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#SocialScienceLive
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When Science
and Politics
Collide
#SocialScienceLive
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Elizabeth Suhay
Co-editor of the Politics of Science issue of
ANNALS and Assistant Professor of
Government at the School of Public Affairs,
American University
#SocialScienceLive
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While we do our best to answer as many questions as we can, time constraints
may not allow us to answer every question. Thank you for understanding.
Send us your questions!
Send in your questions
via the Question Box
on your screen. →
Using Twitter? Use
the hashtag
#SocialScienceLive.
#SocialScienceLive
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Dan M. Kahan
Elizabeth K. Dollard Professor of
Law and Professor of Psychology,
Yale Law School
Francis X. Shen
McKnight Land-Grant Professor
and Associate Professor of Law,
University of Minnesota
#SocialScienceLive
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston#SocialScienceLive
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
Science is inevitably political
• Science helps us to understand the world around us,
including …
• What problems we face
• Who is responsible for those problems
• Efficient ways to solve those problems
• For these reasons, science informs public policy and law
#SocialScienceLive
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Science is inevitably political
• Because of science’s ability to direct human activity
through policy and law, people fight over it
• Coalitions seek to …
• Discredit science that undermines their values / interests
• Promote science that bolsters their values / interests
• Interpret, frame, spin science (where implications
ambiguous)
• Sometimes conscious, often not
• Let’s make the ubiquity of science bias better known!
#SocialScienceLive
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Outline of today’s webinar
• Introduction
• Dan Kahan presentation
• Francis Shen presentation
• Panelist discussion
• Audience Q&A
#SocialScienceLive
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
Dan M. Kahan
Yale University
& many x 103 others
www.culturalcognition.net
Belief in Climate Change: What We Know
vs. Who We Are
Research Supported by:
National Science Foundation, SES-0922714
Annenberg Center for Public Policy
Skoll Global Threats Fund
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What am I talking about?
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
What am I talking about?
Everything I know about climate science communication:
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
What am I talking about?
Everything I know about climate science communication:
#SocialScienceLive
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
What am I talking about?
Everything I know about climate science communication:
What ordinary members of the public “believe” about climate
change
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
What am I talking about?
Everything I know about climate science communication:
What ordinary members of the public “believe” about climate
change doesn’t reflect what they know;
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
What am I talking about?
Everything I know about climate science communication:
What ordinary members of the public “believe” about climate
change doesn’t reflect what they know; ; it expresses who they
are.
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
“Belief” in evolution
#SocialScienceLive
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston#SocialScienceLive
“Ordinary Science Intelligence”
Assessment
OSI_1.0 OSI_2.0
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Ordinary science intelligence: item response functions
Nationally representative sample. Colored bars reflect 0.95 level of confidence
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Ordinary science intelligence: item response functions
Nationally representative sample. Colored bars reflect 0.95 level of confidence
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
Ordinary science intelligence: item response functions
Nationally representative sample. Colored bars reflect 0.95 level of confidence
#SocialScienceLive
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
Ordinary science intelligence: item response functions
Nationally representative sample. Colored bars reflect 0.95 level of confidence
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
Ordinary science intelligence: item response functions
Nationally representative sample. Colored bars reflect 0.95 level of confidence
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
Ordinary science intelligence: item response functions
Nationally representative sample. Colored bars reflect 0.95 level of confidence
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
Ordinary science intelligence: item response functions
Nationally representative sample. Colored bars reflect 0.95 level of confidence
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
Ordinary science intelligence: item response functions
Nationally representative sample. Colored bars reflect 0.95 level of confidence
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
Teaching evolution to “nonbelievers”
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
“Belief” in global warming
Annenberg Center for Public Policy & Cultural Cognition Project. N’ = 1957.
Nationally representative sample, April/May 2014 (YouGov). CIs reflect 0.95
level of confidence intervals. Source: Kahan, D. The Science Communication
Measurement Problem, Adv. in Pol. Psych. (in press).
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
“Belief” in global warming
Annenberg Center for Public Policy & Cultural Cognition Project. N’ = 1957.
Nationally representative sample, April/May 2014 (YouGov). CIs reflect 0.95
level of confidence intervals. Source: Kahan, D. The Science Communication
Measurement Problem, Adv. in Pol. Psych. (in press).
