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DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
22 January 2016
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1
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Hotline: +91 731 664 2300
Alternate: +91 731 664 2320
Or give us a missed call at
026 5309 0639
Our Presence
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Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
TURMERIC
APR 8680 8712 8152 8230 -5.10 23015
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
8017
SUPP. 2
7805
PIVOT
8365
Turmeric short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
8577
RES. 2
8925
CORIANDER
APR 6610 6741 6471 6625 -1.38 5790
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
6484
SUPP. 2
6342
PIVOT
6612
Coriander short term
trend is bearish and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
6754
RES. 2
6882
GUARGUM
FEB 5840 5900 5690 5840 +0.17 12159
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
5720
SUPP. 2
5600
PIVOT
5810
Guargum short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
5930
RES. 2
6020
CASTORSEED
FEB 3425 3435 3361 3365 -1.95 57710
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
3339
SUPP. 2
3313
PIVOT
3387
Castorseed short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming day.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
3413
RES. 2
3461
Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED 3365 3432 -1.95
CHANA 4253 4275 -0.51
CORIANDER 6625 6718 -1.38
GUARGUM 5840 5830 +0.17
JEERA 13560 13720 -1.17
MUSTARD
SEED
4004 4053 -1.21
SOYABEAN 3762 3808 -1.21
TURMERIC 8230 8672 -5.10
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
TURMERIC 20-04-2016 8230.00 -400.00 -4.63%
CASTOR SEED NEW 19-02-2016 3365.00 -61.00 -1.78%
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE
AKOLA
19-02-2016 2038.00 -33.00 -1.59%
SOYABEAN 19-02-2016 3762.00 -47.00 -1.23%
RAPESEED-MUSTARD
SEED
20-04-2016 4004.00 -49.00 -1.21%
CORIANDER 20-04-2016 6625.00 -75.00 -1.12%
JEERA 18-03-2016 13560.00 -145.00 -1.06%
CHANA 20-04-2016 4253.00 -31.00 -0.72%
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE CHANGE %
BARLEY 20-04-2016 1428.50 18.50 1.31%
Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
The government must announce minimum support price (MSP) for
pulses in advance, create assured market for farmers and procure the entire
produce as it is done in the case of paddy and wheat, a parliamentary panel
has recommended to push the production of pulses in the country.In its last
meeting, members of the consultative committee on food and consumer
affairs also suggested the governmentannounce MSP before harvesting
starts and bring the supply of pulses to people under public distribution
system ( PDS), particularly to those living below poverty line (BPL).In its
last meeting, members of the consultative committee on food and consumer
affairs also suggested the government announce MSP before harvesting
starts and bring the supply of pulses to people under public distribution
system ( PDS), particularly to those living below poverty line (BPL).In
fact, the import of pulses in recent years has increased from 3 million tonne
to 5 million tonne. This is likely to go up as the sown area under pulses has
so far been 136.4 lakh hectares in comparison to 140 lakh hectares.In fact,
the import of pulses in recent years has increased from 3 million tonne to 5
million tonne. This is likely to go up as the sown area under pulses has so
far been 136.4 lakh hectares in comparison to 140 lakh hectares.A couple
of members of the parliamentary panel said unless there is an increase in
production, there is little hope of dal remaining affordable throughout the
year. "When we produce 80% of the world's total pulses how can we find a
solution to our problem by importing from other countries?" one of them
asked.Sources said some of the members of the parliamentary panel have
also suggested that government should reduce import of pulses and rather
spend the saved amount to provide aid to growers in the form of providing
seeds and fertiliser at cheaper rate. They have argued that the cost of
production has gone up in recent years.The members have also
recommended that procurement from farmers should be at market price.
Chana settled flat as prices recovered from lows on lower buying
support from millers and stockists as they were waiting for the actual
crop report. Moreover, return of winter and expectations of increased
supplies from imported chana weigh on prices. This year chana is sown
in 3.5 per cent higher acreage at 83.67 lakh tonnes (lt), compared with
80.84 lt last year, as per data release by Agriculture Ministry.The
acreage under chana reported higher in Maharashtra (14 lh Vs 10.6 lh),
Andhra Pradesh (3.32 lh Vs 2.67 lh) and Karnataka compared to last
year’s acreage but slightly lower in Rajasthan (12.35 lh Vs 12.56 lh)
and MP as per data released by respective state agriculture department.
