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Ga discussion,
1. The concept in the study is positioning the nation’s largest
auto insurer, State Farm, as the most safety-conscious insurer
by providing funds for communities to further research their
dangerous intersections and initiate improvement based on the
research. The constructs in the study are:
· Granting $20,000 to every city with a dangerous intersection
on the overall list to defray the cost of a comprehensive traffic
engineering study of the intersection.
· Granting $100,000 to each city named to the national top 10
dangerous intersection list to defray some of the cost of making
improvements.
Sabirov states, “… a concept is a complex of views on
something phenomena related to each other and forming an
interconnected system; it is a certain way of understanding,
interpreting any phenomena in some field” (2021, p. 7).
2. A hypothesis that might drive the research of one of the cities
on the top 10 dangerous intersection list is the number of fatal
incidents that have occurred at the intersection. “The
formulation of a hypothesis provides a study with focus. It tells
what specific aspects of a research problem to investigate, what
data to be collected, and what not are to be collected, thereby
providing focus are to be the study. As it provides a focus, the
construction of a hypothesis enhances objectivity in a study”
(Pawar, 2019, p. 3).
3. State Farm’s research uses a multiple-methodology design.
Data is collected from State Farm’s databases and internal
incident reports, and information is gathered from the industry
market share. Čančer explains that a multi-methodology, “…
uses more than one quantitative and/or qualitative method or
methodology in tackling some real-world problem” (2017, p. 3).
4. If I were representing State Farm and was given the task of
reviewing feedback from the transportation engineers, I would
listen to what is being said without any prejudgments. Their
concerns would be acknowledged and given a chance to be
considered. “… feedback is defined as “perspectives, feelings,
and opinions individuals have about their experiences with an
organization, product, or service that are used to inform and
improve the practice and decision-making of that organization”
(Nolan, 2019, p. 2). The first concern of the transportation
engineers is the demand for immediate solutions. It would be
addressed by stating that the purpose of this study is to improve
dangerous intersections. It is a process that cannot be rushed,
and an immediate solution would be given when research is
finished. The transportation engineers’ second concern of
accidents with injuries and deaths to be given more attention is
understandable and would be considered for research. “It is the
glory of God to conceal a thing: but the honour of kings is to
search out a matter” (King James Bible, 2017, Proverbs 25:2).
5. Traffic volume counts would be part of the 2003 study. Some
jurisdictions were upset that it wasn’t initially included in the
study. An engineer’s expert opinion is appreciated in this study.
Traffic volume must have a relationship with dangerous
intersections, as well as the accident rate data that was also
requested. It was noted that traffic volume is needed for the
accident rate. After measuring and comparing traffic volume to
accidents at a dangerous intersection, accident rates can be used
as a variable for the accidents that occur at dangerous
intersections.
Other concerns that should be considered in the 2003
study is the weather and the driver’s condition as variables. The
weather may have a random occurrence but is still a factor to
consider as the cause of an accident. The condition of the driver
can also be a valid reason because an intersection could have
been designed properly. The driver could be at fault for
negligence. They could be driving while intoxicated, driving
while holding a cellphone, or driving without prescription
glasses. “While most people are aware that intoxicated driving
means operating a vehicle under the influence of alcohol or
drugs, distracted driving may be a less familiar term. NHTSA
identifies distracted driving as "any non-driving activity a
person engages in while operating a motor vehicle." This
includes the driver physically, visually, or mentally focusing on
something other than driving, as well as factors like fatigue or a
driver's physical and emotional state” (The cars of the future are
headed to your courtroom, 2020, p. 1). NHTSA stands for, The
National Highway Traffic Safety Administration.
If I were State Farm, it might not make a huge
difference, but I would be concerned about this study being bad
for business. An investment is being made to gain the position
of the most safety-conscious insurer, by lowering accidents at
dangerous intersections. We sell insurance to cover damages
from accidents. It is possible to attract new clients with the
gained reputation. We can also lose existing customers and
potential customers due to lowered accidents.