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
“Belief” in global warming
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
< avg. Left_right
> avg. Left_right
Science ComprehensionVery low
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
< avg. Left_right
> avg. Left_right
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
Very low Very highScience comprehension
None at all
Extremely high
risk
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
> avg. Left_right
< avg. Left_right
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
Science Comprehension
Very low Very high
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
Ordinary Science Intelligence
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
> avg. Left_right
< avg. Left_right
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
Science Comprehension
Very low Very high
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
globalwarmingrisk
Annenberg Center for Public Policy & Cultural Cognition Project. N’ = 1957.
Nationally representative sample, April/May 2014 (YouGov). CIs reflect 0.95
level of confidence intervals. Source: Kahan, D. The Science Communication
Measurement Problem, Adv. in Pol. Psych. (in press).
Kahan, D.M., Peters, E., Wittlin, M., Slovic, P., Ouellette, L.L., Braman, D. & Mandel,
G. The polarizing impact of science literacy and numeracy on perceived climate
change risks. Nature Climate Change 2, 732-735 (2012).
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
r = - 0.65, p < 0.01
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
“Belief” in global warming
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
< avg. Left_right
> avg. Left_right
Science ComprehensionVery low
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
< avg. Left_right
> avg. Left_right
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
Very low Very highScience comprehension
None at all
Extremely high
risk
globalwarmingrisk
Annenberg Center for Public Policy & Cultural Cognition Project. N’ = 1957.
Nationally representative sample, April/May 2014 (YouGov). CIs reflect 0.95
level of confidence intervals. Source: Kahan, D. The Science Communication
Measurement Problem, Adv. in Pol. Psych. (in press).
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
“Belief” in global warming
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
< avg. Left_right
> avg. Left_right
Science ComprehensionVery low
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
< avg. Left_right
> avg. Left_right
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
Very low Very highScience comprehension
None at all
Extremely high
risk
globalwarmingrisk
Annenberg Center for Public Policy & Cultural Cognition Project. N’ = 1957.
Nationally representative sample, April/May 2014 (YouGov). CIs reflect 0.95
level of confidence intervals. Source: Kahan, D. The Science Communication
Measurement Problem, Adv. in Pol. Psych. (in press).
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
“Belief” in global warming
globalwarmingrisk
0
.1.2.3.4.5.6.7.8.9
1
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
< avg. Left_right
> avg. Left_right
Science ComprehensionVery low
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
< avg. Left_right
> avg. Left_right
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
Very low Very highScience comprehension
None at all
Extremely high
risk
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
> avg. Left_right
< avg. Left_right
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
Science Comprehension
Very low Very high
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
globalwarmingrisk
Kahan, D.M., Peters, E., Wittlin, M., Slovic, P., Ouellette, L.L., Braman, D. & Mandel,
G. The polarizing impact of science literacy and numeracy on perceived climate
change risks. Nature Climate Change 2, 732-735 (2012).
Annenberg Center for Public Policy & Cultural Cognition Project. N’ = 1957.
Nationally representative sample, April/May 2014 (YouGov). CIs reflect 0.95
level of confidence intervals. Source: Kahan, D. The Science Communication
Measurement Problem, Adv. in Pol. Psych. (in press).
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
“Belief” in global warming
0
.1
.2
.3
.4
.5
.6
.7
.8
.9
1
-2.5 -1 0 1 2.599th percentile1st percentile 84th percentile16th percentile 50th percentile
Probabilityofcorrectresponse
There is “solid evidence” of recent global warming
due “mostly” to “human activity such as burning
fossil fuels.”
Ordinary Science Intelligence
Liberal
Democrat
Conservative
Republican
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
> avg. Left_right
< avg. Left_right
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
Science Comprehension
Very low Very high
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 2101234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
> avg. Left_right
< avg. Left_right
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
Science Comprehension
Very low Very high
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 2101234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
> avg. Left_right
< avg. Left_right
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
Science Comprehension
Very low Very high
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
> avg. Left_right
< avg. Left_right
01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
Science Comprehension
Very low Very high
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 2101234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
Annenberg Center for Public Policy & Cultural Cognition Project. N’ = 1957.
Nationally representative sample, April/May 2014 (YouGov). CIs reflect 0.95
level of confidence intervals. Source: Kahan, D. The Science Communication
Measurement Problem, Adv. in Pol. Psych. (in press).
