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RISK.pptx
1.
2. RISK
RISK
A situation where the probability of an outcome could be
determined
Uncertainties in regard to cost, loss or damage.
Financial loss or non-financial loss
Life risk and business risk
3. UNCERTAINTY
UNCERTAINTY
Lack of complete certainty
Existence of more than one possibility
True outcome or state or result or value not known
DEFINITION
According to Frank H. Knight, “Risk refers to a situation where the
probability of an outcome could be determined, and therefore, the
outcome could be insured against. Uncertainty by contrast, referred
to an event whose probability could not be known”.
4. DIFFERENCE
BETWEEN
RISK
&
UNCERTAINTY
S.No. BASISOF
DIFFERENCE
RISK UNCERTAINTY
1 Basis of
Measurement
By probability
(Combination of perils
and hazards)
By degree of relief
2 Situation Real world State of mind
3 Calculation Actuarial probability
can be calculated in
advance
Uncertainty not
measureable because it
is accidental
4 Insurable Risk of fire, theft can
be insured
Unforeseen risk cannot
be insured
6. CLASSIFICATION
OF
RISK
Result of an unforeseen event or its happening
Business world is dynamic and full of risk of uncertainties
Future is unpredictable and full of uncertainties
Risk exist till the moment the product reaches the consumer.
Risk can be classified into:
a. Financial and Non-Financial Risk
b. Fundamental and Particular Risk
c. Pure and Speculative Risk
d. Static and Dynamic Risk
e. Subjective and Objective Risk
7. FINANCIAL
&
NON-
FINANCIAL
RISK
FINANCIAL RISKS
• Any risk concerned with financial loss
• Increase in expense or decrease in earning capacity
• Example: death, disability, major surgery, illness, liability for
injuries to others, burglary, destruction of house and contents, car
accident, professional liability etc
NON FINANCIAL RISK
• Any risk not concerned with financial consequences
8. FUNDAMENTAL
&
PARTICULAR
RISK
FUNDAMENTAL RISK
• Losses that occur from the causes or problems relating to changed
of economic, social, cultural and political environment
• Group risk
• Severely affect the whole population
• Examples: unemployment, war, inflation, earthquakes, floods,
drought, famine etc.
• Conditions beyond the control of the individuals
• Social insurance and government transfer program
• Insurance and re-insurance available for certain losses
• Government has control over economic risks
9. CONTI….
PARTICULAR RISK
• Losses that occur resulting out of individual events
• Examples: burning of a house, robbery of a bank etc.
• Individual’s own responsibility
10. PURE
&
SPECULATIVE
RISK
PURE RISK
• Situation that involve the chances of loss or no loss
• Example: damage to property by fire, flood, premature deaths etc.
• Possibility of loss surrounding the ownership of property
• Pure risk can be categorized as personal, property and legal risk
1. Personal risk: affect someone directly. Example: illness,
disability or death
2. Property risk: both direct loss and consequential losses.
Example: house fire, car theft etc.
3. Legal risk: sued because of negligence, malpractice, willful
injury to another person or property etc.
• Most personal, property, legal risks are insurable
11. CONTI…..
SPECULATIVE RISK
• Uncertainty about an event that could produce either a profit or a
loss
• Possibility of gain
• Examples: business ventures, investment decisions etc
• Uninsurable
• Greater frequency of loss than a pure risk
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN PURE RISK & SPECUALTIVE RISK
S.NO. PURE RISK SPECUALTIVE RISK
1 Uncertainty as to whether loss
will occur. Only potential loss
Uncertainty about an event that
could produce either a profit or
loss
2 Ordinarily insurable Not ordinarily insurable
3 Pooling arrangement is
possible
Pooling arrangement is not
possible
12. STATIC
&
DYNAMIC
RISK
STATIC RISK
• Losses resulting from the destruction of an asset or changes in its
possession
• Result of dishonesty or human failure
• No changes in the economic environment
• Not a source of gain to the society
• Suitable for insurance
• predictable
13. CONTI….
DYNAMIC RISK
• Losses concerned with financial loss
• For example: changes in the price level, consumer wants and
needs, income, output and development of technology
• Affects the public and society
• Adjustment to misallocation of resources
• Less predictable
14. CONTI….
DIFFERNCE BETWEEN STATIC RISK & DYNAMIC RISK
S.NO. STATIC RISK DYNAMIC RISK
1 Losses , no changes in the
economic environment
Losses, changes in the economic
environment
2 Easily predictable Not predictable
3 Treatment by insurance Not suited to treatment by
insurance
4 Not a source of gain to
society
Benefit to the society
15. SUBJECTIVE
&
OBJECTIVE
RISK
SUBJECTIVE RISK
• Mental state of an individual
• Experience doubt or worry about the outcome of an event
• Psychological uncertainty
OBJECTIVE RISK
• Observable
• Measureable
• Variation of actual from expected experience
18. PERSONAL
RISK
PERSONAL RISK
• Uncertainties arise out of human element
Risk of premature death
Risk of poor health
Risk of temporary or permanent disability
Risk of insufficient income during retirement
19. PROPERTY
RISK
PROPERTY RISK
• Non-living things owned by persons
• Examples: real estate, land, building, vehicles, machines etc.
• Loss of the property, loss of use of the property and additional
overhead expenses
20. LIABILITY
RISK
LIABILITY RISK
Unintentional injury of other persons or damages to their property
Negligence or carelessness
Entities that use own or real property
Actions that cause harm or injury to someone or his property
Actions that pollute the environment or vilate personal rights of
employees
Categories of liability risk:
1. Public Liability Risk
2. Product Liability Risk
3. Third Party Liability Risk
4. Risk relating to Professional Indemnities
5. Other Liability Risk
21. FINANCIAL
RISK
FINANCIAL RISK
Speculative in nature
Impact on firm’s earnings
Credit risk, foreign exchange risk, commodity risk, interest rate
risk etc
Problems associated with pure risk
23. INSURABLE
RISK
INSURABLE RISK
After the selection process can be carried out
Different terms and conditions for different policyholders
IR is classified into:
1. Standard Risk – mix of good and bad lives
2. Super-Standard Risk (Preferred Risk) – lesser risk than standard
risk.
3. Sub-Standard Risk – above the standard risk and below the
uninsurable risk. Additional premium charged
26. HAZARD
HAZARD
Peril – cause of loss
For example: House burns because of fire, fire is the peril
Car is damaged in a collision with another car,
collision is the peril
Common perils – fire, earthquake, theft, burglary, windstorm, hail,
lightening, tornados etc
Hazard – condition that create or increase the chance of losses
from the above perils or under a given condition
28. PHYSICAL
HAZARD
PHYSICAL HAZARD
Physical condition that increases the chance of loss from any peril
Condition stemming from the material characteristics of an object
For example: dry forest (fire), earth faults (earthquakes), oil rags in
a firms storage (fire)
May or may not be under human control
CHARACTERISTICS OF PHYSICAL HAZARD:
1. Related to the object
2. Within the scope of assessment
3. Present everywhere
4. Easier to handle and control
29. MORAL
HAZARD
MORAL HAZARD
Increase in probability because of dishonesty of the insured person
Individual’s mental attitude
Intentional actions to cause a loss or increase its severity
For example: manager who purchases fire insurance on a factory
full of unprofitable, out of date equipment for the purpose of
incentives
Present in all forms of insurance
Difficult to control
Increases unfair claims and payments
Harmful for insurance business
30. CONTI….
CHARACTERISTICS OF MORAL HAZARD:
1. Related with the person or insured
2. Difficult to handle and control
3. Only present in some cases
4. Difficult to put through an assessment
31. MORALE
HAZARD
MORALE HAZARD
Mental attitude of a careless or accident-prone person
For example: leaving a door unlocked, driving the insured car
carelessly etc
Subconscious desire for a loss may exist
Circumstances may cause someone to behave differently
32. LEGAL
HAZARD
LEGAL HAZARD
Legal system or regulatory environment
Increases the frequency or severity of losses
Laws or regulations that force insurance company to cover the
risks
For example: coverage for alcoholism in health insurance
34. RISK
MANAGEMENT
PROCESS
RISK MANAGEMENT PROCESS
The process that is used to systematically manage risk exposures
is known as risk management
Steps involved in risk management process:
1. Risk Identification
2. Assessment of Risk
3. Potential RiskTreatment
4. Create a Risk Management Plan
5. Implementation
36. 1. RISK
IDENTIFICATION
1. RISK IDENTIFICATION
First step to identify the potential risk
Risk – events when triggered, causes problem
Risk identification starts with
(a) Source Analysis – internal or external sources
Example: stakeholders of a project, employees of a company,
weather over an airport etc.
(b) Problem Analysis – identify threats
Example: threat of losing money, threats of abuse, threats of
accident etc.
38. 2.
ASSESSMENT
OF
RISK
2. ASSESSMENTOF RISK
Assess – potential severity of loss and the probability of
occurrence
Measurement – simple or impossible
Risk assessment – produce information for the management of
the organization
Several theories and attempts to quantify risks
R = RO x IE (RO – Rate of Occurrence & IE – Impact of the Event)
Less dependent – formula used & more dependent – frequency
and performance of risk assessment
39. 3. POTENTIAL
RISK
TREATMENT
3. POTENTIAL RISKTREATMENT
Four major categories of risk
1. RiskAvoidance (elimination)
2. Risk Reduction (mitigation)
3. Risk Retention (acceptance & budgeting)
4. RiskTransfer (insurance or hedging)
40. 4. RISK
MANAGEMENT
PLAN
4. RISK MANAGEMENT PLAN
Applicable and effective security controls for managing risks
For example: computer viruses