Business Research Methods, 14e/Schindler
1
>cases
State Farm, the nation’s largest auto insurer, distributed a list of
the 10 most
dangerous intersections in the United States based on crashes
resulting in claims
by its policyholders. What started as a study to reduce risk
turned into an ongoing
study that directs a major public relations effort: State Farm
provides funds for
communities to further research their dangerous intersections
and initiate improve-
ments based on the research. This case tells you how the State
Farm Dangerous
Intersections initiative got started and how it is done.
www.statefarm.com
>Abstract
>The Scenario
State Farm Insurance has a rich history of proactive safety
involvement in auto and
appliance design to reduce injury and property loss. In June
2001, State Farm
Insurance, Inc., released the second report in its Dangerous
Intersection reporting
series. State Farm modeled its program after an initiative by the
Insurance Corporation
of British Columbia, Canada (ICBC), and the American
Automobile Association of
Michigan (AAA) to help position the nation’s largest auto
insurer as the most safety-
conscious insurer. ICBC had patterned its program on an earlier
effort in Victoria,
Australia. AAA, in turn, benchmarked its program on the ICBC
program. AAA
invited State Farm to help fund one of its intersection studies.
State Farm saw this as
an opportunity to expand its effort into a nationwide campaign
in 1999. “The 2001
study is part of a larger effort focused on loss prevention and
improving the safety of
intersections around the U.S.A.,” shared State Farm research
engineer John
Nepomuceno. State Farm has allocated significant resources as
well as funds to the
initiative. Since its inception, every city with an intersection on
the overall list of
dangerous intersections is eligible to apply for a $20,000 grant
to defray the cost of
a comprehensive traffic engineering study of the intersection.
Additionally, each city
named to the national top 10 dangerous intersection list is
eligible for a grant of
$100,000 per intersection to defray some of the cost of making
improvements. All
totaled, State Farm offered $4.44 million to the safety initiative
in its first year.
Due to its large market share, State Farm is the only U.S.
insurer in a position to
mine its databases for the requisite information on accidents to
come up with a
viable U.S. list. But it found that although it had the interest to
do so, its data warehouse
did not have sufficient information to tally accident rates for
intersections. To rectify
this, in 1998 State Farm included a location field as part of the
data that its claims
adjusters regularly complete. This location information, in
open-text format, indicates
whether the accident took place in an intersection or as part of
an incident related to
an intersection accident, and identifies the intersection.
Following the 1999 study,
the fields for identifying intersections were further refined.
In the first study using 1998 data (reported in June 1999) as
well as the 2001
State Farm:
Dangerous Intersections
Used with permission of
Pamela S. Schindler
©2001.
Business Research Methods, 14e/Schindler
2
study, State Farm looked at accidents involving only
intersecting roads. They
excluded any accident that occurred at the intersection of a road
and a highway
access or egress ramp. State Farm also looked only at acci dents
where the State
Farm–insured driver was at fault.
Because of the study’s focus on road safety engineering, the
first study ignored
accident severity and made no attempt to isolate demographic
(age or gender of
driver, driving record, etc.) or geographic (weather conditions,
population of area,
etc.) factors related to the accident. It also looked only at State
Farm’s own internal
incident reports, not at any public records involving traffic
patterns or volume or
police incident reports. Based on industry market share
information, State Farm
was able to estimate the total number of crashes at a given
intersection. “There was
good reason to exclude police reports and traffic counts,”
explained Nepomuceno.
“The reporting threshold for police filing reports on accidents
differs widely from
jurisdiction to jurisdiction. Some will only fill out reports when
personal injury or
criminal behavior is involved. Others will fill them out only
when a vehicle is damaged
to the degree that it needs to be towed from the scene. Still
others fill out such
reports on every incident. Traffic volume reports are often
prepared infrequently
and often by independent sources. Not only may the data quality
be questionable,
but the time period in which the data was collected may not
match our 1998 incident
reports in every city involved. Also, when traffic volumes are
factored in, low volume
roads with relatively few crashes are often deprioritized. Now
that we’re through
with the 2001 study, we are asking ourselves if intersectio n
volume should be factored
in, and if so, how it can be included without significantly
increasing our effort in data
processing.”
In the 1998 study, State Farm identified 172 dangerous
intersections. The top
10 most dangerous intersections in the United States were
released publicly
(www.statefarm. com). Public affairs staff for each state could
request that up to 10
intersections be identified for their state. “This was usually
determined by the resources
that our local public affairs staff were willing to put toward the
program,” shared
Nepomuceno. “Each state had to recognize a top 10 national
intersection, but they
could request that no more be released or that up to 10
intersections within their
state be released.” As of August 2001, 97 cities (56.4 percent)
had applied for
State Farm grants.
“While some in the media claimed we had ‘hit a home run’ with
the program, we
quickly learned that there was a lot more at stake than we had
anticipated in generating
goodwill with transportation engineers,” indicated Nepomuceno.
“This is, after all, a
traffic safety program and we would not achieve that goal
without having the
cooperation of the traffic and transportation engineering
community. First, while
initially they lauded us for the attention our listing brought to
traffic concerns, we and
they soon discovered that the spotlight generated demand for
immediate solutions,
solutions that they often didn’t have budgets to implement.