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
“Belief” in global warming
0
.1
.2
.3
.4
.5
.6
.7
.8
.9
1
-2.5 -1 0 1 2.599th percentile1st percentile 84th percentile16th percentile 50th percentile
Probabilityofcorrectresponse
There is “solid evidence” of recent global warming
due “mostly” to “human activity such as burning
fossil fuels.”
Ordinary Science Intelligence
Liberal
Democrat
Conservative
Republican
Annenberg Center for Public Policy & Cultural Cognition Project. N’ = 1957.
Nationally representative sample, April/May 2014 (YouGov). CIs reflect 0.95
level of confidence intervals. Source: Kahan, D. The Science Communication
Measurement Problem, Adv. in Pol. Psych. (in press).
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
Teaching evolution to “nonbelievers”
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
This measures who we are . . .
Nationally representative sample. Colored bars reflect 0.95 level of confidence
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
This measures who we are . . . so measure what we know
instead
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
Disentanglement principle:
“Don’t make reasoning, free people choose between
knowing what’s known & being who they are!”
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
Disentanglement principle:
“Don’t make reasoning, free people choose between
knowing what’s known & being who they are!”
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
Disentanglement principle:
“Don’t make reasoning, free people choose between
knowing what’s known & being who they are!”
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
Disentanglement principle:
“Don’t make reasoning, free people choose between
knowing what’s known & being who they are!”
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
The climate science communication measurement problem:
What we know Who we arevs.
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
What we know Who we are
How to disentangle
from
The climate science communication measurement problem:
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
Disentangling knowledge & identity: a lab experiment
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
Cultural Cognition Project SE Fla. evidence-based science
communication initiative
Disentangling knowledge & identity: field studies
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
“How much risk do you believe global warming poses to human health,
safety, or prosperity?”
United States as a whole (summer 2013)
Southeast Florida (Fall 2013)
no risk at all
Egalitarian communitarian
Hierarch individualist
A polluted science communication environment . . .
An unpolluted one . . .
no risk
at all
01234567
-1.6 -1 0 1 1.6
None at all
Extremely high
risk
Very low
Low
Between low
and moderate
Moderate
Between moderate
and high
High
Very liberal
Strong Democrat
Very Conservative
Strong Republican
Liberal
Democrat
Conservative
Republican
Moderate
Independent
r = - 0.65, p < 0.01
Left_right
“How much risk do you believe fluoridated water poses to human
health, safety, or prosperity?”
01234567
-1.6 -1 0 1 1.6
01234567
-1.6 -1 0 1 1.6
r = 0.07, p < 0.01
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
“How much risk do you believe medical x-rays poses to human
health, safety, or prosperity?”
None at all
Extremely high
risk
Very low
Low
Between low
and moderate
Moderate
Between moderate
and high
High
Science Comprehension
34567
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
> avg. Left_right
< avg. Left_right
Extremely
high risk
no risk
at all
Extremely
high riskno risk
at all
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
None at all
Extremely high
risk
Very low
Low
Between low
and moderate
Moderate
Between moderate
and high
High
Science Comprehension
> avg. Left_right
< avg. Left_right
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Extremely
high risk
“How much risk do you believe global warming poses to human health, safety,
or prosperity?”
4 SE Fla. Counties
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
-1.6 -1 0 1 1.6
None at all
Extremely high
risk
Very liberal
Strong Democrat
Very Conservative
Strong Republican
Moderate
Independent
r = 0.07, p < 0.01
< avg. Left_right
> avg. Left_right
Science ComprehensionVery low
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
< avg. Left_right
> avg. Left_right
01234567
-1.6 -1 0 1 1.6
r = - 0.65, p < 0.01
Very high
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
Global warming
01234567
-1.6 -1 0 1 1.6
Very liberal
Strong Democrat
Very Conservative
Strong Republican
Liberal
Democrat
Conservative
Republican
Moderate
Independent
r = - 0.60, p < 0.01
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
01234567
-1.6 -1 0 1 1.6
None at all
Extremely high
risk
Very liberal
Strong Democrat
Very Conservative
Strong Republican
Moderate
Independent
r = 0.07, p < 0.01
< avg. Left_right
> avg. Left_right
Science ComprehensionVery low
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
< avg. Left_right
> avg. Left_right
01234567
-1.6 -1 0 1 1.6
r = - 0.65, p < 0.01
Very high
01234567
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
34567
Global warming
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
4 SE Fla. Counties
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
Disentanglement principle:
“Don’t make reasoning, free people choose between
knowing what’s known & being who they are!”
