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UK Commercial Radio in numbers:
Q4 2008

Grant Goddard
radio specialist
www.grantgoddard.co.uk

March 2009
Grant Goddard
radio specialist

UK commercial radio revenues

UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

2
157.6

0

UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

162.0

165.2

149.0
150.9

2007 Q3
2007 Q4

2008 Q4

129.0

137.3
2008 Q3

UK commercial radio revenues

2008 Q2

2008 Q1
134.2

149.4

2007 Q2

159.8

148.9

140.9

2006 Q4
2007 Q1

141.4

148.2

151.2

155.7

152.5

143.3

2006 Q3

2006 Q2

2006 Q1

2005 Q4

2005 Q3

2005 Q2

2005 Q1

2004 Q4

159.8

50

2004 Q3

100

2004 Q2

150
158.3

2004 Q1

Grant Goddard
radio specialist

Quarterly revenues - £m per quarter
200

[source: Radio Advertising Bureau]

3
100

0

UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

2008 Q4

2008 Q3

560.3

582.3

594.0

UK commercial radio revenues

2008 Q2

609.1

588.2
2007 Q3

2008 Q1

580.6
2007 Q2

598.2

579.4
2007 Q1

2007 Q4

581.7

596.5

2006 Q4

2006 Q3

607.6

2006 Q2

613.5

2005 Q4

602.7

623.0

2005 Q3

2006 Q1

630.3

2005 Q2

645.3

200

2005 Q1

300
640.9

400

2004 Q4

500
644.1

600

2004 Q3

634.0

621.2

700

2004 Q2

2004 Q1

Grant Goddard
radio specialist

Four-quarter moving average revenues - £m per annum

[source: Radio Advertising Bureau]

4
Grant Goddard

UK commercial radio revenues

radio specialist

560.3

598.2

581.7

613.4

604.0

562.7

220.1

178.3

1991

141.0

129.0

1990

200

136.6

300

308.8

270.7

400

354.1

418.1

500

464.4

600

549.0

594.6

700

641.0

Annual revenues - £m per annum

100

2008

2007

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999

1998

1997

1996

1995

1994

1993

1992

0

[source: Radio Advertising Bureau]
UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

5
Grant Goddard

UK commercial radio revenues

radio specialist

Annual revenues by source - £m per annum
700

106

101

93

71
342

101

62

500

344

61

76

94

600

305

337

323

348

364

359

388

203

158

159

150

2007

2008

183
2004

2006

169
2003

173

149
2002

2005

143
2001

1997

145

1996

2000

1995

154

1994

1999

121

1993

160

103

152

91

136

74
1992

1998

117

64
65
1991

100

64
73
1990

67

87

200

172

150

258

300

311

400

0

local advertisers

national advertisers

branded content

[source: Radio Advertising Bureau]
UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

6
Grant Goddard

UK commercial radio revenues

radio specialist

630.7

2007

560.3

622.0

2006

686.2

737.5

686.0

482.9

272.2

218.7

207.5

232.6

300

328.1

400

2002

390.0

500

434.4

600

603.1

551.3

700

715.6

680.5

800

2001

750.0

Annual revenues - £m per annum at 2008 prices

200

100

2008

2005

2004

2003

2000

1999

1998

1997

1996

1995

1994

1993

1992

1991

1990

0

[source: Radio Advertising Bureau, base: RPI]
UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

7
Grant Goddard

UK commercial radio revenues

radio specialist

Annual revenues by source - £m per annum at 2008 prices

77

800

108

87
417

426

419

200

183

177

182

200

211

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

104

90
77
427

211
1998

700

106
351

171

166

150

2006

2007

2008

106

110
350
193
2005

600

154

174

192

207

1994

1995

1996

1997

100

389

490

403

305

276

139
1993

175

104
115
1992

133

102
105
1991

108
124
1990

200

216

300

242

400

340

500

0

local advertisers

national advertisers

branded content

[source: Radio Advertising Bureau, base: RPI]
UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

8
Grant Goddard

UK commercial radio revenues

radio specialist

Revenue yield - average £ per 1000 hours listened at 2008 prices

25.14

27.00
2007

28.48

29.74

28.43

27.18

26.67

24.61

2006

15.67

13.29
1992

15.12

12.84

15

1991

16.21

20

17.72

20.67

25

22.68

25.27

30

26.48

29.71

35

10

5

2008

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999

1998

1997

1996

1995

1994

1993

1990

0

[source: RAJAR, Radio Advertising Bureau, base: RPI]
UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

9
Grant Goddard

UK commercial radio advertising expenditure

radio specialist

Commercial radio top product categories - 12-month moving averages - £ per annum
12-month moving
average Dec 2008
Rank

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

Sector

GOVT INSTITUTIONS
MOTORS
ENTERTAINMENT & THE MEDIA
RETAIL
BUSINESS & INDUSTRIAL
HOUSEHOLD EQUIPMENT
TELECOMMS
FINANCE
TRAVEL & TRANSPORT
FOOD
DRINK
PHARMACEUTICAL
PROPERTY
COSMETICS & TOILETRIES
COMPUTERS
HOUSEHOLD STORES
ONLINE RETAIL
MISCELLANEOUS
LEISURE EQUIPMENT
CLOTHING & ACCESSORIES

radio
share

£

%

84,762,101
83,043,313
77,067,262
66,035,985
36,955,463
33,136,046
33,040,871
31,897,019
25,324,269
13,549,016
11,416,344
10,377,279
10,282,461
10,233,120
7,145,845
5,717,500
4,888,489
3,587,114
3,140,772
2,653,075

12%
11%
6%
7%
13%
8%
6%
2%
4%
2%
3%
3%
12%
2%
2%
2%
6%
33%
1%
1%

12-month moving change yearon-year
average Dec 2007
£

77,721,168
77,431,517
74,884,036
73,795,300
37,725,304
39,999,108
37,783,832
47,400,271
28,797,218
14,202,406
14,292,942
12,036,480
13,669,373
11,314,759
6,032,807
3,546,526
4,409,462
3,830,711
2,836,399
2,513,204

%

9%
7%
3%
-11%
-2%
-17%
-13%
-33%
-12%
-5%
-20%
-14%
-25%
-10%
18%
61%
11%
-6%
11%
6%

[source: Nielsen Media Research]
UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

10
Grant Goddard

UK commercial radio advertising expenditure

radio specialist

Commercial radio top advertisers 12-month moving averages - £ per annum

Rank

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

Advertiser

COI
FORD MOTOR COMPANY LTD
BLOCKBUSTER ENTERTAINMENT LTD
SPECSAVERS OPTICAL GROUP LTD
VOLKSWAGEN UK LTD
UNILEVER UK LTD
AUTOGLASS HOLDINGS
TMOBILE NETWORK
BRITISH SKY BROADCASTING LTD
DFS FURN PLC
SAINSBURYS SUPERMARKETS LTD
NISSAN MOTOR GB LTD
VAUXHALL MOTORS LTD
HUTCHISON 3G UK LTD
PROCTER & GAMBLE LTD
VODAFONE LTD
YELL LTD
BRITISH GAS PLC
TERRITORIAL ARMY
AUDI UK LTD

12-month moving
average Dec 2008
£

46,935,329
6,496,961
5,983,400
5,970,986
5,885,101
5,672,262
5,644,753
5,389,392
5,128,373
4,702,658
4,067,798
3,900,339
3,761,707
3,677,499
3,515,525
3,514,907
3,289,790
3,251,405
3,226,268
3,123,594

radio
share
%

25%
12%
54%
13%
14%
4%
70%
9%
4%
5%
6%
17%
8%
14%
2%
7%
28%
7%
100%
14%

12-month moving change yearaverage Dec 2007
on-year
£
%

43,022,995
4,550,608
2,212,623
2,107,143
2,305,807
2,227,391
5,961,106
1,045,386
6,859,618
7,584,312
6,472,797
382,630
3,876,227
6,620,049
4,364,912
4,237,014
6,191,700
2,477,031
231,782
1,634,066

9%
43%
170%
183%
155%
155%
-5%
416%
-25%
-38%
-37%
919%
-3%
-44%
-19%
-17%
-47%
31%
1292%
91%

[source: Nielsen Media Research]
UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

11
Grant Goddard

UK commercial radio advertising expenditure

radio specialist

Product categories - % change in 12-month moving average radio advertising expenditure
sector

GOVT INSTITUTIONS
MOTORS
ENTERTAINMENT & THE MEDIA
RETAIL
BUSINESS & INDUSTRIAL
HOUSEHOLD EQUIPMENT
TELECOMMS
FINANCE
TRAVEL & TRANSPORT
FOOD
DRINK
PHARMACEUTICAL
PROPERTY
COSMETICS & TOILETRIES
COMPUTERS
HOUSEHOLD STORES
ONLINE RETAIL
MISCELLANEOUS
LEISURE EQUIPMENT
CLOTHING & ACCESSORIES

Oct-08

Nov-08

Dec-08

10
10
3
-10
4
-15
-11
-34
-13
-6
-16
-17
-16
-13
18
90
18
-6
18
14

9%
9%
3%
-12%
0%
-15%
-11%
-33%
-13%
-7%
-17%
-18%
-23%
-13%
12%
78%
20%
-3%
25%
13%

9%
7%
3%
-11%
-2%
-17%
-13%
-33%
-12%
-5%
-20%
-14%
-25%
-10%
18%
61%
11%
-6%
11%
6%

[source: Nielsen Media Research, ranked by radio expenditure Dec 2008 12-month moving average]
UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

12
Grant Goddard
radio specialist

UK commercial radio listening

UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

13
Grant Goddard

UK commercial radio listening

radio specialist

Percentage of total commercial radio listening by group owner – Q4 2008
45
40.0
40
35
30

25.8

25
20
15

11.4

10

1.7

1.3

1.1

0.9

0.8

0.7

0.7

0.4

0.4

0.2

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.0

0.0

The Local Radio Company

Planet Rock

UKRD

Sunrise Radio

Cumberland News Group

Tindle Radio

Kent Messenger Radio

Town & Country Broadcasting

Northern Media Group

Forward Media

Absolute Radio International

Midwest Radio

Adventure Radio

Midland News Association

UTV Radio

Guardian Media Group

Bauer Radio

Global Radio

0

TIML Golden Square

3.2

5

Lincs FM Group

6.8

[source: RAJAR, grey columns are publicly quoted companies]
UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

14
200,000

400,000

0
571,893
569,438

600,000

com m ercial radio

UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

567,674
574,061
576,627
584,914
583,979

466,008
464,351
463,420
469,980
466,172
453,692
449,529

Q3 2004
Q4 2004
Q1 2005
Q2 2005
Q3 2005
Q4 2005
Q1 2006

BBC radio

575,587

555,204
564,034
587,057
564,476

457,102
439,709
459,322
441,457
431,319
424,396
431,081
432,016
427,050

Q4 2006
Q1 2007
Q2 2007
Q3 2007
Q4 2007
Q1 2008
Q2 2008
Q3 2008
Q4 2008

564,437

UK total radio listening

550,398

573,516

584,837

576,848
463,531

Q3 2006

572,682
449,241

Q2 2006

583,654

580,393

482,457

494,622

800,000

Q2 2004

Q1 2004

Grant Goddard
radio specialist

Total adult (15+) hours listened to all radio (‘000 per week)
1,200,000

1,000,000

other radio

[source: RAJAR]

15
400,000

UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

427,050

432,016
Q3 2008

459,322

UK commercial radio listening

Q4 2008

431,081

424,396

431,319

441,457

439,709

Q2 2008

Q1 2008

Q4 2007

Q3 2007

Q2 2007

Q1 2007

Q4 2006

463,531
457,102

449,241

Q2 2006
Q3 2006

449,529

469,980
466,172
453,692

Q1 2006

Q4 2005

Q3 2005

Q2 2005

463,420

420,000

Q1 2005

440,000
464,351

460,000

Q4 2004

466,008

480,000

Q3 2004

482,457

494,622

500,000

Q2 2004

Q1 2004

Grant Goddard
radio specialist

Total adult (15+) hours listened to commercial radio (‘000 per week)
520,000

[source: RAJAR]

16
UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

61.1

61.0
61.6

60
61.5

Q3 2008
Q4 2008

Q2 2008

62.0

62.0

61.7

62.6

62.9

62.6

62.2

63.2

63.6

63.4

63.8

64.2

65.4

UK commercial radio listening

61.5

Q1 2008

Q4 2007

Q3 2007

Q2 2007

Q1 2007

Q4 2006

Q3 2006

Q2 2006

61.6

62

Q1 2006

Q4 2005

Q3 2005

Q2 2005

Q1 2005

Q4 2004

63.5

64

Q3 2004

Q2 2004

Q1 2004

Grant Goddard
radio specialist

Total commercial radio adult (15+) reach per week (%)
66

[source: RAJAR]

17
Grant Goddard

UK commercial radio listening

radio specialist

Total commercial radio average hours per adult (15+) listener per week

13.7

13.7

14

13.9

13.9

14.0

14.1

14.1

14.4

14.6

14.6

14.8

14.7

15.0

15.2

15.1

15.0

15

14.9

15.0

15.4

15.6

16

Q4 2008

Q3 2008

Q2 2008

Q1 2008

Q4 2007

Q3 2007

Q2 2007

Q1 2007

Q4 2006

Q3 2006

Q2 2006

Q1 2006

Q4 2005

Q3 2005

Q2 2005

Q1 2005

Q4 2004

Q3 2004

Q2 2004

Q1 2004

13

[source: RAJAR]
UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

18
Grant Goddard

UK commercial radio listening

radio specialist

42.2

42.4

42.4

43.1

43.3

43.5
42.1

43.2

43.6
42.9

43

42.6

42.8

44

43.5

43.7

43.8

44.2

45

44.0

45.0

46

45.5

Commercial radio share of total radio listening (adults 15+) (%)

41.1

42

41

Q4 2008

Q3 2008

Q2 2008

Q1 2008

Q4 2007

Q3 2007

Q2 2007

Q1 2007

Q4 2006

Q3 2006

Q2 2006

Q1 2006

Q4 2005

Q3 2005

Q2 2005

Q1 2005

Q4 2004

Q3 2004

Q2 2004

Q1 2004

40

[source: RAJAR]
UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

19
Grant Goddard

UK commercial radio listening

radio specialist

105,520

120,000

106,261

Total hours listened to commercial radio by age group (‘000 per week)

80,000

81,157

71,728

74,275

90,000

82,542

100,000

81,546

92,623

110,000

53,306

60,000

50,804

51,708

53,572

70,000

50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
15-24
Q4 2000

25-34
Q4 2002

35-44
Q4 2004

45-54

55-64
Q4 2006

65+
Q4 2008

[source: RAJAR]
UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

20
Grant Goddard

UK commercial radio listening

radio specialist

Commercial radio adult reach per week by age group (%)

54.2

60

56.0

65.6

64.7

69.0

74.3

69.5

70

75.5

71.0

80

78.6

90

39.5

41.2

50

40
30
20

10
0
15-24
Q4 2000

25-34
Q4 2002

35-44

45-54
Q4 2004

55-64
Q4 2006

65+
Q4 2008

[source: RAJAR]
UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

21
Grant Goddard

UK commercial radio listening

radio specialist

Commercial radio average hours per listener per week by age group

13.0

13.7

15.1

15.2

16.0

13.1

12.8

14

13.1

14.6

15.9

15.3

16

16.1

18

12
10

8
6
4

2
0
15-24
Q4 2000

25-34
Q4 2002

35-44

45-54
Q4 2004

55-64
Q4 2006

65+
Q4 2008

[source: RAJAR]
UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

22
Grant Goddard

UK commercial radio listening

radio specialist

45.3

49.5

50

45.5

56.2
51.6

60

60.0

59.0

70

63.7

Commercial radio share of total radio listening by age group (%)

23.8

30

24.7

32.4

33.7

40

20

10

0
15-24
Q4 2000

25-34
Q4 2002

35-44

45-54
Q4 2004

55-64
Q4 2006

65+
Q4 2008

[source: RAJAR]
UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

23
Grant Goddard

UK commercial radio listening

radio specialist

Listening to commercial radio by platform (% of listening)

digital: internet,
digital: unspecified,
1.9%
3.0%
digital: DTV, 4.2%
digital: DAB, 9.9%
unspecified, 13.2%

