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The Millennium Development Goals Report



                                  2009
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This report is based on a master set of data that has been compiled by an Inter-Agency and Expert
Group on MDG Indicators led by the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United
Nations Secretariat, in response to the wishes of the General Assembly for periodic assessment of
progress towards the MDGs. The Group comprises representatives of the international
organizations whose activities include the preparation of one or more of the series of statistical
indicators that were identified as appropriate for monitoring progress towards the MDGs, as
reflected in the list below. A number of national statisticians and outside expert advisers also
contributed.



INTERNATIONAL LABOUR ORGANIZATION

FOOD AND AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION OF THE UNITED NATIONS

UNITED NATIONS EDUCATIONAL, SCIENTIFIC AND CULTURAL ORGANIZATION

UNITED NATIONS INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATION

WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION

THE WORLD BANK

INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

INTERNATIONAL TELECOMMUNICATION UNION

ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR AFRICA

ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR EUROPE

ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN

ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL COMMISSION FOR ASIA AND THE PACIFIC

ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL COMMISSION FOR WESTER N ASIA

JOINT UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON HIV/AIDS

UNITED NATIONS CHILDREN’S FUND

UNITED NATIONS CONFERENCE ON TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT

UNITED NATIONS DEVELOPMENT FUND FOR WOMEN

UNITED NATIONS DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMME

UNITED NATIONS ENVIRONMENT PROGRAMME

UNITED NATIONS FRAMEWORK CONVENTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE

UNITED NATIONS HIGH COMMISSIONER FOR REFUGEES

UNITED NATIONS HUMAN SETTLEMENTS PROGRAMME

UNITED NATIONS POPULATION FUND

INTER NATIONAL TR ADE CENTRE

INTER -PARLIAMENTAR Y U NION

ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT

WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION
The Millennium
Development Goals
Report 2009




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Foreword
Nine years ago, world leaders set far-sighted goals to     Rather than retreat, now is the time to accelerate
free a major portion of humanity from the shackles of      progress towards the MDGs and to strengthen the
extreme poverty, hunger, illiteracy and disease. They      global partnership for development. If the global
established targets for achieving gender equality and      community responds constructively to the crisis, the
the empowerment of women, environmental                    goals can still be achieved. Honouring the commitment
sustainability and a global partnership for                to increase aid is critical. Equally important is ensuring
development. In short, they adopted a blueprint for a      that the interests of the developing countries, and
better world – and pledged to spare no effort in           especially the poorest ones, remain central in
fulfilling that vision.                                    negotiations on trade. We must also ‘seal the deal’ on a
                                                           new climate change regime in Copenhagen in
We have made important progress in this effort, and        December. The timing is ripe for making the structural
have many successes on which to build. But we have         changes that are needed to move more decisively
been moving too slowly to meet our goals. And today,       towards more equitable development and sustainability
we face a global economic crisis whose full                and to address the climate crisis.
repercussions have yet to be felt. At the very least, it
will throw us off course in a number of key areas,         The global community cannot turn its back on the poor
particularly in the developing countries. At worst, it     and the vulnerable. We must strengthen global
could prevent us from keeping our promises, plunging       cooperation and solidarity, and redouble our efforts to
millions more into poverty and posing a risk of social     reach the MDGs and advance the broader development
and political unrest. That is an outcome we must avoid     agenda. Nothing less than the viability of our planet
at all costs.                                              and the future of humanity are at stake. I urge
                                                           policymakers and all stakeholders to heed the message
We cannot allow an unfavorable economic climate to         of this valuable and timely report.
undermine the commitments made in 2000. On the
contrary, our efforts to restore economic growth should
be seen as an opportunity to take some of the hard
decisions needed to create a more equitable and
sustainable future.
                                                           Ban Ki-moon
This report shows that the right policies and actions,
                                                           Secretary-General, United Nations
backed by adequate funding and strong political
commitment, can yield results. Fewer people today are
dying of AIDS, and many countries are implementing
proven strategies to combat malaria and measles, two
major killers of children. The world is edging closer to
universal primary education, and we are well on our
way to meeting the target for safe drinking water.

However, the report also notes that many challenges
remain and are likely to become even more difficult in
the current economic climate. Early indications are
that, not surprisingly, the poor have suffered most from
the upheaval of the past year. The numbers of people
going hungry and living in extreme poverty are much
larger than they would have been had progress
continued uninterrupted. Economic hardship has
pushed tens of millions of people into vulnerable
employment and increased the number of those who,
though employed, do not earn enough for themselves
and their families to rise above the poverty line of
$1.25 a day.




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                                                                        unemployment in 2009 could reach 6.1 to 7.0 per cent for men
Overview                                                                and 6.5 to 7.4 per cent for women, many of whom remain trapped
                                                                        in insecure — often unpaid — jobs.
The Millennium Declaration set 2015 as the target date for              Other fallout from the global financial situation may be
achieving most of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs),              compromised funding for programmes to improve maternal
which established quantitative benchmarks to halve extreme              health, the goal towards which there has been least progress so
poverty in all its forms. As the date approaches, less than six years   far. Since the mid-1990s, most developing countries have
away, the world finds itself mired in an economic crisis that is        experienced a major reduction in donor funding for family
unprecedented in its severity and global dimensions.                    planning on a per woman basis, despite the undeniable
                                                                        contribution of such programmes to maternal and child health.
Progress towards the goals is now threatened by sluggish — or
even negative — economic growth, diminished resources, fewer            The ability of countries to mobilize domestic resources for
trade opportunities for the developing countries, and possible          development is also in jeopardy. Export revenues of developing
reductions in aid flows from donor nations. At the same time, the       countries fell in the last quarter of 2008, with the collapse of
effects of climate change are becoming increasingly apparent,           commodity prices and exports more generally. Debt service to
with a potentially devastating impact on countries rich and poor.       exports ratios of developing countries are likely to deteriorate
Today, more than ever, the commitment to building the global            further, especially for those countries that enjoyed increased
partnership embodied in the Millennium Declaration must guide           export revenues for the last several years.
our collective actions.
                                                                        Economic necessity will doubtless continue to exert pressure on
                                                                        an already fragile global environment, where deforestation and the
The grim repercussions of the economic                                  extinction of species proceed at alarming rates, and a global water
crisis                                                                  crisis looms.

                                                                        At the Gleneagles summit of the Group of Eight in 2005, and at
This report presents an annual assessment of progress towards the       the UN World Summit later that year, donors committed to
MDGs. Although data are not yet available to reveal the full            increasing their aid. With most OECD economies in recession,
impact of the recent economic downturn, they point to areas             even fulfilment of those commitments, which were expressed as a
where progress towards the eight goals has slowed or reversed.          percentage of donors’ national income, would imply a diminished
Major advances in the fight against extreme poverty from 1990 to        amount of aid. For many developing countries, lower levels of aid
2005, for example, are likely to have stalled. During that period,      would not only impede further progress, but could reverse some
the number of people living on less than $1.25 a day decreased          of the gains already made.
from 1.8 billion to 1.4 billion. In 2009, an estimated 55 million to
90 million more people will be living in extreme poverty than           The successes so far
anticipated before the crisis.
                                                                        But the story is not all bleak. The report also portrays the
Likewise, the encouraging trend in the eradication of hunger since
                                                                        remarkable advances that many countries and regions had made
the early 1990s was reversed in 2008, largely due to higher food
                                                                        before the economic landscape changed so radically in 2008:
prices. The prevalence of hunger in the developing regions is now
on the rise, from 16 per cent in 2006 to 17 per cent in 2008. A         •    Those living in extreme poverty in the developing regions
decrease in international food prices in the second half of 2008             accounted for slightly more than a quarter of the developing
has failed to translate into more affordable food for most people            world’s population in 2005, compared to almost half in 1990.
around the world.
                                                                        •    Major accomplishments were also made in education. In the
Not surprisingly, children bear the brunt of the burden. More than           developing world as a whole, enrolment in primary education
one quarter of children in developing regions are underweight for            reached 88 per cent in 2007, up from 83 per cent in 2000.
their age, stunting their prospects for survival, growth and long-           And most of the progress was in regions lagging the furthest
term development. Meagre progress on child nutrition from 1990               behind. In sub-Saharan Africa and Southern Asia, enrolment
to 2007 is insufficient to meet the 2015 target, and will likely be          increased by 15 percentage points and 11 percentage points,
eroded by higher food prices and economic turmoil.                           respectively, from 2000 to 2007.
These ongoing crises may also hold back progress towards gender         •    Deaths of children under five declined steadily worldwide —
equality, by creating new hurdles to women’s employment. The                 to around 9 million in 2007, down from 12.6 million in 1990,
International Labour Organization estimates that global


 4
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     despite population growth. Although child mortality rates          •    Efforts to improve the living conditions of the urban poor
     remain highest in sub-Saharan Africa, recent survey data                must pick up speed and extend even further. Although
     show remarkable improvements in key interventions that                  every region except one has made progress in this area,
     could yield major breakthroughs for children in that region in          slum improvements are barely keeping pace with the rapid
     the years ahead. Among these interventions are the                      growth of developing country cities.
     distribution of insecticide-treated bed nets to reduce the toll
                                                                        •    Last, but by no means least, greater priority must be given
     of malaria — a major killer of children. As a result of
     ‘second chance’ immunizations, dramatic progress is also                to preserving our natural resource base, on which we all
     being made in the fight against measles.                                depend. We have not acted forcefully enough — or in a
                                                                             unified way — to combat climate change; our fisheries are
•    At the global level, the world came together to achieve a 97            imperilled; our forests, especially old-growth forests, are
     per cent reduction in the consumption of substances that                receding; and water scarcity has become a reality in a
     deplete the Earth’s protective ozone layer, setting a new               number of arid regions.
     precedent for international cooperation.

                                                                        Learning from past experience, and
Where accelerated progress is needed
                                                                        looking ahead
These accomplishments demonstrate that the goals are within
reach at the global level, and even in very poor countries. The         Advances are most evident where targeted interventions have
MDGs must continue to provide a focus for our efforts, and the          had an immediate effect, and where increased funding has
vision of a world without poverty must not be lost, even in these       translated into an expansion of programmes to deliver services
difficult times:                                                        and tools directly to those in need. This can be seen in the fight
                                                                        against malaria, in the dramatic reduction in measles deaths, and
•    Efforts to provide productive and decent employment for all,       in the coverage of antiretroviral treatment for HIV and AIDS,
     including women and young people, must be revitalized. The         which increased tenfold over a five-year time span. In contrast,
     share of women in paid employment outside the agricultural         progress has been more modest when it requires structural
     sector has increased only marginally over the years. And in        changes and strong political commitment to guarantee sufficient
     Southern Asia, Northern Africa and Western Asia,                   and sustained funding over a longer period of time. This is likely
     employment opportunities for women remain extremely low.           the reason behind the poor performance of most countries in
•    The war against hunger must be embraced with renewed               reducing maternal mortality and increasing access of the rural
     vigour, especially in the interests of our youngest citizens. In   poor to improved sanitation facilities.
     the countries hardest hit by the recent rise in food prices, we    Achieving the MDGs will require that the development agenda
     must implement measures to increase the availability of food,      be fully integrated into efforts to jumpstart growth and rebuild
     and strengthen social policies that address the negative           the global economy. At the top of the agenda is the climate
     impact on the poor.                                                change problem, which will have to be regarded as an
•    Work must be intensified to get all children into school,          opportunity to develop more efficient ‘green’ technologies and
     especially those living in rural communities, and eliminate        make the structural changes needed that will contribute to
     inequalities in education based on gender and ethnicity, and       sustainable growth. Achieving the MDGs will also require
     among linguistic and religious minorities. The target of           targeting areas and population groups that have clearly been left
     eliminating gender disparities in primary and secondary            behind — rural communities, the poorest households and ethnic
     education by 2005 has already been missed.                         minorities, all of whom will have a hand in shaping our common
                                                                        future.
•    Greater political will must be mustered to reduce maternal
     mortality, especially in sub-Saharan Africa and Southern
     Asia, where negligible progress has been made so far.
•    Rapid acceleration of progress is needed to bring improved
     sanitation to the 1.4 billion people who were doing without
     in 2006, with all its attendant consequences for the health of     SHA ZUKANG
     communities and the local environment. At the present rate         Under-Secretary-General for Economic and Social Affairs
     of progress, the 2015 sanitation target will be missed.




