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Valuation Assignment 3

The Midland Case
Gulcin Askin
Michelle Donovan
Kivanc Ozuolmez
Peter Tempelman
Question I
How are Mortensen’s estimates of Midland’s cost of capital
                        used?
Answer I


• The Mortensen’s estimates are used for;
   • Asset appraisals for capital budgeting and financial
       accounting
   • performance assessments
   • M&A proposals
   • Stock repurchase decisions
At division or business unit level as well as Corporate
   level

Cost of capital is an essential component in WACC
   calculations.
Question II
 Calculate Midland’s overall corporate WACC. Is Midland’s
choice of EMRP appropriate? If not, what recommendations
                would you make and why?
Answer 2 - rD

• Mortensen computed the cost of dept for each division
  by adding a premium, or spread, over U.S. Treasury
  securities of a similar maturity.
• To find rD, we do not use CAPM but we use the interest
  rate that we currently pay on the new loans.
• Consolidated Spread to Treasury is given on Table 1 as
  1.62%

rD = 30 year yields to U.S Treasury bonds + Overall
  Consolidated Spread to Treasury
  rD = 4.98% + 1.62%
rD = 6.60%
Answer 2 - Tax


Tax rate is calculated based on the Exhibit 1 as average
over 2004, 2005 and 2006

The tax rate =
Midlands Income Taxes / Midland's Income Before Taxes

And the Average across 2004, 2005, 2006

The tax rate = 39%
Answer 2 - EMRP

•   However, based on the Exhibit 6, the traditional data showed
    aprox 6.0% EMRP, and the surveys showed lower EMRP (2.5% -
    4.7%), a research over the industry with help from outsiders,
    who has broader industry knowledge, would result a better and
    up-to-date EMRP for Midland.

•   Researches in consultation with its professional advisors,
    bankers and investors, as well as Wall Street analysts covering
    the industry agreed on the current estimate of 5.0%.

•   As the analysts on the industry, bankers and investors have
    broader information from different companies and corporates,
    we conclude that the approach of outside consulting and the
    result of 5.0% estimate is appropriate.
Answer 2 - rE


Researches in consultation with its professional advisors,
bankers and investors, Midland used 5.0% as its Equity
Market Risk Premium.

The corporate β is publicly available, and as it represents
corporate level β, we’ll use 1.25 as it is for Overall
Corporate WACC calculation.

rE = rf + β(EMRP)
rE = 4.98% + 1.25 (5%) = 11.23%
Answer 2 - Wacc




rE                11.23%
rD                 6.60%
tax rate             39%
D/E                59.3%
E                     100units
D                    59.3units
V                  159.3units
E/V           0.62774639
D/V           0.37225361

Corporate
Wacc              8.548%
Question III
  Should Midland use a single corporate hurdle rate for
evaluating investment opportunities in all of its divisions?
                   Why or why not?
Answer 3
• Midland, as a large enterprise, has diverse business units with different risks.
  In Exhibit 5, the Equity Beta represents the risk factor of those divisions.

• As the risk profiles are different per division, the hurdle rates for those
  divisions should also be different, and calculated based on the β of the
  division.

• Midland should not use single corporate hurdle rate as this will mislead
  evaluation of the investments, and will result on Midland invest on risky
  projects and will become risky a corporate by time.

• On the other hand, if Midland invests on corporate level, using corporate level
  Wacc would be OK.
• Which rate should be used when…
    • when buying computer for all staff, use corporate level Wacc
    • when investing a drilling project in Alaska, use Exploration & Production’s division hurdle
      rate.
Question IV
   Compute a separate cost of capital for the E&P and
Marketing & Refining divisions. What causes them to differ
                   from one another?
Answer 4 – E&P

rE = rf + β(EMRP)
rE = 4.98% + 1.15 (5%) = 10.73%

rD = rf + E&P Spread to Treasury
rD = 4.98% + 1.60% = 6.58%
  rE                10.73%
  rD                 6.58%
  tax rate             39%
  D/E                39.8%
  E                    100units
  D                    39.8units
  V                  139.8units
  E/V             0.715308
  D/V             0.284692

  Wacc for E&P      8.818%
Answer 4 – R&M

rE = rf + β(EMRP)
rE = 4.98% + 1.20 (5%) = 10.98%

rD = rf + R&M Spread to Treasury
rD = 4.98% + 1.80% = 6.78%
  rE                10.98%
  rD                 6.78%
  tax rate             39%
  D/E                20.3%
  E                    100units
  D                    20.3units
  V                  120.3units
  E/V             0.831255
  D/V             0.168745

  Wacc for E&P     9.825%
Answer 4

• The business units operate on different industries
  therefore;
   - they have different risk profiles and βs
   - they have different credit ratings


• As a result, the E&P and R&M have different Waccs
  (8.818% and 9.825% respectively)
Question V
How would you compute a cost of capital for the
          Petrochemical division?
Answer 5

• To calculate cost of capital for Petrochemical, we would
  search for couple of companies which focus only on
  Petrochemical industry. And use their fact sheet and get
  an average on their β and D/E ratio.

• In our team, none of us work in energy / oil /
  petrochemical industry and therefore our limited
  research didn’t return any sample companies we could
  use.

• For that reason; by using the data available on Exhibit 5,
  we decided to use arithmetic averages on D/E ratio and
  β to calculate cost of capital for Petrochemical division.
Answer 5

β=?
Corporate β = Average(E&P β, R&M β, Petrochemical β)
1.25 = Average(1.15, 1.20, Petrochemical β)
Petrochemical β = 1.40

rE = rf + β(EMRP)
rE = 4.98% + 1.40 (5%) = 11.98%


rD = rf +Petrochemical Spread to Treasury
rD = 4.98% + 1.35% = 6.33%
Answer 5

Corporate D/E = Average ( E&P D/E, R&M D/E,
Petrochemical D/E)
59.3% = Average(39.8%, 20.3%, Petrochemical D/E)
Petrochemical D/E = 117.8%

  rE                        11.98%
  rD                          6.33%
  tax rate                      39%
  D/E                        117.8%
  E                             100 units
  D                           117.8 units
  V                           217.8 units
  E/V                      0.459137
  D/V                      0.540863

  Wacc for Petrochemical    7.589%

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Midland Energy Resources, Inc. Cost of Capital