Satellite

all analogue, 67.8%

Dial-up

[source: RAJAR, Q4 2008]
UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

24
2007Q2
2007Q3

0%

2007Q4

UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

2008Q1
2008Q2
2008Q3

digital: unspecified

digital: internet

digital: DTV

digital: DAB

unspecified

2.8%
3.1%
3.1%
3.1%
3.1%
3.2%
3.0%

1.4%
1.5%
1.7%
1.9%
1.8%
2.2%
1.9%

3.3%
4.3%
4.3%
4.3%
4.5%
4.2%
4.2%

6.3%
8.0%
9.0%
9.3%
9.0%
9.2%
9.9%

21.2%
13.6%
9.8%
9.6%
12.5%
12.7%
13.2%

13.8%
16.8%
18.1%
18.4%
18.4%
18.9%
19.0%

20%

all digital

all analogue

80%
65.0%
69.6%
72.1%
72.0%
69.2%
68.4%
67.8%

Grant Goddard

UK commercial radio listening
radio specialist

Commercial radio adult (15+) hours listened by platform (%)

60%

40%

2008Q4

[source: RAJAR]

25
Grant Goddard

UK commercial radio listening

radio specialist

Commercial radio adult (15+) share of listening by platform (%)
49

48.4

48
47

46.3

46.2

46
45
44

43.4

43.6

43.6

42.8
43

42.4

42.4

42

42.2

43.0

41.3
40.7

41
40
2007Q2

2007Q3

2007Q4

2008Q1

2008Q2

2008Q3

2008Q4

com m ercial radio % share of listening via analogue platform
com m ercial radio % share of listening via digital platform
[source: RAJAR]
UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

26
Grant Goddard

UK commercial radio listening

radio specialist

Adult (15+) listening to commercial digital-only radio stations

3.6

3.9
3.3

3.2

3.0

5.2

5.5

4.6

4.7

30%

33%
30%
28%
26%

2.3

2.1

40%

36%

27%
24%

20%

10%

0.7

1

0.6

2

1.9

2.1

2.1

3

3.0

2.7

3.4

4

3.5

4.0

5

50%

5.1

5.0

5.5

6

0
2008Q4

2008Q3

2008Q2

2008Q1

2007Q4

2007Q3

2007Q2

2007Q1

2006Q4

2006Q3

2006Q2

2006Q1

2005Q4

2005Q3

2005Q2

2005Q1

2004Q4

2004Q3

2004Q2

2004Q1

2003Q4

2003Q3

2003Q2

2003Q1

0%

listening to commercial digital-only radio stations as % of all commercial radio listening [left axis]
listening to commercial digital-only radio stations as % of digital listening to commercial radio [right axis]
[source: RAJAR]
UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

27
Grant Goddard

UK radio listening by platform

radio specialist

Adult (15+) all radio weekly reach by platform (%)

9.9

9.3
7.3

10

10.7

11.9

13.5

15

14.0

15.3

17.8

20

2.7

3.6

5

internet platform

DAB platform

Q4 2008

Q3 2008

Q2 2008

Q1 2008

Q4 2007

Q3 2007

Q2 2007

Q1 2007

Q4 2006

Q3 2006

Q2 2006

Q1 2006

Q4 2005

Q3 2005

Q2 2005

Q1 2005

Q4 2004

Q3 2004

Q2 2004

Q4 2003

Dial-up

Q3 2003

Q2 2003

Q1 2003

Q4 2002

Q3 2002

0

Q1 2004

Satellite

digital TV platform

[source: RAJAR; includes streams, podcasts and time-shifted listening to all online radio services]
UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

28
Grant Goddard

UK radio listening – digital stations

radio specialist

Adult (15+) listening to digital-only radio stations (‘000 hours per week)
40,000
35,000
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000

Satellite

TOTAL (com m ercial + BBC)

COMMERCIAL RADIO

2008Q4

2008Q3

2008Q2

2008Q1

2007Q4

2007Q3

2007Q2

2007Q1

2006Q4

2006Q3

2006Q2

2006Q1

2005Q4

2005Q3

2005Q2

2005Q1

2004Q4

2004Q3

2004Q2

2004Q1

Dial-up

2003Q4

2003Q3

2003Q2

2003Q1

0

BBC RADIO

[source: RAJAR]
UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

29
Grant Goddard

UK radio listening – digital stations

radio specialist

Listening to national digital-only radio stations
station

2002
1999
2003
2002
2003
2002
2002
2002
2003
2003
2005
2001
2004
2003
2008
2005
2005
2006
2000
2000
Dial-up
2000
1999

BBC
Bauer
BBC
Bauer
BBC
BBC
BBC
Bauer
Global
Global
TIML
Bauer
TIML
Folder

BBC7
Planet Rock
The Hits
BBC 6 Music
Smash Hits Radio
BBC 1Xtra
BBC Asian Network
BBC Five Live Sports Extra
Mojo Radio
closed 2008
Heat
Chill
The Arrow
Absolute Radio Classic Rock
Q
NME Radio
Absolute Radio Xtreme
Satellite
Fun Radio
TheJazz
closed 2008
Capital Life
closed 2008
Oneword Radio
closed 2008
Virgin Radio Groove
closed 2008
closed 2008
Core
TOTAL

internet

FreeSat

Freeview

digital platforms

local DAB

group

national DAB

launched

listening

total hours total hours year-on-year
change in
per week
per week
hours
('000) Q4
('000) Q4
listened (%)
2007
2008

4,530
3,148
5,692
2,643
3,096
2,599
2,600
1,288
717
1,338
986
920
1,045
830
234
209
1,882
700
583
488
377
35,905

5,380
4,872
4,557
3,178
2,563
2,514
1,992
1,419
1,266
1,216
1,028
1,015
878
700
356
346

19
55
-20
20
-17
-3
-23
10
77
-9
4
10
-16
-16

33,280

-7

48

"national" as defined by RAJAR past and present
BBC Asian Network also on AM in Midlands
[source: RAJAR]
UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

30
Grant Goddard

Radio listening – UK

radio specialist

Share of all radio listening (%) – UK market (50.7m adults 15+)
station

owner

Q4 1999

Q4 2000

Q4 2001

Q4 2002

Q4 2003

Q4 2004

Q4 2005

Q4 2006

Q4 2007

Q4 2008

ALL COMMERCIAL
All National Commercial
All Local Commercial

46.7
8.3
38.4

46.0
8.0
37.9

44.6
7.8
36.8

45.5
7.6
37.9

45.3
9.6
35.7

44.2
10.0
34.2

42.8
10.1
32.7

43.2
10.5
32.8

42.4
11.3
31.1

42.2
10.6
31.6

ALL BBC
All BBC Network Radio
BBC Local/Regional

51.3
40.5
10.8

51.7
39.7
12.0

53.4
42.0
11.3

52.5
41.5
11.0

52.9
42.0
10.9

54.0
43.0
11.0

55.1
44.0
11.1

54.4
44.0
10.4

55.4
45.4
10.0

55.7
46.4
9.3

13.6
10.8
10.0

15.2
12.0
9.1

15.8
11.5
8.4

4.1
4.7

4.6
4.5

4.7
4.7

1.3

1.6

1.7

16.0
11.5
7.7
2.3
4.4
4.3
1.9
1.8
0.7
1.4
1.2

16.4
11.5
8.2
1.8
4.3
4.4
1.9
2.1
0.8
1.6
1.1

16.0
11.8
9.2
2.4
4.2
4.3
1.8
1.9
0.9
1.8
1.1

1.2
2.2

1.1
1.1

1.2
1.1

1.4
1.4

1.3
1.4

1.2
1.6

15.8
11.1
9.7
2.4
4.4
4.2
1.9
2.0
1.0
1.8
1.6
1.7
1.4
1.5

0.7

0.6

0.8

0.9

15.7
11.8
10.3
2.4
4.6
4.2
1.6
2.3
2.0
2.0
1.6
1.8
1.2
1.5
1.1
0.9

15.8
12.4
10.1
5.5
4.8
4.0
2.6
2.4
2.4
1.8
1.8
1.5
1.3
1.2
1.0
1.0

BBC Radio 2
BBC
12.8
BBC Radio 4
BBC
11.0
BBC Radio 1
BBC
10.9
Heart Network (UK)
Global
BBC Radio FIVE LIVE BBC
9.4
Classic FM
Global
4.3
Galaxy Network (UK)
Global
Total Magic
Bauer
Total Smooth Radio
GMG
talkSPORT
UTV
1.5
Total Kiss Network
Bauer
Total Real Radio
GMG
BBC Radio 3
BBC
1.3
Total Absolute Radio (was Total Virgin Radio)
TIML
2.5
Gold Network (UK)
Global
Total LBC (UK)
Global