India has imported 3.07 lt of Chana until September in the current
financial year. Meanwhile, India's pulses import during first half of this
fiscal rose 14.2% to 22.5 million ton due to fall in domestic output
caused by poor monsoon for the second successive years. During Apr-
Sep 2014, India imported 1.97 million ton pulses, government data
showed. Also, India's gram sowing stood at 7.51 million hectare as
compared to 7.29 million hectare same period a year ago.
Ref Soya oil settled down due to profit booking amid over supply
following higher imports data. As per latest SEA data, edible oils
import rose to 14.07 lt in December last year from 11.23 lt in
December 2014. However, imports of non-edible oils fell to 11,467
tonnes from 17,996 tonnes in the year-ago period. Earlier, the
Agriculture Ministry has proposed further hike in import duty of edible
oils by 5 per cent in a bid to protect the interest of farmers, but the
decision is still pending.The Ministry has proposed increase in import
duty on crude edible oils to 17.5 per cent and on refined edible oils to
25 per cent from the existing level. In order to curb imports and protect
domestic oilseeds farmers and processing mills, the government had in
September last year raised import duty on crude edible oils to 12.5 per
cent from 7.5 per cent, while the duty on refined edible oils was
increased to 20 per cent from 15 per cent.
5
Fundamental Watch : Castorseed
CASTORSEED PRICES AT KEY SPOT
MARKET
National Market Update
Castor seed cash market continued to reel under pressure despite good
export demand for oil from China, EU and other countries. This year arrival
started one month earlier with good volume and quality of seed is in better
shape and size. It indicates better yield from incoming crop. At peak arrival
time castor seed may trade below Rs 3000 per qtl.
India exported 21.71% higher castor oil to 6624.08 tonne during the week
ended 17th Jan-2016. Average FoB quote realized during the week is lower by
2.64% from previous week at $1308.28 per tonne. The gap between the
highest and the lowest quotes is higher. As prices of oil is ruling lower, so
export will continue with same pace ahead of good incoming crop. China
remains the major buyer for castor oil followed by Belgium.
Castor seed all India average price decreased by2.88 % to Rs 3259.52 per qtl
week on week basis. It was being traded at Rs 3356 .19 per qtl. during the
week ended 8th Jan-2016. More dip from current level is likely due to better
production prospects, increasing hope for early arrival and higher available
stock in private and public warehouses.
Agriculture statistics Division, DES has released its 1st Adv estimates of
Production of food-grains for 2015-16 on 16.09.2015.It has estimated 19.44
lakh tonne seed production this year. The production target for 2015-16 has
been fixed at 20.34 lakh ton. India has produced 19.63 lakh tonne castor seed
in 2014-15 as per revised 1st Adv estimate. Private trade estimate for the year
is much lower and is between 15 to 16 lakh tonne for 2015-16.However,it is
too early to talk about the final size as sowing is just over.
CENTER 19-Jan-15 18-Jan-15 Change
SUMERPUR 3200 3250 -50
PATAN 3350 3375 -25
MEHSANA 3300 3325 -25
BHABAR 3350 3360 -10
HARJI 3350 3400 -50
RAJKOT 3345 3285 +60
KADI 3425 3410 +15
Technical Outlook
6
SELL CORIANDER APR BELOW 6581 TARGET 6536 6386 SL
ABOVE 6646
SELL GUARGUM FEB BELOW 5880 TARGET 5830 5760 SL
ABOVE 5940
SELL TURMERIC APRIL BELOW 8150 TARGET 8106 8046 SL
ABOVE 8210
SELL CASTORSEED FEB BELOW 3360 TARGET 3335 3305 SL
ABOVE 3385
Disclaimer
 The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any
responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.
 Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and
up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.
 The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide
individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments
and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any
transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.