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                            TARGET

    Goal 1                  Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people
                            whose income is less than $1 a day

    bê~ÇáÅ~íÉ=         The global economic crisis derails progress

    ÉñíêÉãÉ=éçîÉêíó=   against poverty
                       Proportion of people living on less than $1.25 a day, 1990, 1999 and 2005

    ~åÇ=ÜìåÖÉê=        (Percentage)

                       Sub-Saharan Africa
                                                                                                        57
                                                                                                        58
                                                                                                  51
                       Southern Asia
                                                                                             49
                                                                                        42
                                                                                   39
                       South-Eastern Asia
                                                                                   39
                                                                              35
                                                          19
                       Eastern Asia
                                                                                                             60
                                                                              36
                                                     16
                       Latin America & the Caribbean
                                            11
                                            11                                                1990
                                                 8                                            1999
                       Western Asia                                                           2005
                                2                                                             20 15 target
                                        4
                                6
                       Commonwealth of Independent States
                                    3
                                    8
                           5
                       Northern Africa
                                        5
                                        4
                                    3
                       Transition countries of South-Eastern Europe
                           0.1
                                2
                            1
                       Developing regions*
                                                                                        42
                                                                     31
                                                                    25


                       0                     10                20        30             40         50             60   70

                       *Includes all developing regions, the Commonwealth of Independent States and transition countries of
                       South-Eastern Europe.

                       Worldwide, the number of people living in extreme poverty in 2009 is
                       expected to be 55 million to 90 million higher than anticipated before the
                       global economic crisis, though the impact will vary across regions and

6
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countries. Current projections suggest that overall        Prior to the crisis, the depth of poverty had been
poverty rates in the developing world will still fall in
2009, but at a much slower pace than before the            reduced in almost every region
downturn. For some countries, this may mean the
difference between reaching or not reaching their          Poverty gap ratio at $1.25 a day, 1990, 1999 and 2005 (Percentage)
poverty reduction target. In sub-Saharan Africa and
Southern Asia, both the number of poor and the             Sub-Saharan Africa
                                                                                                                                          26
poverty rate are expected to increase further in some                                                                                     26
of the more vulnerable and low-growth economies.                                                                          21
                                                           Southern Asia
Prior to the economic crisis and higher food prices, the                                           14
                                                                                           11
number of people in developing regions living in
                                                                                      10
extreme poverty — on less than $1.25 a day in 2005
                                                           South-Eastern Asia
prices — fell from 1.8 billion in 1990 to 1.4 billion in                                   11
2005. As a result, those considered extremely poor                                    10
accounted for slightly more than a quarter of the                      4
developing world’s population in 2005, compared to         Eastern Asia
                                                                                                                          21
almost half in 1990. There was a dramatic fall in the                                      11
poverty rate in Eastern Asia — thanks in large part to                 4
rapid economic growth in China, which helped lift 475      Latin America & the Caribbean
million people from extreme poverty. Elsewhere,                        4
                                                                                                                     1990
                                                                       4                                             1999
progress has been slower and, in some regions,
                                                                   3                                                 2005
growing populations have caused the ranks of the
                                                           Western Asia
destitute to swell. Sub-Saharan Africa counted 100                 1
million more extremely poor people in 2005 than in                 1
1990, and the poverty rate remained above 50 per cent                  2
(though it had begun to decline after 1999). Globally,     CIS
                                                                   1
the target of reducing the poverty rate by half by 2015
                                                               2
seems likely to be achieved. However, some regions             2
will fall far short, and as many as 1 billion people are   Northern Africa
likely to remain in extreme poverty by the target date.            1
                                                                   1
                                                                   1
                                                           Transition countries of South-Eastern Europe
                                                               0
                                                                0.5
                                                               0.2
                                                           Developing regions*
                                                                                                   14
                                                                                           11
                                                                                 8

                                                           0               5               10             15              20               25            30
                                                           *Includes all developing regions, the CIS and transition countries of South-Eastern Europe.

                                                           The magnitude of the poverty eradication challenge is determined not only
                                                           by the number of poor people worldwide, but also by how far they fall
                                                           below the poverty line. The increase in average incomes since 2000 has
                                                           enabled many people to lift themselves out of poverty and has reduced
                                                           the depth of poverty of those who remain extremely poor. Against a
                                                           poverty line of $1.25 a day, the poverty gap fell between 1990 and 2005 in
                                                           all regions except Western Asia. In 2005, the depth of poverty was
                                                           greatest in sub-Saharan Africa, but has fallen since 1999 to reach the level
                                                           that prevailed in Eastern Asia in 1990. The global economic crisis as well
                                                           as high food prices are likely to have reversed these favourable trends.


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 Conflict breeds poverty for                                               TARGET

 millions                                                                  Achieve full and productive employment and decent
                                                                           work for all, including women and young people
Number of internally displaced persons and refugees,
1999-2008 (Millions)
 30
                                                                   Prospects darken for the working poor
                                                       26.0 26.0
                     25.0 25.0 24.6 25.3
                                           23.7 24.4
 25                                                                Proportion of employed people living below $1.25 a day, 1997, 2007 and
         21.3 21.2
                                                                   2008 projections (Percentage)
 20
                                                                   Sub-Saharan Africa
 15                                                                                                                                                           64
         15.4 15.9 16.0 14.6                         16.0 15.2                                                                                          58
                               13.7 13.8 13.0   14.3
 10                                                                                                                                                           64
                                                                   Southern Asia
                                                                                                                                                   55
    5
            Internally displaced persons        Refugees                                                                       38
    0
                                                                                                                                         44

         1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
                                                                   Oceania
                                                                                                                           37
                                                                                                                      35
Conflict and persecution are major reasons why
                                                                                                                               38
people flee their homes, either within or beyond the
                                                                   CIS, Asia
borders of their own country. Typically they lack                                                           26
employment and a permanent residence and, without                                                 21
a social safety net, quickly fall into poverty. The                                                23
number of internally displaced persons worldwide has               South-Eastern Asia
                                                                                                                          36
remained at 26 million for the past two years.                                              17
However, the number of refugees decreased in 2008,                                                21
when more than 600,000 people returned voluntarily                 Eastern Asia
to their country of origin. At the end of 2008, an                                                                             38
estimated 4.7 million refugees were still under the                               11
                                                                                       13
responsibility of the UN Relief and Works Agency for
                                                                   Transition countries of South-Eastern Europe
Palestine Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA).                                                     20
Another 10.5 million people were receiving assistance                             11
through the UN High Commissioner for Refugees                                          13
(UNHCR), nearly half of whom were refugees from                    Western Asia
                                                                                9
Afghanistan (2.8 million) and Iraq (1.9 million).
                                                                                10
                                                                                                           25
                                                                   Latin America & the Caribbean
                                                                                       13
                                                                           7
                                                                            8
                                                                                                                           1997
                                                                   Northern Africa                                         2007
                                                                           6                                               2008 worst-case scenario
                                                                       3
                                                                       3
                                                                   CIS, Europe
                                                                       4
                                                                       0.1
                                                                       0.2
                                                                   Developed regions
                                                                                            16
                                                                                9
                                                                                 10
                                                                   Developing regions
                                                                                                                                    41
                                                                                                       24
                                                                                                                28
8
                                                                   0                  10              20             30              40       50             60    70
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High prices for energy and commodities in early 2008,       Economic turmoil pushes tens of millions of
exacerbated by a severe economic downturn in the
second half of the year, are likely to have had a           people into vulnerable employment
significant negative impact on the proportion of
working people living in extreme poverty. These are         Proportion of own-account and contributing family workers in total
people who are employed, but who do not earn enough         employment, 2008 projections under scenario 2, women and men
to lift themselves and their families above the $1.25 a     (Percentage)
day poverty line. The encouraging trends that were          Oceania
                                                                                                                                               86
evident until 2007 may have reversed or, at best,
                                                                                                                                       73
stagnated in 2008. The International Labour
                                                            Sub-Saharan Africa
Organization (ILO) sees three scenarios, with the worst                                                                                       85
one showing an increase in the percentage of working                                                                                    74
poor in developing regions — from 24 per cent of the        Southern Asia
                                                                                                                                             84
labour force in 2007 to 28 per cent in 2008. Under the
                                                                                                                                       74
intermediate scenario, the percentage of working poor
                                                            South-Eastern Asia
would increase in most regions and rise to 25 per cent                                                                            67
for the whole of the developing world. Even under the                                                                   61
best-case scenario, no progress at all is foreseen for      Eastern Asia
the working poor in sub-Saharan Africa.                                                                                      63
                                                                                                                   54                        Women
                                                            Northern Africa                                                                  Men
The proportion of the working-age population that is                                                          51
employed is a good indicator of the ability of an                                        31
economy to generate jobs. In most countries, that           Western Asia
proportion is in the range of 55 per cent to 75 per cent.                                          38

Nevertheless, employment-to-population ratios and                                   28

poverty indicators can both be high because people          CIS, Asia
                                                                                               37
must work to survive, regardless of the quality of their                                            40
job. This is the case in sub-Saharan Africa, which has      Latin America & the Caribbean
the second highest adult employment-to-population                                             35
ratio among all regions (about 74 per cent), but the                                          35

lowest levels of labour productivity. More than half of     Transition countries of South-Eastern Europe
                                                                                   27
those employed in this region were among the extreme
                                                                                   28
working poor, and more than three quarters of workers
                                                            CIS, Europe
were engaged in vulnerable employment.                          10
                                                                    11
Between 1998 and 2008, the employment-to-                   Developed regions
                                                                9
population ratio for adult women increased globally
                                                                     12
from 48 per cent to 49 per cent. Despite the increase,
                                                            Developing regions
far more women continue to be out of the labour                                                                                   67
market than men. Northern Africa and Western Asia                                                                       60
have exceptionally low female employment-to-
population ratios, both of which are 45 percentage          0            10   20          30             40        50        60        70    80      90

points below those of men. In Southern Asia, the ratio      The number of people in developing regions engaged in vulnerable
is 44 percentage points below that of men.                  employment may be 77 million more in 2008 than in 2007, reversing
                                                            encouraging trends over the previous decade. This is according to the
                                                            second of two scenarios outlined by ILO, which is considered the most
                                                            realistic given the severity of the economic crisis. Those engaged in
                                                            vulnerable employment are either unpaid workers who contribute to a
                                                            family business or own-account workers, neither of whom are likely to
                                                            benefit from safety nets that guard against income loss during economic
                                                            hardship. Under both scenarios, well over 80 per cent of the female labour
                                                            force in Oceania, sub-Saharan Africa and Southern Asia are expected to
                                                            have been engaged in vulnerable employment in 2008.

