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2010 State of the Community

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2010 State of the Community

  1. 1. State of the Community Report Aaron Nelson Foundation for a Sustainable CommunityChapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber of Commerce
  2. 2. A bit about our Foundation… Chamber’s charitable community and economic development partner $1 million to the community since 2004. Built two Habitat homes, Century Center Clock, Inter-City Visits and the Community Leadership Collaboration. Created (2007) the national Institute for Sustainable Development and the Green Plus Program now active in 17 communities in 14 states.
  3. 3. Background on this Report Third State of the Community Report Born out of graduate student work at UNC Social, Environmental and Economic Indicators Goal is to deliver good information Thank you to Adam Klein, MRP and Alex Leiro, AHSG
  4. 4. Municipal Population Growth Jurisdiction 2000 2008 Growth Rate Orange County 116,016 126,532 9.1% Hillsborough 5,513 5,653 2.5% Carrboro 17,668 18,162 2.8% Chapel Hill 48,038 52,542 9.4%U.S. Census Bureau
  5. 5. Population Growth140,000120,000100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Orange County Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough U.S. Census Bureau
  6. 6. Population Projections County 2010 2015 2020 Growth Rate ALAMANCE 152,680 169,331 185,900 21.8% CHATHAM 64,016 71,853 79,692 24.5% DURHAM 274,371 309,245 344,120 25.4% JOHNSTON 174,793 204,911 235,029 34.5% ORANGE 132,951 142,089 151,229 13.7% WAKE 935,530 1,112,839 1,290,149 37.9%NC State Demographer
  7. 7. Occupational Growth for Alamance, Orange, and Randolph Counties 2006 2016 Annualized Industry Employment Employment Growth Rate Construction 8,990 9,950 1 Education & Health Services 49,830 63,800 2.5 Financial Activities 5,030 5,300 0.5 Goods-Producing 40,300 36,410 -1 Government 7,870 8,990 1.3 Information 1,360 1,530 1.2 Leisure and Hospitality 15,300 19,230 2.3 Manufacturing 30,540 25,730 -1.7Professional and Business Services 15,680 19,760 2.3 Services 128,570 156,020 2Trade, Transportation, and Utilities 26,720 29,010 0.8NC Department of Commerce
  8. 8. Employment in Orange County67,500 66,95667,00066,50066,000 65,61065,500 65,06265,00064,500 64,27564,00063,50063,00062,500 2007 2008 2009 2010 NC Employment Security Commission
  9. 9. Employment in Chapel Hill 26,600 26,413 26,400 26,200 26,000 25,882 25,800 25,686 25,600 25,400 25,355 25,200 25,000 24,800 2007 2008 2009 2010NC Employment Security Commission
  10. 10. Income Levels by Household Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake2000 $46,620 $50,975 $53,191 $59,874 $66,6972009 $60,375 $64,410 $69,465 $75,056 $89,1532014 $62,841 $66,715 $71,306 $77,776 $91,235GrowthRate 35% 31% 34% 30% 37% NC Department of Commerce
  11. 11. Household by Income Levels Orange County 2000 2009 2014Family Income $100000-$124999 2,268 1,885 4,319Family Income $125000-$149999 1,442 2,369 2,092Family Income $150000-$199999 1,529 2,042 2,162Family Income $200000-$249999 1,558 989 965Family Income $250000-$499999 - 858 976Family Income $500000+ - 221 278NC Department of Commerce
  12. 12. Orange County Population by Race100.0%90.0% 80.1%80.0% 73.1%70.0%60.0%50.0% 199040.0% 200830.0%20.0% 15.7% 13.3%10.0% 6.3% 5.8% 0.3% 2.5% 0.0% White African Latino/Hispanic Asian American U.S. Census Bureau
  13. 13. Educational Attainment High School Graduate (or higher) Bachelors Degree (or higher) 89.690 82.9 84.58070 55.4605040 25.6 27.4302010 0 Orange County North Carolina United StatesU.S. Census Bureau
  14. 14. Graduation Rates (in 4yrs or less)Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools Orange County Schools 87.9% 87.9% 88.3% 90% 85% 80% 75.5% 75.3% 76.3% 75% 70% 65% 2007 2008 2009N.C. Dept of Public Instruction
  15. 15. Drop Out Rates North Carolina Orange County Schools Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools 6.00% 5.00% 4.00% 3.00% 2.00% 1.00% 0.00%N.C. Dept of Public Instruction
  16. 16. Percent of Children Receiving Free or Reduced Price Lunch by School 2006-2007 2007-2008 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%N.C Dept of Public Instruction