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
What is to be done? You tell me!
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
Communicate normality
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
Not “us vs. them”
just us, using what we know
Communicate normality
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
Proselytizing the normality of climate science
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
Not “us vs. them”
just us, using what we know
Communicate normality
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
Just us, using what we know!
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
Just us, using what we know!
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
Communicate normality
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
New data: shame & critical reasoning!
www.culturalcognition.net
Science Narratives and the
Law: The Link from Lab to
Legislature
Francis X. Shen
University of Minnesota Law School
MacArthur Foundation Research Network on Law &
Neuroscience
May 12, 2015
www.lawneuro.org
Politics and the Future of
Neuroscience, Law, and
Public Policy
Science Narratives
and the Link from Lab to
Legislature
The Brain Takes Center Stage
Politics and the Future of
Neuroscience, Law, and
Public Policy
Science Narratives
and the Link from Lab to
Legislature
The Brain Takes Center Stage
Source: Michael S. Gazzaniga, Neuroscience In The
Courtroom, 304 SCIENTIFIC AMERICAN 54 (2011).
Neuroscientific Evidence In Court
:: Culpability and Mitigation
Politics and the Future of
Neuroscience, Law, and
Public Policy
Science Narratives
and the Link from Lab to
Legislature
The Brain Takes Center Stage
Motivation
:: We see similar issues arising in statehouse as in courthouse
Lab
Neuroscience
Law,
Legislation
Lawyer
Neuroscience
Lay
Neuroscience
Legislator
Neuroscience
Lobbyist
Neuroscience
Enabling (or hindering) research
Media Schools Outreach
Neuroscience Narratives
:: Constructing a narrative: from lab to legislation
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Number of Proposed Brain-Related Bills, by Year
(All state legislatures, 1997-2009)
Neuroscience Narratives
:: Topics covered by brain bills
Alzheimer’s * Autism * Brain Death * Brain
Injury * Civil Commitment * Crime Victims * Criminal
Defense * Early Childhood * Education * End of
Life * Foster Care * Health Care * Juvenile
Justice * Mental Health * Military Veterans *
Neonatal * Parkinson’s * Parole * Post Traumatic Stress
Disorder * Privacy * Sex Offenders * Shaken Baby
Syndrome * Special Education * Sports
Concussions * Toxins * Veterans Courts
Politics and the Future of
Neuroscience, Law, and
Public Policy
Science Narratives
and the Link from Lab to
Legislature
The Brain Takes Center Stage
The Public
:: Self-reported knowledge in national sample, N = 814
How knowledgeable would you say you are about science?
How knowledgeable would you say you are about neuroscience?
2%
6%
11%
34%
24%
14%
8%
19%
25%
23%
17%
10%
5%
0%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Not at all knowledgeable Somewhat knowledgeable Very knowledgeable
Science Knowledgge
Neuro Knowledge
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Strongly
Disapprove
Disapprove Neither
Approve Nor
Disapprove
Approve Strongly
Approve
Democrat Independent Republican
The Public
:: Approval of neuroscience-based legal reforms, N = 1,004 (National CARAVAN sample)
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
Democrat Independent Republican
ApprovalofNeurolaw
(1=StronglyDisapprove,5=StronglyApprove)
Control Prosecution Defense
*** p = .001
*** p < .001
The Public
:: Effect of issue framing, by political party
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
Panelist Discussion
#SocialScienceLive
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
While we do our best to answer as many questions as we can, time constraints
may not allow us to answer every question. Thank you for understanding.
Send us your questions!
Send in your questions
via the Question Box
on your screen. →
Using Twitter? Use
the hashtag
#SocialScienceLive.
#SocialScienceLive
Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
Webinar recording, slides, and follow-up Q&A will be emailed to you and available on
socialsciencespace.com.
Thank you!
Be sure to check our website for updates on our webinar series!
