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2013 STATE OF THE
COMMUNITY REPORT
Paige Zinn
Principal, Jennings
Board Chair, Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber of Commerce
Use #CHCSOTC
If you’re tweeting this event
Lacy Presnell
General Counsel, NC Department of Energy & Natural Resources
Board Chair, Triangle Community Foundation
Provost Jim Dean
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
Aaron Nelson, President and CEO
Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber of Commerce
Presenting Sponsor
Gold Sponsors
Bronze Sponsor
Fordham Blvd./Meadowmont
Breakfast Sponsor
Background on this Report
• Our Sixth State of the Community Report
• Born out of graduate student research at UNC
• Social, Economic, and Health Indicators
• Objective: deliver relevant information to
community and business leaders
• Chamber + The Partnership
The Partnership
• Chamber’s Community and Economic
Development Partner
– Community Leadership Development
– Non-Profit Incubation and Fiscal Agency
– Community Convening/Problem Solving
– Research and Information Sharing
– Fourth Sector and Social Enterprise support
Demography
Community Population
Jurisdiction 2000 2012 Pop Growth Growth Rate
Orange
County
116,016 137,941 + 21,925 18.9% OR 1.6%/year
Hillsborough 5,513 6,271 +758 13.8% OR 1.1%/year
Carrboro 17,668 20,433 +2,765 15.6% OR 1.3%/year
Chapel Hill 48,038 58,424 +10,386 21.6% OR 1.8%/year
North
Carolina
8,078,824 9,752,073 +1,673,249 20.7% OR 1.7/year
U.S. Census Bureau
U.S. Census Bureau
Population Growth
116,016
138,575
17,668
20,433
48,038 58,433
5,513 6,271
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Orange County Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough
Population Projections
County 2015 2020
Growth Rate
(vs 2010)
2025
Growth Rate
(vs 2010)
ALAMANCE 156,395 162,004 +10,535 (7.0%) 167,614 +16,145 (10.7%)
CHATHAM 70,484 77,045 +13,294 (20.9%) 83,607 +19,856 (31.1%)
DURHAM 303,060 338,505 +67,208 (24.8%) 373,568 +102,271 (37.7%)
JOHNSTON 181,450 192,471 +22,839 (13.5%) 203,490 +33,858 (20.0%)
ORANGE 144,960 155,555 +21,253 (15.8%) 166,215 +31,913 (23.8%)
WAKE 1,008,721 1,114,464 +207,556 (22.9%) 1,220,207 +313,299 (34.5%)
NC Office of State Budget and Management
6.2% of 517,342 in projected 6-
county growth
2.0% of projected state growth
Orange County Population by Race
Black or African
American
alone, 12.2%
American Indian
and Alaska Native
alone, 0.6%
Asian
alone, percent, 7.3
%
Two or More
Races, 2.5%Hispanic or
Latino, 8.2%
White alone, not
Hispanic or
Latino, 70.3%
U.S. Census Bureau
2012 Orange County Population by Race
U.S. Census Bureau
80.1%
70.3%
15.7%
12.2%
0.3%
8.2%2.5%
7.3%0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
1990 2000 2010 2012
White African American Latino/Hispanic Asian
Minority Races by Municipality (2012)
2.9% 2.7% 2.5% 2.0%
10.1% 9.7%
12.2%
22.0%
8.2%
11.9%
7.3%
2.5%
13.8%
6.4%
8.2% 8.7%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
Carrboro Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina
Two or More Races Black Asian Hispanic or Latino
U.S. Census Bureau
Educational Attainment (2012)
U.S. Census Bureau
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
80.00%
90.00%
100.00%
High School Graduate (or higher) Bachelors Degree (or higher)
90.1%
54.6%
84.1%
26.5%
85.4%
28.2%
Orange County
North Carolina
United States
Educational Attainment (2012)
U.S. Census Bureau
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
80.00%
90.00%
100.00%
High School Graduate (or
higher)
Bachelors Degree (or
higher)
90.6%
62.4%
94.1%
73.2%
90.1%
54.6%
Carrboro
Chapel Hill
Orange County
Orange County Income Levels by Household
U.S. Census Bureau
Less than
$10,000
9%
$10,000 to
$34,999
24%
$35,000 to
$74,999
26%
$75,000 to
$99,999
13%
$100,000 to
$149,999
12%
$150,000 to
$199,999
7%
$200,000+
9%
2011 Per Capita Income by County
U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
#1 $48,683 - Orange
#2 $48,191 - Chatham
#6 $42,555 Wake
#9 $38,654 - Durham
$36,028 NC
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
Per Capita Liquor Sales FY12
$0.00
$50.00
$100.00
$150.00
$200.00
$250.00
$300.00
$350.00
$400.00
$450.00
ABC Board through Business NC
Orange 12th
Wake 20th
Durham 25th
Chatham 48th
Alamance 53rd
Living
Location of Orange County Housing Units
9,258 (16%)
2,593 (5%)
22,254 (40%)
21,492 (39%)
Carrboro Hillsborough Chapel Hill Rest of County
U.S. Census Bureau
Percent Renter-Occupied
61.5%
35.9%
52.4%
18.1%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Carrboro
Hillsborough
Chapel Hill
Rest of Orange County
U.S. Census Bureau
Home Ownership Rate (2011)
35.5%
49.1%
60.2%
67.8% 66.1%
Carrboro Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina USA
U.S. Census Bureau
Number of Homes Sold in Orange County
Triangle Multiple Listing Service
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
1543
1686
1859 1886
1797 1749
1271
1140 1142 1126
1257
Orange County Average Residential
Closing Prices
Triangle Multiple Listing Service
$0
$50,000
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
$250,000
$300,000
$350,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
$262,920
$342,740
$321,326
$317,847
$329,918
$325,020
$319,229
Residential Building Permits
Home Builders Association of Durham, Orange, & Chatham
* Through July 2013
54
5
135
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013*
Carrboro
Chapel Hill
Orange County (incl. Hillsborough)
Chapel Hill-Carrboro School District
Median Sales Price per Sq Ft
Triangle Multiple Listing Service
$164
$160
$157
$154
$149
$146
135
140
145
150
155
160
165
170
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
2012 Average Home Price per Square Foot
Triangle Multiple Listing Service
$0.00
$20.00
$40.00
$60.00
$80.00
$100.00
$120.00
$140.00
Durham Wake Chatham Orange
$93.97
$106.14
$121.93
$134.05
2012 Average Home Price by County
Triangle Multiple Listing Service
$0
$50,000
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
$250,000
$300,000
$350,000
Durham Wake Chatham Orange
$191,044
$251,665
$303,581 $319,229
OC Housing Gross Rent
1%
1%
6%
32%
31%
16%
8%
1%
1%
4%
23%
38%
21%
14%
0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 30.00% 35.00% 40.00%
Less than $200
$200 to $299
$300 to $499
$500 to $749
$750 to $999
$1,000 to $1,499
$1,500 or more
2011
2007
U.S Census Bureau
Orange County Gross Rent as a Percent
of Household Income
7.7%
10.4%
8.4%
7.3%
9.0%
49.8%
9.9%
10.0%
13.2%
8.9%
5.6%
52.3%
0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00%
Less than 15.0 percent
15.0 to 19.9 percent
20.0 to 24.9 percent
25.0 to 29.9 percent
30.0 to 34.9 percent
35.0 percent or more
2011
2007
U.S Census Bureau
Commuting
43,298 Live outside Orange County and drive in for work
39,603 Live in Orange County and drive out of the county for work
21,454 Live in Orange County and work in Orange County
U.S. Census Bureau
39,540 33,85020,662
Commuting to Primary Jobs (2011)
6,909 6,726
3,432
11,726
15,034
6,821
18,398
18,756
9,857
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
Drive out for work Drive in for work Live and work here
> $40,000