 The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all
estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the
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Epic research daily agri report 22 jan 2016

  • 1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT 22 January 2016 HNI & NRI Sales Contact Australia Mintara Road, Tarneit, Victoria. Post Code 3029 Phone.: +61 422 063855 HNI & NRI Sales Contact USA 2117 Arbor Vista Dr. Charlotte (NC) Cell: +1 704 249 2315 Toll Free Number 1-800-200-9454 All queries should be directed to Info@epicresearch.co 1 Epic Research India 411 Milinda Manor (Suites 409- 417) 2 RNT Marg. Opp Central Mall Indore (M.P.) Hotline: +91 731 664 2300 Alternate: +91 731 664 2320 Or give us a missed call at 026 5309 0639 Our Presence YOURMINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 2. Market Views 2 MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL TURMERIC APR 8680 8712 8152 8230 -5.10 23015 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 8017 SUPP. 2 7805 PIVOT 8365 Turmeric short term trend is bearish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 8577 RES. 2 8925 CORIANDER APR 6610 6741 6471 6625 -1.38 5790 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP.1 6484 SUPP. 2 6342 PIVOT 6612 Coriander short term trend is bearish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 6754 RES. 2 6882 GUARGUM FEB 5840 5900 5690 5840 +0.17 12159 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 5720 SUPP. 2 5600 PIVOT 5810 Guargum short term trend is bearish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 5930 RES. 2 6020 CASTORSEED FEB 3425 3435 3361 3365 -1.95 57710 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 3339 SUPP. 2 3313 PIVOT 3387 Castorseed short term trend is bearish and May continue in coming day.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 3413 RES. 2 3461
  • 3. Most Active Contract 3 NCDEX INDICES Index Value Pre. Close % Change CASTORSEED 3365 3432 -1.95 CHANA 4253 4275 -0.51 CORIANDER 6625 6718 -1.38 GUARGUM 5840 5830 +0.17 JEERA 13560 13720 -1.17 MUSTARD SEED 4004 4053 -1.21 SOYABEAN 3762 3808 -1.21 TURMERIC 8230 8672 -5.10 TOP LOSERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % TURMERIC 20-04-2016 8230.00 -400.00 -4.63% CASTOR SEED NEW 19-02-2016 3365.00 -61.00 -1.78% COTTON SEED OIL CAKE AKOLA 19-02-2016 2038.00 -33.00 -1.59% SOYABEAN 19-02-2016 3762.00 -47.00 -1.23% RAPESEED-MUSTARD SEED 20-04-2016 4004.00 -49.00 -1.21% CORIANDER 20-04-2016 6625.00 -75.00 -1.12% JEERA 18-03-2016 13560.00 -145.00 -1.06% CHANA 20-04-2016 4253.00 -31.00 -0.72% TOP GAINERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % BARLEY 20-04-2016 1428.50 18.50 1.31%
  • 4. Commodities In News 4 ECONOMIC NEWS The government must announce minimum support price (MSP) for pulses in advance, create assured market for farmers and procure the entire produce as it is done in the case of paddy and wheat, a parliamentary panel has recommended to push the production of pulses in the country.In its last meeting, members of the consultative committee on food and consumer affairs also suggested the governmentannounce MSP before harvesting starts and bring the supply of pulses to people under public distribution system ( PDS), particularly to those living below poverty line (BPL).In its last meeting, members of the consultative committee on food and consumer affairs also suggested the government announce MSP before harvesting starts and bring the supply of pulses to people under public distribution system ( PDS), particularly to those living below poverty line (BPL).In fact, the import of pulses in recent years has increased from 3 million tonne to 5 million tonne. This is likely to go up as the sown area under pulses has so far been 136.4 lakh hectares in comparison to 140 lakh hectares.In fact, the import of pulses in recent years has increased from 3 million tonne to 5 million tonne. This is likely to go up as the sown area under pulses has so far been 136.4 lakh hectares in comparison to 140 lakh hectares.A couple of members of the parliamentary panel said unless there is an increase in production, there is little hope of dal remaining affordable throughout the year. "When we produce 80% of the world's total pulses how can we find a solution to our problem by importing from other countries?" one of them asked.Sources said some of the members of the parliamentary panel have also suggested that government should reduce import of pulses and rather spend the saved amount to provide aid to growers in the form of providing seeds and fertiliser at cheaper rate. They have argued that the cost of production has gone up in recent years.The members have also recommended that procurement from farmers