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DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
22 March 2016
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Cell: +1 704 249 2315
Toll Free Number
1-800-200-9454
All queries should be directed to
Info@epicresearch.co
1
Epic Research India
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2 RNT Marg. Opp Central Mall
Indore (M.P.)
Hotline: +91 731 664 2300
Alternate: +91 731 664 2320
Or give us a missed call at
026 5309 0639
Our Presence
YOURMINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
TURMERIC
APR 8756 8976 8670 8890 +0.91 13705
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
8715
SUPP. 2
8539
PIVOT
8845
Turmeric short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
9021
RES. 2
9151
CORIANDER
APR 6466 6740 6466 6632 +1.34 6530
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
6485
SUPP. 2
6759
PIVOT
6613
Coriander short term
trend is bearish and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
6759
RES. 2
6887
GUARGUM
APR 5460 5670 5460 5630 +1.81 12528
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
5503
SUPP. 2
5377
PIVOT
5587
Guargum short term
trend is bullish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
5713
RES. 2
5797
CASTORSEED
- - - - - - -
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
-
SUPP. 2
-
PIVOT
-
-
RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
-
RES. 2
-
Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED - - -
CHANA 4366 4336 +0.69
CORIANDER 6632 6544 +1.34
GUARGUM 5630 5530 +1.81
JEERA 15335 14910 +2.85
MUSTARD
SEED
3959 3886 +1.88
SOYABEAN 3928 3777 +4.00
TURMERIC 8890 8810 +0.91
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
BARLEY 20-04-2016 1401.50 -38.50 -2.67%
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE
AKOLA
20-04-2016 2179.00 -13.00 -0.59%
CHANA 20-04-2016 4366.00 -14.00 -0.32%
CORIANDER 20-04-2016 6632.00 -8.00 -0.12%
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE CHANGE %
JEERA 20-04-2016 15335.00 685.00 4.68%
SOYABEAN 20-04-2016 3928.00 162.00 4.30%
RAPESEED-MUSTARD
SEED
20-04-2016 3959.00 49.00 1.25%
TURMERIC 20-04-2016 8890.00 44.00 0.50%
Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
India's sugar production till March 15 has been recorded lower than the
corresponding period of previous year.The sugar production is expected to
be 9% lower than the actual production of 283 lac tons of sugar of last
year.The sugar production of current season was higher than last year's
corresponding period till a few days ago.Industry body Indian Sugar Mills
Association (ISMA) confirmed that the sugar production in the current year
has actually started trailing behind last year's production, indicating that the
total production will be much less than the previous year. An ISMA release
stated: "At the same time last year, 473 sugar mills were under operation.
In the balance period of the last year's season after March 16, around 62
lakh tonnes of sugar was produced. As compared to that, 325 sugar mills
are under operation. In the balance period of the last year's season after
March 16, around 62 lakh tonnes of sugar was produced. As compared to
that, 325 sugar mills are under operation in the current sugar season, which
is lower by 148 numbers of sugar mills. Therefore, as is the expectation,
the current year's sugar production will be around 9% lower than the actual
production of 283 lakh tonne of sugar of last year.""The trend indicates a
shorter tail of crushing and sugar production this year, as compared to last
sugar season, and therefore resulting in the lower estimated sugar
production in the current season in comparison to the previous one," it
added. The sugar mills in the country have produced 221.30 lakh tonnes of
sugar during the current season upto March 15, 2016. This is slightly lower
than last season's sugar production upto the corresponding period of 221.57
lakh tonnes.As on March 15, 2016, 325 sugar mills were still under
operation, which were 473 mills last year at the same time. 189 sugar mills
in the country have already closed their operations, out of which 31 are in
U.P, 91 in Maharashtra, 36 in Karnataka, 10 mills in Bihar and remaining
in other States like Gujarat, A.P & Telangana, Uttarakhand etc.Maharashtra
sugar mills have produced 76.77 lakh tonnes of sugar as against 84.07 lakh
tonnes last year upto March 15, 2015. As compared to 168 sugar mills,
which were still crushing sugarcane last season, 86 sugar mills continue to
crush sugarcane in this season now.
Chana on NCDEX settled up driven by pick-up in demand at the spot
market amid forecast of unseasonal rains in North and Central India.
