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Final 2019 ARC Population Estimates

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Annual major jurisdiction population estimates from ARC: 2019 edition

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Final 2019 ARC Population Estimates

  1. 1. Atlanta Regional Commission For more information, contact: mcarnathan@atlantaregional.com Population Estimates for the Atlanta Region: Holding the Line on Growth
  2. 2. • The 10-county Atlanta region is now home to 4,628,400 in 2019, up from 4,555,900 in 2018. From April 1, 2018 to April 1, 2019 the region added 72,500 new residents. This represents slightly slower growth than what the region experienced the previous two years. • The Atlanta region’s 2019 population is larger than that of 24 states. • The slower growth, while still strong, reflects a moderation in job growth in the past year. • From 2018 to 2019, Fulton added 16,700 new residents, the largest single-year growth in the region. Next were Gwinnett with 15,100 new residents, DeKalb with 8,500 new residents, and Cherokee with 8,200 new residents. • The City of Atlanta continues to experience significant growth. Again fueled by high levels of multi-family development, the city added 10,900 new residents between 2018 and 2019, up slightly from last year and the largest single-year estimated population increase since the Great Recession. • In 2018, there were 27,600 new residential building permits in the 10-county region, which was an increase of over 3,000 (primarily in the multifamily sector) from 2017-2018, and almost the same overall level as 2016 permits. Still, current building permit activity for the 10-county region remains lower than pre-recession permit levels, and still trails the 1980-2018 average annual level of 32,130. The Highlights
  3. 3. 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2018 2019 One Year Change: 2018- 2019 Average Annual Change: 2010- 2019 Average Annual Change: 1990- 2010 Atlanta Region 1,500,823 1,896,182 2,557,800 3,429,379 4,107,750 4,555,900 4,628,400 72,500 57,850 77,498 Cherokee 31,059 51,699 91,000 141,903 214,346 254,500 262,700 8,200 5,373 6,167 Clayton 98,126 150,357 184,100 236,517 259,424 279,400 283,900 4,500 2,720 3,766 Cobb 196,793 297,718 453,400 607,751 688,078 758,300 766,400 8,100 8,702 11,734 DeKalb 415,387 483,024 553,800 665,865 691,893 744,530 753,030 8,500 6,793 6,905 Douglas 28,659 54,573 71,700 92,174 132,403 142,800 144,900 2,100 1,389 3,035 Fayette 11,364 29,043 62,800 91,263 106,567 116,200 118,000 1,800 1,270 2,188 Fulton 605,210 589,904 670,800 816,006 920,581 1,020,370 1,037,070 16,700 12,943 12,489 Gwinnett 72,349 166,808 356,500 588,448 805,321 910,700 925,800 15,100 13,387 22,441 Henry 23,724 36,309 59,200 119,341 203,922 234,800 240,900 6,100 4,109 7,236 Rockdale 18,152 36,747 54,500 70,111 85,215 94,300 95,700 1,400 1,165 1,536 City of Atlanta 495,039 424,922 415,200 416,474 420,003 459,600 470,500 10,900 5,611 240 2019 Population Estimates Note: The City of Atlanta totals are included in both DeKalb’s and Fulton’s population estimatesSource: ARC’s 2019 Population Estimates, Census
  4. 4. Source: Census Bureau; ARC Research & Analytics Peak Growth: Look at Growth By Decade -4.00% -2.00% 0.00% 2.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00% 12.00% 14.00% 16.00% 18.00% Cherokee Clayton Cobb DeKalb Douglas Fayette Fulton Gwinnett Henry Rockdale
  5. 5. Population Growth Through the Decades Source: ARC’s 2018 Population Estimates, Census 0.00% 0.50% 1.00% 1.50% 2.00% 2.50% 3.00% 3.50% 4.00% 1900-1910 1910-1920 1920-1930 1930-1940 1940-1950 1950-1960 1960-1970 1970-1980 1980-1990 1990-2000 2000-2010 2010-2019 Average Annual PERCENT Change by Decade - ARC 10 County Area 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 100,000 1900-1910 1910-1920 1920-1930 1930-1940 1940-1950 1950-1960 1960-1970 1970-1980 1980-1990 1990-2000 2000-2010 2010-2019 Average Annual RAW Change by Decade - ARC 10 County Area
  6. 6. Units Authorized by Building Permits Inching Back Towards Historical Average Source: State of the Cities Data System; ARC Research & Analytics 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 39-year annual average of 32,130
  7. 7. Where Growth is Going—Single-Family Source: HB Weekly (permits); ARC Research & Analytics (processing and mapping)
  8. 8. Where Growth is Going--Multifamily Source: CoStar (data); ARC Research & Analytics (processing and mapping)
  9. 9. Building Permits By Jurisdiction, 2018 Source: State of the Cities Data System; Census ACS 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 City of Atlanta Cherokee County Clayton County Cobb County DeKalb County Douglas County Fayette County Non-COA Fulton County Gwinnett County Henry County Rockdale County Multi-Family Single-Family In metro Atlanta some 43 percent of occupied multi- family units contain single-person households, compared to only 20 percent of single-family unit households occupied by one person.
  10. 10. Where Growth is Likely Going--Totals Source: ESRI (small-area population estimates) Total Population Change: 2010 to 2019 1,001 – 5,698 550 – 1,000 350 – 549 0 – 349 -1,247 – 0
  11. 11. Where Growth is Likely Going--Density Source: ESRI (small-area population estimates) Population Change Per Square Mile: 2010 to 2019 451 – 14,690 250 – 450 75 – 249 0 – 74 -1,156.7 – 0

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