  17. 17. Number of Houses Sold in OrangeCounty2000 1859 1886 1797 17491800 1686 154316001400 1271 114012001000 800 600 400 200 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009Greater Chapel Hill Association of REALTORS
  18. 18. Orange County Housing Prices $342,740$350,000 $320,489 $321,326 $317,847 $318,899 $298,883$300,000 $280,592 $262,920$250,000$200,000$150,000$100,000 $50,000 $0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Greater Chapel Hill Association of REALTORS
  19. 19. Building Permits Carrboro Chapel Hill Orange County (incl. Hillsborough)600500400300200 161100 45 0 16Home Builders Association of DOC
  20. 20. Federal Funding for UNCResearch$600,000,000 $499,720,916$500,000,000 $475,001,423 $443,370,686 $415,598,049 $421,974,098$400,000,000$300,000,000$200,000,000$100,000,000 $0 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09Office of the Vice Chancellor for Research andEconomic Development
  21. 21. Total Funding for UNCResearch$800,000,000 $716,274,113$700,000,000 $678,228,055 $610,669,824$600,000,000 $579,589,394 $593,390,527$500,000,000$400,000,000$300,000,000$200,000,000$100,000,000 $0 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 Office of the Vice Chancellor for Research and Economic Development
  22. 22. UNC Company Creation FY95 1 FY96 0 FY97 2 FY98 1 FY99 1 FY00 5 FY01 11 FY02 3 FY03 3 FY04 3 FY05 1 FY06 6 FY07 1 FY08 6 FY09 1 FY10 (YTD) 4 TOTAL 49UNC Office of Technology Development
  23. 23. $152 million in 2008Visitors Bureau
  24. 24. Five Year Economic Impact (Jobs) ofTourism 1780 1760 1740 1720 1700 Orange County 1680 1660 1640 1620 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008OrangeCounty 1680 1700 1710 1740 1770Jobs Visitors Bureau
  25. 25. Orange County Travel Related Payroll andTax Revenue 30 Millions 25 20 15 10 5 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Generated Payroll $26.14 $26.83 $27.62 $28.62 $29.93 Generated State $9.51 $9.98 $10.56 $10.85 $11.23 and Local Taxes
  26. 26. Property Crime Rate (per 100,000) Chapel Hill Carrboro8000700060005000 4226.504000 3,616.90300020001000 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008U.S. Dept of Justice
  27. 27. Violent Crime Rate (per 100,000) Chapel Hill Carrboro700600500400 400.9300 292.1200100 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008U.S. Dept of Justice
  28. 28. Orange County Pregnancy Rates(per 1000 girls age 15-19)60504030 22.320 15.810 13.6 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 White Minority TotalN.C Dept of Health and Human Services
  29. 29. Orange County Infant Mortality Rate(per 1000 live births)35302520151050 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Total White Minority N.C Dept of Health and Human Services
  30. 30. Infant Mortality Rate Comparison (per 1,000 live births) Orange County State14121086420 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 N.C Dept of Health and Human Services
  31. 31. 2010 Obesity and Smoking Statistics Orange County Durham County Wake County North Carolina 28 2930 27 23 2225 1920 16 131510 5 0 Adult Smoking Adult Obesity N.C Dept of Health and Human Services
  32. 32. Breast Cancer Incidence Rate (‘03-’07, per 1,000 people)200.0 188.9 165.4 152.1 154.8 149.6150.0 136.4100.0 50.0 0.0 Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake North Carolina N.C State Center for Health Statistics
  33. 33. Prostate Cancer Incidence Rate (‘03-’07, per 1,000 people)200.0 185.8 168.6 174.0 164.2 154.6 153.8150.0100.0 50.0 0.0 Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake North Carolina N.C State Center for Health Statistics
  34. 34. Asthma in Hospital Discharges (Orange County, per 100,000) Ages (0-14) All Ages 135.7140120 97.4100 92.3 92.3 90.1 80 69.5 72.7 65.7 57.3 60 50.9 48 50.9 50 50.3 40 20 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 N.C State Center for Health Statistics
  35. 35. Orange County Air Quality 250 200 GoodD 150 Moderatea Unhealthy for Sensitivey Groupss 100 Unhealthy Hazardous 50 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Orange County State of the Environment Report
