquisition for €1mn, and Creag Riabhach acquisition for €22.5mn (3) It refers to the closing of Andromeda acquisition (which took place on February 12, 2019) (4) It refers to ForVEI consolidation (whose acquisition took place on January 12, 2018) (5) It refers to Barkow acquisition (which took place on September 13, 2019) for €84mn (6) It includes: Vent d’Est acquisition for €2mn, and Creag Riabhach acquisition for €22.5mn (3) (4) (6)(5)