[source: RAJAR]
UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

31
Grant Goddard

Radio listening – London

radio specialist

Share of all radio listening (%) – London market (10.8m adults 15+)
station

platform

owner

ALL COMMERCIAL
ALL BBC
BBC Radio 4
BBC Radio 2
Magic
BBC Radio 1
Heart
BBC Radio Five Live
Capital FM
Classic FM
Kiss
LBC 97.3 FM
Total Absolute Radio
TalkSport
BBC Radio 3
Choice
Smooth
BBC London
Xfm
Gold London
BBC World Service
Sunrise
LBC 1152 AM
Premier Christian
BBC7

Q4 1999

Q4 2000

Q4 2001

Q4 2002

Q4 2003

Q4 2004

Q4 2005

Q4 2006

Q4 2007

Q4 2008

58.2
40.3
FM/AM
FM
FM
FM
FM
AM
FM
FM
FM
FM
FM/AM
AM
FM
FM
FM
FM
FM
AM
AM
AM
AM
AM
digital

BBC
BBC
Bauer
BBC
Global
BBC
Global
Global
Bauer
Global
TIML
UTV
BBC
Global
GMG
BBC
Global
Global
BBC
Sunrise
Global
BBC

57.3
40.4

55.9
42.6

54.6
42.6

53.1
45.2

51.9
45.7

51.4
45.7

53.3
44.0

50.9
45.7

49.8
47.7

14.4
8.7
5.9
6.5
4.5
4.8
11.9
4.9
3.2
0.9
4.0
2.0
1.8
n/a
1.9
1.2
1.0
4.3

13.9
10.4
4.9
5.7
4.7
4.3
12.4
4.5
4.2
0.7
4.6
1.5
1.7
0.6
1.7
0.7
1.4
3.3

16.3
11.3
4.8
4.0
6.2
5.1
10.9
4.7
4.2
1.2
3.8
2.0
1.8
0.9
0.9
0.7
1.3
3.1

15.1
12.0
4.6
4.7
3.1
4.7
8.8
4.8
4.9
1.0
3.1
2.0
1.8
1.2
1.7
1.1
1.7
3.1

1.5
3.1
0.8

1.7
2.7
0.6

1.6
2.6
0.7

2.4
2.1
1.0

16.1
11.5
4.5
3.6
7.0
5.1
7.8
4.7
4.0
2.5
2.6
2.0
2.3
1.3
1.9
1.5
1.5
2.1
0.9
1.7
0.9
1.2
0.2

15.4
12.2
6.1
4.3
5.3
4.4
6.2
5.0
3.9
2.1
3.3
2.4
1.9
1.5
1.7
1.7
1.8
2.3
0.8
0.9
1.0
0.9
0.2

15.7
11.7
4.9
5.4
6.0
4.9
5.9
5.1
3.7
2.5
3.6
2.4
1.9
1.9
1.7
1.4
1.5
2.1
0.9
1.7
0.6
0.5
0.3

14.4
10.4
5.5
4.8
7.1
5.0
4.7
4.1
3.9
3.3
3.6
2.5
2.3
2.8
1.5
2.0
1.3
1.4
1.1
1.4
0.8
0.8
0.4

15.4
10.8
6.1
5.5
6.2
5.2
4.7
4.6
4.2
3.8
3.4
2.0
1.7
1.7
1.7
1.8
1.3
0.7
0.6
1.3
0.5
0.7
0.5

17.5
10.3
6.0
5.4
5.0
4.9
4.8
4.4
4.2
3.6
3.0
2.5
2.2
2.0
1.6
1.6
1.3
1.2
1.1
0.8
0.8
0.6
0.6

[source: RAJAR]
UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

32
Grant Goddard
radio specialist

UK radio receivers

UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

33
Grant Goddard

UK radio receiver sales

radio specialist

UK radio receiver sales – four quarter moving average (‘000 per annum)
DAB receivers as percentage of total receiver sales

2,006

2,114

2,174

2,180

8,140

8,209

8,227

8,030

Q4 2007

Q1 2008

Q2 2008

Q3 2008

1,824

1,761
7,854
Q2 2007

7,906

1,734
7,978
Q1 2007

Q3 2007

1,680
8,062

9,892
Q2 2006

Q4 2006

10,169
Q1 2006

10,000

1,575

1,407
10,550
Q4 2005

1,566

1,208
10,657
Q3 2005

1,493

1,051

12% 13% 14% 14% 17% 18% 18% 19% 20% 20% 21% 21%

10,611

9% 10%

Q2 2005

8%
951

12,000

9,495

6,000

10,678

8,000

4,000

2,000

[source: GfK/DRDB]

analogue r adio unit s ale s ('000)

UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

Q3 2006

Q1 2005

0

DAB r adio unit s ale s ('000)
34
UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

Oct-08

454

552

UK DAB radio receiver sales

Jul-08

Apr-08

147
129
113
137
108

214

394

600

Jan-08

248

300

Oct-07

Jul-07

Apr-07

154
188
171
110
101
91
114
94
128
119
115
164

96
93
85
112
90
110
102
96

149

346

500

Jan-07

Oct-06

Jul-06

Apr-06

Jan-06

170

200

Oct-05

Jul-05

Apr-05

70
73
64
77
64
93
103
98
118

109
102

134

400

Jan-05

Oct-04

Jul-04

Apr-04

42
31
39
30
31
41
34
40
61
55

6
6
11
11
12
17
16
17
20
18
30

100

Jan-04

Oct-03

Jul-03

Apr-03

Jan-03

Grant Goddard
radio specialist

Monthly DAB receiver sales (‘000 per month)

0

[source: GfK/DRDB, no monthly data published from July 2008 onwards]

35
Grant Goddard

UK DAB radio receiver sales

radio specialist

Monthly DAB receiver sales (‘000 per month)
174
160

160

149

144

454

500

114

128

140

394

400

180

552

600

120

114

300

100
80

88
56

200

46

46

62

38

56

60
42

33

40

20

18
27

100

34

32

31

14

10
-1 -2

15 15 14

21

17 16
9 7

2 4

25

28

24

20
20

15

7

-20
Jan-05
Feb-05
Mar-05
Apr-05
May-05
Jun-05
Jul-05
Aug-05
Sep-05
Oct-05
Nov-05
Dec-05
Jan-06
Feb-06
Mar-06
Apr-06
May-06
Jun-06
Jul-06
Aug-06
Sep-06
Oct-06
Nov-06
Dec-06
Jan-07
Feb-07
Mar-07
Apr-07
May-07
Jun-07
Jul-07
Aug-07
Sep-07
Oct-07
Nov-07
Dec-07
Jan-08
Feb-08
Mar-08
Apr-08
May-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
Aug-08
Sep-08
Oct-08
Nov-08
Dec-08

0

0

m onthly DAB receiver sale ('000) [left axis]

year-on-year change (%) [right axis]

[source: GfK/DRDB, no monthly data published from July 2008 onwards]
UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

36
Grant Goddard

UK DAB radio receiver sales

radio specialist

964

Quarterly DAB receiver sales (‘000 per quarter)
1,000

200
865

179
796

162

750
121

119

160

681

153

140
120

299

366

357

363

382
308

287

338

294
34

134

102

111

183

80
60

28

205

245

500

38

17

40

18

13

21

40
19

4

5

20

1
-10

53

39

100

490

510

101

250

180

0
-20

quarterly DAB receiver sales ('000) [left axis]

2008 Q4

2008 Q3

2008 Q2

2008 Q1

2007 Q4

2007 Q3

2007 Q2

2007 Q1

2006 Q4

2006 Q3

2006 Q2

2006 Q1

2005 Q4

2005 Q3

2005 Q2

2005 Q1

2004 Q4

2004 Q3

2004 Q2

2004 Q1

2003 Q4

2003 Q3

2003 Q2

0

year-on-year change (%) [right axis]

[source: GfK/DRDB]
UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

37
158

646
780

May-04
Jul-04
Sep-04

UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

Sep-08
Nov-08

8,530

7,665

7,300

6,942

6,452

UK DAB radio receiver sales

Jul-08

5,488

5,125

8,000

Mar-08
May-08

Jan-08

Sep-07
Nov-07

Jul-07

4,826

4,444

3,648

3,340

6,000

Mar-07
May-07

Jan-07

Nov-06

Jul-06
Sep-06

3,053

2,715

2,034

1,740

1,535

4,000

May-06

Jan-06
Mar-06

Nov-05

Jul-05
Sep-05

May-05

Jan-05
Mar-05

1,290

544

Mar-04

2,000

Nov-04

433

250

Sep-03
Nov-03
Jan-04

197

May-03
Jul-03

0
Mar-03

Jan-03

Grant Goddard
radio specialist

Cumulative DAB receiver sales (‘000)
10,000

[source: GfK/DRDB]