Further, expectations of lower production due to unseasonal rains in
North and Central India too supported chana prices uptrend. Food
minister told that this year for filling the gap between demand and
supply centre has to import around 6.5 million tons of pulses.According
to sources, new harvested crop along with imported pulses will lead to
chana prices down in coming days. Due to stock limit traders are not
able to buy more pulses due to which it is expected that in coming days
supply will be more in comparison to demand which may cool down
the pulses price. Imported chana has also hit the markets this month and
traders & stockists are buying up to their respective stock limits for the
new season crop. India has imported 5.79 lt of Chana until December
in the current financial year.In December, country imported over 2 lt of
chana which is a record. In the second advance estimate for 2015-16,
government forecasted 8.09 mt of chana this year, which is more than
production estimated last year (7.17 mt). Earlier there are reports of
damage for chana in Maharashtra due to hailstorm.
Turmeric on NCDEX settled down on profit booking after prices
gained amid expectation of better demand from upcountry buyers. New
season crop has hit the markets but majority of arrivals are of medium
quality turmeric. There are reports of production concern due to
drought in Maharashtra and AP. As per dept of commerce data,
turmeric exports until Dec 2015 pegged at 64,100 tonnes while the
export for the 2014-15 is 90,738 tonnes compared to 78,360 tonnes in
FY14. As on latest sowing data, turmeric sowing in AP, Telangana is
lower than the normal sowing.Moreover, some traders were holding
back their produce expecting a good price. Around 10,000 bags of
turmeric arrived for sale including 4,000 bags of new turmeric. The
price of the hybrid finger variety was up Rs.300 a quintal while the
local finger and root variety turmeric were up Rs.200 and Rs.150
respectively.
5
Fundamental Watch : Sugar
SUGAR PRICES AT KEY SPOT MARKETNational Market Update
Andhra Pradesh & Telangana together produced 7.47 lakh tons of sugar in
2015-16 (01st Oct, 2015 – 15th Mar, 2016) while Tamil Nadu produced 6.8
lakh tons of sugar during the same interval.
Gujarat, Bihar, Punjab and Haryana had produced 10.25 lakh tons, 4.94 lakh
tons, 4.9 lakh tons and 4.2 lakh tons of sugar in 2015-16 (01st Oct, 2015 –
15th Mar, 2016).
India had produced 221.30 lakh tons of sugar in 2015-16 (01st Oct, 2015 –
15th Mar, 2016) which was 0.12% lower than the sugar produced last year
during the corresponding period.
Sugar production fell by 8.68% in Maharashtra which produced 76.77 lakh
tons of sugar in 2015-16 (01st Oct, 2015 – 15th Mar, 2016) compared to 84.07
lakh tons of sugar in 2014-15 (01st Oct, 2014 – 15th Mar, 2015).
85 sugar mills in U.P had produced 60.82 lakh tons of sugar in 2015-16 (01st
Oct, 2015 – 15th Mar, 2016) which was 8.12% higher than the production
made last year during the corresponding period.
Sugar production in Karnataka rose by 2.08% as the state produced 38.79
lakh tons of sugar in 2015-16 (01st Oct, 2015 – 15th Mar, 2016) compared to
38 lakh tons of production made in 2014-15 (01st Oct, 2014 – 15th Mar,
2015).
CENTER 21-Mar-15 19-Mar-15 Change
DELHI 3445 3445 UNCH
MUMBAI 3470 3470 UNCH
VIJAYWADA 3630 3600 +30
NAGPUR NR NR -
CHENNAI 3150 3100 +50
AMBIKAPUR 3025 3025 UNCH
DHAMPUR 3170 3185 -15
Technical Outlook
6
SELL CORIANDER APR BELOW 6620 TARGET 6575 6425 SL
ABOVE 6685
BUY GUARGUM APRIL ABOVE 5670 TARGET 5720 5790 SL
BELOW 5610
SELL TURMERIC APRIL BELOW 8790 TARGET 8746 8686 SL
ABOVE 8850
Disclaimer
 The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any
responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.
 Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and
up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.
 The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide
individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments
and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any
transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.