$15,000-$40,000
<%15,000
U.S. Census Bureau
Orange County Workers’ Commuting
Patterns 2002-2011
33.20%
41.70%
66.8%
58.3%
25.00%
30.00%
35.00%
40.00%
45.00%
50.00%
55.00%
60.00%
65.00%
70.00%
2011201020092008200720062005200420032002
Employed and Living in the Selection Area
Employed in the Selection Area but Living Outside
U.S. Census Bureau
Orange County Residents’ Commuting
(2002-2012)
35.2%
45.1%
64.8%
54.9%
25.00%
30.00%
35.00%
40.00%
45.00%
50.00%
55.00%
60.00%
65.00%
70.00%
2011201020092008200720062005200420032002
Living and Employed in the Selection Area
Living in the Selection Area but Employed Outside
U.S. Census Bureau
Percent of Town of Chapel Hill
Employees Living in Chapel Hill Zip Codes
41%
30%
27%
22%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
1995 2004 2008 2010
Chapel Hill Data Book
Distribution of UNC Chapel Hill’s
11,900 employees by home address
5820
2276
12421158 593
85 72 60 31 13
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
Orange County Commuting to Work
Drove
Alone, 66.8%
Carpooled, 9.5
%
Public
Transportation
8.3%
Walked, 5.3%
Other
means, 3.8%
Work at
home, 6.4%
U.S. Census Bureau
Mean Travel Time to Work (Minutes)
U.S. Census Bureau
21.921.4
25.425.3
23.4
23.2
19.3
21
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
2011 Estimate2010 Estimate2009 Estimate2008 Estimate2007 Estimate
Orange County United States North Carolina Chapel Hill Carrboro
Chapel Hill Transit Ridership (millions)
3.01
7.29 6.97
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
FY 01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12
Chapel Hill Transit
Wealth Migration
Orange County Wealth Migration
1992-2010
Net Loss of $49.97 Million in Adjusted Gross Income
Analysis of IRS Data
Orange County (NC)
Wealth Migration 1992-2010
Gained Wealth
Santa Clara
County, CA
$15.7 million
Cook County, IL
$13.8 million
Fairfax
County, VA
$15.6 million
Westchester
County, NY
$17.7 million
Fairfield
County, CT
$15.8 million
Analysis of IRS Data
Chatham
County
$179 million
Alamance
County
$86.6 million
Durham
County
$83.1 million
Wake County
$74 million
Fulton
County, Georgi
a
$10.3 million
Orange County (NC)
Wealth Migration 1992-2010
Lost Wealth
Analysis of IRS Data
Chatham County Wealth Migration
1992-2010
GAINED WEALTH FROM:
• Wake NC ($202 million)
• Orange NC ($179 million)
• Durham NC ($73 million)
• Fairfax, VA ($20 million)
• Santa Clara CA ($18 million)
Net Gain of $1.14 billion in Adjusted Gross Income
Analysis of IRS Data
Poverty
Percent of Persons Living Below
Poverty Level (2011)
16.8%
22.1%
16.9% 16.1%
14.3%
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
Carrboro Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina USA
U.S Census Bureau
Poverty and College Students
55
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
College Students in Poverty
Percentage of Residents in Poverty (excluding college students)
Source: U.S. Census 2010
Percent of Economically Disadvantaged Students
(Formerly Free or Reduced Lunch)
N.C Dept of Public Instruction
32.6% 31.9%
39.8%
41.6%
21.7% 22.2%
23.5%
26.5%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12
Orange County
CHCCS
Percent of CHCCS Students
Receiving Free and Reduced Lunch (2011-12)
N.C Dept of Public Instruction
23%
19%
25%
19%
47%
29%
18%
50%
23% 24% 26%
39%
23%
27%
23%
25%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
N.C Dept of Public Instruction
Percent of Orange County Schools Students Receiving
Free and Reduced Lunch (2011-12)
45%
37%
27%
83%
33%
65%
42% 42%
17%
59%
37%
49%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Orange County Families Receiving Food and
Nutrition Services (Formerly Food Stamps)
NC Division of Social Services
3088
6304
5137
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Jul-12 Nov-12 Apr-13 Jun-13
Working
Unemployment Over Time
NC Department of Commerce
5.8
5.4 5.54.3
6.7
6.2 5.9
6.6
10.9 10.5
9.5 9.3
-
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
June
Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina
Chapel Hill Residents Employed
NC Department of Commerce
22,291
28,701
20,000
21,000
22,000
23,000
24,000
25,000
26,000
27,000
28,000
29,000
30,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Jun-13
CH Employed
Orange County Residents Employment
NC Department of Commerce
62,438
70,377
60,000
62,000
64,000
66,000
68,000
70,000
72,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Jun-13
Unemployed Individuals
NC Department of Commerce
2,807
4,794
1,000
1,841
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Jun-13
Orange County Chapel Hill
Projected New Job Growth 2009-2014
153
266
736
259
1,845
2,045
124
481
185
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500
Construction
Information
Prof/Scientific/Tech Services
Admin/Supp/Waste Mgmt Services
Educational Services
Health Care/Social Services
Arts/Entertainment/Rec
Accommodation/Food Services
Public Administration
NC Department of Commerce
Incubation and Start Up
Opened Facility Size
Enterprises serving in
2013
Mid Way Business
Center
2001 5,000 sq ft 11
Piedmont Food & Ag
Processing Center
Oct 2011 10,400 sq ft 37
The Cube
(UNC- Campus Y)
Feb 2012 1,500 sq ft 18
LaUNCh Chapel Hill Feb 2013 3,300 sq ft 16
EntreDot Feb 2013 4,000 sq ft 30
1789 May 2013 3,500 sq ft 15
TOTALS 27,700 sq ft 127 enterprises
Health and Safety
Property Crime Rate (per 100,000)
Federal Bureau of Investigation
7095.1
2627.7
8209.6
3540.1
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
Chapel Hill
Carrboro
Violent Crime Rate (per 100,000)
706.4
182.9
817.6
262.2
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
Chapel Hill
Carrboro
Federal Bureau of Investigation
Violent Crime Rate (1991-2011)
182.9
262.2
416
356.1
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
Chapel Hill Carrboro
Charlottesville Athens
Federal Bureau of Investigation
Property Crime Rate (1991-2011)
2627.7
3540.1
3334.5
4160.9
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
Chapel Hill, NC Carrboro, NC
Charlottesville, VA Athens, GA
Federal Bureau of Investigation
Orange County Pregnancy Rate
Girls Age 15-17 (per 1000)
NC State Center for Health Statistics
19.0
14.2
50.0
20.8
26.1
11.3
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
White Minority Total
Orange County Pregnancy Rate
Girls Age 15-19 (per 1000)
NC State Center for Health Statistics
15.3
5.3
53.6
27.4
36.6
31.9
82.2
55.3
23.1
13.0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
White Minority Af-Am Non-Hispanic Hispanic Total
Orange County Infant Mortality Rate
(per 1000 live births)
NC State Center for Health Statistics
12.0
6.1
7.5
2.6
29.7
9.6
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Orange County County: White County: Minority
Infant Mortality Rate
(per 1000 live births)
NC State Center for Health Statistics
12.0
6.1
8.8 7.2
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Orange County State
Orange County Leading Causes of Death
per 1000 (2010)
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
160.0
180.0
200.0
Orange County
North Carolina
Orange County Department of Health
Orange County Racial Disparity for
Leading Causes of Death per 1000 (2010)
