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Demonetisation
Presented by
Akshay Kumar Sethia
Registration No. A01-1112-1428-
14
Roll No. 14-300-3-01-0413
Under the guidance of
Prof. Sremoyee Guha Roy
Assistant Professor
St. Xavier’s College
-Journey Of BLACK Turning WHITE
Contents
2016
Various modes of payment
Demonetisation
Effects
Merits & Demerits
History
History in India
Objective of the study
Research Methodology
Analysis
Evasion Attempts in India
Sectors Affected
Expert Speak
Benefits
Support
Opposition
Conclusion
Way forward
2
2016
3
Various modes of Payment
Barter System- Inevitably, low-income and rural households have been hardest hit
by Government’s currency reform. Barter economies have reportedly sprung up in
many towns and villages.
Cash- India’s economy relies predominantly on cash. An estimated 600 million
Indians—nearly half the country’s population—are without a bank account. Three
hundred million have no government identification, necessary to open an account.
E-Payment- The content of this exchange is form of digital financial instrument
(such as encrypted credit card numbers, electronic cheques or digital cash) that is
backed by a bank or an intermediary, or by a legal tender.
4
Demonetisation
Demonetization is the act of stripping
a currency unit of its status as legal
tender.
There are multiple reasons why
nations demonetize their local units
of currency:
• Liquidity & Inflation
• Counterfeiting
• Black Market/ Money Laundering
• Organised Crimes/ Terrorism
• Other Economic emergencies
5
Effects
Parallel
Economy
Money
Supply
Demand Prices
Economic
Entities
Gdp Bank
Online
Transaction
6
Merits and Demerits
Merits
Unaccounted
Money
Terror Funding Accountability
Demerits
Chaos Costly
Other
Sources
Poor
People affected
7
History
Successful
US 1969
Britain 1971
Australia 1996
European Union 2002
Zimbabwe 2009
Unsuccessful
Ghana 1982
Nigeria 1984
Myanmar 1987
Zaire/Congo 1990
Soviet Union 1991
Others
Singapore(1945)
Fiji(1969)
North Korea(2010)
Philippines(2015)
Venezuela(2016)
8
History in India
On 12th January
1946, 500, Rs. 1,000 and Rs.
10,000 notes were declared
invalid as legal tender.
New notes of Rs. 1000, Rs.
5000 and Rs. 10,000 came
into economy in 1954
On 16th January 1978, the
Morarji Desai led-Janata
Party demonetized banknotes
of Rs. 1000, 5000 and 10000.
RBI introduced a new
banknote of Rs. 500 into the
economy in 1987 to contain
inflation
On 8th November 2016, the
old banknotes of Rs. 500 and
Rs. 1000 were barred from
being legal tender and new
notes of Rs. 2000 were soon
introduced
9
Objective of the Study
The study aims at:-
• To study Role of Demonetization.
• To examine the effects of demonetisation in the long run and short run.
• To study the journey of India on becoming a cashless economy.
• To study the benefits of Demonetisation.
• To study rationale behind the demonetisation drive.
• To examine whether the objectives pointed out by the GOI as corollary to the
demonetization process can be achieved by it in reality.
• To analyse whether demonetisation does more harm than good or the other way
round.
10
Research Methodology
Conceptual understanding is developed from relevant research based books, articles, reports and
other existing literature.The study is based on primary & secondary sources of data/information.
Different books, journals, newspapers and relevant websites have been consulted in order to make
the study an effective one. The study attempts to examine the Effect of Demonetisation in India.
Primary data is collected through well- structured questionnaire. Samples of 80 respondents in
Kolkata have been selected by using random sampling method. The collected information were
reviewed and consolidated into a master table. For the purpose of analysis the data were further
processed by using statistical tools. Opinions of academic experts were also sought to capture
view and perceptions on demonetisation. Secondary data has been collected from the leading
financial newspapers, periodicals and relevant websites
11
Primary Data Analysis
Primary data is collected through well- structured questionnaire. Samples of 80 respondents in
Kolkata were received. The questionnaire was designed using google forms. The questionnaire
consisted of 15 questions. The responses were recorded electronically and analysis of the results
are presented below.
We divide the preliminary analysis into two broad section: Demographic Analysis and Subject
Analysis. The Demographic analysis will focus on the type of people surveyed which will decide the
target group of people. On the other hand the subject analysis will focus on specific questions
related to the study.
