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Down	
  Under	
  Looking	
  Up:	
  	
  
Financing	
  Transport	
  
Infrastructure	
  in	
  the	
  Land	
  of	
  Oz	
  
Cameron	
  Gordon,	
  Ph.D.	
  
Associate	
  Professor	
  of	
  Economics	
  
University	
  of	
  Canberra	
  
Faculty	
  of	
  Business,	
  Government	
  and	
  Law	
  
hIp://www.canberra.edu.au/faculKes/busgovlaw	
  
Director,	
  Transport	
  Ideas	
  Network	
  
hIp://www.TransporKdeas.org	
  
Principal	
  InvesKgator	
  
City	
  University	
  of	
  New	
  York	
  
Social	
  Policy	
  SimulaKon	
  Center	
  
hIp://www.cunyspsc.org	
  	
  	
  
PresentaKon	
  Overview	
  
•  Australia	
  v	
  Canada:	
  basic	
  comparisons	
  
•  Australia	
  v	
  Canada:	
  transport	
  challenges	
  
•  Australia’s	
  infrastructure	
  ‘gap’	
  
•  Financing	
  transport	
  in	
  Australia	
  –	
  current	
  
methods	
  
•  Transport	
  finance	
  policy	
  challenges	
  in	
  Australia	
  
•  A	
  way	
  forward?	
  
•  Prognosis	
  
Australia	
  v	
  Canada:	
  government	
  
•  Both	
  the	
  Canadian	
  and	
  Australian	
  legal	
  systems	
  are	
  
based	
  on	
  English	
  common	
  law.	
  
•  Queen	
  Elizabeth	
  II	
  is	
  the	
  official	
  head	
  of	
  state	
  in	
  both	
  
countries	
  and	
  is	
  represented	
  by	
  a	
  governor	
  general.	
  	
  
•  Both	
  Australia	
  and	
  Canada	
  are	
  parliamentary	
  
democracies	
  headed	
  by	
  prime	
  ministers.	
  	
  
•  Both	
  countries	
  are	
  members	
  of	
  the	
  Commonwealth.	
  
•  Both	
  countries	
  are	
  federal	
  systems	
  with	
  shared	
  powers	
  
allocated	
  across	
  central	
  and	
  State	
  (Australia)	
  or	
  
Provincial	
  (Canada)	
  governments.	
  
Australia	
  v	
  Canada:	
  Economy	
  
source:	
  2011	
  IMF	
  
	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  AUSTRALIA 	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  CANADA	
  
•  GDP	
  (nominal) 	
   	
   	
   	
  $1.54	
  trillion	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  $1.77	
  trillion	
  
•  GDP	
  per	
  Capita 	
   	
   	
   	
  	
  	
  $66,371 	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  	
  	
  $50,496	
  
•  GDP	
  Growth	
  Rate 	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  2.1% 	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  2.4%	
  
•  InflaKon	
  Rate 	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  3.4% 	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  2.9%	
  
•  Public	
  Debt	
  (%	
  of	
  GDP) 	
   	
   	
  26.7% 	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  87.4%	
  
•  Labor	
  Force 	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  12,050,000 	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  18,700,000	
  
•  Unemployment	
  Rate 	
   	
   	
   	
  5.1% 	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  7.5%	
  
•  Investment	
  (gross	
  fixed	
  %	
  of	
  GDP) 	
  26.8% 	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  22.5%	
  
•  Industrial	
  ProducKon	
  Growth	
  Rate 	
  -­‐0.1% 	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  3.7%	
  
Australia	
  v	
  Canada:	
  size	
  and	
  
populaKon	
  	
  
source:	
  2012	
  CIA	
  Factbook	
  
AUSTRALIA 	
   	
  CANADA	
  
•  Total	
  Area	
  (sq	
  km) 	
   	
  7,741,220 	
   	
  9,984,670	
  
•  PopulaKon 	
   	
   	
   	
  22,015,576 	
   	
  34,300,083	
  
•  PopulaKon/sq	
  km 	
   	
  	
   	
  0.36 	
   	
   	
   	
  0.29 	
   	
  	
  
•  Median	
  age 	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  37.9 	
   	
   	
   	
  41.2	
  
•  Life	
  Expectancy 	
   	
   	
   	
  81.9 	
   	
   	
   	
  81.48	
  
•  PopulaKon	
  Growth	
  Rate 	
  1.13% 	
   	
   	
  0.78%	
  
Australia	
  v	
  Canada	
  transport	
  
system	
  characterisKcs	
  	
  
AUSTRALIA 	
  CANADA	
   	
   	
  NOTES	
  
•  Aircraj	
  departures 	
  	
  388,700 	
  	
  291,800 	
   	
  2005	
  CIA	
  
•  Air	
  transport,	
  freight	
  	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  (million	
  tons	
  per	
  km) 	
  	
