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Resilience in urban socioecological
     systems: residential water
    management as a driver of
            biodiversity
               Madhusudan Katti
                Bradley Schleder
              Department of Biology
        California State University, Fresno
           http://www.fresnobirds.org/
Natural
Environment
Natural
Environment




                 Individual responses
              Behavior, Physiology, Life History
Regional/Global

                      Ecosystem

  Natural            Community
Environment
                      Population



                 Individual responses
              Behavior, Physiology, Life History
Regional/Global

                      Ecosystem

  Natural            Community                     Human
Environment                                        Impact
                      Population



                 Individual responses
              Behavior, Physiology, Life History
A coupled socioecological system (SES)


                  Actions
               interventions




Human System                   Ecosystem


                Ecosystem
                 services
Unpacking the black box of
    “human impact”
Unpacking the black box of
        “human impact”
•   Human actions alter the ecosystem (directly and
    indirectly), e.g. by altering land-use/land-cover
    (LULC) with diverse effects on other species
Unpacking the black box of
        “human impact”
•   Human actions alter the ecosystem (directly and
    indirectly), e.g. by altering land-use/land-cover
    (LULC) with diverse effects on other species
•   Human actions are complex products of
    interactions among many variables:
Unpacking the black box of
        “human impact”
•   Human actions alter the ecosystem (directly and
    indirectly), e.g. by altering land-use/land-cover
    (LULC) with diverse effects on other species
•   Human actions are complex products of
    interactions among many variables:
    •  economic characteristics
Unpacking the black box of
        “human impact”
•   Human actions alter the ecosystem (directly and
    indirectly), e.g. by altering land-use/land-cover
    (LULC) with diverse effects on other species
•   Human actions are complex products of
    interactions among many variables:
    •  economic characteristics
    •  sociological arrangements
Unpacking the black box of
        “human impact”
•   Human actions alter the ecosystem (directly and
    indirectly), e.g. by altering land-use/land-cover
    (LULC) with diverse effects on other species
•   Human actions are complex products of
    interactions among many variables:
    •  economic characteristics
    •  sociological arrangements
    •  cultural characteristics and background
Unpacking the black box of
        “human impact”
•   Human actions alter the ecosystem (directly and
    indirectly), e.g. by altering land-use/land-cover
    (LULC) with diverse effects on other species
•   Human actions are complex products of
    interactions among many variables:
    •  economic characteristics
    •  sociological arrangements
    •  cultural characteristics and background
    •  institutional arrangements
Unpacking the black box of
        “human impact”
•   Human actions alter the ecosystem (directly and
    indirectly), e.g. by altering land-use/land-cover
    (LULC) with diverse effects on other species
•   Human actions are complex products of
    interactions among many variables:
    •  economic characteristics
    •  sociological arrangements
    •  cultural characteristics and background
    •  institutional arrangements
    •  politics
Residential water use in Fresno
Residential water use in Fresno
•   Currently, 51% of water is used residentially
Residential water use in Fresno
•   Currently, 51% of water is used residentially
•   70% of residential water used for irrigation
Residential water use in Fresno
•   Currently, 51% of water is used residentially
•   70% of residential water used for irrigation
•   Starting in 2013, flat rate water will be
    replaced by metered water
Residential water use in Fresno
•   Currently, 51% of water is used residentially
•   70% of residential water used for irrigation
•   Starting in 2013, flat rate water will be
    replaced by metered water
•   As water becomes more expensive,
    residents are expected to reduce
    consumption
Residential water use in Fresno
•   Currently, 51% of water is used residentially
•   70% of residential water used for irrigation
•   Starting in 2013, flat rate water will be
    replaced by metered water
•   As water becomes more expensive,
    residents are expected to reduce
    consumption
•   Residential irrigation is therefore predicted
    to decrease
Residential water use in Fresno
•   Currently, 51% of water is used residentially
•   70% of residential water used for irrigation
•   Starting in 2013, flat rate water will be
    replaced by metered water
•   As water becomes more expensive,
    residents are expected to reduce
    consumption
•   Residential irrigation is therefore predicted
    to decrease
•   Decreased irrigation is in turn predicted to
    alter bird diversity
Residential water use in Fresno
•   Currently, 51% of water is used residentially
•   70% of residential water used for irrigation
•   Starting in 2013, flat rate water will be
    replaced by metered water
•   As water becomes more expensive,
    residents are expected to reduce
    consumption
•   Residential irrigation is therefore predicted
    to decrease
•   Decreased irrigation is in turn predicted to
    alter bird diversity
•   The effects may be more extreme in
    impoverished urban areas
Challenges and Data Needs for Urban Ecology
Challenges and Data Needs for Urban Ecology
• Urban habitats are highly variable
  • many different land uses
  • rapid changes over short distances
  • need many sites for data precision
Challenges and Data Needs for Urban Ecology
• Urban habitats are highly variable
  • many different land uses
  • rapid changes over short distances
  • need many sites for data precision
• Many species of birds
• Measurements must be repeatable at
 same sites over years
Fresno-Clovis Metro Area (FCMA)
                        Fresno Bird Count Study
                            Madera




