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Shears Inc.
SureCut
Case Analysis
Corporate Finance
Master in Management, 2017
IE Business School
Introduction
CASE OVERVIEW
SureCut Shears
household scissors
and shears
manufacturer
• Constant profits & growth since 1958
• Modernization of production plant with
estimated cost reduction of $900.000 per year
• Severe industry competition & retail recession
BACKGROUND
• ST loans usually just for seasonal sales peaks
• But: ST loan for modernization needed
• HN Bank extends outstanding & new loans
CURRENT
FINANCIAL
NEEDS
• Keep accepting outstanding short-term loans
and payment delays?
• Will current inability to pay change in future?
QUESTIONS
HN BANK
Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Timeline
SureCut Shears, Inc. and HN Bank, years 1995 & 1996
1995
AssumptionsActions
$1.2m add.
fund needModernization completed
Add. ST borrowing need
Funds needed until adjusted to
requirements
Can’t repay $1.25m ST loan
$3.5m 1st credit line & forecast
1st credit line paid off by Dec ‘95
to cover fall requirements
Add. $500k
1996
What is a Seasonal Loan?
AIM
Credit arrangement that helps SureCut Shears
pay overhead costs in seasonal peaks
WHEN
SureCut Shears needs extra working capital
during its peak sales season in Oct - Nov
EFFECT
Allows SureCut Shears to operate smoothly
throughout the year
PAYBACK
Payback scheduled throughout Dec – Jul
{{
OFFERED TO FIRMS
THAT EXPERIENCE
SEASONAL SWINGS
IN CASH FLOWS
Assumptions
Seasonality in Sales Past Experience
Sales will be in line with previous year Sales & Profit
Growth, Recession
COGS will be consistent with previous year Modernization
S&A expenses remain stable throughout year Business Model
A/R estimated higher during Sep - Dec Peak Season
A/P assumed 30 days payment period Stable Forecasting
Raw material, WIP, and finished goods stable Stable Production
In IS, missing interest expense and depreciation Tax Reduction
Net plant predicted to increase in Aug by $3m Modernization Completed
✓
✘
✘
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
04.
03.
02.
01. What funds are needed and for what are they used?
Are decreasing sales due to failure
of company or market recession?
Why is SureCut not able to repay loans?
Will completion of production plant modernization
effectively reduce costs?
What should
HN Bank consider?
Has SureCut’s financial condition worsened
enough to cause
HN Bank great concerns?
CF Analysis
The Uses & Source of Funds
Category Uses of funds: Var June95-Mar96 % of total uses
Asset Var. Acc/Receivables 783 16,3%
Asset Capex 3.248 67,6%
Liability Var. Acc/Payable 347 7,2%
Liability Var. Taxes Payable 127 2,6%
Liability Reduction Mortgage 299 6,2%
Net Cash Flow 4.804 100%
Category Sources of funds: Var July95-Mar96 % total Sources
Asset Var. Treasury 1.433 29,8%
Asset Var. Inventories 732 15,2%
Liability Var. Bank Borrowing 1.256 26,1%
Liability Retained Earnings 1.395 29,0%
Total Finance 4.816 100%
CF Analysis
Uses of Funds
1
2
3
4
ACCOUNTS PAYABLE & TAXES PAYABLE
A/P decreased, T/P negative (tax grant)
CAPEX
Increased due to investment in plant modernization
ACCOUNTS RECEIVABLE
Increased & A/R collection period increased substantially
MORTGAGE
Paid down slightly
Category Uses of funds: Var June95-Mar96 % of total uses
Asset Var. Acc/Receivables 783 16,3%
Asset Capex 3.248 67,6%
Liability Var. Acc/Payable 347 7,2%
Liability Var. Taxes Payable 127 2,6%
Liability Reduction Mortgage 299 6,2%
Net Cash Flow 4.804 100%
Category Sources of funds: Var July95-Mar96 % total Sources
Asset Var. Treasury 1.433 29,8%
Asset Var. Inventories 732 15,2%
Liability Var. Bank Borrowing 1.256 26,1%
Liability Retained Earnings 1.395 29,0%
Total Finance 4.816 100%
CF Analysis
Source of Funds
BANK BORROWING
Increased, but varied throughout the period
INVENTORIES