#SocialScienceLive

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When Science and Politics Collide

  • 1. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Make sure your volume is set appropriately Make sure you have followed the instructions on your keypad properly Make sure everything is plugged in properly to assure your devices are working correctly If you have audio or visual difficulties, please let us know via the Question box and we will be happy to assist you. Please Check Your Settings #SocialScienceLive
  • 2. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston When Science and Politics Collide #SocialScienceLive
  • 3. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Elizabeth Suhay Co-editor of the Politics of Science issue of ANNALS and Assistant Professor of Government at the School of Public Affairs, American University #SocialScienceLive
  • 4. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston While we do our best to answer as many questions as we can, time constraints may not allow us to answer every question. Thank you for understanding. Send us your questions! Send in your questions via the Question Box on your screen. → Using Twitter? Use the hashtag #SocialScienceLive. #SocialScienceLive
  • 5. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Dan M. Kahan Elizabeth K. Dollard Professor of Law and Professor of Psychology, Yale Law School Francis X. Shen McKnight Land-Grant Professor and Associate Professor of Law, University of Minnesota #SocialScienceLive
  • 6. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston#SocialScienceLive
  • 7. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Science is inevitably political • Science helps us to understand the world around us, including … • What problems we face • Who is responsible for those problems • Efficient ways to solve those problems • For these reasons, science informs public policy and law #SocialScienceLive
  • 8. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Science is inevitably political • Because of science’s ability to direct human activity through policy and law, people fight over it • Coalitions seek to … • Discredit science that undermines their values / interests • Promote science that bolsters their values / interests • Interpret, frame, spin science (where implications ambiguous) • Sometimes conscious, often not • Let’s make the ubiquity of science bias better known! #SocialScienceLive
  • 9. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Outline of today’s webinar • Introduction • Dan Kahan presentation • Francis Shen presentation • Panelist discussion • Audience Q&A #SocialScienceLive
  • 10. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Dan M. Kahan Yale University & many x 103 others www.culturalcognition.net Belief in Climate Change: What We Know vs. Who We Are Research Supported by: National Science Foundation, SES-0922714 Annenberg Center for Public Policy Skoll Global Threats Fund
  • 11. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston What am I talking about?
  • 12. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston What am I talking about? Everything I know about climate science communication:
  • 13. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston What am I talking about? Everything I know about climate science communication: #SocialScienceLive
  • 14. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston What am I talking about? Everything I know about climate science communication: What ordinary members of the public “believe” about climate change
  • 15. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston What am I talking about? Everything I know about climate science communication: What ordinary members of the public “believe” about climate change doesn’t reflect what they know;
  • 16. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston What am I talking about? Everything I know about climate science communication: What ordinary members of the public “believe” about climate change doesn’t reflect what they know; ; it expresses who they are.
  • 17. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston “Belief” in evolution #SocialScienceLive
  • 18. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston#SocialScienceLive “Ordinary Science Intelligence” Assessment OSI_1.0 OSI_2.0
  • 19. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Ordinary science intelligence: item response functions Nationally representative sample. Colored bars reflect 0.95 level of confidence
  • 20. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Ordinary science intelligence: item response functions Nationally representative sample. Colored bars reflect 0.95 level of confidence
  • 21. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Ordinary science intelligence: item response functions Nationally representative sample. Colored bars reflect 0.95 level of confidence #SocialScienceLive
  • 22. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Ordinary science intelligence: item response functions Nationally representative sample. Colored bars reflect 0.95 level of confidence
  • 23. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Ordinary science intelligence: item response functions Nationally representative sample. Colored bars reflect 0.95 level of confidence
  • 24. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Ordinary science intelligence: item response functions Nationally representative sample. Colored bars reflect 0.95 level of confidence
  • 25. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Ordinary science intelligence: item response functions Nationally representative sample. Colored bars reflect 0.95 level of confidence
  • 26. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Ordinary science intelligence: item response functions Nationally representative sample. Colored bars reflect 0.95 level of confidence
  • 27. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Teaching evolution to “nonbelievers”
  • 28. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston “Belief” in global warming Annenberg Center for Public Policy & Cultural Cognition Project. N’ = 1957. Nationally representative sample, April/May 2014 (YouGov). CIs reflect 0.95 level of confidence intervals. Source: Kahan, D. The Science Communication Measurement Problem, Adv. in Pol. Psych. (in press).