   	
  2,444 	
   	
  1,526 	
   	
  2005	
  WDI	
  
•  Cars	
  per	
  1,000	
  people 	
  	
  	
  	
   	
  485	
   	
  	
   	
  459 	
   	
  1999	
  WDI	
  
•  Vehicles	
  per	
  populated	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  land	
  area	
  (km2) 	
   	
   	
  47.91 	
   	
  34.91 	
   	
  2001	
  WDI	
  
•  Port	
  traffic	
  (TEU) 	
   	
  4,830,254 	
  4,163,424 	
   	
  2005	
  WDI	
  
•  Goods	
  (mn	
  tonne-­‐km) 	
  	
  	
  415,500	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  423,296 	
   	
  2010	
  OECD	
  
•  Passenger-­‐kms	
  (mn) 	
  	
  	
  296,058 	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  507,587	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  2010	
  OECD	
  
•  Road	
  fataliKes	
  (per	
  mn) 	
   	
  61 	
   	
   	
  65 	
   	
  2010	
  OECD	
  
•  CO2	
  emissions	
  from	
  fuel	
  combusKon 	
  	
  	
  	
  383 	
   	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  537 	
   	
  2010	
  OECD	
  
Canada’s	
  NaKonal	
  Road	
  Network	
  
•  hIp://www.tc.gc.ca/eng/policy/acg-­‐acgd-­‐menu-­‐highways-­‐map-­‐2151.htm	
  
Australia’s	
  NaKonal	
  Road	
  Network	
  
http://www.infrastructure.gov.au/department/annual_report/2003_2004/casestudies.aspx
The	
  tyranny	
  of	
  distance	
  •  The	
  OECD	
  (2008)	
  
esKmates	
  that	
  distance	
  
to	
  markets	
  and	
  natural	
  
resource	
  endowments	
  
have	
  a	
  significant	
  
impact	
  on	
  GDP	
  per	
  
capita	
  in	
  OECD	
  
countries	
  (Table	
  2).	
  
Taking	
  Australia	
  as	
  an	
  
example,	
  the	
  OECD	
  
finds	
  that	
  the	
  distance	
  
from	
  Australia	
  to	
  world	
  
markets	
  contributed	
  to	
  
lowering	
  Australia's	
  
GDP	
  per	
  capita	
  by	
  10.6	
  
per	
  cent	
  on	
  average	
  
between	
  2000	
  and	
  
2004	
  relaKve	
  to	
  the	
  
average	
  OECD	
  country.	
  
Australia	
  is	
  the	
  OECD	
  
country	
  most	
  
disadvantaged	
  by	
  its	
  
distance	
  from	
  world	
  
markets,	
  while	
  the	
  
centrally	
  located	
  
countries	
  of	
  Belgium	
  
and	
  the	
  Netherlands	
  
benefit	
  the	
  most.4	
  
•  hIp://archive.treasury.gov.au/documents/
1421/HTML/docshell.asp?
URL=01%20Economic%20geography%20and
%20economic%20performance%20in
%20Australia.htm	
  	
  
PT	
  use	
  Canadian	
  v	
  Australian	
  ciKes	
  
PT	
  use	
  (conKnued)	
  
Australia’s	
  infrastructure	
  ‘gap’	
  
•  One	
  recent	
  study	
  by	
  property	
  and	
  construcKon	
  consultancy	
  Davis	
  
Langdon	
  into	
  projected	
  growth	
  in	
  the	
  infrastructure	
  sector	
  
examines	
  the	
  future	
  needs	
  aggregate	
  investment	
  in	
  road,	
  rail,	
  
electricity	
  generaKon	
  and	
  distribuKon,	
  water	
  storage	
  and	
  supply,	
  
sewerage,	
  telecommunicaKons,	
  ports	
  and	
  heavy	
  industry	
  and	
  	
  
reveals	
  annualised	
  investment	
  needs	
  by	
  2050	
  could	
  be	
  as	
  high	
  as	
  
350	
  percent	
  of	
  today’s	
  annual	
  investment	
  (assuming	
  a	
  high-­‐end	
  
populaKon	
  target	
  of	
  40	
  million).	
  (with	
  current	
  GDP	
  around	
  $1.5	
  
trillion).	
  	
  	
  
Even	
  medium-­‐term	
  esKmates	
  of	
  required	
  
Commonwealth	
  transport	
  spending	
  show	
  doubled	
  
levels	
  required	
  in	
  the	
  next	
  5	
  to	
  10	
  years	
  and	
  these	
  are	
  
minimum	
  esKmates.	
  	
  
How	
  to	
  pay?	
  
•  How	
  will	
  Australia	
  pay	
  for	
  its	
  investment	
  
transport	
  needs	
  over	
  the	
  next	
  generaKon?	
  
•  This	
  is	
  a	
  big	
  quesKon	
  since	
  many	
  current	
  
requirements	
  are	
  not	
  being	
  met.	
  
