HAPPY NEW YEAR 2018 (Climate actions strategy)

CLIMATE AND ENERGY ACTIONS
HAPPY NEW YEAR 2018
FOR READER OF THE SLIDE SHOW , THIS 2018 YEAR WISHES IS
MAKING A GAP WITH THE TRADITIONAL CALENDARS, HOWEVER
THEY ARE ENOUGH SLIDES TO COVER THE WHOLE YEAR OF 2018 IN
DAYS OR WEEKS FOR THE FOLLOWING TOPICS
BUILDING THE STRATEGIC PORTOFOLIO MANAGEMENT
FOR POVERTY ERADICATION,
MONITORING DEVELOPMENT
BENCHMARKING CLIMATE ACTIONS.
THE MOST IMPORTANT IS TO CONSERVE THE TOPS (LIKE THESE
MOUTAIN PEAKS AT THE BACK OF THE SLIDES)
BEST WISHES AND HAPPY NEW YEAR 2018 !
BIRD CEO

CONTENT
● I- ISSUES SETTING
● II- PROJECT STRATEGIC DEVELOPMENT (BIRD
VIEWPOINT)
● PART 0 : SETTING THE SCENE
● PART 1 : THE ROOTS OF THE CLIMATE ACTION STRATEGY
(ENERGY & CLIMATE PORTOFOLIO)
● PART 2 : LEVELS OF THE CLIMATE AMBITION
● PART 3 : PORTOFLIO GROWTH UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF THE ROOTS OF THE STRATEGY (SDG, CLIMATE
ACTIONS, PARIS AGREEMENT...)
● PART 4 ...

CO2 EMISSIONS
● GLOBAL WARMING HAS THREATENED THE WHOLE PLANET. IT IS A GLOBAL
PHENOMENUM.
● CLIMATE CHANGES ARE NOT ONLY ABOUT GREATER WARMTH ON THE EARTH
PLANET. IT COULD BE THE REVERSE...
● TEMPERATURE IS INCREASING. IT DOES NOT NECESSARY MEANS THAT THE WHOLE
PLANER WILL BE HEATING UP. THEY ARE A NUMBER OF UNCERTAINTIES. HOWEVER,
MORE LIKELY ARE THE AMPLIFICATION MECHANISMS. SMALL CHANGES COULD
CREATE MEGA CATASTROPHIC EVENTS (FOR EXAMPLE PLACES THAT ARE
TRADITIONALLY COLD COULD WARM UP (AND RECIPROCALLY)? BUT ALSO, COLD
PLACES BECOMING COLDER. A SMALL TILT, SOMEWHERE AND SOMETIMES CAN
CHANGE THE KNOWN LANDSCAPES FOR UNKNOWNS.
● MOVING FROM THE CASTROPHIC SCENARIO IS THE BEST OPTION BY LOOKING FOR
SMALL SIGNS, AND ANTICIPATING CHANGES. IT IS WHAT THE STAKEHOLDERS ARE
MAKING IN CONSTRUCTUING A RELEVANT CLIMATE AND ENERGY ACTION
PORTOFOLIO, WHICH I HAVE ATTEMPTED TO DESCRIBED THROUGH THE WINDOW OF
THE MAIN STAKEHOLDER BARACK OBAMA US PRESIDENT.
● NO FEAR, NO FEAR...BUT ACT NOW!

I- ISSUE SETTING (Energy & Climate Actions
Project Gross Phase)
● PARIS AGREEMENT
● FOSSIL FUELS, CO2...
● CARBON SEQUESTRATION
● RENEWABLE ENERGIES
● TECHNOLOGIES
● CHINA, GERMANY, USA...OTHERS
● DEFORESTATION
● VULNERABLE COUNTRIES
● DEVELOPMENT
● ...

FRAMEWORK FOR THE ENERGY TRANSITION
MONEY (TECHNOLOGY TRANDFER, FDI, MICRO-CEEDIT, OTHERS)
£££ $ $$
€€€ CO2
MONEY
FORESTS
FOSSIL FUELS RENEWABLESO2
° °
SEQUESTRATIONEMISSION
A) ADDIS ABBABA FINANCING FLOWS OF US$ 100 BILLION PER YEAR TO LEAST
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES FROM 2020 TO 2100– TO ADAPT AGAINST THE
VULNERABILITIES
B) CARBON MARKET PRICE – 30- 50 US$ PER TON OF CO2 EMISSIONS
C) CHINA NEW SILK ROAD INITIATIVES (DELIVERY OF INFRASTRUCTURES...)
D) USA CIVIL SOCIETIES, ''WE ARE STILL IN'' PARIS AGREEMENT

ENERGY TRANSITION
(From CO2 to O2)
O2
OIL AND
FOSSIL
FUELS
RENEWABLE
ENERGIES &
TECHNOLOGIES
CO2
(450ppm)
F
$
€£
CARBON
SEQUESTRATION
GERMANY
PARIS
AGREEMENT
HAITI
...
USA
CHINA
- NEW SILK ROAD
GREAT BELT INITIATIVE
- GREENING TIBET
- OTHER
DESERT REFORESTATIONS
PARIS AGREEMENT
CARBON MARKET
€30 - €50
Civil
societies

C + O2 → CO2
OUTER SPACE
ENVIRONMENT
SUPPLY CHAINS
WORKPLACES
C.
.
.
+
IDEALLY WE SHOULD ALL USE A BICYCLE NOW AND
PLANT TREES : CO2 → C + O2
Organization transitions
(individuals, households,
firms, ngos, governements) ?
SDG

II- ''PROJECT STRATEGIC DEVELOPMENT''
(BIRD VIEWPOINT AND DESCRIPTION)

PART 0 : SETTING THE SCENE FOR THE
CLIMATE ACTION AND ENERGY
STRATEGY

CLIMATE ACTION STRATEGIES
CO2
O2
SUN
Tree
soil
Wind turbine
?
SOIL
WIND
CLOUDS

STAKEHOLDER
ENERGY
PORTOFOLIO
STAKEHOLDER
ENERGY
PORTOFOLIO
ENERGY
INTEGRATION
ENERGY
INTEGRATION
ENERGY
DIVERSIFICATION
ENERGY
DIVERSIFICATION
ENERGY
AMBITION
ENERGY
AMBITION

HPLF 2018 (THAILAND) ENERGY STRATEGY PROJECT
BREAKDOWN STRUCTURE (PBS)
REDUCTION OF
CO2 EMISSIONS
AIR TEMPERATURE CONTROL
ΔT atm (max). = 1.5° Celsius
UNFCCC (COPs)
COP21
(PARIS AGREEMENT)
AMBITION
CLIMATE ACTIONS
USA WASI (*)
UNSDG
(SDG 13)
Possible
levels of the
ambition
COP 21 ambtion
- USA
- UN
- FR
- UK
…
Rest of
the world
2015 ambition
BARACK OBAMA

THE ENERGY ACTIONS AND CLIMATE CHANGE AMBITION
MAKE PARIS AGREEMENT
● GREAT AGAIN !
MAKE
USA GREAT
AGAIN !
●
UNFCCC
USA COMPETITIVITY
US WASI
United Nations
CLIMATE ACTIONS (CA)
PARIS
AGREEMENT
OBAMA
CA
UNSDG
CA SDG 13
X
(T)
Growth
USA FEDERAL GOVERNMENT
FEDERAL
SUBNATIONAL
LEVELS
( US STATES
AND
US CIVIL
SOCIETIES
CLIMATE
DENIERS
X

Part 1: The roots of the climate action strategy
WHY
HOW
WHAT/
WHO
The strategic box ideally is helping to frame the strategic development of the climate
energy stakeholders with « 3 lines of directions Why, What/Who, How »)
What/Who are about the climate energy stakeholders and their decision making
Why is often the growth model (often assimilated to US economic growth, it can be also
technology...)
How is the transfer mechanism (''the strategy'') to move from Oil to low carbon society,
which is often related to a set of contractual agreement (COPs, UN, UNFCCC, Post
2015 Sustainable Development Goals...)
For reasons explained
in the strategy
development, the box
is going to materialise
the supports of the
building of the energy
and climate portofolio
process (exchanges
between the top of the
box (level of
integration) and the
bottom of the box
(diversification)
Vertical integration (diversification)
Horizontal integration (stakeholders
integration between oil and renewable
energy actors
Oxygen
production
CO2
emission

LEVEL 1
LEVEL 2
LEVEL 1
LEVEL 2
STRATEGIC TREE
?
?
WHAT IS THE
STRUCTURE OF
THE INTERNAL
ORGANIZATION
The project (Climate action)
strategy has also some
elements of Project
Management
Gross Phase
The tree
organization
is similar to
the climate
energy action
negotiation
organization)
and
Product
Break Down
Structure
(PBS) full
of indeterminations (?)

Roots of the strategy
8 MDGs
2000-2015 COPs
(COP (1)
to COP (21)
(2015)
Post 2015 SDG
(2015-2030)
SDG13
(Climate
actions)
Paris agreement
(2015 COP 21
ambition)
LEVEL 2

PART 2 : THE LEVELS OF THE CLIMATE
AMBITION (COP 21 CLIMATE AGREEMENT)
● THE CLIMATE AMBTION :
● WHICH LEVELS ?

UNITED NATIONS ENERGY AND
WHERE IS THE AMBITION ?
THE LEVELS OF A CLIMATE CHANGE
AMBITION REDUCING GLOBAL
WARMING)
?
?
?
?

An ambition MEANS...
● ...the action climate plan CAN start with
- a failure
- an opportunity
- talents
- a willingness to be famous
- to put an organisation print in history, on friends or people
- an expectation to be rich(er) and prosperous
- stronger
-be excentric, insolite...
….

AMBITION
USA WASI PARIS AGREEMENT
…. …..
…. ….
…. ….
... …
... ...
List of
countries
in the Paris
Agreement
List of US states
and sub-national
levels of US
organizations
and Civil
Societies
WASI Paris Agreement
COP21 Ambition
(after 2015)
Il faut donc admettre que les USA avait une ambition avant 2015
(d'ailleurs comme les autres états membres) parties à la convention sur le changement climatique (*). Et que le changement de président
américain ne les empêche pas d'avoir de profonde convictions environnementalistes portées par la société civile américaine. Les présidents
américains ne font qu'accompagner (soit en synergie -Obama- soit en antagonisant, c-à-d en rendant plus difficile l'action du changement
climatique des américains.
Assumption on the continuity of the concept of ambition
because USA was incorporated in the Paris Agreement (COP 2015 ambition - of ''UNFCCC'') under Obama Federal government and after
under the new Adminstration (Trump Federal Government), the USA civil society (CSO) is still willing to incorporate the Paris Agreement, we
have to accept that the USA ambition was continuous with (OBAMA) or without (TRUMP) the Federal government to remove CO2 in the
atmosphere
US (ambition)
US ambition
(after 2015)
US (ambition)
Hypothèse sur la continuité de l'ambition américaine en faveur d'une amélioration du climat ne date certainement pas
de l'accord climatique de Paris (COP21, en 2015) mais l'ambition est bien antérieure. Hypothesis on USA climate
action ambition is continious.)
SCHEME (A)

CLIMATE CHANGE
AMBITION (COP 21, 2015)
POST 2015
SUSTAINABLE
DEVELOPMENT
GOALS
(AGENDA FOR ACTION
2015-2030)
CLIMATE ACTIONS
SDG 13 : CLIMATE ACTIONS
THE SLIDE SHOWS ON ENERGY SUSTAINABILITY IS LOOKING AT
THE STRATEGY (GOALS, ACTIVITIES, TASKS) ORIENTATIONS
OF THE CLIMATE STAKEHOLDERS WITHIN 3 FRAMEWORKS
( CLIMATE CHANGE AMBITION – T << 2° CELSIUS- ,
SDG13 : CLIMATE ACTIONS AND THE CARBON REMOVAL - 450 PPM)
T = 1 .5° C
(2100)
CO2 REMOVAL
(CARBON
SEQUESTRATION →
< 450PPM)
FRAMEWORKS CLIMATE ACTIONS

CLIMATE CHANGE AMBITION
CLIMATE ACTIONS OBAMA (US)
AMBITION
● WASI CIVIL SOCIETY
(WE ARE STILL IN) (US) AMBITION
● UNFCCC (UN) (COP 21) PARIS
AGREEMENT
CLIMATE CHANGE
AMBITION (T = 1.5°
CELSIUS, 2100)
UN POST 2015 SDG,
SDG GOAL 13
AND TARGETS ON
CLIMATE ACTIONS
UN POST 2015 SDG,
SDG GOAL 13
AND TARGETS ON
CLIMATE ACTIONS

CONSTRUCTION OF AN AMBITION WITH THE MAIN
STAKEHOLDER US PRESIDENT BARACK OBAMA
● THE STRATEGIC BOX (LEVEL 1+ LEVEL 2)
THE SHAPE OF THE AMBITION (1)
(OIL) = (OIL)+ +
USA
TECHNOLOGY
Deniers
– –
Federal
Gover
nment
OBAMA
AMBITION
DIAGONAL
OBAMA
AMBITION

CONSTRUCTION OF AN AMBITION WITH THE MAIN
STAKEHOLDER US PRESIDENT BARACK OBAMA
● THE STRATEGIC BOX (LEVEL 1+ LEVEL 2)
THE SHAPE OF THE AMBITION (1)
(OIL) = (OIL)+ +
USA
TECHNOLOGY
Deniers
– –
Federal
Gover
nment
OBAMA
AMBITION
DIAGONAL
OBAMA
AMBITION
ACTORS
RENEWABLE

PROJECT MANAGEMENT REPRESENTATION
(CLIMATE & ENERGY MATRIX ORGANIZATION)
STAKEHOLDERS
a1 a2 a3 aJ aN
AGREEMENT
GI
G2
G1USA
GROWTH
(G)
GM
G2
G3
0
100%
30%
60%
90%
(a2, G1, 60%)
10%
20%
Min.
100%
(Max)
Portofolio A2
Obama
(O, 25, 100%)
O
25%
Climate &
energy
action
portofolio
100
The shape of the ambition is supported by
a 3 Dimensional matrix organization in link
with the strategic box.
Strategic box

OBAMA DIPLOMACY
PA CA NAP
T D
O
Growth
Agreement
+ +
Results
UN
Ambition
Level 1
(Integration)
Level 2
(Diversification)
The shape of the ambition (2) is the yellow diagonal line running from the climate deniers (letter D : no ambition or zero ambition)
to implement a low carbon society to PA (Paris Agreement, with a full ambition (100%) to implement a low carbon society)
ENERGY
ACTORS
ACTION
CHOICES
INTEGRATION
DIVERSIFICATION
0 (ambition)
100%
US President Barack Obama [Obama, letter (O) is in the middle of the strategic box between the oil/renewable energy
stakeholders and decision making (level 1 of integration) and the portofolio of climate actions that they have selected (level
2 of diversification). Paris Agreement (PA), various Climate Action (CA), before or after various negotiation or elections,
which are the result of the inputs of negotiation processes (agreement line, Obama ambition for USA, and the US
competitivity- growth).
Abbreviations :
T: Trump (USA president)
UN: United Nations

OBAMA AMBITION SHAPE
Diamond shape of US president Barack Obama Ambition, with the 3 line of studies
(How, What/who, Why), which are filling the strategic black box give a feel of the scales
of the strategic moves during the integration and diversification.
It is also prefigurating the shape of diplomacy (with climate and energy action time lines
and opposed ambitions between both Democratic and Republican US president (Trump
versus Obama)

OBAMA AMBITION TIMELINE
T
O
FUTUREPAST
USA CLIMATE ACTION DIPLOMACY
USA TODAY
PAST FUTURE

PART 3 :
STRATEGY OF INTEGRATION AND
DIVERSIFICATION OF CLIMATE
ACTION STAKEHOLDERS
INFLUENCED BY THE ROOTS
(CLIMATE FRAMEWORKS)

STRATEGY FOCUS (CARBON REMOVAL*)
ORGANIZATION
ENVIRONMENT
ELEMENTS OF THE STRATEGY
Principle of a match between Internal and external organizations. Best organizations follow the principle of Chicago
school of architecture, which is also a marketing model of comparative advantage (or Michael Porter five forces in
business development). In such a way, it is natural to find these elements of operations in the strategic intent to build
up the energy and climate portofolio of global stakeholders in the climate negotiation process (Paris Agreement)
INTERNAL
ORGANISATION
EXTERNAL
ORGANIZATION
(*) Carbon removal is not so much discussed during the climate and energy exchanges in the real world to low caron
society. Often it is about reversing global warming and keeping the temperature increase very much below 2° Celsius (1.5
° C exacttly). However, as the nexus between the climate ambition and the global warming is caused by carbon
accumulation. Soil, water, atmospheric air, deforestation, excessive urbanism...all factors that are driving the growth are
producing CO2 emissions and as all natural elements have lost their buffer capacities to CO2. It is inplictly that Carbon
sequestration (removal and energy transition) are interconnected to reduce the CO2 emission and increase the carbon
sequestration, if we want to speed up and r everse global warming, reduce crises and escalation of costs to mitigate ?
Mediate and adapt to consequences of our model of production (UNISDR assessment of costs of disasters in 2017
amounted for US $ 300 billion. With global warming. The stake to remove CO2 is a recurring and important issue now)
Mimic between the
climate and energy
organization (real
world) with a tree (natural
environment) is the conse-
quence of Chicago school of
thinking (principle)

CHICAGO SCHOOL OF ARCHITECTURE
(GLOBAL COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE)
= > BEST ORGANIZATION ARE THOSE,
WHICH INTERNAL ORGANISATION
MATCHES THE EXTERNAL ENVIRONMENT
● (IT IS CORRESPONDING TO
-> MICHAEL PORTER 5 FORCES THAT SHAPE THE MARKET
ABOUT POWERS: ''...of suppliers, substitutes, new entries,
internal organizations, regulations...''
● -> (ALSO D. SPULBERG -PROFESSOR AT KELLOG UNIVERSITY
SPEAKS ABOUT THE STAR ANALYSIS -IN GLOBAL
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE) ''When organizations are improving
and mastering their skills on the domestic markets (with
prototypes or implementations) and then moving abroad on
foreign markets....''

COMPOSITON OF THE ATMOSPHERE
''is like a functional tree'' (CO2 → O2)
CO2 (CARBON) 0.035
O2 (OXYGEN) 20.95
N (AZOTE) 78.09
….CO2 O2
THE STRATEGY OF
CARBON
SEQUESTRATION AND
ENERGY
SUSTAINABILITY

INTEGRATION
DIVERSIFICATION
CO2 O2
Climate actions in the tree Strategy for
integration and diversification of climate energy
stakeholders
Energy and climate
action stakeholders
stakeholder level
Climate action
portofolio level
Process
of
carbon
removal
CASE OF GREEN
STAKEHOLDERS
OBAMA
(CLIMATE &
ENERGY
DIPLOMACY)
PROCESS OF CARBON REMOVAL VIA OBAMA GREEN ENERGY AND CLIMATE PORTOFOLIO
INPUTS
(GREEN
RESOURCES)
OUTCOMES
(US CLIMATE
ACTIONS &
PARIS
AGREEMENT)

STRATEGY START (INITIATION)
● THE 2 LEVELS OF THE PORTOFOLIO
MANAGEMENT OF THE CLIMATE ACTIONS
● LEVEL 1 : CLIMATE ACTION
STAKEHOLDERS INTEGRATION
● LEVEL 2 : ENERGY & CLIMATE
DIVERSIFICATION
THE 2 LEVELS ARE
INTERLINKED ? WITHIN
A COMPLEX
STRUCTURE
REPRESENTING THE
TREE ORGANIZATION :
ORGANIZATION OF
CLIMATE EENERGY
ACTION AND CLIMATE
ENERGY AMBITION

...IMAGINE A HOUSE OR A BUILDING, WHICH TAKES FIRE.
THERE ARE HUGE SMOKES - AND PLENTY OF CO2
EMISSIONS.
ALL CLIMATE STAKEHOLDERS (EXCEPT THE DENIERS)
WILL ATTEMPT TO LOOK FOR AN EXIT DOOR SO THEY
CAN BREATH THE FRESH AIR (OXYGEN)
EVACUATION OF THE ''CLIMATE BUILDING'' IS MADE IN 2
STAGES
- BEFORE THE NEW US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
- AFTER THE NEW US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
THE CLIMATE
ACTIONS
(It is a process ! With inputs outputs, indicators...)

CARBON REMOVAL STRATEGIES (AND THE AMBITION)
(USA IN AND OUT THE PARIS AGREEMENT)
In surch of the USA level of an ambition in link to the WASI agreement between the USA
civil societies (We Are Still In)
IT MEANS USA IS STILL IN THE PARIS AGREEMENT, WHILE THEY HAVE PULLED
OUT AFTER BEING IN, AND SINCE THE CHANGE OF FEDERAL GOVERNMENT
DECISION, THEY ARE STRONGLY WILLING TO RETURN TO THE PARIS
AGREEMENT
AMBITION
CO2
MEASURES TO TAKE- CLIMATE NEGOTIATION(S)
Evacuation
(Carbon removal)
Resources flows
(Stakeholders,
money, technology,
energy....)
Before USA
election
Climate actors
(except 130
US climate
deniers,
mainly in the
congress)
In
Out
SCHEME (B1) : FIRE TOOK PLACE (CO2 …CLOUDS) IN THE
BUILDING AND STAKEHOLDERS ARE LOOKING FOR AN EXIT
(RED ARROWS)
Before USA
election
Alert ! CO2Alert ! CO2

SKY
(Air/
atmosphere)
TRUMP (T)
(top floor
wealth,
billionaire..)
CO2
Oil
USA competitivity (Growth)
USA
global
Tower
(financial
tower,
economic
growth,
ecology)
UN bodies
(ground floor)
Obama (O)
(Super
global US
diplomate)
SOIL
(water, rivers,...nature)
x
Remove CO2,
sustainable development
US growth
Climate action
POWER(S)
Min.
Max.
Average/
diplomate
(t)
(un)
(o)
T
O
UN
Exit from
Paris
agreement
(PA)
Obama
in
Trump
out
PA
After USA
election
OIL
CO2
(Oil)
(ambition)
''Great
USA''
Macron
''Great PA''
hazard
Remove
carbon
USA
Growth
USA
Growth
SCHEME (B2)
After USA
election

WHEN THERE IS THE FIRE – AND THE SMOKES, CO2 EMISSIONS IN THE HOUSE- AS THE AMBITIONS
ARE DIFFERENT, IT IS IMPORTANT TO LOOK AT THE CLIMATE ACTION STAKEHOLDERS [EXCEPTR THE
CLIMATE DENIERS (CD),... OTHERS] IN THEIR EXIT STRATEGIES
PARIS AGREEMENT
Obama
strategy
Obama
strategy
Nov. 2016, new
US Presidential
election.
Opposite
Obama and the US
civil society looks
for an exit within
the gound floor
(UN, UNFCCC
Floor), as he is not
in power ; US
sub,national levels
and processes are
to meet the Paris
Agreement.
Obama looks for
Climate actions
with the UNFCCC
That will help him
to get to the exit
for oxygen (outside
the building)
US President Trump prefer to
go to the top floor of the
building because of his
power, and he loves to
produce with oil, so he is not
fearing CO2 emissions
In
(O2)
Paris
Agreement
(COP21 ambition)
Out
(CO2)
CDCD
ambition
Climate
Deniers

WHAT KIND OF BUILDING CAN MATCH THE CLIMATE
AMBITION AND ENERGY STRATEGY ?
=> A POSSIBLE ANSWER IS...
● ...A TOWER/CASTLE
TREE ORGANISATION
… A TOWER
CASTLE
MODEL
THE CLIMATE ACTION
FRAMEWORK IS
ASSUMED TO BE...

THE CLIMATE ACTION
FRAMEWORK
● THE CARBON REMOVAL
IT WAS NOT EXPLICIT WITHIN THE SHOWN
AMBITION - HOWEVER, ONE CAN LOOK AT
THE STRATEGY OF THE CLIMATE
STAKEHOLDERS FOR CLIMATE ENERGY
INTEGRATION AND DIVERSIFICATION, IT IS
LOOKING AS IF IT WAS THE MAIN FOCUS
OF THE VARIOUS CLIMATE ACTIONS
BEFORE AND AFTER PARIS AGREEMENT
(COP 21 CLIMATE AMBITION)

PART 4 :
STRATEGIC INTEGRATION
(OBAMA CLIMATE DIPLOMACY)
AND DIVERSIFICATION (CLIMATE
ACTION PORTOFOLIO)

INTEGRATION
DIVERSIFICATION
CO2 O2
Climate actions in the tree Strategy for
integration and diversification of climate energy
stakeholders
GREEN
FUNDS
CLIMATE
ACTIONS

STOCKED ENERGIES AND
OUTCOMES
OIL
CO2
FOSSIL FUELS
UNCONVENTIONAL OILS
...
RENEWABLE ENERGIES AND
TECHNOLOGIES
ENERGIES FROM THEWIND
SUN
SEA
...
CO2 O2
CLIMATE AND ENERGY
STAKEHOLDER INTEGRATION
CLIMATE AND ENERGY
STAKEHOLDER ACTION DIVERSIFICATION
T
D
UN
O
UNFCCC
SOCIAL, ECONOMIC, ECOLOGICAL ENERGY TRANSITION
(TECHNOLOGY AND PROCES TO MOVE FROM CO2 TO O2)
SD
E E
S

Climate Actions
Climate Stakeholders
T
CD
(O)
UN UNFCCC
T: Trump
CD: Climate Deniers
O: Obama
UN : United Nations
UNFCCC : United Nations
Climate Change Convention
HOW TO VIEW
THE TREE ?

CLIMATE STAKEHOLDER POSITIONNING AT
THE BEGINNING (BEFORE MIGRATING)
OBAMA
TRUMP DENIERS
United Nations
(UN)
UNFCCC

BEFORE JAN. 20, 2017 NEW US LEADER, BEFORE THE
US PRESDENTIAL ELECTION.
I AM LOOKING AT THE STRATEGY OF THE MAIN
CLIMATE STAKEHOLDER I .E. US PRESIDENT BARACK
OBAMA ENERGY AND CLIMATE INTEGRATION AND
ENERGY AND CLIMATE ACTION DIVERSIFICATION.
AND
THE CLIMATE ENERGY ACTION THAT OCCURED AFTER
THE US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION AND THE NEW US
LEADER (TRUMP)
USA ENERGY AND CLIMATE
ACTION PORTOFOLIO (SCHEME X)

T CD
OIL OILRENEWABLE
OBAMA (O)
OO'
O' : OIL SAND, TAR OIL...
O'' : Organizazing For Action...
O''' : US climate action, Smart Grid, biofuels...
O''
O'''
O
Federal
Government
Civil
Societies
Scheme X
OBAMA ENERGY
INTEGRATION
1
1
2
2
3
3
O'''' : Climate Deniers
O''''
4
4To understand, follow the
coloured arrows. Strategic
intents are often comparable to
river flows (they are spousing the
river beds and they will always
contourne the obstacles. Therefore
theblue dash lines are materializing
the scopes of strategies (integration)

Scheme X
T CD
Green
( ) ( + ) ( + ) ( – )
- + -
-
+
+
-
+ -
+ + -
Rotate
of 180°
Obama intergation to build a portofolio for climate action
Obama
network

FEDERAL
GOVERNMENT
CIVIL
SOCIETIES
TRUMP CLIMATE
DENIERS
RENEWABLE
ENERGY
STAKEHOLDERS
OIL STAKEHOLDERS
Obama
oil oil
From integration to climate action diversification
obama

Level of
integration
Level of
diversification
Obama strategy from integration to diversification
ambition
O
O1
O1 = Paris
Agreement
O2= US
climate action
0
Climate
Deniers
100%
50%
O2
UNFCCC
SDG 13
UN
Obama
Pathway
UP to Down

PART 5 : CLIMATE ACTION STRATEGIC
PORTOFOLIO ANALYSIS
● GOAL :
UNDERSTAND THE GLOBAL ENERGY
TRANSITION WITH SIMPLE SHAPES :
● (GEOMETRIC FIGURES, TREES,...)

Climate action frameworks
actors
growth
agreement
0
100%
1
Deniers/ (T?) Environmentalist/ (O?)
WHY (PURPOSES,
MISSIONS, VISIONS)
HOW (MECHANISM)
WHAT (ECONOMIC
GROWTH, PROSPERITY,
WELLBEING)

Climate action negotiation black box
Climate actors
ambition
sustainable
development
growth
UN bodies
Climate actions
agreement
PA
PA : Paris Agreement
Tr: Trump (and Federal Government)
Tech. : Technology
UN : United Nations
UNFCCC : UN Climate Change Convention
NAP : National Action Plan
CA : Climate Actions
CD : Climate Deniers
Tr
Tech
UN UNFCCC
NAP/CA
CD
USA

SCHEME (C)
P3
Trump
P1
P2
Obama
. ACTIONS
UN
ambition
> 0
< 0 Climate
Deniers (CD)
GVT
GVT : US Federal
Government
CSO : Civil Society
Organziation
CSO
Energy
OIL
Renewables
CA/SDG
ACTORS
SCHEME ALPHA

Climate Negotiation(s) between ambition(s) and action(s)
CLIMATE
DENIERS
E
AMBITION (S)
ACTION(S)
CLIMATE ACTIONS (CA) PORTOFOLIO
CA1 CA 2
CA 3
CA 4
STAKEHOLDERS SELECTION OF ENERGIES
Paris (PA)
Agreement
National Acton Plan
(NAP)
Ambition COP...
(COP21)
Climate
Actions
SDG 13
OBAMA ENERGY AND CLIMATE ACTION INTEGRATION
TRUMP

CLIMATE ACTION STRATEGY (ACTORS AND ACTIONS)
STRATEGIC PORTOFOLIO- INTEGRATION AND DIVERSIFICATION
USA
CP
(PA)
X
NAP CA
(T) (CD)
Growth
UN
UNFCCC
AMBITION
XX
X
(O)
(O)
(-) (-)
CLIMATE DENIERS
(minus)(minus)
Trump
(+) (+)
Federal
Govt
Civil
society
Obama
Obama
strategy
lines
°
°
°
oil oil
renewable
ambition
(PA)
CP : Climate Plan NAP : National Action PlanUNFCCC Framework Climate
Change Convention
PA : Paris Agreement Climate Action
ZA : Zero ambition UN : United Nations
Ambition
line
(ZA)
Agreement
Not
agreed
100%
agreed
ACTION LINE
UN
Trump
PA NAP CA
UNF
CCC
UNFCCC
negotiation
line
UN
strategy
lines
(plus) (plus)

PART 4 : IMAGINE TODAY
THE FOREST MODEL
- EXTERNAL ORGANIZATION (EO)
= ENVIRONMENT IS MADE OF OIL, RENEWABLE
ENERGIES, UNCONVENTIONAL ENERGIES,
WASTE, CO2 EMISSIONS
- THE INTERNAL ORGANIZATION (IO)
= THE BRANCHES OF THE TREES ARE
REPRESENTENTING THE A COUNTRY
ORGANIZATION (NETWORK OF RELATIONSHIPS
TO ENSURE THE CLIMATE & ENERGY ACTION
STRATEGIC PORTOFOLIO
EO
IO
ORGANIZATION
MATCH

OBAMA STRATEGY
● I DID NOT PRESENT THE OTHER STAKEHOLDER STRATEGIES-
PRESIDENT TRUMP, WASI, UN, UNFCCC...
● COUNTRY STRATEGIES ARE DESCRIBED DURING HIGH LEVEL
POLITICAL FORA (AND CAN BE CONSULTED ON RELEVANT UN
WEBSITES)
● OBAMA IS THE KEY STAKEHOLDER AND UNDERSTANDING THE
BUILDING OF THE PORTOFOLIO (INTEGRATION AND
DIVERSIFICATION MATTERS)
● I ASSUMED ALL OTHER STAKEHOLDER PORTOFOLIO ANALYSESES
CAN USE THE SAME PRINCIPLES WITH VARIATIONS ACCORDING TO
ACTORS AND CLIMATE PLANS

?
?
WHAT IS INSIDE
THE FOREST ?

?
BRANCHES
LEVEL 1
COMPARATIVE
STRATEGIC
ANALYSIS
INTERNAL
ORGANIZATION

COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS
(THE STRATEGIC SHAPES)
INTERNAL
ORGANIZATION
OIL
CO2
SOIL
BRANCHES OF A TREE ORGANIZATION
(BEST MATCH)
ENVIRONMENT
RENEWABLES

INFLUENCE OF THE OF THE ENVIRONEMENTAL TROPHISM
(FORCES THAT SHAPED THE MARKET)
● ORGANISATION (INTERNAL) = A TREE (BRANCHES)
● FORCES (EXTERNAL) : EXAMPLE OF THE SUN (ENERGY)
● (BUT IT COULD BE THE WIND, GRAVITY...)
Action of
the sun
Gravity
PARIS
AGREEMENT

Climate Actions (CA)
Climate Stakeholders (CS)
T
CD
(O)
UN UNFCCC
T: Trump
CD: Climate Deniers
O: Obama
UN : United Nations
UNFCCC : United Nations
Climate Change Convention
(CA)
(CS)
To link
with the
project
deliverable(s)

? CLIMATE
ACTIONS
[O)
OIL
RENEWABLES

UN (Unitred Nations)
(O)
RENEWABLE
OBAMA
OBAMA INTEGRATION
TRUMP DENIERS
(O)
CLIMATE
ACTIONS
UNFCCC
PARIS
AGREEMENT COUNTRY
NACTIONAL ACTION
PLANS (NAP)
US NAP
SDG 13
AMBITION
US CLIMATE
ACTIONS
OBAMA
US WASI
CLIMATE
ACTION
US CLIMATE
ACTION
CIVIL
SOCIETY
UNSDG
COLOURED ARROWS ARE REPRESENTENTING
THE MOVES- ACTIONS
FROM OIL ENERGIES
TO CLIMATE ACTION

UN
O
REN
CLIMATE
ACTIONS
PARIS
AGREEMENT
NATIONAL
ACTION PLAN
OBAMA STRATEGICAL MOVES TO BUILD THE USA
CLIMATE ENERGY ACTION = STRATEGY OF
ENERGY INTEGRATION
AND PORTOFOLIO DIVERSIFICATION
THEBLUE CHANNELS ARE
REPRESENTING
THE FLOW SPACES
FOR RESOURCES, WHICH
ARE THE PATHWAYS TO
LOW CARBON SOCIETY-
UNDER US PRESIDENT
OBAMA - AND AFTER THE 2
MANDATES)
THE BRANCHES
OF THE ORGANI
ZATION (INTER
NAL ORGANIZA
TION)
TO CREATE
CLIMATE ACTION
AND PARIS
AGREEMENT
US CLIMATE ORGANISATION WITH OBAMA
CLIMATE ACTIONS IN (RED SQUARE)
Obama strategy (red
box) Obama Pathways
( blue lanes)
WASI (red lane)
Ambition
(yellow lane)

UN
O
REN
CLIMATE
ACTIONS
PARIS
AGREEMENT
NATIONAL
ACTION PLAN
OBAMA STRATEGICAL MOVSE TO
BUILD THE USA CLIMATE ENERGY
ACTION STRATEGY
ENERGY INTEGRATION
AND PORTOFOLIO
DIVERSIFICATION
THE COLOURED
TUNELS ARE
REPRESENTING
THE FLOW SPACES
FOR RESOURCES
TO CREATE CLIMATE ACTION AND PARIS
AGREEMENT

TRUMP
TOWER
(T.T.)
OBAMA
WHITE
HOUSE
(O.W.H.)
ENERGY CHOICES
RENEWABLES FOSSIL FUELS
O2 CO2
EMISSION TYPES
FEDERAL GOVERNEMENTS
O.W.H.
∩
∩ ∩
T.T
∩
(*) UN
United
Nations
U.N*.

OBAMA green
transformation
to renewable
energies
STRATEGIC MOVES ASCENT AND DESCENT(INFLUENCES)
(T) VERSUS (O)
(energy & climate
policy negotaiton
between opposing
climate & energy
stakeholders
Climate deniers
and return to the
past (fossil fuels
development)
Ascent
(ncrase of green
portofolio)
Descent
(incrase of fossil
fuels portofolio)
Obama (O)
influences
Trump (T)
influences
Balances of energy
stakeholder choices
(after US presidential
election)
Mix
portofolio of
climate
actions
Fossil
fuels
Federal
Governement
''We are still in'' US civil
society to align with Paris
Agreement.
- UNSDG13
(CA)
- UNFCCC
COUNTRIES
(PA, NAP)
- CHINA
(GREAT
BELT
INITIATIVE,
PA)
- USA
WASI
- US FEDERAL
GOVERNMENT
- CLIMATE
DENIERS
ALL COUNTRY
ORGANISATIONS
(POLLUTERS)

OILOILNOT
CONVEN-
TIONAL
ENERGIES
NOT
CONVEN-
TIONAL
ENERGIES
CO2
EMISSIONS
CO2
EMISSIONS
FOSSIL
FUELS
RENEWA
BLES
GREEN ENERGIESGREEN ENERGIES
SOLAR
PANELS
Global climate and energy according to a viewpoint
portofolio is similar to an taken from the main
energy and technology stakeholder, who is
compartimented tower US president
castle in shape Barack Obama
CONSTRUCTED GLOBAL CLIMATE & ENERGY STRATEGY (IES) (A)
STRATEGY WORK IN PROGRESS (B)

Climate action
OILOILNOT
CONVEN-
TIONAL
ENERGIES
NOT
CONVEN-
TIONAL
ENERGIES
CO2
EMISSIONS
CO2
EMISSIONS
FOSSIL
FUELS
RENEWABLE
ENERGY
SOLAR
PANELS
THE PATHWAYS TO RISK
AND OPPORTUNITIES IN
LOW CARBON SOCIETIES
STRATEGY STARTSTRUMP
O2CO2
Paris
Agreement
National
Action Plan
OBAMA
PA
NAP
CA
DENIERS
OBAMA & USA
CIVIL SOCIETIES
STRATEGY
ENDS
STRATEGY
ENDS
STRATEGY
ENDS
A + B :A + B : … AND… AND
TOTAL CLIMATETOTAL CLIMATE ENERGYENERGY
ACTIONS …ACTIONS … STRATEGY(IES)STRATEGY(IES)
RISKS OPPORTUNITIESA PATHWAY
Global Climate and ...according to a
Energy Portofolio viewpoint taken from
(integration & from the number 1
diversification) is similar to an climate & energy
energy and technology stakeholder who is
compartimented tower castle in shape... US president Obama.

The tree is
comparable
to a coliflower
With green and red
parts according to
the influences of
the climate &
energy drivers
For low carbon
societies with risk
and opportunities
CO2
O2
The forks nest like 2
hands supports the
internal structures of the
climate and energy
actions
ORGANISATION EXTERNAL
ENVIRONMENT
INTERNAL ORGANISATION
According
to Chicago
School of
architecture
and global
comparative
advantage
and Michael
Porte 5
forces that
shaped the
climate and
energy
stakeholder
market
portofolio,
there is a
missing
element in
the global
strategy for
energy and
transition
and try to
guess ?

CLIMATE ACTION STRATEGY TREE ORGANIZATION MATCH CASTLE MODEL
195 COUNTRIES
AND STATES
AT UNITED
NATIONS AND
UNITED NATIONS
CLIMATE CHANGE
CONVENTION
A COUNTRY IS
REPRESENTED BY
A CELL FOR THE
CLIMATE CHANGE
NEGOTIATION
(ALSO
TECHNOLOGY
CHOICES AND
OTHER DRIVERS
OF GLOBAL
WARMING)
(C)

Climate action
OILOILNOT
CONVEN-
TIONAL
ENERGIES
NOT
CONVEN-
TIONAL
ENERGIES
CO2
EMISSIONS
CO2
EMISSIONS
SOLAR
PANELS
THE PATHWAYS TO RISK
AND OPPORTUNITIES IN
LOW CARBON SOCIETIES
STRATEGY STARTSTRUMP
O2CO2
Paris
Agreement
National
Action Plan
OBAMA
PA
NAP
CA
DENIERS
OBAMA & USA
CIVIL SOCIETIES
STRATEGY
ENDS
STRATEGY
ENDS
STRATEGY
ENDS
A + B :A + B : … AND… AND
TOTAL CLIMATETOTAL CLIMATE ENERGYENERGY
ACTIONS …ACTIONS … STRATEGY(IES)STRATEGY(IES)
Global Climate and ...according to a
Energy Portofolio viewpoint taken from
(integration & from the number 1
diversification) is similar to an climate & energy
energy and technology stakeholder who is
compartimented tower castle in shape... US president Obama.
Obama
climate
energy
diplomacy
Growth
Carbon
market
prices
Solar panel
development
and sales
R&D on
unconventional
sources of
energies
Green funds,
investment &
technologies

OBAMA (US) CLIMATE ACTION
(US CSO + US GOVT)
US CIVIL SOCIETY CLIMATE ACTION
(WASI) ''WE ARE STILL IN''
UNFCCC CLIMATE ACTION
(PARIS AGREEMENT)
UN CLIMATE
ACTION
(SDG 13)
ambition
reality
2018
2015
2040 ( Zero fossil fuels???)
Nuclear
energy
???
Carbo
remov
2100-
2200
NUCLEAR
REMOVAL
RENEWABLE
ENERGIES
(OBAMA
SMART GRID)
OIL
Start
To end of global warming
(US) CLIMATE ACTION
(CLIMATE DENIERS + TRUMP US FED. GOVT)
OBAMA US-CIVIL SOCIETY (OFA) CLIMATE ACTION
+ (WASI) ''WE ARE STILL IN''
UNFCCC CLIMATE ACTION
+ SDG13 CLIMATE ACTION
CLIMATE ACTION IS
A SLOW PROCESS
TODAY CLIMATE INNOVATION AND TECHNOLOGY
CHINA NEW
SILK ROAD
INITIATIVES

COUNTRIES CLIMATE STRATEGIES : COUNTRY FOREST TO REDUCE CO2
EMISSIONS- EACH COUNTRY HAS ITS OWN STRATEGY – INTEGRATION AND
DIVERSIFICATION- INFLUENCED BY USA CLIMATE STRATEGY (OBAMA OR CLIMATE
DENIERS OR TRUMP OR THE US CIVIL SOCIETY
USA
CHINA
FRANCE
OTHERS
PARIS AGREEMENT
GROUP

THANKS!
● GEORGES RADJOU
● BUSINESS INNOVATION RESEARCH
DEVELOPMENT
● CLIMATE AND ENERGY ACTIONS
● gsradjou@outlook.com
●

HAPPY NEW YEAR 2018 (Climate actions strategy)

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