  • 29. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston “Belief” in global warming Annenberg Center for Public Policy & Cultural Cognition Project. N’ = 1957. Nationally representative sample, April/May 2014 (YouGov). CIs reflect 0.95 level of confidence intervals. Source: Kahan, D. The Science Communication Measurement Problem, Adv. in Pol. Psych. (in press).
  • 30. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston “Belief” in global warming 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 < avg. Left_right > avg. Left_right Science ComprehensionVery low 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 < avg. Left_right > avg. Left_right 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 Very low Very highScience comprehension None at all Extremely high risk 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 > avg. Left_right < avg. Left_right 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 Science Comprehension Very low Very high 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 Ordinary Science Intelligence 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 > avg. Left_right < avg. Left_right 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 Science Comprehension Very low Very high 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 globalwarmingrisk Annenberg Center for Public Policy & Cultural Cognition Project. N’ = 1957. Nationally representative sample, April/May 2014 (YouGov). CIs reflect 0.95 level of confidence intervals. Source: Kahan, D. The Science Communication Measurement Problem, Adv. in Pol. Psych. (in press). Kahan, D.M., Peters, E., Wittlin, M., Slovic, P., Ouellette, L.L., Braman, D. & Mandel, G. The polarizing impact of science literacy and numeracy on perceived climate change risks. Nature Climate Change 2, 732-735 (2012).
  • 31. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston
  • 32. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston r = - 0.65, p < 0.01
  • 33. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston “Belief” in global warming 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 < avg. Left_right > avg. Left_right Science ComprehensionVery low 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 < avg. Left_right > avg. Left_right 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 Very low Very highScience comprehension None at all Extremely high risk globalwarmingrisk Annenberg Center for Public Policy & Cultural Cognition Project. N’ = 1957. Nationally representative sample, April/May 2014 (YouGov). CIs reflect 0.95 level of confidence intervals. Source: Kahan, D. The Science Communication Measurement Problem, Adv. in Pol. Psych. (in press).
  • 34. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston “Belief” in global warming 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 < avg. Left_right > avg. Left_right Science ComprehensionVery low 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 < avg. Left_right > avg. Left_right 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 Very low Very highScience comprehension None at all Extremely high risk globalwarmingrisk Annenberg Center for Public Policy & Cultural Cognition Project. N’ = 1957. Nationally representative sample, April/May 2014 (YouGov). CIs reflect 0.95 level of confidence intervals. Source: Kahan, D. The Science Communication Measurement Problem, Adv. in Pol. Psych. (in press).
  • 35. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston “Belief” in global warming globalwarmingrisk 0 .1.2.3.4.5.6.7.8.9 1 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 < avg. Left_right > avg. Left_right Science ComprehensionVery low 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 < avg. Left_right > avg. Left_right 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 Very low Very highScience comprehension None at all Extremely high risk 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 > avg. Left_right < avg. Left_right 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 Science Comprehension Very low Very high 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 globalwarmingrisk Kahan, D.M., Peters, E., Wittlin, M., Slovic, P., Ouellette, L.L., Braman, D. & Mandel, G. The polarizing impact of science literacy and numeracy on perceived climate change risks. Nature Climate Change 2, 732-735 (2012). Annenberg Center for Public Policy & Cultural Cognition Project. N’ = 1957. Nationally representative sample, April/May 2014 (YouGov). CIs reflect 0.95 level of confidence intervals. Source: Kahan, D. The Science Communication Measurement Problem, Adv. in Pol. Psych. (in press).
  • 36. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston “Belief” in global warming 0 .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8 .9 1 -2.5 -1 0 1 2.599th percentile1st percentile 84th percentile16th percentile 50th percentile Probabilityofcorrectresponse There is “solid evidence” of recent global warming due “mostly” to “human activity such as burning fossil fuels.” Ordinary Science Intelligence Liberal Democrat Conservative Republican 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 > avg. Left_right < avg. Left_right 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 Science Comprehension Very low Very high 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 2101234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 > avg. Left_right < avg. Left_right 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 Science Comprehension Very low Very high 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 2101234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 > avg. Left_right < avg. Left_right 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 Science Comprehension Very low Very high 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 > avg. Left_right < avg. Left_right 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 Science Comprehension Very low Very high 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 2101234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 Annenberg Center for Public Policy & Cultural Cognition Project. N’ = 1957. Nationally representative sample, April/May 2014 (YouGov). CIs reflect 0.95 level of confidence intervals. Source: Kahan, D. The Science Communication Measurement Problem, Adv. in Pol. Psych. (in press).