 The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all
estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the
stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any
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Epic research daily agri report 22nd march 2016

  • 1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT 22 March 2016 HNI & NRI Sales Contact Australia Mintara Road, Tarneit, Victoria. Post Code 3029 Phone.: +61 422 063855 HNI & NRI Sales Contact USA 2117 Arbor Vista Dr. Charlotte (NC) Cell: +1 704 249 2315 Toll Free Number 1-800-200-9454 All queries should be directed to Info@epicresearch.co 1 Epic Research India 411 Milinda Manor (Suites 409- 417) 2 RNT Marg. Opp Central Mall Indore (M.P.) Hotline: +91 731 664 2300 Alternate: +91 731 664 2320 Or give us a missed call at 026 5309 0639 Our Presence YOURMINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 2. Market Views 2 MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL TURMERIC APR 8756 8976 8670 8890 +0.91 13705 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 8715 SUPP. 2 8539 PIVOT 8845 Turmeric short term trend is bearish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 9021 RES. 2 9151 CORIANDER APR 6466 6740 6466 6632 +1.34 6530 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP.1 6485 SUPP. 2 6759 PIVOT 6613 Coriander short term trend is bearish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 6759 RES. 2 6887 GUARGUM APR 5460 5670 5460 5630 +1.81 12528 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 5503 SUPP. 2 5377 PIVOT 5587 Guargum short term trend is bullish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 5713 RES. 2 5797 CASTORSEED - - - - - - - INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 - SUPP. 2 - PIVOT - - RESISTAN CE RES. 1 - RES. 2 -
  • 3. Most Active Contract 3 NCDEX INDICES Index Value Pre. Close % Change CASTORSEED - - - CHANA 4366 4336 +0.69 CORIANDER 6632 6544 +1.34 GUARGUM 5630 5530 +1.81 JEERA 15335 14910 +2.85 MUSTARD SEED 3959 3886 +1.88 SOYABEAN 3928 3777 +4.00 TURMERIC 8890 8810 +0.91 TOP LOSERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % BARLEY 20-04-2016 1401.50 -38.50 -2.67% COTTON SEED OIL CAKE AKOLA 20-04-2016 2179.00 -13.00 -0.59% CHANA 20-04-2016 4366.00 -14.00 -0.32% CORIANDER 20-04-2016 6632.00 -8.00 -0.12% TOP GAINERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % JEERA 20-04-2016 15335.00 685.00 4.68% SOYABEAN 20-04-2016 3928.00 162.00 4.30% RAPESEED-MUSTARD SEED 20-04-2016 3959.00 49.00 1.25% TURMERIC 20-04-2016 8890.00 44.00 0.50%
  • 4. Commodities In News 4 ECONOMIC NEWS India's sugar production till March 15 has been recorded lower than the corresponding period of previous year.The sugar production is expected to be 9% lower than the actual production of 283 lac tons of sugar of last year.The sugar production of current season was higher than last year's corresponding period till a few days ago.Industry body Indian Sugar Mills Association (ISMA) confirmed that the sugar production in the current year has actually started trailing behind last year's production, indicating that the total production will be much less than the previous year. An ISMA release stated: "At the same time last year, 473 sugar mills were under operation. In the balance period of the last year's season after March 16, around 62 lakh tonnes of sugar was produced. As compared to that, 325 sugar mills are under operation. In the balance period of the last year's season after March 16, around 62 lakh tonnes of sugar was produced. As compared to that, 325 sugar mills are under operation in the current sugar season, which is lower by 148 numbers of sugar mills. Therefore, as is the expectation, the current year's sugar production will be around 9% lower than the actual production of 283 lakh tonne of sugar of last year.""The trend indicates a shorter tail of crushing and sugar production this year, as compared to last sugar season, and therefore resulting in the lower estimated sugar production in the current season in comparison to the previous one," it added. The sugar mills in the country have produced 221.30 lakh tonnes of sugar during the current season upto March 15, 2016. This is slightly lower than last season's sugar production upto the corresponding period of 221.57 lakh tonnes.As on March 15, 2016, 325 sugar mills were still under operation, which were 473 mills last year at the same time. 189 sugar mills in the country have already closed their operations, out of which 31 are in U.P, 91 in Maharashtra, 36 in Karnataka, 