•  How	
  does	
  Australia	
  finance	
  its	
  current	
  system?	
  
Australian	
  Transport	
  Federalism	
  
•  Australia’s	
  current	
  transport	
  finance	
  system	
  is	
  
inherently	
  local.	
  	
  The	
  Commonwealth	
  government	
  
invests	
  relaKvely	
  liIle	
  in	
  transport	
  (for	
  roads	
  about	
  23%	
  
of	
  total	
  govt.	
  spending	
  in	
  2004-­‐05)	
  
The	
  GST	
  
•  Australia	
  adopted	
  a	
  Goods	
  and	
  Services	
  Tax	
  
(GST)	
  in	
  2000.	
  This	
  is	
  a	
  Commonwealth	
  tax	
  but	
  
under	
  the	
  Intergovernmental	
  Agreement	
  on	
  
Commonwealth-­‐State	
  Financial	
  RelaKons,	
  all	
  
the	
  GST	
  revenue,	
  minus	
  administraKon	
  costs,	
  
goes	
  to	
  the	
  States.	
  	
  
•  Thus,	
  the	
  States	
  do	
  have	
  access	
  to	
  this	
  revenue	
  
but	
  the	
  tax	
  and	
  the	
  tax	
  base	
  itself	
  remain	
  under	
  
Commonwealth	
  control.	
  Moreover,	
  as	
  in	
  the	
  US,	
  
The	
  Commonwealth	
  Parliament	
  can	
  give	
  states	
  
Ked	
  or	
  unKed	
  grants.	
  	
  
•  TradiKonally,	
  States	
  have	
  reigned	
  supreme	
  in	
  
transport	
  policy.	
  	
  
•  The	
  Commonwealth	
  government	
  has	
  
expanded	
  its	
  role	
  over	
  the	
  past	
  twenty	
  years	
  
through	
  providing	
  grants	
  and	
  GST	
  revenue	
  to	
  
aid	
  transport	
  programs,	
  both	
  of	
  which	
  are	
  sKll	
  
allocated	
  on	
  an	
  ongoing	
  basis.	
  	
  
•  The	
  Commonwealth	
  also	
  provides	
  strategic	
  
investment	
  on	
  an	
  ad	
  hoc	
  (and	
  ojen	
  poliKcal)	
  
basis	
  for	
  specific	
  transport	
  projects.	
  
•  And	
  more	
  and	
  more	
  guidance	
  is	
  being	
  issued,	
  
e.g.	
  on	
  urban	
  planning	
  (to	
  make	
  sure	
  local	
  
plans	
  account	
  for	
  climate	
  change).	
  
Australia:	
  a	
  leader	
  in	
  PPPs	
  
•  Much	
  of	
  Australia’s	
  UPT	
  has	
  private	
  parKcipaKon,	
  
parKcularly	
  in	
  Melbourne	
  and	
  Perth;	
  many	
  roads	
  are	
  
privaKsed	
  and	
  all	
  major	
  airports	
  are	
  operated	
  by	
  private	
  
firms.	
  	
  	
  
•  Australia	
  has	
  probably	
  one	
  of	
  the	
  most	
  extensively	
  
privaKsed	
  transport	
  systems	
  in	
  the	
  world.	
  At	
  the	
  
naKonal	
  level	
  the	
  rail	
  network	
  was	
  spun	
  off	
  into	
  the	
  
Australian	
  Rail	
  Track	
  CorporaKon	
  which	
  now	
  maintains	
  
and	
  operates	
  that	
  network	
  on	
  behalf	
  of	
  private	
  
operators.	
  	
  Similarly,	
  airports	
  were	
  corporaKsed	
  and	
  
then	
  privaKsed	
  by	
  the	
  Commonwealth	
  Government,	
  
mainly	
  in	
  the	
  form	
  of	
  sales	
  of	
  very	
  long-­‐term	
  leases	
  to	
  
private	
  companies.	
  	
  	
  
Tri-­‐parKte	
  investment	
  
Source:	
  OECD	
  Economic	
  Surveys:	
  Australia	
  2010	
  
Source:	
  OECD	
  Economic	
  Surveys:	
  Australia	
  2010	
  
A	
  long	
  history	
  of	
  land	
  taxes	
  
•  Property	
  taxes	
  have	
  been	
  used	
  in	
  Australia	
  since	
  
the	
  19th	
  century	
  and	
  consist	
  primarily	
  of	
  state	
  
land	
  tax	
  and	
  municipal	
  rates.	
  The	
  state	
  land	
  tax	
  
makes	
  revenue	
  available	
  for	
  the	
  state	
  with	
  no	
  
direct	
  reimbursement	
  to	
  local	
  government,	
  while	
  
municipal	
  rates	
  are	
  the	
  prime	
  source	
  of	
  revenue	
  
to	
  local	
  government,	
  and	
  levied	
  on	
  a	
  range	
  of	
  tax	
  
bases,	
  namely	
  unimproved	
  land;	
  land	
  value	
  or	
  
site	
  value;	
  improved	
  value	
  of	
  land	
  and	
  buildings;	
  
and	
  rental	
  value	
  of	
  land	
  and	
  buildings	
  
(McCluskey,	
  Lim	
  and	
  Davis,	
  2007).	
  	