  • 37. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston “Belief” in global warming 0 .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8 .9 1 -2.5 -1 0 1 2.599th percentile1st percentile 84th percentile16th percentile 50th percentile Probabilityofcorrectresponse There is “solid evidence” of recent global warming due “mostly” to “human activity such as burning fossil fuels.” Ordinary Science Intelligence Liberal Democrat Conservative Republican Annenberg Center for Public Policy & Cultural Cognition Project. N’ = 1957. Nationally representative sample, April/May 2014 (YouGov). CIs reflect 0.95 level of confidence intervals. Source: Kahan, D. The Science Communication Measurement Problem, Adv. in Pol. Psych. (in press).
  • 38. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Teaching evolution to “nonbelievers”
  • 39. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston This measures who we are . . . Nationally representative sample. Colored bars reflect 0.95 level of confidence
  • 40. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston This measures who we are . . . so measure what we know instead
  • 41. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Disentanglement principle: “Don’t make reasoning, free people choose between knowing what’s known & being who they are!”
  • 42. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Disentanglement principle: “Don’t make reasoning, free people choose between knowing what’s known & being who they are!”
  • 43. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Disentanglement principle: “Don’t make reasoning, free people choose between knowing what’s known & being who they are!”
  • 44. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Disentanglement principle: “Don’t make reasoning, free people choose between knowing what’s known & being who they are!”
  • 45. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston The climate science communication measurement problem: What we know Who we arevs.
  • 46. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston What we know Who we are How to disentangle from The climate science communication measurement problem:
  • 47. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Disentangling knowledge & identity: a lab experiment
  • 48. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Cultural Cognition Project SE Fla. evidence-based science communication initiative Disentangling knowledge & identity: field studies
  • 49. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston “How much risk do you believe global warming poses to human health, safety, or prosperity?” United States as a whole (summer 2013) Southeast Florida (Fall 2013) no risk at all Egalitarian communitarian Hierarch individualist A polluted science communication environment . . . An unpolluted one . . . no risk at all 01234567 -1.6 -1 0 1 1.6 None at all Extremely high risk Very low Low Between low and moderate Moderate Between moderate and high High Very liberal Strong Democrat Very Conservative Strong Republican Liberal Democrat Conservative Republican Moderate Independent r = - 0.65, p < 0.01 Left_right “How much risk do you believe fluoridated water poses to human health, safety, or prosperity?” 01234567 -1.6 -1 0 1 1.6 01234567 -1.6 -1 0 1 1.6 r = 0.07, p < 0.01 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 “How much risk do you believe medical x-rays poses to human health, safety, or prosperity?” None at all Extremely high risk Very low Low Between low and moderate Moderate Between moderate and high High Science Comprehension 34567 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 > avg. Left_right < avg. Left_right Extremely high risk no risk at all Extremely high riskno risk at all 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 None at all Extremely high risk Very low Low Between low and moderate Moderate Between moderate and high High Science Comprehension > avg. Left_right < avg. Left_right 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Extremely high risk “How much risk do you believe global warming poses to human health, safety, or prosperity?” 4 SE Fla. Counties 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 -1.6 -1 0 1 1.6 None at all Extremely high risk Very liberal Strong Democrat Very Conservative Strong Republican Moderate Independent r = 0.07, p < 0.01 < avg. Left_right > avg. Left_right Science ComprehensionVery low 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 < avg. Left_right > avg. Left_right 01234567 -1.6 -1 0 1 1.6 r = - 0.65, p < 0.01 Very high 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 Global warming 01234567 -1.6 -1 0 1 1.6 Very liberal Strong Democrat Very Conservative Strong Republican Liberal Democrat Conservative Republican Moderate Independent r = - 0.60, p < 0.01 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 01234567 -1.6 -1 0 1 1.6 None at all Extremely high risk Very liberal Strong Democrat Very Conservative Strong Republican Moderate Independent r = 0.07, p < 0.01 < avg. Left_right > avg. Left_right Science ComprehensionVery low 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 < avg. Left_right > avg. Left_right 01234567 -1.6 -1 0 1 1.6 r = - 0.65, p < 0.01 Very high 01234567 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 34567 Global warming
  • 50. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston 4 SE Fla. Counties
  • 51. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Disentanglement principle: “Don’t make reasoning, free people choose between knowing what’s known & being who they are!”