12
Demographic Analysis
18-30yrs
96%
31 yrs and above
1%
Below 18
3%
Age group
13
Above 5 lakh
5%
Below 5 lakh
26%
No income
69%
Income group
8
2
70
Salaried
Self employed
Student
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Occupation
Subject Analysis
Maybe
20%
No
17%
Yes
63%
Do you believe in the concept of "Cash-
Less" Economy?
14
65
13
16
74
54
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Mobile wallet
Unified Payments Interface (UPI)
USSD based Mobile Banking
Credit Cards/ Debit Cards
Internet Banking
Nature of transaction
Maybe No Yes
Total 15 15 50
15 15
50
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Do you think Demonetisation was good
for the economy
15
25
50
5
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Good motive ,Successful
implementation
Good motive, unsucessful
implementation
Ulterior motive
Good motive
,Successful
implementation
Good motive,
unsucessful
implementation
Ulterior motive
Total 25 50 5
How do you view this Demonetisation
drive
Maybe
24%
No
40%
Yes
36%
Do you think Demonetisation was an eye-wash
Maybe No Yes
Total 18 48 14
18
48
14
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Was this move made just to influence the
election in various states
16
Maybe
26%
No
20%
Yes
54%
Was RBI taken into consideration?
Maybe No Yes
Total 12 22 46
12
22
46
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Do you think that Demonetisation will have
good results in the long run?
Maybe
24%
No
36%
Yes
40%
Demonetization will bring real estate,
higher education, healthcare in common
man's reach.
Maybe No Yes
Total 18 22 40
18
22
40
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Is the Remonetisation task over or it will take
some more time
17Middle Class Poor Class Rich Class
Total 46 22 12
46
22
12
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Whom do you think the move has
affected the most in the hierarchal
ladder of India's economy? The rich, the
middle class or the poor?
1 2 3 4 5
NO OF REPONDENTS 7 13 28 22 10
7
13
28
22
10
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Overall, what do you think about the
government's moves to tackle black
money?
• In general the reply was- The main objective of demonetization is to promote digitization.
Digitization of most of the transaction will be directly included in the GDP which is not currently
included. If the transaction will be routed through banking system, how much a person earned
from which source and how much he expanded where can be easily ascertained. It may be
predicted that in future tax structure may be reduced and a lower tax rates will be charged. Along
with GST, demonetization will have vital impact on Indian economy in the long run. The move was
good but lacked adequate execution. A proper planning was needed before implementation.
Moreover one of the motive according to me is to gain vote in upcoming election of 2019. This
move severely affected the middle class.
• Demonetisation.docx
• Demonetisation.xlsx
18
Secondary Data Analysis
14 lakh
crore
86%
Demoneti
sed
currency
55
People
died
10000
Indian
1 branch
per
132834
branch
in
38% rural
area
No bank
account
165
million
have
19
120
crore-
paytm
7 million
transactio
n
Old
notes
piled
300^Mt
everest
18 Atm
100000
adults
access to
1.28 lakh
crore
Cost in 50
days
Post sbi
1.2 trillion
deposited
+60%Credit card
11
Billionare
s
+16%
wealth
-30/40%cigarette
E-
cimmerce
-30% Cod
+108%Debit card
20
Overall
industrial
output
-1.9% Food
inflation
3.22% in
oct
2.11% Retail
inflation
4.2% in oct
3.63%
Ratio of
currency to
GDP
10.8% Railway
tickets
Booked
Digitally
58%
Discount by
Irctc for
digial
booking
other
service
5% Discount by
irctc
through
booking
0.5%
Amt
avaialable
with public
for carrying
transaction
-60% Bank A/c
linked with
aadhar of
urban
household
91% Of
household
have
atleast 1
bank a/c
99%
PoS
installed in
Railways
465 Mobile
ATMs
deployed in
India
834 Demonetis
ed
cuurency
received
back
97%
ATMs per
1000sq km
61.88
21
•70% mobile+ D2H recharge
•+200% app download
•+250% transaction value
•+30% saved cards
•Hits 5 million transaction per day over 24000crore
Paytm
•Kochi
•Enquiries doubling to 1000
•Age group 24-35
Monkyasa.com
•Delhi
