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“A Cool Look at Global Warming”

                                  Presentation to the
                              Chatswood Rotary Club



                                       Philip R. Wood
                   Managing Director & CEO, Intec Ltd




11 February 2009                     Roseville RSL Memorial Club
There is no opinion, however absurd,
which men will not readily embrace as
soon as they can be brought to the
conviction that it is generally adopted.
                (Schopenhauer, Die Kunst Recht zu Behalten)
Facts that we can all agree upon:

(global warming advocates and sceptics alike)
Carbon Dioxide (CO2 ) is:

1.   Naturally occurring
2.   Invisible
3.   Odourless
4.   Non-toxic
5.   Necessary for all plant life (photosynthesis)
6.   Emitted by all animal life (breathing etc.)
So why is CO2 called a “pollutant”?
Answer:

 Because it is a “greenhouse gas” - even
 though greenhouse gases make Planet
 Earth liveable(+14°C average global
 temperature, rather than -19°C otherwise)
Greenhouse gases, in order of importance, comprise:

          Water vapour                     97%

          Carbon Dioxide                     2%

          Methane, N2O, etc.                 1%


  So along with your exhaled breath, fluffy clouds and cow
          belches are also villainous “pollutants”!
Water: Main greenhouse gas
               & driver of CO2


100%
                0.001%                       Man made
                                             Natural
80%

60%

40%

20%
                 0.117%   0.066%    0.047%    0.047%
 0%
       Water      CO2     Methane    N2O       Misc
       Vapour                                  Gases
Humankind currently contributes 3%
 of the Earth’s annual emissions of
      CO2 into the atmosphere.
 The 97% balance of emissions is
 split between vegetation and soils
    (53%) and the oceans (44%).
Carbon Dioxide in a Cooling World




Annual Carbon Flux between the Oceans, Vegetation and
        Soils, Humankind and the Atmosphere
Australia contributes 1.5% of global
     anthropogenic emissions.
The Rudd Government’s Emissions
 Trading Scheme plans to reduce
  Australia’s emissions by 5% by
                2020.
The Australian Government’s
  “Carbon Pollution Reduction
 Scheme” will therefore have the
 following impact on the world’s
       greenhouse effect:
100% x 2% x 3% x 1.5% x 5% = 0.000045 %

        or about a 2.2 millionth!
   (Equal to one footstep in a walk around the equator!)
So, to justify this huge national
effort for effectively nil outcome,
carbon dioxide must be the real
 villain of ‘catastrophic’ Global
             Warming:


             Right?
Wrong!




Temperatures, CO2 and sea levels for the last 20,000 years
Temperatures for the last 2,000 years
1850 - 2007
Globally averaged temperature variations between 1850 and 2007 show
the emergence from the “Little Ice Age” in the early 1900’s, slight cooling
  in the 1940’s to the 1970’s, and then warming again since the 1970’s,
                      followed by cooling since 1998.
1979 - 2009
1998 - 2008
World Temperatures Falling Whilst CO2 Keeps Rising
Correlation can exist without causation,

but causation cannot exist without correlation.
Atmospheric Temperature and Carbon Dioxide Content over
                      the Ages.
Seas are not rising
Ice is not melting
Cyclones are not increasing
Everything presented so far has been
indisputable empirically observed data.
Global warming advocates have no choice but
to agree, even if they are reluctant to be open
with us all on these matters.

The difference comes when modelling the
future: “bulldust in, bulldust out”!
It really began with the IPCC.



 Set up in 1988 under UN auspices
 Does not carry out research or monitor climate
 Assimilates available information to inform governments of the
 world
 Global quasi-monopoly of official scientific advice
 Has mutated into a politically correct alarmist pressure group
 Notorious “hockey stick” quietly dropped from latest 2007
 Report
 Joint winner of the Nobel Peace Prize!
“Hockey Stick”
IPCC Projections for 2100
Temperature – increase of <3°C
N.B. Current world average 14°C (Helsinki 5°C, Singapore 27°C)



Sea Levels – 18-59cm higher
N.B. Average twice-daily tide ~200cm (Al Gore’s movie – 700cm)



+ Diseases (e.g. malaria), floods, droughts, hurricanes, etc.

Of course, no benefits from warming!
Leading Global Warming Advocates

 Al Gore – Joint Nobel Peace Prizewinner for “An Inconvenient Truth”
 Tim Flannery – 2007 Australian of the Year for “The Weather Makers”
 Sir Nicholas Stern – Author of the U.K. Government’s Stern Review
 Ross Garnaut – Author of the Australian Government’s Garnaut Report


 Australian Politicians - Kevin Rudd, Penny Wong, Peter Garrett,
 Malcolm Turnbull, Bob Brown, etc.
Leading Australian Sceptics
Politicians    Martin Ferguson, Cory Bernardi, Barnaby Joyce,
               Michael Costa, Peter Walsh, Ron Boswell

Scientists     Bob Carter, Ian Plimer, Bill Kininmoth, David Evans


Lobbyists      Ray Evans (Lavoisier Group)
               Viv Forbes (Carbon Sense Coalition)
               Max Rheese (Australian Climate Science Coalition)
               Leon Ashby (Climate Sceptics Party)
Journalists    Andrew Bolt, Miranda Devine, Terry McCrann,
               Christopher Pearson, Piers Akerman, Alan Jones

Archbishops!   Cardinal George Pell
Australia’s Proposed Emissions Trading Scheme

 Multi-billion dollar per annum carbon tax by another name

 Creates massive distortions in our economy

 Directly reduces international competitiveness

 Produces grinding bureaucratic intervention to redistribute
 impact for political expediency
20% Renewable Energy Target by 2020

Most renewable energy is presently hydro (little scope for
increase)

Wind and solar do not produce baseload power (therefore
require ~85% baseload back-up)

Geothermal ‘hot rocks’ too isolated

Uranium (ruled out politically – why?)

Carbon Geo-Sequestration (expensive and unproven)
Acknowledgement
   From the opening title to the concluding
 illustration, my presentation has been the
hurried compilation of a “magpie patchwork
plagiarist”. If it contains any errors, they are
                 likely to be mine.
However I acknowledge and thank the many
unattributed contributors, confident that they
 would want this message to be spread as
             widely as possible.
                                  -Philip R. Wood
Philip R. Wood
Managing Director & Chief Executive Officer
                                Intec Ltd



                       philip@intec.com.au
                           PO Box 1507
                 North Sydney NSW 2059
                 Level 3, 2 Elizabeth Plaza
                  North Sydney NSW 2060
                    Phone: (02) 9925 8170
                 Facsimile: (02) 9925 8110

                         www.intec.com.au

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Global Warming

  • 1. “A Cool Look at Global Warming” Presentation to the Chatswood Rotary Club Philip R. Wood Managing Director & CEO, Intec Ltd 11 February 2009 Roseville RSL Memorial Club
  • 2. There is no opinion, however absurd, which men will not readily embrace as soon as they can be brought to the conviction that it is generally adopted. (Schopenhauer, Die Kunst Recht zu Behalten)
  • 3. Facts that we can all agree upon: (global warming advocates and sceptics alike)
  • 4. Carbon Dioxide (CO2 ) is: 1. Naturally occurring 2. Invisible 3. Odourless 4. Non-toxic 5. Necessary for all plant life (photosynthesis) 6. Emitted by all animal life (breathing etc.)
  • 5. So why is CO2 called a “pollutant”? Answer: Because it is a “greenhouse gas” - even though greenhouse gases make Planet Earth liveable(+14°C average global temperature, rather than -19°C otherwise)
  • 6. Greenhouse gases, in order of importance, comprise: Water vapour 97% Carbon Dioxide 2% Methane, N2O, etc. 1% So along with your exhaled breath, fluffy clouds and cow belches are also villainous “pollutants”!
  • 7. Water: Main greenhouse gas & driver of CO2 100% 0.001% Man made Natural 80% 60% 40% 20% 0.117% 0.066% 0.047% 0.047% 0% Water CO2 Methane N2O Misc Vapour Gases
  • 8. Humankind currently contributes 3% of the Earth’s annual emissions of CO2 into the atmosphere. The 97% balance of emissions is split between vegetation and soils (53%) and the oceans (44%).
  • 9. Carbon Dioxide in a Cooling World Annual Carbon Flux between the Oceans, Vegetation and Soils, Humankind and the Atmosphere
  • 10. Australia contributes 1.5% of global anthropogenic emissions. The Rudd Government’s Emissions Trading Scheme plans to reduce Australia’s emissions by 5% by 2020.
  • 11. The Australian Government’s “Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme” will therefore have the following impact on the world’s greenhouse effect: 100% x 2% x 3% x 1.5% x 5% = 0.000045 % or about a 2.2 millionth! (Equal to one footstep in a walk around the equator!)
  • 12. So, to justify this huge national effort for effectively nil outcome, carbon dioxide must be the real villain of ‘catastrophic’ Global Warming: Right?
  • 13. Wrong! Temperatures, CO2 and sea levels for the last 20,000 years
  • 14. Temperatures for the last 2,000 years
  • 15. 1850 - 2007 Globally averaged temperature variations between 1850 and 2007 show the emergence from the “Little Ice Age” in the early 1900’s, slight cooling in the 1940’s to the 1970’s, and then warming again since the 1970’s, followed by cooling since 1998.
  • 17. 1998 - 2008 World Temperatures Falling Whilst CO2 Keeps Rising
  • 18. Correlation can exist without causation, but causation cannot exist without correlation.
  • 19.
  • 20. Atmospheric Temperature and Carbon Dioxide Content over the Ages.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23. Seas are not rising
  • 24. Ice is not melting
  • 25. Cyclones are not increasing
  • 26. Everything presented so far has been indisputable empirically observed data. Global warming advocates have no choice but to agree, even if they are reluctant to be open with us all on these matters. The difference comes when modelling the future: “bulldust in, bulldust out”!
  • 27. It really began with the IPCC. Set up in 1988 under UN auspices Does not carry out research or monitor climate Assimilates available information to inform governments of the world Global quasi-monopoly of official scientific advice Has mutated into a politically correct alarmist pressure group Notorious “hockey stick” quietly dropped from latest 2007 Report Joint winner of the Nobel Peace Prize!
  • 29. IPCC Projections for 2100 Temperature – increase of <3°C N.B. Current world average 14°C (Helsinki 5°C, Singapore 27°C) Sea Levels – 18-59cm higher N.B. Average twice-daily tide ~200cm (Al Gore’s movie – 700cm) + Diseases (e.g. malaria), floods, droughts, hurricanes, etc. Of course, no benefits from warming!
  • 30. Leading Global Warming Advocates Al Gore – Joint Nobel Peace Prizewinner for “An Inconvenient Truth” Tim Flannery – 2007 Australian of the Year for “The Weather Makers” Sir Nicholas Stern – Author of the U.K. Government’s Stern Review Ross Garnaut – Author of the Australian Government’s Garnaut Report Australian Politicians - Kevin Rudd, Penny Wong, Peter Garrett, Malcolm Turnbull, Bob Brown, etc.
  • 31. Leading Australian Sceptics Politicians Martin Ferguson, Cory Bernardi, Barnaby Joyce, Michael Costa, Peter Walsh, Ron Boswell Scientists Bob Carter, Ian Plimer, Bill Kininmoth, David Evans Lobbyists Ray Evans (Lavoisier Group) Viv Forbes (Carbon Sense Coalition) Max Rheese (Australian Climate Science Coalition) Leon Ashby (Climate Sceptics Party) Journalists Andrew Bolt, Miranda Devine, Terry McCrann, Christopher Pearson, Piers Akerman, Alan Jones Archbishops! Cardinal George Pell
  • 32. Australia’s Proposed Emissions Trading Scheme Multi-billion dollar per annum carbon tax by another name Creates massive distortions in our economy Directly reduces international competitiveness Produces grinding bureaucratic intervention to redistribute impact for political expediency
  • 33. 20% Renewable Energy Target by 2020 Most renewable energy is presently hydro (little scope for increase) Wind and solar do not produce baseload power (therefore require ~85% baseload back-up) Geothermal ‘hot rocks’ too isolated Uranium (ruled out politically – why?) Carbon Geo-Sequestration (expensive and unproven)
  • 34.
  • 35. Acknowledgement From the opening title to the concluding illustration, my presentation has been the hurried compilation of a “magpie patchwork plagiarist”. If it contains any errors, they are likely to be mine. However I acknowledge and thank the many unattributed contributors, confident that they would want this message to be spread as widely as possible. -Philip R. Wood
  • 36. Philip R. Wood Managing Director & Chief Executive Officer Intec Ltd philip@intec.com.au PO Box 1507 North Sydney NSW 2059 Level 3, 2 Elizabeth Plaza North Sydney NSW 2060 Phone: (02) 9925 8170 Facsimile: (02) 9925 8110 www.intec.com.au