...

1. • Involves both rational analysis and creative thinking
• Allows for a dialogue around worldviews by
acknowledgement of systemic drivers and enhance the
sharing of visions.
Scenario Planning

2. Independent
Aotearoa
Fruits
for a Few
Livin
g on
No. 8
Wire
New Frontiers
Adapted from: Work in progress: four future scenarios for New Zealand. Developed by the Landcare Research
Scenarios Working Group; documented with additional commentary by Rhys Taylor, Bob Frame, Kate Delaney and
Melissa Brignall-Theyer. 2nd ed. – Lincoln, N.Z.: Published by Manaaki Whenua Press, 2007.
Game Participants’
Perceptions of where NZ is in 2006-7
Resources: Plenty
Resources: Depleted
Identity: Individual Identity: Collective

3. Independent
Aotearoa
Fruits for
a Few
Living on
No. 8 Wire
New
Frontiers
Games Participants’
Desired Location for NZ in 2055
Work in progress: four future scenarios for New Zealand. Developed by the Landcare Research Scenarios Working
Group; documented with additional commentary by Rhys Taylor, Bob Frame, Kate Delaney and Melissa Brignall-
Theyer. 2nd ed. – Lincoln, N.Z.: Published by Manaaki Whenua Press, 2007.
Resources: Plenty
Identity: Individual Identity: Collective
Resources: Depleted

4. Current Trend Direction
from 2006 (starting near the centre)
Work in progress: four future scenarios for New Zealand. Developed by the Landcare Research Scenarios Working
Group; documented with additional commentary by Rhys Taylor, Bob Frame, Kate Delaney and Melissa Brignall-
Theyer. 2nd ed. – Lincoln, N.Z.: Published by Manaaki Whenua Press, 2007.
Independent
Aotearoa
Fruits for
a Few
Living on
No. 8 Wire
New
Frontiers
Resources: Plenty
Identity: Individual Identity: Collective
Resources: Depleted

5. The Dominion Post, 5 Sep 2012
Do ‘the few’ see it coming?