should be at market price. Chana settled flat as prices recovered from lows on lower buying support from millers and stockists as they were waiting for the actual crop report. Moreover, return of winter and expectations of increased supplies from imported chana weigh on prices. This year chana is sown in 3.5 per cent higher acreage at 83.67 lakh tonnes (lt), compared with 80.84 lt last year, as per data release by Agriculture Ministry.The acreage under chana reported higher in Maharashtra (14 lh Vs 10.6 lh), Andhra Pradesh (3.32 lh Vs 2.67 lh) and Karnataka compared to last year’s acreage but slightly lower in Rajasthan (12.35 lh Vs 12.56 lh) and MP as per data released by respective state agriculture department. India has imported 3.07 lt of Chana until September in the current financial year. Meanwhile, India's pulses import during first half of this fiscal rose 14.2% to 22.5 million ton due to fall in domestic output caused by poor monsoon for the second successive years. During Apr- Sep 2014, India imported 1.97 million ton pulses, government data showed. Also, India's gram sowing stood at 7.51 million hectare as compared to 7.29 million hectare same period a year ago. Ref Soya oil settled down due to profit booking amid over supply following higher imports data. As per latest SEA data, edible oils import rose to 14.07 lt in December last year from 11.23 lt in December 2014. However, imports of non-edible oils fell to 11,467 tonnes from 17,996 tonnes in the year-ago period. Earlier, the Agriculture Ministry has proposed further hike in import duty of edible oils by 5 per cent in a bid to protect the interest of farmers, but the decision is still pending.The Ministry has proposed increase in import duty on crude edible oils to 17.5 per cent and on refined edible oils to 25 per cent from the existing level. In order to curb imports and protect domestic oilseeds farmers and processing mills, the government had in September last year raised import duty on crude edible oils to 12.5 per cent from 7.5 per cent, while the duty on refined edible oils was increased to 20 per cent from 15 per cent.
  • 5. 5 Fundamental Watch : Castorseed CASTORSEED PRICES AT KEY SPOT MARKET National Market Update Castor seed cash market continued to reel under pressure despite good export demand for oil from China, EU and other countries. This year arrival started one month earlier with good volume and quality of seed is in better shape and size. It indicates better yield from incoming crop. At peak arrival time castor seed may trade below Rs 3000 per qtl. India exported 21.71% higher castor oil to 6624.08 tonne during the week ended 17th Jan-2016. Average FoB quote realized during the week is lower by 2.64% from previous week at $1308.28 per tonne. The gap between the highest and the lowest quotes is higher. As prices of oil is ruling lower, so export will continue with same pace ahead of good incoming crop. China remains the major buyer for castor oil followed by Belgium. Castor seed all India average price decreased by2.88 % to Rs 3259.52 per qtl week on week basis. It was being traded at Rs 3356 .19 per qtl. during the week ended 8th Jan-2016. More dip from current level is likely due to better production prospects, increasing hope for early arrival and higher available stock in private and public warehouses. Agriculture statistics Division, DES has released its 1st Adv estimates of Production of food-grains for 2015-16 on 16.09.2015.It has estimated 19.44 lakh tonne seed production this year. The production target for 2015-16 has been fixed at 20.34 lakh ton. India has produced 19.63 lakh tonne castor seed in 2014-15 as per revised 1st Adv estimate. Private trade estimate for the year is much lower and is between 15 to 16 lakh tonne for 2015-16.However,it is too early to talk about the final size as sowing is just over. CENTER 19-Jan-15 18-Jan-15 Change SUMERPUR 3200 3250 -50 PATAN 3350 3375 -25 MEHSANA 3300 3325 -25 BHABAR 3350 3360 -10 HARJI 3350 3400 -50 RAJKOT 3345 3285 +60 KADI 3425 3410 +15
  • 6. Technical Outlook 6 SELL CORIANDER APR BELOW 6581 TARGET 6536 6386 SL ABOVE 6646 SELL GUARGUM FEB BELOW 5880 TARGET 5830 5760 SL ABOVE 5940 SELL TURMERIC APRIL BELOW 8150 TARGET 8106 8046 SL ABOVE 8210 SELL CASTORSEED FEB BELOW 3360 TARGET 3335 3305 SL ABOVE 3385
  • 7. Disclaimer  The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.  Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.  The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.  The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved.  Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.  We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid Or Unpaid), Any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken.