Next Generation Vehicles: Electric Cars, Emissions, Commuting, and Parking

Next Generation Vehicles and Implications for VMT, Congestion & Emissions
Marcus Bowman, 3G Mobility, Envisioning the next generation of transportation
June 23, 2010
Fresh Views & Research You Can Use on the Economic & Social Impacts of Congestion

A vehicle revolution
NASDAQ: TSLA
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All Electric Vehicles
Leading,Environmentally-friendly, Affordable, Family car
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Quantifying Electric Vehicles: Cost
KiloWatt hours (kWh) per 100 miles of driving
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Quantifying Vehicle Emissions
Different sources of fuel (gasoline, natural gas, ethanol, etc) + hybrid cars
Different size cars
Different sources of electricity
How much CO2? Per gallon? Per kWh?
Gasoline: EPA/DOE estimates 19.4 to 20.0 lbs of CO2 per gallon
For kWh, EPA/DOE estimates about 1.34 pounds of CO2
(depending on the source of electricity)
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Electric vs Gasoline Vehicles: Emissions from, and Cost for, Driving 100 miles
Emissions: Pounds of CO2 per 100 miles of Driving
Baselines:
Based on 100 miles of driving
National average electricity price: $0.1086 per kWh
National average gasoline price: $2.75 per gallon
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Vehicle Technology Improvement Curve
LEAF (Vermont)
Annual metric tons of CO2 emissions per ~12,000 miles
Average of Existing Fleet (1970-2007); Selected Vehicles (2010-2011)
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Implications for VMT
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Cost of Driving is declining and could decline rapidly
Environmental effects of driving are declining
Weaknesses of VMT as an environmental metric
Zero Emission Vehicles: no longer a concept
Varying range of emissions depending on vehicle type
VMT also does not take into account:
Population Growth
Economic Growth
Number of passengers in the car
Purpose of the trip
Where does the trip occur

2008: Remember this…
“9 billion fewer miles in October”
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VMT: 1957-2055
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Commuting: Driving trip purposes
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National Household Travel Survey, 2009 data

Commuting Flows
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Total = 128.3 million commuters

Commuting Emissions
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EPA, 2008 data, published in 2010

Parking: East Falls Church Metro Station
Arlington County study says "Eliminating commuter parking is a powerful tool for discouraging use of private vehicles"
The most popular parking lot in the entire metro system is East Falls Church
Will serve as access point for Silver Line to Tysons Corner and Dulles International Airport
http://greatergreaterwashington.org/post.cgi?id=5827
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Parking: EFC Metro, Arlington, VA
Existing parking situation
One Household:
Options to get to Tysons Corner and Downtown DC...
After eliminating parking
10 mile roundtrip drives instead of
1 mile roundtrip and Metro ridership
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Vehicles
VMT and Commuting
Emissions
Parking
Fresh Views & Research You Can Use on the Economic & Social Impacts of Congestion
Marcus Bowman 3G Mobility

Next Generation Vehicles: Electric Cars, Emissions, Commuting, and Parking

by Marcus Bowman on Jun 24, 2010

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Next Generation Vehicles: Electric Cars, Emissions, Commuting, and Parking — Presentation Transcript