         Californi                                              Clovi




Fresno




                                              Fresno

                                     Fresno

                     FBC             Censused in       Habitat surveyed
                     site            2008 (N=200)      (N=38)
Fresno Bird Count - April 15-May 15:
    Survey Design & Census Methodology
Fresno Bird Count - April 15-May 15:
        Survey Design & Census Methodology

•   460 sites on a 1Km X 1Km grid
    • each site located randomly within a single grid cell
Fresno Bird Count - April 15-May 15:
        Survey Design & Census Methodology

•   460 sites on a 1Km X 1Km grid
    • each site located randomly within a single grid cell
•   Grouped into 58 clusters (routes) of 7-8 sites each
    • possible to cover all sites in a single morning
Fresno Bird Count - April 15-May 15:
        Survey Design & Census Methodology

•   460 sites on a 1Km X 1Km grid
    • each site located randomly within a single grid cell
•   Grouped into 58 clusters (routes) of 7-8 sites each
    • possible to cover all sites in a single morning
•   Counts conducted within 4 hours after sunrise
Fresno Bird Count - April 15-May 15:
        Survey Design & Census Methodology

•   460 sites on a 1Km X 1Km grid
    • each site located randomly within a single grid cell
•   Grouped into 58 clusters (routes) of 7-8 sites each
    • possible to cover all sites in a single morning
•   Counts conducted within 4 hours after sunrise
•   Point Count
    • 5-minute duration
    • count all birds seen & heard
    • within a 40m-radius circle
Fresno Bird Count - April 15-May 15:
        Survey Design & Census Methodology

•   460 sites on a 1Km X 1Km grid
    • each site located randomly within a single grid cell
•   Grouped into 58 clusters (routes) of 7-8 sites each
    • possible to cover all sites in a single morning
•   Counts conducted within 4 hours after sunrise
•   Point Count
    • 5-minute duration
    • count all birds seen & heard
    • within a 40m-radius circle
•   ~200 points surveyed during 2008 and 2009 each
Fresno Bird Count - April 15-May 15:
   Habitat and Socioeconomic Assessment
Fresno Bird Count - April 15-May 15:
          Habitat and Socioeconomic Assessment

•   A subset of 38 points, located in residential areas only
Fresno Bird Count - April 15-May 15:
           Habitat and Socioeconomic Assessment

•   A subset of 38 points, located in residential areas only
•   Rapid survey of habitat variables at 20m-radius plots
     •   % Canopy Cover
     •   Ground cover: % grass, impervious, dirt/mulch, buildings, gravel
     •   Number of Trees
     •   Average Tree Height
     •   Number of Shrubs
     •   Average Shrub Height
     •   Grass Height
     •   Irrigation intensity score (4 point scale: 0-3) for each residence
         overlapping plot; Mode of score is used in analyses presented here
     •   % population in surrounding census block group living below
         poverty level (<$18,310/yr for a family of three)*
         *US Census, Department of Health and Human Services 2008 - 2009
Examples of Irrigation Regimes



