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Dancing Shoes for Honeybees Customer Networks and Empowered Brand Advocates Don Peppers
Customers are social animals ,[object Object],[object Object]
The Honeybee “Waggle Dance” Source:  Bienentanz, Gesellschaft fur Kommunikation, Berlin, 2002
Now suppose you were a food source for bees… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Bright colors and a sweet fragrance can get any exploring bee to take a look
Death by Word of Mouth… ,[object Object],"Even if they had a turkey, [studios] used to get two weeks of business before the stink really caught up to the film," according to LA Times critic John Horn. "Now they have 12 hours." “ People came out of that movie and started texting or Twittering their friends and telling them not to go see it.” Source: NPR  All Things Considered,  July 17, 2009 Box office receipts down 40%  the first day !
Screw up, and the “news”  will be  permanent ,[object Object],[object Object],“ You can't take something off the Internet. That's like trying to take pee out of a swimming pool.” - Grant Robertson, blog post, May 1, 2007
Competing in the customer-centric dimension Maximize the value created by each customer Maximize the value created by each product Share of customer Market share Customer  Needs  Satisfied Customers Reached Product-Centric    Marketing Customer-Centric Marketing
Succeeding against your competitors… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Now consider your customer value proposition  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Two requirements for earning customer trust Intention  to act in the customer’s interest Competence  to carry out this intention
Acting in the customer’s interest How Amazon helps you avoid making mistakes
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Taking the customer’s point of view
Can you speak the customer’s   language?
Incompetence also demolishes trust  ,[object Object]
Trust requires “competence with customers” “ You can destroy customer trust all at once with a major problem, or you can undermine it one day at a time, with a thousand small demonstrations of incompetence.  Either way is effective.”
The need for more trust has  boosted  business ,[object Object],[object Object],Case in point:
Networks and “preferential attachment” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The cascading effect in a network explains why… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Cascading is inherently  unpredictable ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Customer word-of-mouth can also cascade
Because networks are unpredictable… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
So be careful when you try to generate “WOM” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The only way to succeed in a networked world: ,[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Analyzing the value of your brand advocates Source: “How Valuable is Word of Mouth?”  Harvard Business Review,  October 2007
At one telecom company Source: “How Valuable is Word of Mouth?”  Harvard Business Review,  October 2007 Most valuable spenders Most valuable referrers
DoubleClick identified network “influencers” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Within social networks… ,[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],And sometimes influencers are just wrong! Source: Paul Gillin,  The New Influencers,  2007
The human brain is a “prediction engine” ,[object Object],“ Our brain is structured for constant forecasting.”
Networks  can be intelligent prediction engines, too ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Where were you at 11:39 am, January 28, 1986? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Where were you at 11:39 am, January 28, 1986? ,[object Object]
Moore’s Law and Metcalfe’s Law Gordon Moore Bob Metcalfe
Networking and computation: Implications ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
In the words of William Gibson: ,[object Object]
What we can expect in a PMT-enabled future: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1. Transacting and doing ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1. Transacting and doing ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],How Blyk uses its customers’ social networks
1. Transacting and doing ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Coming soon with PMT?
2. Connecting and networking  ,[object Object]
2. Connecting and networking ,[object Object],[object Object]
2. Connecting and networking  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Coming soon with PMT?
3. Sensing and understanding Technology will get better and better at enhancing our bodies
3. Sensing and understanding But sensory enhancements will be first
3. Sensing and understanding And sensory enhancements will get better ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
3. Sensing and understanding  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
3. Sensing and understanding  ,[object Object],Source:  Economist,  Sept 25, 2008 ,[object Object],Jesse Lawrence Asst Prof of Deep Earth Seismology Stanford
3. Sensing and understanding  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Coming soon with PMT?
We are already merging with our technology
But computers will  never  be able to do everything
The  real  secret to a great brand… The “ Mechanical Turk”  (1769)
There has to be a person in there… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
So give your honeybees dancing shoes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: “Under New Management,”  New York Times,  26 March  2006
So give your honeybees dancing shoes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
And remember: People are just big honeybees!
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],To subscribe to the “1to1 Weekly” email newsletter:  [email_address] On Twitter: @DonPeppers

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Don Peppers

  • 1. Dancing Shoes for Honeybees Customer Networks and Empowered Brand Advocates Don Peppers
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  • 3. The Honeybee “Waggle Dance” Source: Bienentanz, Gesellschaft fur Kommunikation, Berlin, 2002
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  • 7. Competing in the customer-centric dimension Maximize the value created by each customer Maximize the value created by each product Share of customer Market share Customer Needs Satisfied Customers Reached Product-Centric Marketing Customer-Centric Marketing
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  • 10. Two requirements for earning customer trust Intention to act in the customer’s interest Competence to carry out this intention
  • 11. Acting in the customer’s interest How Amazon helps you avoid making mistakes
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  • 13. Can you speak the customer’s language?
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  • 15. Trust requires “competence with customers” “ You can destroy customer trust all at once with a major problem, or you can undermine it one day at a time, with a thousand small demonstrations of incompetence. Either way is effective.”
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  • 25. At one telecom company Source: “How Valuable is Word of Mouth?” Harvard Business Review, October 2007 Most valuable spenders Most valuable referrers
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  • 33. Moore’s Law and Metcalfe’s Law Gordon Moore Bob Metcalfe
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  • 43. 3. Sensing and understanding Technology will get better and better at enhancing our bodies
  • 44. 3. Sensing and understanding But sensory enhancements will be first
  • 45.
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  • 49. We are already merging with our technology
  • 50. But computers will never be able to do everything
  • 51. The real secret to a great brand… The “ Mechanical Turk” (1769)
  • 52.
  • 53.
  • 54.
  • 55. And remember: People are just big honeybees!
  • 56.

Editor's Notes

  1. Bees also have eye sight that can detect polarized light – and this allows them to tell the position of the sun even when it is very cloudy
  2. Sacha Baron Cohen’s new movie Bruno had 40% lower box office take THE DAY AFTER IT WAS RELEASED – this is unprecedented I wonder if box office sales actually declined during the evening on its first day? Would be interesting to look at Pacific Time Zone attendance compared to Eastern Time
  3. Grant Robertson - http://grantrobertson.com Grant Robertson is a born geek. Having worked in nearly every facet of the IT and software industry at one point or another, Grant has served as Lead Blogger for Download Squad since the departure of Jordan Running in February 2007. He has appeared on several NPR radio talk programs, been quoted in several national publications, and he still gets a tiny thrill every time he sees software he wrote in action. Source: Groundswell, by Charlene Li and Josh Bernoff
  4. This is the question two Canadian marketing professors asked more than 2000 senior executives from around the world, in interviews and group discussions that stretched over more than four years. The industries represented in their study cover an extremely wide range, including consumer packaged goods, utilities, construction, e-commerce, software, telecom, financial services, automobiles, chemicals, packaging, airlines, and retailing. But according to their study, the answers to this question were remarkably similar, and tended to focus on the company’s interactions and relationships with its customers. The executives said they thought the most important drivers of customer choice were things like “trust, confidence and strength of relationships, as well as…convenience, ease of doing business and support...”[i] However, despite the fact that customer relationships and interactions are clearly the most powerful competitive tools in management’s hands, these executives spend much more time and energy trying to improve and perfect their products and technologies, rather than their customer relationships. Customer-based innovations, the professors claim, would be a better subject of executive attention because they “are less easily replicated by competitors, and thus offer a more certain basis of sustainable competitive advantage.” [i] The Canadian professors are Mark Vandenbosch. See “Deriving Value from Customer Relations,” Financial Times supplement, Mastering Innovation, Oct 1, 2004 (UK edition), by Mark Vandenbosch and Niraj Dawar, pp. 6-8. See also “Beyond Better Products: Capturing Value in Customer Interactions,” by Mark Vandenbosch and Niraj Dawar, MIT Sloan Management Review , Summer 2002, Vol. 43, No. 4, pp. 35-42.
  5. This is the question two Canadian marketing professors asked more than 2000 senior executives from around the world, in interviews and group discussions that stretched over more than four years. The industries represented in their study cover an extremely wide range, including consumer packaged goods, utilities, construction, e-commerce, software, telecom, financial services, automobiles, chemicals, packaging, airlines, and retailing. But according to their study, the answers to this question were remarkably similar, and tended to focus on the company’s interactions and relationships with its customers. The executives said they thought the most important drivers of customer choice were things like “trust, confidence and strength of relationships, as well as…convenience, ease of doing business and support...”[i] However, despite the fact that customer relationships and interactions are clearly the most powerful competitive tools in management’s hands, these executives spend much more time and energy trying to improve and perfect their products and technologies, rather than their customer relationships. Customer-based innovations, the professors claim, would be a better subject of executive attention because they “are less easily replicated by competitors, and thus offer a more certain basis of sustainable competitive advantage.” [i] The Canadian professors are Mark Vandenbosch. See “Deriving Value from Customer Relations,” Financial Times supplement, Mastering Innovation, Oct 1, 2004 (UK edition), by Mark Vandenbosch and Niraj Dawar, pp. 6-8. See also “Beyond Better Products: Capturing Value in Customer Interactions,” by Mark Vandenbosch and Niraj Dawar, MIT Sloan Management Review , Summer 2002, Vol. 43, No. 4, pp. 35-42.
  6. In 2007, for example, the Wall Street Journal analyzed more than 25,000 user submissions across six of the largest sharing and collaboration Web sites: Netscape, Digg, Del.icio.us, Reddit, Newsvine, and Stumbleupon. What they found was “an obsessive subculture of ordinary but surprisingly influential people who, usually without pay and purely for the thrill of it, are trolling cyberspace for news and ideas to share with their network.” [1] Some examples: At Digg, which has 900,000 registered users, fully a third of the postings popular enough to make it to the home page come from just 30 users. On TimeWarner’s Netscape site, 13% of the postings rated “most popular” were put there by a single user – a 27-year-old computer programmer from Dayton, Ohio, who goes by the screen name STONERS. One of the most influential and widely read users at Reddit, who specializes in newsworthy items about criminal justice and software releases, attracted the interest and favorable reviews of a large number of other Reddit users for his appraisals of the security flaws and the price tag of Microsoft’s new Vista operating system, for instance. His name is Adam Fuhrer, he lives in Toronto, and he is 12 years old. (Remember the old cartoon? On the internet, nobody knows you’re a dog.) [1] The Wizards of Buzz: A new kind of Web site is turning ordinary people into hidden influencers, shaping what we read, watch and buy. By JAMIN WARREN and JOHN JURGENSEN, February 10, 2007; Page P1
  7. By V. Kuman, J. Andrew Petersen, and Robert P. Leone The technology for managing customer relationships has gotten fairly sophisticated. Companies can draw on databases that tell them how much each customer has purchased and how often, which they may supplement with detailed demographic profiles. By applying statistical models, they can predict not only when each customer is likely to make a future purchase but also what he or she will buy and through which channel. Managers can use these data to estimate a potential lifetime value for every customer and to determine whether, when, and how to contact each one to maximize the chances of realizing (and even increasing) his or her value. Working with managers from a telecommunications firm and a financial services firm, we polled a set of their customers (9,900 at the telecom firm and 6,700 at the financial services firm)
  8. It turns out that viral marketing isn’t that infectious after all. At least that’s the conclusion of Bringing the Message to the Masses, a new JupiterResearch report that reveals only 15 percent of viral marketing efforts of the past year actually succeeded in getting consumers to spread positive word of mouth. The low percentage effectiveness in the Jupiter study belies one of the report’s other main findings, that 70 percent of viral marketers claim their efforts succeeded in increasing brand awareness. The disconnect, says Emily Riley, the report’s author and lead analyst at JupiterResearch, comes from the fact that so few marketers succeeded with relatively concrete indications of increased viral activity (including increasing engagement and getting consumers to promote products and services). From 1to1 Weekly, Oct 15, 2007
  9. In 2007 the office-supplies chain Staples launched a word-of-mouth marketing initiative it called “Speak Easy,” trying to encourage its most loyal customers to talk up the benefits of various products. The company began sending a monthly supply of free product samples to a select group of its frequent-shopper club members who signed up for the program. The company includes in its shipment a write-up of talking points touting the benefits of each product. Other than the free samples, no additional compensation or benefit is given, and members of the program aren’t monitored for whether they actually do talk the products up or not. But this program, along with other, similar ones, has nevertheless become the subject of some controversy in the press, and on various customer blog sites. [1] Different people will see “manufactured word of mouth” programs in different ways, but many consumers are likely to see them as something vaguely manipulative or seedy. You might be able to dispel part of this feeling by encouraging your brand advocates to disclose to their friends upfront their relationship to your company, but even then, we think it will always be risky to be seen tainting friends’ relationships with other friends with the somewhat unpleasant odor of crass commercialism. It bears repeating that some of the most valuable word-of-mouth you can generate will come simply from having a reputation for being completely open, fair, and trustworthy. So it would be deeply ironic if you tried to design a “manufactured” word-of-mouth program to stimulate referrals in the most ethical manner possible, only to have it negatively affect your reputation for trustworthiness. [1] “Friendly Advice or Secret Ad?” by Alana Semuels, Los Angeles Times, August 17, 2007, cited at http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-wordmouth17aug17,1,3006736.story?page=1&coll=la-headlines-business . See also various blog comments and discussion strings, including “Staples Speak Easy is Hard to Swallow,” by Jeremy Nedelka, at http://www.1to1media.com/weblog/2007/08/staples_speak_easy_is_hard_to.html#more and “Manufactured Word-of-Mouth Marketing,” by Susan Gunelius, at http://www.marketingblurb.com/2007/08/manufactured_wordofmouth_marke.html , and “Speak Easy and Other Clever Marketing Acts a Conversation Makes,” by Valeria Maltoni, at http://www.conversationagent.com/2007/08/speak-easy-and-.html ALSO cite our own blogs and bloggers
  10. Increasingly, when consumers want to know something about a potential product purchase or service, they go online to any number of review and evaluation sites, from Tripadvisor to Angieslist to epinions. At most of these sites, other customers have posted their reviews of various products, and the most sophisticated of the review sites allow a consumer to search not just by product category but by reviewer type – that is, to find reviews that are done by people with similar tastes as the consumer. Epinions.com, for instance, asks readers to rate the reviews they read, which allows the service to get better over time, in two ways. First, overall reviewer quality is tracked, so a user can tell immediately whether a particular review has been posted by someone others have found credible. But second, epinions also tracks the reviewers that an individual consumer has found most useful in the past, so over time it learns who each user’s most trusted reviewers are, and is able to connect them more quickly to those particular users. [1] As this trend has developed, Web sites are springing up to allow individual consumers to share their evaluations, rants, and ratings of their employers (vault.com), health care establishments and individual medical doctors (healthgrades.com and healthcarecommission.org.uk), colleges and individual university professors (ratemyprofessors.com), and others. Entrepreneurs can now even share their opinions of the venture capitalists who invest money in them (thefunded.com). [2] [1] The Anatomy of Buzz, by Emanuel Rosen (Currency/Doubleday, 2000), pp. 18-19 [2] “Web Sites Put the ‘Vent’ Into ‘Venture Capital’,” by Rebecca Buckman, Wall Street Journal, August 7, 2007, p. B1, cited at http://online.wsj.com/article/SB118644800916989977.html?mod=hps_us_editors_picks
  11. By V. Kuman, J. Andrew Petersen, and Robert P. Leone The technology for managing customer relationships has gotten fairly sophisticated. Companies can draw on databases that tell them how much each customer has purchased and how often, which they may supplement with detailed demographic profiles. By applying statistical models, they can predict not only when each customer is likely to make a future purchase but also what he or she will buy and through which channel. Managers can use these data to estimate a potential lifetime value for every customer and to determine whether, when, and how to contact each one to maximize the chances of realizing (and even increasing) his or her value. Working with managers from a telecommunications firm and a financial services firm, we polled a set of their customers (9,900 at the telecom firm and 6,700 at the financial services firm)
  12. DoubleClick, the dominant player in Web advertising, did a quantitative study of influencers within networks of online customers in 2006, finding that there are indeed some identifiable traits and characteristics setting them apart. From an initial survey of 6,000 respondents, the company identified just over 1,000 influencers, distinguishing them by how they rated such statements as “ I am an expert in certain areas…” and “People often ask my advice about…” The study revealed that influencers tend to use the Web more than twice as much as noninfluencers when researching a new product prior to buying. Importantly, while influencers were more likely than noninfluencers to pay attention to Web advertising and to want more personally relevant ads, they were also more likely to delete or clear their cookies regularly and to fast forward through the commercials on their digital video recorders. In essence, the picture painted by DoubleClick’s study of connectors and influencers is one of proactive information seekers—curious, inquisitive people who want to know but don’t want to be sold to. Influencers—the key nodes in your network of customers who have the most links with other nodes—are less likely to be swayed by sales pitches but more likely to want to find out for themselves what’s what.
  13. DoubleClick, the dominant player in Web advertising, did a quantitative study of influencers within networks of online customers in 2006, finding that there are indeed some identifiable traits and characteristics setting them apart. From an initial survey of 6,000 respondents, the company identified just over 1,000 influencers, distinguishing them by how they rated such statements as “ I am an expert in certain areas…” and “People often ask my advice about…” The study revealed that influencers tend to use the Web more than twice as much as noninfluencers when researching a new product prior to buying. Importantly, while influencers were more likely than noninfluencers to pay attention to Web advertising and to want more personally relevant ads, they were also more likely to delete or clear their cookies regularly and to fast forward through the commercials on their digital video recorders. In essence, the picture painted by DoubleClick’s study of connectors and influencers is one of proactive information seekers—curious, inquisitive people who want to know but don’t want to be sold to. Influencers—the key nodes in your network of customers who have the most links with other nodes—are less likely to be swayed by sales pitches but more likely to want to find out for themselves what’s what.
  14. By V. Kuman, J. Andrew Petersen, and Robert P. Leone The technology for managing customer relationships has gotten fairly sophisticated. Companies can draw on databases that tell them how much each customer has purchased and how often, which they may supplement with detailed demographic profiles. By applying statistical models, they can predict not only when each customer is likely to make a future purchase but also what he or she will buy and through which channel. Managers can use these data to estimate a potential lifetime value for every customer and to determine whether, when, and how to contact each one to maximize the chances of realizing (and even increasing) his or her value. Working with managers from a telecommunications firm and a financial services firm, we polled a set of their customers (9,900 at the telecom firm and 6,700 at the financial services firm)
  15. Source for “architecture of participation” - Tim O'Reilly, of O'Reilly Media At Rite-Solutions, fifty-five stocks are listed on the company's internal market, which is called Mutual Fun. Each stock comes with a detailed description -- called an expect-us, as opposed to a prospectus -- and begins trading at a price of $10. Every employee gets $10,000 in ''opinion money'' to allocate among the offerings, and employees signal their enthusiasm by investing in a stock and, better yet, volunteering to work on the project. Volunteers share in the proceeds, in the form of real money, if the stock becomes a product or delivers savings. The market, which began in January 2005, has already paid big dividends. One of the earliest stocks (ticker symbol: VIEW) was a proposal to apply three-dimensional visualization technology, akin to video games, to help sailors and domestic-security personnel practice making decisions in emergency situations. Initially, Mr. Marino was unenthusiastic about the idea -- ''I'm not a joystick jockey'' -- but support among employees was overwhelming. Today, that product line, called Rite-View, accounts for 30 percent of total sales.
  16. Source “The Wisdom of Crowds” by James Surowiecki, p.12
  17. Source “The Wisdom of Crowds” by James Surowiecki, pp. 7-9 There were no hints on the day of the disaster as to how it had happened. New York Times cited two rumors that had gone around, but neither one involved Morton Thiokol.
  18. Source “The Wisdom of Crowds” by James Surowiecki, pp. 7-9 There were no hints on the day of the disaster as to how it had happened. New York Times cited two rumors that had gone around, but neither one involved Morton Thiokol.
  19. Source for the “crossing boundaries” and androgynous items: Mihalyi Csikszentmihalyi, a Hungarian researcher “ Perspective is more important than IQ” – Negroponte says this is why so many engineering problems are solved by non-engineers – from p. 132 of Pink’s book
  20. Combining instructions with resources is like assembling building blocks. The more blocks you have, the more combinations are possible, in an exponential form. A sequence of just 20 steps or instructions can be combined 10 19 ways – that’s a number larger than the number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang. See Mauboussin’s book, pp. 99-101
  21. Combining instructions with resources is like assembling building blocks. The more blocks you have, the more combinations are possible, in an exponential form. A sequence of just 20 steps or instructions can be combined 10 19 ways – that’s a number larger than the number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang. See Mauboussin’s book, pp. 99-101
  22. Combining instructions with resources is like assembling building blocks. The more blocks you have, the more combinations are possible, in an exponential form. A sequence of just 20 steps or instructions can be combined 10 19 ways – that’s a number larger than the number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang. See Mauboussin’s book, pp. 99-101
  23. Combining instructions with resources is like assembling building blocks. The more blocks you have, the more combinations are possible, in an exponential form. A sequence of just 20 steps or instructions can be combined 10 19 ways – that’s a number larger than the number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang. See Mauboussin’s book, pp. 99-101
  24. Combining instructions with resources is like assembling building blocks. The more blocks you have, the more combinations are possible, in an exponential form. A sequence of just 20 steps or instructions can be combined 10 19 ways – that’s a number larger than the number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang. See Mauboussin’s book, pp. 99-101
  25. Combining instructions with resources is like assembling building blocks. The more blocks you have, the more combinations are possible, in an exponential form. A sequence of just 20 steps or instructions can be combined 10 19 ways – that’s a number larger than the number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang. See Mauboussin’s book, pp. 99-101
  26. Source for “long tails” – Chris Anderson, “The Long Tail” in Wired Magazine, Oct 2004 See his blog http://longtail.typepad.com/the_long_tail/
