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Water theme plenary - John Langford

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Climate Change Research Strategy for Primary Industries
Climate Change Research Strategy for Primary Industries
TechnologyBusiness
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Storage capacity and diversions in the MDB 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Volume (GL) Capacity of Major Storages Total Capacity, including farm dams Average Annual Flow of All Rivers Average Natural Flow to the Sea Increasing Diversions Total storage 1.5 times average annual flow of all rivers
Gross Value & Water Use 1996/97 – 2005/06 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Methods used for timing irrigations in the Murray-Darling Basin in 2006-07 Data source: ABARE 2009; Langford et al., 2011. Global Environmental Change
Divertible and developed water resources in 1995-96 (GL)
15 Years Without a Wet Month Number of months per year with rainfall above the 90th percentile (updated to July 2010). Percentiles are based on the 20th century (1900-1999) climatology and are computed month by month. Acknowledgement: Bertrand Timbal (Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research)
Timbal, Greenhouse 2007 Intensification of STR appears to be linked to Global Warming ,[object Object],Timbal et al SEACI Final Project Reports 1.1.2 (2007) and 1.5.1 (2009) (on SEACI website) Recent SEACI GCM model results (& with downscaling) show similar relationship (but smaller trends) only if include natural and anthropogenic forcings
Water prices are extremely volatile … Source: Watermove
Recent trends in water markets (I): Water moves to South Australia Very little entitlement trade – all allocation … give statistic Australian Water Markets Report 2007-08, National Water Commission
Water Allocation & Milk Production
Potential costs and benefits of adjusting the reserve policy (conceptual) Reserve policy
Retail Allocation Bank Account D esigned to give individuals opportunities to manage their own reliability of supply ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Flow
Smart Water Supply Chains ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Interoperable open-architecture ICT platforms and standards Dams and reservoirs River systems Main channels Distribution systems On-farm Distributed sensing, and supply/demand forecasting Distributed closed-loop control Climate and Runoff
The Way Forward ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Water theme plenary - John Langford

  • 2. Storage capacity and diversions in the MDB 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Volume (GL) Capacity of Major Storages Total Capacity, including farm dams Average Annual Flow of All Rivers Average Natural Flow to the Sea Increasing Diversions Total storage 1.5 times average annual flow of all rivers
  • 3.
  • 4. Methods used for timing irrigations in the Murray-Darling Basin in 2006-07 Data source: ABARE 2009; Langford et al., 2011. Global Environmental Change
  • 5. Divertible and developed water resources in 1995-96 (GL)
  • 6. 15 Years Without a Wet Month Number of months per year with rainfall above the 90th percentile (updated to July 2010). Percentiles are based on the 20th century (1900-1999) climatology and are computed month by month. Acknowledgement: Bertrand Timbal (Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research)
  • 7.
  • 8. Water prices are extremely volatile … Source: Watermove
  • 9. Recent trends in water markets (I): Water moves to South Australia Very little entitlement trade – all allocation … give statistic Australian Water Markets Report 2007-08, National Water Commission
  • 10. Water Allocation & Milk Production
  • 11. Potential costs and benefits of adjusting the reserve policy (conceptual) Reserve policy
  • 12.
  • 13. Flow
  • 14.
  • 15.

Editor's Notes

  1. Storage capacity 50% more than the average annual run-off of all rivers. Key Messages – storage capacity 50% greater than the average flow of all rivers – carryover storages essential to deal with climate variability
  2. ADD AFTER: The proposals – reserve policy (pg 76) Benefits: Allocations earlier in the season Less risk of zero allocation years Supports fully functioning water market Costs: Slightly fewer years with full allocations Slightly reduced yield