  
However,	
  relaKvely	
  limited	
  tying	
  of	
  
land	
  value	
  to	
  transport	
  investment	
  
•  Perhaps	
  because	
  of	
  the	
  heavy	
  use	
  of	
  PPPs,	
  Australian	
  State	
  
and	
  local	
  governments	
  have	
  done	
  relaKvely	
  liIle	
  with	
  
mechanisms	
  such	
  as	
  value	
  capture,	
  value	
  uplij,	
  TIF’s	
  etc.	
  
•  Most	
  States	
  have	
  Development	
  CorporaKons	
  which	
  use	
  
land	
  tax	
  revenues	
  to	
  help	
  pre-­‐fund	
  residenKal	
  and	
  
commercial	
  building	
  but	
  have	
  not	
  used	
  this	
  mechanism	
  to	
  
fund	
  transport	
  investment.	
  
•  The	
  NSW	
  government	
  considered	
  value	
  capture	
  to	
  finance	
  
the	
  New	
  Southern	
  Rail	
  Line	
  (airport	
  rail	
  link)	
  and	
  the	
  
ParramaIa	
  Rail	
  Link	
  (now	
  the	
  Epping	
  to	
  Chatswood	
  rail	
  
line)	
  but	
  this	
  approach	
  was	
  not	
  proceeded	
  with.	
  
Transport	
  policy	
  challenges	
  
•  #1:	
  the	
  sheer	
  magnitude	
  of	
  needed	
  investment,	
  
an	
  amount	
  that	
  is	
  well	
  over	
  poliKcally	
  or	
  even	
  
economically	
  feasible	
  general	
  revenue	
  finance.	
  
•  #2:	
  PPProblems.	
  Since	
  States	
  run	
  ciKes,	
  it	
  is	
  
States	
  that	
  have	
  been	
  responsible	
  for	
  privaKsing	
  
most	
  urban	
  transport	
  hubs,	
  not	
  the	
  
Commonwealth	
  Government.	
  This	
  has	
  created	
  a	
  
patchwork	
  transport	
  system	
  driven	
  by	
  States	
  and	
  
concentrated	
  in	
  municipaliKes.	
  	
  	
  
•  Moreover	
  not	
  all	
  investments	
  will	
  be	
  desirable	
  to	
  
private	
  investors.	
  	
  
•  #3:	
  Complexity	
  and	
  perverse	
  incenKves.	
  	
  The	
  
current	
  transport	
  finance	
  and	
  governance	
  
system	
  in	
  Australia	
  has	
  the	
  advantage	
  of	
  
allowing	
  for	
  local	
  flexibility	
  but,	
  like	
  many	
  
federal	
  systems,	
  also	
  creates	
  complicated	
  
funding	
  flows.	
  
•  Matching	
  costs	
  with	
  beneficiaries	
  (and/or	
  
cost-­‐imposers)	
  is	
  tenuous	
  and	
  thus	
  exisKng	
  
transport	
  capacity	
  is	
  not	
  efficiently	
  used	
  and	
  
new	
  capacity	
  is	
  ojen	
  not	
  invested	
  in	
  except	
  as	
  
a	
  crisis	
  stop-­‐gap.	
  
Australian	
  transport	
  funding	
  (for	
  roads)	
  
•  Source:	
  COAG	
  Road	
  Reform	
  Council	
  2011	
  
•  #4:	
  Can’t	
  pay,	
  won’t	
  pay.	
  	
  Of	
  course	
  Australia	
  is	
  
like	
  every	
  other	
  democracy	
  in	
  that	
  
consKtuents	
  generally	
  do	
  not	
  like	
  to	
  pay	
  for	
  
things	
  if	
  they	
  can	
  avoid	
  it.	
  
•  This	
  tendency	
  is	
  perhaps	
  exacerbated	
  in	
  
Australia	
  by	
  the	
  fact	
  that	
  there	
  are	
  many	
  high	
  
tolls	
  on	
  urban	
  roads,	
  i.e.	
  those	
  built	
  by	
  PPPs.	
  	
  
So	
  travelers	
  ojen	
  think	
  that	
  they	
  are	
  paying	
  
enough	
  already.	
  
•  Moreover	
  private	
  toll	
  road	
  operators	
  are	
  not	
  
very	
  popular	
  with	
  the	
  public.	
  	
  
A	
  way	
  forward?	
  
•  Infrastructure	
  Australia	
  (IA)	
  was	
  launched	
  by	
  
the	
  Commonwealth	
  Government	
  in	
  2008.	
  	
  IA’s	
  
mission	
  is	
  to	
  “develop	
  a	
  strategic	
  blueprint	
  for	
  
our	
  naKon's	
  future	
  infrastructure	
  needs	
  and	
  -­‐	
  
in	
  partnership	
  with	
  the	
  states,	
  territories,	
  local	
  
government	
  and	
  the	
  private	
  sector	
  -­‐	
  facilitate	
  
its	
  implementaKon”	
  and	
  to	
  “provide	
  advice	
  to	
  
Australian	
  governments	
  about	
  infrastructure	
  
gaps	
  and	
  boIlenecks	
  that	
  hinder	
  economic	
  
growth”	
  
Infrastructure	
  Australia	
  
•  As	
  a	
  statutory	
  authority	
  of	
  the	
  Commonwealth	
  
Government	
  of	
  Australia	
  IA	
  has	
  three	
  major	
  
funcKons:	
  (1)	
  to	
  provide	
  a	
  list	
  of	
  “naKonally	
  
significant	
  infrastructure	
  prioriKes;”	
  (2)	
  to	
  issue	
  
guidance	
  on	
  “policy	
  and	
  regulatory	
  reforms	
  
desirable	
  to	
  improve	
  the	
  efficient	
  uKlisaKon	
  of	
  
naKonal	
  infrastructure	
  networks;”	
  (3)	
  and	
  to	
  
assess	
  “opKons	
  to	
  address	
  impediments	
  to	
  the	
  
development	
  and	
  provision	
  of	
  efficient	
  naKonal	
  
infrastructure,	
  the	
  needs	
  of	
  users;	
  and	
  possible	
  
financing	
  mechanisms.”	
  
Focus	
  on	
  pricing	
  
•  Much	
  early	
  aIenKon	
  focused	
  
on	
  IA's	
  	
  infrastructure	
  
investment	
  prioriKes	
  list.	
  	
  This	
  
list,	
  arrived	
  at	
  ajer	
  an	
  
infrastructure	
  audit,	
  idenKfied	
  
a	
  total	
  of	
  $A60	
  billion	
  in	
  
priority	
  projects	
  across	
  
various	
  infrastructure	
  sectors.	
  
However	
  now	
  IA	
  has	
  turned	
  
towards	
  trying	
  to	
  begin	
  a	
  
naKonal	
  dialogue	
  on	
  the	
  use	
  
of	
  congesKon	
  pricing	
  to	
  
finance	
  new	
  projects	
  and	
  
manage	
  exisKng	
  capacity.	
  
COAG	
  
•  Also	
  very	
  acKve	
  has	
  been	
  the	
  Council	
  of	
  
Australian	
  Governments	
  (COAG)	
  which	
  
is	
  the	
  main	
  authority	
  through	
  which	
  
Commonwealth	
  and	
  State	
  and	
  local	
  
governments	
  plan	
  and	
  coordinate	
  
various	
  iniKaKves.	
  
•  This	
  body	
  is	
  designed	
  to	
  do	
  forward	
  
thinking	
  and	
  is	
  also	
  the	
  forum	
  where	
  
leaders	
  meet	
  to	
  design	
  and	
  do	
  ‘deals’	
  
on	
  major	
  federal	
  policies.	
  
•  COAG	
  has	
  an	
  acKve	
  agenda	
  on	
  road	
  
finance	
  reform	
  –	
  though	
  no	
  major	
  
breakthroughs	
  yet.	
  
Prognosis	
  
•  Whither	
  Australian	
  transport?	
  
•  Australia	
  has	
  a	
  great	
  deal	
  of	
  experKse	
  in	
  PPPs	
  and	
  these	
  
will	
  need	
  to	
  be	
  a	
  major	
  part	
  of	
  the	
  funding	
  soluKon	
  there.	
  
•  However	
  its	
  public	
  sector	
  has	
  not	
  been	
  especially	
  
proacKve	
  or	
  innovaKve	
  on	
  public	
  revenue	
  enhancements	
  
outside	
  of	
  private	
  parKcipaKon.	
  	
  	
  There	
  is	
  much	
  room	
  for	
  
growth	
  there.	
  
•  There	
  are	
  also	
  sound	
  and	
  respected	
  governmental	
  bodies	
  
doing	
  good	
  thinking	
  –	
  but	
  liIle	
  take-­‐up	
  by	
  poliKcal	
  
leaders.	
  
•  The	
  pieces	
  of	
  a	
  soluKon	
  are	
  there	
  but	
  nobody	
  wants	
  to	
  
take	
  the	
  hard	
  knocks	
  to	
  put	
  them	
  together.	
  

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What can Canada learn from Australia in transport privatisation?

  • 1. Down  Under  Looking  Up:     Financing  Transport   Infrastructure  in  the  Land  of  Oz   Cameron  Gordon,  Ph.D.   Associate  Professor  of  Economics   University  of  Canberra   Faculty  of  Business,  Government  and  Law   hIp://www.canberra.edu.au/faculKes/busgovlaw   Director,  Transport  Ideas  Network   hIp://www.TransporKdeas.org   Principal  InvesKgator   City  University  of  New  York   Social  Policy  SimulaKon  Center   hIp://www.cunyspsc.org      
  • 2. PresentaKon  Overview   •  Australia  v  Canada:  basic  comparisons   •  Australia  v  Canada:  transport  challenges   •  Australia’s  infrastructure  ‘gap’   •  Financing  transport  in  Australia  –  current   methods   •  Transport  finance  policy  challenges  in  Australia   •  A  way  forward?   •  Prognosis  
  • 3. Australia  v  Canada:  government   •  Both  the  Canadian  and  Australian  legal  systems  are   based  on  English  common  law.   •  Queen  Elizabeth  II  is  the  official  head  of  state  in  both   countries  and  is  represented  by  a  governor  general.     •  Both  Australia  and  Canada  are  parliamentary   democracies  headed  by  prime  ministers.     •  Both  countries  are  members  of  the  Commonwealth.   •  Both  countries  are  federal  systems  with  shared  powers   allocated  across  central  and  State  (Australia)  or   Provincial  (Canada)  governments.  
  • 4. Australia  v  Canada:  Economy   source:  2011  IMF            AUSTRALIA          CANADA   •  GDP  (nominal)        $1.54  trillion          $1.77  trillion   •  GDP  per  Capita            $66,371              $50,496   •  GDP  Growth  Rate          2.1%            2.4%   •  InflaKon  Rate            3.4%            2.9%   •  Public  Debt  (%  of  GDP)      26.7%            87.4%   •  Labor  Force          12,050,000          18,700,000   •  Unemployment  Rate        5.1%            7.5%   •  Investment  (gross  fixed  %  of  GDP)  26.8%            22.5%   •  Industrial  ProducKon  Growth  Rate  -­‐0.1%            3.7%  
  • 5. Australia  v  Canada:  size  and   populaKon     source:  2012  CIA  Factbook   AUSTRALIA    CANADA   •  Total  Area  (sq  km)    7,741,220    9,984,670   •  PopulaKon        22,015,576    34,300,083   •  PopulaKon/sq  km        0.36        0.29       •  Median  age          37.9        41.2   •  Life  Expectancy        81.9        81.48   •  PopulaKon  Growth  Rate  1.13%      0.78%  
  • 6. Australia  v  Canada  transport   system  characterisKcs     AUSTRALIA  CANADA      NOTES   •  Aircraj  departures    388,700    291,800    2005  CIA   •  Air  transport,  freight              (million  tons  per  km)      2,444    1,526    2005  WDI   •  Cars  per  1,000  people          485        459    1999  WDI   •  Vehicles  per  populated            land  area  (km2)      47.91    34.91    2001  WDI   •  Port  traffic  (TEU)    4,830,254  4,163,424    2005  WDI   •  Goods  (mn  tonne-­‐km)      415,500              423,296    2010  OECD   •  Passenger-­‐kms  (mn)      296,058          507,587                2010  OECD   •  Road  fataliKes  (per  mn)    61      65    2010  OECD   •  CO2  emissions  from  fuel  combusKon        383            537    2010  OECD  
  • 7. Canada’s  NaKonal  Road  Network   •  hIp://www.tc.gc.ca/eng/policy/acg-­‐acgd-­‐menu-­‐highways-­‐map-­‐2151.htm  
  • 8. Australia’s  NaKonal  Road  Network   http://www.infrastructure.gov.au/department/annual_report/2003_2004/casestudies.aspx
  • 9. The  tyranny  of  distance  •  The  OECD  (2008)   esKmates  that  distance   to  markets  and  natural   resource  endowments   have  a  significant   impact  on  GDP  per   capita  in  OECD   countries  (Table  2).   Taking  Australia  as  an   example,  the  OECD   finds  that  the  distance   from  Australia  to  world   markets  contributed  to   lowering  Australia's   GDP  per  capita  by  10.6   per  cent  on  average   between  2000  and   2004  relaKve  to  the   average  OECD  country.   Australia  is  the  OECD   country  most   disadvantaged  by  its   distance  from  world   markets,  while  the   centrally  located   countries  of  Belgium   and  the  Netherlands   benefit  the  most.4   •  hIp://archive.treasury.gov.au/documents/ 1421/HTML/docshell.asp? URL=01%20Economic%20geography%20and %20economic%20performance%20in %20Australia.htm    
  • 10. PT  use  Canadian  v  Australian  ciKes  
  • 12. Australia’s  infrastructure  ‘gap’   •  One  recent  study  by  property  and  construcKon  consultancy  Davis   Langdon  into  projected  growth  in  the  infrastructure  sector   examines  the  future  needs  aggregate  investment  in  road,  rail,   electricity  generaKon  and  distribuKon,  water  storage  and  supply,   sewerage,  telecommunicaKons,  ports  and  heavy  industry  and     reveals  annualised  investment  needs  by  2050  could  be  as  high  as   350  percent  of  today’s  annual  investment  (assuming  a  high-­‐end   populaKon  target  of  40  million).  (with  current  GDP  around  $1.5   trillion).      
  • 13. Even  medium-­‐term  esKmates  of  required   Commonwealth  transport  spending  show  doubled   levels  required  in  the  next  5  to  10  years  and  these  are   minimum  esKmates.    
  • 14. How  to  pay?   •  How  will  Australia  pay  for  its  investment   transport  needs  over  the  next  generaKon?   •  This  is  a  big  quesKon  since  many  current   requirements  are  not  being  met.   •  How  does  Australia  finance  its  current  system?  
  • 15. Australian  Transport  Federalism   •  Australia’s  current  transport  finance  system  is   inherently  local.    The  Commonwealth  government   invests  relaKvely  liIle  in  transport  (for  roads  about  23%   of  total  govt.  spending  in  2004-­‐05)  
  • 16. The  GST   •  Australia  adopted  a  Goods  and  Services  Tax   (GST)  in  2000.  This  is  a  Commonwealth  tax  but   under  the  Intergovernmental  Agreement  on   Commonwealth-­‐State  Financial  RelaKons,  all   the  GST  revenue,  minus  administraKon  costs,   goes  to  the  States.     •  Thus,  the  States  do  have  access  to  this  revenue   but  the  tax  and  the  tax  base  itself  remain  under   Commonwealth  control.  Moreover,  as  in  the  US,   The  Commonwealth  Parliament  can  give  states   Ked  or  unKed  grants.    
  • 17. •  TradiKonally,  States  have  reigned  supreme  in   transport  policy.     •  The  Commonwealth  government  has   expanded  its  role  over  the  past  twenty  years   through  providing  grants  and  GST  revenue  to   aid  transport  programs,  both  of  which  are  sKll   allocated  on  an  ongoing  basis.     •  The  Commonwealth  also  provides  strategic   investment  on  an  ad  hoc  (and  ojen  poliKcal)   basis  for  specific  transport  projects.   •  And  more  and  more  guidance  is  being  issued,   e.g.  on  urban  planning  (to  make  sure  local   plans  account  for  climate  change).  
  • 18. Australia:  a  leader  in  PPPs   •  Much  of  Australia’s  UPT  has  private  parKcipaKon,   parKcularly  in  Melbourne  and  Perth;  many  roads  are   privaKsed  and  all  major  airports  are  operated  by  private   firms.       •  Australia  has  probably  one  of  the  most  extensively   privaKsed  transport  systems  in  the  world.  At  the   naKonal  level  the  rail  network  was  spun  off  into  the   Australian  Rail  Track  CorporaKon  which  now  maintains   and  operates  that  network  on  behalf  of  private   operators.    Similarly,  airports  were  corporaKsed  and   then  privaKsed  by  the  Commonwealth  Government,   mainly  in  the  form  of  sales  of  very  long-­‐term  leases  to   private  companies.      
  • 19. Tri-­‐parKte  investment   Source:  OECD  Economic  Surveys:  Australia  2010  
  • 20. Source:  OECD  Economic  Surveys:  Australia  2010  
  • 21. A  long  history  of  land  taxes   •  Property  taxes  have  been  used  in  Australia  since   the  19th  century  and  consist  primarily  of  state   land  tax  and  municipal  rates.  The  state  land  tax   makes  revenue  available  for  the  state  with  no   direct  reimbursement  to  local  government,  while   municipal  rates  are  the  prime  source  of  revenue   to  local  government,  and  levied  on  a  range  of  tax   bases,  namely  unimproved  land;  land  value  or   site  value;  improved  value  of  land  and  buildings;   and  rental  value  of  land  and  buildings   (McCluskey,  Lim  and  Davis,  2007).    
  • 22. However,  relaKvely  limited  tying  of   land  value  to  transport  investment   •  Perhaps  because  of  the  heavy  use  of  PPPs,  Australian  State   and  local  governments  have  done  relaKvely  liIle  with   mechanisms  such  as  value  capture,  value  uplij,  TIF’s  etc.   •  Most  States  have  Development  CorporaKons  which  use   land  tax  revenues  to  help  pre-­‐fund  residenKal  and   commercial  building  but  have  not  used  this  mechanism  to   fund  transport  investment.   •  The  NSW  government  considered  value  capture  to  finance   the  New  Southern  Rail  Line  (airport  rail  link)  and  the   ParramaIa  Rail  Link  (now  the  Epping  to  Chatswood  rail   line)  but  this  approach  was  not  proceeded  with.  
