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Chapter 1

S A M P L I N G A N D D A TA
          1.6 - 1.9
1.6 Sampling


 Random sampling is the process of using chance to select
  individuals from a population to be included in the sample.

 If a sample is selected in a way that assures that any sample
  of the same size would be equally likely to be chosen then
  the sample is a simple random sample.
Pride and Prejudice
 EXAMPLE                   The Sun Also Rises
Use a random number
generator to choose a      The Jungle
simple random sample       As I Lay Dying
of size three from the
list of classic works of   A Tale of Two Cities
literature.
                           Huckleberry Finn
                           Death of a Salesman
                           Scarlet Letter
                           Crime and Punishment
1.6 Sampling

 A systematic sample is chosen by selecting every nth
  individual in the population.
 A stratified sample is chosen by dividing the population into
  nonoverlapping groups called strata and then selecting a
  simple random sample from each stratum.
 A cluster sample is chosen by dividing the population into
  strata and then selecting some of the strata.
 A convenience sample is a sample in which the individuals
  are easily obtained and not based on randomness.
1.   To estimate the percentage of defects in
 EXAMPLE                    a recent manufacturing batch, a quality-
                            control manager at Intel selects every 8th
Identify the type of        chip that comes off the assembly line
sampling used.              until she obtains a sample of 140 chips.

                       2.   To determine customer opinion of its
                            boarding policy, Southwest Airlines
                            randomly selects 60 flights during a
                            certain week and surveys all passengers
                            on the flight.
3. To determine DSL connection speed,
 EXAMPLE                  Shawn divides up the day into four parts:
                          morning, midday, evening, and late night.
Identify the type of      He then measures his Internet
sampling used.            connections speed at 5 randomly selected
                          times during each part of the day.
                       4. 24 Hour Fitness wants to administer a
                          satisfaction survey to its current members.
                          Using its membership roster, the club
                          randomly selects 40 members and asks
                          them about their level of satisfaction with
                          the club.
5.   A radio station asks its listeners to call in
 EXAMPLE                    their opinion regarding the use of U.S.
                            forces in peacekeeping missions.
Identify the type of
sampling used.
 To find the average GPA of all students in
 EXAMPLE                  a university, use all honor students at the
                          university as the sample.
Determine if each of
the following samples    To find out the most popular cereal among
are representative.       young people under the age of 10, stand
                          outside a large supermarket for three hours
                          and speak to every 20th child
1.7 Critical Evaluation

There can be many problems with a statistical study.
 Problems with Samples: remember that we always want a
  representative sample. Be sure your sampling method does
  not lead to bias.
 Self-Selected Samples: Responses only by people who
  choose to respond are often unreliable
 Sample Size Issues: Samples that are too small may be
  unreliable.
 Undue Influence: Collecting data or asking questions in a
  way that influences the response.
1.7 Critical Evaluation

 Causality: A relationship between two variables does not
  mean that one causes the other to occur.
 Self-Funded or Self Interest Studies: A study performed by
  a person or organization in order to support their claim may
  not be impartial.
 Misleading use of data: Improperly displayed graphs,
  incomplete data, and lack of context can cause people to
  come to incorrect conclusions.
 Confounding: occurs when the effects of multiple factors
  on a response cannot be separated.
1.7 Critical Evaluation

Key elements to statistical thinking:

 Anecdotal claims can be refuted with statistical analysis.

 Poorly collected data are not useful.

 Watch out for confounding variables.

 Results in statistics are not certain.
1.7 Key Terms



 The frequency is the number of times a given datam occurs
  in a data set.

 The relative frequency is the fraction of times a given datum
  occurs.

 The cumulative relative frequency is the accumulation of the
  previous relative frequencies.
1. Construct a frequency table.
EXAMPLE
                    2. What percentage of students have 0
How many siblings
                       siblings?
do you have?        3. What percentage of students have 1 to 3
                       siblings?
                    4. What percentage of students have fewer
                       than 3 siblings? At least 3 siblings?
Data Frequency   Relative    Cumulative
EXAMPLE                                   Frequency   Relative
                                                      Frequency
Nineteen people          3    3           3/19        0.1579
were asked how           4    1           1/19        0.2105
many miles, to the
                         5    3           3/19        0.1579
nearest mile, they
commute to work          7    2           2/19        0.2632
each day. The data       10   3           4/19        0.4737
are:
                         12   2           2/19        0.7895
2, 5, 7, 3, 2, 10, 18,   13   1           1/19        0.8421
15, 20, 7, 10, 18, 5,
                         15   1           1/19        0.8948
12, 13, 12, 4, 5, 10
                         18   1           1/19        0.9474
The following table
                         20   1           1/19        1.000
was produced.
1. Is the table correct? If not, what is
EXAMPLE      wrong with it?
          2. True or false? Three percent of the
             people surveyed commute 3 miles.
             If the statement is false, what should
             it be?
          3. What fraction of the people
             surveyed commute 5 to 7 miles?
          4. What fraction of the people
             surveyed commute at least 12 miles?
             Less than 12 miles? Between 5 and
             13 miles?
1.14 Lab 2
GROUP WORK

             Split into groups of 3 to 4.
HOMEWORK

1.12 #s 3, 15, 16, 19-28

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Chapter 1 sections 6 through 9