•20000 to 32000 per dayAstrobuddy
•Askmonk.com, astrobuddy, Monkyasa.com, iZofy.com
•+40-50% inquiries
Online astrology
startups
•+7000% surge in transaction
•Mainly Lemontree, makemytrip, Indigo,Big basket,
Groffers
Mobikwik
•Food technology startup
•Mumbai based
•Accepted old notes
•Orders tripled
Box8
•Chennai based cab aggregator
•Accepted old notesUTOO
•E-commerce startup
•Delivers fresh fish and meat
•I owe you scheme
•Means order now pay later
FreshToHome
•Ola credit
•Allows 7 days creditOla
•Online medical industry
•1 week credit to
•Those who order more than thrice a week
SupplyThis
•New delhi based online gocery
•Short term credit upto rs1000
•Who have shopped more than 10 times
FreshFalSabzi
•Fashion e-commerce platform
•Two weeks creditStyle Cracker
•Haryana, Delhi, UP
•Charges on hourly basis
•Stands in ATM line for you
•90 for 1 hour and discount further
Bookmychotu
•Bengaluru based food startup
•Accepted old notesNight café
Evasion attempts in India
Gold Purchase
Doantion in Temples
Multiple Bank Transactions
Railway Booking
Municipal Tax Payment
Backdated Accounting
22
Sectors Affected
Positives
•E-commerce and Fintech
•Payment gateways
•Cards
•Mobile wallets
•Online retail stores
•Net and payment banks
•e-marketplace
Negatives
•Agriculture
•Luxury goods
•Real Estate
•Commodities
•Traditional Retail
23
Expert’s Speak
• The long term gains are in terms of
1. Reduction in the proportion of pure cash transactions, and
2. A Shift to digital mode of payment,
3. Leading to Recording of all transactions, and
4. Thereby helping to widen tax net.
• ….note ban cannot be a standalone measure to prevent further accumulation of black money as it depends on
future policies of the government such as
1. Improved transparency in governance,
2. Revised tax structures and administration, and
3. Electoral reforms including funding for political parties.
• C Rangarajan,
• Former RBI Governor,
• 32nd Conference of All India Reserve Bank Employees Association,
• Hyderabad, Feb 17, 2017
24
Benefits
Proposal
Benefits
Direct
Benefits
More
Possibilites
Individual
Benefits
Businessman Farmer
Self-
Employed
Salaried
Employee
Doctor
IT
Professional
25
Proposal Benefits
Direct Benefit
• Savings in amount of taxes paid.
• No tax returns & No tax compliance cost.
• Adequate tax revenue for each level of
Government. (Center, State and Local)
• Transparency in the Economy.
• Significant drop in commodity prices.
• Loans from banks at lower rates.
• Substantial Reduction in construction cost.
• Terrorist and anti-national activities can be
controlled.
More Possibilities
• Opportunities for corruption will be minimized.
• Direct subsidy benefits for all the needy.
• Good infrastructure across the country.
• Significant growth in each sector i.e.
Industry, Agriculture and Service.
• Significant growth in employment.
• Social security wherever needed.
• Focus shift for business from tax manipulation to
Innovation.
• Indian business will become globally
competitive.
26
Businessman
No separate
arrangement for tax
payment.
Easy availability of
capital.
Increase in foreign
investments.
Fair and healthy
business competition
Make up of import-
export imbalance.
Long term business
decisions.
End of risk of floating
money.
27
Farmer
Efficient marshalling
of natural resources.
Improved efficiency
of the agriculture
sector.
Easy access to credit
at low rates of
interest.
Latest technology and
new techniques.
Profitable business.
Can stand up for
foreign competition.
Additional source of
income.
28
Self Employed
No separate
arrangement for tax
payment.
Easy availability of
capital.
Virtually equal price
level throughout the
country.
Long term business
decisions.
End of risk of floating
money.
Increase in profit.
More focus on service
and quality.
29
Salaried Employee
Less tax deduction
from salary.
Job security for me.
Growth in desired
career.
Increased purchasing
power.
Comfortable day to
day life.
More employment
opportunities.
Prosperous life.
30
Doctor
Availability of more
seats for education.
Reduced education
cost.
Reduced cost of
infrastructure.
No need to pay taxes
separately as they are
automatically cut.
Credibility established
as tax payer
professional.
Affordable treatment
cost for patients.
More opportunities
for research.
31
IT Professional
No botheration about
taxes at all.
Good infrastructure
support.
Lot of business
opportunities.
Secured Life.
Corruption free and
reliable system to
work with.
Organizations will be
free of heavy taxes.
Good quality
education.
32
Support
The decision met with mixed initial reactions Several bankers like Arundhati Bhattacharya (Chairperson
of State Bank of India) and Chanda Kochhar (MD & CEO of ICICI Bank) appreciated the move in the sense that
it would help curb black money. Businessmen Anand Mahindra (Mahindra Group), Sajjan Jindal (JSW
Group), Kunal Bahl (Snapdeal and FreeCharge) also supported the move adding that it would also accelerate e-
commerce. Infosys founder N. R. Narayana Murthy praised the move.
Finance Minister Arun Jaitley said that demonetisation would clean the complete economic system, increase
the size of economy and revenue base. He mentioned the demonetisation along with the upcoming Goods
and Services Tax (GST) as "an attempt to change the spending habit and lifestyle."
The Indian National Congress spokesperson Randeep Surjewala welcomed the move but remained sceptical
on the consequences that would follow. Chief Minister of Bihar Nitish Kumar supported the move
33
Opposition
A Congress-led opposition, which includes 13 political parties, opposed the current government on the
demonetisation issue in the Winter Session of the Indian Parliament on 16 November 2016. The Chief Minister
of West Bengal Mamata Banerjee also met the President Pranab Mukherjee to oppose the demonetisation.
The debate on demonetisation is known to be initiated by Indian National Congress and Anand Sharma in
the Rajya Sabha on 16 November 2016, while Banerjee is known to be the first to oppose the current
government on the demonetisation.
On 16 November 2016, Banerjee led a rainbow delegation comprising political parties of Trinamool
Congress, Aam Aadmi Party, BJP ally Shiv Sena, Patidar Anamat Andolan Samiti (of Hardik Patel) and National
Conference to Rashtrapati Bhawan to protest against the decision to withdraw the ₹500 and ₹1000 banknotes.
34
Conclusion
Encouraging Cashless Transaction.
Lucky draw to encourage Digital Payment.
IT raids.
More than 3500 notices sent.
Citizens turn watchdog.
Pradhan Mantri Garib Kalyan Yojna.
New Action against Benami Property holders.
Penalty for possession of demonetized notes
35
Way Forward
Details of foreign bank account & asset holders, forex etc.
Jewellery/ Precious Metal Conversions
Benami Property/ Accounts
Digitisation of Indian economy and Transaction transparency
Transformation to a CASH LESS ECONOMY
36
37
References
1. http://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/demonetization.asp
2. http://www.arthakranti.org/about-arthakranti
3. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anil_Bokil
4. http://indiabudget.nic.in/es2016-17/echap03.pdf
5. http://www.dailyo.in/business/demonetisation-currency-change-narendra-modi-bjp-infographics-atm-
bank-rural-urban-paytm/story/1/14236.html
6. http://thetimeliners.com/demonetization-india-timeline
7. http://indianexpress.com/article/business/economy/demonetisation-a-
https://zenodo.org/record/252271/files/44.PDFtimeline-of-govt-announcements-amendments-4381684/
8. https://qz.com/846454/timeline-20-days-of-demonetisation-narendra-modis-biggest-gamble-with-the-
indian-economy/
9. http://newsilike.in/the-journey-of-demonetization/
10. https://www.valueresearchonline.com/story/h2_storyView.asp?str=32446
38
11. https://blog.wisdomjobs.com/impact-demonetization-across-sectors/
12. http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/demonetisation-impacts-indias-billionaire-club-mukesh-
ambani-richest/articleshow/57520281.cms
13. http://www.hindustantimes.com/business-news/demonetisation-fallout-2400-bank-branches-report-
suspicious-transactions-in-nov-dec/story-rPtM3VrYhepestSmFPNd0N.html
14. http://data.conferenceworld.in/SGTB/P680-685.pdf
15. https://zenodo.org/record/252271/files/44.PDF
16. http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/air-india-government-currency-northeast/1/843854.html
17. http://indianexpress.com/article/business/economy/demonetisation-50-days-74-notifications-central-
government-narendra-modi-reserve-bank-of-india-rbi-rules-cash-crunch-ban-4452455/
18. http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/50th-day-of-demonetisation-top-10-
developments/listshow/56217036.cms
19. http://www.livemint.com/Politics/9XNrKKKjknca6owQm8qm7K/Demonetisation-impact-by-numbers-as-
of-14-December.html
20. http://blogs.wsj.com/indiarealtime/2016/11/08/full-text-of-indian-prime-minister-narendra-modis-
speech-on-replacing-largest-rupee-notes/
39
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Demonetisation journey of black turning white

  • 1. Demonetisation Presented by Akshay Kumar Sethia Registration No. A01-1112-1428- 14 Roll No. 14-300-3-01-0413 Under the guidance of Prof. Sremoyee Guha Roy Assistant Professor St. Xavier’s College -Journey Of BLACK Turning WHITE
  • 2. Contents 2016 Various modes of payment Demonetisation Effects Merits & Demerits History History in India Objective of the study Research Methodology Analysis Evasion Attempts in India Sectors Affected Expert Speak Benefits Support Opposition Conclusion Way forward 2
  • 4. Various modes of Payment Barter System- Inevitably, low-income and rural households have been hardest hit by Government’s currency reform. Barter economies have reportedly sprung up in many towns and villages. Cash- India’s economy relies predominantly on cash. An estimated 600 million Indians—nearly half the country’s population—are without a bank account. Three hundred million have no government identification, necessary to open an account. E-Payment- The content of this exchange is form of digital financial instrument (such as encrypted credit card numbers, electronic cheques or digital cash) that is backed by a bank or an intermediary, or by a legal tender. 4
  • 5. Demonetisation Demonetization is the act of stripping a currency unit of its status as legal tender. There are multiple reasons why nations demonetize their local units of currency: • Liquidity & Inflation • Counterfeiting • Black Market/ Money Laundering • Organised Crimes/ Terrorism • Other Economic emergencies 5
  • 7. Merits and Demerits Merits Unaccounted Money Terror Funding Accountability Demerits Chaos Costly Other Sources Poor People affected 7
  • 8. History Successful US 1969 Britain 1971 Australia 1996 European Union 2002 Zimbabwe 2009 Unsuccessful Ghana 1982 Nigeria 1984 Myanmar 1987 Zaire/Congo 1990 Soviet Union 1991 Others Singapore(1945) Fiji(1969) North Korea(2010) Philippines(2015) Venezuela(2016) 8
  • 9. History in India On 12th January 1946, 500, Rs. 1,000 and Rs. 10,000 notes were declared invalid as legal tender. New notes of Rs. 1000, Rs. 5000 and Rs. 10,000 came into economy in 1954 On 16th January 1978, the Morarji Desai led-Janata Party demonetized banknotes of Rs. 1000, 5000 and 10000. RBI introduced a new banknote of Rs. 500 into the economy in 1987 to contain inflation On 8th November 2016, the old banknotes of Rs. 500 and Rs. 1000 were barred from being legal tender and new notes of Rs. 2000 were soon introduced 9
  • 10. Objective of the Study The study aims at:- • To study Role of Demonetization. • To examine the effects of demonetisation in the long run and short run. • To study the journey of India on becoming a cashless economy. • To study the benefits of Demonetisation. • To study rationale behind the demonetisation drive. • To examine whether the objectives pointed out by the GOI as corollary to the demonetization process can be achieved by it in reality. • To analyse whether demonetisation does more harm than good or the other way round. 10
  • 11. Research Methodology Conceptual understanding is developed from relevant research based books, articles, reports and other existing literature.The study is based on primary & secondary sources of data/information. Different books, journals, newspapers and relevant websites have been consulted in order to make the study an effective one. The study attempts to examine the Effect of Demonetisation in India. Primary data is collected through well- structured questionnaire. Samples of 80 respondents in Kolkata have been selected by using random sampling method. The collected information were reviewed and consolidated into a master table. For the purpose of analysis the data were further processed by using statistical tools. Opinions of academic experts were also sought to capture view and perceptions on demonetisation. Secondary data has been collected from the leading financial newspapers, periodicals and relevant websites 11