  • 23. Transport  policy  challenges   •  #1:  the  sheer  magnitude  of  needed  investment,   an  amount  that  is  well  over  poliKcally  or  even   economically  feasible  general  revenue  finance.   •  #2:  PPProblems.  Since  States  run  ciKes,  it  is   States  that  have  been  responsible  for  privaKsing   most  urban  transport  hubs,  not  the   Commonwealth  Government.  This  has  created  a   patchwork  transport  system  driven  by  States  and   concentrated  in  municipaliKes.       •  Moreover  not  all  investments  will  be  desirable  to   private  investors.    
  • 24. •  #3:  Complexity  and  perverse  incenKves.    The   current  transport  finance  and  governance   system  in  Australia  has  the  advantage  of   allowing  for  local  flexibility  but,  like  many   federal  systems,  also  creates  complicated   funding  flows.   •  Matching  costs  with  beneficiaries  (and/or   cost-­‐imposers)  is  tenuous  and  thus  exisKng   transport  capacity  is  not  efficiently  used  and   new  capacity  is  ojen  not  invested  in  except  as   a  crisis  stop-­‐gap.  
  • 25. Australian  transport  funding  (for  roads)   •  Source:  COAG  Road  Reform  Council  2011  
  • 26. •  #4:  Can’t  pay,  won’t  pay.    Of  course  Australia  is   like  every  other  democracy  in  that   consKtuents  generally  do  not  like  to  pay  for   things  if  they  can  avoid  it.   •  This  tendency  is  perhaps  exacerbated  in   Australia  by  the  fact  that  there  are  many  high   tolls  on  urban  roads,  i.e.  those  built  by  PPPs.     So  travelers  ojen  think  that  they  are  paying   enough  already.   •  Moreover  private  toll  road  operators  are  not   very  popular  with  the  public.    
  • 27. A  way  forward?   •  Infrastructure  Australia  (IA)  was  launched  by   the  Commonwealth  Government  in  2008.    IA’s   mission  is  to  “develop  a  strategic  blueprint  for   our  naKon's  future  infrastructure  needs  and  -­‐   in  partnership  with  the  states,  territories,  local   government  and  the  private  sector  -­‐  facilitate   its  implementaKon”  and  to  “provide  advice  to   Australian  governments  about  infrastructure   gaps  and  boIlenecks  that  hinder  economic   growth”  
  • 28. Infrastructure  Australia   •  As  a  statutory  authority  of  the  Commonwealth   Government  of  Australia  IA  has  three  major   funcKons:  (1)  to  provide  a  list  of  “naKonally   significant  infrastructure  prioriKes;”  (2)  to  issue   guidance  on  “policy  and  regulatory  reforms   desirable  to  improve  the  efficient  uKlisaKon  of   naKonal  infrastructure  networks;”  (3)  and  to   assess  “opKons  to  address  impediments  to  the   development  and  provision  of  efficient  naKonal   infrastructure,  the  needs  of  users;  and  possible   financing  mechanisms.”  
  • 29. Focus  on  pricing   •  Much  early  aIenKon  focused   on  IA's    infrastructure   investment  prioriKes  list.    This   list,  arrived  at  ajer  an   infrastructure  audit,  idenKfied   a  total  of  $A60  billion  in   priority  projects  across   various  infrastructure  sectors.   However  now  IA  has  turned   towards  trying  to  begin  a   naKonal  dialogue  on  the  use   of  congesKon  pricing  to   finance  new  projects  and   manage  exisKng  capacity.  
  • 30. COAG   •  Also  very  acKve  has  been  the  Council  of   Australian  Governments  (COAG)  which   is  the  main  authority  through  which   Commonwealth  and  State  and  local   governments  plan  and  coordinate   various  iniKaKves.   •  This  body  is  designed  to  do  forward   thinking  and  is  also  the  forum  where   leaders  meet  to  design  and  do  ‘deals’   on  major  federal  policies.   •  COAG  has  an  acKve  agenda  on  road   finance  reform  –  though  no  major   breakthroughs  yet.  
  • 31. Prognosis   •  Whither  Australian  transport?   •  Australia  has  a  great  deal  of  experKse  in  PPPs  and  these   will  need  to  be  a  major  part  of  the  funding  soluKon  there.   •  However  its  public  sector  has  not  been  especially   proacKve  or  innovaKve  on  public  revenue  enhancements   outside  of  private  parKcipaKon.      There  is  much  room  for   growth  there.   •  There  are  also  sound  and  respected  governmental  bodies   doing  good  thinking  –  but  liIle  take-­‐up  by  poliKcal   leaders.   •  The  pieces  of  a  soluKon  are  there  but  nobody  wants  to   take  the  hard  knocks  to  put  them  together.