  27. Source for “long tails” – Chris Anderson, “The Long Tail” in Wired Magazine, Oct 2004 See his blog http://longtail.typepad.com/the_long_tail/
  28. Source for “long tails” – Chris Anderson, “The Long Tail” in Wired Magazine, Oct 2004 See his blog http://longtail.typepad.com/the_long_tail/
  29. Combining instructions with resources is like assembling building blocks. The more blocks you have, the more combinations are possible, in an exponential form. A sequence of just 20 steps or instructions can be combined 10 19 ways – that’s a number larger than the number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang. See Mauboussin’s book, pp. 99-101
  30. Shake it all about Sep 25th 2008 From The Economist print edition How to use your laptop to locate an earthquake IF YOU drop your laptop computer, a chip built into it will sense the acceleration and protect the delicate moving parts of its hard disk before it hits the ground. A group of researchers led by Jesse Lawrence of Stanford University are putting the same accelerometer chip to an intriguing new use: detecting earthquakes. They plan to create a network of volunteer laptops that can map out future quakes in far greater detail than traditional seismometers manage. Seismometers are large, expensive beasts, costing $10,000 or more apiece. They are designed to be exquisitely sensitive to the sort of vibrations an earthquake produces, which means they can pick up tremors that began halfway around the world. By contrast, the accelerometer chips in laptops, which have evolved from those used to detect when a car is in a collision and thus trigger the release of the airbags, are rather crude devices. They are, however, ubiquitous. Almost all modern laptops have them and they are even finding their way into mobile phones. The iPhone, for example, uses such a chip to detect its orientation so that it can rotate its display and thus make it easily readable. On its own, an accelerometer chip in a laptop is not very useful for earthquake-detection, as it cannot distinguish between a quake and all sorts of other vibrations—the user tapping away at the keyboard, for example. But if lots of these chips are connected to a central server via the internet, their responses can be compared. And if a large number in a particular place register a vibration at almost the same time, it is more likely to be an earthquake than a bunch of users all hitting their space bars. To exploit this group effect, Dr Lawrence’s Quake-Catcher Network (QCN) employs the same software that is used by the [email_address] project, which aggregates computing power from hundreds of thousands of volunteer computers around the world to analyse radio-telescope signals for signs of extraterrestrial intelligence. Dr Lawrence and his colleagues have already demonstrated that the QCN works. It detected a quake near Reno, Nevada, in April, and one near Los Angeles in July. Merely detecting a quake, however, is not the point. Seismometers can do that. To be useful, the QCN needs to be able to do things that seismometers cannot. One of those things is to measure the maximum amount of ground shaking. The sensitivity of seismometers means that strong signals would damage them if they were not designed to “clip” such signals when they exceed a certain threshold. The price paid is that information about strong, nearby earthquakes is lost. Laptop accelerometers are more robust. Though they cannot, if in America, tell you anything about an earthquake in China, they can sometimes do better than conventional kit when measuring local quakes.
  31. Combining instructions with resources is like assembling building blocks. The more blocks you have, the more combinations are possible, in an exponential form. A sequence of just 20 steps or instructions can be combined 10 19 ways – that’s a number larger than the number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang. See Mauboussin’s book, pp. 99-101
  32. Source for “long tails” – Chris Anderson, “The Long Tail” in Wired Magazine, Oct 2004 See his blog http://longtail.typepad.com/the_long_tail/
  33. In the late 1700’s, Wolfgang von Kempelen, a Hungarian civil servant, constructed an extraordinary machine: a mechanical man, dressed in an oriental costume like a Turk, seated behind a wooden cabinet, and capable of playing chess. This chess automaton is the reason for the German word "getürkt" – which means to deceive by appearances, roughly the same as “fakery” Abraham Lincoln told the story of how one chess expert, having been beaten by the machine, forced open the cabinet door to peer inside, and then exclaimed “There’s a man in there!” That’s also the secret of great CRM systems. Only people who know the rules of customer relationships can operate a good CRM system correctly.
  34. Source for jobs info: McKinsey Quarterly No. 4, 2005, “The Next Revolution in Interactions”
  35. Source for “architecture of participation” - Tim O'Reilly, of O'Reilly Media
  36. Source for “architecture of participation” - Tim O'Reilly, of O'Reilly Media