  36. 36. Orange County Food Stamp Recipients5000 4500 4372 4000Households 3500 3475 Number of 2987 3000 3057 2757 2928 2500 2534 2306 2000 1684 1390 1735 1500 1335 1376 1343 1000 500 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Orange County Dept of Social Services
  37. 37. OWASA Customer Water Use 10 24,000 Drought 2001/02 Drought 9 22,000Average Annual Sales (million gallons per day) 2007/08 Number of Customer Accounts 8 20,000 7 18,000 6 16,000 5 14,000 4 12,000 3 10,000 Actual Water Sales Projected Water Sales Actual Customer Accounts OWASA
  38. 38. OWASA Monthly Water and SewerBill$90$80$70$60$50$40$30OWASA
  39. 39. Chapel Hill Park and Open Spaces Acreage per 1,000 People 13.7 14 12Acres per 1000 people 10 6.5 6.9 8 3.9 6 4 2 0 2000 2006 Parks Open spacesTown of Chapel Hill
  40. 40. Orange County CommutingPatterns1800016000140001200010000 8000 Out To 6000 In From 4000 2000 0 NC Employment Security Commission-2006
  41. 41. Chapel Hill Modes of Transportation(2007) United States North Carolina Chapel Hill100%90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10% 0% US Census Bureau
  42. 42. Transit Ridership Growth Service Provider 2004 2006 2008 Rate Triangle Transit 185,850 433,654 491,358 164% Chapel Hill Transit 5,364,580 5,692,490 6,817,804 27% OPT 113,198 116,988 133,892 18% Robertson Scholar 63,838 87,710 97,391 53%Orange County State of the Environment Report
  43. 43. Orange County Greenhouse GasEmissions by Sector (2009) Solid Waste Industrial 2% 1% Commercial/ Institutional 29% Transportatio n 49% Residential 19%Orange County State of the Environment Report
  44. 44. Orange County Taxable Sales980,000,000 $971,591,672970,000,000960,000,000 $948,302,963950,000,000940,000,000 $926,654,246930,000,000920,000,000 $907,564,371910,000,000900,000,000890,000,000880,000,000870,000,000 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09NC Department of Commerce
  45. 45. 2009 County Retail Data Retail Demand Retail Sales$3,000,000,000$2,500,000,000$2,000,000,000$1,500,000,000$1,000,000,000 $500,000,000 $0 Alamance Chatham Durham Orange PersonNC Department of Commerce
  46. 46. Non-residential Tax Base Growth byPercentage 2005 2006 200710% 9.2%9%8% 7.2%7% 6.7%6% 5.5%5% 3.9%4% 3.3%3% 2.4% 1.9% 1.7%2% 1.2% 1.3%1% 0.2%0% Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough Rest of CountyOrange County Economic Development Commission
  47. 47. Orange County Residential vs. Commercial Valuation Commercial Residential$14,000,000,000 $12,428,364,815$12,000,000,000$10,000,000,000 $9,364,776,839 $8,000,000,000 $6,000,000,000 $4,000,000,000 $2,000,000,000 $1,522,310,800 $1,827,499,885 $0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Orange County Economic Development Commission
  48. 48. Unemployment Rate Chapel Hill Orange County State12.0 10.910.0 8.0 6.6 6.4 6.0 5.0 4.0 4.3 2.0 - 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 NC Employment Security Commission
  49. 49. Some takeaways… We have a strong, well-educated labor market and increasingly diverse population. We are growing and will grow, but much slower than our neighbors We have a large disparity in wealth with rapid increases in food stamp recipients. Our people are healthy and trending healthier (other than breast cancer)
  50. 50. Some takeaways… Commercial tax base as a percent of total tax base is declining Growth in retail sales is one of our greatest economic opportunities While we have enough water for the next 50 years and it will continue to increase in price Housing prices, while modifying remain high compared in other counties in the
  51. 51. Some takeaways… Our schools continue to out perform their peers Positive impact of tourism and visitors continues steady growth Air Quality has been good and we continue to grow our parks and open space Unemployment remains the lowest in the state and its decline heralds our recovery
  52. 52. PARTICIPATE AND SUPPORT- Community Bocce Tournament on May 25- Golf Tournament on June 28- Intercity Visit and Leadership Conference(Asheville, NC) September 12-14
  53. 53. Thank youWeb: www.carolinachamber.orgTwitter: CarolinaChamber -SustainableOrgFriend us on Facebook

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