10 mills in Bihar and remaining in other States like Gujarat, A.P & Telangana, Uttarakhand etc.Maharashtra sugar mills have produced 76.77 lakh tonnes of sugar as against 84.07 lakh tonnes last year upto March 15, 2015. As compared to 168 sugar mills, which were still crushing sugarcane last season, 86 sugar mills continue to crush sugarcane in this season now. Chana on NCDEX settled up driven by pick-up in demand at the spot market amid forecast of unseasonal rains in North and Central India. Further, expectations of lower production due to unseasonal rains in North and Central India too supported chana prices uptrend. Food minister told that this year for filling the gap between demand and supply centre has to import around 6.5 million tons of pulses.According to sources, new harvested crop along with imported pulses will lead to chana prices down in coming days. Due to stock limit traders are not able to buy more pulses due to which it is expected that in coming days supply will be more in comparison to demand which may cool down the pulses price. Imported chana has also hit the markets this month and traders & stockists are buying up to their respective stock limits for the new season crop. India has imported 5.79 lt of Chana until December in the current financial year.In December, country imported over 2 lt of chana which is a record. In the second advance estimate for 2015-16, government forecasted 8.09 mt of chana this year, which is more than production estimated last year (7.17 mt). Earlier there are reports of damage for chana in Maharashtra due to hailstorm. Turmeric on NCDEX settled down on profit booking after prices gained amid expectation of better demand from upcountry buyers. New season crop has hit the markets but majority of arrivals are of medium quality turmeric. There are reports of production concern due to drought in Maharashtra and AP. As per dept of commerce data, turmeric exports until Dec 2015 pegged at 64,100 tonnes while the export for the 2014-15 is 90,738 tonnes compared to 78,360 tonnes in FY14. As on latest sowing data, turmeric sowing in AP, Telangana is lower than the normal sowing.Moreover, some traders were holding back their produce expecting a good price. Around 10,000 bags of turmeric arrived for sale including 4,000 bags of new turmeric. The price of the hybrid finger variety was up Rs.300 a quintal while the local finger and root variety turmeric were up Rs.200 and Rs.150 respectively.
  • 5. 5 Fundamental Watch : Sugar SUGAR PRICES AT KEY SPOT MARKETNational Market Update Andhra Pradesh & Telangana together produced 7.47 lakh tons of sugar in 2015-16 (01st Oct, 2015 – 15th Mar, 2016) while Tamil Nadu produced 6.8 lakh tons of sugar during the same interval. Gujarat, Bihar, Punjab and Haryana had produced 10.25 lakh tons, 4.94 lakh tons, 4.9 lakh tons and 4.2 lakh tons of sugar in 2015-16 (01st Oct, 2015 – 15th Mar, 2016). India had produced 221.30 lakh tons of sugar in 2015-16 (01st Oct, 2015 – 15th Mar, 2016) which was 0.12% lower than the sugar produced last year during the corresponding period. Sugar production fell by 8.68% in Maharashtra which produced 76.77 lakh tons of sugar in 2015-16 (01st Oct, 2015 – 15th Mar, 2016) compared to 84.07 lakh tons of sugar in 2014-15 (01st Oct, 2014 – 15th Mar, 2015). 85 sugar mills in U.P had produced 60.82 lakh tons of sugar in 2015-16 (01st Oct, 2015 – 15th Mar, 2016) which was 8.12% higher than the production made last year during the corresponding period. Sugar production in Karnataka rose by 2.08% as the state produced 38.79 lakh tons of sugar in 2015-16 (01st Oct, 2015 – 15th Mar, 2016) compared to 38 lakh tons of production made in 2014-15 (01st Oct, 2014 – 15th Mar, 2015). CENTER 21-Mar-15 19-Mar-15 Change DELHI 3445 3445 UNCH MUMBAI 3470 3470 UNCH VIJAYWADA 3630 3600 +30 NAGPUR NR NR - CHENNAI 3150 3100 +50 AMBIKAPUR 3025 3025 UNCH DHAMPUR 3170 3185 -15
  • 6. Technical Outlook 6 SELL CORIANDER APR BELOW 6620 TARGET 6575 6425 SL ABOVE 6685 BUY GUARGUM APRIL ABOVE 5670 TARGET 5720 5790 SL BELOW 5610 SELL TURMERIC APRIL BELOW 8790 TARGET 8746 8686 SL ABOVE 8850
  • 7. Disclaimer  The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.  Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.  The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.  The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved.  Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.  We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid Or Unpaid), Any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken.