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Attitudes to climate change in southern NSW - Jan Edwards


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Attitudes to climate change in southern NSW - Jan Edwards

  1. 1. Attitudes to climate change in Southern NSW Jan Edwards District Agronomist, Cowra
  2. 2. 2 funded projects <ul><li>Developing climate change adaptation options for NSW mixed farming systems </li></ul><ul><li>Southern livestock adaptation 2030 </li></ul>
  3. 3. Case study farms Livestock sites Cropping & livestock sites
  4. 4. Engagement in research <ul><li>Climate change research </li></ul><ul><ul><li>complex </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>high degree of uncertainty </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>GCMs </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>downscaling </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>biophysical models </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><li>Farmer engagement and participation are vital </li></ul><ul><ul><li>increase adoption </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>build capacity </li></ul></ul>
  5. 5. Participation <ul><li>Iterative process with farmers </li></ul><ul><ul><li>designing farming systems and enterprises </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>interpreting the results </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>discussing the risks and practicalities </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>suggesting adaptations </li></ul></ul>
  6. 6. Preparing not predicting <ul><li>Our role is to </li></ul><ul><ul><li>prepare farmers to deal with climate change and climate variability </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>NOT predict the future </li></ul></ul>
  7. 7. Attitudes to climate change <ul><li>Preliminary analysis from 160 survey respondents </li></ul>
  8. 8. Climate change will mean … <ul><li>An increased incidence of droughts </li></ul><ul><ul><li>12% disagree </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>42% not sure </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>45% agree </li></ul></ul>
  9. 9. Climate change will mean … <ul><li>Less rainfall especially in autumn and spring </li></ul><ul><ul><li>13% disagree </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>50% not sure </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>37% agree </li></ul></ul>
  10. 10. Climate change will mean … <ul><li>Warmer temperatures, fewer frosts and more ‘hot’ days </li></ul><ul><ul><li>19% disagree </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>36% not sure </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>38% agree </li></ul></ul>
  11. 11. Do you believe in climate change? <ul><li>26% no </li></ul><ul><ul><li>likely to have increased recently </li></ul></ul><ul><li>27% not sure </li></ul><ul><li>48% yes </li></ul>
  12. 12. Do you believe in climate change? <ul><li>In the 31–45 age group </li></ul><ul><ul><li>33% no </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>29% not sure </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>38% yes </li></ul></ul>
  13. 13. Attitude to the future <ul><li>15% of the farmers </li></ul><ul><ul><li>believe they won’t be farming </li></ul></ul><ul><li>The 60+ age group </li></ul><ul><ul><li>36% of the sample group </li></ul></ul>Attitude to the future Respondents (%) Committed to farming and intend to stay 64 Committed to farming but may take up other employment options 21 Am about to retire 12 Want to take up other employment and leave farming 2 Will be forced to leave the farm 1
  14. 14. To reduce the impact … <ul><li>An emissions trading scheme is essential </li></ul><ul><ul><li>48% disagree </li></ul></ul>
  15. 15. What will help? <ul><li>Changing to more drought tolerant species or varieties </li></ul>
  16. 16. What will help? <ul><li>Changing the farm enterprise mix to include more trading livestock </li></ul>
  17. 17. What will help? <ul><li>Increasing the use of no-till or direct drill </li></ul>
  18. 18. What will help? <ul><li>Increasing on-farm water and fodder conservation </li></ul>
  19. 19. What will help? <ul><li>Using drought-lots </li></ul>
  20. 20. What will help? <ul><li>Sourcing off-farm income </li></ul>
  21. 21. What will help? <ul><li>Gaining economies of scale </li></ul>
  22. 22. The projects are funded by
  23. 23. Contacts <ul><li>Kate Lorimer-Ward </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Leader Agriculture & Climate Change </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>[email_address] </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><li>Phil Graham </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Technical Specialist Grazing System </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>[email_address] </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><li>Phil Bowden </li></ul><ul><ul><li>District Agronomist Cootamundra </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>[email_address] </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><li>Jan Edwards </li></ul><ul><ul><li>District Agronomist Cowra </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>[email_address] </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><li>Jason Crean </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Principle Economist (CC Policy) </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>[email_address] </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><li>John Smith </li></ul><ul><ul><li>District Agronomist Deniliquin </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>[email_address] </li></ul></ul></ul>
  24. 25. I have … <ul><li>The knowledge and tools to manage climate change </li></ul><ul><ul><li>49% agree </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>35% not sure </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>16% disagree </li></ul></ul>
  25. 26. Climate change is … <ul><li>Making it harder to run a farm business </li></ul><ul><ul><li>14% disagree </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>44% not sure </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>42% agree </li></ul></ul>