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2012 STATE OF THE
COMMUNITY REPORT
Aaron Nelson, President and CEO
Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber of Commerce
Presenting Sponsor
Use #SOC2012
  If you’re tweeting this event
Media Sponsor
Barry Leffler, Owner and General Manager
        WCHL and Chapelboro.com
Gold Sponsors
Breakfast Sponsor




Fordham Blvd./Meadowmont
Bronze Sponsors
Table Sponsors
• Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors
  Bureau
• Orange County Economic Development
• Town of Carrboro
• UNC Health Care
Presenting Sponsor
Mark Bensen, President and CEO
Triangle Community Foundation
Background on this Report
• Our Fifth State of the Community Report
• Born out of graduate student research at UNC
• Social, Environmental and Economic Indicators
• Objective: deliver relevant information to
  community and business leaders
• Thank you to Kristen Smith, director of public
  policy and member engagement
Community
Demography
Population
       Jurisdiction     2000        2011        Growth Rate

                                                 +19,739
 Orange County        116,016     135,755
                                              (17%/1.6%pa)
                                                  +662
    Hillsborough       5,513       6,175
                                              (12%/1.1%pa)
                                                   +2,222
         Carrboro      17,668      19,890
                                              (12.6%/1.1%pa)
                                                   +9,973
       Chapel Hill     48,038      58,011
                                              (20.8%/1.9%pa)
                                                +1,577,577
  North Carolina      8,078,824   9,656,401
                                              (19.5%/1.8%pa)
U.S. Census Bureau
160,000
                               Population Growth
                                                                          135,755
140,000

120,000 116,016

100,000

 80,000
             48,038                                                        58,011
 60,000

 40,000
            17,668                                                         19,890
 20,000
          5,513                                                              6,175
     0
             2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
                  Orange County   Carrboro   Chapel Hill   Hillsborough
          U.S. Census Bureau
6.5% of 449,433 in projected 6-
                                                                      county growth
                Population Projections                        1.9% of projected state growth


                                            Growth Rate
  County            2015           2020                            2025        Growth Rate
                                               (2010)

  ALAMANCE 156,400                161,234    +9,701 (6.4%)        166,070     +14,537 (9.59%)

   CHATHAM         69,593         75,891    +12,085 (18.9%)       82,191      +18,385 (28.8%)

    DURHAM 286,421                305,001   +36,589 (13.6%)       323,160     +54,748 (20.4%)

   JOHNSTON 184,158               198,644   +28,975 (17.1%)       231,127     +43,458 (25.6%)

     ORANGE 143,709               153,625   +19,424 (14.5%)       163,539     +29,338 (21.9%)

         WAKE 1,003,024         1,099,385 +192,597 (21.2%)       1,195,745   +288,957 (31.9%)

NC Office of State Budget and Management
Orange County Population by Race
                              Orange County    Black

                      12.4%      0.7%
                                               American Indian
                                       7.1%
                                        0.1%   Asian

                                8.1%
                                               Native Hawaiian or
                                               Pacific Islander
     70.5%                                     Hispanic or Latino

                                               White, not Hispanic

 U.S. Census Bureau
2011 Orange County Population by Race
100%
  90%
                            80.1%           77.4%                       77.5%
  80%
  70%
  60%
  50%
  40%
  30%
  20%                        15.7%                                 12.4%
                                             13.7%
  10%                                                                  7.1%
                     2.5%                    4.1%
   0%                                          4.4%                       8.1%
                     0.3%
                       1990                   2000                  2011

                     White       African American     Latino/Hispanic       Asian
U.S. Census Bureau
Minority Race/Ethnicity
                       African American     Hispanic or Latino      Asian
35%

30%
                           29.5%

25%
                                                                            21.5%
20%

15%       13.8%
                                                   11.9% 11.9%
      10.1%                                9.7%
10%             8.2%                                             8.2%           8.4%
                                6.6%              6.4%               6.7%
5%
                                   1.7%                                              2.2%
0%
         Carrboro           Hillsborough    Chapel Hill   Orange County         NC

  U.S. Census Bureau
Educational Attainment (2011)
                     89.9%
 90%
                             83.6% 85.0%
 80%
 70%
                                                       54.4%
 60%
 50%
 40%                                                                      27.9%
                                                               26.1%
 30%
 20%
 10%
   0%
           High School Graduate (or higher)        Bachelors Degree (or higher)
                       Orange County       North Carolina     United States

U.S. Census Bureau
Where We Live
Location of Orange County Housing Units
   Carrboro            Hillsborough   Chapel Hill    Rest of County
                                             9,258, 16%


  21,492, 39%                                       2,593, 5%




                                                    22,254, 40%


  U.S. Census Bureau
Percent Renter-Occupied
Rest of Orange County                 18.1%


             Chapel Hill                                          52.4%


           Hillsborough                             35.9%


                Carrboro                                                  61.5%

                           0%   10%   20%     30%    40%    50%     60%      70%


  U.S. Census Bureau
Number of Homes Sold in Orange County
   2000                       185918861797
                     1686                    1749
   1800
            1543
   1600
   1400                                             1271
                                                           114011421126
   1200
   1000
    800
    600
    400
    200
       0
            2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

  Triangle Multiple Listing Service
2011 Average Home Price by County
                                                           $325,020
      $350,000
                                               $299,874
      $300,000
                                    $247,090
      $250,000
                         $185,311
      $200,000

      $150,000

      $100,000

        $50,000

               $0
                         Durham     Wake       Chatham    Orange

Triangle Multiple Listing Service
Orange County Average Residential
              Closing Prices
$360,000                                                  $342,740
                                            $320,489                           $329,918
$340,000                                          $318,899                                $325,020
                                                                 $321,326
$320,000                $298,883
                                                                        $317,847
$300,000         $280,592
$280,000 $262,920
$260,000
$240,000
$220,000
$200,000
               2002      2003        2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009     2010     2011
 Triangle Multiple Listing Service
600
           Resident Building Permits
   500

   400

   300

   200
                                                                                              135
   100
                                                                                              45
      0                                                                                       41

                Carrboro          Chapel Hill            Orange County (incl. Hillsborough)
Home Builders Association of Durham, Orange, & Chatham
Chapel Hill-Carrboro School District
       Residential Average Sales Price
$360,000
$340,000
                                                      $325,000 $325,000
$320,000
                                           $305,000
$300,000
                 $296,000 $297,000
$280,000
$260,000
$240,000
$220,000
$200,000
                      2007          2008     2009       2010     2011

Triangle Multiple Listing Service
Chapel Hill-Carrboro School District
         Average Sales Price per Sq Ft
170

160
                $164                  $160
150                                            $157      $154     $149
140

130

120

110

100
               2007                 2008     2009     2010      2011

Triangle Multiple Listing Service
Community Home Trust: Meet our average homeowner
58% work for
UNC/UNC
Healthcare,
our local
governments
or our local
school                            45
districts                         families
                                  are led
                                  by single
                                  mothers
                                       Earns an average
The average
                                       household income of
homeowner is 43
years old                              $36,770
Community Home Trust
        Fiscal Year 2011-2012 Snapshot


•196 Permanently Affordable Homes
   •36 Single Family Homes, 91 Townhomes, 69 Condos

•27 More Homes 2012-13

•65% increase in applications received over 2010-2011

• Average household size of buyers decreased from 2.29
in 2007-08 to 1.58 in 2011-12
Cost of Living Index
120%




          Chapel Hill/OC
             104.8%


100%
                                    Charlotte 94.1%

                       Burlington                          Raleigh 88.5%
                         95.1%
                                            Durham 91.9%

                                                                     Winston Salem
80%                                                                     87.0%
   ACCRA Cost of Living Index
Where We Work
First, We Commute
39,540 Live outside Orange County and drive in for work
33,850 Live in Orange County and drive out of the County for work
20,662 Live in Orange County and work in Orange County




                         39,540   20,662   33,850




    U.S. Census Bureau
Percent of Town of Chapel Hill
Employees Living in Chapel Hill Zip Codes
45%
                    41%
40%
35%
                            30%
30%                                  27%
25%                                          22%
20%
15%
10%
 5%
 0%
                 1995     2004    2008     2010

Chapel Hill Data Book
Distribution of UNC Chapel Hill’s
    11,900 employees by home address
7000

6000
       5820
5000

4000

3000
                 2276
2000
                           1242 1158
1000                                            593
                                                      85   72   60   31   13
   0




UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
Orange County Commuting to Work
          Other means,     Work at
             3.8%        home, 6.4%

  Walked, 5.3%

     Public
Transportation
     8.3%




   Carpooled,                         Drove Alone,
      9.5%                               66.8%

U.S. Census Bureau
Chapel Hill Transit Ridership (millions)
8
                                               7.29
                                                               6.97
7

6

5

4
       3.01
3

2

1

0
       FY 01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12

    Chapel Hill Transit
Mean Travel Time to Work (Minutes)
                                                                                    26
            25.3                 25.4                     25.1               25.3   25

                                                                                    24
            23.2                 23.4                     23.2               23.4   23
                                                                             22.5
                                                                                    22
            21.4                 21.3                 21.4
                                                                                    21

                                                                                    20

                                                                                    19
 2007 Estimate            2008 Estimate         2009 Estimate      2010 Estimate
                     Orange County        United States     North Carolina

U.S. Census Bureau
Then We Go to Work
Chapel Hill Residents Employed
29,000
28,500
28,000                                                          27,815
27,500                                                 27,179
27,000
                                              26,901
26,500
                         26,463
          26,035
26,000                               25,687
25,500
25,000
24,500
24,000
              2007           2008     2009     2010     2011    2012 July

 NC Employment Security Commission
Orange County Residents Employment
69,500

68,500                                                         68,146
67,500                   67,031
                                                      66,587
66,500    65,997                             65,908
65,500                              65,119
64,500

63,500

62,500
              2007           2008    2009     2010     2011    2012 July

NC Employment Security Commission
10000
                                                                                                 15000
                                                                                                         20000
                                                                                                                 25000
                                                                                                                         30000
                                                                                                                                 35000
                                                                                                                                                                            50000



                                                                                                                                         40000
                                                                                                                                                          45000




                                                                                  5000

                                                                              0
                                                                      Nc Total
                                                              Alexander, NC
                                                                   Anson, NC
                                                                    Avery, NC
                                                                   Bertie, NC
                                                              Brunswick, NC
                                                                   Burke, NC
                                                                Caldwell, NC
                                                                Carteret, NC
                                                                Catawba, NC
                                                               Cherokee, NC
                                                                      Clay, NC
                                                              Columbus, NC
                                                            Cumberland, NC
                                                                                                                                         Chatham (2)




                                                                     Dare, NC
                                                                    Davie, NC
                                                                Durham, NC
                                                                 Forsyth, NC
                                                                  Gaston, NC
                                                                 Graham, NC
                                                                                                                                                  Durham (7)




                                                                 Greene, NC
                                                                  Halifax, NC
                                                               Haywood, NC
                                                                Hertford, NC
                                                                     Hyde, NC




U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
                                                                 Jackson, NC
                                                                    Jones, NC
                                                                   Lenoir, NC
                                                              McDowell, NC
                                                                Madison, NC
                                                           Mecklenburg, NC
                                                           Montgomery, NC
                                                                                                                                               Cumberland (5) Mecklenburg (4)




                                                                     Nash, NC
                                                           Northampton, NC
                                                                 Orange, NC
                                                             Pasquotank, NC
                                                            Perquimans, NC
                                                                                                                                                                          Orange (1)




                                                                       Pitt, NC
                                                               Randolph, NC
                                                                Robeson, NC
                                                                  Rowan, NC
                                                               Sampson, NC
                                                                   Stanly, NC
                                                                                                                                                                                  Per Capita Income by County




                                                                    Surry, NC
                                                            Transylvania, NC
                                                                   Union, NC
                                                                    Wake, NC
                                                            Washington, NC
                                                                  Wayne, NC
                                                                                                                                                     Wake (6)




                                                                  Wilson, NC
                                                                  Yancey, NC
Orange County Income Levels by
                        Household
                               $200,000 or      Less than
           $150,000 to
                               more, 9.0%    $10,000, 10.8%
         $199,999, 5.1%
                                                        $10,000 to
                                                      $14,999, 5.7%
    $100,000 to
  $149,999, 11.9%
                                                                $15,000 to
                                                              $24,999, 10.5%




     $75,000 to                                                 $25,000 to
   $99,999, 10.8%                                             $34,999, 10.8%


                                                      $35,000 to
                       $50,000 to                   $49,999, 13.9%
                     $74,999, 11.5%
U.S. Census Bureau
Percent Change in Income 2008 v 2010
                       $200,000 or more                11.2%
        -16.4% $150,000 to $199,999
       -14.1% $100,000 to $149,999
                      $75,000 to $99,999        5.9%
   -20.8%             $50,000 to $74,999
                      $35,000 to $49,999                         22.5%
                      $25,000 to $34,999        6.7%
           -6.5%      $15,000 to $24,999
                      $10,000 to $14,999                          26.1%
                       Less than $10,000         7.9%
-30%           -20%        -10%            0%    10%       20%      30%
U.S. Census Bureau
Median Annual Earnings by Sex
                   (Full Time)
                                                                              $60,000

                                                                              $55,000
                                                                   $49,937
                                                                              $50,000
                                                                    $46,500
                                                                              $45,000
                                                                   $45,529
                                                                              $40,000
                                                                   $36,551
                                                                              $35,000

                                                                              $30,000
      2006           2007       2008             2009             2010
           Orange Co. Male   Orange Co. Female          US Male       US Female

U.S. Census Bureau
Unemployment Over Time
12.0
                                                                      9.8%
10.0

 8.0                                                                 7.1%

 6.0
                                                                     6.5%
 4.0

 2.0

   -
         2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
                                                           July
                   Chapel Hill      Orange County   North Carolina
NC Employment Security Commission
Unemployed Individuals
6,000
                                                                       5,175
5,000

4,000

3,000

2,000           2,200                                                    1,944
1,000

   -
                  772
            2007           2008         2009        2010       2011   2012 July
                               Chapel Hill     Orange County
  NC Employment Security Commission
Orange County Percent of
      Government Workers (2006-2010)
                                                                  35%

                                                                  30%

                                                                  25%
 23.7%                                                    22.8%
                                                                  20%

                                                                  15%

                                                                  10%

                                                                  5%

                                                                  0%
     2006              2007       2008       2009       2010
   Estimate          Estimate   Estimate   Estimate   Estimate
U.S. Census Bureau
Orange County Percentage of Private
        Sector Workers (2006-2010)
                                                                         69%
                                                                68.6%
                                                                         68%
      66.7%                                                              67%

                                                                         66%

                                                                         65%

                                                                         64%

                                                                         63%

                                                                         62%
 2006 Estimate 2007 Estimate 2008 Estimate 2009 Estimate 2010 Estimate
U.S. Census Bureau
Orange County Percentage of Self
           Employed (2006-2010)
                                                                         10%
  9.5%
                                                                         9%
                                                                8.5%
                                                                         8%
                                                                         7%
                                                                         6%
                                                                         5%
                                                                         4%
                                                                         3%
                                                                         2%
                                                                         1%
                                                                         0%
 2006 Estimate 2007 Estimate 2008 Estimate 2009 Estimate 2010 Estimate

U.S. Census Bureau
Projected New Job Growth 2009-2014
            Public Administration        185
   Accommodation/Food Services                  481
         Arts/Entertainment/Rec          124
      Health Care/Social Services                                          2,045
             Educational Services                                      1,845
Admin/Supp/Waste Mgmt Services            259
     Prof/Scientific/Tech Services                    736
                     Information          266
                    Construction         153
                                     0         500     1,000   1,500   2,000   2,500
Home to the
Community
County “Physical Environment” Rank
                  2010                              2011              2012
 1
11
21
31                                                                          36
41                                                                          37
51                                                                          49
61                                                                          62
71
81
91                                                                          93
                  Orange        Alamance          Chatham   Durham   Wake

 County Health Rankings, Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
Orange County Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Sector
                        Solid Waste,            Industrial ,
                             1%                    2%

 Commercial/
 Institutional,                                                Transportation,
      29%                                                           49%




               Residential,
                  19%
Orange County State of the Environment Report
Property Crime Rate (per 100,000)
                 Alamance   Chatham   Durham   Orange   Wake
8,000

7,000

6,000

5,000

4,000

3,000

2,000

1,000

     0
          2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

NC Department of Justice
Violent Crime Rate (per 100,000)
        Alamance           Chatham   Durham   Orange   Wake
1,000
 900
 800
 700
 600
 500
 400
 300
 200
 100
    0
          2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
NC Department of Justice
Water Sales and Accounts
                                                10.0                                                                              22,000
                                                                              Drought
Water Sales (Million Gallons Per Day Average)




                                                                              2001/02
                                                 9.0                                                                              20,000
                                                                                                                      Drought
                                                 8.0                                                                  2007/08     18,000




                                                                                                                                           Customer Accounts
                                                 7.0                                                                              16,000


                                                 6.0                                                                              14,000
                                                                                                     University’s use of
                                                                                                      reclaimed water
                                                 5.0                                                   beginning 2009             12,000


                                                 4.0                                                                              10,000


                                                         Actual Water Sales      Projected Water Sales        Customer Accounts

                          Orange Water and Sewer Authority
Monthly Water & Sewer Bills
                                                        $100                                                                                            18%
Average Monthly Bill Based on 4,000 gallons per month




                                                         $90                                                                                            16%
                                                         $80                                                                                            14%
                                                         $70
                                                                                                                                                        12%




                                                                                                                                                              Rate Increase
                                                         $60
                                                                                                                                                        10%
                                                         $50
                                                                                                                                                        8%
                                                         $40
                                                                                                                                                        6%
                                                         $30
                                                         $20                                                                                            4%
                                                         $10                                                                               3%     3%    2%
                                                                                                                    2%   0%         2%
                                                          $0                                                                                            0%



                                                                Average Bill   Projected Average Bill   Rate Increase         Projected Rate Increase



                  Orange Water and Sewer Authority
Orange County Pregnancy Rate
             Girls Age 15-17 (per 1000)
30

25            26.1

20
                                                                           14.7
15

10

 5

 0
        2002        2003        2004    2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010

NC State Center for Health Statistics
Orange County Infant Mortality Rate
            (per 1000 live births)
35

30

25

20

15

10

 5

 0
          2004            2005          2006        2007       2008      2009       2010
                    Orange County              County: White     County: Minority

NC State Center for Health Statistics
Infant Mortality Rate
                          (per 1000 live births)
14

12

10

 8

 6

 4

 2

 0
          2004            2005          2006     2007    2008   2009   2010
                                        Orange County   State

NC State Center for Health Statistics
Orange County Families Receiving Food and
Nutrition Services (Formerly Food Stamps)
7000                                            6304
                                         6090
6000
5000                              4503    5453
4000
3000
2000
1000
   0
          1390


 NC Division of Social Services
Percent of Economically Disadvantaged Students
                        (Formerly Free or Reduced Lunch)
    45%
    40%
                                                                       39.82%
    35%
                 32.60%
    30%
                                                                       23.54%
    25%
    20%
    15%          21.67%
    10%
     5%
     0%
                 2006-07         2007-08      2008-09     2009-10   2010-11
                                     Orange County    CHCCS
N.C Dept of Public Instruction
Percent of Orange County Schools Students
            Receiving Free and Reduced Lunch
                                         2010-2011
 100%
  90%                             82%
  80%
  70%                                         64%                   57%
  60%
  50%     41% 37%                                   41% 42%                     47%
  40%                                   33%                               33%
  30%                       24%
  20%
                                                              16%
  10%
   0%




N.C Dept of Public Instruction
Percent of Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools Students
       Receiving Free and Reduced Lunch
70%
                                                2010-2011
60%
50%                                                   47%
      40%                           42%
40%
                                                                          32%
30%                    24%                26%                                         24%         23%
                                                            21% 19% 22%         20%
20%         18% 20%           16%               15%
                                                                                            19%

10%
0%




  N.C Dept of Public Instruction
Education
High School Graduation Rates
                     CHCCS 4-year       CHCCS 5-year       OCS 4-year
                     OCS 5-year         NC 4-year          NC 5-year
95%

90%                                                    90.8%    90.0%
                                                       86.9%
85%                                                             85.4%

80%                                                    81.1%    80.2%

75%

70%

65%

60%
         2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08    2008-09
      N.C. Dept of Public Instruction
Percentage of Students Performing at or Above Grade
       Level in End of Course Tests (ABC) in CHCCS

95%
      89.2%                90.5% 90.2%                             89.3% 89.5%
90%
                  85.6%                             85.0%
85%                            82.3%
        80.6%                                                                  81.5%
                                              79.9%                  80.0%
80%
                   76.7%                                 76.5%
75%

70%

65%
      English I   Algebra I Algebra II   Biology        Physical    Civics & US History
                                                        Science      Econ.
                                   District     State
Durham Tech Annual Revenue
      2006/07 – 2010/11 (millions)
$60
                                                $49.4
$50
                                    $42.9
$40

$30    $39.4    $38.3       $36.1

$20

$10

$0
      2006-07   2007-08   2008-09    2009-10   2010-11
Durham Tech Enrollment
30,000
          25,444       25,509          25,810         25,368          24,416
25,000

20,000

15,000

           7,662        7,774                        7,987            8,124
10,000                              8,030
 5,000

    0
         2006-07      2007-08        2008-09        2009-10           2010-11
            Unduplicated Total Enrollment       Curriculum Students
Growth of UNC Chapel Hill
             Item                          Growth Since       2011 Total
                                              1980
Full Time Students                             33%        24,222 students
Total Students                                 36%        29,137 students
Total Employees                                   69%     11,909 employees
Gross Square Feet                                139%     18,781,849 sq feet
State Appropriations                             382%     $520 million
Total Annual Revenue                             831%     $2.74 billion
Value of Endowment                              5,544%    $2.24 billion

UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
Percent of Undergrads Housed on
                 Campus (Fall 2011)
                East Carolina University                              24%
   University of California at Berkeley                               25%
    University Wisconsin at Madison                                     30%
     North Carolina State University                                     34%
University of California at Los Angeles                                   36%
                 University of Michigan                                    39%
     Indiana University Bloomington                                        40%
                   University of Virginia                                                   52%
                        UNC- Chapel Hill                                                     55%
                                                                                                               84%
                          Duke University
                                                   0%    10%    20%       30%   40%   50%    60%   70%   80%   90%

   Association of College and University Housing Officers International
State Appropriations (UNC Chapel Hill)
$600,000,000                                          $520,198,494

$500,000,000

$400,000,000

$300,000,000

$200,000,000        $107,782,727

$100,000,000

             $0



UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
UNC Chapel Hill Annual Revenue and
$3,000,000,000
                     Endowment
                                                                               $2,737,783,213
$2,500,000,000


$2,000,000,000

                                                                                   $2,239,085,128
$1,500,000,000


$1,000,000,000

                                                                                    $520,198,494
 $500,000,000


           $0
                 1984
                 1980
                 1981
                 1982
                 1983

                 1985
                 1986
                 1987
                 1988
                 1989
                 1990
                 1991
                 1992
                 1993
                 1994
                 1995
                 1996
                 1997
                 1998
                 1999
                 2000
                 2001
                 2002
                 2003
                 2004
                 2005
                 2006
                 2007
                 2008
                 2009
                 2010
                 2011
                               Total              State            Value of
                               Revenues           Appropriations   Endowment
      UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
UNC Research
UNC Research
UNC Annual Company Creation
12
                 11
10


8
                                                            7           7
                                                    6
6
          5                                                         5
4
                          3       3         3
2
                                                1       1       1
0
        FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11
     UNC Office of Technology Development
UNC Chapel Hill Patents
             U.S. Patent Applications    U.S. Patents Issued
140

120                                                            124
100

80

60

40
                                                                 33
20

  0
       FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11
  UNC Office of Technology Development
Let’s Welcome
Some Visitors
Orange County Hotel Occupancy
 69.9%
                  67.1%                                             67.3%
                                  65.0%
                                                            64.1%


                                            58.9%   59.5%




   2006             2007            2008    2009    2010    2011      2012
                                                                    (through
                                                                      June)

Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
Orange County Hotel Average Daily Rate
                $116.37
                       $114.77

   $108                                     $107.35
                                                                   $103.74
                                                    $101.94 $102.12




     2006           2007            2008     2009     2010   2011     2012
                                                                    (Through
                                                                      June)


Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
Chapel Hill/Orange Co. Revenue per
           Room (RevPar)
                                                      $69.8


                                            $65.2
    $63.3
                               $60.9



       2009                       2010       2011   2012 YTD June
Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
Orange County
              Tourism Spending (millions)




2000   2001   2002    2003    2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011
  NC Department of Commerce
State and Local Tax Revenue from
            Travel to Orange County
                                                                                                                       $11,640,000




   $3,680,000
              1993
1991
       1992


                     1994
                            1995
                                   1996
                                          1997
                                                 1998
                                                        1999
                                                               2000
                                                                      2001
                                                                             2002
                                                                                    2003
                                                                                           2004
                                                                                                  2005
                                                                                                         2006
                                                                                                                2007
                                                                                                                       2008
                                                                                                                              2009
                                                                                                                                     2010
                                                                                                                                            2011
 NC Department of Commerce
Orange County Tourism Related Jobs
                                            2,000

                                    1,650   1,800

                                            1,600

                                            1,400

                                            1,200
 1,220             $28,720.000 in           1,000

                   Annual Payroll           800

                                            600

                                            400

                                            200

                                            0
Death and Taxes
County Mortality Rank
                  2010                             2011                2012
0
2
                                                                          1
                                                                          2
4
6
8
10                                                                        10
12
14
                                                                          13
16
18                                                                        18
20
                 Orange         Alamance          Chatham     Durham   Wake

     County Health Rankings, Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
0
                                                                                             10000
                                                                                                     15000
                                                                                                             20000
                                                                                                                     25000
                                                                                                                             30000
                                                                                                                                     35000
                                                                                                                                             40000
                                                                                                                                                       45000
                                                                                                                                                                       50000




                                                                                      5000
                                                                      Nc Total
                                                              Alexander, NC
                                                                   Anson, NC
                                                                    Avery, NC
                                                                   Bertie, NC
                                                              Brunswick, NC
                                                                   Burke, NC
                                                                Caldwell, NC
                                                                Carteret, NC
                                                                Catawba, NC
                                                               Cherokee, NC
                                                                      Clay, NC
                                                                                                                                             Chatham



                                                              Columbus, NC
                                                            Cumberland, NC
                                                                     Dare, NC
                                                                    Davie, NC
                                                                Durham, NC
                                                                                                                                                Cumberland




                                                                 Forsyth, NC
                                                                  Gaston, NC
                                                                                                                                                     Durham




                                                                 Graham, NC
                                                                 Greene, NC
                                                                  Halifax, NC
                                                               Haywood, NC
                                                                Hertford, NC
                                                                     Hyde, NC
                                                                 Jackson, NC
                                                                    Jones, NC




U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
                                                                   Lenoir, NC
                                                              McDowell, NC
                                                                Madison, NC
                                                           Mecklenburg, NC
                                                           Montgomery, NC
                                                                     Nash, NC
                                                           Northampton, NC
                                                                                                                                                        Mecklenburg




                                                                 Orange, NC
                                                             Pasquotank, NC
                                                                                                                                                                                     Orange




                                                            Perquimans, NC
                                                                       Pitt, NC
                                                               Randolph, NC
                                                                Robeson, NC
                                                                  Rowan, NC
                                                               Sampson, NC
                                                                   Stanly, NC
                                                                                                                                                                  Per Capita Income by County




                                                                    Surry, NC
                                                            Transylvania, NC
                                                                   Union, NC
                                                                    Wake, NC
                                                            Washington, NC
                                                                                                                                                     Wake




                                                                  Wayne, NC
                                                                  Wilson, NC
                                                                  Yancey, NC
Sales Tax Collected Per Capita
                     (NC Rank)
100   90     80    70   60   50   40   30    20   10   0


              73                                           Orange


             75                                            Alamance


                        56                                 Chatham


                                        23                 Durham


                  69                                       Wake
Sales Tax Revenue Collected Per Capita
$180

$160
                                               $156
$140                                 $129
$120        $113           $112                         $117
$100

 $80

 $60

 $40

 $20

  $0
           Orange         Alamance   Chatham   Durham   Wake
  John Locke Foundation
Property Tax Collected Per Capita
$1,200
            $1,035
$1,000
                                     $903
                                               $810
 $800                                                   $727
 $600
                           $455
 $400


 $200


   $0
              Orange      Alamance   Chatham   Durham   Wake
  John Locke Foundation
County Revenue Per Capita
$1,600

$1,400     $1,332
$1,200
                                     $1,183
                                               $1,054
                                                        $987
$1,000

 $800                      $699
 $600

 $400

 $200

   $0
            Orange        Alamance   Chatham   Durham   Wake
  John Locke Foundation
County Revenue Per Capita (NC Rank)
     91        81       71   61   51   41    31    21   11       1


                                                             4       Orange

          84                                                         Alamance

                                                        9            Chatham

                                                  21                 Durham

                                            31                       Wake

John Locke Foundation
Property Tax Per Capita (NC Rank)
              81        61   41        21                1


                                                     4       Orange

        83                                                   Alamance

                                                 7           Chatham

                                            13               Durham

                                  22                         Wake

John Locke Foundation
Orange Co Assessed Property Value
$16,000,000,000

$14,000,000,000

$12,000,000,000

$10,000,000,000

 $8,000,000,000

 $6,000,000,000

 $4,000,000,000

 $2,000,000,000

             $0
                      2006           2007      2008    2009      2010     2011
           Residential ($)                Commercial ($)      Apartments ($)
       Orange County Tax Administration
Increase in Value Assessed Property
            Value 2006-2011
40%
               34.6%
35%

30%
                                      26.0%      27.6%
25%

20%

15%

10%

5%

0%
              Residential           Commercial   Apartment
 Orange County Tax Administration
Percent of Orange County Residential
       vs Commercial Property
          14.0%          14.1%      13.9%        13.2%   12.8%   13.2%
100%

80%

60%

40%       86.0%          85.9%      86.1%        86.8%   87.2%   86.8%

20%

 0%
           2006           2007      2008         2009     2010   2011
                       Residental + Apartments      Commercial
 Orange County Tax Administration
Orange Co. Gross Sales Tax Collections
$60,000,000
                               $58,800,994

$50,000,000

$40,000,000

$30,000,000

$20,000,000

$10,000,000

         $0




 NC Department of Revenue
Orange County Taxable Sales (Millions)
                                                                     $1,100

                                                          $1,058.9
                                                                     $1,050
                                               $1,017.4
              $971.6                 $978.8                          $1,000

$948.3
                                                                     $950
                           $926.7
                                                                     $900


                                                                     $850
 FY 2007       FY 2008     FY 2009   FY 2010    FY 2011    FY 2012
NC Department of Revenue
Orange County Jan-June Taxable Sales
$560
             (Millions)
$540
                                                             $537.9
$520
                                                    $515.1
$500
                                           $483.1
$480              $474.5 $474.5
       $462.7
$460                              $449.0
$440

$420

$400
       Jan-June Jan-June Jan-June Jan-June Jan-June Jan-June Jan-June
         2006     2007     2008     2009     2010     2011     2012
  NC Department of Revenue
To Our Health
Percentage of Obese Adults by County
                         0%        5%    10%   15%   20%   25%    30%   35%   40%

  Orange County                                            23%
Alamance County                                                         34%
Chatham County                                               25%
 Durham County                                                      30%
   Wake County                                                   26%
  North Carolina                                                  29%
 NC State Center for Health Statistics
Percentage of Adults Who Smoke
                 by County
                         0%              5%   10%   15%     20%       25%   30%


  Orange County                                     13%
Alamance County                                                       24%
Chatham County                                                  20%
 Durham County                                            16%
   Wake County                                        15%
  North Carolina                                                  22%
 NC State Center for Health Statistics
County “Health Behaviors” Rank
                    2010                            2011               2012
0                                                                        1
                                                                         2
10                                                                       11
                                                                         15
20

30

40

50
                                                                         55
60
                   Orange         Alamance         Chatham    Durham   Wake

     County Health Rankings, Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
County “Social and Economic Factors”
                 Rank
                    2010                            2011               2012
0                                                                        2 3
                                                                         7
10                                                                       12
20

30

40

50

60                                                                       58

70                 Orange         Alamance         Chatham    Durham   Wake

     County Health Rankings, Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
County “Health Factors” Rank
                 2010                                2011                     2012
 0                                                                              1
 5
                                                                                8
                                                                                9
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
                                                                                47
50                         Orange        Alamance             Durham   Wake
     County Health Rankings, Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
County “Health Outcomes” Rank
                    2010                            2011               2012
0
                                                                         1
                                                                         2
5
                                                                         8
10

15

20                                                                       20
                                                                         21
25

30
                   Orange         Alamance         Chatham    Durham   Wake

     County Health Rankings, Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
Some takeaways…
• We have a strong, well-educated work force and
  diverse population.
• Local municipalities share attributes but have key
  demographic differences.
• We are growing and will grow, but slower than our
  neighbors as we take a small portion of regional
  growth and state population growth.
• We have a large disparity in wealth and continue to
  see increases in children in poverty and food stamp
  recipients.
Some takeaways…
• Growth in Chapel Hill and Orange County employed
  residents and growth in retail sales indicate
  economic improvement.
• While we have enough water for the next 50 years,
  price continues to increase and a permanent
  emergency supply must be secured.
• Housing prices have held steady but price per
  square foot and number of units sold is decreasing
Some takeaways…
• Our two school districts continue to out perform
  their peers and state averages
• Tourism and visitor spending are strong and
  growing .
• Orange County per capita income is the highest
  and unemployment is one of the lowest in the
  state, but per capita retails sales continues to lag
  substantially.
Some takeaways…
• Health indicators put Orange in the top five
  percent of NC counties
• Education in general and UNC research funding,
  in particular, are key to our economy and with
  their large economic multiplier continues to have
  a big community impact.
• Our economy and community are resilient. We
  were late into the recession and first out.
Connect With Us
 • Facebook.com/ChapelHillCarrboroChamber
         • Twitter: @CarolinaChamber
     • Flickr.com/photos/carolinachamber
• LinkedIn: Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber group
          • www.carolinachamber.org
slideshare.net/carolinachamber

    Check the Chamber’s SlideShare
  account for the entire presentation.
Presenting Sponsor
Media Sponsor
Gold Sponsors
Breakfast Sponsor




Fordham Blvd./Meadowmont
Bronze Sponsors
Table Sponsors
• Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors
  Bureau
• Orange County Economic Development
• Town of Carrboro
• UNC Health Care
slideshare.net/carolinachamber

    Check the Chamber’s SlideShare
  account for the entire presentation.

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2012 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT

  • 1. 2012 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  • 2. Aaron Nelson, President and CEO Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber of Commerce
  • 4. Use #SOC2012 If you’re tweeting this event
  • 6. Barry Leffler, Owner and General Manager WCHL and Chapelboro.com
  • 7.
  • 11. Table Sponsors • Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau • Orange County Economic Development • Town of Carrboro • UNC Health Care
  • 13. Mark Bensen, President and CEO Triangle Community Foundation
  • 14. Background on this Report • Our Fifth State of the Community Report • Born out of graduate student research at UNC • Social, Environmental and Economic Indicators • Objective: deliver relevant information to community and business leaders • Thank you to Kristen Smith, director of public policy and member engagement
  • 16. Population Jurisdiction 2000 2011 Growth Rate +19,739 Orange County 116,016 135,755 (17%/1.6%pa) +662 Hillsborough 5,513 6,175 (12%/1.1%pa) +2,222 Carrboro 17,668 19,890 (12.6%/1.1%pa) +9,973 Chapel Hill 48,038 58,011 (20.8%/1.9%pa) +1,577,577 North Carolina 8,078,824 9,656,401 (19.5%/1.8%pa) U.S. Census Bureau
  • 17. 160,000 Population Growth 135,755 140,000 120,000 116,016 100,000 80,000 48,038 58,011 60,000 40,000 17,668 19,890 20,000 5,513 6,175 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Orange County Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough U.S. Census Bureau
  • 18. 6.5% of 449,433 in projected 6- county growth Population Projections 1.9% of projected state growth Growth Rate County 2015 2020 2025 Growth Rate (2010) ALAMANCE 156,400 161,234 +9,701 (6.4%) 166,070 +14,537 (9.59%) CHATHAM 69,593 75,891 +12,085 (18.9%) 82,191 +18,385 (28.8%) DURHAM 286,421 305,001 +36,589 (13.6%) 323,160 +54,748 (20.4%) JOHNSTON 184,158 198,644 +28,975 (17.1%) 231,127 +43,458 (25.6%) ORANGE 143,709 153,625 +19,424 (14.5%) 163,539 +29,338 (21.9%) WAKE 1,003,024 1,099,385 +192,597 (21.2%) 1,195,745 +288,957 (31.9%) NC Office of State Budget and Management
  • 19. Orange County Population by Race Orange County Black 12.4% 0.7% American Indian 7.1% 0.1% Asian 8.1% Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander 70.5% Hispanic or Latino White, not Hispanic U.S. Census Bureau
  • 20. 2011 Orange County Population by Race 100% 90% 80.1% 77.4% 77.5% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 15.7% 12.4% 13.7% 10% 7.1% 2.5% 4.1% 0% 4.4% 8.1% 0.3% 1990 2000 2011 White African American Latino/Hispanic Asian U.S. Census Bureau
  • 21. Minority Race/Ethnicity African American Hispanic or Latino Asian 35% 30% 29.5% 25% 21.5% 20% 15% 13.8% 11.9% 11.9% 10.1% 9.7% 10% 8.2% 8.2% 8.4% 6.6% 6.4% 6.7% 5% 1.7% 2.2% 0% Carrboro Hillsborough Chapel Hill Orange County NC U.S. Census Bureau
  • 22. Educational Attainment (2011) 89.9% 90% 83.6% 85.0% 80% 70% 54.4% 60% 50% 40% 27.9% 26.1% 30% 20% 10% 0% High School Graduate (or higher) Bachelors Degree (or higher) Orange County North Carolina United States U.S. Census Bureau
  • 24. Location of Orange County Housing Units Carrboro Hillsborough Chapel Hill Rest of County 9,258, 16% 21,492, 39% 2,593, 5% 22,254, 40% U.S. Census Bureau
  • 25. Percent Renter-Occupied Rest of Orange County 18.1% Chapel Hill 52.4% Hillsborough 35.9% Carrboro 61.5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% U.S. Census Bureau
  • 26. Number of Homes Sold in Orange County 2000 185918861797 1686 1749 1800 1543 1600 1400 1271 114011421126 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Triangle Multiple Listing Service
  • 27. 2011 Average Home Price by County $325,020 $350,000 $299,874 $300,000 $247,090 $250,000 $185,311 $200,000 $150,000 $100,000 $50,000 $0 Durham Wake Chatham Orange Triangle Multiple Listing Service
  • 28. Orange County Average Residential Closing Prices $360,000 $342,740 $320,489 $329,918 $340,000 $318,899 $325,020 $321,326 $320,000 $298,883 $317,847 $300,000 $280,592 $280,000 $262,920 $260,000 $240,000 $220,000 $200,000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Triangle Multiple Listing Service
  • 29. 600 Resident Building Permits 500 400 300 200 135 100 45 0 41 Carrboro Chapel Hill Orange County (incl. Hillsborough) Home Builders Association of Durham, Orange, & Chatham
  • 30. Chapel Hill-Carrboro School District Residential Average Sales Price $360,000 $340,000 $325,000 $325,000 $320,000 $305,000 $300,000 $296,000 $297,000 $280,000 $260,000 $240,000 $220,000 $200,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Triangle Multiple Listing Service
  • 31. Chapel Hill-Carrboro School District Average Sales Price per Sq Ft 170 160 $164 $160 150 $157 $154 $149 140 130 120 110 100 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Triangle Multiple Listing Service
  • 32. Community Home Trust: Meet our average homeowner 58% work for UNC/UNC Healthcare, our local governments or our local school 45 districts families are led by single mothers Earns an average The average household income of homeowner is 43 years old $36,770
  • 33. Community Home Trust Fiscal Year 2011-2012 Snapshot •196 Permanently Affordable Homes •36 Single Family Homes, 91 Townhomes, 69 Condos •27 More Homes 2012-13 •65% increase in applications received over 2010-2011 • Average household size of buyers decreased from 2.29 in 2007-08 to 1.58 in 2011-12
  • 34. Cost of Living Index 120% Chapel Hill/OC 104.8% 100% Charlotte 94.1% Burlington Raleigh 88.5% 95.1% Durham 91.9% Winston Salem 80% 87.0% ACCRA Cost of Living Index
  • 37. 39,540 Live outside Orange County and drive in for work 33,850 Live in Orange County and drive out of the County for work 20,662 Live in Orange County and work in Orange County 39,540 20,662 33,850 U.S. Census Bureau
  • 38. Percent of Town of Chapel Hill Employees Living in Chapel Hill Zip Codes 45% 41% 40% 35% 30% 30% 27% 25% 22% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 1995 2004 2008 2010 Chapel Hill Data Book
  • 39. Distribution of UNC Chapel Hill’s 11,900 employees by home address 7000 6000 5820 5000 4000 3000 2276 2000 1242 1158 1000 593 85 72 60 31 13 0 UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
  • 40. Orange County Commuting to Work Other means, Work at 3.8% home, 6.4% Walked, 5.3% Public Transportation 8.3% Carpooled, Drove Alone, 9.5% 66.8% U.S. Census Bureau
  • 41. Chapel Hill Transit Ridership (millions) 8 7.29 6.97 7 6 5 4 3.01 3 2 1 0 FY 01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 Chapel Hill Transit
  • 42. Mean Travel Time to Work (Minutes) 26 25.3 25.4 25.1 25.3 25 24 23.2 23.4 23.2 23.4 23 22.5 22 21.4 21.3 21.4 21 20 19 2007 Estimate 2008 Estimate 2009 Estimate 2010 Estimate Orange County United States North Carolina U.S. Census Bureau
  • 43. Then We Go to Work
  • 44. Chapel Hill Residents Employed 29,000 28,500 28,000 27,815 27,500 27,179 27,000 26,901 26,500 26,463 26,035 26,000 25,687 25,500 25,000 24,500 24,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 July NC Employment Security Commission
  • 45. Orange County Residents Employment 69,500 68,500 68,146 67,500 67,031 66,587 66,500 65,997 65,908 65,500 65,119 64,500 63,500 62,500 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 July NC Employment Security Commission
  • 46. 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 50000 40000 45000 5000 0 Nc Total Alexander, NC Anson, NC Avery, NC Bertie, NC Brunswick, NC Burke, NC Caldwell, NC Carteret, NC Catawba, NC Cherokee, NC Clay, NC Columbus, NC Cumberland, NC Chatham (2) Dare, NC Davie, NC Durham, NC Forsyth, NC Gaston, NC Graham, NC Durham (7) Greene, NC Halifax, NC Haywood, NC Hertford, NC Hyde, NC U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis Jackson, NC Jones, NC Lenoir, NC McDowell, NC Madison, NC Mecklenburg, NC Montgomery, NC Cumberland (5) Mecklenburg (4) Nash, NC Northampton, NC Orange, NC Pasquotank, NC Perquimans, NC Orange (1) Pitt, NC Randolph, NC Robeson, NC Rowan, NC Sampson, NC Stanly, NC Per Capita Income by County Surry, NC Transylvania, NC Union, NC Wake, NC Washington, NC Wayne, NC Wake (6) Wilson, NC Yancey, NC
  • 47. Orange County Income Levels by Household $200,000 or Less than $150,000 to more, 9.0% $10,000, 10.8% $199,999, 5.1% $10,000 to $14,999, 5.7% $100,000 to $149,999, 11.9% $15,000 to $24,999, 10.5% $75,000 to $25,000 to $99,999, 10.8% $34,999, 10.8% $35,000 to $50,000 to $49,999, 13.9% $74,999, 11.5% U.S. Census Bureau
  • 48. Percent Change in Income 2008 v 2010 $200,000 or more 11.2% -16.4% $150,000 to $199,999 -14.1% $100,000 to $149,999 $75,000 to $99,999 5.9% -20.8% $50,000 to $74,999 $35,000 to $49,999 22.5% $25,000 to $34,999 6.7% -6.5% $15,000 to $24,999 $10,000 to $14,999 26.1% Less than $10,000 7.9% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% U.S. Census Bureau
  • 49. Median Annual Earnings by Sex (Full Time) $60,000 $55,000 $49,937 $50,000 $46,500 $45,000 $45,529 $40,000 $36,551 $35,000 $30,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Orange Co. Male Orange Co. Female US Male US Female U.S. Census Bureau
  • 50. Unemployment Over Time 12.0 9.8% 10.0 8.0 7.1% 6.0 6.5% 4.0 2.0 - 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 July Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina NC Employment Security Commission
  • 51. Unemployed Individuals 6,000 5,175 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 2,200 1,944 1,000 - 772 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 July Chapel Hill Orange County NC Employment Security Commission
  • 52. Orange County Percent of Government Workers (2006-2010) 35% 30% 25% 23.7% 22.8% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate U.S. Census Bureau
  • 53. Orange County Percentage of Private Sector Workers (2006-2010) 69% 68.6% 68% 66.7% 67% 66% 65% 64% 63% 62% 2006 Estimate 2007 Estimate 2008 Estimate 2009 Estimate 2010 Estimate U.S. Census Bureau
  • 54. Orange County Percentage of Self Employed (2006-2010) 10% 9.5% 9% 8.5% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% 2006 Estimate 2007 Estimate 2008 Estimate 2009 Estimate 2010 Estimate U.S. Census Bureau
  • 55. Projected New Job Growth 2009-2014 Public Administration 185 Accommodation/Food Services 481 Arts/Entertainment/Rec 124 Health Care/Social Services 2,045 Educational Services 1,845 Admin/Supp/Waste Mgmt Services 259 Prof/Scientific/Tech Services 736 Information 266 Construction 153 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500
  • 57. County “Physical Environment” Rank 2010 2011 2012 1 11 21 31 36 41 37 51 49 61 62 71 81 91 93 Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake County Health Rankings, Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  • 58. Orange County Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Sector Solid Waste, Industrial , 1% 2% Commercial/ Institutional, Transportation, 29% 49% Residential, 19% Orange County State of the Environment Report
  • 59. Property Crime Rate (per 100,000) Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 NC Department of Justice
  • 60. Violent Crime Rate (per 100,000) Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake 1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 NC Department of Justice
  • 61. Water Sales and Accounts 10.0 22,000 Drought Water Sales (Million Gallons Per Day Average) 2001/02 9.0 20,000 Drought 8.0 2007/08 18,000 Customer Accounts 7.0 16,000 6.0 14,000 University’s use of reclaimed water 5.0 beginning 2009 12,000 4.0 10,000 Actual Water Sales Projected Water Sales Customer Accounts Orange Water and Sewer Authority
  • 62. Monthly Water & Sewer Bills $100 18% Average Monthly Bill Based on 4,000 gallons per month $90 16% $80 14% $70 12% Rate Increase $60 10% $50 8% $40 6% $30 $20 4% $10 3% 3% 2% 2% 0% 2% $0 0% Average Bill Projected Average Bill Rate Increase Projected Rate Increase Orange Water and Sewer Authority
  • 63. Orange County Pregnancy Rate Girls Age 15-17 (per 1000) 30 25 26.1 20 14.7 15 10 5 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 NC State Center for Health Statistics
  • 64. Orange County Infant Mortality Rate (per 1000 live births) 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Orange County County: White County: Minority NC State Center for Health Statistics
  • 65. Infant Mortality Rate (per 1000 live births) 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Orange County State NC State Center for Health Statistics
  • 66. Orange County Families Receiving Food and Nutrition Services (Formerly Food Stamps) 7000 6304 6090 6000 5000 4503 5453 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 1390 NC Division of Social Services
  • 67. Percent of Economically Disadvantaged Students (Formerly Free or Reduced Lunch) 45% 40% 39.82% 35% 32.60% 30% 23.54% 25% 20% 15% 21.67% 10% 5% 0% 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 Orange County CHCCS N.C Dept of Public Instruction
  • 68. Percent of Orange County Schools Students Receiving Free and Reduced Lunch 2010-2011 100% 90% 82% 80% 70% 64% 57% 60% 50% 41% 37% 41% 42% 47% 40% 33% 33% 30% 24% 20% 16% 10% 0% N.C Dept of Public Instruction
  • 69. Percent of Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools Students Receiving Free and Reduced Lunch 70% 2010-2011 60% 50% 47% 40% 42% 40% 32% 30% 24% 26% 24% 23% 21% 19% 22% 20% 20% 18% 20% 16% 15% 19% 10% 0% N.C Dept of Public Instruction
  • 71. High School Graduation Rates CHCCS 4-year CHCCS 5-year OCS 4-year OCS 5-year NC 4-year NC 5-year 95% 90% 90.8% 90.0% 86.9% 85% 85.4% 80% 81.1% 80.2% 75% 70% 65% 60% 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 N.C. Dept of Public Instruction
  • 72. Percentage of Students Performing at or Above Grade Level in End of Course Tests (ABC) in CHCCS 95% 89.2% 90.5% 90.2% 89.3% 89.5% 90% 85.6% 85.0% 85% 82.3% 80.6% 81.5% 79.9% 80.0% 80% 76.7% 76.5% 75% 70% 65% English I Algebra I Algebra II Biology Physical Civics & US History Science Econ. District State
  • 73. Durham Tech Annual Revenue 2006/07 – 2010/11 (millions) $60 $49.4 $50 $42.9 $40 $30 $39.4 $38.3 $36.1 $20 $10 $0 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11
  • 74. Durham Tech Enrollment 30,000 25,444 25,509 25,810 25,368 24,416 25,000 20,000 15,000 7,662 7,774 7,987 8,124 10,000 8,030 5,000 0 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 Unduplicated Total Enrollment Curriculum Students
  • 75. Growth of UNC Chapel Hill Item Growth Since 2011 Total 1980 Full Time Students 33% 24,222 students Total Students 36% 29,137 students Total Employees 69% 11,909 employees Gross Square Feet 139% 18,781,849 sq feet State Appropriations 382% $520 million Total Annual Revenue 831% $2.74 billion Value of Endowment 5,544% $2.24 billion UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
  • 76. Percent of Undergrads Housed on Campus (Fall 2011) East Carolina University 24% University of California at Berkeley 25% University Wisconsin at Madison 30% North Carolina State University 34% University of California at Los Angeles 36% University of Michigan 39% Indiana University Bloomington 40% University of Virginia 52% UNC- Chapel Hill 55% 84% Duke University 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Association of College and University Housing Officers International
  • 77. State Appropriations (UNC Chapel Hill) $600,000,000 $520,198,494 $500,000,000 $400,000,000 $300,000,000 $200,000,000 $107,782,727 $100,000,000 $0 UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
  • 78. UNC Chapel Hill Annual Revenue and $3,000,000,000 Endowment $2,737,783,213 $2,500,000,000 $2,000,000,000 $2,239,085,128 $1,500,000,000 $1,000,000,000 $520,198,494 $500,000,000 $0 1984 1980 1981 1982 1983 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Total State Value of Revenues Appropriations Endowment UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
  • 81. UNC Annual Company Creation 12 11 10 8 7 7 6 6 5 5 4 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 0 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 UNC Office of Technology Development
  • 82. UNC Chapel Hill Patents U.S. Patent Applications U.S. Patents Issued 140 120 124 100 80 60 40 33 20 0 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 UNC Office of Technology Development