0
50
100
150
200
250
Cancer Diseases of Heart Cerebrovascular
Disease
Chronic Lower
Respiratory
Diseases
Diabetes Mellitus
Caucasian Rate
African American, non-Hispanic Rate
Orange County Department of Health
Orange County Asthma in Hospital
Discharges (per 1000)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
All Ages
Ages (0-14)
NC State Center for Health Statistics
Air Quality:
Orange County Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Sector
Orange County State of the Environment Report
Transportation,
49%
Residential, 1
9%
Commercial/
Institutional, 29
%
Solid
Waste, 1%
Industrial
, 2%
Percentage of Obese Adults by County
NC State Center for Health Statistics
20.1%
32.8%
18.6%
28.4%
29.1%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0%
Orange County
Alamance County
Durham County
Wake County
North Carolina
Percentage of Adults Who Smoke
NC State Center for Health Statistics
16.3%
29.0%
12.4%
14.1%
21.8%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0%
Orange County
Alamance County
Durham County
Wake County
North Carolina
Lung/Bronchus Cancer Rate
74.8
76.5
63.3
69
61.4
59.5
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
North Carolina
Alamance
Chatham
Durham
Orange
Wake
NC State Center for Health Statistics
Prostate Cancer Rate
153.7
168.7
141.6
166.9
141.8
178.8
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200
North Carolina
Alamance
Chatham
Durham
Orange
Wake
NC State Center for Health Statistics
All Cancer Frequency
NC State Center for Health Statistics
498.1
522.5
494.5
489.9
482.5
485.9
460 470 480 490 500 510 520 530
North
Carolina
Alamance
Chatham
Durham
Orange
Wake
Female Breast Cancer Frequency
NC State Center for Health Statistics
155.9
160.2
168.9
161.6
172.3
163.8
145 150 155 160 165 170 175
North Carolina
Alamance
Chatham
Durham
Orange
Wake
Thirsty?
Water Sales and Accounts
Monthly Water & Sewer Bills
Education
School Funding Sources
$4,971
$5,311
$5,355
$5,075
$3,128
$1,904
$503
$915
$1,158
$0 $2,000 $4,000 $6,000 $8,000 $10,000 $12,000
CHCCS District
OCS District
State Average
State Funding
Local Funding
Federal Funding
NC Department of Public Instruction
91
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
Local Government (County and City School District) Federal Government State Government
NC Department of Public Instruction
Per Pupil Funding by School District
Chapel Hill ranks second to Asheville in per pupil funding
Percentage of Students At or Above Grade
Level on ABCs End-of-Course Tests 2011-12
82.9%
78.7%
83.0%
93.4%
85.2%
87.5%
86.4%
79.0%
87.9%
70.0% 75.0% 80.0% 85.0% 90.0% 95.0%
English I
Algebra I
Biology
OCS
CHCCS
NC
NC Department of Public Instruction
Percent of Students Who Passed Both the Reading and
Math ABCs End of Grade Tests (2011-2012)
52.6%
54.2%
54.0%
94.6%
84.1%
84.7%
0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0%
Chapel Hill Carrboro Schools
North Carolina
Orange County Schools
Not Economically Disadvantaged Economically Disadvantaged
NC Department of Public Instruction
Percent of Students Who Passed Both the Reading and
Math ABCs End of Grade Tests (2011-2012)
52.6%
94.6%
54.2%
84.1%
54.0%
84.7%
0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0%
Economically Disadvantaged
Not Economically Disadvantaged
Orange County Schools
North Carolina
Chapel Hill Carrboro
Schools
NC Department of Public Instruction
High School Graduation Rates
N.C. Dept of Public Instruction
92.3%
93.5%
69.1%
87.4%
70.3%
83.1%
60.0%
65.0%
70.0%
75.0%
80.0%
85.0%
90.0%
95.0%
100.0%
2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10
CHCCS 4-year CHCCS 5-year OCS 4-year OCS 5-year NC 4-year NC 5-year
School District Dropout Rate
N.C. Dept of Public Instruction
5.20%
2.46%
1.92%
1.02%
5.71%
3.01%
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
OCS Rate CHCCS Rate NC Rate
Hispanic Student 4-Year Graduation Rates
N.C. Dept of Public Instruction
64.5%
77.6%
36.4%
79.7%
52.3%
75.3%
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
CHCCS OCS NC
Orange County Schools 4-Year
Graduation Rate by Race
72.1%
83.3%
55.3%
80.5%
36.4%
79.7%
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
100.0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
White Black Hispanic
NC Department of Public Instruction
Chapel Hill Carrboro City Schools
4-Year Graduation Rate By Race
94.6% 95%
73.6%
81.2%
64.5%
77.6%
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
White Black Hispanic
NC Department of Public Instruction
Higher Education
Durham Tech Student Performance
80%
83%
87%
88%
96%
97%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120%
Passing Rates on Licensure/Certification Exams
for First Time Test Takers
Perfomance of College Transfer Students
Durham
Tech
System
Average
Standard
Durham Tech 2011-12 Report to the Community
Durham Tech Student Improvement
89%
89%
94%
96%
97%
97%
84% 86% 88% 90% 92% 94% 96% 98%
Passing Rates on Licensure/Certification Exams for First
Time Test Takers
Perfomance of College Transfer Students
Business/Industry Satisfaction with Services Provided
2012 Durham Tech
2011 Durham Tech
Durham Tech 2011-12 Report to the Community
UNC Chapel Hill’s 29,278 students
(2012)
18,503
8,262
2,513
undergraduate
graduate
professional
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
UNC’s 11,900 Employees (Fall 2012)
3,608
8,292
Faculty (Total)
Non-Faculty Staff
(Total)
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
UNC Chapel Hill Student Housing by
Location (2012)
8,885 (30%)
18,301 (63%)
807 (3%)
1,144 (4%)
Resident Student Housing
Off-Campus
Fraternity & Sorority
Granville Towers (UNC
Affiliated)
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
Percent of Undergrads Housed on
Campus (Fall 2011)
84%
55%
52%
40%
39%
36%
34%
30%
25%
24%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Duke University
UNC- Chapel Hill
University of Virginia
Indiana University Bloomington
University of Michigan
University of California at Los Angeles
North Carolina State University
University Wisconsin at Madison
University of California at Berkeley
East Carolina University
Association of College and University Housing Officers International
State Appropriations (UNC Chapel Hill)
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
$107,782,727
$543,291,852
$486,492,294
$0
$100,000,000
$200,000,000
$300,000,000
$400,000,000
$500,000,000
$600,000,000
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
UNC Chapel Hill Annual Revenue and
Endowment
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
$2.54 Billion
$486 Million
$2.16 Billion
$0
$500,000,000
$1,000,000,000
$1,500,000,000
$2,000,000,000
$2,500,000,000
$3,000,000,000
Total
Revenues
State
Appropriations
Value of
Endowment
UNC Chapel Hill Annual Research
Funding (1995-2012)
$275 Million
$767 Million
$0
$100,000,000
$200,000,000
$300,000,000
$400,000,000
$500,000,000
$600,000,000
$700,000,000
$800,000,000
$900,000,000
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
UNC Chapel Hill Gross Square Feet
(2000-2012)
12,311,526
18,833,503
10,000,000
11,000,000
12,000,000
13,000,000
14,000,000
15,000,000
16,000,000
17,000,000
18,000,000
19,000,000
20,000,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
UNC Chapel Hill’s 56 Start-Up
Companies
UNC Office of Technology Development
3 3
1
6
1
7
1
5
7
9
13
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
UNC Chapel Hill Patents
UNC Office of Technology Development
143
25
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
U.S. Patent Applications U.S. Patents Issued
Let’s Welcome
Some Visitors
Anthony Carey, GM, Siena Hotel
Chair, Chapel Hill-Orange County
Visitors Bureau
Chapel Hill/Orange Co. Hotel Occupancy
Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau
69.9
67.1
65
58.9 59.6
64.1
65.4
67.3
52
54
56
58
60
62
64
66
68
70
72
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 YTD
Chapel Hill/ Orange Co Average Daily Rate
Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau
$108.00
$116.37
$114.77
$107.35
$102.12 $101.61
$104.35
$106.71
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 YTD
Chapel Hill/Orange Co. Room Revenue
(RevPAR, or revenue per available room, is a performance metric calculated by multiplying a hotel's average daily room rate (ADR) by its occupancy rate. )
$63.3
$60.9
$65.2
$68.3
$71.3
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 YTD
Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau
Orange County
Tourism Spending (millions)
NC Department of Commerce
$108.51
$152.22
$161.60
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
$160
$180
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
2012 Taxes Generated by Tourists (in Millions)
• In 2012, visitors to
Orange County
generated 11.85 million
in State and Local Taxes
(including
sales, lodging, food &
beverage, gas and
other)
Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau
$3.31
Million
$8.54
Million
$0.00
$1.00
$2.00
$3.00
$4.00
$5.00
$6.00
$7.00
$8.00
$9.00
Local State
State and Local Tax Revenue from
Travel to Orange County (millions)
NC Department of Commerce
$11.85 Million
$4.5 Million
$3
$4
$5
$6
$7
$8
$9
$10
$11
$12
$13
Orange County Tourism Related Jobs
1,650
1,280
1,000
1,100
1,200
1,300
1,400
1,500
1,600
1,700
1,800
1,900
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
1994
1993
1992
1991
Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau
Marketing Orange County
As seen in The New Yorker As Seen in Conde Nast Traveler
Marketing Orange County
As seen in Our State Magazine As seen in Wired magazine
Taxes and Revenue
Percent of Orange County Residential
vs Commercial Property
86.0% 85.9% 86.1% 86.8% 87.2% 86.8%
14.0% 14.1% 13.9% 13.2% 12.8% 13.2%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Residental + Apartments Commercial
Orange County Tax Administration
126
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
1.2%
1.4%
1.6%
1.8%
Special School District Tax City or Town Tax County Tax
Composition of Property Tax Rates
NC Department of Revenue
Orange County Taxable Sales (Millions)
NC Department of Revenue
907.5 million
1.175 Billion
$500,000,000.00
$600,000,000.00
$700,000,000.00
$800,000,000.00
$900,000,000.00
$1,000,000,000.00
$1,100,000,000.00
$1,200,000,000.00
$1,300,000,000.00
Orange Co. Gross Sales Tax Collections
NC Department of Revenue
$0
$10,000,000
$20,000,000
$30,000,000
$40,000,000
$50,000,000
$60,000,000
$32.47 Million
$56.14 Million
Sales Tax Per Capita
$112.84
$170.35
$123.37
$170.72
$123.36
$184.80
$165.65
$197.87
$100.00
$120.00
$140.00
$160.00
$180.00
$200.00
$220.00
$240.00
$260.00
2011201020092008200720062005
ORANGE ALAMANCE CHATHAM DURHAM
John Locke Foundation
2011 Per Capita Income by County
U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
#1 $48,683 - Orange
#2 $48,191 - Chatham
#6 $42,555 Wake
#9 $38,654 - Durham
$36,028 NC
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
Sales Tax Per Capita Rankings
65
76
54
73
55
54
17
39
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
201120102008200720062005
ORANGE
ALAMANCE
CHATHAM
DURHAM
John Locke Foundation
2012 Retail Demand vs Retail Sales
$1.68 Billion
$769 Million
$3 Billion
$1.38 Billion
$1.67 Billion
$950 Million
$533 Million
$2.6 Billion
$1.55 Billion
$1.56 Billion
$0
$500,000,000
$1,000,000,000
$1,500,000,000
$2,000,000,000
$2,500,000,000
$3,000,000,000
$3,500,000,000
Orange County Chatham Durham Alamance Johnston
2012 Total Retail Demand 2012 Total Retail Sales
NC Department of Commerce
2012 Retail Gap
$728 Million
$236 Million
$376 Million
($154 Million)
$60 Million
($200,000,000)
($100,000,000)
$0
$100,000,000
$200,000,000
$300,000,000
$400,000,000
$500,000,000
$600,000,000
$700,000,000
$800,000,000
Orange County Chatham Durham Alamance Johnston
NC Department of Commerce
2012 Retail Gap (Millions)
($250.0) ($200.0) ($150.0) ($100.0) ($50.0) $0.0 $50.0 $100.0 $150.0
General Merchandise Stores
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
Food and Beverage Stores
Clothing/Accessories Stores
Gasoline Stations
Electronics & Appliance Stores
Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores
Health and Personal Care Stores
Chatham
Alamance
Orange
NC Department of Commerce
Some takeaways…
• We have a strong, well-educated work force and an
increasingly diverse population.
• Local municipalities share attributes but have also
have differences.
• We are growing and will grow, but slower than our
neighbors as we take a small portion of regional
growth and state population growth.
• We have a large disparity in wealth and continue to
see increases in children in poverty
Some takeaways…
• Growth in Chapel Hill and Orange County employed
residents and growth in retail sales indicate
economic improvement.
• A reliable, high quality water system is expensive
• Housing prices have held steady, are ahead of our
peers, but price per square foot is declining.
• The rental market is growing and lack of supply is
driving rates up quickly
Some takeaways…
• Fewer Orange County residents are working in the
county with in and out commute both increasing
• Our two school districts continue to out perform their
peers and state averages
• Minority student achievement is on the
rise, specifically in Orange County Schools
• Tourism and visitor spending are strong and growing .
• Orange County per capita income is the highest and
unemployment is the lowest in the state, but per
capita retails sales continues to lag substantially as the
retail gap grows
Some takeaways…
• Wealth migration has negative impact on Orange
County, but a positive impact on our neighbors
• UNC and UNC Hospitals are key to our economy
and their decline in state funding can have big
negative impacts.
• Our economy and community are resilient. We
were late into the recession and first out.
Connect With Us
• Facebook.com/ChapelHillCarrboroChamber
• Twitter: @CarolinaChamber
• Flickr.com/photos/carolinachamber
• LinkedIn: Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber group
• SlideShare: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber
• www.carolinachamber.org
slideshare.net/carolinachamber
Check the Chamber’s SlideShare
account for the entire presentation.
Presenting Sponsor
slideshare.net/carolinachamber
Check the Chamber’s SlideShare
account for the entire presentation.
Table Sponsors
• Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors
Bureau
• Town of Carrboro
• The Home Team
• Orange County Economic
Development
Community Champions
Community Investor
Platinum Master Sponsors
Gold Master Sponsors
Gold Master Sponsors

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2013 State of the Community Report

  • 1. 2013 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  • 2. Paige Zinn Principal, Jennings Board Chair, Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber of Commerce
  • 3. Use #CHCSOTC If you’re tweeting this event
  • 4. Lacy Presnell General Counsel, NC Department of Energy & Natural Resources Board Chair, Triangle Community Foundation
  • 5. Provost Jim Dean University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
  • 6. Aaron Nelson, President and CEO Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber of Commerce
  • 11. Background on this Report • Our Sixth State of the Community Report • Born out of graduate student research at UNC • Social, Economic, and Health Indicators • Objective: deliver relevant information to community and business leaders • Chamber + The Partnership
  • 12. The Partnership • Chamber’s Community and Economic Development Partner – Community Leadership Development – Non-Profit Incubation and Fiscal Agency – Community Convening/Problem Solving – Research and Information Sharing – Fourth Sector and Social Enterprise support
  • 14. Community Population Jurisdiction 2000 2012 Pop Growth Growth Rate Orange County 116,016 137,941 + 21,925 18.9% OR 1.6%/year Hillsborough 5,513 6,271 +758 13.8% OR 1.1%/year Carrboro 17,668 20,433 +2,765 15.6% OR 1.3%/year Chapel Hill 48,038 58,424 +10,386 21.6% OR 1.8%/year North Carolina 8,078,824 9,752,073 +1,673,249 20.7% OR 1.7/year U.S. Census Bureau
  • 15. U.S. Census Bureau Population Growth 116,016 138,575 17,668 20,433 48,038 58,433 5,513 6,271 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Orange County Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough
  • 16. Population Projections County 2015 2020 Growth Rate (vs 2010) 2025 Growth Rate (vs 2010) ALAMANCE 156,395 162,004 +10,535 (7.0%) 167,614 +16,145 (10.7%) CHATHAM 70,484 77,045 +13,294 (20.9%) 83,607 +19,856 (31.1%) DURHAM 303,060 338,505 +67,208 (24.8%) 373,568 +102,271 (37.7%) JOHNSTON 181,450 192,471 +22,839 (13.5%) 203,490 +33,858 (20.0%) ORANGE 144,960 155,555 +21,253 (15.8%) 166,215 +31,913 (23.8%) WAKE 1,008,721 1,114,464 +207,556 (22.9%) 1,220,207 +313,299 (34.5%) NC Office of State Budget and Management 6.2% of 517,342 in projected 6- county growth 2.0% of projected state growth
  • 17. Orange County Population by Race Black or African American alone, 12.2% American Indian and Alaska Native alone, 0.6% Asian alone, percent, 7.3 % Two or More Races, 2.5%Hispanic or Latino, 8.2% White alone, not Hispanic or Latino, 70.3% U.S. Census Bureau
  • 18. 2012 Orange County Population by Race U.S. Census Bureau 80.1% 70.3% 15.7% 12.2% 0.3% 8.2%2.5% 7.3%0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 1990 2000 2010 2012 White African American Latino/Hispanic Asian
  • 19. Minority Races by Municipality (2012) 2.9% 2.7% 2.5% 2.0% 10.1% 9.7% 12.2% 22.0% 8.2% 11.9% 7.3% 2.5% 13.8% 6.4% 8.2% 8.7% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% Carrboro Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina Two or More Races Black Asian Hispanic or Latino U.S. Census Bureau
  • 20. Educational Attainment (2012) U.S. Census Bureau 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% 80.00% 90.00% 100.00% High School Graduate (or higher) Bachelors Degree (or higher) 90.1% 54.6% 84.1% 26.5% 85.4% 28.2% Orange County North Carolina United States
  • 21. Educational Attainment (2012) U.S. Census Bureau 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% 80.00% 90.00% 100.00% High School Graduate (or higher) Bachelors Degree (or higher) 90.6% 62.4% 94.1% 73.2% 90.1% 54.6% Carrboro Chapel Hill Orange County
  • 22. Orange County Income Levels by Household U.S. Census Bureau Less than $10,000 9% $10,000 to $34,999 24% $35,000 to $74,999 26% $75,000 to $99,999 13% $100,000 to $149,999 12% $150,000 to $199,999 7% $200,000+ 9%
  • 23. 2011 Per Capita Income by County U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis #1 $48,683 - Orange #2 $48,191 - Chatham #6 $42,555 Wake #9 $38,654 - Durham $36,028 NC 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000
  • 24. Per Capita Liquor Sales FY12 $0.00 $50.00 $100.00 $150.00 $200.00 $250.00 $300.00 $350.00 $400.00 $450.00 ABC Board through Business NC Orange 12th Wake 20th Durham 25th Chatham 48th Alamance 53rd
  • 26. Location of Orange County Housing Units 9,258 (16%) 2,593 (5%) 22,254 (40%) 21,492 (39%) Carrboro Hillsborough Chapel Hill Rest of County U.S. Census Bureau
  • 27. Percent Renter-Occupied 61.5% 35.9% 52.4% 18.1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Carrboro Hillsborough Chapel Hill Rest of Orange County U.S. Census Bureau
  • 28. Home Ownership Rate (2011) 35.5% 49.1% 60.2% 67.8% 66.1% Carrboro Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina USA U.S. Census Bureau
  • 29. Number of Homes Sold in Orange County Triangle Multiple Listing Service 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 1543 1686 1859 1886 1797 1749 1271 1140 1142 1126 1257
  • 30. Orange County Average Residential Closing Prices Triangle Multiple Listing Service $0 $50,000 $100,000 $150,000 $200,000 $250,000 $300,000 $350,000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 $262,920 $342,740 $321,326 $317,847 $329,918 $325,020 $319,229
  • 31. Residential Building Permits Home Builders Association of Durham, Orange, & Chatham * Through July 2013 54 5 135 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013* Carrboro Chapel Hill Orange County (incl. Hillsborough)
  • 32. Chapel Hill-Carrboro School District Median Sales Price per Sq Ft Triangle Multiple Listing Service $164 $160 $157 $154 $149 $146 135 140 145 150 155 160 165 170 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
  • 33. 2012 Average Home Price per Square Foot Triangle Multiple Listing Service $0.00 $20.00 $40.00 $60.00 $80.00 $100.00 $120.00 $140.00 Durham Wake Chatham Orange $93.97 $106.14 $121.93 $134.05
  • 34. 2012 Average Home Price by County Triangle Multiple Listing Service $0 $50,000 $100,000 $150,000 $200,000 $250,000 $300,000 $350,000 Durham Wake Chatham Orange $191,044 $251,665 $303,581 $319,229
  • 35. OC Housing Gross Rent 1% 1% 6% 32% 31% 16% 8% 1% 1% 4% 23% 38% 21% 14% 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 30.00% 35.00% 40.00% Less than $200 $200 to $299 $300 to $499 $500 to $749 $750 to $999 $1,000 to $1,499 $1,500 or more 2011 2007 U.S Census Bureau
  • 36. Orange County Gross Rent as a Percent of Household Income 7.7% 10.4% 8.4% 7.3% 9.0% 49.8% 9.9% 10.0% 13.2% 8.9% 5.6% 52.3% 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% Less than 15.0 percent 15.0 to 19.9 percent 20.0 to 24.9 percent 25.0 to 29.9 percent 30.0 to 34.9 percent 35.0 percent or more 2011 2007 U.S Census Bureau
  • 38. 43,298 Live outside Orange County and drive in for work 39,603 Live in Orange County and drive out of the county for work 21,454 Live in Orange County and work in Orange County U.S. Census Bureau 39,540 33,85020,662
  • 39. Commuting to Primary Jobs (2011) 6,909 6,726 3,432 11,726 15,034 6,821 18,398 18,756 9,857 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 Drive out for work Drive in for work Live and work here > $40,000 $15,000-$40,000 <%15,000 U.S. Census Bureau
  • 40. Orange County Workers’ Commuting Patterns 2002-2011 33.20% 41.70% 66.8% 58.3% 25.00% 30.00% 35.00% 40.00% 45.00% 50.00% 55.00% 60.00% 65.00% 70.00% 2011201020092008200720062005200420032002 Employed and Living in the Selection Area Employed in the Selection Area but Living Outside U.S. Census Bureau
  • 41. Orange County Residents’ Commuting (2002-2012) 35.2% 45.1% 64.8% 54.9% 25.00% 30.00% 35.00% 40.00% 45.00% 50.00% 55.00% 60.00% 65.00% 70.00% 2011201020092008200720062005200420032002 Living and Employed in the Selection Area Living in the Selection Area but Employed Outside U.S. Census Bureau
  • 42. Percent of Town of Chapel Hill Employees Living in Chapel Hill Zip Codes 41% 30% 27% 22% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 1995 2004 2008 2010 Chapel Hill Data Book
  • 43. Distribution of UNC Chapel Hill’s 11,900 employees by home address 5820 2276 12421158 593 85 72 60 31 13 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
  • 44. Orange County Commuting to Work Drove Alone, 66.8% Carpooled, 9.5 % Public Transportation 8.3% Walked, 5.3% Other means, 3.8% Work at home, 6.4% U.S. Census Bureau
  • 45. Mean Travel Time to Work (Minutes) U.S. Census Bureau 21.921.4 25.425.3 23.4 23.2 19.3 21 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 2011 Estimate2010 Estimate2009 Estimate2008 Estimate2007 Estimate Orange County United States North Carolina Chapel Hill Carrboro
  • 46. Chapel Hill Transit Ridership (millions) 3.01 7.29 6.97 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 FY 01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 Chapel Hill Transit
  • 48. Orange County Wealth Migration 1992-2010 Net Loss of $49.97 Million in Adjusted Gross Income Analysis of IRS Data
  • 49. Orange County (NC) Wealth Migration 1992-2010 Gained Wealth Santa Clara County, CA $15.7 million Cook County, IL $13.8 million Fairfax County, VA $15.6 million Westchester County, NY $17.7 million Fairfield County, CT $15.8 million Analysis of IRS Data
  • 50. Chatham County $179 million Alamance County $86.6 million Durham County $83.1 million Wake County $74 million Fulton County, Georgi a $10.3 million Orange County (NC) Wealth Migration 1992-2010 Lost Wealth Analysis of IRS Data
  • 51. Chatham County Wealth Migration 1992-2010 GAINED WEALTH FROM: • Wake NC ($202 million) • Orange NC ($179 million) • Durham NC ($73 million) • Fairfax, VA ($20 million) • Santa Clara CA ($18 million) Net Gain of $1.14 billion in Adjusted Gross Income Analysis of IRS Data
  • 52.
  • 54. Percent of Persons Living Below Poverty Level (2011) 16.8% 22.1% 16.9% 16.1% 14.3% 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% Carrboro Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina USA U.S Census Bureau
  • 55. Poverty and College Students 55 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% College Students in Poverty Percentage of Residents in Poverty (excluding college students) Source: U.S. Census 2010
  • 56. Percent of Economically Disadvantaged Students (Formerly Free or Reduced Lunch) N.C Dept of Public Instruction 32.6% 31.9% 39.8% 41.6% 21.7% 22.2% 23.5% 26.5% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0% 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 Orange County CHCCS
  • 57. Percent of CHCCS Students Receiving Free and Reduced Lunch (2011-12) N.C Dept of Public Instruction 23% 19% 25% 19% 47% 29% 18% 50% 23% 24% 26% 39% 23% 27% 23% 25% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
  • 58. N.C Dept of Public Instruction Percent of Orange County Schools Students Receiving Free and Reduced Lunch (2011-12) 45% 37% 27% 83% 33% 65% 42% 42% 17% 59% 37% 49% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
  • 59. Orange County Families Receiving Food and Nutrition Services (Formerly Food Stamps) NC Division of Social Services 3088 6304 5137 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Jul-12 Nov-12 Apr-13 Jun-13
  • 61. Unemployment Over Time NC Department of Commerce 5.8 5.4 5.54.3 6.7 6.2 5.9 6.6 10.9 10.5 9.5 9.3 - 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 June Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina
  • 62. Chapel Hill Residents Employed NC Department of Commerce 22,291 28,701 20,000 21,000 22,000 23,000 24,000 25,000 26,000 27,000 28,000 29,000 30,000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Jun-13 CH Employed
  • 63. Orange County Residents Employment NC Department of Commerce 62,438 70,377 60,000 62,000 64,000 66,000 68,000 70,000 72,000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Jun-13
  • 64. Unemployed Individuals NC Department of Commerce 2,807 4,794 1,000 1,841 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Jun-13 Orange County Chapel Hill
  • 65. Projected New Job Growth 2009-2014 153 266 736 259 1,845 2,045 124 481 185 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Construction Information Prof/Scientific/Tech Services Admin/Supp/Waste Mgmt Services Educational Services Health Care/Social Services Arts/Entertainment/Rec Accommodation/Food Services Public Administration NC Department of Commerce
  • 66. Incubation and Start Up Opened Facility Size Enterprises serving in 2013 Mid Way Business Center 2001 5,000 sq ft 11 Piedmont Food & Ag Processing Center Oct 2011 10,400 sq ft 37 The Cube (UNC- Campus Y) Feb 2012 1,500 sq ft 18 LaUNCh Chapel Hill Feb 2013 3,300 sq ft 16 EntreDot Feb 2013 4,000 sq ft 30 1789 May 2013 3,500 sq ft 15 TOTALS 27,700 sq ft 127 enterprises
  • 68. Property Crime Rate (per 100,000) Federal Bureau of Investigation 7095.1 2627.7 8209.6 3540.1 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 Chapel Hill Carrboro
  • 69. Violent Crime Rate (per 100,000) 706.4 182.9 817.6 262.2 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 Chapel Hill Carrboro Federal Bureau of Investigation
  • 70. Violent Crime Rate (1991-2011) 182.9 262.2 416 356.1 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 Chapel Hill Carrboro Charlottesville Athens Federal Bureau of Investigation
  • 71. Property Crime Rate (1991-2011) 2627.7 3540.1 3334.5 4160.9 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 Chapel Hill, NC Carrboro, NC Charlottesville, VA Athens, GA Federal Bureau of Investigation
  • 72. Orange County Pregnancy Rate Girls Age 15-17 (per 1000) NC State Center for Health Statistics 19.0 14.2 50.0 20.8 26.1 11.3 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 White Minority Total
  • 73. Orange County Pregnancy Rate Girls Age 15-19 (per 1000) NC State Center for Health Statistics 15.3 5.3 53.6 27.4 36.6 31.9 82.2 55.3 23.1 13.0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 White Minority Af-Am Non-Hispanic Hispanic Total
  • 74. Orange County Infant Mortality Rate (per 1000 live births) NC State Center for Health Statistics 12.0 6.1 7.5 2.6 29.7 9.6 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Orange County County: White County: Minority
  • 75. Infant Mortality Rate (per 1000 live births) NC State Center for Health Statistics 12.0 6.1 8.8 7.2 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Orange County State
  • 76. Orange County Leading Causes of Death per 1000 (2010) 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0 140.0 160.0 180.0 200.0 Orange County North Carolina Orange County Department of Health
  • 77. Orange County Racial Disparity for Leading Causes of Death per 1000 (2010) 0 50 100 150 200 250 Cancer Diseases of Heart Cerebrovascular Disease Chronic Lower Respiratory Diseases Diabetes Mellitus Caucasian Rate African American, non-Hispanic Rate Orange County Department of Health
  • 78. Orange County Asthma in Hospital Discharges (per 1000) 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 All Ages Ages (0-14) NC State Center for Health Statistics
  • 79. Air Quality: Orange County Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Sector Orange County State of the Environment Report Transportation, 49% Residential, 1 9% Commercial/ Institutional, 29 % Solid Waste, 1% Industrial , 2%
  • 80. Percentage of Obese Adults by County NC State Center for Health Statistics 20.1% 32.8% 18.6% 28.4% 29.1% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% Orange County Alamance County Durham County Wake County North Carolina
  • 81. Percentage of Adults Who Smoke NC State Center for Health Statistics 16.3% 29.0% 12.4% 14.1% 21.8% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% Orange County Alamance County Durham County Wake County North Carolina
  • 82. Lung/Bronchus Cancer Rate 74.8 76.5 63.3 69 61.4 59.5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake NC State Center for Health Statistics
  • 83. Prostate Cancer Rate 153.7 168.7 141.6 166.9 141.8 178.8 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake NC State Center for Health Statistics
  • 84. All Cancer Frequency NC State Center for Health Statistics 498.1 522.5 494.5 489.9 482.5 485.9 460 470 480 490 500 510 520 530 North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
  • 85. Female Breast Cancer Frequency NC State Center for Health Statistics 155.9 160.2 168.9 161.6 172.3 163.8 145 150 155 160 165 170 175 North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
  • 87. Water Sales and Accounts
  • 88. Monthly Water & Sewer Bills
  • 90. School Funding Sources $4,971 $5,311 $5,355 $5,075 $3,128 $1,904 $503 $915 $1,158 $0 $2,000 $4,000 $6,000 $8,000 $10,000 $12,000 CHCCS District OCS District State Average State Funding Local Funding Federal Funding NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 91. 91 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 Local Government (County and City School District) Federal Government State Government NC Department of Public Instruction Per Pupil Funding by School District Chapel Hill ranks second to Asheville in per pupil funding
  • 92. Percentage of Students At or Above Grade Level on ABCs End-of-Course Tests 2011-12 82.9% 78.7% 83.0% 93.4% 85.2% 87.5% 86.4% 79.0% 87.9% 70.0% 75.0% 80.0% 85.0% 90.0% 95.0% English I Algebra I Biology OCS CHCCS NC NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 93. Percent of Students Who Passed Both the Reading and Math ABCs End of Grade Tests (2011-2012) 52.6% 54.2% 54.0% 94.6% 84.1% 84.7% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0% Chapel Hill Carrboro Schools North Carolina Orange County Schools Not Economically Disadvantaged Economically Disadvantaged NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 94. Percent of Students Who Passed Both the Reading and Math ABCs End of Grade Tests (2011-2012) 52.6% 94.6% 54.2% 84.1% 54.0% 84.7% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0% Economically Disadvantaged Not Economically Disadvantaged Orange County Schools North Carolina Chapel Hill Carrboro Schools NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 95. High School Graduation Rates N.C. Dept of Public Instruction 92.3% 93.5% 69.1% 87.4% 70.3% 83.1% 60.0% 65.0% 70.0% 75.0% 80.0% 85.0% 90.0% 95.0% 100.0% 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 CHCCS 4-year CHCCS 5-year OCS 4-year OCS 5-year NC 4-year NC 5-year
  • 96. School District Dropout Rate N.C. Dept of Public Instruction 5.20% 2.46% 1.92% 1.02% 5.71% 3.01% 0.00% 1.00% 2.00% 3.00% 4.00% 5.00% 6.00% 7.00% OCS Rate CHCCS Rate NC Rate
  • 97.
  • 98. Hispanic Student 4-Year Graduation Rates N.C. Dept of Public Instruction 64.5% 77.6% 36.4% 79.7% 52.3% 75.3% 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 CHCCS OCS NC
  • 99. Orange County Schools 4-Year Graduation Rate by Race 72.1% 83.3% 55.3% 80.5% 36.4% 79.7% 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 100.0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 White Black Hispanic NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 100. Chapel Hill Carrboro City Schools 4-Year Graduation Rate By Race 94.6% 95% 73.6% 81.2% 64.5% 77.6% 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 White Black Hispanic NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 102. Durham Tech Student Performance 80% 83% 87% 88% 96% 97% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% Passing Rates on Licensure/Certification Exams for First Time Test Takers Perfomance of College Transfer Students Durham Tech System Average Standard Durham Tech 2011-12 Report to the Community
  • 103. Durham Tech Student Improvement 89% 89% 94% 96% 97% 97% 84% 86% 88% 90% 92% 94% 96% 98% Passing Rates on Licensure/Certification Exams for First Time Test Takers Perfomance of College Transfer Students Business/Industry Satisfaction with Services Provided 2012 Durham Tech 2011 Durham Tech Durham Tech 2011-12 Report to the Community
  • 104. UNC Chapel Hill’s 29,278 students (2012) 18,503 8,262 2,513 undergraduate graduate professional UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
  • 105. UNC’s 11,900 Employees (Fall 2012) 3,608 8,292 Faculty (Total) Non-Faculty Staff (Total) UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
  • 106. UNC Chapel Hill Student Housing by Location (2012) 8,885 (30%) 18,301 (63%) 807 (3%) 1,144 (4%) Resident Student Housing Off-Campus Fraternity & Sorority Granville Towers (UNC Affiliated) UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
  • 107. Percent of Undergrads Housed on Campus (Fall 2011) 84% 55% 52% 40% 39% 36% 34% 30% 25% 24% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Duke University UNC- Chapel Hill University of Virginia Indiana University Bloomington University of Michigan University of California at Los Angeles North Carolina State University University Wisconsin at Madison University of California at Berkeley East Carolina University Association of College and University Housing Officers International
  • 108. State Appropriations (UNC Chapel Hill) UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment $107,782,727 $543,291,852 $486,492,294 $0 $100,000,000 $200,000,000 $300,000,000 $400,000,000 $500,000,000 $600,000,000 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
  • 109. UNC Chapel Hill Annual Revenue and Endowment UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment $2.54 Billion $486 Million $2.16 Billion $0 $500,000,000 $1,000,000,000 $1,500,000,000 $2,000,000,000 $2,500,000,000 $3,000,000,000 Total Revenues State Appropriations Value of Endowment
  • 110. UNC Chapel Hill Annual Research Funding (1995-2012) $275 Million $767 Million $0 $100,000,000 $200,000,000 $300,000,000 $400,000,000 $500,000,000 $600,000,000 $700,000,000 $800,000,000 $900,000,000 UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
  • 111. UNC Chapel Hill Gross Square Feet (2000-2012) 12,311,526 18,833,503 10,000,000 11,000,000 12,000,000 13,000,000 14,000,000 15,000,000 16,000,000 17,000,000 18,000,000 19,000,000 20,000,000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
