Future outlook

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How will we live in 30 years time? How will the transportation and logistics industry be affected?

How will we live in 30 years time? How will the transportation and logistics industry be affected?

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    Why I Decided To Become A Cyborg by JD Hancock
    http://www.flickr.com/photos/jdhancock/4416036998/
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    /ponder by hobvias sudoneighm
    http://www.flickr.com/photos/striatic/2144933705/
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    Blue Marble (Planet Earth) by woodleywonderworks
    http://www.flickr.com/photos/wwworks/2222523486/
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    Green Leaf of a Bio Plant in Nature by epSos .de
    http://www.flickr.com/photos/epsos/3384297473/
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    Downtown Vancouver Sunset by Magnus Larsson
    http://www.flickr.com/photos/magnusl3d/6044910841/
    Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike License

    Anymore room ? by pete
    http://www.flickr.com/photos/wirralwater/3707389409/
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    IMG_9406.JPG by Fabrice Florin
    http://www.flickr.com/photos/fabola/1348663384/
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    [clueless] by
    http://www.flickr.com/photos/rhinoneal/5441932124/
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    Miniature Airport by
    http://www.flickr.com/photos/sparkys/3434382326/
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    Dante Cyborg by Roberto Rizzato
    http://www.flickr.com/photos/rizzato/2342959844/
    Attribution-NoDerivs License

    Evolution by Ryan Woon
    http://www.flickr.com/photos/64588740@N00/59308573/
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    Lo que el viento se llevo / Gone with the wind by J. Carlos Fernández
    http://www.flickr.com/photos/jcarlos1978/364802661/
    Attribution-ShareAlike License

    Videos:
    Augmented (hyper)Reality: Domestic Robocop by Keiichi Matsuda: https://vimeo.com/8569187
    The Aeon Project: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UjnbiaY1JCE
    Apple iLens concept by AppleiLens: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rsdImcPj5SM
    Project Glass: One day... by Google: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9c6W4CCU9M4
    Augmented Reality Navigation – Interface Demo by Hannes Fritz: https://vimeo.com/10401397

    Video:
    Minority Report Mall Scene: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oBaiKsYUdvg

    things i believe by Martin Sharman
    http://www.flickr.com/photos/sharman/2390863990/
    Attribution License

    Videos:
    3D printing demo -- ball bearings! by dehurt: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u7h09dTVkdw
    CES 2012: Cubed 3D Home Printer by AMussey: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iB5i5SA6rKQ
    uPrint SE 3D Printer Creates Wrench with Moving Parts Already Assembled by stratasysfdm: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rn1hxd-MeuI
    3D Printer Makes Nearly Anything by PigMine3: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nsgORCjf7oU


    Guitars: http://mocoloco.com/upload/2012/03/rp_guitar_by_de/rp_guitar_derek_manson_3b.php
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  • 1. An  outlook  into  a  (possible)  future Per  Olof  Arnäs Chalmers per-­‐olof.arnas@chalmers.seCC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs @Dr_PO
  • 2. In  30  years from  now... ...what  will  the   world  be  like? live? work? ...how  will  we travel?CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs consume?
  • 3. e S om Global  trends Climate  change Sustainability  focus Popula4on  growth UrbanizaJon Energy  shortage Efficiency  focusCC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs
  • 4. Sustainability  will  affect   everything  we  doCC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs
  • 5. Environmental  tax   will  increase  greatly Consumers  demand   transparencyCC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs
  • 6. Most  of  us  will  live  in  ciJesCC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs
  • 7. ExponenJal  increase   in  complexity City  LogisJcs  becomes   a  global  industryCC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs
  • 8. We  will  experience  an  energy   shortageCC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs
  • 9. Not  enough  biomass, materials  etc. Not  available  where   it  is  needed  mostCC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs
  • 10. Vehicles  and  vessels  will   (always)  be  ”full”CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs
  • 11. Specialized  vehiclesCC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs
  • 12. Two tr endsthat  will affect other  logisJcs  and  transportaJon 1:  Homo  Digitalis 2:  ProsumerismCC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs
  • 13. b eginning We  are  in  the  middle  of  a  huge  exponenJal    CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs development  curve
  • 14. A  new  global  eco-­‐system  where  new  types   of,  knowledge  based,  industries compete  with  the  tradiJonal  onesCC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs
  • 15. Startups  don’t  compete  with  airlines...   by  purchasing  a  bunch  of  planes hiring  a  bunch  of  pilots and  locking  up  a  bunch  of  terminals  at  airports.CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs h"p://bryce.vc/post/18404303850/the-­‐problem-­‐with-­‐innova=on
  • 16. Startups  don’t  compete  with  airlines...   by  purchasing  a  bunch  of  planes hiring  a  bunch  of  pilots and  locking  up  a  bunch  of  terminals  at  airports. Startups  compete  with  airlines  by   invenJng  videoconferencing.CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs h"p://bryce.vc/post/18404303850/the-­‐problem-­‐with-­‐innova=on
  • 17. Homo  DigitalisCC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs
  • 18. Even  though  the  created  world   around  us  evolves  quickly... ...we  as  a  species  do  not.   Well,  not  without  tools,  anyway.CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs
  • 19. People  will  sJll  want  the  same  things Get  laid Get  paid Get  madeCC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs Quote  from  Dave  McClure
  • 20. CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs
  • 21. CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs
  • 22. We  are  deeply  connected  to   everything  around  us From  Minority  ReportCC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs
  • 23. Homo  Economicus The  Economic  ManCC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs
  • 24. Homo  Digitalis  Economicus Well-­‐informed The Well-­‐equipped Economic  Man Well-­‐connected data With  high  expectaJons  on opJmizaJon interacJonCC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs
  • 25. Our  digital  double  will  be  our   extension  into  the  ”matrix” No  difference  between   personal  and  professional Interac4on Nego4a4on Our  double  will  handle Op4miza4on Communica4on FilteringCC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs
  • 26. ProsumerismCC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs
  • 27. CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs
  • 28. 3D-­‐prinJng  will  be  done  at  home   or  in  local/regional  faciliJes Increased  global  flows   of  raw  materials Decreased  global  flow   of  productsCC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs
  • 29. CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs
  • 30. Thank  you! Per  Olof  Arnäs Chalmers per-­‐olof.arnas@chalmers.se @Dr_PO Slides  available  on  my   SlideShare  channel: slideshare.net/poar Images  CC-­‐licensed,  source   in  commentsCC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs