On August 27, 2013, Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber of Commerce CEO Aaron Nelson presented the report, the only one of its kind in the community, which tracks the well-being of Chapel Hill-Carrboro along social, economic, and environmental indicators. Read the report here and view past reports at the SlideShare account. Thank you to the sponsors of our event: Triangle Community Foundation, the Greater Chapel Hill Association of REALTORS, PNC BANK, The UPS Store, and Courtyard Marriott!
11. Background on this Report
• Our Sixth State of the Community Report
• Born out of graduate student research at UNC
• Social, Economic, and Health Indicators
• Objective: deliver relevant information to
community and business leaders
• Chamber + The Partnership
12. The Partnership
• Chamber’s Community and Economic
Development Partner
– Community Leadership Development
– Non-Profit Incubation and Fiscal Agency
– Community Convening/Problem Solving
– Research and Information Sharing
– Fourth Sector and Social Enterprise support
14. Community Population
Jurisdiction 2000 2012 Pop Growth Growth Rate
Orange
County
116,016 137,941 + 21,925 18.9% OR 1.6%/year
Hillsborough 5,513 6,271 +758 13.8% OR 1.1%/year
Carrboro 17,668 20,433 +2,765 15.6% OR 1.3%/year
Chapel Hill 48,038 58,424 +10,386 21.6% OR 1.8%/year
North
Carolina
8,078,824 9,752,073 +1,673,249 20.7% OR 1.7/year
U.S. Census Bureau
15. U.S. Census Bureau
Population Growth
116,016
138,575
17,668
20,433
48,038 58,433
5,513 6,271
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Orange County Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough
16. Population Projections
County 2015 2020
Growth Rate
(vs 2010)
2025
Growth Rate
(vs 2010)
ALAMANCE 156,395 162,004 +10,535 (7.0%) 167,614 +16,145 (10.7%)
CHATHAM 70,484 77,045 +13,294 (20.9%) 83,607 +19,856 (31.1%)
DURHAM 303,060 338,505 +67,208 (24.8%) 373,568 +102,271 (37.7%)
JOHNSTON 181,450 192,471 +22,839 (13.5%) 203,490 +33,858 (20.0%)
ORANGE 144,960 155,555 +21,253 (15.8%) 166,215 +31,913 (23.8%)
WAKE 1,008,721 1,114,464 +207,556 (22.9%) 1,220,207 +313,299 (34.5%)
NC Office of State Budget and Management
6.2% of 517,342 in projected 6-
county growth
2.0% of projected state growth
17. Orange County Population by Race
Black or African
American
alone, 12.2%
American Indian
and Alaska Native
alone, 0.6%
Asian
alone, percent, 7.3
%
Two or More
Races, 2.5%Hispanic or
Latino, 8.2%
White alone, not
Hispanic or
Latino, 70.3%
U.S. Census Bureau
18. 2012 Orange County Population by Race
U.S. Census Bureau
80.1%
70.3%
15.7%
12.2%
0.3%
8.2%2.5%
7.3%0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
1990 2000 2010 2012
White African American Latino/Hispanic Asian
19. Minority Races by Municipality (2012)
2.9% 2.7% 2.5% 2.0%
10.1% 9.7%
12.2%
22.0%
8.2%
11.9%
7.3%
2.5%
13.8%
6.4%
8.2% 8.7%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
Carrboro Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina
Two or More Races Black Asian Hispanic or Latino
U.S. Census Bureau
20. Educational Attainment (2012)
U.S. Census Bureau
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
80.00%
90.00%
100.00%
High School Graduate (or higher) Bachelors Degree (or higher)
90.1%
54.6%
84.1%
26.5%
85.4%
28.2%
Orange County
North Carolina
United States
21. Educational Attainment (2012)
U.S. Census Bureau
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
80.00%
90.00%
100.00%
High School Graduate (or
higher)
Bachelors Degree (or
higher)
90.6%
62.4%
94.1%
73.2%
90.1%
54.6%
Carrboro
Chapel Hill
Orange County
22. Orange County Income Levels by Household
U.S. Census Bureau
Less than
$10,000
9%
$10,000 to
$34,999
24%
$35,000 to
$74,999
26%
$75,000 to
$99,999
13%
$100,000 to
$149,999
12%
$150,000 to
$199,999
7%
$200,000+
9%
23. 2011 Per Capita Income by County
U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
#1 $48,683 - Orange
#2 $48,191 - Chatham
#6 $42,555 Wake
#9 $38,654 - Durham
$36,028 NC
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
24. Per Capita Liquor Sales FY12
$0.00
$50.00
$100.00
$150.00
$200.00
$250.00
$300.00
$350.00
$400.00
$450.00
ABC Board through Business NC
Orange 12th
Wake 20th
Durham 25th
Chatham 48th
Alamance 53rd
26. Location of Orange County Housing Units
9,258 (16%)
2,593 (5%)
22,254 (40%)
21,492 (39%)
Carrboro Hillsborough Chapel Hill Rest of County
U.S. Census Bureau
28. Home Ownership Rate (2011)
35.5%
49.1%
60.2%
67.8% 66.1%
Carrboro Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina USA
U.S. Census Bureau
29. Number of Homes Sold in Orange County
Triangle Multiple Listing Service
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
1543
1686
1859 1886
1797 1749
1271
1140 1142 1126
1257
31. Residential Building Permits
Home Builders Association of Durham, Orange, & Chatham
* Through July 2013
54
5
135
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013*
Carrboro
Chapel Hill
Orange County (incl. Hillsborough)
32. Chapel Hill-Carrboro School District
Median Sales Price per Sq Ft
Triangle Multiple Listing Service
$164
$160
$157
$154
$149
$146
135
140
145
150
155
160
165
170
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
33. 2012 Average Home Price per Square Foot
Triangle Multiple Listing Service
$0.00
$20.00
$40.00
$60.00
$80.00
$100.00
$120.00
$140.00
Durham Wake Chatham Orange
$93.97
$106.14
$121.93
$134.05
34. 2012 Average Home Price by County
Triangle Multiple Listing Service
$0
$50,000
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
$250,000
$300,000
$350,000
Durham Wake Chatham Orange
$191,044
$251,665
$303,581 $319,229
35. OC Housing Gross Rent
1%
1%
6%
32%
31%
16%
8%
1%
1%
4%
23%
38%
21%
14%
0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 30.00% 35.00% 40.00%
Less than $200
$200 to $299
$300 to $499
$500 to $749
$750 to $999
$1,000 to $1,499
$1,500 or more
2011
2007
U.S Census Bureau
36. Orange County Gross Rent as a Percent
of Household Income
7.7%
10.4%
8.4%
7.3%
9.0%
49.8%
9.9%
10.0%
13.2%
8.9%
5.6%
52.3%
0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00%
Less than 15.0 percent
15.0 to 19.9 percent
20.0 to 24.9 percent
25.0 to 29.9 percent
30.0 to 34.9 percent
35.0 percent or more
2011
2007
U.S Census Bureau
38. 43,298 Live outside Orange County and drive in for work
39,603 Live in Orange County and drive out of the county for work
21,454 Live in Orange County and work in Orange County
U.S. Census Bureau
39,540 33,85020,662
39. Commuting to Primary Jobs (2011)
6,909 6,726
3,432
11,726
15,034
6,821
18,398
18,756
9,857
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
Drive out for work Drive in for work Live and work here
> $40,000
$15,000-$40,000
<%15,000
U.S. Census Bureau
40. Orange County Workers’ Commuting
Patterns 2002-2011
33.20%
41.70%
66.8%
58.3%
25.00%
30.00%
35.00%
40.00%
45.00%
50.00%
55.00%
60.00%
65.00%
70.00%
2011201020092008200720062005200420032002
Employed and Living in the Selection Area
Employed in the Selection Area but Living Outside
U.S. Census Bureau
41. Orange County Residents’ Commuting
(2002-2012)
35.2%
45.1%
64.8%
54.9%
25.00%
30.00%
35.00%
40.00%
45.00%
50.00%
55.00%
60.00%
65.00%
70.00%
2011201020092008200720062005200420032002
Living and Employed in the Selection Area
Living in the Selection Area but Employed Outside
U.S. Census Bureau
42. Percent of Town of Chapel Hill
Employees Living in Chapel Hill Zip Codes
41%
30%
27%
22%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
1995 2004 2008 2010
Chapel Hill Data Book
43. Distribution of UNC Chapel Hill’s
11,900 employees by home address
5820
2276
12421158 593
85 72 60 31 13
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
44. Orange County Commuting to Work
Drove
Alone, 66.8%
Carpooled, 9.5
%
Public
Transportation
8.3%
Walked, 5.3%
Other
means, 3.8%
Work at
home, 6.4%
U.S. Census Bureau
45. Mean Travel Time to Work (Minutes)
U.S. Census Bureau
21.921.4
25.425.3
23.4
23.2
19.3
21
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
2011 Estimate2010 Estimate2009 Estimate2008 Estimate2007 Estimate
Orange County United States North Carolina Chapel Hill Carrboro
48. Orange County Wealth Migration
1992-2010
Net Loss of $49.97 Million in Adjusted Gross Income
Analysis of IRS Data
49. Orange County (NC)
Wealth Migration 1992-2010
Gained Wealth
Santa Clara
County, CA
$15.7 million
Cook County, IL
$13.8 million
Fairfax
County, VA
$15.6 million
Westchester
County, NY
$17.7 million
Fairfield
County, CT
$15.8 million
Analysis of IRS Data
51. Chatham County Wealth Migration
1992-2010
GAINED WEALTH FROM:
• Wake NC ($202 million)
• Orange NC ($179 million)
• Durham NC ($73 million)
• Fairfax, VA ($20 million)
• Santa Clara CA ($18 million)
Net Gain of $1.14 billion in Adjusted Gross Income
Analysis of IRS Data
54. Percent of Persons Living Below
Poverty Level (2011)
16.8%
22.1%
16.9% 16.1%
14.3%
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
Carrboro Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina USA
U.S Census Bureau
55. Poverty and College Students
55
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
College Students in Poverty
Percentage of Residents in Poverty (excluding college students)
Source: U.S. Census 2010
56. Percent of Economically Disadvantaged Students
(Formerly Free or Reduced Lunch)
N.C Dept of Public Instruction
32.6% 31.9%
39.8%
41.6%
21.7% 22.2%
23.5%
26.5%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12
Orange County
CHCCS
57. Percent of CHCCS Students
Receiving Free and Reduced Lunch (2011-12)
N.C Dept of Public Instruction
23%
19%
25%
19%
47%
29%
18%
50%
23% 24% 26%
39%
23%
27%
23%
25%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
58. N.C Dept of Public Instruction
Percent of Orange County Schools Students Receiving
Free and Reduced Lunch (2011-12)
45%
37%
27%
83%
33%
65%
42% 42%
17%
59%
37%
49%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
63. Orange County Residents Employment
NC Department of Commerce
62,438
70,377
60,000
62,000
64,000
66,000
68,000
70,000
72,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Jun-13
64. Unemployed Individuals
NC Department of Commerce
2,807
4,794
1,000
1,841
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Jun-13
Orange County Chapel Hill
65. Projected New Job Growth 2009-2014
153
266
736
259
1,845
2,045
124
481
185
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500
Construction
Information
Prof/Scientific/Tech Services
Admin/Supp/Waste Mgmt Services
Educational Services
Health Care/Social Services
Arts/Entertainment/Rec
Accommodation/Food Services
Public Administration
NC Department of Commerce
66. Incubation and Start Up
Opened Facility Size
Enterprises serving in
2013
Mid Way Business
Center
2001 5,000 sq ft 11
Piedmont Food & Ag
Processing Center
Oct 2011 10,400 sq ft 37
The Cube
(UNC- Campus Y)
Feb 2012 1,500 sq ft 18
LaUNCh Chapel Hill Feb 2013 3,300 sq ft 16
EntreDot Feb 2013 4,000 sq ft 30
1789 May 2013 3,500 sq ft 15
TOTALS 27,700 sq ft 127 enterprises
68. Property Crime Rate (per 100,000)
Federal Bureau of Investigation
7095.1
2627.7
8209.6
3540.1
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
Chapel Hill
Carrboro
69. Violent Crime Rate (per 100,000)
706.4
182.9
817.6
262.2
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
Chapel Hill
Carrboro
Federal Bureau of Investigation
70. Violent Crime Rate (1991-2011)
182.9
262.2
416
356.1
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
Chapel Hill Carrboro
Charlottesville Athens
Federal Bureau of Investigation
71. Property Crime Rate (1991-2011)
2627.7
3540.1
3334.5
4160.9
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
Chapel Hill, NC Carrboro, NC
Charlottesville, VA Athens, GA
Federal Bureau of Investigation
72. Orange County Pregnancy Rate
Girls Age 15-17 (per 1000)
NC State Center for Health Statistics
19.0
14.2
50.0
20.8
26.1
11.3
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
White Minority Total
73. Orange County Pregnancy Rate
Girls Age 15-19 (per 1000)
NC State Center for Health Statistics
15.3
5.3
53.6
27.4
36.6
31.9
82.2
55.3
23.1
13.0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
White Minority Af-Am Non-Hispanic Hispanic Total
74. Orange County Infant Mortality Rate
(per 1000 live births)
NC State Center for Health Statistics
12.0
6.1
7.5
2.6
29.7
9.6
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Orange County County: White County: Minority
75. Infant Mortality Rate
(per 1000 live births)
NC State Center for Health Statistics
12.0
6.1
8.8 7.2
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Orange County State
76. Orange County Leading Causes of Death
per 1000 (2010)
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
160.0
180.0
200.0
Orange County
North Carolina
Orange County Department of Health
77. Orange County Racial Disparity for
Leading Causes of Death per 1000 (2010)
0
50
100
150
200
250
Cancer Diseases of Heart Cerebrovascular
Disease
Chronic Lower
Respiratory
Diseases
Diabetes Mellitus
Caucasian Rate
African American, non-Hispanic Rate
Orange County Department of Health
78. Orange County Asthma in Hospital
Discharges (per 1000)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
All Ages
Ages (0-14)
NC State Center for Health Statistics
79. Air Quality:
Orange County Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Sector
Orange County State of the Environment Report
Transportation,
49%
Residential, 1
9%
Commercial/
Institutional, 29
%
Solid
Waste, 1%
Industrial
, 2%
80. Percentage of Obese Adults by County
NC State Center for Health Statistics
20.1%
32.8%
18.6%
28.4%
29.1%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0%
Orange County
Alamance County
Durham County
Wake County
North Carolina
81. Percentage of Adults Who Smoke
NC State Center for Health Statistics
16.3%
29.0%
12.4%
14.1%
21.8%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0%
Orange County
Alamance County
Durham County
Wake County
North Carolina
84. All Cancer Frequency
NC State Center for Health Statistics
498.1
522.5
494.5
489.9
482.5
485.9
460 470 480 490 500 510 520 530
North
Carolina
Alamance
Chatham
Durham
Orange
Wake
85. Female Breast Cancer Frequency
NC State Center for Health Statistics
155.9
160.2
168.9
161.6
172.3
163.8
145 150 155 160 165 170 175
North Carolina
Alamance
Chatham
Durham
Orange
Wake
92. Percentage of Students At or Above Grade
Level on ABCs End-of-Course Tests 2011-12
82.9%
78.7%
83.0%
93.4%
85.2%
87.5%
86.4%
79.0%
87.9%
70.0% 75.0% 80.0% 85.0% 90.0% 95.0%
English I
Algebra I
Biology
OCS
CHCCS
NC
NC Department of Public Instruction
93. Percent of Students Who Passed Both the Reading and
Math ABCs End of Grade Tests (2011-2012)
52.6%
54.2%
54.0%
94.6%
84.1%
84.7%
0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0%
Chapel Hill Carrboro Schools
North Carolina
Orange County Schools
Not Economically Disadvantaged Economically Disadvantaged
NC Department of Public Instruction
94. Percent of Students Who Passed Both the Reading and
Math ABCs End of Grade Tests (2011-2012)
52.6%
94.6%
54.2%
84.1%
54.0%
84.7%
0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0%
Economically Disadvantaged
Not Economically Disadvantaged
Orange County Schools
North Carolina
Chapel Hill Carrboro
Schools
NC Department of Public Instruction
102. Durham Tech Student Performance
80%
83%
87%
88%
96%
97%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120%
Passing Rates on Licensure/Certification Exams
for First Time Test Takers
Perfomance of College Transfer Students
Durham
Tech
System
Average
Standard
Durham Tech 2011-12 Report to the Community
103. Durham Tech Student Improvement
89%
89%
94%
96%
97%
97%
84% 86% 88% 90% 92% 94% 96% 98%
Passing Rates on Licensure/Certification Exams for First
Time Test Takers
Perfomance of College Transfer Students
Business/Industry Satisfaction with Services Provided
2012 Durham Tech
2011 Durham Tech
Durham Tech 2011-12 Report to the Community
104. UNC Chapel Hill’s 29,278 students
(2012)
18,503
8,262
2,513
undergraduate
graduate
professional
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
105. UNC’s 11,900 Employees (Fall 2012)
3,608
8,292
Faculty (Total)
Non-Faculty Staff
(Total)
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
106. UNC Chapel Hill Student Housing by
Location (2012)
8,885 (30%)
18,301 (63%)
807 (3%)
1,144 (4%)
Resident Student Housing
Off-Campus
Fraternity & Sorority
Granville Towers (UNC
Affiliated)
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
107. Percent of Undergrads Housed on
Campus (Fall 2011)
84%
55%
52%
40%
39%
36%
34%
30%
25%
24%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Duke University
UNC- Chapel Hill
University of Virginia
Indiana University Bloomington
University of Michigan
University of California at Los Angeles
North Carolina State University
University Wisconsin at Madison
University of California at Berkeley
East Carolina University
Association of College and University Housing Officers International
109. UNC Chapel Hill Annual Revenue and
Endowment
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
$2.54 Billion
$486 Million
$2.16 Billion
$0
$500,000,000
$1,000,000,000
$1,500,000,000
$2,000,000,000
$2,500,000,000
$3,000,000,000
Total
Revenues
State
Appropriations
Value of
Endowment
110. UNC Chapel Hill Annual Research
Funding (1995-2012)
$275 Million
$767 Million
$0
$100,000,000
$200,000,000
$300,000,000
$400,000,000
$500,000,000
$600,000,000
$700,000,000
$800,000,000
$900,000,000
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
115. Chapel Hill/Orange Co. Hotel Occupancy
Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau
69.9
67.1
65
58.9 59.6
64.1
65.4
67.3
52
54
56
58
60
62
64
66
68
70
72
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 YTD
116. Chapel Hill/ Orange Co Average Daily Rate
Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau
$108.00
$116.37
$114.77
$107.35
$102.12 $101.61
$104.35
$106.71
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 YTD
117. Chapel Hill/Orange Co. Room Revenue
(RevPAR, or revenue per available room, is a performance metric calculated by multiplying a hotel's average daily room rate (ADR) by its occupancy rate. )
$63.3
$60.9
$65.2
$68.3
$71.3
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 YTD
Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau
119. 2012 Taxes Generated by Tourists (in Millions)
• In 2012, visitors to
Orange County
generated 11.85 million
in State and Local Taxes
(including
sales, lodging, food &
beverage, gas and
other)
Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau
$3.31
Million
$8.54
Million
$0.00
$1.00
$2.00
$3.00
$4.00
$5.00
$6.00
$7.00
$8.00
$9.00
Local State
120. State and Local Tax Revenue from
Travel to Orange County (millions)
NC Department of Commerce
$11.85 Million
$4.5 Million
$3
$4
$5
$6
$7
$8
$9
$10
$11
$12
$13
121. Orange County Tourism Related Jobs
1,650
1,280
1,000
1,100
1,200
1,300
1,400
1,500
1,600
1,700
1,800
1,900
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
1994
1993
1992
1991
Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau
127. Orange County Taxable Sales (Millions)
NC Department of Revenue
907.5 million
1.175 Billion
$500,000,000.00
$600,000,000.00
$700,000,000.00
$800,000,000.00
$900,000,000.00
$1,000,000,000.00
$1,100,000,000.00
$1,200,000,000.00
$1,300,000,000.00
128. Orange Co. Gross Sales Tax Collections
NC Department of Revenue
$0
$10,000,000
$20,000,000
$30,000,000
$40,000,000
$50,000,000
$60,000,000
$32.47 Million
$56.14 Million
129. Sales Tax Per Capita
$112.84
$170.35
$123.37
$170.72
$123.36
$184.80
$165.65
$197.87
$100.00
$120.00
$140.00
$160.00
$180.00
$200.00
$220.00
$240.00
$260.00
2011201020092008200720062005
ORANGE ALAMANCE CHATHAM DURHAM
John Locke Foundation
130. 2011 Per Capita Income by County
U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
#1 $48,683 - Orange
#2 $48,191 - Chatham
#6 $42,555 Wake
#9 $38,654 - Durham
$36,028 NC
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
132. 2012 Retail Demand vs Retail Sales
$1.68 Billion
$769 Million
$3 Billion
$1.38 Billion
$1.67 Billion
$950 Million
$533 Million
$2.6 Billion
$1.55 Billion
$1.56 Billion
$0
$500,000,000
$1,000,000,000
$1,500,000,000
$2,000,000,000
$2,500,000,000
$3,000,000,000
$3,500,000,000
Orange County Chatham Durham Alamance Johnston
2012 Total Retail Demand 2012 Total Retail Sales
NC Department of Commerce
133. 2012 Retail Gap
$728 Million
$236 Million
$376 Million
($154 Million)
$60 Million
($200,000,000)
($100,000,000)
$0
$100,000,000
$200,000,000
$300,000,000
$400,000,000
$500,000,000
$600,000,000
$700,000,000
$800,000,000
Orange County Chatham Durham Alamance Johnston
NC Department of Commerce
134. 2012 Retail Gap (Millions)
($250.0) ($200.0) ($150.0) ($100.0) ($50.0) $0.0 $50.0 $100.0 $150.0
General Merchandise Stores
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
Food and Beverage Stores
Clothing/Accessories Stores
Gasoline Stations
Electronics & Appliance Stores
Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores
Health and Personal Care Stores
Chatham
Alamance
Orange
NC Department of Commerce
135. Some takeaways…
• We have a strong, well-educated work force and an
increasingly diverse population.
• Local municipalities share attributes but have also
have differences.
• We are growing and will grow, but slower than our
neighbors as we take a small portion of regional
growth and state population growth.
• We have a large disparity in wealth and continue to
see increases in children in poverty
136. Some takeaways…
• Growth in Chapel Hill and Orange County employed
residents and growth in retail sales indicate
economic improvement.
• A reliable, high quality water system is expensive
• Housing prices have held steady, are ahead of our
peers, but price per square foot is declining.
• The rental market is growing and lack of supply is
driving rates up quickly
137. Some takeaways…
• Fewer Orange County residents are working in the
county with in and out commute both increasing
• Our two school districts continue to out perform their
peers and state averages
• Minority student achievement is on the
rise, specifically in Orange County Schools
• Tourism and visitor spending are strong and growing .
• Orange County per capita income is the highest and
unemployment is the lowest in the state, but per
capita retails sales continues to lag substantially as the
retail gap grows
138. Some takeaways…
• Wealth migration has negative impact on Orange
County, but a positive impact on our neighbors
• UNC and UNC Hospitals are key to our economy
and their decline in state funding can have big
negative impacts.
• Our economy and community are resilient. We
were late into the recession and first out.
139. Connect With Us
• Facebook.com/ChapelHillCarrboroChamber
• Twitter: @CarolinaChamber
• Flickr.com/photos/carolinachamber
• LinkedIn: Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber group
• SlideShare: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber
• www.carolinachamber.org