      0




      2




     3
Distribution of Bird Species Richness in the FCMA

   In 2008

• 186 points surveyed
  by 35 volunteers

• 86 bird species
  recorded

• 3263 total birds
  seen

• Average species
  richness per site:
  5.13 ± 0.16 SE


                        1-3 spp   3-6 spp   6-9 spp   9-12 spp
Irrigation is correlated with...

                                  Poverty                                                Bird Species Richness
                  1.00
                                                                                    10
                                                                                     9
                  0.75                                                               8
                                                               3
Mode Irrigation




                                                                   # Bird Species
                                                                                     7

                  0.50                                                               6
                                                                                     5
                                                                                     4
                  0.25                                         2
                                                                                     3
                                                                                     2
                  0.00                                                               1
                         0   10    20      30       40   50   60                         0   2                     3
                                        % Poverty                                                Mode Irrigation

                     R2(U) =0.10, Χ2 p =0.01,                                       F2,35=3.18, p =0.05, R2=0.15
                     N=38
Bird Species Richness is also
correlated with...
                           % Building                                                        Open Canopy
                 10                                                                10
                  9                                                                 9
                  8                                                                 8
# Bird Species




                                                                  # Bird Species
                  7                                                                 7
                  6                                                                 6
                  5                                                                 5
                  4                                                                 4
                  3                                                                 3
                  2                                                                 2
                  1                                                                 1
                      -5    0   5   10   15   20   25   30   35                         30   40   50   60   70   80   90   100
                                     % Building                                                    % Open Canopy


  R2 =0.12, p =0.04, N=38                                           R2 =0.11, p =0.04, N=38
Multivariate Drivers of Bird Diversity in the FCMA
  •   Stepwise regression: 9 variables, 8 interaction terms, mixed procedure
  •   Best fit model as shown in table below
  •   Whole model R2=0.64 (adj. R2=0.53), F(8,24)=5.43, P=0.0006

                      Source                        +/-    F-ratio       Prob >F
  Mean Grass Height * Mode Irrigation Score          +       10.71        0.003*
  % Building                                         -       7.93         0.0096*
  Mean Grass Height (cm)                             -       4.81         0.038*
  % Poverty * Mode Irrigation Score                  +       4.33         0.048*
  % Poverty * % Building                             +        2.55          0.12
  Mean Shrub Height (m)                               -       2.16          0.16
  Mode Irrigation Score                              +        0.86          0.36
  % Poverty                                           -      0.048          0.83

  •   Model comparison based inference supported the above results; the lowest AICc =
      119.665 for comparison of 56 8-paramater models
Conclusions from the FCMA
Conclusions from the FCMA

•   Urban bird diversity increased significantly with
    residential irrigation intensity.
Conclusions from the FCMA

•   Urban bird diversity increased significantly with
    residential irrigation intensity.
•   Residential irrigation intensity decreased
    significantly with increasing poverty levels.
Conclusions from the FCMA

•   Urban bird diversity increased significantly with
    residential irrigation intensity.
•   Residential irrigation intensity decreased
    significantly with increasing poverty levels.
•   Neighborhood poverty level (i.e., economic status)
    has strong effects on irrigation intensity even
    without water metering.
Conclusions from the FCMA

•   Urban bird diversity increased significantly with
    residential irrigation intensity.
•   Residential irrigation intensity decreased
    significantly with increasing poverty levels.
•   Neighborhood poverty level (i.e., economic status)
    has strong effects on irrigation intensity even
    without water metering.
•   Poverty also has strong indirect effects on bird
    diversity through intermediate variables including
    irrigation intensity, grass height, % building cover,
    and shrub height.
Conclusions from the FCMA
Conclusions from the FCMA