                                                                                                                                                          9
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Labour productivity has remained                                        Developing regions have seen only minor advances in labour productivity
                                                                        over the last decade, and fall far behind developed regions. Considerable
low in developing regions — a bad                                       progress has been made in Eastern Asia, the Commonwealth of
sign for future job-creation                                            Independent States (CIS) and transition countries of South-Eastern
                                                                        Europe. But productivity remains extremely low in sub-Saharan Africa and
Output per person employed, constant 2005 US                            has even declined slightly in Oceania. Higher productivity in Eastern Asia
dollars (purchasing power parity), 1998 and 2008                        was accompanied by a sharp decrease in the share of those classified as
(Thousands)                                                             the working poor during the same period. A similar situation occurred in
Sub-Saharan Africa                                                      the transition countries of South-Eastern Europe, where the share of the
    4                                                                   working poor declined by almost nine percentage points since 1997, while
     5                                                                  productivity levels nearly doubled and the proportion of vulnerable
Oceania                                                                 employment dropped.
    6
    5
Southern Asia
    5
    7
South-Eastern Asia
     7
         9
Eastern Asia                                  19 9 8
    5                                         2008
         11
CIS, Asia
    6
             12
Northern Africa
                       17
                         19
Latin America & the Caribbean
                         20
                          22
Transition countries of South-Eastern Europe
              14
                               25
CIS, Europe
              14
                               26
Western Asia
                                    35
                                         43
Developed regions
                                                   60
                                                             71
Developing regions
     8
             11

0                 10          20    30   40   50        60    70   80


Labour productivity is a key measure of economic
performance. Moreover, it can be used to gauge the
likelihood that a country can create and sustain decent
employment opportunities with fair and equitable
remuneration. With limited increases in productivity,
an economy generally sees little increase in the wages
of workers, and there is no additional potential to
create new jobs. It is also important that productivity
growth be accompanied by improvements in education
and training so that the future workforce is better
prepared to perform the jobs needed.
    10
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                                                                     The declining trend in the rate of undernourishment in developing
    TARGET
                                                                     countries since 1990-1992 was reversed in 2008, largely due to escalating
    Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the                                food prices. The proportion of people who are undernourished dropped
    proportion of people who suffer from                             from about 20 per cent in the early 1990s to about 16 per cent in the
                                                                     middle of the following decade. But provisional estimates indicate that it
    hunger
                                                                     rose by a percentage point in 2008. Rapidly rising food prices caused the
                                                                     proportion of people going hungry in sub-Saharan Africa and Oceania to
Steep food prices set back progress                                  increase in 2008. When China is excluded, the prevalence of hunger also
                                                                     rose in Eastern Asia. In most of the other regions, the effect was to arrest
on ending hunger                                                     the downward trend.

Proportion of undernourished population, 1990-1992,
2004-2006 and 2008 (Percentage)                                      A decrease in international food prices fails to
Sub-Saharan Africa                                                   translate into more affordable food at local
                                                           32
                                                     28              markets
                                                      29
Southern Asia, excluding India                                       International food price index and consumer food price index in selected
                                               24
                                                                     countries, 2008 (Year 2000=100)
                                          22
                                          22                         300
Southern Asia
                                               24
                                                                     250
                                       22
                                      21
South-Eastern Asia                                                   200
                                               24
                           15
                           15                                         150
Oceania
                  12
                    13                                               100                                                            Nigeria
                           15                                                                                                       International
                                                                                                                                    Brazil
Eastern Asia, excluding China
                                                                      50                                                            China
           8
                                                                                                                                    India (industrial workers)
                  12
                    13                                                  0
Eastern Asia
                                                                                  Jan    Feb    Mar    Apr    May     Jun     Jul      Aug    Sep    Oct    Nov   Dec
                           15
                                                                     Note: The food price index consists of the average of six commodity group price indices weighted with
                      10
                                                                     the average export shares of each of the groups for 2002-2004.
                      10
Latin America & the Caribbean
                 12
                8
                                                                     Failure to implement strong actions in the fight against hunger could give
                8                                                    way to a long-lasting food crisis. A decrease in international food prices in
Western Asia                                                         the second half of 2008 was expected to lower prices in local markets in a
      6                                         1990-1992            relatively short period of time. But this did not materialize, and consumer
           8                                    2004-2006            access to food in many developing countries, such as Brazil, India and
           8                                    2008
                                                20 15 target
                                                                     Nigeria, and to a lesser extent China, did not improve as expected. In the
Northern Africa
      3                                                              most seriously affected countries particularly, governments and their
      3                                                              development partners should implement measures to increase the
      3                                                              availability of food, including raising production, and strengthen social
Developing regions
                                                                     policies that address the negative effects of higher food prices, especially
                                     20
                            16
                                                                     on the poor.
                              17


0      5        10              15        20        25     30   35




                                                                                                                                                                        11
rkfqba=k^qflkp=




Scant progress on child nutrition is                                      Child nutrition, particularly for vulnerable populations, must be given
                                                                          higher priority in national development. This calls for the initiation of
likely to be eroded by high food                                          breastfeeding within one hour of birth, exclusive breastfeeding for the first
prices and the state of the global                                        six months, timely and appropriate complementary feeding from six
                                                                          months of age, and continued breastfeeding up to two years of age and
economy                                                                   beyond. Preventing low birthweight is also important. The nutritional
                                                                          status of mothers before and during pregnancy is a key determinant of the
Proportion of children under age five who are                             birthweight of her baby. Birthweight, in turn, has a critical bearing on a
underweight, 1990 and 2007 (Percentage)
                                                                          newborn’s chances for survival, growth, long-term health and
Southern Asia                                                             psychosocial development. Southern Asia has the highest incidence of low
                                                             54
                                                        48
                                                                          birthweight in the world — a quarter of newborns weigh less than 2,500
Sub-Saharan Africa                                                        grams — as well as the highest prevalence of underweight children.
                                        31
                                   28
South-Eastern Asia
                                              37
                              25
Western Asia
                   14
                   14                              1990
Eastern Asia                                       2007
                        17
         7
Northern Africa
             11
         7
Latin America & the Caribbean
             11
     6
Developing regions
                                        31
                                  26


0                 10         20          30        40        50      60
Note: Prevalence of underweight children is estimated based on the
NCHS/WHO/CDC reference population.

Adequate nutrition is vital for building children’s
immune systems and for their motor and cognitive
development. Yet about one in four children in the
developing regions are underweight. The consequences
can be fatal: more than one third of child deaths
worldwide are attributable to undernutrition. In the
developing world, the proportion of children under five
years of age who were underweight declined by only
five percentage points from 1990 to 2007 — from 31
per cent to 26 per cent. This rate of progress is
insufficient to meet the goal of reducing underweight
prevalence by half — even without taking into account
higher food prices and the economic crisis that
developed in the meantime.

Data collected before the increase in food prices show
that children in the poorest households in developing
countries are more than twice as likely to be
underweight as those in the richest households.
Similarly, children living in rural areas are more likely to
be underweight than those living in cities and towns.

    12
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                                         13
rkfqba=k^qflkp=




                      TARGET

  Goal 2              Ensure that, by 2015, children everywhere, boys and
                      girls alike, will be able to complete a full course of

  ^ÅÜáÉîÉ=            primary schooling



  ìåáîÉêë~ä=      The world is edging closer to universal primary
                  education, but too slowly to meet the 2015

  éêáã~êó=
                  target
                  Adjusted net enrolment ratio in primary education,* 1999/2000 and

  ÉÇìÅ~íáçå=      2006/2007 (Percentage)

                  Sub-Saharan Africa
                                                                     58                                             2000
                                                                                     74                             2007
                  Western Asia
                                                                                                85
                                                                                                     88
                  Southern Asia
                                                                                          79
                                                                                                      90
                  CIS
                                                                                                      90
                                                                                                               94
                  South-Eastern Asia
                                                                                                               94
                                                                                                               94
                  Latin America & the Caribbean
                                                                                                               94
                                                                                                               95
                  Eastern Asia
                                                                                                                     99
                                                                                                               95
                  Northern Africa
                                                                                                          91
                                                                                                                96
                  Developed regions
                                                                                                                    97
                                                                                                                96
                  Developing regions
                                                                                               83
                                                                                                     88
                  World
                                                                                                85
                                                                                                     89


                  0                 20                 40                  60                  80                         100
                  * Defined as the number of pupils of the theoretical school age for primary education enrolled either in
                  primary or secondary school, expressed as a percentage of the total population in that age group.

                  Note: Data for Oceania are not available.

                  Progress is being made towards universal primary education. Still, more
                  than 10 per cent of children of primary-school age are out of school. In the
                  developing world as a whole, enrolment coverage in primary education
                  reached 88 per cent in 2007, up from 83 per cent in 2000. Major
                  breakthroughs have been achieved in sub-Saharan Africa, where


14
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enrolment increased by 15 percentage points from        Half of the 72 million children out of school
2000 to 2007, and Southern Asia, which gained 11
percentage points over the same period.                 have never been inside a classroom
In many countries, improvements in school enrolment     Distribution of out-of-school children by school exposure, 2006
have been associated with increases in national         (Percentage)
spending on education, which could be dealt a serious   Western Asia
                                                            12                   22                                    65
blow as a result of the global economic crisis.
                                                        Sub-Saharan Africa
Demographic trends may also affect achievement of           8                29                                            63
the goal, since population growth usually puts          Southern Asia
increased pressure on the resources allotted to                                       63                               5                  32
education. The relatively sharp rise in enrolment in    Latin America & the Caribbean
                                                                  20                                  58                                       21
sub-Saharan Africa and Southern Asia, despite rapid
                                                        South-Eastern Asia
population growth, is therefore encouraging. However,               25                                  55                                     20
global numbers of out-of-school children are dropping   Northern Asia
too slowly and too unevenly for the target to be                                      66                                             29                  5
reached by 2015.                                        Eastern Asia
                                                        1                                             98                                                     2
                                                        Developed regions
                                                                       29                                    56                                     15
                                                        Developing regions
                                                                    23                     30                                   46

                                                        0                   20              40                    60                 80                      100

                                                                Enrolled but dropped out         Expected to enter late         Expected never to enrol


                                                        The number of children of primary school age who are out of school has
                                                        dropped by 33 million since 1999. Still, 72 million children worldwide were
                                                        denied the right to education in 2007. Almost half of these children live in
                                                        sub-Saharan Africa, followed by Southern Asia, home to 18 million out-of-
                                                        school children. According to partial projections by the Education for All
                                                        Global Monitoring Report, produced by the United Nations Educational,
                                                        Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) and based on 2006 data,
                                                        at least 29 million children will still be out of school in 2015.

                                                        Nearly half the children currently out of school have never had any contact
                                                        with formal education. Moreover, they are unlikely to enrol unless new
                                                        policies and additional incentives are put into place. About 30 per cent of
                                                        children out of school in the developing world may eventually enrol as late
                                                        entrants. A further 23 per cent were previously enrolled but dropped out.

                                                        The problem is magnified in sub-Saharan Africa. Not only does the region
                                                        have the largest number of children out of school, but two thirds of them
                                                        will probably never enrol. The same situation exists in Western Asia,
                                                        where 64 per cent of the 3 million children out of school are girls. Two
                                                        thirds of the millions of children out of school in Southern Asia were
                                                        enrolled at one time, but dropped out.

                                                        The large number of out-of-school children is especially worrisome
                                                        because of the impact it will have on the other MDGs. Evidence shows, for
                                                        instance, that an increase in the share of mothers with a primary or
                                                        secondary education is associated with a reduction in the child mortality
                                                        rate, and that educated parents have better nourished children. Parental
                                                        literacy also plays a role in whether children attend school. Education has
                                                        been shown to have a positive effect on the success of HIV prevention and
                                                        increases the probability of accessing decent employment.
                                                                                                                                                                   15
rkfqba=k^qflkp=




 Inequality undermines education                                      Ethnic, linguistic and religious minorities also have fewer opportunities in
                                                                      education than the overall population. An analysis of survey data from 17
 opportunities for millions of                                        countries shows that net attendance rates among the least disadvantaged
 children                                                             groups are up to 1.7 times higher than net attendance rates among the
                                                                      most disadvantaged groups at the primary level of education; they are up
 Parity index for primary school attendance by                        to six times higher at the secondary level of education.
 ethnicity, language or religion, lowest attendance
 rate/highest attendance rate, selected countries,                    An educational parity index — which compares the attendance rate of the
 2005-2006                                                            most disadvantaged group with the attendance rate of the least
                                                                      disadvantaged group within a specific country — reveals values for
 Lao PDR
                          0.59
                                                                      primary education between 0.59 and 0.99. The value 0.59 means that the
 Togo                                                                 school attendance rate of the most disadvantaged group is only 59 per
                           0.61                                       cent that of the group with the highest attendance rate; 0.99 suggests that
 FYR Macedonia                                                        there is little or no inequality between the two groups. Disparities are
                           0.62                                       more extreme at the secondary level of education, where the index ranges
 Montenegro
                                                                      between 0.17 and 0.98.
                                  0.69
 Guinea-Bissau
                                  0.69                                Public policies designed to reach the poorest and most disadvantaged
 Gambia                                                               groups have proven effective in some countries. For example, remarkable
                                       0.73                           progress has been made in increasing enrolment of the poorest children
 Serbia                                                               by abolishing school fees, constructing schools in underserved areas and
                                         0.78
                                                                      boosting the recruitment of teachers. In general, and especially among
 Belize
                                                0.87                  minorities, getting girls into school and encouraging them to complete
 Georgia                                                              their education must remain a priority.
                                                 0.89
 Kyrgyzstan
                                                  0.91                 What will it take to meet the education
 Sierra Leone
                                                      0.94
                                                                       target?
 Kazakhstan
                                                       0.96            Achieving universal primary education by 2015 will require that all
 Albania                                                               children at the official entry age for primary school have access to
                                                       0.96            education by 2009. Some progress has been made: in 2007, almost 137
 Thailand                                                              million children stepped into classrooms for the first time — 7 million
                                                        0.97
                                                                       more than in 1999. The gross intake rate, which measures the capacity
 Uzbekistan
                                                        0.98           of education systems to provide all children with access to schooling,
 Viet Nam                                                              increased by nine percentage points in developing countries over the
                                                        0.98           same period. The biggest increase was recorded in sub-Saharan Africa,
 Guyana                                                                with a 25 percentage point rise.
                                                         0.99
                                                                       Access to education, however, is only part of the solution. Completion
0.0         0.2     0.4          0.6            0.8             1.0    of a full course of primary schooling is necessary to achieve universal
 Unequal opportunities resulting from biases based on                  primary education. Millions of children start school but eventually drop
 gender, ethnicity, income, language or disabilities are               out. In many developing countries, school systems are chronically
 common and represent a major obstacle to universal                    underfinanced and underresourced and often fail to deliver a high-
 education. Children from poor communities and girls                   quality education. As a result, too many children leave school without
 are the most likely to lose out. In some less developed               having acquired the most basic literacy and numeracy skills.
 countries, children in the poorest 20 per cent of the                 Addressing these concerns will require wide-ranging reforms and
 population are three times less likely to be enrolled in              increased investments. Based on 2004 data, UNESCO estimates that,
 primary school than children from the wealthiest 20                   in sub-Saharan Africa alone, 3.8 million teachers will have to be
 per cent. In 2007, girls accounted for 54 per cent of the
                                                                       recruited by 2015 if the goal of universal primary education is to be
 world’s out-of-school population.
                                                                       achieved.




  16
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                                         17
rkfqba=k^qflkp=




                        TARGET

  Goal 3                Eliminate gender disparity in primary and secondary
                        education, preferably by 2005, and in all levels of

  mêçãçíÉ=ÖÉåÇÉê=       education no later than 2015



  Éèì~äáíó=~åÇ=     Four years after the target date, gender parity in
                    education has yet to be achieved

  ÉãéçïÉê=          Girls’ primary school enrolment in relation to boys’, 1998/1999 and
                    2006/2007 (Girls per 100 boys)


  ïçãÉå=
                    Oceania
                                                                           91
                                                                          89
                                                                                                 1999
                    Western Asia
                                                                                                 2007
                                                                      87
                                                                          90
                    Sub-Saharan Africa
                                                                     85
                                                                          90
                    Northern Africa
                                                                          90
                                                                               94
                    Southern Asia
                                                                    84
                                                                                95
                    Latin America & the Caribbean
                                                                                 97
                                                                                 97
                    South-Eastern Asia
                                                                                96
                                                                                    98
                    Eastern Asia
                                                                                     100
                                                                                     99
                    CIS
                                                                                     99
                                                                                     99
                    Developed regions
                                                                                     100
                                                                                     100
                    Developing regions
                                                                           91
                                                                                95


                    0              20       40          60           80                    100

                    The world continues to progress towards gender parity in education as
                    measured by the ratio of girls’ to boys’ gross enrolment. In the developing
                    regions as a whole, 95 girls were enrolled in primary school for every 100
                    boys in 2007, compared to 91 in 1999. However, the target of eliminating
                    gender disparities in primary and secondary education by 2005 was
                    missed. Ensuring that the opportunity is not lost again in 2015 will require
                    renewed urgency and commitment.




18
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In 2007, only 53 of the 171 countries with available data                 The notable exceptions to a generally improving situation are sub-Saharan
had achieved gender parity (defined by the UNESCO                         Africa, where the ratio of girls’ to boys’ enrolment in secondary education
Institute for Statistics as a girls’ to boys’ enrolment                   fell from 82 in 1999 to 79 in 2007; Oceania, where the ratio fell from 89 to
ratio of between 97 and 103) in both primary and                          87; and the CIS, where it fell from 101 to 98 over the same period.
secondary education. That is 14 more countries than in
1999. Still, the fact that over 100 countries have yet to                 Girls outnumber boys in higher education,
reach the target is a source of concern.
                                                                          except in the poorer regions
The gender gap is more evident in                                         Girls’ tertiary school enrolment in relation to boys’, 1998/1999 and
secondary school enrolment                                                2006/2007 (Girls per 100 boys)
                                                                          Sub-Saharan Africa
Girls’ secondary school enrolment in relation to boys’,                                                        69
1998/1999 and 2006/2007 (Girls per 100 boys)                                                               67                             1999
Sub-Saharan Africa                                                        Southern Asia                                                   2007
                                                                                                          64
                                         82
                                     79                                                                             77
                                                                1999      Oceania
Western Asia                                                    2007
                                         80                                                                    69
                                          84                                                                              85
Southern Asia                                                             Western Asia
                                    75                                                                                   82
                                              85                                                                               93
Oceania                                                                   Eastern Asia
                                               89                                                   55
                                              87                                                                                    96
CIS                                                                       Northern Africa
                                                         101                                                   68
                                                        98                                                                               104
Northern Africa                                                           South-Eastern Asia
                                                   93                                                                          92
                                                        98                                                                                      111
Eastern Asia                                                              Latin America & the Caribbean
                                                    96                                                                                          112
                                                         101                                                                                          119
South-Eastern Asia                                                        CIS
                                                     97                                                                                                121
                                                          103                                                                                                 129
Latin America & the Caribbean                                             Developed regions
                                                              107                                                                                     119
                                                              107                                                                                             129
Developed regions                                                         Developing regions
                                                        100                                                         78
                                                        100                                                                         96
Developing regions
                                               89
                                                                          0         20         40         60              80              100               120     130
                                                    94

                                                                          A very different situation emerges at higher levels of education.
0     10   20   30   40   50   60   70        80    90        100   110
                                                                          Worldwide, there are more young women than men enrolled in tertiary
The gender gap in school enrolment is more evident in                     education. The ratio of girls’ to boys’ enrolment globally at the tertiary
secondary education, where many more countries are                        level rose from 96 in 1999 to 108 in 2007. But disparities among regions
falling behind. The gap is especially wide in countries in                are dramatic. A large gap in favour of girls exists in the developed
which overall enrolment is low, since increases in                        regions, CIS countries, Latin America and the Caribbean, and South-
secondary school enrolment tend to be accompanied                         Eastern Asia. Far fewer female students than males have advanced to
by reductions in gender disparities. Many factors have                    tertiary education in sub-Saharan Africa, Southern Asia and Oceania.
contributed to progress, including increased primary
school enrolment and completion for girls and falling
poverty rates. In numerous countries, public policy has
also played a pivotal role.                                                                                                                                               19
rkfqba=k^qflkp=




 Progress in development and girls’                                                              Girls born into impoverished households or living in rural communities are
                                                                                                 at a distinct disadvantage in terms of education. An analysis of primary
 education go hand in hand                                                                       school attendance in 108 developing countries by location of residence
                                                                                                 and household wealth reveals that gender parity has been reached in
 Distribution of countries by gender parity status in                                            urban areas and among the richest 40 per cent of households. In contrast,
 primary, secondary and tertiary education, 2007                                                 girls are more likely to be excluded from primary education in rural
 (Percentage)                                                                                    localities and when they reside in the poorest households.
 Tertiary
              32                 6                            62
                                                                                                 Gender disparities associated with poverty and rural residency are even
 Secondary
              35                           30                                35                  more pronounced at the level of secondary education. Cultural attitudes
 Primary                                                                                         and practices that promote early marriage, encourage the seclusion of
              36                                         60                             4        young girls or attach greater value to educating boys than girls can create
                                                                                                 formidable barriers to gender parity. Yet targeted public policy and
0                  20                40             60                   80              100
                                                                                                 governance initiatives can help overcome gender inequalities. For
                                Disparity in favour of men
                                Achieved gender parity
                                                                                                 example, removing school fees and providing incentives for girls to attend
                                Disparity in favour of women                                     school can alleviate financial pressures on households. Building schools
 * Based on available data for 191 countries for primary education, 179                          close to remote communities and recruiting local teachers can also narrow
 countries for secondary education, and 133 countries for tertiary education.                    the gender gap in rural areas.
 When data for 2007 were not available, the latest available data were
 used — from 2005 or 2006.
                                                                                                 Paid employment for women continues to
 Available data show that 60 per cent of countries have
 achieved gender parity in primary education, 30 per                                             expand slowly and remains meagre in many
 cent in secondary education and only 6 per cent in                                              regions
 tertiary education. Globally, disparities in favour of
 girls increase significantly at higher level of schooling.                                      Employees in non-agricultural wage employment who are women, 1990
 However, this reflects mostly the situation in more                                             and 2007, and projections to 2015 (Percentage)
 developed countries, where overall enrolment — and
                                                                                                                                                                                  52
 tertiary enrolment — is high. In those settings, boys                                                                                                                 51
 tend to do less well in school. In poorer countries, and                                        50

 in countries in which overall enrolment is low, the                                                                                                                              45
                                                                                                                                                                       43
 disadvantage for girls persists at higher levels of                                                                                                                               44
 education and is usually more evident.                                                          40                                                                         41
                                                                                                                                                                      37           37
                                                                                                                                                                                   37
                                                                                                                                                                            36
 Girls from poor and rural                                                                                                                                                         33
 households face higher barriers to                                                              30                                                                     29


 education                                                                                                                                                                        24
                                                                                                                                                                       21
                                                                                                                                                                            20     21
                                                                                                 20
 Secondary school net attendance ratio of boys and                                                                                                                                21
                                                                                                                                                                        19
 girls, by place of residence and household wealth,
 1998/2007 (Percentage)
100
                                                                                                 10
                                                                                                                      CIS                                    Sub-Saharan Africa
                                                                                                                      Eastern Asia                           Northern Africa
                                                    Girls                                                             Latin America & the Caribbean          Western Asia
80
                                                    Boys                                                              South-Eastern Asia                     Southern Asia
                                                                                                                      Oceania
                                                                                       72 74      0
60
                                                                                                      1990     1993      1996         1999            2002   2005     2007 … 2015
                        59 60                                                 57 59
                                                                        50
                                                                                                 Globally, the share of women in paid employment outside the agricultural
40            45
                                                         41
                                                                   45                            sector has continued to increase marginally over the years. But in
         39
                                               31
                                                    36                                           Southern Asia, Northern Africa and Western Asia, employment
20                                                                                               opportunities for women remain extremely low. Women are also poorly
                                          24

                                                                                                 represented in non-agricultural employment in sub-Saharan Africa. The
    0                                                                                            situation of women in these regions, however, varies widely. In
         Rural          Urban             Poorest Second Middle               Fourth   Richest   sub-Saharan Africa, 64 per cent of women’s employment is in agriculture,
                                           20%     20%   20%                   20%      20%


    20
qeb=jfiibkkfrj=absbilmjbkq=dl^ip=obmloq=OMMV=




and women’s overall representation in the labour force
is relatively high: 55 per cent of working-age women in
that region are employed, although mostly in
vulnerable jobs. In Northern Africa and Western Asia,
where industry and services are the most important
sectors, only 23 per cent and 21 per cent of working-
age women, respectively, are employed.

Women remain more vulnerable on
the job front, assuming the largest
share of unpaid work
Distribution of total employment by job status,
women, 2008 (Percentage)
Oceania
    16             19                                    64
Southern Asia
    16    1                  37                                    46
Sub-Saharan Africa
    15   2                       43                                 39
South-Eastern Asia
         34                  1         30                               35
Northern Africa
                   55                       2            18                  25
Eastern Asia
              40                  2             35                           24
Western Asia
                        61                           2        17              20
Latin America & the Caribbean
                         65                              3          24             7

0             20                  40            60                  80                 100

                         Wage and salaried workers
                         Employers
                         Own-account workers
                         Contributing family workers

Although more women have been able to secure paid
jobs outside agriculture, they have generally failed to
access decent work. Close to two thirds of all employed
women have vulnerable jobs, either as contributing
family workers or as own-account workers.

The employment situation of women is particularly
dismal in Oceania and Southern Asia, where the largest
share of women’s employment is as contributing family
workers — 64 per cent and 46 per cent, respectively.
These labourers, also known as unpaid family workers,
are family members who freely give their time to family
-owned businesses. The large share of unpaid jobs
adds to the already heavy burden of unpaid work
carried out by women in households in all regions,
which is not reflected in official labour force statistics.




                                                                                                                                      21
rkfqba=k^qflkp=




The global financial crisis is creating new                                                Although men were hit hardest by the
hurdles to women’s employment                                                              financial shock, women may be more
                                                                                           profoundly affected over the long term
Unemployment rate, world, 1998-2009 (Percentage)
                                                                                           Changes in unemployment rates, world, January 2008-January
 7.5                                                             Women
                                                                 Men
                                                                                           2009 (Percentage)
                                                                                           15

7.0
                                                                                                                           Women
                                               6.7
               6.6                                   6.6                                                                   Men
                                        6.5                                     6.5        10
        6.4                  6.4 6.4
6.5                   6.3                                    6.3         6.3

                                                                   6.0
6.0                                                                                         5
                                        6.1   6.1                                6.1
               6.0                                   6.0
        5.9          5.9    5.9   5.9                                     5.9                    Jan   Feb   Mar   Apr   May   Jun   Jul
                                                           5.8                                   08    08    08    08    08    08    08
 5.5
                                                                   5.5                      0

                                                                                                                                           Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov   Dec   Jan
                                                                                                                                           08    08    08    08    08    09
5.0
       1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009*
                                                                                           -5
*ILO projections according to 'scenario I'. Under scenario II, unemployment would be 7.0
and 6.8 for women and men, respectively, and 7.4 and 7.0, respectively, under scenario
III.

                                                                                           -10

The 2008 financial crisis and high prices for primary                                      The ILO estimates that, in December 2008, there were 12.8 per
commodities have eroded labour markets around the world. The                               cent more unemployed men and 6.7 per cent more unemployed
ILO projects that the global unemployment rate in 2009 could                               women in the world than in December 2007. The number of
reach between 6.3 per cent and 7.1 per cent, with a                                        unemployed men increased at a faster rate than the number of
corresponding unemployment rate for women ranging from 6.5                                 unemployed women, especially during the second half of 2008.
to 7.4 per cent (compared to 6.1 to 7.0 per cent for men). This                            However, more recent data show that women’s unemployment
means that an additional 24 million to 52 million people                                   is likely to continue increasing at a rapid pace, while the rate of
worldwide may be unemployed, of which 10 million to 22 million                             increase of men’s unemployment is slowing. This suggests that
will be women.                                                                             after the initial shock in male-dominated industries, the financial
                                                                                           crisis is now hitting female-dominated industries and services
                                                                                           and may affect women more profoundly over the long term.



 22
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals
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UN Report: Economic Crisis Threatens Progress on Millennium Development Goals

  • 1. The Millennium Development Goals Report 2009 rkfqba=k^qflkp=
  • 2. This report is based on a master set of data that has been compiled by an Inter-Agency and Expert Group on MDG Indicators led by the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat, in response to the wishes of the General Assembly for periodic assessment of progress towards the MDGs. The Group comprises representatives of the international organizations whose activities include the preparation of one or more of the series of statistical indicators that were identified as appropriate for monitoring progress towards the MDGs, as reflected in the list below. A number of national statisticians and outside expert advisers also contributed. INTERNATIONAL LABOUR ORGANIZATION FOOD AND AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION OF THE UNITED NATIONS UNITED NATIONS EDUCATIONAL, SCIENTIFIC AND CULTURAL ORGANIZATION UNITED NATIONS INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATION WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION THE WORLD BANK INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND INTERNATIONAL TELECOMMUNICATION UNION ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR AFRICA ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR EUROPE ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL COMMISSION FOR ASIA AND THE PACIFIC ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL COMMISSION FOR WESTER N ASIA JOINT UNITED NATIONS PROGRAMME ON HIV/AIDS UNITED NATIONS CHILDREN’S FUND UNITED NATIONS CONFERENCE ON TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT UNITED NATIONS DEVELOPMENT FUND FOR WOMEN UNITED NATIONS DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMME UNITED NATIONS ENVIRONMENT PROGRAMME UNITED NATIONS FRAMEWORK CONVENTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE UNITED NATIONS HIGH COMMISSIONER FOR REFUGEES UNITED NATIONS HUMAN SETTLEMENTS PROGRAMME UNITED NATIONS POPULATION FUND INTER NATIONAL TR ADE CENTRE INTER -PARLIAMENTAR Y U NION ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION
  • 3. The Millennium Development Goals Report 2009 rkfqba=k^qflkp= = = k b t = v l o h I =OMMV=
  • 4.
  • 5. qeb=jfiibkkfrj=absbilmjbkq=dl^ip=obmloq=OMMV= Foreword Nine years ago, world leaders set far-sighted goals to Rather than retreat, now is the time to accelerate free a major portion of humanity from the shackles of progress towards the MDGs and to strengthen the extreme poverty, hunger, illiteracy and disease. They global partnership for development. If the global established targets for achieving gender equality and community responds constructively to the crisis, the the empowerment of women, environmental goals can still be achieved. Honouring the commitment sustainability and a global partnership for to increase aid is critical. Equally important is ensuring development. In short, they adopted a blueprint for a that the interests of the developing countries, and better world – and pledged to spare no effort in especially the poorest ones, remain central in fulfilling that vision. negotiations on trade. We must also ‘seal the deal’ on a new climate change regime in Copenhagen in We have made important progress in this effort, and December. The timing is ripe for making the structural have many successes on which to build. But we have changes that are needed to move more decisively been moving too slowly to meet our goals. And today, towards more equitable development and sustainability we face a global economic crisis whose full and to address the climate crisis. repercussions have yet to be felt. At the very least, it will throw us off course in a number of key areas, The global community cannot turn its back on the poor particularly in the developing countries. At worst, it and the vulnerable. We must strengthen global could prevent us from keeping our promises, plunging cooperation and solidarity, and redouble our efforts to millions more into poverty and posing a risk of social reach the MDGs and advance the broader development and political unrest. That is an outcome we must avoid agenda. Nothing less than the viability of our planet at all costs. and the future of humanity are at stake. I urge policymakers and all stakeholders to heed the message We cannot allow an unfavorable economic climate to of this valuable and timely report. undermine the commitments made in 2000. On the contrary, our efforts to restore economic growth should be seen as an opportunity to take some of the hard decisions needed to create a more equitable and sustainable future. Ban Ki-moon This report shows that the right policies and actions, Secretary-General, United Nations backed by adequate funding and strong political commitment, can yield results. Fewer people today are dying of AIDS, and many countries are implementing proven strategies to combat malaria and measles, two major killers of children. The world is edging closer to universal primary education, and we are well on our way to meeting the target for safe drinking water. However, the report also notes that many challenges remain and are likely to become even more difficult in the current economic climate. Early indications are that, not surprisingly, the poor have suffered most from the upheaval of the past year. The numbers of people going hungry and living in extreme poverty are much larger than they would have been had progress continued uninterrupted. Economic hardship has pushed tens of millions of people into vulnerable employment and increased the number of those who, though employed, do not earn enough for themselves and their families to rise above the poverty line of $1.25 a day. 3
  • 6. rkfqba=k^qflkp= unemployment in 2009 could reach 6.1 to 7.0 per cent for men Overview and 6.5 to 7.4 per cent for women, many of whom remain trapped in insecure — often unpaid — jobs. The Millennium Declaration set 2015 as the target date for Other fallout from the global financial situation may be achieving most of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), compromised funding for programmes to improve maternal which established quantitative benchmarks to halve extreme health, the goal towards which there has been least progress so poverty in all its forms. As the date approaches, less than six years far. Since the mid-1990s, most developing countries have away, the world finds itself mired in an economic crisis that is experienced a major reduction in donor funding for family unprecedented in its severity and global dimensions. planning on a per woman basis, despite the undeniable contribution of such programmes to maternal and child health. Progress towards the goals is now threatened by sluggish — or even negative — economic growth, diminished resources, fewer The ability of countries to mobilize domestic resources for trade opportunities for the developing countries, and possible development is also in jeopardy. Export revenues of developing reductions in aid flows from donor nations. At the same time, the countries fell in the last quarter of 2008, with the collapse of effects of climate change are becoming increasingly apparent, commodity prices and exports more generally. Debt service to with a potentially devastating impact on countries rich and poor. exports ratios of developing countries are likely to deteriorate Today, more than ever, the commitment to building the global further, especially for those countries that enjoyed increased partnership embodied in the Millennium Declaration must guide export revenues for the last several years. our collective actions. Economic necessity will doubtless continue to exert pressure on an already fragile global environment, where deforestation and the The grim repercussions of the economic extinction of species proceed at alarming rates, and a global water crisis crisis looms. At the Gleneagles summit of the Group of Eight in 2005, and at This report presents an annual assessment of progress towards the the UN World Summit later that year, donors committed to MDGs. Although data are not yet available to reveal the full increasing their aid. With most OECD economies in recession, impact of the recent economic downturn, they point to areas even fulfilment of those commitments, which were expressed as a where progress towards the eight goals has slowed or reversed. percentage of donors’ national income, would imply a diminished Major advances in the fight against extreme poverty from 1990 to amount of aid. For many developing countries, lower levels of aid 2005, for example, are likely to have stalled. During that period, would not only impede further progress, but could reverse some the number of people living on less than $1.25 a day decreased of the gains already made. from 1.8 billion to 1.4 billion. In 2009, an estimated 55 million to 90 million more people will be living in extreme poverty than The successes so far anticipated before the crisis. But the story is not all bleak. The report also portrays the Likewise, the encouraging trend in the eradication of hunger since remarkable advances that many countries and regions had made the early 1990s was reversed in 2008, largely due to higher food before the economic landscape changed so radically in 2008: prices. The prevalence of hunger in the developing regions is now on the rise, from 16 per cent in 2006 to 17 per cent in 2008. A • Those living in extreme poverty in the developing regions decrease in international food prices in the second half of 2008 accounted for slightly more than a quarter of the developing has failed to translate into more affordable food for most people world’s population in 2005, compared to almost half in 1990. around the world. • Major accomplishments were also made in education. In the Not surprisingly, children bear the brunt of the burden. More than developing world as a whole, enrolment in primary education one quarter of children in developing regions are underweight for reached 88 per cent in 2007, up from 83 per cent in 2000. their age, stunting their prospects for survival, growth and long- And most of the progress was in regions lagging the furthest term development. Meagre progress on child nutrition from 1990 behind. In sub-Saharan Africa and Southern Asia, enrolment to 2007 is insufficient to meet the 2015 target, and will likely be increased by 15 percentage points and 11 percentage points, eroded by higher food prices and economic turmoil. respectively, from 2000 to 2007. These ongoing crises may also hold back progress towards gender • Deaths of children under five declined steadily worldwide — equality, by creating new hurdles to women’s employment. The to around 9 million in 2007, down from 12.6 million in 1990, International Labour Organization estimates that global 4
  • 7. qeb=jfiibkkfrj=absbilmjbkq=dl^ip=obmloq=OMMV= despite population growth. Although child mortality rates • Efforts to improve the living conditions of the urban poor remain highest in sub-Saharan Africa, recent survey data must pick up speed and extend even further. Although show remarkable improvements in key interventions that every region except one has made progress in this area, could yield major breakthroughs for children in that region in slum improvements are barely keeping pace with the rapid the years ahead. Among these interventions are the growth of developing country cities. distribution of insecticide-treated bed nets to reduce the toll • Last, but by no means least, greater priority must be given of malaria — a major killer of children. As a result of ‘second chance’ immunizations, dramatic progress is also to preserving our natural resource base, on which we all being made in the fight against measles. depend. We have not acted forcefully enough — or in a unified way — to combat climate change; our fisheries are • At the global level, the world came together to achieve a 97 imperilled; our forests, especially old-growth forests, are per cent reduction in the consumption of substances that receding; and water scarcity has become a reality in a deplete the Earth’s protective ozone layer, setting a new number of arid regions. precedent for international cooperation. Learning from past experience, and Where accelerated progress is needed looking ahead These accomplishments demonstrate that the goals are within reach at the global level, and even in very poor countries. The Advances are most evident where targeted interventions have MDGs must continue to provide a focus for our efforts, and the had an immediate effect, and where increased funding has vision of a world without poverty must not be lost, even in these translated into an expansion of programmes to deliver services difficult times: and tools directly to those in need. This can be seen in the fight against malaria, in the dramatic reduction in measles deaths, and • Efforts to provide productive and decent employment for all, in the coverage of antiretroviral treatment for HIV and AIDS, including women and young people, must be revitalized. The which increased tenfold over a five-year time span. In contrast, share of women in paid employment outside the agricultural progress has been more modest when it requires structural sector has increased only marginally over the years. And in changes and strong political commitment to guarantee sufficient Southern Asia, Northern Africa and Western Asia, and sustained funding over a longer period of time. This is likely employment opportunities for women remain extremely low. the reason behind the poor performance of most countries in • The war against hunger must be embraced with renewed reducing maternal mortality and increasing access of the rural vigour, especially in the interests of our youngest citizens. In poor to improved sanitation facilities. the countries hardest hit by the recent rise in food prices, we Achieving the MDGs will require that the development agenda must implement measures to increase the availability of food, be fully integrated into efforts to jumpstart growth and rebuild and strengthen social policies that address the negative the global economy. At the top of the agenda is the climate impact on the poor. change problem, which will have to be regarded as an • Work must be intensified to get all children into school, opportunity to develop more efficient ‘green’ technologies and especially those living in rural communities, and eliminate make the structural changes needed that will contribute to inequalities in education based on gender and ethnicity, and sustainable growth. Achieving the MDGs will also require among linguistic and religious minorities. The target of targeting areas and population groups that have clearly been left eliminating gender disparities in primary and secondary behind — rural communities, the poorest households and ethnic education by 2005 has already been missed. minorities, all of whom will have a hand in shaping our common future. • Greater political will must be mustered to reduce maternal mortality, especially in sub-Saharan Africa and Southern Asia, where negligible progress has been made so far. • Rapid acceleration of progress is needed to bring improved sanitation to the 1.4 billion people who were doing without in 2006, with all its attendant consequences for the health of SHA ZUKANG communities and the local environment. At the present rate Under-Secretary-General for Economic and Social Affairs of progress, the 2015 sanitation target will be missed. 5
  • 8. rkfqba=k^qflkp= TARGET Goal 1 Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people whose income is less than $1 a day bê~ÇáÅ~íÉ= The global economic crisis derails progress ÉñíêÉãÉ=éçîÉêíó= against poverty Proportion of people living on less than $1.25 a day, 1990, 1999 and 2005 ~åÇ=ÜìåÖÉê= (Percentage) Sub-Saharan Africa 57 58 51 Southern Asia 49 42 39 South-Eastern Asia 39 35 19 Eastern Asia 60 36 16 Latin America & the Caribbean 11 11 1990 8 1999 Western Asia 2005 2 20 15 target 4 6 Commonwealth of Independent States 3 8 5 Northern Africa 5 4 3 Transition countries of South-Eastern Europe 0.1 2 1 Developing regions* 42 31 25 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 *Includes all developing regions, the Commonwealth of Independent States and transition countries of South-Eastern Europe. Worldwide, the number of people living in extreme poverty in 2009 is expected to be 55 million to 90 million higher than anticipated before the global economic crisis, though the impact will vary across regions and 6
  • 9. qeb=jfiibkkfrj=absbilmjbkq=dl^ip=obmloq=OMMV= countries. Current projections suggest that overall Prior to the crisis, the depth of poverty had been poverty rates in the developing world will still fall in 2009, but at a much slower pace than before the reduced in almost every region downturn. For some countries, this may mean the difference between reaching or not reaching their Poverty gap ratio at $1.25 a day, 1990, 1999 and 2005 (Percentage) poverty reduction target. In sub-Saharan Africa and Southern Asia, both the number of poor and the Sub-Saharan Africa 26 poverty rate are expected to increase further in some 26 of the more vulnerable and low-growth economies. 21 Southern Asia Prior to the economic crisis and higher food prices, the 14 11 number of people in developing regions living in 10 extreme poverty — on less than $1.25 a day in 2005 South-Eastern Asia prices — fell from 1.8 billion in 1990 to 1.4 billion in 11 2005. As a result, those considered extremely poor 10 accounted for slightly more than a quarter of the 4 developing world’s population in 2005, compared to Eastern Asia 21 almost half in 1990. There was a dramatic fall in the 11 poverty rate in Eastern Asia — thanks in large part to 4 rapid economic growth in China, which helped lift 475 Latin America & the Caribbean million people from extreme poverty. Elsewhere, 4 1990 4 1999 progress has been slower and, in some regions, 3 2005 growing populations have caused the ranks of the Western Asia destitute to swell. Sub-Saharan Africa counted 100 1 million more extremely poor people in 2005 than in 1 1990, and the poverty rate remained above 50 per cent 2 (though it had begun to decline after 1999). Globally, CIS 1 the target of reducing the poverty rate by half by 2015 2 seems likely to be achieved. However, some regions 2 will fall far short, and as many as 1 billion people are Northern Africa likely to remain in extreme poverty by the target date. 1 1 1 Transition countries of South-Eastern Europe 0 0.5 0.2 Developing regions* 14 11 8 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 *Includes all developing regions, the CIS and transition countries of South-Eastern Europe. The magnitude of the poverty eradication challenge is determined not only by the number of poor people worldwide, but also by how far they fall below the poverty line. The increase in average incomes since 2000 has enabled many people to lift themselves out of poverty and has reduced the depth of poverty of those who remain extremely poor. Against a poverty line of $1.25 a day, the poverty gap fell between 1990 and 2005 in all regions except Western Asia. In 2005, the depth of poverty was greatest in sub-Saharan Africa, but has fallen since 1999 to reach the level that prevailed in Eastern Asia in 1990. The global economic crisis as well as high food prices are likely to have reversed these favourable trends. 7
  • 10. rkfqba=k^qflkp= Conflict breeds poverty for TARGET millions Achieve full and productive employment and decent work for all, including women and young people Number of internally displaced persons and refugees, 1999-2008 (Millions) 30 Prospects darken for the working poor 26.0 26.0 25.0 25.0 24.6 25.3 23.7 24.4 25 Proportion of employed people living below $1.25 a day, 1997, 2007 and 21.3 21.2 2008 projections (Percentage) 20 Sub-Saharan Africa 15 64 15.4 15.9 16.0 14.6 16.0 15.2 58 13.7 13.8 13.0 14.3 10 64 Southern Asia 55 5 Internally displaced persons Refugees 38 0 44 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Oceania 37 35 Conflict and persecution are major reasons why 38 people flee their homes, either within or beyond the CIS, Asia borders of their own country. Typically they lack 26 employment and a permanent residence and, without 21 a social safety net, quickly fall into poverty. The 23 number of internally displaced persons worldwide has South-Eastern Asia 36 remained at 26 million for the past two years. 17 However, the number of refugees decreased in 2008, 21 when more than 600,000 people returned voluntarily Eastern Asia to their country of origin. At the end of 2008, an 38 estimated 4.7 million refugees were still under the 11 13 responsibility of the UN Relief and Works Agency for Transition countries of South-Eastern Europe Palestine Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA). 20 Another 10.5 million people were receiving assistance 11 through the UN High Commissioner for Refugees 13 (UNHCR), nearly half of whom were refugees from Western Asia 9 Afghanistan (2.8 million) and Iraq (1.9 million). 10 25 Latin America & the Caribbean 13 7 8 1997 Northern Africa 2007 6 2008 worst-case scenario 3 3 CIS, Europe 4 0.1 0.2 Developed regions 16 9 10 Developing regions 41 24 28 8 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
  • 11. qeb=jfiibkkfrj=absbilmjbkq=dl^ip=obmloq=OMMV= High prices for energy and commodities in early 2008, Economic turmoil pushes tens of millions of exacerbated by a severe economic downturn in the second half of the year, are likely to have had a people into vulnerable employment significant negative impact on the proportion of working people living in extreme poverty. These are Proportion of own-account and contributing family workers in total people who are employed, but who do not earn enough employment, 2008 projections under scenario 2, women and men to lift themselves and their families above the $1.25 a (Percentage) day poverty line. The encouraging trends that were Oceania 86 evident until 2007 may have reversed or, at best, 73 stagnated in 2008. The International Labour Sub-Saharan Africa Organization (ILO) sees three scenarios, with the worst 85 one showing an increase in the percentage of working 74 poor in developing regions — from 24 per cent of the Southern Asia 84 labour force in 2007 to 28 per cent in 2008. Under the 74 intermediate scenario, the percentage of working poor South-Eastern Asia would increase in most regions and rise to 25 per cent 67 for the whole of the developing world. Even under the 61 best-case scenario, no progress at all is foreseen for Eastern Asia the working poor in sub-Saharan Africa. 63 54 Women Northern Africa Men The proportion of the working-age population that is 51 employed is a good indicator of the ability of an 31 economy to generate jobs. In most countries, that Western Asia proportion is in the range of 55 per cent to 75 per cent. 38 Nevertheless, employment-to-population ratios and 28 poverty indicators can both be high because people CIS, Asia 37 must work to survive, regardless of the quality of their 40 job. This is the case in sub-Saharan Africa, which has Latin America & the Caribbean the second highest adult employment-to-population 35 ratio among all regions (about 74 per cent), but the 35 lowest levels of labour productivity. More than half of Transition countries of South-Eastern Europe 27 those employed in this region were among the extreme 28 working poor, and more than three quarters of workers CIS, Europe were engaged in vulnerable employment. 10 11 Between 1998 and 2008, the employment-to- Developed regions 9 population ratio for adult women increased globally 12 from 48 per cent to 49 per cent. Despite the increase, Developing regions far more women continue to be out of the labour 67 market than men. Northern Africa and Western Asia 60 have exceptionally low female employment-to- population ratios, both of which are 45 percentage 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 points below those of men. In Southern Asia, the ratio The number of people in developing regions engaged in vulnerable is 44 percentage points below that of men. employment may be 77 million more in 2008 than in 2007, reversing encouraging trends over the previous decade. This is according to the second of two scenarios outlined by ILO, which is considered the most realistic given the severity of the economic crisis. Those engaged in vulnerable employment are either unpaid workers who contribute to a family business or own-account workers, neither of whom are likely to benefit from safety nets that guard against income loss during economic hardship. Under both scenarios, well over 80 per cent of the female labour force in Oceania, sub-Saharan Africa and Southern Asia are expected to have been engaged in vulnerable employment in 2008. 9
  • 12. rkfqba=k^qflkp= Labour productivity has remained Developing regions have seen only minor advances in labour productivity over the last decade, and fall far behind developed regions. Considerable low in developing regions — a bad progress has been made in Eastern Asia, the Commonwealth of sign for future job-creation Independent States (CIS) and transition countries of South-Eastern Europe. But productivity remains extremely low in sub-Saharan Africa and Output per person employed, constant 2005 US has even declined slightly in Oceania. Higher productivity in Eastern Asia dollars (purchasing power parity), 1998 and 2008 was accompanied by a sharp decrease in the share of those classified as (Thousands) the working poor during the same period. A similar situation occurred in Sub-Saharan Africa the transition countries of South-Eastern Europe, where the share of the 4 working poor declined by almost nine percentage points since 1997, while 5 productivity levels nearly doubled and the proportion of vulnerable Oceania employment dropped. 6 5 Southern Asia 5 7 South-Eastern Asia 7 9 Eastern Asia 19 9 8 5 2008 11 CIS, Asia 6 12 Northern Africa 17 19 Latin America & the Caribbean 20 22 Transition countries of South-Eastern Europe 14 25 CIS, Europe 14 26 Western Asia 35 43 Developed regions 60 71 Developing regions 8 11 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Labour productivity is a key measure of economic performance. Moreover, it can be used to gauge the likelihood that a country can create and sustain decent employment opportunities with fair and equitable remuneration. With limited increases in productivity, an economy generally sees little increase in the wages of workers, and there is no additional potential to create new jobs. It is also important that productivity growth be accompanied by improvements in education and training so that the future workforce is better prepared to perform the jobs needed. 10
  • 13. qeb=jfiibkkfrj=absbilmjbkq=dl^ip=obmloq=OMMV= The declining trend in the rate of undernourishment in developing TARGET countries since 1990-1992 was reversed in 2008, largely due to escalating Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the food prices. The proportion of people who are undernourished dropped proportion of people who suffer from from about 20 per cent in the early 1990s to about 16 per cent in the middle of the following decade. But provisional estimates indicate that it hunger rose by a percentage point in 2008. Rapidly rising food prices caused the proportion of people going hungry in sub-Saharan Africa and Oceania to Steep food prices set back progress increase in 2008. When China is excluded, the prevalence of hunger also rose in Eastern Asia. In most of the other regions, the effect was to arrest on ending hunger the downward trend. Proportion of undernourished population, 1990-1992, 2004-2006 and 2008 (Percentage) A decrease in international food prices fails to Sub-Saharan Africa translate into more affordable food at local 32 28 markets 29 Southern Asia, excluding India International food price index and consumer food price index in selected 24 countries, 2008 (Year 2000=100) 22 22 300 Southern Asia 24 250 22 21 South-Eastern Asia 200 24 15 15 150 Oceania 12 13 100 Nigeria 15 International Brazil Eastern Asia, excluding China 50 China 8 India (industrial workers) 12 13 0 Eastern Asia Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 15 Note: The food price index consists of the average of six commodity group price indices weighted with 10 the average export shares of each of the groups for 2002-2004. 10 Latin America & the Caribbean 12 8 Failure to implement strong actions in the fight against hunger could give 8 way to a long-lasting food crisis. A decrease in international food prices in Western Asia the second half of 2008 was expected to lower prices in local markets in a 6 1990-1992 relatively short period of time. But this did not materialize, and consumer 8 2004-2006 access to food in many developing countries, such as Brazil, India and 8 2008 20 15 target Nigeria, and to a lesser extent China, did not improve as expected. In the Northern Africa 3 most seriously affected countries particularly, governments and their 3 development partners should implement measures to increase the 3 availability of food, including raising production, and strengthen social Developing regions policies that address the negative effects of higher food prices, especially 20 16 on the poor. 17 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 11
  • 14. rkfqba=k^qflkp= Scant progress on child nutrition is Child nutrition, particularly for vulnerable populations, must be given higher priority in national development. This calls for the initiation of likely to be eroded by high food breastfeeding within one hour of birth, exclusive breastfeeding for the first prices and the state of the global six months, timely and appropriate complementary feeding from six months of age, and continued breastfeeding up to two years of age and economy beyond. Preventing low birthweight is also important. The nutritional status of mothers before and during pregnancy is a key determinant of the Proportion of children under age five who are birthweight of her baby. Birthweight, in turn, has a critical bearing on a underweight, 1990 and 2007 (Percentage) newborn’s chances for survival, growth, long-term health and Southern Asia psychosocial development. Southern Asia has the highest incidence of low 54 48 birthweight in the world — a quarter of newborns weigh less than 2,500 Sub-Saharan Africa grams — as well as the highest prevalence of underweight children. 31 28 South-Eastern Asia 37 25 Western Asia 14 14 1990 Eastern Asia 2007 17 7 Northern Africa 11 7 Latin America & the Caribbean 11 6 Developing regions 31 26 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Note: Prevalence of underweight children is estimated based on the NCHS/WHO/CDC reference population. Adequate nutrition is vital for building children’s immune systems and for their motor and cognitive development. Yet about one in four children in the developing regions are underweight. The consequences can be fatal: more than one third of child deaths worldwide are attributable to undernutrition. In the developing world, the proportion of children under five years of age who were underweight declined by only five percentage points from 1990 to 2007 — from 31 per cent to 26 per cent. This rate of progress is insufficient to meet the goal of reducing underweight prevalence by half — even without taking into account higher food prices and the economic crisis that developed in the meantime. Data collected before the increase in food prices show that children in the poorest households in developing countries are more than twice as likely to be underweight as those in the richest households. Similarly, children living in rural areas are more likely to be underweight than those living in cities and towns. 12
  • 16. rkfqba=k^qflkp= TARGET Goal 2 Ensure that, by 2015, children everywhere, boys and girls alike, will be able to complete a full course of ^ÅÜáÉîÉ= primary schooling ìåáîÉêë~ä= The world is edging closer to universal primary education, but too slowly to meet the 2015 éêáã~êó= target Adjusted net enrolment ratio in primary education,* 1999/2000 and ÉÇìÅ~íáçå= 2006/2007 (Percentage) Sub-Saharan Africa 58 2000 74 2007 Western Asia 85 88 Southern Asia 79 90 CIS 90 94 South-Eastern Asia 94 94 Latin America & the Caribbean 94 95 Eastern Asia 99 95 Northern Africa 91 96 Developed regions 97 96 Developing regions 83 88 World 85 89 0 20 40 60 80 100 * Defined as the number of pupils of the theoretical school age for primary education enrolled either in primary or secondary school, expressed as a percentage of the total population in that age group. Note: Data for Oceania are not available. Progress is being made towards universal primary education. Still, more than 10 per cent of children of primary-school age are out of school. In the developing world as a whole, enrolment coverage in primary education reached 88 per cent in 2007, up from 83 per cent in 2000. Major breakthroughs have been achieved in sub-Saharan Africa, where 14
  • 17. qeb=jfiibkkfrj=absbilmjbkq=dl^ip=obmloq=OMMV= enrolment increased by 15 percentage points from Half of the 72 million children out of school 2000 to 2007, and Southern Asia, which gained 11 percentage points over the same period. have never been inside a classroom In many countries, improvements in school enrolment Distribution of out-of-school children by school exposure, 2006 have been associated with increases in national (Percentage) spending on education, which could be dealt a serious Western Asia 12 22 65 blow as a result of the global economic crisis. Sub-Saharan Africa Demographic trends may also affect achievement of 8 29 63 the goal, since population growth usually puts Southern Asia increased pressure on the resources allotted to 63 5 32 education. The relatively sharp rise in enrolment in Latin America & the Caribbean 20 58 21 sub-Saharan Africa and Southern Asia, despite rapid South-Eastern Asia population growth, is therefore encouraging. However, 25 55 20 global numbers of out-of-school children are dropping Northern Asia too slowly and too unevenly for the target to be 66 29 5 reached by 2015. Eastern Asia 1 98 2 Developed regions 29 56 15 Developing regions 23 30 46 0 20 40 60 80 100 Enrolled but dropped out Expected to enter late Expected never to enrol The number of children of primary school age who are out of school has dropped by 33 million since 1999. Still, 72 million children worldwide were denied the right to education in 2007. Almost half of these children live in sub-Saharan Africa, followed by Southern Asia, home to 18 million out-of- school children. According to partial projections by the Education for All Global Monitoring Report, produced by the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) and based on 2006 data, at least 29 million children will still be out of school in 2015. Nearly half the children currently out of school have never had any contact with formal education. Moreover, they are unlikely to enrol unless new policies and additional incentives are put into place. About 30 per cent of children out of school in the developing world may eventually enrol as late entrants. A further 23 per cent were previously enrolled but dropped out. The problem is magnified in sub-Saharan Africa. Not only does the region have the largest number of children out of school, but two thirds of them will probably never enrol. The same situation exists in Western Asia, where 64 per cent of the 3 million children out of school are girls. Two thirds of the millions of children out of school in Southern Asia were enrolled at one time, but dropped out. The large number of out-of-school children is especially worrisome because of the impact it will have on the other MDGs. Evidence shows, for instance, that an increase in the share of mothers with a primary or secondary education is associated with a reduction in the child mortality rate, and that educated parents have better nourished children. Parental literacy also plays a role in whether children attend school. Education has been shown to have a positive effect on the success of HIV prevention and increases the probability of accessing decent employment. 15
  • 18. rkfqba=k^qflkp= Inequality undermines education Ethnic, linguistic and religious minorities also have fewer opportunities in education than the overall population. An analysis of survey data from 17 opportunities for millions of countries shows that net attendance rates among the least disadvantaged children groups are up to 1.7 times higher than net attendance rates among the most disadvantaged groups at the primary level of education; they are up Parity index for primary school attendance by to six times higher at the secondary level of education. ethnicity, language or religion, lowest attendance rate/highest attendance rate, selected countries, An educational parity index — which compares the attendance rate of the 2005-2006 most disadvantaged group with the attendance rate of the least disadvantaged group within a specific country — reveals values for Lao PDR 0.59 primary education between 0.59 and 0.99. The value 0.59 means that the Togo school attendance rate of the most disadvantaged group is only 59 per 0.61 cent that of the group with the highest attendance rate; 0.99 suggests that FYR Macedonia there is little or no inequality between the two groups. Disparities are 0.62 more extreme at the secondary level of education, where the index ranges Montenegro between 0.17 and 0.98. 0.69 Guinea-Bissau 0.69 Public policies designed to reach the poorest and most disadvantaged Gambia groups have proven effective in some countries. For example, remarkable 0.73 progress has been made in increasing enrolment of the poorest children Serbia by abolishing school fees, constructing schools in underserved areas and 0.78 boosting the recruitment of teachers. In general, and especially among Belize 0.87 minorities, getting girls into school and encouraging them to complete Georgia their education must remain a priority. 0.89 Kyrgyzstan 0.91 What will it take to meet the education Sierra Leone 0.94 target? Kazakhstan 0.96 Achieving universal primary education by 2015 will require that all Albania children at the official entry age for primary school have access to 0.96 education by 2009. Some progress has been made: in 2007, almost 137 Thailand million children stepped into classrooms for the first time — 7 million 0.97 more than in 1999. The gross intake rate, which measures the capacity Uzbekistan 0.98 of education systems to provide all children with access to schooling, Viet Nam increased by nine percentage points in developing countries over the 0.98 same period. The biggest increase was recorded in sub-Saharan Africa, Guyana with a 25 percentage point rise. 0.99 Access to education, however, is only part of the solution. Completion 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 of a full course of primary schooling is necessary to achieve universal Unequal opportunities resulting from biases based on primary education. Millions of children start school but eventually drop gender, ethnicity, income, language or disabilities are out. In many developing countries, school systems are chronically common and represent a major obstacle to universal underfinanced and underresourced and often fail to deliver a high- education. Children from poor communities and girls quality education. As a result, too many children leave school without are the most likely to lose out. In some less developed having acquired the most basic literacy and numeracy skills. countries, children in the poorest 20 per cent of the Addressing these concerns will require wide-ranging reforms and population are three times less likely to be enrolled in increased investments. Based on 2004 data, UNESCO estimates that, primary school than children from the wealthiest 20 in sub-Saharan Africa alone, 3.8 million teachers will have to be per cent. In 2007, girls accounted for 54 per cent of the recruited by 2015 if the goal of universal primary education is to be world’s out-of-school population. achieved. 16
  • 20. rkfqba=k^qflkp= TARGET Goal 3 Eliminate gender disparity in primary and secondary education, preferably by 2005, and in all levels of mêçãçíÉ=ÖÉåÇÉê= education no later than 2015 Éèì~äáíó=~åÇ= Four years after the target date, gender parity in education has yet to be achieved ÉãéçïÉê= Girls’ primary school enrolment in relation to boys’, 1998/1999 and 2006/2007 (Girls per 100 boys) ïçãÉå= Oceania 91 89 1999 Western Asia 2007 87 90 Sub-Saharan Africa 85 90 Northern Africa 90 94 Southern Asia 84 95 Latin America & the Caribbean 97 97 South-Eastern Asia 96 98 Eastern Asia 100 99 CIS 99 99 Developed regions 100 100 Developing regions 91 95 0 20 40 60 80 100 The world continues to progress towards gender parity in education as measured by the ratio of girls’ to boys’ gross enrolment. In the developing regions as a whole, 95 girls were enrolled in primary school for every 100 boys in 2007, compared to 91 in 1999. However, the target of eliminating gender disparities in primary and secondary education by 2005 was missed. Ensuring that the opportunity is not lost again in 2015 will require renewed urgency and commitment. 18
  • 21. qeb=jfiibkkfrj=absbilmjbkq=dl^ip=obmloq=OMMV= In 2007, only 53 of the 171 countries with available data The notable exceptions to a generally improving situation are sub-Saharan had achieved gender parity (defined by the UNESCO Africa, where the ratio of girls’ to boys’ enrolment in secondary education Institute for Statistics as a girls’ to boys’ enrolment fell from 82 in 1999 to 79 in 2007; Oceania, where the ratio fell from 89 to ratio of between 97 and 103) in both primary and 87; and the CIS, where it fell from 101 to 98 over the same period. secondary education. That is 14 more countries than in 1999. Still, the fact that over 100 countries have yet to Girls outnumber boys in higher education, reach the target is a source of concern. except in the poorer regions The gender gap is more evident in Girls’ tertiary school enrolment in relation to boys’, 1998/1999 and secondary school enrolment 2006/2007 (Girls per 100 boys) Sub-Saharan Africa Girls’ secondary school enrolment in relation to boys’, 69 1998/1999 and 2006/2007 (Girls per 100 boys) 67 1999 Sub-Saharan Africa Southern Asia 2007 64 82 79 77 1999 Oceania Western Asia 2007 80 69 84 85 Southern Asia Western Asia 75 82 85 93 Oceania Eastern Asia 89 55 87 96 CIS Northern Africa 101 68 98 104 Northern Africa South-Eastern Asia 93 92 98 111 Eastern Asia Latin America & the Caribbean 96 112 101 119 South-Eastern Asia CIS 97 121 103 129 Latin America & the Caribbean Developed regions 107 119 107 129 Developed regions Developing regions 100 78 100 96 Developing regions 89 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 130 94 A very different situation emerges at higher levels of education. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 Worldwide, there are more young women than men enrolled in tertiary The gender gap in school enrolment is more evident in education. The ratio of girls’ to boys’ enrolment globally at the tertiary secondary education, where many more countries are level rose from 96 in 1999 to 108 in 2007. But disparities among regions falling behind. The gap is especially wide in countries in are dramatic. A large gap in favour of girls exists in the developed which overall enrolment is low, since increases in regions, CIS countries, Latin America and the Caribbean, and South- secondary school enrolment tend to be accompanied Eastern Asia. Far fewer female students than males have advanced to by reductions in gender disparities. Many factors have tertiary education in sub-Saharan Africa, Southern Asia and Oceania. contributed to progress, including increased primary school enrolment and completion for girls and falling poverty rates. In numerous countries, public policy has also played a pivotal role. 19
  • 22. rkfqba=k^qflkp= Progress in development and girls’ Girls born into impoverished households or living in rural communities are at a distinct disadvantage in terms of education. An analysis of primary education go hand in hand school attendance in 108 developing countries by location of residence and household wealth reveals that gender parity has been reached in Distribution of countries by gender parity status in urban areas and among the richest 40 per cent of households. In contrast, primary, secondary and tertiary education, 2007 girls are more likely to be excluded from primary education in rural (Percentage) localities and when they reside in the poorest households. Tertiary 32 6 62 Gender disparities associated with poverty and rural residency are even Secondary 35 30 35 more pronounced at the level of secondary education. Cultural attitudes Primary and practices that promote early marriage, encourage the seclusion of 36 60 4 young girls or attach greater value to educating boys than girls can create formidable barriers to gender parity. Yet targeted public policy and 0 20 40 60 80 100 governance initiatives can help overcome gender inequalities. For Disparity in favour of men Achieved gender parity example, removing school fees and providing incentives for girls to attend Disparity in favour of women school can alleviate financial pressures on households. Building schools * Based on available data for 191 countries for primary education, 179 close to remote communities and recruiting local teachers can also narrow countries for secondary education, and 133 countries for tertiary education. the gender gap in rural areas. When data for 2007 were not available, the latest available data were used — from 2005 or 2006. Paid employment for women continues to Available data show that 60 per cent of countries have achieved gender parity in primary education, 30 per expand slowly and remains meagre in many cent in secondary education and only 6 per cent in regions tertiary education. Globally, disparities in favour of girls increase significantly at higher level of schooling. Employees in non-agricultural wage employment who are women, 1990 However, this reflects mostly the situation in more and 2007, and projections to 2015 (Percentage) developed countries, where overall enrolment — and 52 tertiary enrolment — is high. In those settings, boys 51 tend to do less well in school. In poorer countries, and 50 in countries in which overall enrolment is low, the 45 43 disadvantage for girls persists at higher levels of 44 education and is usually more evident. 40 41 37 37 37 36 Girls from poor and rural 33 households face higher barriers to 30 29 education 24 21 20 21 20 Secondary school net attendance ratio of boys and 21 19 girls, by place of residence and household wealth, 1998/2007 (Percentage) 100 10 CIS Sub-Saharan Africa Eastern Asia Northern Africa Girls Latin America & the Caribbean Western Asia 80 Boys South-Eastern Asia Southern Asia Oceania 72 74 0 60 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2007 … 2015 59 60 57 59 50 Globally, the share of women in paid employment outside the agricultural 40 45 41 45 sector has continued to increase marginally over the years. But in 39 31 36 Southern Asia, Northern Africa and Western Asia, employment 20 opportunities for women remain extremely low. Women are also poorly 24 represented in non-agricultural employment in sub-Saharan Africa. The 0 situation of women in these regions, however, varies widely. In Rural Urban Poorest Second Middle Fourth Richest sub-Saharan Africa, 64 per cent of women’s employment is in agriculture, 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20
  • 23. qeb=jfiibkkfrj=absbilmjbkq=dl^ip=obmloq=OMMV= and women’s overall representation in the labour force is relatively high: 55 per cent of working-age women in that region are employed, although mostly in vulnerable jobs. In Northern Africa and Western Asia, where industry and services are the most important sectors, only 23 per cent and 21 per cent of working- age women, respectively, are employed. Women remain more vulnerable on the job front, assuming the largest share of unpaid work Distribution of total employment by job status, women, 2008 (Percentage) Oceania 16 19 64 Southern Asia 16 1 37 46 Sub-Saharan Africa 15 2 43 39 South-Eastern Asia 34 1 30 35 Northern Africa 55 2 18 25 Eastern Asia 40 2 35 24 Western Asia 61 2 17 20 Latin America & the Caribbean 65 3 24 7 0 20 40 60 80 100 Wage and salaried workers Employers Own-account workers Contributing family workers Although more women have been able to secure paid jobs outside agriculture, they have generally failed to access decent work. Close to two thirds of all employed women have vulnerable jobs, either as contributing family workers or as own-account workers. The employment situation of women is particularly dismal in Oceania and Southern Asia, where the largest share of women’s employment is as contributing family workers — 64 per cent and 46 per cent, respectively. These labourers, also known as unpaid family workers, are family members who freely give their time to family -owned businesses. The large share of unpaid jobs adds to the already heavy burden of unpaid work carried out by women in households in all regions, which is not reflected in official labour force statistics. 21
  • 24. rkfqba=k^qflkp= The global financial crisis is creating new Although men were hit hardest by the hurdles to women’s employment financial shock, women may be more profoundly affected over the long term Unemployment rate, world, 1998-2009 (Percentage) Changes in unemployment rates, world, January 2008-January 7.5 Women Men 2009 (Percentage) 15 7.0 Women 6.7 6.6 6.6 Men 6.5 6.5 10 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.5 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.0 6.0 5 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 5.8 08 08 08 08 08 08 08 5.5 5.5 0 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 08 08 08 08 08 09 5.0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009* -5 *ILO projections according to 'scenario I'. Under scenario II, unemployment would be 7.0 and 6.8 for women and men, respectively, and 7.4 and 7.0, respectively, under scenario III. -10 The 2008 financial crisis and high prices for primary The ILO estimates that, in December 2008, there were 12.8 per commodities have eroded labour markets around the world. The cent more unemployed men and 6.7 per cent more unemployed ILO projects that the global unemployment rate in 2009 could women in the world than in December 2007. The number of reach between 6.3 per cent and 7.1 per cent, with a unemployed men increased at a faster rate than the number of corresponding unemployment rate for women ranging from 6.5 unemployed women, especially during the second half of 2008. to 7.4 per cent (compared to 6.1 to 7.0 per cent for men). This However, more recent data show that women’s unemployment means that an additional 24 million to 52 million people is likely to continue increasing at a rapid pace, while the rate of worldwide may be unemployed, of which 10 million to 22 million increase of men’s unemployment is slowing. This suggests that will be women. after the initial shock in male-dominated industries, the financial crisis is now hitting female-dominated industries and services and may affect women more profoundly over the long term. 22