  • 1. Valuation Assignment 3 The Midland Case Gulcin Askin Michelle Donovan Kivanc Ozuolmez Peter Tempelman
  • 2. Question I How are Mortensen’s estimates of Midland’s cost of capital used?
  • 3. Answer I • The Mortensen’s estimates are used for; • Asset appraisals for capital budgeting and financial accounting • performance assessments • M&A proposals • Stock repurchase decisions At division or business unit level as well as Corporate level Cost of capital is an essential component in WACC calculations.
  • 4. Question II Calculate Midland’s overall corporate WACC. Is Midland’s choice of EMRP appropriate? If not, what recommendations would you make and why?
  • 5. Answer 2 - rD • Mortensen computed the cost of dept for each division by adding a premium, or spread, over U.S. Treasury securities of a similar maturity. • To find rD, we do not use CAPM but we use the interest rate that we currently pay on the new loans. • Consolidated Spread to Treasury is given on Table 1 as 1.62% rD = 30 year yields to U.S Treasury bonds + Overall Consolidated Spread to Treasury rD = 4.98% + 1.62% rD = 6.60%
  • 6. Answer 2 - Tax Tax rate is calculated based on the Exhibit 1 as average over 2004, 2005 and 2006 The tax rate = Midlands Income Taxes / Midland's Income Before Taxes And the Average across 2004, 2005, 2006 The tax rate = 39%
  • 7. Answer 2 - EMRP • However, based on the Exhibit 6, the traditional data showed aprox 6.0% EMRP, and the surveys showed lower EMRP (2.5% - 4.7%), a research over the industry with help from outsiders, who has broader industry knowledge, would result a better and up-to-date EMRP for Midland. • Researches in consultation with its professional advisors, bankers and investors, as well as Wall Street analysts covering the industry agreed on the current estimate of 5.0%. • As the analysts on the industry, bankers and investors have broader information from different companies and corporates, we conclude that the approach of outside consulting and the result of 5.0% estimate is appropriate.
  • 8. Answer 2 - rE Researches in consultation with its professional advisors, bankers and investors, Midland used 5.0% as its Equity Market Risk Premium. The corporate β is publicly available, and as it represents corporate level β, we’ll use 1.25 as it is for Overall Corporate WACC calculation. rE = rf + β(EMRP) rE = 4.98% + 1.25 (5%) = 11.23%
  • 9. Answer 2 - Wacc rE 11.23% rD 6.60% tax rate 39% D/E 59.3% E 100units D 59.3units V 159.3units E/V 0.62774639 D/V 0.37225361 Corporate Wacc 8.548%
  • 10. Question III Should Midland use a single corporate hurdle rate for evaluating investment opportunities in all of its divisions? Why or why not?
  • 11. Answer 3 • Midland, as a large enterprise, has diverse business units with different risks. In Exhibit 5, the Equity Beta represents the risk factor of those divisions. • As the risk profiles are different per division, the hurdle rates for those divisions should also be different, and calculated based on the β of the division. • Midland should not use single corporate hurdle rate as this will mislead evaluation of the investments, and will result on Midland invest on risky projects and will become risky a corporate by time. • On the other hand, if Midland invests on corporate level, using corporate level Wacc would be OK. • Which rate should be used when… • when buying computer for all staff, use corporate level Wacc • when investing a drilling project in Alaska, use Exploration & Production’s division hurdle rate.
  • 12. Question IV Compute a separate cost of capital for the E&P and Marketing & Refining divisions. What causes them to differ from one another?
  • 13. Answer 4 – E&P rE = rf + β(EMRP) rE = 4.98% + 1.15 (5%) = 10.73% rD = rf + E&P Spread to Treasury rD = 4.98% + 1.60% = 6.58% rE 10.73% rD 6.58% tax rate 39% D/E 39.8% E 100units D 39.8units V 139.8units E/V 0.715308 D/V 0.284692 Wacc for E&P 8.818%
  • 14. Answer 4 – R&M rE = rf + β(EMRP) rE = 4.98% + 1.20 (5%) = 10.98% rD = rf + R&M Spread to Treasury rD = 4.98% + 1.80% = 6.78% rE 10.98% rD 6.78% tax rate 39% D/E 20.3% E 100units D 20.3units V 120.3units E/V 0.831255 D/V 0.168745 Wacc for E&P 9.825%
  • 15. Answer 4 • The business units operate on different industries therefore; - they have different risk profiles and βs - they have different credit ratings • As a result, the E&P and R&M have different Waccs (8.818% and 9.825% respectively)
  • 16. Question V How would you compute a cost of capital for the Petrochemical division?
  • 17. Answer 5 • To calculate cost of capital for Petrochemical, we would search for couple of companies which focus only on Petrochemical industry. And use their fact sheet and get an average on their β and D/E ratio. • In our team, none of us work in energy / oil / petrochemical industry and therefore our limited research didn’t return any sample companies we could use. • For that reason; by using the data available on Exhibit 5, we decided to use arithmetic averages on D/E ratio and β to calculate cost of capital for Petrochemical division.
  • 18. Answer 5 β=? Corporate β = Average(E&P β, R&M β, Petrochemical β) 1.25 = Average(1.15, 1.20, Petrochemical β) Petrochemical β = 1.40 rE = rf + β(EMRP) rE = 4.98% + 1.40 (5%) = 11.98% rD = rf +Petrochemical Spread to Treasury rD = 4.98% + 1.35% = 6.33%
  • 19. Answer 5 Corporate D/E = Average ( E&P D/E, R&M D/E, Petrochemical D/E) 59.3% = Average(39.8%, 20.3%, Petrochemical D/E) Petrochemical D/E = 117.8% rE 11.98% rD 6.33% tax rate 39% D/E 117.8% E 100 units D 117.8 units V 217.8 units E/V 0.459137 D/V 0.540863 Wacc for Petrochemical 7.589%

Editor's Notes

  1. MBA Valuation Week 1