Decreased due to sale of products throughout the sales period
TREASURY / CASH
Decreased due to multiple cash needs, with only limited inflow
RETAINED EARNINGS
Increased due to profits throughout the sales period
Asset Capex 3.248 67,6%
Liability Var. Acc/Payable 347 7,2%
Liability Var. Taxes Payable 127 2,6%
Liability Reduction Mortgage 299 6,2%
Net Cash Flow 4.804 100%
Category Sources of funds: Var July95-Mar96 % total Sources
Asset Var. Treasury 1.433 29,8%
Asset Var. Inventories 732 15,2%
Liability Var. Bank Borrowing 1.256 26,1%
Liability Retained Earnings 1.395 29,0%
Total Finance 4.816 100%
1
2
3
4
CF Analysis
The Uses & Source of Funds
-783
-3.248
-347
-127
-299
1.433
732
1256
1395
-$4.000,00 -$3.000,00 -$2.000,00 -$1.000,00 $0,00 $1.000,00 $2.000,00
RESULT
Working Capital decreases
BS
CL
CA
LTL
FA
WC
FA
increase Mortgage
decrease
R/E increase
Net increase
by less than
FA increase
WC Change
As in Balance Sheet
WC = LTL - FA
RESULT
Working Capital decreases
BS
CL
CA
LTL
FA
WC
Cash
decrease
Inventory
decrease
A/P & T/P
decrease
Bank loans
increase
WC Change
As in Balance Sheet
WC = CA - CL
A/R
increase
$6.000,00
$7.000,00
$8.000,00
$9.000,00
$10.000,00
$11.000,00
$12.000,00
June
1995
July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May June
Comparison WC
Working Capital (forecasted) Working Captial (actual)
WC Change
Forecast vs. Actual
Ratio Analysis
Changes June ‘95 to March ‘96
1995
June
1995 July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
Working Captial 11180 9767 8455 8298 8954 9462 9181 9318 9358 9028
OFN 4858 126 257 619 666 493 660 95 7 272
Accounts Receivable / Sales 0,069 1,371 1,399 1,427 1,390 1,638 1,991 2,251 1,823 1,914
Invetory / COGS 0,375 5,236 4,300 3,479 2,611 2,881 3,304 5,133 4,881 5,747
Accounts Payable / TOT Purchases 1,003 0,996 1,007 1,010 1,040 0,994 1,013 1,009 0,992
Accounts Receivable Days 25 41 42 43 42 49 60 68 55 57
Inventory Days 137 157 129 104 78 86 99 154 146 172
Accounts Payable Days 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30
CCC 132 168 141 117 90 106 129 191 171 200
Current Ratio 10,89 5,06 3,08 2,74 2,96 3,63 3,60 4,45 5,55 5,75
1996
Ratio Analysis
Changes June ‘95 to March ‘96
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
June
1995
July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
Ratios
Accounts Receivable Days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Days
Accounts Receivable
Forecast vs. Actual over Sales
$0,00
$500,00
$1.000,00
$1.500,00
$2.000,00
$2.500,00
$3.000,00
$3.500,00
$4.000,00
$4.500,00
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
June
1995
July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May June
Comparison A/R Days
Accounts Receivable Days (forecasted) Accounts Receivable Days (actual) Sales (actual)
Inventory Days
Forecast vs. Actual over Sales
$0,00
$500,00
$1.000,00
$1.500,00
$2.000,00
$2.500,00
$3.000,00
$3.500,00
$4.000,00
$4.500,00
20
70
120
170
220
270
June
1995
July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May June
Comparison Inventory Days
Inventory Days (forecasted) Inventory Days (actual) Sales (actual)
Cash Conversion Cycle
CCC vs. Sales
$0,00
$500,00
$1.000,00
$1.500,00
$2.000,00
$2.500,00
$3.000,00
$3.500,00
$4.000,00
$4.500,00
0
50
100
150
200
250
June 1995 July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
CCC vs. Sales
Accounts Receivable Days (actual) Inventory Days (actual) Accounts Payable Days CCC Sales (actual)
Bank Loan Payable
Forecast vs. Actual
$0,00
$500,00
$1.000,00
$1.500,00
$2.000,00
$2.500,00
$3.000,00
$3.500,00
$4.000,00
June
1995
July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May June
Bank Loan Payable
Bank Loans Payable (plug) (forecasted)
Bank Loans Payable (plug) (actual)
Conclusion
Has SureCut’s financial condition worsened enough to cause HN Bank any great concern?
Jan Feb Mar
Cash 1.133 1.076 688
Acc receivable 3.958 3.169 2.867
Inventories 6.925 7.170 7.374
Current Assets 12.016 11.415 10.929
Net Plant 27.843 27.810 27.812
Total assets 39.859 39.225 38.741
Bank Loans Payable (plug) 1.376 778 1.256
Acc Payable 699 658 514
Taxes Payable 357 361 127-
Misc. Other 266 260 258
Current Liabilities 2.698 2.057 1.901
Mortgage 8% 11.661 11.661 11.661
Common Stock 11.500 11.500 11.500
Earned Surplus 14.000 14.007 13.679
Total Liabilities, Net worth 39.859 39.225 38.741
1996 First Glance: CA outweigh CL
Tempting conclusion that CA are
sufficient to cover CL
But: Majority of CA (ca. 70%) locked
in inventory during economic
downturn
Peak selling season is over and
months with already low forecasts
still lie ahead
$0,00
$500,00
$1.000,00
$1.500,00
$2.000,00
$2.500,00
$3.000,00
$3.500,00
$4.000,00
$4.500,00
$5.000,00
June1995 July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May June
Sales forecasted vs. actual
Sales (forecasted) Sales (actual)
Conclusion
Has SureCut’s financial condition worsened enough to cause HN Bank any great concern?
Conclusion
Has SureCut’s financial condition worsened enough to cause HN Bank any great concern?
Jan Feb Mar
Cash 1.133 1.076 688
Acc receivable 3.958 3.169 2.867
Inventories 6.925 7.170 7.374
Current Assets 12.016 11.415 10.929
Net Plant 27.843 27.810 27.812
Total assets 39.859 39.225 38.741
Bank Loans Payable (plug) 1.376 778 1.256
Acc Payable 699 658 514
Taxes Payable 357 361 127-
Misc. Other 266 260 258
Current Liabilities 2.698 2.057 1.901
Mortgage 8% 11.661 11.661 11.661
Common Stock 11.500 11.500 11.500
Earned Surplus 14.000 14.007 13.679
Total Liabilities, Net worth 39.859 39.225 38.741
1996 First Glance: CA outweigh CL
Tempting conclusion that CA are
sufficient to cover CL
But: Majority of CA (ca. 70%) locked
in inventory during economic
downturn
Majority of sales on A/R plus
significant increase in inventory
days cause problem for CCC
Peak selling season is over and
months with already low forecasts
still lie ahead
$0,00
$1.000,00
$2.000,00
$3.000,00
$4.000,00
$5.000,00
$6.000,00
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
June 1995 July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
Acc. Receivable vs. Acc. Payable
Acc. Payable Acc. Receivable Accounts Payable Days Accounts Receivable Days
Conclusion
Accounts Receivable vs. Accounts Payable
Conclusion
Has SureCut’s financial condition worsened enough to cause HN Bank any great concern?
Jan Feb Mar
Cash 1.133 1.076 688
Acc receivable 3.958 3.169 2.867
Inventories 6.925 7.170 7.374
Current Assets 12.016 11.415 10.929
Net Plant 27.843 27.810 27.812
Total assets 39.859 39.225 38.741
Bank Loans Payable (plug) 1.376 778 1.256
Acc Payable 699 658 514
Taxes Payable 357 361 127-
Misc. Other 266 260 258
Current Liabilities 2.698 2.057 1.901
Mortgage 8% 11.661 11.661 11.661
Common Stock 11.500 11.500 11.500
Earned Surplus 14.000 14.007 13.679
Total Liabilities, Net worth 39.859 39.225 38.741
1996 First Glance: CA outweigh CL
Tempting conclusion that CA are
sufficient to cover CL
But: Majority of CA (ca. 70%) locked
in inventory during economic
downturn
Majority of sales on A/R , steady
A/P & significant increase in
inventory days cause CCC problems
Peak selling season is over and
months with already low forecasts
still lie ahead
Has SureCut’s financial condition worsened enough to cause HN Bank any great concern?