•   Socioeconomic status and related irrigation /
    landscape management practices by residents
    appear to be strong drivers of habitat structure
    for birds, and overall bird diversity in the FCMA.
Conclusions from the FCMA


•   Socioeconomic status and related irrigation /
    landscape management practices by residents
    appear to be strong drivers of habitat structure
    for birds, and overall bird diversity in the FCMA.
•   In an arid region like the San Joaquin Valley
    irrigation dramatically alters the landscape and
    may provide resources (food and cover)
    otherwise unavailable to bird species.
Differences in landscape structure
                               Phoenix:
                                  Stream channels larger, more perennial
                                  More irrigation, pseudo-riparian
                                  vegetation, golf courses
                                  mesic yards
                               Tucson:
                                  Mostly seasonal washes
                                  xeric yards




Indian Bend Wash, Scottsdale                               Rillito Wash, Tucson
Abert’s Towhee




                Endemic to lower Sonoran desert
                Prefers riparian habitat, especially
Pipilo aberti   for breeding
Abert’s Towhee in two cities
                  Phoenix                                                                                                        Tucson




                        2.0                                                                              2.0




                                                                                 Ln (Towhee Abundance)
                                                         SPRING
Ln (Towhee Abundance)




                                                                                                                                         SPRING
                                                    Spearman’s ρ = -0.336                                                         Spearman’s ρ = -0.183
                                                    P = 0.016                                                                     P < 0.0001
                        1.5                                     Autumn                                   1.5
                                                                Winter
                                                                Spring


                        1.0                                                                              1.0


                        0.5                                                                              0.5


                        0.0                                                                              0.0

                              0      3000   6000   9000    12000 15000
                                                                                                               0   3000   6000   9000   12000 15000
                                  Distance to Nearest River (m)                                          Distance to Nearest Major Wash (m)
                                                          M. Katti, W. Turner, E. Shochat (2001)
Ongoing and proposed research
        in the FCMA
Ongoing and proposed research
              in the FCMA
 • Results provide baseline (Before) data as part of a
   Before-After-Control-Impact experiment (a
     “found” experiment)
Ongoing and proposed research
              in the FCMA
 • Results provide baseline (Before) data as part of a
   Before-After-Control-Impact experiment (a
      “found” experiment)
  •   Mapping of tree cover and species diversity
Ongoing and proposed research
              in the FCMA
 • Results provide baseline (Before) data as part of a
   Before-After-Control-Impact experiment (a
      “found” experiment)
  •   Mapping of tree cover and species diversity
  •   Detailed socioeconomic and cultural surveys of
      individual homeowners (to begin in 2010)
Ongoing and proposed research
              in the FCMA
 • Results provide baseline (Before) data as part of a
   Before-After-Control-Impact experiment (a
      “found” experiment)
  •   Mapping of tree cover and species diversity
  •   Detailed socioeconomic and cultural surveys of
      individual homeowners (to begin in 2010)
  •   Survey of institutional agents
Ongoing and proposed research
              in the FCMA
 • Results provide baseline (Before) data as part of a
   Before-After-Control-Impact experiment (a
      “found” experiment)
  •   Mapping of tree cover and species diversity
  •   Detailed socioeconomic and cultural surveys of
      individual homeowners (to begin in 2010)
  •   Survey of institutional agents
  •   Analysis of water policies
Ongoing and proposed research
              in the FCMA
 • Results provide baseline (Before) data as part of a
   Before-After-Control-Impact experiment (a
      “found” experiment)
  •   Mapping of tree cover and species diversity
  •   Detailed socioeconomic and cultural surveys of
      individual homeowners (to begin in 2010)
  •   Survey of institutional agents
  •   Analysis of water policies
  •   Detailed Land-Use/Land-Cover (LULC) modeling
Ongoing and proposed research
              in the FCMA
 • Results provide baseline (Before) data as part of a
   Before-After-Control-Impact experiment (a
      “found” experiment)
  •   Mapping of tree cover and species diversity
  •   Detailed socioeconomic and cultural surveys of
      individual homeowners (to begin in 2010)
  •   Survey of institutional agents
  •   Analysis of water policies
  •   Detailed Land-Use/Land-Cover (LULC) modeling
  •   Develop and test a more comprehensive model of
      the urban socioecological system (SES)
A conceptual model of an
urban SES focusing on water
Thanks are due to:
• Inspiration:
   • Will Turner - Tucson Bird Count;
     CAP-LTER, BES
   • Mary Cadenasso, Derya Ozgoc-
     Caglar, Andrew Jones, Lara Triona,
     Henry Delcore, John Bushoven,
     Sarah Wallace
• Perspiration:
   • All the volunteers of the FBC!
• Web Database (work in progress):
   • NiJeL.org (Lela Prashad, Nancy
     Jones, JD Godchaux)
• Funding:
   • Provost, CSU-Fresno
   • College of Science & Mathematics,
     CSU-Fresno

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Residential irrigation as a driver of urban biodiversity

  • 1. Resilience in urban socioecological systems: residential water management as a driver of biodiversity Madhusudan Katti Bradley Schleder Department of Biology California State University, Fresno http://www.fresnobirds.org/
  • 3. Natural Environment Individual responses Behavior, Physiology, Life History
  • 4. Regional/Global Ecosystem Natural Community Environment Population Individual responses Behavior, Physiology, Life History
  • 5. Regional/Global Ecosystem Natural Community Human Environment Impact Population Individual responses Behavior, Physiology, Life History
  • 6. A coupled socioecological system (SES) Actions interventions Human System Ecosystem Ecosystem services
  • 7. Unpacking the black box of “human impact”
  • 8. Unpacking the black box of “human impact” • Human actions alter the ecosystem (directly and indirectly), e.g. by altering land-use/land-cover (LULC) with diverse effects on other species
  • 9. Unpacking the black box of “human impact” • Human actions alter the ecosystem (directly and indirectly), e.g. by altering land-use/land-cover (LULC) with diverse effects on other species • Human actions are complex products of interactions among many variables:
  • 10. Unpacking the black box of “human impact” • Human actions alter the ecosystem (directly and indirectly), e.g. by altering land-use/land-cover (LULC) with diverse effects on other species • Human actions are complex products of interactions among many variables: • economic characteristics
  • 11. Unpacking the black box of “human impact” • Human actions alter the ecosystem (directly and indirectly), e.g. by altering land-use/land-cover (LULC) with diverse effects on other species • Human actions are complex products of interactions among many variables: • economic characteristics • sociological arrangements
  • 12. Unpacking the black box of “human impact” • Human actions alter the ecosystem (directly and indirectly), e.g. by altering land-use/land-cover (LULC) with diverse effects on other species • Human actions are complex products of interactions among many variables: • economic characteristics • sociological arrangements • cultural characteristics and background
  • 13. Unpacking the black box of “human impact” • Human actions alter the ecosystem (directly and indirectly), e.g. by altering land-use/land-cover (LULC) with diverse effects on other species • Human actions are complex products of interactions among many variables: • economic characteristics • sociological arrangements • cultural characteristics and background • institutional arrangements
  • 14. Unpacking the black box of “human impact” • Human actions alter the ecosystem (directly and indirectly), e.g. by altering land-use/land-cover (LULC) with diverse effects on other species • Human actions are complex products of interactions among many variables: • economic characteristics • sociological arrangements • cultural characteristics and background • institutional arrangements • politics
  • 16. Residential water use in Fresno • Currently, 51% of water is used residentially
  • 17. Residential water use in Fresno • Currently, 51% of water is used residentially • 70% of residential water used for irrigation
  • 18. Residential water use in Fresno • Currently, 51% of water is used residentially • 70% of residential water used for irrigation • Starting in 2013, flat rate water will be replaced by metered water
  • 19. Residential water use in Fresno • Currently, 51% of water is used residentially • 70% of residential water used for irrigation • Starting in 2013, flat rate water will be replaced by metered water • As water becomes more expensive, residents are expected to reduce consumption
  • 20. Residential water use in Fresno • Currently, 51% of water is used residentially • 70% of residential water used for irrigation • Starting in 2013, flat rate water will be replaced by metered water • As water becomes more expensive, residents are expected to reduce consumption • Residential irrigation is therefore predicted to decrease
  • 21. Residential water use in Fresno • Currently, 51% of water is used residentially • 70% of residential water used for irrigation • Starting in 2013, flat rate water will be replaced by metered water • As water becomes more expensive, residents are expected to reduce consumption • Residential irrigation is therefore predicted to decrease • Decreased irrigation is in turn predicted to alter bird diversity
  • 22. Residential water use in Fresno • Currently, 51% of water is used residentially • 70% of residential water used for irrigation • Starting in 2013, flat rate water will be replaced by metered water • As water becomes more expensive, residents are expected to reduce consumption • Residential irrigation is therefore predicted to decrease • Decreased irrigation is in turn predicted to alter bird diversity • The effects may be more extreme in impoverished urban areas
  • 23. Challenges and Data Needs for Urban Ecology
  • 24. Challenges and Data Needs for Urban Ecology • Urban habitats are highly variable • many different land uses • rapid changes over short distances • need many sites for data precision
  • 25. Challenges and Data Needs for Urban Ecology • Urban habitats are highly variable • many different land uses • rapid changes over short distances • need many sites for data precision • Many species of birds • Measurements must be repeatable at same sites over years
  • 26. Fresno-Clovis Metro Area (FCMA) Fresno Bird Count Study Madera Californi Clovi Fresno Fresno Fresno FBC Censused in Habitat surveyed site 2008 (N=200) (N=38)
  • 27. Fresno Bird Count - April 15-May 15: Survey Design & Census Methodology
  • 28. Fresno Bird Count - April 15-May 15: Survey Design & Census Methodology • 460 sites on a 1Km X 1Km grid • each site located randomly within a single grid cell
  • 29. Fresno Bird Count - April 15-May 15: Survey Design & Census Methodology • 460 sites on a 1Km X 1Km grid • each site located randomly within a single grid cell • Grouped into 58 clusters (routes) of 7-8 sites each • possible to cover all sites in a single morning
  • 30. Fresno Bird Count - April 15-May 15: Survey Design & Census Methodology • 460 sites on a 1Km X 1Km grid • each site located randomly within a single grid cell • Grouped into 58 clusters (routes) of 7-8 sites each • possible to cover all sites in a single morning • Counts conducted within 4 hours after sunrise
  • 31. Fresno Bird Count - April 15-May 15: Survey Design & Census Methodology • 460 sites on a 1Km X 1Km grid • each site located randomly within a single grid cell • Grouped into 58 clusters (routes) of 7-8 sites each • possible to cover all sites in a single morning • Counts conducted within 4 hours after sunrise • Point Count • 5-minute duration • count all birds seen & heard • within a 40m-radius circle
  • 32. Fresno Bird Count - April 15-May 15: Survey Design & Census Methodology • 460 sites on a 1Km X 1Km grid • each site located randomly within a single grid cell • Grouped into 58 clusters (routes) of 7-8 sites each • possible to cover all sites in a single morning • Counts conducted within 4 hours after sunrise • Point Count • 5-minute duration • count all birds seen & heard • within a 40m-radius circle • ~200 points surveyed during 2008 and 2009 each
  • 33. Fresno Bird Count - April 15-May 15: Habitat and Socioeconomic Assessment
  • 34. Fresno Bird Count - April 15-May 15: Habitat and Socioeconomic Assessment • A subset of 38 points, located in residential areas only
  • 35. Fresno Bird Count - April 15-May 15: Habitat and Socioeconomic Assessment • A subset of 38 points, located in residential areas only • Rapid survey of habitat variables at 20m-radius plots • % Canopy Cover • Ground cover: % grass, impervious, dirt/mulch, buildings, gravel • Number of Trees • Average Tree Height • Number of Shrubs • Average Shrub Height • Grass Height • Irrigation intensity score (4 point scale: 0-3) for each residence overlapping plot; Mode of score is used in analyses presented here • % population in surrounding census block group living below poverty level (<$18,310/yr for a family of three)* *US Census, Department of Health and Human Services 2008 - 2009
  • 36. Examples of Irrigation Regimes 0 2 3
  • 37. Distribution of Bird Species Richness in the FCMA In 2008 • 186 points surveyed by 35 volunteers • 86 bird species recorded • 3263 total birds seen • Average species richness per site: 5.13 ± 0.16 SE 1-3 spp 3-6 spp 6-9 spp 9-12 spp
  • 38. Irrigation is correlated with... Poverty Bird Species Richness 1.00 10 9 0.75 8 3 Mode Irrigation # Bird Species 7 0.50 6 5 4 0.25 2 3 2 0.00 1 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0 2 3 % Poverty Mode Irrigation R2(U) =0.10, Χ2 p =0.01, F2,35=3.18, p =0.05, R2=0.15 N=38
  • 39. Bird Species Richness is also correlated with... % Building Open Canopy 10 10 9 9 8 8 # Bird Species # Bird Species 7 7 6 6 5 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 % Building % Open Canopy R2 =0.12, p =0.04, N=38 R2 =0.11, p =0.04, N=38
  • 40. Multivariate Drivers of Bird Diversity in the FCMA • Stepwise regression: 9 variables, 8 interaction terms, mixed procedure • Best fit model as shown in table below • Whole model R2=0.64 (adj. R2=0.53), F(8,24)=5.43, P=0.0006 Source +/- F-ratio Prob >F Mean Grass Height * Mode Irrigation Score + 10.71 0.003* % Building - 7.93 0.0096* Mean Grass Height (cm) - 4.81 0.038* % Poverty * Mode Irrigation Score + 4.33 0.048* % Poverty * % Building + 2.55 0.12 Mean Shrub Height (m) - 2.16 0.16 Mode Irrigation Score + 0.86 0.36 % Poverty - 0.048 0.83 • Model comparison based inference supported the above results; the lowest AICc = 119.665 for comparison of 56 8-paramater models
  • 42. Conclusions from the FCMA • Urban bird diversity increased significantly with residential irrigation intensity.
  • 43. Conclusions from the FCMA • Urban bird diversity increased significantly with residential irrigation intensity. • Residential irrigation intensity decreased significantly with increasing poverty levels.
  • 44. Conclusions from the FCMA • Urban bird diversity increased significantly with residential irrigation intensity. • Residential irrigation intensity decreased significantly with increasing poverty levels. • Neighborhood poverty level (i.e., economic status) has strong effects on irrigation intensity even without water metering.
  • 45. Conclusions from the FCMA • Urban bird diversity increased significantly with residential irrigation intensity. • Residential irrigation intensity decreased significantly with increasing poverty levels. • Neighborhood poverty level (i.e., economic status) has strong effects on irrigation intensity even without water metering. • Poverty also has strong indirect effects on bird diversity through intermediate variables including irrigation intensity, grass height, % building cover, and shrub height.
  • 47. Conclusions from the FCMA • Socioeconomic status and related irrigation / landscape management practices by residents appear to be strong drivers of habitat structure for birds, and overall bird diversity in the FCMA.
  • 48. Conclusions from the FCMA • Socioeconomic status and related irrigation / landscape management practices by residents appear to be strong drivers of habitat structure for birds, and overall bird diversity in the FCMA. • In an arid region like the San Joaquin Valley irrigation dramatically alters the landscape and may provide resources (food and cover) otherwise unavailable to bird species.
  • 49. Differences in landscape structure Phoenix: Stream channels larger, more perennial More irrigation, pseudo-riparian vegetation, golf courses mesic yards Tucson: Mostly seasonal washes xeric yards Indian Bend Wash, Scottsdale Rillito Wash, Tucson
  • 50. Abert’s Towhee Endemic to lower Sonoran desert Prefers riparian habitat, especially Pipilo aberti for breeding
  • 51. Abert’s Towhee in two cities Phoenix Tucson 2.0 2.0 Ln (Towhee Abundance) SPRING Ln (Towhee Abundance) SPRING Spearman’s ρ = -0.336 Spearman’s ρ = -0.183 P = 0.016 P < 0.0001 1.5 Autumn 1.5 Winter Spring 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0 3000 6000 9000 12000 15000 0 3000 6000 9000 12000 15000 Distance to Nearest River (m) Distance to Nearest Major Wash (m) M. Katti, W. Turner, E. Shochat (2001)
  • 52. Ongoing and proposed research in the FCMA
  • 53. Ongoing and proposed research in the FCMA • Results provide baseline (Before) data as part of a Before-After-Control-Impact experiment (a “found” experiment)
  • 54. Ongoing and proposed research in the FCMA • Results provide baseline (Before) data as part of a Before-After-Control-Impact experiment (a “found” experiment) • Mapping of tree cover and species diversity
  • 55. Ongoing and proposed research in the FCMA • Results provide baseline (Before) data as part of a Before-After-Control-Impact experiment (a “found” experiment) • Mapping of tree cover and species diversity • Detailed socioeconomic and cultural surveys of individual homeowners (to begin in 2010)
  • 56. Ongoing and proposed research in the FCMA • Results provide baseline (Before) data as part of a Before-After-Control-Impact experiment (a “found” experiment) • Mapping of tree cover and species diversity • Detailed socioeconomic and cultural surveys of individual homeowners (to begin in 2010) • Survey of institutional agents
  • 57. Ongoing and proposed research in the FCMA • Results provide baseline (Before) data as part of a Before-After-Control-Impact experiment (a “found” experiment) • Mapping of tree cover and species diversity • Detailed socioeconomic and cultural surveys of individual homeowners (to begin in 2010) • Survey of institutional agents • Analysis of water policies
  • 58. Ongoing and proposed research in the FCMA • Results provide baseline (Before) data as part of a Before-After-Control-Impact experiment (a “found” experiment) • Mapping of tree cover and species diversity • Detailed socioeconomic and cultural surveys of individual homeowners (to begin in 2010) • Survey of institutional agents • Analysis of water policies • Detailed Land-Use/Land-Cover (LULC) modeling
  • 59. Ongoing and proposed research in the FCMA • Results provide baseline (Before) data as part of a Before-After-Control-Impact experiment (a “found” experiment) • Mapping of tree cover and species diversity • Detailed socioeconomic and cultural surveys of individual homeowners (to begin in 2010) • Survey of institutional agents • Analysis of water policies • Detailed Land-Use/Land-Cover (LULC) modeling • Develop and test a more comprehensive model of the urban socioecological system (SES)
  • 60. A conceptual model of an urban SES focusing on water
  • 61. Thanks are due to: • Inspiration: • Will Turner - Tucson Bird Count; CAP-LTER, BES • Mary Cadenasso, Derya Ozgoc- Caglar, Andrew Jones, Lara Triona, Henry Delcore, John Bushoven, Sarah Wallace • Perspiration: • All the volunteers of the FBC! • Web Database (work in progress): • NiJeL.org (Lela Prashad, Nancy Jones, JD Godchaux) • Funding: • Provost, CSU-Fresno • College of Science & Mathematics, CSU-Fresno