38
Grant Goddard

UK DAB radio receiver ownership

radio specialist

Percentage of adults (15+) who own a DAB radio receiver at home

29.7

28.7

27.3

22.3

21.7

2008Q2

15.3
2006Q3

16.0

15.3

11.1
2005Q4

2006Q2

10.5

4.5
2004Q3

2005Q3

4.4
2004Q2

5.3

3.9
2004Q1

8.1

10

9.1

13.6

20

20.3

19.5

27.3

30

2008Q1

40

2008Q4

2008Q3

2007Q4

2007Q3

2007Q2

2007Q1

2006Q4

2006Q1

2005Q2

2005Q1

2004Q4

0

[source: RAJAR]
UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009

39

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UK Commercial Radio Revenues and Listening in Q4 2008

  • 1. UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 Grant Goddard radio specialist www.grantgoddard.co.uk March 2009
  • 2. Grant Goddard radio specialist UK commercial radio revenues UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 2
  • 3. 157.6 0 UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 162.0 165.2 149.0 150.9 2007 Q3 2007 Q4 2008 Q4 129.0 137.3 2008 Q3 UK commercial radio revenues 2008 Q2 2008 Q1 134.2 149.4 2007 Q2 159.8 148.9 140.9 2006 Q4 2007 Q1 141.4 148.2 151.2 155.7 152.5 143.3 2006 Q3 2006 Q2 2006 Q1 2005 Q4 2005 Q3 2005 Q2 2005 Q1 2004 Q4 159.8 50 2004 Q3 100 2004 Q2 150 158.3 2004 Q1 Grant Goddard radio specialist Quarterly revenues - £m per quarter 200 [source: Radio Advertising Bureau] 3
  • 4. 100 0 UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 2008 Q4 2008 Q3 560.3 582.3 594.0 UK commercial radio revenues 2008 Q2 609.1 588.2 2007 Q3 2008 Q1 580.6 2007 Q2 598.2 579.4 2007 Q1 2007 Q4 581.7 596.5 2006 Q4 2006 Q3 607.6 2006 Q2 613.5 2005 Q4 602.7 623.0 2005 Q3 2006 Q1 630.3 2005 Q2 645.3 200 2005 Q1 300 640.9 400 2004 Q4 500 644.1 600 2004 Q3 634.0 621.2 700 2004 Q2 2004 Q1 Grant Goddard radio specialist Four-quarter moving average revenues - £m per annum [source: Radio Advertising Bureau] 4
  • 5. Grant Goddard UK commercial radio revenues radio specialist 560.3 598.2 581.7 613.4 604.0 562.7 220.1 178.3 1991 141.0 129.0 1990 200 136.6 300 308.8 270.7 400 354.1 418.1 500 464.4 600 549.0 594.6 700 641.0 Annual revenues - £m per annum 100 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 0 [source: Radio Advertising Bureau] UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 5
  • 6. Grant Goddard UK commercial radio revenues radio specialist Annual revenues by source - £m per annum 700 106 101 93 71 342 101 62 500 344 61 76 94 600 305 337 323 348 364 359 388 203 158 159 150 2007 2008 183 2004 2006 169 2003 173 149 2002 2005 143 2001 1997 145 1996 2000 1995 154 1994 1999 121 1993 160 103 152 91 136 74 1992 1998 117 64 65 1991 100 64 73 1990 67 87 200 172 150 258 300 311 400 0 local advertisers national advertisers branded content [source: Radio Advertising Bureau] UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 6
  • 7. Grant Goddard UK commercial radio revenues radio specialist 630.7 2007 560.3 622.0 2006 686.2 737.5 686.0 482.9 272.2 218.7 207.5 232.6 300 328.1 400 2002 390.0 500 434.4 600 603.1 551.3 700 715.6 680.5 800 2001 750.0 Annual revenues - £m per annum at 2008 prices 200 100 2008 2005 2004 2003 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 0 [source: Radio Advertising Bureau, base: RPI] UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 7
  • 8. Grant Goddard UK commercial radio revenues radio specialist Annual revenues by source - £m per annum at 2008 prices 77 800 108 87 417 426 419 200 183 177 182 200 211 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 104 90 77 427 211 1998 700 106 351 171 166 150 2006 2007 2008 106 110 350 193 2005 600 154 174 192 207 1994 1995 1996 1997 100 389 490 403 305 276 139 1993 175 104 115 1992 133 102 105 1991 108 124 1990 200 216 300 242 400 340 500 0 local advertisers national advertisers branded content [source: Radio Advertising Bureau, base: RPI] UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 8
  • 9. Grant Goddard UK commercial radio revenues radio specialist Revenue yield - average £ per 1000 hours listened at 2008 prices 25.14 27.00 2007 28.48 29.74 28.43 27.18 26.67 24.61 2006 15.67 13.29 1992 15.12 12.84 15 1991 16.21 20 17.72 20.67 25 22.68 25.27 30 26.48 29.71 35 10 5 2008 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1990 0 [source: RAJAR, Radio Advertising Bureau, base: RPI] UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 9
  • 10. Grant Goddard UK commercial radio advertising expenditure radio specialist Commercial radio top product categories - 12-month moving averages - £ per annum 12-month moving average Dec 2008 Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Sector GOVT INSTITUTIONS MOTORS ENTERTAINMENT & THE MEDIA RETAIL BUSINESS & INDUSTRIAL HOUSEHOLD EQUIPMENT TELECOMMS FINANCE TRAVEL & TRANSPORT FOOD DRINK PHARMACEUTICAL PROPERTY COSMETICS & TOILETRIES COMPUTERS HOUSEHOLD STORES ONLINE RETAIL MISCELLANEOUS LEISURE EQUIPMENT CLOTHING & ACCESSORIES radio share £ % 84,762,101 83,043,313 77,067,262 66,035,985 36,955,463 33,136,046 33,040,871 31,897,019 25,324,269 13,549,016 11,416,344 10,377,279 10,282,461 10,233,120 7,145,845 5,717,500 4,888,489 3,587,114 3,140,772 2,653,075 12% 11% 6% 7% 13% 8% 6% 2% 4% 2% 3% 3% 12% 2% 2% 2% 6% 33% 1% 1% 12-month moving change yearon-year average Dec 2007 £ 77,721,168 77,431,517 74,884,036 73,795,300 37,725,304 39,999,108 37,783,832 47,400,271 28,797,218 14,202,406 14,292,942 12,036,480 13,669,373 11,314,759 6,032,807 3,546,526 4,409,462 3,830,711 2,836,399 2,513,204 % 9% 7% 3% -11% -2% -17% -13% -33% -12% -5% -20% -14% -25% -10% 18% 61% 11% -6% 11% 6% [source: Nielsen Media Research] UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 10
  • 11. Grant Goddard UK commercial radio advertising expenditure radio specialist Commercial radio top advertisers 12-month moving averages - £ per annum Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Advertiser COI FORD MOTOR COMPANY LTD BLOCKBUSTER ENTERTAINMENT LTD SPECSAVERS OPTICAL GROUP LTD VOLKSWAGEN UK LTD UNILEVER UK LTD AUTOGLASS HOLDINGS TMOBILE NETWORK BRITISH SKY BROADCASTING LTD DFS FURN PLC SAINSBURYS SUPERMARKETS LTD NISSAN MOTOR GB LTD VAUXHALL MOTORS LTD HUTCHISON 3G UK LTD PROCTER & GAMBLE LTD VODAFONE LTD YELL LTD BRITISH GAS PLC TERRITORIAL ARMY AUDI UK LTD 12-month moving average Dec 2008 £ 46,935,329 6,496,961 5,983,400 5,970,986 5,885,101 5,672,262 5,644,753 5,389,392 5,128,373 4,702,658 4,067,798 3,900,339 3,761,707 3,677,499 3,515,525 3,514,907 3,289,790 3,251,405 3,226,268 3,123,594 radio share % 25% 12% 54% 13% 14% 4% 70% 9% 4% 5% 6% 17% 8% 14% 2% 7% 28% 7% 100% 14% 12-month moving change yearaverage Dec 2007 on-year £ % 43,022,995 4,550,608 2,212,623 2,107,143 2,305,807 2,227,391 5,961,106 1,045,386 6,859,618 7,584,312 6,472,797 382,630 3,876,227 6,620,049 4,364,912 4,237,014 6,191,700 2,477,031 231,782 1,634,066 9% 43% 170% 183% 155% 155% -5% 416% -25% -38% -37% 919% -3% -44% -19% -17% -47% 31% 1292% 91% [source: Nielsen Media Research] UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 11