Also, from their
perspective, not all accidents are the same; locations with
accidents that result in
injuries and death should be given more attention. Some
jurisdictions were upset
that we didn’t consider intersection volume and we didn’t
include accident rate
data.1 The fact that the State Farm grants were intended to
study the intersection
State Farm: Dangerous Intersections
Business Research Methods, 14e/Schindler
3
more completely wasn’t always seen as a solution to their
immediate problems.”
To include accident severity, State Farm needed a measurement
system for
classifying accidents. For the 2001 study, which used 1999 and
2000 accident data,
State Farm calculated a median property damage accident
payout (approximately
$1,700). Incidents requiring payout of more than the median
amount were classified
as “high severity”; those requiring less, “low severity.”
Additionally, State Farm chose
to classify each accident using a multipoint scale. Zero was
assigned to “no property
damage, no personal injury” incidents and a higher number was
assigned to “High
property damage, personal injury” incidents, with numbers in
between assigned to
levels of property damage and personal injury (see Exhibit SF
1–1). Accident scores
were summed to create an aggregate danger index for each
intersection. Each
intersection was then weighted by dividing the danger index by
State Farm’s market
share in the area. Of the 224 intersections identified, the top 10
were released to the
national media. Each of those 224 is now eligible for the
$20,000 grant to study the
intersection to identify specific improvements; the top 10 are
also eligible for $100,000
grants for improvements. In this second round, State Farm has
committed $5.48
million to the safety program.
State Farm is making plans to track the success of the
Dangerous Intersection
program. Once cities notify them of the completion of an
intersection’s improvements,
State Farm will start tracking accidents for that intersection for
a period of one year.
The first post-improvement evaluation study is expected in
2002. Additionally, State
Farm is taking steps to learn from the characteristics of the
dangerous intersections.
Each grant application for an affected city’s study of a
dangerous intersection must
include:
• Collection and analysis of police report data.
• An engineer’s “geometric review”2of the intersection.
• A capacity profile of the intersection.
• A traffic conflict study.3
• A benefit-cost analysis.
• A schedule of improvements (short-term, intermediate-term,
and long-term).4
State Farm plans to use the new data to identify patterns of
problems. This may
lead to a model of desired intersection traits against which
improvement plans can
be assessed, further increasing the effectiveness of the loss
prevention program and
making life a little easier for the transportation engineers with
whom they must partner
to achieve safety success.
Exhibit SF 1–1 Danger Codes
No Personal Injury With Personal Injury
No property damage 0 Y
Low property damage 1 1 + Y
High property damage X X + Y
State Farm: Dangerous Intersections
Business Research Methods, 14e/Schindler
4
1 Identify the various constructs and concepts involved in the
study.
2 What hypothesis might drive the research of one of the cities
on the top 10
dangerous intersection list?
3 Evaluate the methodology for State Farm’s research.
4 If you were State Farm, how would you address the concerns
of transpor-
tation engineers?
5 If you were State Farm, would you use traffic volume counts
as part of the
2003 study? What concerns, other than those expressed by
Nepomuceno,
do you have?
>>>>>Discussion
>>>>>Sources
>Notes
1 Accident rate is calculated by dividing the number of
accidents in a given period by the total
traffic volume over the same period.
2 The intersection geometry or physical layout of the
intersection can play an important role
in influencing driver behavior at intersections. For example, a
curve on the approach to an
intersection may impede the sight distance to a traffic signal,
preventing drivers from
stopping in time. Or, a driver approaching two signalized
intersections very closely spaced
may see the traffic signals at both intersections and become
confused about which traffic
signal to obey.
3 A traffic conflict study is an observation study of traffic
conflicts that do not necessarily
end in an accident but have the potential to do so. Recording
and studying observations of
driver behavior is expected to help traffic engineers understand
the same problems that
result in collisions. Some examples of conflicts are the sound of
sharply applied breaks;
sudden, unsignaled lane changes; or drivers hitting their horns.
4 Short-term improvements might include sign changes, changes
in lane markings, or signal-
timing changes. Most short-term improvements can be
implemented in less than two years.
Intermediate-term improvements might involve lane widening,
the addition of turn lanes,
etc., and be accomplished within 2–5 years. Examples of long-
term improvements include
grade separation of the intersecting roads and can take 5–10
years to implement.