  • 112. UNC Chapel Hill’s 56 Start-Up Companies UNC Office of Technology Development 3 3 1 6 1 7 1 5 7 9 13 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
  • 113. UNC Chapel Hill Patents UNC Office of Technology Development 143 25 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 U.S. Patent Applications U.S. Patents Issued
  • 114. Let’s Welcome Some Visitors Anthony Carey, GM, Siena Hotel Chair, Chapel Hill-Orange County Visitors Bureau
  • 115. Chapel Hill/Orange Co. Hotel Occupancy Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau 69.9 67.1 65 58.9 59.6 64.1 65.4 67.3 52 54 56 58 60 62 64 66 68 70 72 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 YTD
  • 116. Chapel Hill/ Orange Co Average Daily Rate Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau $108.00 $116.37 $114.77 $107.35 $102.12 $101.61 $104.35 $106.71 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 YTD
  • 117. Chapel Hill/Orange Co. Room Revenue (RevPAR, or revenue per available room, is a performance metric calculated by multiplying a hotel's average daily room rate (ADR) by its occupancy rate. ) $63.3 $60.9 $65.2 $68.3 $71.3 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 YTD Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau
  • 118. Orange County Tourism Spending (millions) NC Department of Commerce $108.51 $152.22 $161.60 $0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 $140 $160 $180 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
  • 119. 2012 Taxes Generated by Tourists (in Millions) • In 2012, visitors to Orange County generated 11.85 million in State and Local Taxes (including sales, lodging, food & beverage, gas and other) Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau $3.31 Million $8.54 Million $0.00 $1.00 $2.00 $3.00 $4.00 $5.00 $6.00 $7.00 $8.00 $9.00 Local State
  • 120. State and Local Tax Revenue from Travel to Orange County (millions) NC Department of Commerce $11.85 Million $4.5 Million $3 $4 $5 $6 $7 $8 $9 $10 $11 $12 $13
  • 121. Orange County Tourism Related Jobs 1,650 1,280 1,000 1,100 1,200 1,300 1,400 1,500 1,600 1,700 1,800 1,900 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau
  • 122. Marketing Orange County As seen in The New Yorker As Seen in Conde Nast Traveler
  • 123. Marketing Orange County As seen in Our State Magazine As seen in Wired magazine
  • 125. Percent of Orange County Residential vs Commercial Property 86.0% 85.9% 86.1% 86.8% 87.2% 86.8% 14.0% 14.1% 13.9% 13.2% 12.8% 13.2% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Residental + Apartments Commercial Orange County Tax Administration
  • 126. 126 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% 1.6% 1.8% Special School District Tax City or Town Tax County Tax Composition of Property Tax Rates NC Department of Revenue
  • 127. Orange County Taxable Sales (Millions) NC Department of Revenue 907.5 million 1.175 Billion $500,000,000.00 $600,000,000.00 $700,000,000.00 $800,000,000.00 $900,000,000.00 $1,000,000,000.00 $1,100,000,000.00 $1,200,000,000.00 $1,300,000,000.00
  • 128. Orange Co. Gross Sales Tax Collections NC Department of Revenue $0 $10,000,000 $20,000,000 $30,000,000 $40,000,000 $50,000,000 $60,000,000 $32.47 Million $56.14 Million
  • 129. Sales Tax Per Capita $112.84 $170.35 $123.37 $170.72 $123.36 $184.80 $165.65 $197.87 $100.00 $120.00 $140.00 $160.00 $180.00 $200.00 $220.00 $240.00 $260.00 2011201020092008200720062005 ORANGE ALAMANCE CHATHAM DURHAM John Locke Foundation
  • 130. 2011 Per Capita Income by County U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis #1 $48,683 - Orange #2 $48,191 - Chatham #6 $42,555 Wake #9 $38,654 - Durham $36,028 NC 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000
  • 131. Sales Tax Per Capita Rankings 65 76 54 73 55 54 17 39 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 201120102008200720062005 ORANGE ALAMANCE CHATHAM DURHAM John Locke Foundation
  • 132. 2012 Retail Demand vs Retail Sales $1.68 Billion $769 Million $3 Billion $1.38 Billion $1.67 Billion $950 Million $533 Million $2.6 Billion $1.55 Billion $1.56 Billion $0 $500,000,000 $1,000,000,000 $1,500,000,000 $2,000,000,000 $2,500,000,000 $3,000,000,000 $3,500,000,000 Orange County Chatham Durham Alamance Johnston 2012 Total Retail Demand 2012 Total Retail Sales NC Department of Commerce
  • 133. 2012 Retail Gap $728 Million $236 Million $376 Million ($154 Million) $60 Million ($200,000,000) ($100,000,000) $0 $100,000,000 $200,000,000 $300,000,000 $400,000,000 $500,000,000 $600,000,000 $700,000,000 $800,000,000 Orange County Chatham Durham Alamance Johnston NC Department of Commerce
  • 134. 2012 Retail Gap (Millions) ($250.0) ($200.0) ($150.0) ($100.0) ($50.0) $0.0 $50.0 $100.0 $150.0 General Merchandise Stores Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers Food and Beverage Stores Clothing/Accessories Stores Gasoline Stations Electronics & Appliance Stores Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores Health and Personal Care Stores Chatham Alamance Orange NC Department of Commerce
  • 135. Some takeaways… • We have a strong, well-educated work force and an increasingly diverse population. • Local municipalities share attributes but have also have differences. • We are growing and will grow, but slower than our neighbors as we take a small portion of regional growth and state population growth. • We have a large disparity in wealth and continue to see increases in children in poverty
  • 136. Some takeaways… • Growth in Chapel Hill and Orange County employed residents and growth in retail sales indicate economic improvement. • A reliable, high quality water system is expensive • Housing prices have held steady, are ahead of our peers, but price per square foot is declining. • The rental market is growing and lack of supply is driving rates up quickly
  • 137. Some takeaways… • Fewer Orange County residents are working in the county with in and out commute both increasing • Our two school districts continue to out perform their peers and state averages • Minority student achievement is on the rise, specifically in Orange County Schools • Tourism and visitor spending are strong and growing . • Orange County per capita income is the highest and unemployment is the lowest in the state, but per capita retails sales continues to lag substantially as the retail gap grows
  • 138. Some takeaways… • Wealth migration has negative impact on Orange County, but a positive impact on our neighbors • UNC and UNC Hospitals are key to our economy and their decline in state funding can have big negative impacts. • Our economy and community are resilient. We were late into the recession and first out.
  • 139. Connect With Us • Facebook.com/ChapelHillCarrboroChamber • Twitter: @CarolinaChamber • Flickr.com/photos/carolinachamber • LinkedIn: Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber group • SlideShare: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber • www.carolinachamber.org
  • 140. slideshare.net/carolinachamber Check the Chamber’s SlideShare account for the entire presentation.
  • 142. slideshare.net/carolinachamber Check the Chamber’s SlideShare account for the entire presentation.
  • 143. Table Sponsors • Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau • Town of Carrboro • The Home Team • Orange County Economic Development