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2015 STATE OF THE
COMMUNITY REPORT
Our Presenting Sponsor
Stretch Break and Video Interlude
Sponsor
Town of Chapel Hill Town of Carrboro
Orange County Economic Development
Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
A Thank ...
Background on this Report
• Our Eighth State of the Community Report
• Born out of graduate student research at UNC
• Soci...
Special Thanks To
• Town of Chapel Hill
• Orange County Board of Health
• Chapel Hill-Orange County Visitors Bureau
• Oran...
Assessed Value
Per Acre
Who We Are and
Where We Live
Hillsborough,
1%
Carrboro, 1.4%
Chapel Hill, 5%
Rest of Orange
92.6%
Urban3
Orange County Land Distribution
Location of Orange County Housing Units
9,258 (16%)
2,593 (5%)
22,254 (40%)
21,492 (39%)
Carrboro Hillsborough Chapel Hill...
Population Growth
Jurisdiction 2010 2014 Pop Growth Growth Rate
Orange
County
133,702 140,420 +6,718 5.0% (~1.2% PY)
Hills...
U.S. Census Bureau
Population Growth
116,016
140,402
17,668 20,984
48,038
59,376
5,513 6,388
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000...
High School Degree or Higher
(2010-2014)
U.S. Census Bureau
50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0%
90.7%
94.7%
84.9%
91.0%
8...
Bachelors Degree or Higher
(2009-2013)
U.S. Census Bureau
0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0%
65.1%
73.9%...
Minority Races by Municipality
U.S. Census Bureau
10.1% 9.7%
29.5%
12.2%
22.0%
8.2%
11.9%
1.7%
7.3%
2.5%
13.8%
6.4% 6.6%
8...
Orange County Population by Race
U.S. Census Bureau
80.0%
70.0%
15.8%
12.2%
1.4%
8.3%
2.5%
7.6%0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0...
Orange County Population Projections
77,055
93,851
115,531
133,801
160,306
192,243
230,770
277,307
0
50,000
100,000
150,00...
Municipal Population Projections
19,582
51,749
54,397
113,930
6,087
12,538
1,793
42,308
51,942
56,782
0
20,000
40,000
60,0...
Population Density –
People Per Square Mile (2010)
336.2
935.7
356.5
93.1
1078.8
213.4
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
Orange ...
Municipal Population Density (pp/mi2)
3,108
2,785
1,148
141
335
4,897
3,936
1,617
175
479
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
...
College Town Population Density (pp/mi2)
2010
4246
4116
4094
3948
3472
3108
3037
2710
3936
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000
Char...
A few take aways
Number of Homes Sold in Orange County
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 ...
Orange County Average Residential
Closing Price
$200,000
$220,000
$240,000
$260,000
$280,000
$300,000
$320,000
$340,000
$3...
2014 Average Residential Closing
Price per Square Foot
$101
$111
$126
$149
$0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 $140 $160
Durham
W...
Change in Average Residential Closing
Price 2013 to 2014
Triangle Multiple Listing Services
3.4%
4.1%
4.5%
0.7%
0.0% 0.5% ...
Percent Change in Residential Closing
Price Per Square Foot 2013 to 2014
3.9%
4.5%
1.6%
-0.6%
-1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4....
2014 Average Home Price by Location
$208,174
$272,398
$330,054 $334,552
$0
$50,000
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
$250,000
$30...
2014 Average Home Price by Location
Triangle Multiple Listing Services
$208,174
$272,398
$330,054 $334,552
$362,405
$0
$50...
Non-Owner Occupied (2009-2013)
U.S. Census Bureau
49.9%
62.5%
43.2%
39.5%
33.6%
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Chapel Hill
Carrbor...
Orange County Housing Gross Rent
U.S Census Bureau
1%
1%
6%
30%
40%
15%
8%
1%
1%
4%
24%
36%
23%
11%
0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15....
Orange Co. Gross Rent as a Percent of
Household Income (2009-13)
U.S Census Bureau
9%
10%
23%
13%
8%
29%
8%
0.00% 5.00% 10...
Transportation and
Commuting
40,411 Live outside Orange County and drive in for work
37,851 Live in Orange County and drive out of the county for work
...
Chapel Hill Commuting
U.S. Census Bureau
Carrboro Commuting
U.S. Census Bureau
Orange County Residents’ Commuting
U.S. Census Bureau
34.2%45.10%
65.8%
54.90%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
8...
Orange County Employee Commuting
32.8%
41.70%
67.2%
58.30%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
201220112010200...
Commute Change 2010-2012
39,540
33,850
20,622
40,411
37,851
19,698
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000...
Commuting to Primary Jobs
U.S. Census Bureau
6,887 6,815
3,196
11,691 14,067
6,495
19,273
19,529
10,007
0
5,000
10,000
15,...
Orange Commuting to Primary Jobs
18.2% 16.9% 16.2%
30.9% 34.8% 33.0%
50.9% 48.3% 50.8%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
...
Young Worker (< 29 yo) Commuting
2010-12
9,045
6,693
3,933
8,807
7,372
3,336
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,0...
Percent Change in Young Worker (< 29 yo)
Commuting 2010-12
-2.6%
10.1%
-15.2%
-20.0%
-15.0%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
1...
Chapel Hill Transit Ridership (millions)
Chapel Hill Transit
5.27
7.23
6.94
6.73
4.00
4.50
5.00
5.50
6.00
6.50
7.00
7.50
F...
GoTriangle Ridership (Millions)
GoTriangle (formerly Triangle Transit)
0.71
1.14
1.84
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
That’s right, takeaways
Working, Wages
and Poverty
Percent of Persons Living Below
Poverty Level (2009-2013)
U.S Census Bureau
17.9%
15.5%
23.1%
17.0%
22.2%
0
5
10
15
20
25
...
Percent of Children in Poverty
27.1%
21.5%
22.4%
21.6%
17.4%
13.4%
14.5%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
2008 2009 201...
Orange County Children in Poverty
2897
3879
4822
4627
4258
3820
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2...
Percent of K-12 Students Enrolled in
Free and Reduced Lunch
NC Dept of Public Instruction
46.0%
59.7%
44.0%
53.5%50.6%
66....
Percent of CHCCS Elementary Students
Receiving Free and Reduced Lunch
N.C Dept of Public Instruction
43%
41%
26%
31%
29%
5...
N.C Dept of Public Instruction
Percent of Orange County Schools Elem Students
Receiving Free and Reduced Lunch
37%
83%
65%...
Orange County Families Receiving Food and
Nutrition Services (Formerly Food Stamps)
NC Division of Social Services
2,903
3...
Orange County Families Receiving Food and
Nutrition Services (Formerly Food Stamps)
NC Division of Social Services
6,525
6...
Extremely Low Income (ELI)
Less Than 30% of Median Income
1,839
1,766
1,022
5,891
7,062
6,026
0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,...
Residential Units per 100 ELI Households
31
39
31
31
25
34
25
29
17
23
18
20
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
Orange
Durham
Cha...
Per Capita Personal Income (2013)
#1 Chatham
$53,336
#2 Orange:
$52,339
#6 Wake $46,097
#12 Durham
$41,376
NC: $38,611
0
1...
Per Capita Income Change 2009-2013
U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
9.5%
15.5%
7.3%
9.7%
14.5%
10....
Per Capita Personal Income
1969-2013
$39,646
$45,018
$52,339
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
1969
1970
1971
1972
197...
Per Capita Personal Income
2000-2013
$39,646
$45,018
$52,339
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
North Carolina Durham C...
Median vs. Per Capita Income
(2009-2013)
$33,840
$36,391
$41,376
$52,339
$53,336
$46,097
$43,043
$49,711
$51,853
$55,569
$...
Unemployment Over Time
NC Dept of Commerce
2.9%
5.8%
5.5%
4.3%
3.2%
6.7%
5%
6.6%
4.7%
10.9%
6.1%
1.0
3.0
5.0
7.0
9.0
11.0
...
Chapel Hill Residents Employed
NC Department of Commerce
25,828
26,424
25,961
27,072
27,619 27,691
28,117
27,800
28,330
24...
Orange County Residents Employment
NC Department of Commerce
65,473
66,931
65,815
66,327
67,725
68,527
69,582
69,942
71,27...
Unemployed Individuals
NC Department of Commerce
1,638
1,436
1,659
4,728
3,254
3,751
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3...
Our Non Profit Employment
Sector
Number of 501 (c)3 Nonprofits
Filing 990s
83
485
107
303
1,370
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
Chatham Durham Johnst...
Average Annual Wages for Non Profit
Employees
$50,666
$28,869
$56,585
$28,082
$58,850
$42,470
$0.00 $10,000.00 $20,000.00 ...
Orange County Non Profits
Orange County Registered
Non Profits 735
Orange County 501(c)3 Orgs
Filing 990s 333
Annual Reven...
Incubation and Start Up
Opened Facility Size (sq/ft)
Enterprises served in
2013 and 2014
Mid Way Business
Center
2001 5,00...
Nominal 2014 County GDP (Billions)
$5.6
$28.7
$1.6
$57.9
$6.0
$6.5
$0.0 $10.0 $20.0 $30.0 $40.0 $50.0 $60.0 $70.0
Alamance...
Chatham County
National Association of Counties
Durham County Economic Output
National Association of Counties
Orange County
National Association of Counties
Stretch Break and Video Interlude
Sponsor
Taxes and Revenue
Orange County Taxable Sales (Millions)
NC Department of Revenue
$907
$1,422
$1,477
$0.00
$200.00
$400.00
$600.00
$800.00
$...
Orange Co. Gross Sales Tax Collection
(Millions)
NC Department of Revenue
$40.82
$67.84 $70.47
$0.00
$10.00
$20.00
$30.00
...
Percent Share of Sales Tax Revenue
Distribution
62%
9%
25%
0% 3% 1%
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%...
Retail Demand
How it works
• The average Orange County household spends
$34,229 on retail purchases including food.
• Mult...
2014 Average Local Household Retail
Demand (with Food and Drink)
$23,560
$31,342
$28,247
$25,745
$34,229
$36,238
$0 $5,000...
2014 Retail Demand vs Retail Sales
(Billions)
NC Department of Commerce
$1.8
$0.9
$3.3
$1.5
$1.7
$0.9
$0.8
$3.4
$1.8 $1.9
...
Total Retail Gap (Millions)
(with Food and Drink)
NC Department of Commerce
$727.9
$235.8
$375.8
($153.8)
$59.9
$866.5
$13...
Retail Gap Change from
2012 to 2014 (Millions)
$138.6
($102.2)
($480.6)
($185.1)
($255.5)
($600,000,000) ($500,000,000) ($...
Orange Retail Gap (Millions)
NC Department of Commerce
$233
$205
$82
$82
$77
$41
$30
$30
$20
($7)
($50) $0 $50 $100 $150 $...
The News We Have Been Waiting
For….
… But Not Really
:-(
$Tax revenue/population
$Tax Rev + New Tax Rev/population
Sales Tax Revenue Per Capita
NC Dept of Revenue
$108.74
$147.95
$135.04
$127.95
$210.19
$152.12
$129.31
$80.00
$100.00
$12...
Sales Tax Revenue Per Capita
John Locke Foundation
$108.74
$147.95
$135.04
$126.88 $127.95
$210.19
$129.31
$100.00
$120.00...
Sales Tax Per Capita Rankings
John Locke Foundation
81
42
55
53
19
61
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2010 2011 2012 2013
Ora...
Per Capital Income Rank vs Per Capita
Retail Sales Rank
John Locke Foundation
12
2
19
42
051015202530354045
Durham
Orange
...
A little property data …
Total Assessed Property Value
(Billions)
$1.92
$6.37
$0.68
$6.64 Carrboro
Chapel Hill
Hillsborough
Rest of Orange
County
T...
2014 Commercial vs Residential Tax
Base
12.77% 18.47% 15.82%
40.46%
2.89%
4.27% 7.56%
1.21%
84.34% 77.26% 76.62%
58.33%
0%...
2014 Orange County Commercial
Assessed Value ($Millions)
$303.4
$1,176.0
$273.7
$238.4
Carrboro
Chapel Hill
Hillsborough
R...
Orange County Assessed Value
TOTAL TOTAL $15.6 Billion
$0.0
$2,000.0
$4,000.0
$6,000.0
$8,000.0
$10,000.0
$12,000.0
$14,00...
2013 City and Town Tax Rate
0.33
0.3826
0.494
0.5675
0.675
0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8
Huntersville
Cary
Raleigh
Apex
...
Total of All Jurisdictions Property Tax Rate
0.864
0.9166
1.3119
1.4554
1.5404
0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6
Cary
Raleigh
Apex...
Property Taxes on Median House Prices
$1,100.00
$1,604.05
$1,819.25
$2,164.64
$2,224.80 $4,898.47
$0.00 $500.00 $1,000.00 ...
Environment
Water Sales and Accounts
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
22,000
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
7.5
8.0
8.5
9.0
Cust...
Monthly Water & Sewer Bills
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
$100
RateIncrease
Av...
Orange County Water Users (MGD)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
1997 2002 2007 2009 2010 2011 2012
Mebane MGD
Orange-Alamance MGD
Hills...
Totally & Partially Protected Lands (Acres)
1,229
4,088
7,784
10,804
12,722
14,473
3,151
5,230
8,613
9,609
10,185
10,174
0...
Annual Ozone Exceedances
Orange County State of the Environment
Orange County Diagnosis of Asthma (All
Ages) in Hospital Discharges per 100,000
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2002 2003 2004 2...
Air Quality:
Orange County Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Sector
2009 Orange County State of the Environment Report
Transport...
Air Pollution and
Volatile Organic Compounds
Orange County State of the Environment
Air Pollutants by Source Over Time
Orange County State of the Environment
Health and Safety
Health Indicators
Health Indicator
Orange
County
Chatham
County
Who is #1
Length of Life #1 #6 Orange
Quality of Life #3 #...
All Cancer Frequency (per 100,000)
NC State Center for Health Statistics
488.9
499.1
463.0
480.9
458.0
476.1
420 440 460 4...
Orange County Pregnancy Rate
Girls Age 15-17 (per 1000)
NC State Center for Health Statistics
26.1
10.6
8.7
0.0
10.0
20.0
...
Orange County Teen Pregnancies
(Girls 15-17)
NC State Center for Health Statistics
22
26
27
36
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
20...
Orange County Infant Mortality Rate
(per 1000 live births)
NC State Center for Health Statistics
3.4
7.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8...
County Property Crime Rates
(Per 100,000)
State Bureau of Investigation
3,319
3,319
1,967
6,985
4,391
4,887
2,206
4,240
2,...
County Violent Crime Rates
(Per 100,000)
State Bureau of Investigation
395.1
232
188.4
599.8
371.5
146.9
241.9
0.0
100.0
2...
More information at:
relyMD.com/carolinachamber
Contact:
Lisa Weistart (919) 357-9983
lweistart@carolinachamber.org
Education
Total Per Pupil Funding All Sources
$8,029
$9,439
$9,989
$9,602
$10,872
$7,880
$8,477
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,...
High School Graduation Rates
N.C. Dept of Public Instruction
90.8%
94.3%
66.5%
86.3%
69.1%
84.9%
60.0%
65.0%
70.0%
75.0%
8...
School District Dropout Rates
N.C. Dept of Public Instruction
0.50%
2.28%
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
...
Percent Grade Level Proficient (3, 4 or 5)
Reading, Grade 3
60.2
62.4
74.6
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Reading Grade 3
Readi...
Percent Grade Level Proficient (3, 4 or 5)
3rd Grade End of Grade Test (EOG)
60.6
63.2
74.5
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
EOG ...
Percent College/Career Ready (4or5)
8th Grade End of Grade Test
46.3
49.8
74.2
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
EOG Grade 8
EOG G...
Percent of Students College/Career
Ready (4 or 5) in Math, Grade 7
39
35.9
69.5
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Math Grade 7
Mat...
Percent of Students College/Career
Ready (4 or 5) 8th Grade Science EOC
61.9
64.1
84.6
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Scienc...
CHCCS Percent of Students Passing BOTH
End of Grade Reading and Math Tests
74.6%
15.2%
26.0%
70.5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% ...
CHCCS Percent of Students Passing Both
End of Grade Reading & Math Test
16.1%
74.7%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Eco...
Percent of Economically Disadvantaged Students
Passing Both End of Grade Reading and Math Tests
17.4%
16.1%
17.3%
11.1%
15...
Higher Education
UNC Chapel Hill’s 29,278 students
18,503
8,262
2,513
undergraduate
graduate
professional
UNC Office of Institutional Resea...
UNC’s 11,900 Employees
3,608
8,292
Faculty (Total)
Non-Faculty Staff
(Total)
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Asse...
Fall 2014
UNC Chapel Hill Student Housing
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
8,520 (29%)
321 (1%)
18,238 ...
UNC Chapel Hill Annual Research
Funding (2000-2014)
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
$792,729,006
$0
$1...
State Appropriations
(FY 2014 UNC Chapel Hill)
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
$543,291,852
$482,727,8...
Total UNC Revenues
$2,937,990,505
$482,727,867
$0
$500,000,000
$1,000,000,000
$1,500,000,000
$2,000,000,000
$2,500,000,000...
UNC Student Enrollment
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
21,465
23,852
24,872
29,135
15,000
17,000
19,00...
Percent Growth of UNC Student
Enrollment
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
0.96
2.50
2.21
1.27
1.97
1.48...
UNC Campus Gross Sq Ft (000s)
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
7,847
9,639
12,312
18,394
19,536
0
5,000...
N
University Master Plan – Land Holdings
UNC Chapel Hill’s 95 Start-Up
Companies
UNC Office of Technology Development
5
11
3 3 3
1
6
1
7
1
5
7
9
14
10
9
0
2
4
6
8
...
UNC Chapel Hill Number of US
Patents Issues
UNC Office of Technology Development
22
27
33 31
25
34
48
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
...
UNC Chapel Hill Licensed Rev (millions)
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
$3.0
$2.8
$1.5
$2.4
$3.8
$7.9
...
Durham Tech
Durham Tech
Durham Tech
Durham Tech
Visitors
Chapel Hill/Orange Co. Hotel Occupancy
58.9% 59.6%
64.1% 65.1% 65.4%
70.0% 71.1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
2009 2...
Chapel Hill/ Orange Co. Average Daily Rate
$107.35
$102.12 $101.61
$104.38
$106.49
$113.95
$94.00
$96.00
$98.00
$100.00
$1...
Chapel Hill/Orange Co. Room Revenue
$63.3 $60.9
$65.2 $68.0 $69.6
$79.5
$84.1
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 June
YTD
...
2014 Taxes Generated by Tourists
(Millions)
3.88
9.46
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Local State
2014 • In 2014, visitors to
Orang...
Tourism Spending in Orange County
(millions)
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Chapel Hill Orange C...
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2015 State of the Community Report
2015 State of the Community Report
2015 State of the Community Report
2015 State of the Community Report
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2015 State of the Community Report

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The 2015 State of the Community Report presented by Triangle Community Foundation was held Thursday, August 27 at the UNC Friday Center for Continuing Education.

Powered by the Chamber's charitable arm, the Partnership For a Sustainable Community, and presented by Chamber CEO Aaron Martin Nelson, the report presents a full overview on the health of the Chapel Hill-Carrboro community.

State of the Community Report was sponsored by the Triangle Community Foundation and Durham Technical Community College. Thanks to our special guests Town of Chapel Hill, Town of Carrboro, and Orange County Economic Development.

Published in: Data & Analytics
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2015 State of the Community Report

  1. 1. 2015 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  2. 2. Our Presenting Sponsor
  3. 3. Stretch Break and Video Interlude Sponsor
  4. 4. Town of Chapel Hill Town of Carrboro Orange County Economic Development Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau A Thank You to Our Special Guests
  5. 5. Background on this Report • Our Eighth State of the Community Report • Born out of graduate student research at UNC • Social, Economic, and Health Indicators • Objective: deliver relevant information to community and business leaders • Chamber + The Partnership
  6. 6. Special Thanks To • Town of Chapel Hill • Orange County Board of Health • Chapel Hill-Orange County Visitors Bureau • Orange Water & Sewer Authority • Orange County Department of Environment, Agriculture, Parks and Recreation • Greater Chapel Hill Association of REALTORS • Orange County Tax Administration • Home Builders of Durham, Orange & Chatham Counties • Durham Tech
  7. 7. Assessed Value Per Acre
  8. 8. Who We Are and Where We Live
  9. 9. Hillsborough, 1% Carrboro, 1.4% Chapel Hill, 5% Rest of Orange 92.6% Urban3 Orange County Land Distribution
  10. 10. Location of Orange County Housing Units 9,258 (16%) 2,593 (5%) 22,254 (40%) 21,492 (39%) Carrboro Hillsborough Chapel Hill Rest of County U.S. Census Bureau
  11. 11. Population Growth Jurisdiction 2010 2014 Pop Growth Growth Rate Orange County 133,702 140,420 +6,718 5.0% (~1.2% PY) Hillsborough 6,087 6,388 +301 4.9% (~1.2% PY) Carrboro 19,582 20,984 +1,402 7.2% (~1.8% PY) Chapel Hill 57,233 59,376 +2,143 3.7% (~0.9% PY) North Carolina 9,535,691 9,943,964 +408,273 4.3% (~1.1% PY) U.S. Census Bureau
  12. 12. U.S. Census Bureau Population Growth 116,016 140,402 17,668 20,984 48,038 59,376 5,513 6,388 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Orange County Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough
  13. 13. High School Degree or Higher (2010-2014) U.S. Census Bureau 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0% 90.7% 94.7% 84.9% 91.0% 84.9% 86.0% United States North Carolina Orange County Hillsborough Chapel Hill Carrboro
  14. 14. Bachelors Degree or Higher (2009-2013) U.S. Census Bureau 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 65.1% 73.9% 36.5% 55.8% 27.3% 28.8% United States North Carolina Orange County Hillsborough Chapel Hill Carrboro
  15. 15. Minority Races by Municipality U.S. Census Bureau 10.1% 9.7% 29.5% 12.2% 22.0% 8.2% 11.9% 1.7% 7.3% 2.5% 13.8% 6.4% 6.6% 8.2% 8.7% 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 30.00% 35.00% Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough Orange County North Carolina Black Asian Hispanic or Latino
  16. 16. Orange County Population by Race U.S. Census Bureau 80.0% 70.0% 15.8% 12.2% 1.4% 8.3% 2.5% 7.6%0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 1990 2000 2010 2013 White African American Latino/Hispanic Asian
  17. 17. Orange County Population Projections 77,055 93,851 115,531 133,801 160,306 192,243 230,770 277,307 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 1980 Census 1990 Census 2000 Census 2010 Census 2020 Projected 2030 Projected 2040 Projected 2050 Projected Current 2014 Estimate: 140,420 US Census Bureau and Orange County Planning
  18. 18. Municipal Population Projections 19,582 51,749 54,397 113,930 6,087 12,538 1,793 42,308 51,942 56,782 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 1980 Census 1990 Census 2000 Census 2010 Census 2020 Projected 2030 Projected 2040 Projected 2050 Projected Carrboro Chapel Hill (within Orange Co.) Hillsborough Mebane (within Orange County) Unincorporated Areas US Census and Orange County Planning
  19. 19. Population Density – People Per Square Mile (2010) 336.2 935.7 356.5 93.1 1078.8 213.4 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 Orange Durham Co. Alamance Chatham Wake Johnston US Census Bureau
  20. 20. Municipal Population Density (pp/mi2) 3,108 2,785 1,148 141 335 4,897 3,936 1,617 175 479 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 Carrboro Chapel Hill (in Orange) Hillsborough Unincorporated Orange County 2010 Census 2020 Projected 2030 Projected US Census Bureau and Orange County Planning
  21. 21. College Town Population Density (pp/mi2) 2010 4246 4116 4094 3948 3472 3108 3037 2710 3936 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 Charlottesville (VA) Burlington (VT) Ann Arbor (MI) Boulder (CO) Bloomington (IN) Carrboro (NC) Madison (WI) Chapel Hill (NC) Chapel Hill 2030 US Census Bureau
  22. 22. A few take aways
  23. 23. Number of Homes Sold in Orange County 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 1,886 1,126 1,628 1,432 Triangle Multiple Listing Services
  24. 24. Orange County Average Residential Closing Price $200,000 $220,000 $240,000 $260,000 $280,000 $300,000 $320,000 $340,000 $360,000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 $262,920 $342,740 $327,758 $329,927 Triangle Multiple Listing Services
  25. 25. 2014 Average Residential Closing Price per Square Foot $101 $111 $126 $149 $0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 $140 $160 Durham Wake Chatham Orange Triangle Multiple Listing Services
  26. 26. Change in Average Residential Closing Price 2013 to 2014 Triangle Multiple Listing Services 3.4% 4.1% 4.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% Durham Wake Chatham Orange
  27. 27. Percent Change in Residential Closing Price Per Square Foot 2013 to 2014 3.9% 4.5% 1.6% -0.6% -1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% Durham Wake Chatham Orange Triangle Multiple Listing Services
  28. 28. 2014 Average Home Price by Location $208,174 $272,398 $330,054 $334,552 $0 $50,000 $100,000 $150,000 $200,000 $250,000 $300,000 $350,000 $400,000 Durham Wake Orange Chatham Triangle Multiple Listing Services
  29. 29. 2014 Average Home Price by Location Triangle Multiple Listing Services $208,174 $272,398 $330,054 $334,552 $362,405 $0 $50,000 $100,000 $150,000 $200,000 $250,000 $300,000 $350,000 $400,000 Durham Wake Orange Chatham CHCCS Dist
  30. 30. Non-Owner Occupied (2009-2013) U.S. Census Bureau 49.9% 62.5% 43.2% 39.5% 33.6% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Chapel Hill Carrboro Hillsborough Orange County North Carolina
  31. 31. Orange County Housing Gross Rent U.S Census Bureau 1% 1% 6% 30% 40% 15% 8% 1% 1% 4% 24% 36% 23% 11% 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 30.00% 35.00% 40.00% 45.00% Less than $200 $200 to $299 $300 to $499 $500 to $749 $750 to $999 $1,000 to $1,499 $1,500 or more 2009-2013 (19,299) 2007-2009 (19,587)
  32. 32. Orange Co. Gross Rent as a Percent of Household Income (2009-13) U.S Census Bureau 9% 10% 23% 13% 8% 29% 8% 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 30.00% 35.00% Less than 15 percent 15 to 19.9 percent 20 to 29.9 percent 30 to 39.9 percent 40.0 to 49.9 percent 50.0 percent or more Not computed
  33. 33. Transportation and Commuting
  34. 34. 40,411 Live outside Orange County and drive in for work 37,851 Live in Orange County and drive out of the county for work 19,698 Live in Orange County and work in Orange County U.S. Census Bureau
  35. 35. Chapel Hill Commuting U.S. Census Bureau
  36. 36. Carrboro Commuting U.S. Census Bureau
  37. 37. Orange County Residents’ Commuting U.S. Census Bureau 34.2%45.10% 65.8% 54.90% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 20122011201020092008200720062005200420032002 Live and Work Here Live Here and Work Somewhere Else
  38. 38. Orange County Employee Commuting 32.8% 41.70% 67.2% 58.30% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 20122011201020092008200720062005200420032002 Employed and Living in the Selection Area Employed in the Selection Area but Living Outside U.S. Census Bureau
  39. 39. Commute Change 2010-2012 39,540 33,850 20,622 40,411 37,851 19,698 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 Driving Into Orange for Work Driving Out of Orange for Work Live and Work in Orange 2010 2012 U.S. Census Bureau
  40. 40. Commuting to Primary Jobs U.S. Census Bureau 6,887 6,815 3,196 11,691 14,067 6,495 19,273 19,529 10,007 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 Drive out for work Drive in for work Live and work here > $40,000 $15,000-$40,000 <%15,000
  41. 41. Orange Commuting to Primary Jobs 18.2% 16.9% 16.2% 30.9% 34.8% 33.0% 50.9% 48.3% 50.8% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0% Drive out for work Drive in for work Live and work here > $40,000 $15,000- $40,000 <%15,000 US Census Bureau
  42. 42. Young Worker (< 29 yo) Commuting 2010-12 9,045 6,693 3,933 8,807 7,372 3,336 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 Driving Into Orange for Work Driving Out of Orange for Work Live and Work in Orange 2010 2012 U.S. Census Bureau
  43. 43. Percent Change in Young Worker (< 29 yo) Commuting 2010-12 -2.6% 10.1% -15.2% -20.0% -15.0% -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% Driving Into Orange for Work Driving Out of Orange for Work Live and Work in Orange U.S. Census Bureau
  44. 44. Chapel Hill Transit Ridership (millions) Chapel Hill Transit 5.27 7.23 6.94 6.73 4.00 4.50 5.00 5.50 6.00 6.50 7.00 7.50 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
  45. 45. GoTriangle Ridership (Millions) GoTriangle (formerly Triangle Transit) 0.71 1.14 1.84 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2
  46. 46. That’s right, takeaways
  47. 47. Working, Wages and Poverty
  48. 48. Percent of Persons Living Below Poverty Level (2009-2013) U.S Census Bureau 17.9% 15.5% 23.1% 17.0% 22.2% 0 5 10 15 20 25 North Carolina Orange County Chapel Hill Carrboro Hillsborough
  49. 49. Percent of Children in Poverty 27.1% 21.5% 22.4% 21.6% 17.4% 13.4% 14.5% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Alamance Chatham Durham Johnston Orange Wake U.S Census Bureau
  50. 50. Orange County Children in Poverty 2897 3879 4822 4627 4258 3820 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 U.S Census Bureau
  51. 51. Percent of K-12 Students Enrolled in Free and Reduced Lunch NC Dept of Public Instruction 46.0% 59.7% 44.0% 53.5%50.6% 66.3% 32.6% 43.3% 21.7% 28.2% 33.7% 37.6% 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% Alamance Chatham Durham Orange: OCS Orange: CHCCS Wake
  52. 52. Percent of CHCCS Elementary Students Receiving Free and Reduced Lunch N.C Dept of Public Instruction 43% 41% 26% 31% 29% 51% 29% 33% 29% 26% 32% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% Northside Elementary Carrboro Elementary Elizabeth Seawell Elem Ephesus Road Elementary Estes Hills Elementary Frank P Graham Elementary Glenwood Elementary C and L McDougle Elem Mary Scroggs Elementary Morris Grove Elementary Mel and Zora Rashkis Elem 2012-13 2013-14
  53. 53. N.C Dept of Public Instruction Percent of Orange County Schools Elem Students Receiving Free and Reduced Lunch 37% 83% 65% 42% 17% 59% 49% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Cameron Park Elementary Central Elementary Efland Cheeks Elementary Grady Brown Elementary Hillsborough Elementary New Hope Elementary Pathways Elementary 2012-13 2013-14
  54. 54. Orange County Families Receiving Food and Nutrition Services (Formerly Food Stamps) NC Division of Social Services 2,903 3,037 3,526 4,600 5,466 6,078 6,320 6,533 6,352 6,199 6,087 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 7,000 Apr-07 Jul-07 Oct-07 Jan-08 Apr-08 Jul-08 Oct-08 Jan-09 Apr-09 Jul-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10 Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Jan-12 Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-14 Apr-14 Jul-14 Oct-14 Jan-15 Apr-15 Jul-15
  55. 55. Orange County Families Receiving Food and Nutrition Services (Formerly Food Stamps) NC Division of Social Services 6,525 6,309 6,199 6,087 5,800 5,900 6,000 6,100 6,200 6,300 6,400 6,500 6,600
  56. 56. Extremely Low Income (ELI) Less Than 30% of Median Income 1,839 1,766 1,022 5,891 7,062 6,026 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 2000 2005-07 2011-13 ELI Households ELI Units < $20,300 < $18,700 < $21,400 Urban Institute
  57. 57. Residential Units per 100 ELI Households 31 39 31 31 25 34 25 29 17 23 18 20 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Orange Durham Chatham Wake 2011-13 2005-07 2000 Urban Institute
  58. 58. Per Capita Personal Income (2013) #1 Chatham $53,336 #2 Orange: $52,339 #6 Wake $46,097 #12 Durham $41,376 NC: $38,611 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 Chatham Mecklenburg Cumberland Currituck Carteret Polk Pamlico Forsyth Guilford Cabarrus Davie Henderson Jones Chowan Johnston Davidson Lenoir Gaston Catawba Wilkes Caswell Alamance Alexander Martin Sampson Alleghany Stanly Hoke Washington Transylvania Surry Bertie Duplin Granville Bladen Vance Person Pasquotank Harnett Jackson Avery Madison Tyrrell Clay Hertford Caldwell Mitchell Rutherford Cherokee Robeson U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
  59. 59. Per Capita Income Change 2009-2013 U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis 9.5% 15.5% 7.3% 9.7% 14.5% 10.7% 12.8% 6.1% 10.4% 11.7% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0% 18.0% Alamance Chatham Durham Johnston Mecklenburg North Carolina Orange Person Randolph Wake
  60. 60. Per Capita Personal Income 1969-2013 $39,646 $45,018 $52,339 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 North Carolina Durham Chapel Hill MSA Orange County U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
  61. 61. Per Capita Personal Income 2000-2013 $39,646 $45,018 $52,339 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 North Carolina Durham Chapel Hill MSA Orange County U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
  62. 62. Median vs. Per Capita Income (2009-2013) $33,840 $36,391 $41,376 $52,339 $53,336 $46,097 $43,043 $49,711 $51,853 $55,569 $57,091 $66,006 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 Alamance Johnston Durham Orange Chatham Wake Median Household Income Per Capita Income U.S. Census Bureau; U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
  63. 63. Unemployment Over Time NC Dept of Commerce 2.9% 5.8% 5.5% 4.3% 3.2% 6.7% 5% 6.6% 4.7% 10.9% 6.1% 1.0 3.0 5.0 7.0 9.0 11.0 13.0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Jun-15 Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina
  64. 64. Chapel Hill Residents Employed NC Department of Commerce 25,828 26,424 25,961 27,072 27,619 27,691 28,117 27,800 28,330 24,500 25,000 25,500 26,000 26,500 27,000 27,500 28,000 28,500 29,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Jun-15
  65. 65. Orange County Residents Employment NC Department of Commerce 65,473 66,931 65,815 66,327 67,725 68,527 69,582 69,942 71,277 62,000 63,000 64,000 65,000 66,000 67,000 68,000 69,000 70,000 71,000 72,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Jun-15
  66. 66. Unemployed Individuals NC Department of Commerce 1,638 1,436 1,659 4,728 3,254 3,751 - 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Jun-15 Chapel Hill Orange County
  67. 67. Our Non Profit Employment Sector
  68. 68. Number of 501 (c)3 Nonprofits Filing 990s 83 485 107 303 1,370 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 Chatham Durham Johnston Orange Wake NC Center for Nonprofits
  69. 69. Average Annual Wages for Non Profit Employees $50,666 $28,869 $56,585 $28,082 $58,850 $42,470 $0.00 $10,000.00 $20,000.00 $30,000.00 $40,000.00 $50,000.00 $60,000.00 $70,000.00 Triangle Area * Chatham Durham Johnston Orange Wake Orange Avg Wage $53,445 NC Center for Nonprofits
  70. 70. Orange County Non Profits Orange County Registered Non Profits 735 Orange County 501(c)3 Orgs Filing 990s 333 Annual Revenue of Orange County 501(c)3s $5.2 billion Assets of Orange county 501(c)3s $933 million Urban Institute
  71. 71. Incubation and Start Up Opened Facility Size (sq/ft) Enterprises served in 2013 and 2014 Mid Way Business Center 2001 5,000 11 Piedmont Food & Ag Processing Center 2011 10,400 37 The Cube (UNC- Campus Y) 2012 1,500 15 LaUNCh Chapel Hill 2013 3,400 34 1789 2013 3,500 45 TOTALS 23,800 142 enterprises Personal Interviews
  72. 72. Nominal 2014 County GDP (Billions) $5.6 $28.7 $1.6 $57.9 $6.0 $6.5 $0.0 $10.0 $20.0 $30.0 $40.0 $50.0 $60.0 $70.0 Alamance Durham Chatham Wake Orange Johnston National Association of Counties
  73. 73. Chatham County National Association of Counties
  74. 74. Durham County Economic Output National Association of Counties
  75. 75. Orange County National Association of Counties
  76. 76. Stretch Break and Video Interlude Sponsor
  77. 77. Taxes and Revenue
  78. 78. Orange County Taxable Sales (Millions) NC Department of Revenue $907 $1,422 $1,477 $0.00 $200.00 $400.00 $600.00 $800.00 $1,000.00 $1,200.00 $1,400.00 $1,600.00 4% Growth Over Previous Year
  79. 79. Orange Co. Gross Sales Tax Collection (Millions) NC Department of Revenue $40.82 $67.84 $70.47 $0.00 $10.00 $20.00 $30.00 $40.00 $50.00 $60.00 $70.00 $80.00
  80. 80. Percent Share of Sales Tax Revenue Distribution 62% 9% 25% 0% 3% 1% 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% Orange County Carrboro Chapel Hill Durham Hillsborough Mebane NC Dept of Revenue
  81. 81. Retail Demand How it works • The average Orange County household spends $34,229 on retail purchases including food. • Multiply the annual spend by 53,141 household gives total retail demand of ~$1.82 billion • The Retail Gap is delta between demand and annual retail sales.
  82. 82. 2014 Average Local Household Retail Demand (with Food and Drink) $23,560 $31,342 $28,247 $25,745 $34,229 $36,238 $0 $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 $20,000 $25,000 $30,000 $35,000 $40,000 Alamance County (NC) Chatham County (NC) Durham County (NC) Johnston County (NC) Orange County (NC) Wake County (NC) NC Department of Commerce
  83. 83. 2014 Retail Demand vs Retail Sales (Billions) NC Department of Commerce $1.8 $0.9 $3.3 $1.5 $1.7 $0.9 $0.8 $3.4 $1.8 $1.9 $0.0 $0.5 $1.0 $1.5 $2.0 $2.5 $3.0 $3.5 $4.0 Orange Chatham Durham Alamance Johnston 2014 Total Retail Demand 2014 Retail Sales
  84. 84. Total Retail Gap (Millions) (with Food and Drink) NC Department of Commerce $727.9 $235.8 $375.8 ($153.8) $59.9 $866.5 $133.6 ($104.7) ($338.9) ($195.6) ($400,000,000) ($200,000,000) $0 $200,000,000 $400,000,000 $600,000,000 $800,000,000 $1,000,000,000 Orange County Chatham Durham Alamance Johnston 2012 Retail Gap 2014 Retail Gap
  85. 85. Retail Gap Change from 2012 to 2014 (Millions) $138.6 ($102.2) ($480.6) ($185.1) ($255.5) ($600,000,000) ($500,000,000) ($400,000,000) ($300,000,000) ($200,000,000) ($100,000,000) $0 $100,000,000 $200,000,000 Orange Chatham Durham Alamance Johnston NC Department of Commerce
  86. 86. Orange Retail Gap (Millions) NC Department of Commerce $233 $205 $82 $82 $77 $41 $30 $30 $20 ($7) ($50) $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 General Merchandise Stores Motor Vehicles Parts and Dealers Food and Beverage Stores Health and Personal Care Stores Clothing/Accessories Stores Electronics and Appliance Stores 2014 Retail Gap: Furniture/Home… Gasoline Stations Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores Food Services & Drinking Places
  87. 87. The News We Have Been Waiting For…. … But Not Really :-(
  88. 88. $Tax revenue/population $Tax Rev + New Tax Rev/population
  89. 89. Sales Tax Revenue Per Capita NC Dept of Revenue $108.74 $147.95 $135.04 $127.95 $210.19 $152.12 $129.31 $80.00 $100.00 $120.00 $140.00 $160.00 $180.00 $200.00 $220.00 Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Johnston Wake 2012 2013
  90. 90. Sales Tax Revenue Per Capita John Locke Foundation $108.74 $147.95 $135.04 $126.88 $127.95 $210.19 $129.31 $100.00 $120.00 $140.00 $160.00 $180.00 $200.00 $220.00 2010 2011 2012 2013 Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake
  91. 91. Sales Tax Per Capita Rankings John Locke Foundation 81 42 55 53 19 61 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 2010 2011 2012 2013 Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake
  92. 92. Per Capital Income Rank vs Per Capita Retail Sales Rank John Locke Foundation 12 2 19 42 051015202530354045 Durham Orange Per Capita Income Rank Percapital Retail Sales Rank
  93. 93. A little property data …
  94. 94. Total Assessed Property Value (Billions) $1.92 $6.37 $0.68 $6.64 Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough Rest of Orange County TOTAL $15.6 Billion Orange County Tax Administration
  95. 95. 2014 Commercial vs Residential Tax Base 12.77% 18.47% 15.82% 40.46% 2.89% 4.27% 7.56% 1.21% 84.34% 77.26% 76.62% 58.33% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Orange County Chapel Hill Carrboro Hillsborough Commerical Apartments Residential Orange County Tax Administration
  96. 96. 2014 Orange County Commercial Assessed Value ($Millions) $303.4 $1,176.0 $273.7 $238.4 Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough Rest of Orange County Orange County Tax Administration
  97. 97. Orange County Assessed Value TOTAL TOTAL $15.6 Billion $0.0 $2,000.0 $4,000.0 $6,000.0 $8,000.0 $10,000.0 $12,000.0 $14,000.0 Commercial Residential Apartment Rest of Orange County Hillsborough Chapel Hill Carrboro 1.99 Billion $451.7 Million $13.16 Billion Orange County Tax Administration
  98. 98. 2013 City and Town Tax Rate 0.33 0.3826 0.494 0.5675 0.675 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 Huntersville Cary Raleigh Apex Asheville Charlotte Wilmington Fayetteville Concord Winston-Salem Chapel Hill Hickory Wilson Greenville Gastonia Jacksonville Monroe Kannapolis Durham Burlington Rocky Mount Greensboro Salisbury Goldsboro High Point NC Dept of Revenue
  99. 99. Total of All Jurisdictions Property Tax Rate 0.864 0.9166 1.3119 1.4554 1.5404 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 Cary Raleigh Apex Wilmington Hickory Huntersville Asheville Burlington Jacksonville Winston-Salem Concord Fayetteville Greenville Monroe Charlotte Wilson Rocky Mount Salisbury Kannapolis Durham Goldsboro Gastonia Greensboro High Point Chapel Hill NC Dept of Revenue
  100. 100. Property Taxes on Median House Prices $1,100.00 $1,604.05 $1,819.25 $2,164.64 $2,224.80 $4,898.47 $0.00 $500.00 $1,000.00 $1,500.00 $2,000.00 $2,500.00 $3,000.00 $3,500.00 $4,000.00 $4,500.00 $5,000.00 Burlington Kannapolis Salisbury Rocky Mount Hickory Winston-Salem Fayetteville Monroe Goldsboro Wilson Greenville Gastonia Jacksonville Raleigh Wilmington Greensboro High Point Charlotte Asheville Concord Durham Apex Cary Huntersville Chapel Hill NC Dept of Revenue and RealEstate.com
  101. 101. Environment
  102. 102. Water Sales and Accounts 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000 22,000 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 CustomerAccounts WaterSales(MillionGallonsPerDayAverage) Actual Water Sales Customer Accounts Reclaimed Water to UNC begins 2009
  103. 103. Monthly Water & Sewer Bills 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 $70 $80 $90 $100 RateIncrease AverageMonthlyBillBasedon4,000gallons permonthresidentialcustomer Average Bill Projected Average Bill Rate Increase Projected Rate Increase 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 3% 3% 3%
  104. 104. Orange County Water Users (MGD) 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 1997 2002 2007 2009 2010 2011 2012 Mebane MGD Orange-Alamance MGD Hillsborough MGD OWASA MGD 2014 Orange County State of the Environment
  105. 105. Totally & Partially Protected Lands (Acres) 1,229 4,088 7,784 10,804 12,722 14,473 3,151 5,230 8,613 9,609 10,185 10,174 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 Pre-1981 1981-90 1991-2000 2001-04 2005-08 2009-13 Totally Protected Lands Partially Protected Lands 8,250 acre (50%) increase since 2000 #1 Duke University (5,092 acres) 2014 Orange County State of the Environment
  106. 106. Annual Ozone Exceedances Orange County State of the Environment
  107. 107. Orange County Diagnosis of Asthma (All Ages) in Hospital Discharges per 100,000 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 48 72.7 62.8 45.6 NC State Center on Health Statistics
  108. 108. Air Quality: Orange County Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Sector 2009 Orange County State of the Environment Report Transportation, 49% Residential, 19% Commercial/ Institutional, 29% Solid Waste, 1% Industrial , 2%
  109. 109. Air Pollution and Volatile Organic Compounds Orange County State of the Environment
  110. 110. Air Pollutants by Source Over Time Orange County State of the Environment
  111. 111. Health and Safety
  112. 112. Health Indicators Health Indicator Orange County Chatham County Who is #1 Length of Life #1 #6 Orange Quality of Life #3 #34 Wake Health Behaviors #1 #17 Orange Clinical Care #1 #8 Orange Social and Economic Factors #1 #8 Orange Physical Environment #5 #24 Hyde County Health Rankings
  113. 113. All Cancer Frequency (per 100,000) NC State Center for Health Statistics 488.9 499.1 463.0 480.9 458.0 476.1 420 440 460 480 500 520 540 North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake 2008-2012 Rate 2006-2010 Rate
  114. 114. Orange County Pregnancy Rate Girls Age 15-17 (per 1000) NC State Center for Health Statistics 26.1 10.6 8.7 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 White Minority Total
  115. 115. Orange County Teen Pregnancies (Girls 15-17) NC State Center for Health Statistics 22 26 27 36 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 2013 2012 2011 2010
  116. 116. Orange County Infant Mortality Rate (per 1000 live births) NC State Center for Health Statistics 3.4 7.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Orange County State
  117. 117. County Property Crime Rates (Per 100,000) State Bureau of Investigation 3,319 3,319 1,967 6,985 4,391 4,887 2,206 4,240 2,428 1,000.0 2,000.0 3,000.0 4,000.0 5,000.0 6,000.0 7,000.0 8,000.0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
  118. 118. County Violent Crime Rates (Per 100,000) State Bureau of Investigation 395.1 232 188.4 599.8 371.5 146.9 241.9 0.0 100.0 200.0 300.0 400.0 500.0 600.0 700.0 800.0 900.0 1,000.0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
  119. 119. More information at: relyMD.com/carolinachamber Contact: Lisa Weistart (919) 357-9983 lweistart@carolinachamber.org
  120. 120. Education
  121. 121. Total Per Pupil Funding All Sources $8,029 $9,439 $9,989 $9,602 $10,872 $7,880 $8,477 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 Alamance-Burlington Schools Chatham County Schools Durham County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel-Hill/Carrboro City Schools Wake County Schools NC Average NC Department of Public Instruction
  122. 122. High School Graduation Rates N.C. Dept of Public Instruction 90.8% 94.3% 66.5% 86.3% 69.1% 84.9% 60.0% 65.0% 70.0% 75.0% 80.0% 85.0% 90.0% 95.0% 100.0% 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 CHCCS 4-year CHCCS 5-year OCS 4-year OCS 5-year NC 4-year NC 5-year
  123. 123. School District Dropout Rates N.C. Dept of Public Instruction 0.50% 2.28% 0.00% 1.00% 2.00% 3.00% 4.00% 5.00% 6.00% 7.00% OCS Rate CHCCS Rate NC Rate
  124. 124. Percent Grade Level Proficient (3, 4 or 5) Reading, Grade 3 60.2 62.4 74.6 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Reading Grade 3 Reading Grade 3 Reading Grade 3 NorthCarolina Orange County SchoolsCHCCS NC Dept of Public Instruction
  125. 125. Percent Grade Level Proficient (3, 4 or 5) 3rd Grade End of Grade Test (EOG) 60.6 63.2 74.5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 EOG Grade 3 EOG Grade 3 EOG Grade 3 NorthCarolina Orange County SchoolsCHCCS NC Dept of Public Instruction
  126. 126. Percent College/Career Ready (4or5) 8th Grade End of Grade Test 46.3 49.8 74.2 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 EOG Grade 8 EOG Grade 8 EOG Grade 8 North Carolina Orange County SchoolsCHCCS NC Dept of Public Instruction
  127. 127. Percent of Students College/Career Ready (4 or 5) in Math, Grade 7 39 35.9 69.5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Math Grade 7 Math Grade 7 Math Grade 7 North Carolina Orange County SchoolsCHCCS NC Dept of Public Instruction
  128. 128. Percent of Students College/Career Ready (4 or 5) 8th Grade Science EOC 61.9 64.1 84.6 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Science Grade 8 Science Grade 8 Science Grade 8 NorthCarolina OrangeCounty SchoolsCHCCS
  129. 129. CHCCS Percent of Students Passing BOTH End of Grade Reading and Math Tests 74.6% 15.2% 26.0% 70.5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% White Black Hispanic Asian NC Dept of Public Instruction
  130. 130. CHCCS Percent of Students Passing Both End of Grade Reading & Math Test 16.1% 74.7% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Economically Disadvantaged (E.D.) Not Economically Disadvantaged (N.E.D.) NC Dept of Public Instruction
  131. 131. Percent of Economically Disadvantaged Students Passing Both End of Grade Reading and Math Tests 17.4% 16.1% 17.3% 11.1% 15.2% 15.0% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% North Carolina CHCCS OCS Durham Alamance-Burlington Schools Chatham NC Dept of Public Instruction
  132. 132. Higher Education
  133. 133. UNC Chapel Hill’s 29,278 students 18,503 8,262 2,513 undergraduate graduate professional UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
  134. 134. UNC’s 11,900 Employees 3,608 8,292 Faculty (Total) Non-Faculty Staff (Total) UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
  135. 135. Fall 2014 UNC Chapel Hill Student Housing UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment 8,520 (29%) 321 (1%) 18,238 (63%) 841 (3%) 1,215 (4%) Resident Student Housing Married Student Housing Off-Campus Fraternity & Sorority Other University Affiliated Housing (Granville Towers)
  136. 136. UNC Chapel Hill Annual Research Funding (2000-2014) UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment $792,729,006 $0 $100,000,000 $200,000,000 $300,000,000 $400,000,000 $500,000,000 $600,000,000 $700,000,000 $800,000,000 $900,000,000 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
  137. 137. State Appropriations (FY 2014 UNC Chapel Hill) UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment $543,291,852 $482,727,867 $0 $100,000,000 $200,000,000 $300,000,000 $400,000,000 $500,000,000 $600,000,000 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
  138. 138. Total UNC Revenues $2,937,990,505 $482,727,867 $0 $500,000,000 $1,000,000,000 $1,500,000,000 $2,000,000,000 $2,500,000,000 $3,000,000,000 $3,500,000,000 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Total Revenues State Appropriations $1 Billion 1997 $2 Billion 2006
  139. 139. UNC Student Enrollment UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment 21,465 23,852 24,872 29,135 15,000 17,000 19,000 21,000 23,000 25,000 27,000 29,000 31,000
  140. 140. Percent Growth of UNC Student Enrollment UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment 0.96 2.50 2.21 1.27 1.97 1.48 1.62 1.51 1.53 1.22 1.64 -0.86 0.48 -0.52 0.03 -1.50 -1.00 -0.50 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
  141. 141. UNC Campus Gross Sq Ft (000s) UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment 7,847 9,639 12,312 18,394 19,536 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000
  142. 142. N University Master Plan – Land Holdings
  143. 143. UNC Chapel Hill’s 95 Start-Up Companies UNC Office of Technology Development 5 11 3 3 3 1 6 1 7 1 5 7 9 14 10 9 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
  144. 144. UNC Chapel Hill Number of US Patents Issues UNC Office of Technology Development 22 27 33 31 25 34 48 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
  145. 145. UNC Chapel Hill Licensed Rev (millions) UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment $3.0 $2.8 $1.5 $2.4 $3.8 $7.9 $3.0 $0.0 $1.0 $2.0 $3.0 $4.0 $5.0 $6.0 $7.0 $8.0 $9.0 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
  146. 146. Durham Tech
  147. 147. Durham Tech
  148. 148. Durham Tech
  149. 149. Durham Tech
  150. 150. Visitors
  151. 151. Chapel Hill/Orange Co. Hotel Occupancy 58.9% 59.6% 64.1% 65.1% 65.4% 70.0% 71.1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 June YTD Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau
  152. 152. Chapel Hill/ Orange Co. Average Daily Rate $107.35 $102.12 $101.61 $104.38 $106.49 $113.95 $94.00 $96.00 $98.00 $100.00 $102.00 $104.00 $106.00 $108.00 $110.00 $112.00 $114.00 $116.00 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD June Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau
  153. 153. Chapel Hill/Orange Co. Room Revenue $63.3 $60.9 $65.2 $68.0 $69.6 $79.5 $84.1 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 June YTD RevPAR RevPAR, or revenue per available room, is a performance metric calculated by multiplying a hotel's average daily room rate (ADR) by its occupancy rate. Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau
  154. 154. 2014 Taxes Generated by Tourists (Millions) 3.88 9.46 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Local State 2014 • In 2014, visitors to Orange County generated $13.34 million in State and Local Taxes (including sales, lodging, food & beverage, gas and other) Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau
  155. 155. Tourism Spending in Orange County (millions) 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau
  156. 156. Competitive Advantage Money Magazine
  157. 157. Accolades and Awards • #9 most educated places in America by NerdWallet • Best Places to Live by Money Magazine • Top cities for music that aren’t New York or LA by mic.com • Best college cities or towns in America by WalletHub • Best Small City for Education by Movoto.com • #4 of best commute cities in NC by Obrella • #13 of the 19 Totally Magical Libraries To Visit Before You Die by BuzzFeed • #7 Best College Town for People who Aren't in College by Conde Nast • #3 Most Caring Small City in America by Movoto.com • #1 Community we would want to work or live in by ‘CHCCC’
  158. 158. How You Can Support Performance Golf Classic Sept. 28 at Governors Club Donate at carolinachamber.org/partnership
  159. 159. Be a SuperFan! Golf Sponsor
  160. 160. Meet local businesses and maybe your next client at… PRIMETIME presented by Michelin OnSite 4-7 p.m., Sept. 10, here at the Friday Center!
  161. 161. www.carolinachamber.org/events For sponsorship opportunities contact Aubrey Fox Williams at afoxwilliams@carolinachamber.org Orange County Development Briefing presented by the Town of Chapel Hill October 20, 2015
  162. 162. slideshare.net/carolinachamber Check the Chamber’s SlideShare account for the entire presentation.
  163. 163. Connect With Us Facebook.com/ChapelHillCarrboroChamber Twitter: @CarolinaChamber Instagram: @carolinachamber flickr.com/photos/carolinachamber LinkedIn: Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber group carolinachamber.org

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