6. 6
懂能源團隊
內部讀書會討論用,請勿引用
各國排碳與增溫關係
中國 美國 印度 歐盟 俄羅斯 巴西 日本1000GtCO2
資料來源: Hu and Jiang (2017)
文獻普遍認為,INDC並無法成功抑制氣溫上升幅度
要達到2˚C或1.5˚C的情境,需設定比INDC更積極的減碳目標。
美國總統川普認為既然INDC效果不大,不如廢止。近期說不如藉由全球暖化來對抗美東寒
冬:
In the East, it could be the COLDEST New Year‘s Eve on record. Perhaps we could use a
little bit of that good old Global Warming that our Country, but not other countries, was
going to pay TRILLIONS OF DOLLARS to protect against. (CNN, 2017)
INDC、全球增溫2˚C或1.5˚C情境
30. 30
懂能源團隊
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IPCC AR6
IPCC 第三工作團隊 (Working Group III)
由印度Shukla(Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad)與Skea教授(Imperial
College London)擔任共同主席。
日本國立環境研究所推薦本團隊成員參與AR 6作者群。
The nomination of IPCC AR6 has been started. Prof. Shukla, co-chair of IPCC WG3,
hopes that you apply to be the authors of AR6. (Dr. Masui, Nov. 2017)
資料來源: Shukla (2017)
41. 41
懂能源團隊
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中國時報(2017)防治空污 賴揆:2040年全台電動車化
http://www.chinatimes.com/newspapers/20171222000251-260202
Boer, R. and R. Dewi (2017) Modeling of GHG Emission from Energy and AFOLU
sector under the Indonesian NDC. The 23th AIM Workshop, Tsukuba, Japan.
CNN (2017) Donald Trump doesn't know the difference between climate and
weather. http://edition.cnn.com/2017/12/28/politics/trump-climate-change-
analysis/index.html
Grassi, G., J. House, F. Dentener, S. Federici, M. den Elzen and J. Penman (2017) The
Key Role of Forests in Meeting Climate Targets Requires Science for Credible
Mitigation. Nature Climate Change 7, 220–226.
Gomi, K. (2017) Urban Spatial Scenario for Feasibility Assessment of Local Energy
and Car-Sharing Systems. The 23th AIM Workshop, Tsukuba, Japan.
Gomi, K. (2016) Integrated Space-Energy Modeling for Sustainable Development
in Fukushima. The 22th AIM Workshop, Tsukuba, Japan.
Hu, X. and K. Jiang 1.5℃ Target: how to understand it? China Studies in 2017. The
22th AIM Workshop, Tsukuba, Japan.
Masui, T. (2017) The 23rd AIM International Workshop. The 22th AIM Workshop,
Tsukuba, Japan.
Oshiro, K. (2017) Mid-century low emission scenarios in Japan . The 22th AIM
Workshop, Tsukuba, Japan.
Shukla, P. (2017) AIM/CGE Global and National Activity Updates. The 23th AIM
Workshop, Tsukuba, Japan.
Taiwan 2050 Calculator (2017) http://my2050.twenergy.org.tw/
Wikipedia (2017) https://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E8%A5%BF%E5%BC%97