Conclusion
Outdating of Inventory
How long can inventory be sold
before it becomes outdated?
Economic Downturn
Foreseeable how long it will
last?
Efficiency Gains
$6m investment in plant
modernization
Bad Debt
Can total of $2.8m A/R be
collected or will some have to
be written off?
Conclusion
Has SureCut’s financial condition worsened enough to cause
HN Bank any great concern?
SureCut does still make sales  company
needs to activate efficiencies it has invested in
Potential
 Liquidity bound in high inventories
 Seasonal sales, but stable production
 Thus, high assets in need of funds & high CCC
 Decreasing sales in economic recession
Issues
Issues cause sufficient amount of concern to
request more information on company
accounts & forecasts
Further Investigation
Proposed Solutions
DECREASE DAYS
RECEIVABLE
FIRE SALE
IMPLEMENT
“JIT”
PRODUCTION
STOP
DIVIDEND
PAYMENTS
REDUCTION
OF
WORKFORCE
A/P TERMS
• Extend paying period to
preserve cash
• Negotiate discounts for early
payments
PUSH & NEGOTIATE A/P TERMS
Should products
become outdated soon,
consider heavily
discounted sale of
inventory
FIRE SALE
Immediate halt of all quarterly
dividend payments to
shareholders
STOP DIVIDEND PAYMENTS
Strat collecting outstanding
A/R more aggressively
DECREASE DAYS RECEIVABLE
Continue with
reduction of workforce
to lower variable costs
REDUCTION OF
WORKFROCE
Start implementing Just In
Time manufacturing to reduce
inventory and start production
closer to sales peaks
IMPLEMENT JIT
Shears Inc.
SureCut
Case Analysis
Corporate Finance
Master in Management, 2017
IE Business School

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SureCut Shears Inc. - Financial Company Analysis

  • 1. Shears Inc. SureCut Case Analysis Corporate Finance Master in Management, 2017 IE Business School
  • 2. Introduction CASE OVERVIEW SureCut Shears household scissors and shears manufacturer • Constant profits & growth since 1958 • Modernization of production plant with estimated cost reduction of $900.000 per year • Severe industry competition & retail recession BACKGROUND • ST loans usually just for seasonal sales peaks • But: ST loan for modernization needed • HN Bank extends outstanding & new loans CURRENT FINANCIAL NEEDS • Keep accepting outstanding short-term loans and payment delays? • Will current inability to pay change in future? QUESTIONS HN BANK
  • 3. Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Timeline SureCut Shears, Inc. and HN Bank, years 1995 & 1996 1995 AssumptionsActions $1.2m add. fund needModernization completed Add. ST borrowing need Funds needed until adjusted to requirements Can’t repay $1.25m ST loan $3.5m 1st credit line & forecast 1st credit line paid off by Dec ‘95 to cover fall requirements Add. $500k 1996
  • 4. What is a Seasonal Loan? AIM Credit arrangement that helps SureCut Shears pay overhead costs in seasonal peaks WHEN SureCut Shears needs extra working capital during its peak sales season in Oct - Nov EFFECT Allows SureCut Shears to operate smoothly throughout the year PAYBACK Payback scheduled throughout Dec – Jul {{ OFFERED TO FIRMS THAT EXPERIENCE SEASONAL SWINGS IN CASH FLOWS
  • 5. Assumptions Seasonality in Sales Past Experience Sales will be in line with previous year Sales & Profit Growth, Recession COGS will be consistent with previous year Modernization S&A expenses remain stable throughout year Business Model A/R estimated higher during Sep - Dec Peak Season A/P assumed 30 days payment period Stable Forecasting Raw material, WIP, and finished goods stable Stable Production In IS, missing interest expense and depreciation Tax Reduction Net plant predicted to increase in Aug by $3m Modernization Completed ✓ ✘ ✘ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
  • 6. 04. 03. 02. 01. What funds are needed and for what are they used? Are decreasing sales due to failure of company or market recession? Why is SureCut not able to repay loans? Will completion of production plant modernization effectively reduce costs? What should HN Bank consider? Has SureCut’s financial condition worsened enough to cause HN Bank great concerns?
  • 7. CF Analysis The Uses & Source of Funds Category Uses of funds: Var June95-Mar96 % of total uses Asset Var. Acc/Receivables 783 16,3% Asset Capex 3.248 67,6% Liability Var. Acc/Payable 347 7,2% Liability Var. Taxes Payable 127 2,6% Liability Reduction Mortgage 299 6,2% Net Cash Flow 4.804 100% Category Sources of funds: Var July95-Mar96 % total Sources Asset Var. Treasury 1.433 29,8% Asset Var. Inventories 732 15,2% Liability Var. Bank Borrowing 1.256 26,1% Liability Retained Earnings 1.395 29,0% Total Finance 4.816 100%
  • 8. CF Analysis Uses of Funds 1 2 3 4 ACCOUNTS PAYABLE & TAXES PAYABLE A/P decreased, T/P negative (tax grant) CAPEX Increased due to investment in plant modernization ACCOUNTS RECEIVABLE Increased & A/R collection period increased substantially MORTGAGE Paid down slightly Category Uses of funds: Var June95-Mar96 % of total uses Asset Var. Acc/Receivables 783 16,3% Asset Capex 3.248 67,6% Liability Var. Acc/Payable 347 7,2% Liability Var. Taxes Payable 127 2,6% Liability Reduction Mortgage 299 6,2% Net Cash Flow 4.804 100% Category Sources of funds: Var July95-Mar96 % total Sources Asset Var. Treasury 1.433 29,8% Asset Var. Inventories 732 15,2% Liability Var. Bank Borrowing 1.256 26,1% Liability Retained Earnings 1.395 29,0% Total Finance 4.816 100%
  • 9. CF Analysis Source of Funds BANK BORROWING Increased, but varied throughout the period INVENTORIES Decreased due to sale of products throughout the sales period TREASURY / CASH Decreased due to multiple cash needs, with only limited inflow RETAINED EARNINGS Increased due to profits throughout the sales period Asset Capex 3.248 67,6% Liability Var. Acc/Payable 347 7,2% Liability Var. Taxes Payable 127 2,6% Liability Reduction Mortgage 299 6,2% Net Cash Flow 4.804 100% Category Sources of funds: Var July95-Mar96 % total Sources Asset Var. Treasury 1.433 29,8% Asset Var. Inventories 732 15,2% Liability Var. Bank Borrowing 1.256 26,1% Liability Retained Earnings 1.395 29,0% Total Finance 4.816 100% 1 2 3 4
  • 10. CF Analysis The Uses & Source of Funds -783 -3.248 -347 -127 -299 1.433 732 1256 1395 -$4.000,00 -$3.000,00 -$2.000,00 -$1.000,00 $0,00 $1.000,00 $2.000,00
  • 11. RESULT Working Capital decreases BS CL CA LTL FA WC FA increase Mortgage decrease R/E increase Net increase by less than FA increase WC Change As in Balance Sheet WC = LTL - FA
  • 12. RESULT Working Capital decreases BS CL CA LTL FA WC Cash decrease Inventory decrease A/P & T/P decrease Bank loans increase WC Change As in Balance Sheet WC = CA - CL A/R increase
  • 13. $6.000,00 $7.000,00 $8.000,00 $9.000,00 $10.000,00 $11.000,00 $12.000,00 June 1995 July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May June Comparison WC Working Capital (forecasted) Working Captial (actual) WC Change Forecast vs. Actual
  • 14. Ratio Analysis Changes June ‘95 to March ‘96 1995 June 1995 July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Working Captial 11180 9767 8455 8298 8954 9462 9181 9318 9358 9028 OFN 4858 126 257 619 666 493 660 95 7 272 Accounts Receivable / Sales 0,069 1,371 1,399 1,427 1,390 1,638 1,991 2,251 1,823 1,914 Invetory / COGS 0,375 5,236 4,300 3,479 2,611 2,881 3,304 5,133 4,881 5,747 Accounts Payable / TOT Purchases 1,003 0,996 1,007 1,010 1,040 0,994 1,013 1,009 0,992 Accounts Receivable Days 25 41 42 43 42 49 60 68 55 57 Inventory Days 137 157 129 104 78 86 99 154 146 172 Accounts Payable Days 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 CCC 132 168 141 117 90 106 129 191 171 200 Current Ratio 10,89 5,06 3,08 2,74 2,96 3,63 3,60 4,45 5,55 5,75 1996