  • 12. Grant Goddard UK commercial radio advertising expenditure radio specialist Product categories - % change in 12-month moving average radio advertising expenditure sector GOVT INSTITUTIONS MOTORS ENTERTAINMENT & THE MEDIA RETAIL BUSINESS & INDUSTRIAL HOUSEHOLD EQUIPMENT TELECOMMS FINANCE TRAVEL & TRANSPORT FOOD DRINK PHARMACEUTICAL PROPERTY COSMETICS & TOILETRIES COMPUTERS HOUSEHOLD STORES ONLINE RETAIL MISCELLANEOUS LEISURE EQUIPMENT CLOTHING & ACCESSORIES Oct-08 Nov-08 Dec-08 10 10 3 -10 4 -15 -11 -34 -13 -6 -16 -17 -16 -13 18 90 18 -6 18 14 9% 9% 3% -12% 0% -15% -11% -33% -13% -7% -17% -18% -23% -13% 12% 78% 20% -3% 25% 13% 9% 7% 3% -11% -2% -17% -13% -33% -12% -5% -20% -14% -25% -10% 18% 61% 11% -6% 11% 6% [source: Nielsen Media Research, ranked by radio expenditure Dec 2008 12-month moving average] UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 12
  • 13. Grant Goddard radio specialist UK commercial radio listening UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 13
  • 14. Grant Goddard UK commercial radio listening radio specialist Percentage of total commercial radio listening by group owner – Q4 2008 45 40.0 40 35 30 25.8 25 20 15 11.4 10 1.7 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 The Local Radio Company Planet Rock UKRD Sunrise Radio Cumberland News Group Tindle Radio Kent Messenger Radio Town & Country Broadcasting Northern Media Group Forward Media Absolute Radio International Midwest Radio Adventure Radio Midland News Association UTV Radio Guardian Media Group Bauer Radio Global Radio 0 TIML Golden Square 3.2 5 Lincs FM Group 6.8 [source: RAJAR, grey columns are publicly quoted companies] UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 14
  • 15. 200,000 400,000 0 571,893 569,438 600,000 com m ercial radio UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 567,674 574,061 576,627 584,914 583,979 466,008 464,351 463,420 469,980 466,172 453,692 449,529 Q3 2004 Q4 2004 Q1 2005 Q2 2005 Q3 2005 Q4 2005 Q1 2006 BBC radio 575,587 555,204 564,034 587,057 564,476 457,102 439,709 459,322 441,457 431,319 424,396 431,081 432,016 427,050 Q4 2006 Q1 2007 Q2 2007 Q3 2007 Q4 2007 Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008 Q4 2008 564,437 UK total radio listening 550,398 573,516 584,837 576,848 463,531 Q3 2006 572,682 449,241 Q2 2006 583,654 580,393 482,457 494,622 800,000 Q2 2004 Q1 2004 Grant Goddard radio specialist Total adult (15+) hours listened to all radio (‘000 per week) 1,200,000 1,000,000 other radio [source: RAJAR] 15
  • 16. 400,000 UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 427,050 432,016 Q3 2008 459,322 UK commercial radio listening Q4 2008 431,081 424,396 431,319 441,457 439,709 Q2 2008 Q1 2008 Q4 2007 Q3 2007 Q2 2007 Q1 2007 Q4 2006 463,531 457,102 449,241 Q2 2006 Q3 2006 449,529 469,980 466,172 453,692 Q1 2006 Q4 2005 Q3 2005 Q2 2005 463,420 420,000 Q1 2005 440,000 464,351 460,000 Q4 2004 466,008 480,000 Q3 2004 482,457 494,622 500,000 Q2 2004 Q1 2004 Grant Goddard radio specialist Total adult (15+) hours listened to commercial radio (‘000 per week) 520,000 [source: RAJAR] 16
  • 17. UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 61.1 61.0 61.6 60 61.5 Q3 2008 Q4 2008 Q2 2008 62.0 62.0 61.7 62.6 62.9 62.6 62.2 63.2 63.6 63.4 63.8 64.2 65.4 UK commercial radio listening 61.5 Q1 2008 Q4 2007 Q3 2007 Q2 2007 Q1 2007 Q4 2006 Q3 2006 Q2 2006 61.6 62 Q1 2006 Q4 2005 Q3 2005 Q2 2005 Q1 2005 Q4 2004 63.5 64 Q3 2004 Q2 2004 Q1 2004 Grant Goddard radio specialist Total commercial radio adult (15+) reach per week (%) 66 [source: RAJAR] 17
  • 18. Grant Goddard UK commercial radio listening radio specialist Total commercial radio average hours per adult (15+) listener per week 13.7 13.7 14 13.9 13.9 14.0 14.1 14.1 14.4 14.6 14.6 14.8 14.7 15.0 15.2 15.1 15.0 15 14.9 15.0 15.4 15.6 16 Q4 2008 Q3 2008 Q2 2008 Q1 2008 Q4 2007 Q3 2007 Q2 2007 Q1 2007 Q4 2006 Q3 2006 Q2 2006 Q1 2006 Q4 2005 Q3 2005 Q2 2005 Q1 2005 Q4 2004 Q3 2004 Q2 2004 Q1 2004 13 [source: RAJAR] UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 18
  • 19. Grant Goddard UK commercial radio listening radio specialist 42.2 42.4 42.4 43.1 43.3 43.5 42.1 43.2 43.6 42.9 43 42.6 42.8 44 43.5 43.7 43.8 44.2 45 44.0 45.0 46 45.5 Commercial radio share of total radio listening (adults 15+) (%) 41.1 42 41 Q4 2008 Q3 2008 Q2 2008 Q1 2008 Q4 2007 Q3 2007 Q2 2007 Q1 2007 Q4 2006 Q3 2006 Q2 2006 Q1 2006 Q4 2005 Q3 2005 Q2 2005 Q1 2005 Q4 2004 Q3 2004 Q2 2004 Q1 2004 40 [source: RAJAR] UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 19
  • 20. Grant Goddard UK commercial radio listening radio specialist 105,520 120,000 106,261 Total hours listened to commercial radio by age group (‘000 per week) 80,000 81,157 71,728 74,275 90,000 82,542 100,000 81,546 92,623 110,000 53,306 60,000 50,804 51,708 53,572 70,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 15-24 Q4 2000 25-34 Q4 2002 35-44 Q4 2004 45-54 55-64 Q4 2006 65+ Q4 2008 [source: RAJAR] UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 20
  • 21. Grant Goddard UK commercial radio listening radio specialist Commercial radio adult reach per week by age group (%) 54.2 60 56.0 65.6 64.7 69.0 74.3 69.5 70 75.5 71.0 80 78.6 90 39.5 41.2 50 40 30 20 10 0 15-24 Q4 2000 25-34 Q4 2002 35-44 45-54 Q4 2004 55-64 Q4 2006 65+ Q4 2008 [source: RAJAR] UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 21
  • 22. Grant Goddard UK commercial radio listening radio specialist Commercial radio average hours per listener per week by age group 13.0 13.7 15.1 15.2 16.0 13.1 12.8 14 13.1 14.6 15.9 15.3 16 16.1 18 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 15-24 Q4 2000 25-34 Q4 2002 35-44 45-54 Q4 2004 55-64 Q4 2006 65+ Q4 2008 [source: RAJAR] UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 22
  • 23. Grant Goddard UK commercial radio listening radio specialist 45.3 49.5 50 45.5 56.2 51.6 60 60.0 59.0 70 63.7 Commercial radio share of total radio listening by age group (%) 23.8 30 24.7 32.4 33.7 40 20 10 0 15-24 Q4 2000 25-34 Q4 2002 35-44 45-54 Q4 2004 55-64 Q4 2006 65+ Q4 2008 [source: RAJAR] UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 23
  • 24. Grant Goddard UK commercial radio listening radio specialist Listening to commercial radio by platform (% of listening) digital: internet, digital: unspecified, 1.9% 3.0% digital: DTV, 4.2% digital: DAB, 9.9% unspecified, 13.2% Satellite all analogue, 67.8% Dial-up [source: RAJAR, Q4 2008] UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 24
  • 25. 2007Q2 2007Q3 0% 2007Q4 UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 2008Q1 2008Q2 2008Q3 digital: unspecified digital: internet digital: DTV digital: DAB unspecified 2.8% 3.1% 3.1% 3.1% 3.1% 3.2% 3.0% 1.4% 1.5% 1.7% 1.9% 1.8% 2.2% 1.9% 3.3% 4.3% 4.3% 4.3% 4.5% 4.2% 4.2% 6.3% 8.0% 9.0% 9.3% 9.0% 9.2% 9.9% 21.2% 13.6% 9.8% 9.6% 12.5% 12.7% 13.2% 13.8% 16.8% 18.1% 18.4% 18.4% 18.9% 19.0% 20% all digital all analogue 80% 65.0% 69.6% 72.1% 72.0% 69.2% 68.4% 67.8% Grant Goddard UK commercial radio listening radio specialist Commercial radio adult (15+) hours listened by platform (%) 60% 40% 2008Q4 [source: RAJAR] 25
  • 26. Grant Goddard UK commercial radio listening radio specialist Commercial radio adult (15+) share of listening by platform (%) 49 48.4 48 47 46.3 46.2 46 45 44 43.4 43.6 43.6 42.8 43 42.4 42.4 42 42.2 43.0 41.3 40.7 41 40 2007Q2 2007Q3 2007Q4 2008Q1 2008Q2 2008Q3 2008Q4 com m ercial radio % share of listening via analogue platform com m ercial radio % share of listening via digital platform [source: RAJAR] UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 26
  • 27. Grant Goddard UK commercial radio listening radio specialist Adult (15+) listening to commercial digital-only radio stations 3.6 3.9 3.3 3.2 3.0 5.2 5.5 4.6 4.7 30% 33% 30% 28% 26% 2.3 2.1 40% 36% 27% 24% 20% 10% 0.7 1 0.6 2 1.9 2.1 2.1 3 3.0 2.7 3.4 4 3.5 4.0 5 50% 5.1 5.0 5.5 6 0 2008Q4 2008Q3 2008Q2 2008Q1 2007Q4 2007Q3 2007Q2 2007Q1 2006Q4 2006Q3 2006Q2 2006Q1 2005Q4 2005Q3 2005Q2 2005Q1 2004Q4 2004Q3 2004Q2 2004Q1 2003Q4 2003Q3 2003Q2 2003Q1 0% listening to commercial digital-only radio stations as % of all commercial radio listening [left axis] listening to commercial digital-only radio stations as % of digital listening to commercial radio [right axis] [source: RAJAR] UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 27
  • 28. Grant Goddard UK radio listening by platform radio specialist Adult (15+) all radio weekly reach by platform (%) 9.9 9.3 7.3 10 10.7 11.9 13.5 15 14.0 15.3 17.8 20 2.7 3.6 5 internet platform DAB platform Q4 2008 Q3 2008 Q2 2008 Q1 2008 Q4 2007 Q3 2007 Q2 2007 Q1 2007 Q4 2006 Q3 2006 Q2 2006 Q1 2006 Q4 2005 Q3 2005 Q2 2005 Q1 2005 Q4 2004 Q3 2004 Q2 2004 Q4 2003 Dial-up Q3 2003 Q2 2003 Q1 2003 Q4 2002 Q3 2002 0 Q1 2004 Satellite digital TV platform [source: RAJAR; includes streams, podcasts and time-shifted listening to all online radio services] UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 28
  • 29. Grant Goddard UK radio listening – digital stations radio specialist Adult (15+) listening to digital-only radio stations (‘000 hours per week) 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 Satellite TOTAL (com m ercial + BBC) COMMERCIAL RADIO 2008Q4 2008Q3 2008Q2 2008Q1 2007Q4 2007Q3 2007Q2 2007Q1 2006Q4 2006Q3 2006Q2 2006Q1 2005Q4 2005Q3 2005Q2 2005Q1 2004Q4 2004Q3 2004Q2 2004Q1 Dial-up 2003Q4 2003Q3 2003Q2 2003Q1 0 BBC RADIO [source: RAJAR] UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 29
  • 30. Grant Goddard UK radio listening – digital stations radio specialist Listening to national digital-only radio stations station 2002 1999 2003 2002 2003 2002 2002 2002 2003 2003 2005 2001 2004 2003 2008 2005 2005 2006 2000 2000 Dial-up 2000 1999 BBC Bauer BBC Bauer BBC BBC BBC Bauer Global Global TIML Bauer TIML Folder BBC7 Planet Rock The Hits BBC 6 Music Smash Hits Radio BBC 1Xtra BBC Asian Network BBC Five Live Sports Extra Mojo Radio closed 2008 Heat Chill The Arrow Absolute Radio Classic Rock Q NME Radio Absolute Radio Xtreme Satellite Fun Radio TheJazz closed 2008 Capital Life closed 2008 Oneword Radio closed 2008 Virgin Radio Groove closed 2008 closed 2008 Core TOTAL internet FreeSat Freeview digital platforms local DAB group national DAB launched listening total hours total hours year-on-year change in per week per week hours ('000) Q4 ('000) Q4 listened (%) 2007 2008 4,530 3,148 5,692 2,643 3,096 2,599 2,600 1,288 717 1,338 986 920 1,045 830 234 209 1,882 700 583 488 377 35,905 5,380 4,872 4,557 3,178 2,563 2,514 1,992 1,419 1,266 1,216 1,028 1,015 878 700 356 346 19 55 -20 20 -17 -3 -23 10 77 -9 4 10 -16 -16 33,280 -7 48 "national" as defined by RAJAR past and present BBC Asian Network also on AM in Midlands [source: RAJAR] UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 30
  • 31. Grant Goddard Radio listening – UK radio specialist Share of all radio listening (%) – UK market (50.7m adults 15+) station owner Q4 1999 Q4 2000 Q4 2001 Q4 2002 Q4 2003 Q4 2004 Q4 2005 Q4 2006 Q4 2007 Q4 2008 ALL COMMERCIAL All National Commercial All Local Commercial 46.7 8.3 38.4 46.0 8.0 37.9 44.6 7.8 36.8 45.5 7.6 37.9 45.3 9.6 35.7 44.2 10.0 34.2 42.8 10.1 32.7 43.2 10.5 32.8 42.4 11.3 31.1 42.2 10.6 31.6 ALL BBC All BBC Network Radio BBC Local/Regional 51.3 40.5 10.8 51.7 39.7 12.0 53.4 42.0 11.3 52.5 41.5 11.0 52.9 42.0 10.9 54.0 43.0 11.0 55.1 44.0 11.1 54.4 44.0 10.4 55.4 45.4 10.0 55.7 46.4 9.3 13.6 10.8 10.0 15.2 12.0 9.1 15.8 11.5 8.4 4.1 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.7 4.7 1.3 1.6 1.7 16.0 11.5 7.7 2.3 4.4 4.3 1.9 1.8 0.7 1.4 1.2 16.4 11.5 8.2 1.8 4.3 4.4 1.9 2.1 0.8 1.6 1.1 16.0 11.8 9.2 2.4 4.2 4.3 1.8 1.9 0.9 1.8 1.1 1.2 2.2 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.2 1.6 15.8 11.1 9.7 2.4 4.4 4.2 1.9 2.0 1.0 1.8 1.6 1.7 1.4 1.5 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.9 15.7 11.8 10.3 2.4 4.6 4.2 1.6 2.3 2.0 2.0 1.6 1.8 1.2 1.5 1.1 0.9 15.8 12.4 10.1 5.5 4.8 4.0 2.6 2.4 2.4 1.8 1.8 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.0 1.0 BBC Radio 2 BBC 12.8 BBC Radio 4 BBC 11.0 BBC Radio 1 BBC 10.9 Heart Network (UK) Global BBC Radio FIVE LIVE BBC 9.4 Classic FM Global 4.3 Galaxy Network (UK) Global Total Magic Bauer Total Smooth Radio GMG talkSPORT UTV 1.5 Total Kiss Network Bauer Total Real Radio GMG BBC Radio 3 BBC 1.3 Total Absolute Radio (was Total Virgin Radio) TIML 2.5 Gold Network (UK) Global Total LBC (UK) Global [source: RAJAR] UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 31