This case is based on information provided by John
Nepomuceno in interviews that took
place on August 9, 2001, and September 13, 2001. Other
sources include: “Miami Area Intersection
Tops State Farm List of Most Dangerous in the United States,”
State Farm press release, June
27, 2001 (http://www.statefarm.
com/media/release/danger00.htm); “Research” (http://
www.statefarm.com/media/methods.htm); and “State Farm 1999
Dangerous Intersection National
Status List” (http://www.statefarm.com/media/statustop.htm);
and “State Farm’s Dangerous
Intersection Initiative,” Institute of Transportation Engineers
press release, June 27, 2001
(http://www.ite.org/press_release.htm).
State Farm: Dangerous Intersections
Mi discussion
1. Identify the various constructs and concepts involved in the
study.
The various concepts involved in the study include the cause of
the accidents, and also the feedback that is being received from
several reports. State Farm then uses these concepts to
clarify/understand the dangerous intersections. In addi tion, the
concepts in this study included the characteristics of the crashes
that occurred at the intersection as well. Some of the
characteristics that State Farm included were the traffic that
went through the intersection, the severity of the crashes, and
whom the drivers were ensured by.
In this study, State Farm focused only on the driver that they
covered. This was to avoid any claims being filed against them,
and also because they care about the dangerous intersection
accidents that were affecting the safety of their consumers. The
dangerous intersection provided State Farm with a report of the
accidents caused by the intersection, as they made a conscious
effort to prevent more crashes through the improvement of the
safer intersections in the United States. In the study, we see that
cities with the highest number of dangerous intersections, also
lead to a higher rate of accidents. Grants worth $100,000 were
given to cities with the most dangerous intersection accidents.
The research focuses on road safety engineering, criminal
behavior, and traffic volume as well. The physical layout of the
road is also very crucial to shaping the driver’s behavior during
the intersections (Schindler, 2022).
2. What hypothesis might drive the research of one of the ci ties
on the top 10 dangerous intersection list?
Hypothesis testing is used to test claims about population
parameters based on sample data (Harrison, 2019). The
hypothesis that might drive the research of one of the city's top
10 dangerous intersections list should be focused on the gross
misconduct of the drivers, and how traffic conflicts due to high
traffic volume led to the dangerous intersection. In addition, the
different hypotheses that we could develop from this research
would be created with the general research topic as well as
expected results. In this situation, the cities of the top ten
dangerous intersection list would need research on how to
reduce the number of crashes in that particular intersection.
Also, the hypothesis in this study will be focused on figuring
out the main causes of the crashes as well. As I focused on this,
I was reminded of Proverbs 19:2 which states “Desire without
knowledge is not good, and whoever makes haste with his feet
misses his way” (ESV). This relates to hypothesis testing
because researchers need to thoroughly evaluate the issue and
then implement effective measures to address the issue. This
takes time, and no hasty decision equals a successful result in
this scenario.
3. Evaluate the methodology for State Farm’s research.
In evaluating the methodology for State Farm’s research, I see
that the methodology involves a collection of data from police
reports, the study of traffic, benefit-cost analysis, and capacity
profile of intersection. In addition, the choice of sampling and
ranking the ten dangerous intersection lists lead to more
effective and realistic findings. According to Crundwell,
Sorting and categorizing the accident rates as well as traffic
volume was beneficial in helping implement both short-term and
long-term improvements.
The methodology for this research was vital in drawing patterns
on issues leading to the intersection characteristics. This led to
the improvement of efficiently handling loss prevention
programs for the road sector. Unfortunately, the danger codes
were narrowed down and focused on property damages/personal
injuries. I believe that if the methodology had included a
regression analysis on the property loss, and loss of lives then it
would have displayed more substantial numbers on how
dangerous the intersection truly was.
4. If you were State Farm, how would you address the concerns
of transportation engineers?
If I was State Farm, I would address the concerns of
transportation engineers by centering my focus on the
implementation of the previous findings that occurred before
the evaluation of the current state of the dangerous intersection.
I also would strongly consider a grant disbursement that will be
focused on the accident rate, including the accidents and traffic
volume as well. Lastly, I believe that the engineers would be in
a great position to reduce the risks where they occurred at high
rates at the intersections.
5. If you were State Farm, would you use traffic volume counts
as part of the 2003 study? What concerns, other than those
expressed by Nepomuceno, do you have?
If I was State Farm, I would include the traffic volume counts
as part of the 2003 study because I believe that It would be
beneficial to the study as well. Cities with a high number of
intersections have more accident rates as well. The other
concerns I have would be focused on other means of
transportation as a solution. Therefore, I would also consider
railway transport which would be essential in reducing the
dangerous intersection accidents rates on the road. Railroad
transportation will reduce the traffic volume as well. As I
focused on these concerns, I remembered Philippians 2:3 which
states “Do nothing from selfish ambition or conceit, but in
humility count others more significant than yourselves” (ESV).