  • 15. Ratio Analysis Changes June ‘95 to March ‘96 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 June 1995 July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Ratios Accounts Receivable Days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Days
  • 16. Accounts Receivable Forecast vs. Actual over Sales $0,00 $500,00 $1.000,00 $1.500,00 $2.000,00 $2.500,00 $3.000,00 $3.500,00 $4.000,00 $4.500,00 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 June 1995 July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May June Comparison A/R Days Accounts Receivable Days (forecasted) Accounts Receivable Days (actual) Sales (actual)
  • 17. Inventory Days Forecast vs. Actual over Sales $0,00 $500,00 $1.000,00 $1.500,00 $2.000,00 $2.500,00 $3.000,00 $3.500,00 $4.000,00 $4.500,00 20 70 120 170 220 270 June 1995 July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May June Comparison Inventory Days Inventory Days (forecasted) Inventory Days (actual) Sales (actual)
  • 18. Cash Conversion Cycle CCC vs. Sales $0,00 $500,00 $1.000,00 $1.500,00 $2.000,00 $2.500,00 $3.000,00 $3.500,00 $4.000,00 $4.500,00 0 50 100 150 200 250 June 1995 July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar CCC vs. Sales Accounts Receivable Days (actual) Inventory Days (actual) Accounts Payable Days CCC Sales (actual)
  • 19. Bank Loan Payable Forecast vs. Actual $0,00 $500,00 $1.000,00 $1.500,00 $2.000,00 $2.500,00 $3.000,00 $3.500,00 $4.000,00 June 1995 July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May June Bank Loan Payable Bank Loans Payable (plug) (forecasted) Bank Loans Payable (plug) (actual)
  • 20. Conclusion Has SureCut’s financial condition worsened enough to cause HN Bank any great concern? Jan Feb Mar Cash 1.133 1.076 688 Acc receivable 3.958 3.169 2.867 Inventories 6.925 7.170 7.374 Current Assets 12.016 11.415 10.929 Net Plant 27.843 27.810 27.812 Total assets 39.859 39.225 38.741 Bank Loans Payable (plug) 1.376 778 1.256 Acc Payable 699 658 514 Taxes Payable 357 361 127- Misc. Other 266 260 258 Current Liabilities 2.698 2.057 1.901 Mortgage 8% 11.661 11.661 11.661 Common Stock 11.500 11.500 11.500 Earned Surplus 14.000 14.007 13.679 Total Liabilities, Net worth 39.859 39.225 38.741 1996 First Glance: CA outweigh CL Tempting conclusion that CA are sufficient to cover CL But: Majority of CA (ca. 70%) locked in inventory during economic downturn Peak selling season is over and months with already low forecasts still lie ahead
  • 21. $0,00 $500,00 $1.000,00 $1.500,00 $2.000,00 $2.500,00 $3.000,00 $3.500,00 $4.000,00 $4.500,00 $5.000,00 June1995 July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May June Sales forecasted vs. actual Sales (forecasted) Sales (actual) Conclusion Has SureCut’s financial condition worsened enough to cause HN Bank any great concern?
  • 22. Conclusion Has SureCut’s financial condition worsened enough to cause HN Bank any great concern? Jan Feb Mar Cash 1.133 1.076 688 Acc receivable 3.958 3.169 2.867 Inventories 6.925 7.170 7.374 Current Assets 12.016 11.415 10.929 Net Plant 27.843 27.810 27.812 Total assets 39.859 39.225 38.741 Bank Loans Payable (plug) 1.376 778 1.256 Acc Payable 699 658 514 Taxes Payable 357 361 127- Misc. Other 266 260 258 Current Liabilities 2.698 2.057 1.901 Mortgage 8% 11.661 11.661 11.661 Common Stock 11.500 11.500 11.500 Earned Surplus 14.000 14.007 13.679 Total Liabilities, Net worth 39.859 39.225 38.741 1996 First Glance: CA outweigh CL Tempting conclusion that CA are sufficient to cover CL But: Majority of CA (ca. 70%) locked in inventory during economic downturn Majority of sales on A/R plus significant increase in inventory days cause problem for CCC Peak selling season is over and months with already low forecasts still lie ahead
  • 23. $0,00 $1.000,00 $2.000,00 $3.000,00 $4.000,00 $5.000,00 $6.000,00 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 June 1995 July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Acc. Receivable vs. Acc. Payable Acc. Payable Acc. Receivable Accounts Payable Days Accounts Receivable Days Conclusion Accounts Receivable vs. Accounts Payable
  • 24. Conclusion Has SureCut’s financial condition worsened enough to cause HN Bank any great concern? Jan Feb Mar Cash 1.133 1.076 688 Acc receivable 3.958 3.169 2.867 Inventories 6.925 7.170 7.374 Current Assets 12.016 11.415 10.929 Net Plant 27.843 27.810 27.812 Total assets 39.859 39.225 38.741 Bank Loans Payable (plug) 1.376 778 1.256 Acc Payable 699 658 514 Taxes Payable 357 361 127- Misc. Other 266 260 258 Current Liabilities 2.698 2.057 1.901 Mortgage 8% 11.661 11.661 11.661 Common Stock 11.500 11.500 11.500 Earned Surplus 14.000 14.007 13.679 Total Liabilities, Net worth 39.859 39.225 38.741 1996 First Glance: CA outweigh CL Tempting conclusion that CA are sufficient to cover CL But: Majority of CA (ca. 70%) locked in inventory during economic downturn Majority of sales on A/R , steady A/P & significant increase in inventory days cause CCC problems Peak selling season is over and months with already low forecasts still lie ahead
  • 25. Has SureCut’s financial condition worsened enough to cause HN Bank any great concern? Conclusion Outdating of Inventory How long can inventory be sold before it becomes outdated? Economic Downturn Foreseeable how long it will last? Efficiency Gains $6m investment in plant modernization Bad Debt Can total of $2.8m A/R be collected or will some have to be written off?
  • 26. Conclusion Has SureCut’s financial condition worsened enough to cause HN Bank any great concern? SureCut does still make sales  company needs to activate efficiencies it has invested in Potential  Liquidity bound in high inventories  Seasonal sales, but stable production  Thus, high assets in need of funds & high CCC  Decreasing sales in economic recession Issues Issues cause sufficient amount of concern to request more information on company accounts & forecasts Further Investigation
  • 27. Proposed Solutions DECREASE DAYS RECEIVABLE FIRE SALE IMPLEMENT “JIT” PRODUCTION STOP DIVIDEND PAYMENTS REDUCTION OF WORKFORCE A/P TERMS • Extend paying period to preserve cash • Negotiate discounts for early payments PUSH & NEGOTIATE A/P TERMS Should products become outdated soon, consider heavily discounted sale of inventory FIRE SALE Immediate halt of all quarterly dividend payments to shareholders STOP DIVIDEND PAYMENTS Strat collecting outstanding A/R more aggressively DECREASE DAYS RECEIVABLE Continue with reduction of workforce to lower variable costs REDUCTION OF WORKFROCE Start implementing Just In Time manufacturing to reduce inventory and start production closer to sales peaks IMPLEMENT JIT
  • 28. Shears Inc. SureCut Case Analysis Corporate Finance Master in Management, 2017 IE Business School