  • 12. Primary Data Analysis Primary data is collected through well- structured questionnaire. Samples of 80 respondents in Kolkata were received. The questionnaire was designed using google forms. The questionnaire consisted of 15 questions. The responses were recorded electronically and analysis of the results are presented below. We divide the preliminary analysis into two broad section: Demographic Analysis and Subject Analysis. The Demographic analysis will focus on the type of people surveyed which will decide the target group of people. On the other hand the subject analysis will focus on specific questions related to the study. 12
  • 13. Demographic Analysis 18-30yrs 96% 31 yrs and above 1% Below 18 3% Age group 13 Above 5 lakh 5% Below 5 lakh 26% No income 69% Income group 8 2 70 Salaried Self employed Student 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Occupation
  • 14. Subject Analysis Maybe 20% No 17% Yes 63% Do you believe in the concept of "Cash- Less" Economy? 14 65 13 16 74 54 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Mobile wallet Unified Payments Interface (UPI) USSD based Mobile Banking Credit Cards/ Debit Cards Internet Banking Nature of transaction Maybe No Yes Total 15 15 50 15 15 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Do you think Demonetisation was good for the economy
  • 15. 15 25 50 5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Good motive ,Successful implementation Good motive, unsucessful implementation Ulterior motive Good motive ,Successful implementation Good motive, unsucessful implementation Ulterior motive Total 25 50 5 How do you view this Demonetisation drive Maybe 24% No 40% Yes 36% Do you think Demonetisation was an eye-wash Maybe No Yes Total 18 48 14 18 48 14 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Was this move made just to influence the election in various states
  • 16. 16 Maybe 26% No 20% Yes 54% Was RBI taken into consideration? Maybe No Yes Total 12 22 46 12 22 46 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Do you think that Demonetisation will have good results in the long run? Maybe 24% No 36% Yes 40% Demonetization will bring real estate, higher education, healthcare in common man's reach.
  • 17. Maybe No Yes Total 18 22 40 18 22 40 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Is the Remonetisation task over or it will take some more time 17Middle Class Poor Class Rich Class Total 46 22 12 46 22 12 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Whom do you think the move has affected the most in the hierarchal ladder of India's economy? The rich, the middle class or the poor? 1 2 3 4 5 NO OF REPONDENTS 7 13 28 22 10 7 13 28 22 10 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Overall, what do you think about the government's moves to tackle black money?
  • 18. • In general the reply was- The main objective of demonetization is to promote digitization. Digitization of most of the transaction will be directly included in the GDP which is not currently included. If the transaction will be routed through banking system, how much a person earned from which source and how much he expanded where can be easily ascertained. It may be predicted that in future tax structure may be reduced and a lower tax rates will be charged. Along with GST, demonetization will have vital impact on Indian economy in the long run. The move was good but lacked adequate execution. A proper planning was needed before implementation. Moreover one of the motive according to me is to gain vote in upcoming election of 2019. This move severely affected the middle class. • Demonetisation.docx • Demonetisation.xlsx 18
  • 19. Secondary Data Analysis 14 lakh crore 86% Demoneti sed currency 55 People died 10000 Indian 1 branch per 132834 branch in 38% rural area No bank account 165 million have 19 120 crore- paytm 7 million transactio n Old notes piled 300^Mt everest 18 Atm 100000 adults access to 1.28 lakh crore Cost in 50 days Post sbi 1.2 trillion deposited +60%Credit card 11 Billionare s +16% wealth -30/40%cigarette E- cimmerce -30% Cod +108%Debit card
  • 20. 20 Overall industrial output -1.9% Food inflation 3.22% in oct 2.11% Retail inflation 4.2% in oct 3.63% Ratio of currency to GDP 10.8% Railway tickets Booked Digitally 58% Discount by Irctc for digial booking other service 5% Discount by irctc through booking 0.5% Amt avaialable with public for carrying transaction -60% Bank A/c linked with aadhar of urban household 91% Of household have atleast 1 bank a/c 99% PoS installed in Railways 465 Mobile ATMs deployed in India 834 Demonetis ed cuurency received back 97% ATMs per 1000sq km 61.88
  • 21. 21 •70% mobile+ D2H recharge •+200% app download •+250% transaction value •+30% saved cards •Hits 5 million transaction per day over 24000crore Paytm •Kochi •Enquiries doubling to 1000 •Age group 24-35 Monkyasa.com •Delhi •20000 to 32000 per dayAstrobuddy •Askmonk.com, astrobuddy, Monkyasa.com, iZofy.com •+40-50% inquiries Online astrology startups •+7000% surge in transaction •Mainly Lemontree, makemytrip, Indigo,Big basket, Groffers Mobikwik •Food technology startup •Mumbai based •Accepted old notes •Orders tripled Box8 •Chennai based cab aggregator •Accepted old notesUTOO •E-commerce startup •Delivers fresh fish and meat •I owe you scheme •Means order now pay later FreshToHome •Ola credit •Allows 7 days creditOla •Online medical industry •1 week credit to •Those who order more than thrice a week SupplyThis •New delhi based online gocery •Short term credit upto rs1000 •Who have shopped more than 10 times FreshFalSabzi •Fashion e-commerce platform •Two weeks creditStyle Cracker •Haryana, Delhi, UP •Charges on hourly basis •Stands in ATM line for you •90 for 1 hour and discount further Bookmychotu •Bengaluru based food startup •Accepted old notesNight café
  • 22. Evasion attempts in India Gold Purchase Doantion in Temples Multiple Bank Transactions Railway Booking Municipal Tax Payment Backdated Accounting 22
  • 23. Sectors Affected Positives •E-commerce and Fintech •Payment gateways •Cards •Mobile wallets •Online retail stores •Net and payment banks •e-marketplace Negatives •Agriculture •Luxury goods •Real Estate •Commodities •Traditional Retail 23
  • 24. Expert’s Speak • The long term gains are in terms of 1. Reduction in the proportion of pure cash transactions, and 2. A Shift to digital mode of payment, 3. Leading to Recording of all transactions, and 4. Thereby helping to widen tax net. • ….note ban cannot be a standalone measure to prevent further accumulation of black money as it depends on future policies of the government such as 1. Improved transparency in governance, 2. Revised tax structures and administration, and 3. Electoral reforms including funding for political parties. • C Rangarajan, • Former RBI Governor, • 32nd Conference of All India Reserve Bank Employees Association, • Hyderabad, Feb 17, 2017 24
  • 26. Proposal Benefits Direct Benefit • Savings in amount of taxes paid. • No tax returns & No tax compliance cost. • Adequate tax revenue for each level of Government. (Center, State and Local) • Transparency in the Economy. • Significant drop in commodity prices. • Loans from banks at lower rates. • Substantial Reduction in construction cost. • Terrorist and anti-national activities can be controlled. More Possibilities • Opportunities for corruption will be minimized. • Direct subsidy benefits for all the needy. • Good infrastructure across the country. • Significant growth in each sector i.e. Industry, Agriculture and Service. • Significant growth in employment. • Social security wherever needed. • Focus shift for business from tax manipulation to Innovation. • Indian business will become globally competitive. 26
  • 27. Businessman No separate arrangement for tax payment. Easy availability of capital. Increase in foreign investments. Fair and healthy business competition Make up of import- export imbalance. Long term business decisions. End of risk of floating money. 27
  • 28. Farmer Efficient marshalling of natural resources. Improved efficiency of the agriculture sector. Easy access to credit at low rates of interest. Latest technology and new techniques. Profitable business. Can stand up for foreign competition. Additional source of income. 28
  • 29. Self Employed No separate arrangement for tax payment. Easy availability of capital. Virtually equal price level throughout the country. Long term business decisions. End of risk of floating money. Increase in profit. More focus on service and quality. 29
  • 30. Salaried Employee Less tax deduction from salary. Job security for me. Growth in desired career. Increased purchasing power. Comfortable day to day life. More employment opportunities. Prosperous life. 30
  • 31. Doctor Availability of more seats for education. Reduced education cost. Reduced cost of infrastructure. No need to pay taxes separately as they are automatically cut. Credibility established as tax payer professional. Affordable treatment cost for patients. More opportunities for research. 31
  • 32. IT Professional No botheration about taxes at all. Good infrastructure support. Lot of business opportunities. Secured Life. Corruption free and reliable system to work with. Organizations will be free of heavy taxes. Good quality education. 32