This relates to my stated concerns because, State Farm decided
to put their consumers as significant, and I agree because we are
called to love others like ourselves and count others as more
significant as well.

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Ga discussion,1. The concept in the study is positioning the nat

  • 1. Ga discussion, 1. The concept in the study is positioning the nation’s largest auto insurer, State Farm, as the most safety-conscious insurer by providing funds for communities to further research their dangerous intersections and initiate improvement based on the research. The constructs in the study are: · Granting $20,000 to every city with a dangerous intersection on the overall list to defray the cost of a comprehensive traffic engineering study of the intersection. · Granting $100,000 to each city named to the national top 10 dangerous intersection list to defray some of the cost of making improvements. Sabirov states, “… a concept is a complex of views on something phenomena related to each other and forming an interconnected system; it is a certain way of understanding, interpreting any phenomena in some field” (2021, p. 7). 2. A hypothesis that might drive the research of one of the cities on the top 10 dangerous intersection list is the number of fatal incidents that have occurred at the intersection. “The formulation of a hypothesis provides a study with focus. It tells what specific aspects of a research problem to investigate, what data to be collected, and what not are to be collected, thereby providing focus are to be the study. As it provides a focus, the construction of a hypothesis enhances objectivity in a study” (Pawar, 2019, p. 3). 3. State Farm’s research uses a multiple-methodology design. Data is collected from State Farm’s databases and internal incident reports, and information is gathered from the industry market share. Čančer explains that a multi-methodology, “… uses more than one quantitative and/or qualitative method or methodology in tackling some real-world problem” (2017, p. 3). 4. If I were representing State Farm and was given the task of reviewing feedback from the transportation engineers, I would listen to what is being said without any prejudgments. Their
  • 2. concerns would be acknowledged and given a chance to be considered. “… feedback is defined as “perspectives, feelings, and opinions individuals have about their experiences with an organization, product, or service that are used to inform and improve the practice and decision-making of that organization” (Nolan, 2019, p. 2). The first concern of the transportation engineers is the demand for immediate solutions. It would be addressed by stating that the purpose of this study is to improve dangerous intersections. It is a process that cannot be rushed, and an immediate solution would be given when research is finished. The transportation engineers’ second concern of accidents with injuries and deaths to be given more attention is understandable and would be considered for research. “It is the glory of God to conceal a thing: but the honour of kings is to search out a matter” (King James Bible, 2017, Proverbs 25:2). 5. Traffic volume counts would be part of the 2003 study. Some jurisdictions were upset that it wasn’t initially included in the study. An engineer’s expert opinion is appreciated in this study. Traffic volume must have a relationship with dangerous intersections, as well as the accident rate data that was also requested. It was noted that traffic volume is needed for the accident rate. After measuring and comparing traffic volume to accidents at a dangerous intersection, accident rates can be used as a variable for the accidents that occur at dangerous intersections. Other concerns that should be considered in the 2003 study is the weather and the driver’s condition as variables. The weather may have a random occurrence but is still a factor to consider as the cause of an accident. The condition of the driver can also be a valid reason because an intersection could have been designed properly. The driver could be at fault for negligence. They could be driving while intoxicated, driving while holding a cellphone, or driving without prescription glasses. “While most people are aware that intoxicated driving means operating a vehicle under the influence of alcohol or drugs, distracted driving may be a less familiar term. NHTSA
  • 3. identifies distracted driving as "any non-driving activity a person engages in while operating a motor vehicle." This includes the driver physically, visually, or mentally focusing on something other than driving, as well as factors like fatigue or a driver's physical and emotional state” (The cars of the future are headed to your courtroom, 2020, p. 1). NHTSA stands for, The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. If I were State Farm, it might not make a huge difference, but I would be concerned about this study being bad for business. An investment is being made to gain the position of the most safety-conscious insurer, by lowering accidents at dangerous intersections. We sell insurance to cover damages from accidents. It is possible to attract new clients with the gained reputation. We can also lose existing customers and potential customers due to lowered accidents. Business Research Methods, 14e/Schindler 1 >cases State Farm, the nation’s largest auto insurer, distributed a list of the 10 most dangerous intersections in the United States based on crashes resulting in claims by its policyholders. What started as a study to reduce risk turned into an ongoing study that directs a major public relations effort: State Farm provides funds for communities to further research their dangerous intersections and initiate improve- ments based on the research. This case tells you how the State Farm Dangerous
  • 4. Intersections initiative got started and how it is done. www.statefarm.com >Abstract >The Scenario State Farm Insurance has a rich history of proactive safety involvement in auto and appliance design to reduce injury and property loss. In June 2001, State Farm Insurance, Inc., released the second report in its Dangerous Intersection reporting series. State Farm modeled its program after an initiative by the Insurance Corporation of British Columbia, Canada (ICBC), and the American Automobile Association of Michigan (AAA) to help position the nation’s largest auto insurer as the most safety- conscious insurer. ICBC had patterned its program on an earlier effort in Victoria, Australia. AAA, in turn, benchmarked its program on the ICBC program. AAA invited State Farm to help fund one of its intersection studies. State Farm saw this as an opportunity to expand its effort into a nationwide campaign in 1999. “The 2001 study is part of a larger effort focused on loss prevention and improving the safety of intersections around the U.S.A.,” shared State Farm research engineer John Nepomuceno. State Farm has allocated significant resources as well as funds to the initiative. Since its inception, every city with an intersection on the overall list of dangerous intersections is eligible to apply for a $20,000 grant to defray the cost of
  • 5. a comprehensive traffic engineering study of the intersection. Additionally, each city named to the national top 10 dangerous intersection list is eligible for a grant of $100,000 per intersection to defray some of the cost of making improvements. All totaled, State Farm offered $4.44 million to the safety initiative in its first year. Due to its large market share, State Farm is the only U.S. insurer in a position to mine its databases for the requisite information on accidents to come up with a viable U.S. list. But it found that although it had the interest to do so, its data warehouse did not have sufficient information to tally accident rates for intersections. To rectify this, in 1998 State Farm included a location field as part of the data that its claims adjusters regularly complete. This location information, in open-text format, indicates whether the accident took place in an intersection or as part of an incident related to an intersection accident, and identifies the intersection. Following the 1999 study, the fields for identifying intersections were further refined. In the first study using 1998 data (reported in June 1999) as well as the 2001 State Farm: Dangerous Intersections Used with permission of Pamela S. Schindler ©2001.
  • 6. Business Research Methods, 14e/Schindler 2 study, State Farm looked at accidents involving only intersecting roads. They excluded any accident that occurred at the intersection of a road and a highway access or egress ramp. State Farm also looked only at acci dents where the State Farm–insured driver was at fault. Because of the study’s focus on road safety engineering, the first study ignored accident severity and made no attempt to isolate demographic (age or gender of driver, driving record, etc.) or geographic (weather conditions, population of area, etc.) factors related to the accident. It also looked only at State Farm’s own internal incident reports, not at any public records involving traffic patterns or volume or police incident reports. Based on industry market share information, State Farm was able to estimate the total number of crashes at a given intersection. “There was good reason to exclude police reports and traffic counts,” explained Nepomuceno. “The reporting threshold for police filing reports on accidents differs widely from jurisdiction to jurisdiction. Some will only fill out reports when personal injury or criminal behavior is involved. Others will fill them out only when a vehicle is damaged
  • 7. to the degree that it needs to be towed from the scene. Still others fill out such reports on every incident. Traffic volume reports are often prepared infrequently and often by independent sources. Not only may the data quality be questionable, but the time period in which the data was collected may not match our 1998 incident reports in every city involved. Also, when traffic volumes are factored in, low volume roads with relatively few crashes are often deprioritized. Now that we’re through with the 2001 study, we are asking ourselves if intersectio n volume should be factored in, and if so, how it can be included without significantly increasing our effort in data processing.” In the 1998 study, State Farm identified 172 dangerous intersections. The top 10 most dangerous intersections in the United States were released publicly (www.statefarm. com). Public affairs staff for each state could request that up to 10 intersections be identified for their state. “This was usually determined by the resources that our local public affairs staff were willing to put toward the program,” shared Nepomuceno. “Each state had to recognize a top 10 national intersection, but they could request that no more be released or that up to 10 intersections within their state be released.” As of August 2001, 97 cities (56.4 percent) had applied for State Farm grants.
  • 8. “While some in the media claimed we had ‘hit a home run’ with the program, we quickly learned that there was a lot more at stake than we had anticipated in generating goodwill with transportation engineers,” indicated Nepomuceno. “This is, after all, a traffic safety program and we would not achieve that goal without having the cooperation of the traffic and transportation engineering community. First, while initially they lauded us for the attention our listing brought to traffic concerns, we and they soon discovered that the spotlight generated demand for immediate solutions, solutions that they often didn’t have budgets to implement. Also, from their perspective, not all accidents are the same; locations with accidents that result in injuries and death should be given more attention. Some jurisdictions were upset that we didn’t consider intersection volume and we didn’t include accident rate data.1 The fact that the State Farm grants were intended to study the intersection State Farm: Dangerous Intersections Business Research Methods, 14e/Schindler 3 more completely wasn’t always seen as a solution to their immediate problems.” To include accident severity, State Farm needed a measurement
  • 9. system for classifying accidents. For the 2001 study, which used 1999 and 2000 accident data, State Farm calculated a median property damage accident payout (approximately $1,700). Incidents requiring payout of more than the median amount were classified as “high severity”; those requiring less, “low severity.” Additionally, State Farm chose to classify each accident using a multipoint scale. Zero was assigned to “no property damage, no personal injury” incidents and a higher number was assigned to “High property damage, personal injury” incidents, with numbers in between assigned to levels of property damage and personal injury (see Exhibit SF 1–1). Accident scores were summed to create an aggregate danger index for each intersection. Each intersection was then weighted by dividing the danger index by State Farm’s market share in the area. Of the 224 intersections identified, the top 10 were released to the national media. Each of those 224 is now eligible for the $20,000 grant to study the intersection to identify specific improvements; the top 10 are also eligible for $100,000 grants for improvements. In this second round, State Farm has committed $5.48 million to the safety program. State Farm is making plans to track the success of the Dangerous Intersection program. Once cities notify them of the completion of an intersection’s improvements,
  • 10. State Farm will start tracking accidents for that intersection for a period of one year. The first post-improvement evaluation study is expected in 2002. Additionally, State Farm is taking steps to learn from the characteristics of the dangerous intersections. Each grant application for an affected city’s study of a dangerous intersection must include: • Collection and analysis of police report data. • An engineer’s “geometric review”2of the intersection. • A capacity profile of the intersection. • A traffic conflict study.3 • A benefit-cost analysis. • A schedule of improvements (short-term, intermediate-term, and long-term).4 State Farm plans to use the new data to identify patterns of problems. This may lead to a model of desired intersection traits against which improvement plans can be assessed, further increasing the effectiveness of the loss prevention program and making life a little easier for the transportation engineers with whom they must partner to achieve safety success. Exhibit SF 1–1 Danger Codes No Personal Injury With Personal Injury No property damage 0 Y Low property damage 1 1 + Y High property damage X X + Y
  • 11. State Farm: Dangerous Intersections Business Research Methods, 14e/Schindler 4 1 Identify the various constructs and concepts involved in the study. 2 What hypothesis might drive the research of one of the cities on the top 10 dangerous intersection list? 3 Evaluate the methodology for State Farm’s research. 4 If you were State Farm, how would you address the concerns of transpor- tation engineers? 5 If you were State Farm, would you use traffic volume counts as part of the 2003 study? What concerns, other than those expressed by Nepomuceno, do you have? >>>>>Discussion >>>>>Sources >Notes 1 Accident rate is calculated by dividing the number of accidents in a given period by the total traffic volume over the same period. 2 The intersection geometry or physical layout of the
  • 12. intersection can play an important role in influencing driver behavior at intersections. For example, a curve on the approach to an intersection may impede the sight distance to a traffic signal, preventing drivers from stopping in time. Or, a driver approaching two signalized intersections very closely spaced may see the traffic signals at both intersections and become confused about which traffic signal to obey. 3 A traffic conflict study is an observation study of traffic conflicts that do not necessarily end in an accident but have the potential to do so. Recording and studying observations of driver behavior is expected to help traffic engineers understand the same problems that result in collisions. Some examples of conflicts are the sound of sharply applied breaks; sudden, unsignaled lane changes; or drivers hitting their horns. 4 Short-term improvements might include sign changes, changes in lane markings, or signal- timing changes. Most short-term improvements can be implemented in less than two years. Intermediate-term improvements might involve lane widening, the addition of turn lanes, etc., and be accomplished within 2–5 years. Examples of long- term improvements include grade separation of the intersecting roads and can take 5–10 years to implement. This case is based on information provided by John Nepomuceno in interviews that took place on August 9, 2001, and September 13, 2001. Other
  • 13. sources include: “Miami Area Intersection Tops State Farm List of Most Dangerous in the United States,” State Farm press release, June 27, 2001 (http://www.statefarm. com/media/release/danger00.htm); “Research” (http:// www.statefarm.com/media/methods.htm); and “State Farm 1999 Dangerous Intersection National Status List” (http://www.statefarm.com/media/statustop.htm); and “State Farm’s Dangerous Intersection Initiative,” Institute of Transportation Engineers press release, June 27, 2001 (http://www.ite.org/press_release.htm). State Farm: Dangerous Intersections Mi discussion 1. Identify the various constructs and concepts involved in the study. The various concepts involved in the study include the cause of the accidents, and also the feedback that is being received from several reports. State Farm then uses these concepts to clarify/understand the dangerous intersections. In addi tion, the concepts in this study included the characteristics of the crashes that occurred at the intersection as well. Some of the characteristics that State Farm included were the traffic that went through the intersection, the severity of the crashes, and whom the drivers were ensured by. In this study, State Farm focused only on the driver that they covered. This was to avoid any claims being filed against them, and also because they care about the dangerous intersection accidents that were affecting the safety of their consumers. The dangerous intersection provided State Farm with a report of the accidents caused by the intersection, as they made a conscious
  • 14. effort to prevent more crashes through the improvement of the safer intersections in the United States. In the study, we see that cities with the highest number of dangerous intersections, also lead to a higher rate of accidents. Grants worth $100,000 were given to cities with the most dangerous intersection accidents. The research focuses on road safety engineering, criminal behavior, and traffic volume as well. The physical layout of the road is also very crucial to shaping the driver’s behavior during the intersections (Schindler, 2022). 2. What hypothesis might drive the research of one of the ci ties on the top 10 dangerous intersection list? Hypothesis testing is used to test claims about population parameters based on sample data (Harrison, 2019). The hypothesis that might drive the research of one of the city's top 10 dangerous intersections list should be focused on the gross misconduct of the drivers, and how traffic conflicts due to high traffic volume led to the dangerous intersection. In addition, the different hypotheses that we could develop from this research would be created with the general research topic as well as expected results. In this situation, the cities of the top ten dangerous intersection list would need research on how to reduce the number of crashes in that particular intersection. Also, the hypothesis in this study will be focused on figuring out the main causes of the crashes as well. As I focused on this, I was reminded of Proverbs 19:2 which states “Desire without knowledge is not good, and whoever makes haste with his feet misses his way” (ESV). This relates to hypothesis testing because researchers need to thoroughly evaluate the issue and then implement effective measures to address the issue. This takes time, and no hasty decision equals a successful result in this scenario. 3. Evaluate the methodology for State Farm’s research. In evaluating the methodology for State Farm’s research, I see that the methodology involves a collection of data from police
  • 15. reports, the study of traffic, benefit-cost analysis, and capacity profile of intersection. In addition, the choice of sampling and ranking the ten dangerous intersection lists lead to more effective and realistic findings. According to Crundwell, Sorting and categorizing the accident rates as well as traffic volume was beneficial in helping implement both short-term and long-term improvements. The methodology for this research was vital in drawing patterns on issues leading to the intersection characteristics. This led to the improvement of efficiently handling loss prevention programs for the road sector. Unfortunately, the danger codes were narrowed down and focused on property damages/personal injuries. I believe that if the methodology had included a regression analysis on the property loss, and loss of lives then it would have displayed more substantial numbers on how dangerous the intersection truly was. 4. If you were State Farm, how would you address the concerns of transportation engineers? If I was State Farm, I would address the concerns of transportation engineers by centering my focus on the implementation of the previous findings that occurred before the evaluation of the current state of the dangerous intersection. I also would strongly consider a grant disbursement that will be focused on the accident rate, including the accidents and traffic volume as well. Lastly, I believe that the engineers would be in a great position to reduce the risks where they occurred at high rates at the intersections. 5. If you were State Farm, would you use traffic volume counts as part of the 2003 study? What concerns, other than those expressed by Nepomuceno, do you have? If I was State Farm, I would include the traffic volume counts as part of the 2003 study because I believe that It would be beneficial to the study as well. Cities with a high number of intersections have more accident rates as well. The other
  • 16. concerns I have would be focused on other means of transportation as a solution. Therefore, I would also consider railway transport which would be essential in reducing the dangerous intersection accidents rates on the road. Railroad transportation will reduce the traffic volume as well. As I focused on these concerns, I remembered Philippians 2:3 which states “Do nothing from selfish ambition or conceit, but in humility count others more significant than yourselves” (ESV). This relates to my stated concerns because, State Farm decided to put their consumers as significant, and I agree because we are called to love others like ourselves and count others as more significant as well.