Future outlook

An outlook into a (possible) future Per Olof Arnäs Chalmers per-‐olof.arnas@chalmers.seCC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs @Dr_PO

In 30 years from now... ...what will the world be like? live? work? ...how will we travel?CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs consume?

e S om Global trends Climate change Sustainability focus Popula4on growth UrbanizaJon Energy shortage Eﬃciency focusCC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs

Sustainability will aﬀect everything we doCC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs

Environmental tax will increase greatly Consumers demand transparencyCC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs

Most of us will live in ciJesCC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs

ExponenJal increase in complexity City LogisJcs becomes a global industryCC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs

We will experience an energy shortageCC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs

Not enough biomass, materials etc. Not available where it is needed mostCC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs

Vehicles and vessels will (always) be ”full”CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs

Specialized vehiclesCC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs

Two tr endsthat will aﬀect other logisJcs and transportaJon 1: Homo Digitalis 2: ProsumerismCC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs

b eginning We are in the middle of a huge exponenJal CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs development curve

A new global eco-‐system where new types of, knowledge based, industries compete with the tradiJonal onesCC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs

Startups don’t compete with airlines... by purchasing a bunch of planes hiring a bunch of pilots and locking up a bunch of terminals at airports.CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs h"p://bryce.vc/post/18404303850/the-‐problem-‐with-‐innova=on

Startups don’t compete with airlines... by purchasing a bunch of planes hiring a bunch of pilots and locking up a bunch of terminals at airports. Startups compete with airlines by invenJng videoconferencing.CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs h"p://bryce.vc/post/18404303850/the-‐problem-‐with-‐innova=on

Homo DigitalisCC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs

Even though the created world around us evolves quickly... ...we as a species do not. Well, not without tools, anyway.CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs

People will sJll want the same things Get laid Get paid Get madeCC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs Quote from Dave McClure

CC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs

We are deeply connected to everything around us From Minority ReportCC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs

Homo Economicus The Economic ManCC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs

Homo Digitalis Economicus Well-‐informed The Well-‐equipped Economic Man Well-‐connected data With high expectaJons on opJmizaJon interacJonCC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs

Our digital double will be our extension into the ”matrix” No diﬀerence between personal and professional Interac4on Nego4a4on Our double will handle Op4miza4on Communica4on FilteringCC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs

ProsumerismCC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs

3D-‐prinJng will be done at home or in local/regional faciliJes Increased global ﬂows of raw materials Decreased global ﬂow of productsCC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs

Thank you! Per Olof Arnäs Chalmers per-‐olof.arnas@chalmers.se @Dr_PO Slides available on my SlideShare channel: slideshare.net/poar Images CC-‐licensed, source in commentsCC-‐BY Per Olof Arnäs

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Future outlook

by Per Olof Arnäs on May 22, 2012

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