  • 33. Support The decision met with mixed initial reactions Several bankers like Arundhati Bhattacharya (Chairperson of State Bank of India) and Chanda Kochhar (MD & CEO of ICICI Bank) appreciated the move in the sense that it would help curb black money. Businessmen Anand Mahindra (Mahindra Group), Sajjan Jindal (JSW Group), Kunal Bahl (Snapdeal and FreeCharge) also supported the move adding that it would also accelerate e- commerce. Infosys founder N. R. Narayana Murthy praised the move. Finance Minister Arun Jaitley said that demonetisation would clean the complete economic system, increase the size of economy and revenue base. He mentioned the demonetisation along with the upcoming Goods and Services Tax (GST) as "an attempt to change the spending habit and lifestyle." The Indian National Congress spokesperson Randeep Surjewala welcomed the move but remained sceptical on the consequences that would follow. Chief Minister of Bihar Nitish Kumar supported the move 33
  • 34. Opposition A Congress-led opposition, which includes 13 political parties, opposed the current government on the demonetisation issue in the Winter Session of the Indian Parliament on 16 November 2016. The Chief Minister of West Bengal Mamata Banerjee also met the President Pranab Mukherjee to oppose the demonetisation. The debate on demonetisation is known to be initiated by Indian National Congress and Anand Sharma in the Rajya Sabha on 16 November 2016, while Banerjee is known to be the first to oppose the current government on the demonetisation. On 16 November 2016, Banerjee led a rainbow delegation comprising political parties of Trinamool Congress, Aam Aadmi Party, BJP ally Shiv Sena, Patidar Anamat Andolan Samiti (of Hardik Patel) and National Conference to Rashtrapati Bhawan to protest against the decision to withdraw the ₹500 and ₹1000 banknotes. 34
  • 35. Conclusion Encouraging Cashless Transaction. Lucky draw to encourage Digital Payment. IT raids. More than 3500 notices sent. Citizens turn watchdog. Pradhan Mantri Garib Kalyan Yojna. New Action against Benami Property holders. Penalty for possession of demonetized notes 35
  • 36. Way Forward Details of foreign bank account & asset holders, forex etc. Jewellery/ Precious Metal Conversions Benami Property/ Accounts Digitisation of Indian economy and Transaction transparency Transformation to a CASH LESS ECONOMY 36
  • 37. 37
  • 38. References 1. http://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/demonetization.asp 2. http://www.arthakranti.org/about-arthakranti 3. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anil_Bokil 4. http://indiabudget.nic.in/es2016-17/echap03.pdf 5. http://www.dailyo.in/business/demonetisation-currency-change-narendra-modi-bjp-infographics-atm- bank-rural-urban-paytm/story/1/14236.html 6. http://thetimeliners.com/demonetization-india-timeline 7. http://indianexpress.com/article/business/economy/demonetisation-a- https://zenodo.org/record/252271/files/44.PDFtimeline-of-govt-announcements-amendments-4381684/ 8. https://qz.com/846454/timeline-20-days-of-demonetisation-narendra-modis-biggest-gamble-with-the- indian-economy/ 9. http://newsilike.in/the-journey-of-demonetization/ 10. https://www.valueresearchonline.com/story/h2_storyView.asp?str=32446 38
  • 39. 11. https://blog.wisdomjobs.com/impact-demonetization-across-sectors/ 12. http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/demonetisation-impacts-indias-billionaire-club-mukesh- ambani-richest/articleshow/57520281.cms 13. http://www.hindustantimes.com/business-news/demonetisation-fallout-2400-bank-branches-report- suspicious-transactions-in-nov-dec/story-rPtM3VrYhepestSmFPNd0N.html 14. http://data.conferenceworld.in/SGTB/P680-685.pdf 15. https://zenodo.org/record/252271/files/44.PDF 16. http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/air-india-government-currency-northeast/1/843854.html 17. http://indianexpress.com/article/business/economy/demonetisation-50-days-74-notifications-central- government-narendra-modi-reserve-bank-of-india-rbi-rules-cash-crunch-ban-4452455/ 18. http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/50th-day-of-demonetisation-top-10- developments/listshow/56217036.cms 19. http://www.livemint.com/Politics/9XNrKKKjknca6owQm8qm7K/Demonetisation-impact-by-numbers-as- of-14-December.html 20. http://blogs.wsj.com/indiarealtime/2016/11/08/full-text-of-indian-prime-minister-narendra-modis- speech-on-replacing-largest-rupee-notes/ 39