France’s wind-energy oriented strategy is a major industrial aberration in its current design.
France possesses the second exclusive economic zone in the world, just after the USA being the largest. That is to say a playground exceeding 10 millions square kilometers.
French government dashboard says that wind-power energy has a capacity of 18,7 gigawatts (10 power 9 or 10e+9) in 2021 and from which production only was of 36,8 terawatts (10e+12) the same year.
Nice performance? No, not really.
First, the 18.7 gigawatts are a capacity untied to the production, which measures in watts-hours. Then, the watts-hour capacity is of 1.66 10e+14 Wh. In return, 36.8 terawatts represents a 22.29% annual performance. Thus, it represents a de facto equal conversion factor of 22.29%.
Intermittent production being in question and even if if capacity was expanded last year, wind-powered energy only contributes to 7 to 9% of France’s energy mix delivered energy.
Conversely, sea and ocean based renewable energies potential is by far exceeding wind-based energy.
If we only consider swell-based energy only, the potential is by 100 to 10000 times greater.
Note that France EEZ maritime territory is only 0,02% of worlwide maritime space. It means that if we exploit our planet full potential, then watts per hour equals 2.56e+31 Wh for the worldwide lowest estimate. And 2.56e+32 Wh for the highest worldwide estimate.
A tremendous, clean, energy reserve to tap into.
The PDF considers 3 hypothesis & 2 major scenarios:
The 3 hypotheses are:
1- An energy potential of 2500 W per exploited square kilometer.
2- A low potential of 8000 MW per annum worldwide.
3- A high potential of 80000 MW per annum worldwide.
The 2 major scenarios focus on France exclusive economic zone coverage representing a 10.5 millions square kilometers playground, which are:
1- 100% exclusive economic zone coverage.
2- 50% exclusive economic zone coverage.
What we get of it is a potential 100 to 10000 time superior to wind-based energy.
A potential able to absorb between 125 and 150% of 2020 worldwide emitted CO2 with 2020 as reference year.
Cherry on top, the third hypothesis fully covers French annual gaz consumption (450TWh gas reserve matching a 3,94 1018 Wh per annum). Goodbye imported shortage.
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2. Productivity sources benchmark synthesis
> Maximized gains on whole energy and ecology dimensions
CO2 Performance: realtive performance against French wind-based energy in 2021 (real performance)
3. Productivity sources benchmark synthesis
> Maximized ecological transition gains by 1 hypothesis (80000 TW
worldwideper annum) in 2 major capture scenarios.
4. Productivity sources comparison - Wh
> 2 scenarios 80000 TW have a strong comparative advantage over wind
> Represents a strong industrial challenge
Exihibit: 80% is a
productivity source while
20% is a marginal – not so –
maximum productivity
source
5. N.B. : linear extrapolation | Wh : Watts-hour
Productivity sources comparison - Wh
> All modeled hypothesis concludes to a maritime advantage
> Only potential is represented
6. Transferrability – petrol ton equivalent (tep)
> 2 scenarios… win over wind if 100% conversion factor is reached
(efficience factor)
> Represents a strong industrial challenge Design is crucial
7. Productivity source - tep
> All scenarios have a tep advantage over wind-based energy.
> Water is matter and a continuous medium.
> Wind is a force but not a continuous medium (wind vs air).
8. Productivity source – British Thermal Unit
> Water & swell-based energy can reduce gas dependance gaz (450 TWh
year, CRE).
> France : 2nde exclusive economic zone.
9. Productivity source – British Thermal Unit
> A trap below: which one?
> Swell energy is superior to wind energy.
10. Productivity source – gCO2 equivalent
> Sea & ocean surface can produce between 1015 & 1018 gCO2 equivalent.
> 36 billion emitted CO2 in 2020 worldwide => 1012 < 10[15-18]
> Sea & ocean annual CO2 capture in 2020 : between 125% & 150%
N.B. : gCO2, gram of CO2
Exhibit: 80% is a
productivity source
while 20% is a
marginal – not so –
maximum
productivity source
12. N.B. : FC = Facteur de Conversion
Wh productivity source – Strategy
> Wind turbines limit at 1017 Wh intermitting per annum. At constant
design and progression, wind energy does not exceed 1018 Wh per annum.
> ¾ investment costs are for the turbine (CRE) whose output is 7 to 9%
french energy mix output.
13. France strategy in 1 graph. Almost.
> In blue & black, ocean, sea, swell, marine currents are not considered as
well as wind, salinity or temperature …
> In eyes-hurting flashy rose, wind turbines and what it’s energy worth, at
best.
Exhibit: Generable
power output
comparison in
absolute values
and benched
against wind
turbines achieved
performance in
2021
14. Tomorrow’s France renewables energy strategy
> Invest in in continuous and unified drivable renewables.
> Develop a consolidated energy sink approach.
> France can achieve strategic and dominant position, including rebound
advantages in quantum computing.
> Develop new design and industrialization processes.
> France 2nd EEZ, a key success factor and countless territories representing
an exceptional chance.
> Wind-based power is not useless, yet miniaturization is a key success
factor. How many cars displace air? What is the power supply output ?
> Finally, it’s a question of energy sovereignty and political
coherence.
15. Thank you & have an excellent day
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