  • 84. Orange County Hotel Occupancy 69.9% 67.1% 67.3% 65.0% 64.1% 58.9% 59.5% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 (through June) Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
  • 85. Orange County Hotel Average Daily Rate $116.37 $114.77 $108 $107.35 $103.74 $101.94 $102.12 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 (Through June) Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
  • 86. Chapel Hill/Orange Co. Revenue per Room (RevPar) $69.8 $65.2 $63.3 $60.9 2009 2010 2011 2012 YTD June Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
  • 87. Orange County Tourism Spending (millions) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 NC Department of Commerce
  • 88. State and Local Tax Revenue from Travel to Orange County $11,640,000 $3,680,000 1993 1991 1992 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 NC Department of Commerce
  • 89. Orange County Tourism Related Jobs 2,000 1,650 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,220 $28,720.000 in 1,000 Annual Payroll 800 600 400 200 0
  • 91. County Mortality Rank 2010 2011 2012 0 2 1 2 4 6 8 10 10 12 14 13 16 18 18 20 Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake County Health Rankings, Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  • 92. 0 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000 50000 5000 Nc Total Alexander, NC Anson, NC Avery, NC Bertie, NC Brunswick, NC Burke, NC Caldwell, NC Carteret, NC Catawba, NC Cherokee, NC Clay, NC Chatham Columbus, NC Cumberland, NC Dare, NC Davie, NC Durham, NC Cumberland Forsyth, NC Gaston, NC Durham Graham, NC Greene, NC Halifax, NC Haywood, NC Hertford, NC Hyde, NC Jackson, NC Jones, NC U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis Lenoir, NC McDowell, NC Madison, NC Mecklenburg, NC Montgomery, NC Nash, NC Northampton, NC Mecklenburg Orange, NC Pasquotank, NC Orange Perquimans, NC Pitt, NC Randolph, NC Robeson, NC Rowan, NC Sampson, NC Stanly, NC Per Capita Income by County Surry, NC Transylvania, NC Union, NC Wake, NC Washington, NC Wake Wayne, NC Wilson, NC Yancey, NC
  • 93. Sales Tax Collected Per Capita (NC Rank) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 73 Orange 75 Alamance 56 Chatham 23 Durham 69 Wake
  • 94. Sales Tax Revenue Collected Per Capita $180 $160 $156 $140 $129 $120 $113 $112 $117 $100 $80 $60 $40 $20 $0 Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake John Locke Foundation
  • 95. Property Tax Collected Per Capita $1,200 $1,035 $1,000 $903 $810 $800 $727 $600 $455 $400 $200 $0 Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake John Locke Foundation
  • 96. County Revenue Per Capita $1,600 $1,400 $1,332 $1,200 $1,183 $1,054 $987 $1,000 $800 $699 $600 $400 $200 $0 Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake John Locke Foundation
  • 97. County Revenue Per Capita (NC Rank) 91 81 71 61 51 41 31 21 11 1 4 Orange 84 Alamance 9 Chatham 21 Durham 31 Wake John Locke Foundation
  • 98. Property Tax Per Capita (NC Rank) 81 61 41 21 1 4 Orange 83 Alamance 7 Chatham 13 Durham 22 Wake John Locke Foundation
  • 99. Orange Co Assessed Property Value $16,000,000,000 $14,000,000,000 $12,000,000,000 $10,000,000,000 $8,000,000,000 $6,000,000,000 $4,000,000,000 $2,000,000,000 $0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Residential ($) Commercial ($) Apartments ($) Orange County Tax Administration
  • 100. Increase in Value Assessed Property Value 2006-2011 40% 34.6% 35% 30% 26.0% 27.6% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Residential Commercial Apartment Orange County Tax Administration
  • 101. Percent of Orange County Residential vs Commercial Property 14.0% 14.1% 13.9% 13.2% 12.8% 13.2% 100% 80% 60% 40% 86.0% 85.9% 86.1% 86.8% 87.2% 86.8% 20% 0% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Residental + Apartments Commercial Orange County Tax Administration
  • 102. Orange Co. Gross Sales Tax Collections $60,000,000 $58,800,994 $50,000,000 $40,000,000 $30,000,000 $20,000,000 $10,000,000 $0 NC Department of Revenue
  • 103. Orange County Taxable Sales (Millions) $1,100 $1,058.9 $1,050 $1,017.4 $971.6 $978.8 $1,000 $948.3 $950 $926.7 $900 $850 FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 NC Department of Revenue
  • 104. Orange County Jan-June Taxable Sales $560 (Millions) $540 $537.9 $520 $515.1 $500 $483.1 $480 $474.5 $474.5 $462.7 $460 $449.0 $440 $420 $400 Jan-June Jan-June Jan-June Jan-June Jan-June Jan-June Jan-June 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 NC Department of Revenue
  • 106. Percentage of Obese Adults by County 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Orange County 23% Alamance County 34% Chatham County 25% Durham County 30% Wake County 26% North Carolina 29% NC State Center for Health Statistics
  • 107. Percentage of Adults Who Smoke by County 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Orange County 13% Alamance County 24% Chatham County 20% Durham County 16% Wake County 15% North Carolina 22% NC State Center for Health Statistics
  • 108. County “Health Behaviors” Rank 2010 2011 2012 0 1 2 10 11 15 20 30 40 50 55 60 Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake County Health Rankings, Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  • 109. County “Social and Economic Factors” Rank 2010 2011 2012 0 2 3 7 10 12 20 30 40 50 60 58 70 Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake County Health Rankings, Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  • 110. County “Health Factors” Rank 2010 2011 2012 0 1 5 8 9 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 47 50 Orange Alamance Durham Wake County Health Rankings, Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  • 111. County “Health Outcomes” Rank 2010 2011 2012 0 1 2 5 8 10 15 20 20 21 25 30 Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake County Health Rankings, Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  • 112. Some takeaways… • We have a strong, well-educated work force and diverse population. • Local municipalities share attributes but have key demographic differences. • We are growing and will grow, but slower than our neighbors as we take a small portion of regional growth and state population growth. • We have a large disparity in wealth and continue to see increases in children in poverty and food stamp recipients.
  • 113. Some takeaways… • Growth in Chapel Hill and Orange County employed residents and growth in retail sales indicate economic improvement. • While we have enough water for the next 50 years, price continues to increase and a permanent emergency supply must be secured. • Housing prices have held steady but price per square foot and number of units sold is decreasing
  • 114. Some takeaways… • Our two school districts continue to out perform their peers and state averages • Tourism and visitor spending are strong and growing . • Orange County per capita income is the highest and unemployment is one of the lowest in the state, but per capita retails sales continues to lag substantially.
  • 115. Some takeaways… • Health indicators put Orange in the top five percent of NC counties • Education in general and UNC research funding, in particular, are key to our economy and with their large economic multiplier continues to have a big community impact. • Our economy and community are resilient. We were late into the recession and first out.
  • 116. Connect With Us • Facebook.com/ChapelHillCarrboroChamber • Twitter: @CarolinaChamber • Flickr.com/photos/carolinachamber • LinkedIn: Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber group • www.carolinachamber.org
  • 117. slideshare.net/carolinachamber Check the Chamber’s SlideShare account for the entire presentation.
  • 123. Table Sponsors • Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau • Orange County Economic Development • Town of Carrboro • UNC Health Care
  • 124. slideshare.net/carolinachamber Check the Chamber’s SlideShare account for the entire presentation.