  • 52. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston What is to be done? You tell me!
  • 53. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Communicate normality
  • 54. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Not “us vs. them” just us, using what we know Communicate normality
  • 55. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Proselytizing the normality of climate science
  • 56. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Not “us vs. them” just us, using what we know Communicate normality
  • 57. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Just us, using what we know!
  • 58. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Just us, using what we know!
  • 59. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Communicate normality
  • 60. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston New data: shame & critical reasoning! www.culturalcognition.net
  • 61. Science Narratives and the Law: The Link from Lab to Legislature Francis X. Shen University of Minnesota Law School MacArthur Foundation Research Network on Law & Neuroscience May 12, 2015
  • 62.
  • 63.
  • 65. Politics and the Future of Neuroscience, Law, and Public Policy Science Narratives and the Link from Lab to Legislature The Brain Takes Center Stage
  • 66. Politics and the Future of Neuroscience, Law, and Public Policy Science Narratives and the Link from Lab to Legislature The Brain Takes Center Stage
  • 67.
  • 68.
  • 69.
  • 70.
  • 71.
  • 72.
  • 73. Source: Michael S. Gazzaniga, Neuroscience In The Courtroom, 304 SCIENTIFIC AMERICAN 54 (2011).
  • 74.
  • 75. Neuroscientific Evidence In Court :: Culpability and Mitigation
  • 76.
  • 77. Politics and the Future of Neuroscience, Law, and Public Policy Science Narratives and the Link from Lab to Legislature The Brain Takes Center Stage
  • 78. Motivation :: We see similar issues arising in statehouse as in courthouse
  • 79. Lab Neuroscience Law, Legislation Lawyer Neuroscience Lay Neuroscience Legislator Neuroscience Lobbyist Neuroscience Enabling (or hindering) research Media Schools Outreach Neuroscience Narratives :: Constructing a narrative: from lab to legislation
  • 80. 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Number of Proposed Brain-Related Bills, by Year (All state legislatures, 1997-2009)
  • 81. Neuroscience Narratives :: Topics covered by brain bills Alzheimer’s * Autism * Brain Death * Brain Injury * Civil Commitment * Crime Victims * Criminal Defense * Early Childhood * Education * End of Life * Foster Care * Health Care * Juvenile Justice * Mental Health * Military Veterans * Neonatal * Parkinson’s * Parole * Post Traumatic Stress Disorder * Privacy * Sex Offenders * Shaken Baby Syndrome * Special Education * Sports Concussions * Toxins * Veterans Courts
  • 82. Politics and the Future of Neuroscience, Law, and Public Policy Science Narratives and the Link from Lab to Legislature The Brain Takes Center Stage
  • 83. The Public :: Self-reported knowledge in national sample, N = 814 How knowledgeable would you say you are about science? How knowledgeable would you say you are about neuroscience? 2% 6% 11% 34% 24% 14% 8% 19% 25% 23% 17% 10% 5% 0% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Not at all knowledgeable Somewhat knowledgeable Very knowledgeable Science Knowledgge Neuro Knowledge
  • 84. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Strongly Disapprove Disapprove Neither Approve Nor Disapprove Approve Strongly Approve Democrat Independent Republican The Public :: Approval of neuroscience-based legal reforms, N = 1,004 (National CARAVAN sample)
  • 85. 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 Democrat Independent Republican ApprovalofNeurolaw (1=StronglyDisapprove,5=StronglyApprove) Control Prosecution Defense *** p = .001 *** p < .001 The Public :: Effect of issue framing, by political party
  • 86.
  • 87. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Panelist Discussion #SocialScienceLive
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  • 89. Los Angeles | London | New Delhi | Singapore | Washington DC | Boston Webinar recording, slides, and follow-up Q&A will be emailed to you and available on socialsciencespace.com. Thank you! Be sure to check our website for updates on our webinar series! #SocialScienceLive