  • 32. Grant Goddard Radio listening – London radio specialist Share of all radio listening (%) – London market (10.8m adults 15+) station platform owner ALL COMMERCIAL ALL BBC BBC Radio 4 BBC Radio 2 Magic BBC Radio 1 Heart BBC Radio Five Live Capital FM Classic FM Kiss LBC 97.3 FM Total Absolute Radio TalkSport BBC Radio 3 Choice Smooth BBC London Xfm Gold London BBC World Service Sunrise LBC 1152 AM Premier Christian BBC7 Q4 1999 Q4 2000 Q4 2001 Q4 2002 Q4 2003 Q4 2004 Q4 2005 Q4 2006 Q4 2007 Q4 2008 58.2 40.3 FM/AM FM FM FM FM AM FM FM FM FM FM/AM AM FM FM FM FM FM AM AM AM AM AM digital BBC BBC Bauer BBC Global BBC Global Global Bauer Global TIML UTV BBC Global GMG BBC Global Global BBC Sunrise Global BBC 57.3 40.4 55.9 42.6 54.6 42.6 53.1 45.2 51.9 45.7 51.4 45.7 53.3 44.0 50.9 45.7 49.8 47.7 14.4 8.7 5.9 6.5 4.5 4.8 11.9 4.9 3.2 0.9 4.0 2.0 1.8 n/a 1.9 1.2 1.0 4.3 13.9 10.4 4.9 5.7 4.7 4.3 12.4 4.5 4.2 0.7 4.6 1.5 1.7 0.6 1.7 0.7 1.4 3.3 16.3 11.3 4.8 4.0 6.2 5.1 10.9 4.7 4.2 1.2 3.8 2.0 1.8 0.9 0.9 0.7 1.3 3.1 15.1 12.0 4.6 4.7 3.1 4.7 8.8 4.8 4.9 1.0 3.1 2.0 1.8 1.2 1.7 1.1 1.7 3.1 1.5 3.1 0.8 1.7 2.7 0.6 1.6 2.6 0.7 2.4 2.1 1.0 16.1 11.5 4.5 3.6 7.0 5.1 7.8 4.7 4.0 2.5 2.6 2.0 2.3 1.3 1.9 1.5 1.5 2.1 0.9 1.7 0.9 1.2 0.2 15.4 12.2 6.1 4.3 5.3 4.4 6.2 5.0 3.9 2.1 3.3 2.4 1.9 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.8 2.3 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.2 15.7 11.7 4.9 5.4 6.0 4.9 5.9 5.1 3.7 2.5 3.6 2.4 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.4 1.5 2.1 0.9 1.7 0.6 0.5 0.3 14.4 10.4 5.5 4.8 7.1 5.0 4.7 4.1 3.9 3.3 3.6 2.5 2.3 2.8 1.5 2.0 1.3 1.4 1.1 1.4 0.8 0.8 0.4 15.4 10.8 6.1 5.5 6.2 5.2 4.7 4.6 4.2 3.8 3.4 2.0 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.6 1.3 0.5 0.7 0.5 17.5 10.3 6.0 5.4 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.4 4.2 3.6 3.0 2.5 2.2 2.0 1.6 1.6 1.3 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 [source: RAJAR] UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 32
  • 33. Grant Goddard radio specialist UK radio receivers UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 33
  • 34. Grant Goddard UK radio receiver sales radio specialist UK radio receiver sales – four quarter moving average (‘000 per annum) DAB receivers as percentage of total receiver sales 2,006 2,114 2,174 2,180 8,140 8,209 8,227 8,030 Q4 2007 Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008 1,824 1,761 7,854 Q2 2007 7,906 1,734 7,978 Q1 2007 Q3 2007 1,680 8,062 9,892 Q2 2006 Q4 2006 10,169 Q1 2006 10,000 1,575 1,407 10,550 Q4 2005 1,566 1,208 10,657 Q3 2005 1,493 1,051 12% 13% 14% 14% 17% 18% 18% 19% 20% 20% 21% 21% 10,611 9% 10% Q2 2005 8% 951 12,000 9,495 6,000 10,678 8,000 4,000 2,000 [source: GfK/DRDB] analogue r adio unit s ale s ('000) UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 Q3 2006 Q1 2005 0 DAB r adio unit s ale s ('000) 34
  • 35. UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 Oct-08 454 552 UK DAB radio receiver sales Jul-08 Apr-08 147 129 113 137 108 214 394 600 Jan-08 248 300 Oct-07 Jul-07 Apr-07 154 188 171 110 101 91 114 94 128 119 115 164 96 93 85 112 90 110 102 96 149 346 500 Jan-07 Oct-06 Jul-06 Apr-06 Jan-06 170 200 Oct-05 Jul-05 Apr-05 70 73 64 77 64 93 103 98 118 109 102 134 400 Jan-05 Oct-04 Jul-04 Apr-04 42 31 39 30 31 41 34 40 61 55 6 6 11 11 12 17 16 17 20 18 30 100 Jan-04 Oct-03 Jul-03 Apr-03 Jan-03 Grant Goddard radio specialist Monthly DAB receiver sales (‘000 per month) 0 [source: GfK/DRDB, no monthly data published from July 2008 onwards] 35
  • 36. Grant Goddard UK DAB radio receiver sales radio specialist Monthly DAB receiver sales (‘000 per month) 174 160 160 149 144 454 500 114 128 140 394 400 180 552 600 120 114 300 100 80 88 56 200 46 46 62 38 56 60 42 33 40 20 18 27 100 34 32 31 14 10 -1 -2 15 15 14 21 17 16 9 7 2 4 25 28 24 20 20 15 7 -20 Jan-05 Feb-05 Mar-05 Apr-05 May-05 Jun-05 Jul-05 Aug-05 Sep-05 Oct-05 Nov-05 Dec-05 Jan-06 Feb-06 Mar-06 Apr-06 May-06 Jun-06 Jul-06 Aug-06 Sep-06 Oct-06 Nov-06 Dec-06 Jan-07 Feb-07 Mar-07 Apr-07 May-07 Jun-07 Jul-07 Aug-07 Sep-07 Oct-07 Nov-07 Dec-07 Jan-08 Feb-08 Mar-08 Apr-08 May-08 Jun-08 Jul-08 Aug-08 Sep-08 Oct-08 Nov-08 Dec-08 0 0 m onthly DAB receiver sale ('000) [left axis] year-on-year change (%) [right axis] [source: GfK/DRDB, no monthly data published from July 2008 onwards] UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 36
  • 37. Grant Goddard UK DAB radio receiver sales radio specialist 964 Quarterly DAB receiver sales (‘000 per quarter) 1,000 200 865 179 796 162 750 121 119 160 681 153 140 120 299 366 357 363 382 308 287 338 294 34 134 102 111 183 80 60 28 205 245 500 38 17 40 18 13 21 40 19 4 5 20 1 -10 53 39 100 490 510 101 250 180 0 -20 quarterly DAB receiver sales ('000) [left axis] 2008 Q4 2008 Q3 2008 Q2 2008 Q1 2007 Q4 2007 Q3 2007 Q2 2007 Q1 2006 Q4 2006 Q3 2006 Q2 2006 Q1 2005 Q4 2005 Q3 2005 Q2 2005 Q1 2004 Q4 2004 Q3 2004 Q2 2004 Q1 2003 Q4 2003 Q3 2003 Q2 0 year-on-year change (%) [right axis] [source: GfK/DRDB] UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 37
  • 38. 158 646 780 May-04 Jul-04 Sep-04 UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 Sep-08 Nov-08 8,530 7,665 7,300 6,942 6,452 UK DAB radio receiver sales Jul-08 5,488 5,125 8,000 Mar-08 May-08 Jan-08 Sep-07 Nov-07 Jul-07 4,826 4,444 3,648 3,340 6,000 Mar-07 May-07 Jan-07 Nov-06 Jul-06 Sep-06 3,053 2,715 2,034 1,740 1,535 4,000 May-06 Jan-06 Mar-06 Nov-05 Jul-05 Sep-05 May-05 Jan-05 Mar-05 1,290 544 Mar-04 2,000 Nov-04 433 250 Sep-03 Nov-03 Jan-04 197 May-03 Jul-03 0 Mar-03 Jan-03 Grant Goddard radio specialist Cumulative DAB receiver sales (‘000) 10,000 [source: GfK/DRDB] 38
  • 39. Grant Goddard UK DAB radio receiver ownership radio specialist Percentage of adults (15+) who own a DAB radio receiver at home 29.7 28.7 27.3 22.3 21.7 2008Q2 15.3 2006Q3 16.0 15.3 11.1 2005Q4 2006Q2 10.5 4.5 2004Q3 2005Q3 4.4 2004Q2 5.3 3.9 2004Q1 8.1 10 9.1 13.6 20 20.3 19.5 27.3 30 2008Q1 40 2008Q4 2008Q3 2007Q4 2007Q3 2007Q2 2007Q1 2006Q4 2006Q1 2005Q2 2005Q1 2004Q4 0 [source: RAJAR] UK Commercial Radio in numbers: Q4 2008 © Grant Goddard: March 2009 39