  • 1. Chapter 1 S A M P L I N G A N D D A TA 1.6 - 1.9
  • 2. 1.6 Sampling  Random sampling is the process of using chance to select individuals from a population to be included in the sample.  If a sample is selected in a way that assures that any sample of the same size would be equally likely to be chosen then the sample is a simple random sample.
  • 3. Pride and Prejudice EXAMPLE The Sun Also Rises Use a random number generator to choose a The Jungle simple random sample As I Lay Dying of size three from the list of classic works of A Tale of Two Cities literature. Huckleberry Finn Death of a Salesman Scarlet Letter Crime and Punishment
  • 4. 1.6 Sampling  A systematic sample is chosen by selecting every nth individual in the population.  A stratified sample is chosen by dividing the population into nonoverlapping groups called strata and then selecting a simple random sample from each stratum.  A cluster sample is chosen by dividing the population into strata and then selecting some of the strata.  A convenience sample is a sample in which the individuals are easily obtained and not based on randomness.
  • 5. 1. To estimate the percentage of defects in EXAMPLE a recent manufacturing batch, a quality- control manager at Intel selects every 8th Identify the type of chip that comes off the assembly line sampling used. until she obtains a sample of 140 chips. 2. To determine customer opinion of its boarding policy, Southwest Airlines randomly selects 60 flights during a certain week and surveys all passengers on the flight.
  • 6. 3. To determine DSL connection speed, EXAMPLE Shawn divides up the day into four parts: morning, midday, evening, and late night. Identify the type of He then measures his Internet sampling used. connections speed at 5 randomly selected times during each part of the day. 4. 24 Hour Fitness wants to administer a satisfaction survey to its current members. Using its membership roster, the club randomly selects 40 members and asks them about their level of satisfaction with the club.
  • 7. 5. A radio station asks its listeners to call in EXAMPLE their opinion regarding the use of U.S. forces in peacekeeping missions. Identify the type of sampling used.
  • 8.  To find the average GPA of all students in EXAMPLE a university, use all honor students at the university as the sample. Determine if each of the following samples  To find out the most popular cereal among are representative. young people under the age of 10, stand outside a large supermarket for three hours and speak to every 20th child
  • 9. 1.7 Critical Evaluation There can be many problems with a statistical study.  Problems with Samples: remember that we always want a representative sample. Be sure your sampling method does not lead to bias.  Self-Selected Samples: Responses only by people who choose to respond are often unreliable  Sample Size Issues: Samples that are too small may be unreliable.  Undue Influence: Collecting data or asking questions in a way that influences the response.
  • 10. 1.7 Critical Evaluation  Causality: A relationship between two variables does not mean that one causes the other to occur.  Self-Funded or Self Interest Studies: A study performed by a person or organization in order to support their claim may not be impartial.  Misleading use of data: Improperly displayed graphs, incomplete data, and lack of context can cause people to come to incorrect conclusions.  Confounding: occurs when the effects of multiple factors on a response cannot be separated.
  • 11. 1.7 Critical Evaluation Key elements to statistical thinking:  Anecdotal claims can be refuted with statistical analysis.  Poorly collected data are not useful.  Watch out for confounding variables.  Results in statistics are not certain.
  • 12. 1.7 Key Terms  The frequency is the number of times a given datam occurs in a data set.  The relative frequency is the fraction of times a given datum occurs.  The cumulative relative frequency is the accumulation of the previous relative frequencies.
  • 13. 1. Construct a frequency table. EXAMPLE 2. What percentage of students have 0 How many siblings siblings? do you have? 3. What percentage of students have 1 to 3 siblings? 4. What percentage of students have fewer than 3 siblings? At least 3 siblings?
  • 14. Data Frequency Relative Cumulative EXAMPLE Frequency Relative Frequency Nineteen people 3 3 3/19 0.1579 were asked how 4 1 1/19 0.2105 many miles, to the 5 3 3/19 0.1579 nearest mile, they commute to work 7 2 2/19 0.2632 each day. The data 10 3 4/19 0.4737 are: 12 2 2/19 0.7895 2, 5, 7, 3, 2, 10, 18, 13 1 1/19 0.8421 15, 20, 7, 10, 18, 5, 15 1 1/19 0.8948 12, 13, 12, 4, 5, 10 18 1 1/19 0.9474 The following table 20 1 1/19 1.000 was produced.
  • 15. 1. Is the table correct? If not, what is EXAMPLE wrong with it? 2. True or false? Three percent of the people surveyed commute 3 miles. If the statement is false, what should it be? 3. What fraction of the people surveyed commute 5 to 7 miles? 4. What fraction of the people surveyed commute at least 12 miles? Less than 12 miles? Between 5 and 13 miles?
  • 16. 1.14 Lab 2 GROUP WORK Split into groups of 3 to 4.
  • 17. HOMEWORK 1.12 #s 3, 15, 16, 19-28

Editor's Notes

  1. Population: All dog owners in Whatcom CountySample: dog owners who came in to Petsmart on the day of the surveyParameter: number or proportion of dog owners in whatcom county who would use each locationStatistic: number or propotion of dog owners who come in to Petsmart on the day of the survey who would use each locationVariable: X = prefered location of a dog ownerData: the specific values of X
  2. Population: All dog owners in Whatcom CountySample: dog owners who came in to Petsmart on the day of the surveyParameter: number or proportion of dog owners in whatcom county who would use each locationStatistic: number or propotion of dog owners who come in to Petsmart on the day of the survey who would use each locationVariable: X = prefered location of a dog ownerData: the specific values of X
  3. Population: All dog owners in Whatcom CountySample: dog owners who came in to Petsmart on the day of the surveyParameter: number or proportion of dog owners in whatcom county who would use each locationStatistic: number or propotion of dog owners who come in to Petsmart on the day of the survey who would use each locationVariable: X = prefered location of a dog ownerData: the specific values of X
  4. Population: All dog owners in Whatcom CountySample: dog owners who came in to Petsmart on the day of the surveyParameter: number or proportion of dog owners in whatcom county who would use each locationStatistic: number or propotion of dog owners who come in to Petsmart on the day of the survey who would use each locationVariable: X = prefered location of a dog ownerData: the specific values of X