This document provides a summary of the 2012 State of the Community Report for Orange County, NC. It includes the following key points:
1) Orange County's population grew 17% between 2000 and 2011 to 135,755 people, with Chapel Hill seeing the largest growth of 20.8%.
2) The county is becoming more diverse, with the percentage of minority residents increasing from 19.5% in 2000 to 30.4% in 2011.
3) Housing prices rose steadily between 2002-2011, with the average home price in Orange County reaching $325,020 in 2011. Home ownership remains difficult with over 50% of housing in Chapel Hill designated as renter-occupied.
4
14. Background on this Report
• Our Fifth State of the Community Report
• Born out of graduate student research at UNC
• Social, Environmental and Economic Indicators
• Objective: deliver relevant information to
community and business leaders
• Thank you to Kristen Smith, director of public
policy and member engagement
16. Population
Jurisdiction 2000 2011 Growth Rate
+19,739
Orange County 116,016 135,755
(17%/1.6%pa)
+662
Hillsborough 5,513 6,175
(12%/1.1%pa)
+2,222
Carrboro 17,668 19,890
(12.6%/1.1%pa)
+9,973
Chapel Hill 48,038 58,011
(20.8%/1.9%pa)
+1,577,577
North Carolina 8,078,824 9,656,401
(19.5%/1.8%pa)
U.S. Census Bureau
17. 160,000
Population Growth
135,755
140,000
120,000 116,016
100,000
80,000
48,038 58,011
60,000
40,000
17,668 19,890
20,000
5,513 6,175
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Orange County Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough
U.S. Census Bureau
18. 6.5% of 449,433 in projected 6-
county growth
Population Projections 1.9% of projected state growth
Growth Rate
County 2015 2020 2025 Growth Rate
(2010)
ALAMANCE 156,400 161,234 +9,701 (6.4%) 166,070 +14,537 (9.59%)
CHATHAM 69,593 75,891 +12,085 (18.9%) 82,191 +18,385 (28.8%)
DURHAM 286,421 305,001 +36,589 (13.6%) 323,160 +54,748 (20.4%)
JOHNSTON 184,158 198,644 +28,975 (17.1%) 231,127 +43,458 (25.6%)
ORANGE 143,709 153,625 +19,424 (14.5%) 163,539 +29,338 (21.9%)
WAKE 1,003,024 1,099,385 +192,597 (21.2%) 1,195,745 +288,957 (31.9%)
NC Office of State Budget and Management
19. Orange County Population by Race
Orange County Black
12.4% 0.7%
American Indian
7.1%
0.1% Asian
8.1%
Native Hawaiian or
Pacific Islander
70.5% Hispanic or Latino
White, not Hispanic
U.S. Census Bureau
20. 2011 Orange County Population by Race
100%
90%
80.1% 77.4% 77.5%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20% 15.7% 12.4%
13.7%
10% 7.1%
2.5% 4.1%
0% 4.4% 8.1%
0.3%
1990 2000 2011
White African American Latino/Hispanic Asian
U.S. Census Bureau
21. Minority Race/Ethnicity
African American Hispanic or Latino Asian
35%
30%
29.5%
25%
21.5%
20%
15% 13.8%
11.9% 11.9%
10.1% 9.7%
10% 8.2% 8.2% 8.4%
6.6% 6.4% 6.7%
5%
1.7% 2.2%
0%
Carrboro Hillsborough Chapel Hill Orange County NC
U.S. Census Bureau
22. Educational Attainment (2011)
89.9%
90%
83.6% 85.0%
80%
70%
54.4%
60%
50%
40% 27.9%
26.1%
30%
20%
10%
0%
High School Graduate (or higher) Bachelors Degree (or higher)
Orange County North Carolina United States
U.S. Census Bureau
24. Location of Orange County Housing Units
Carrboro Hillsborough Chapel Hill Rest of County
9,258, 16%
21,492, 39% 2,593, 5%
22,254, 40%
U.S. Census Bureau
25. Percent Renter-Occupied
Rest of Orange County 18.1%
Chapel Hill 52.4%
Hillsborough 35.9%
Carrboro 61.5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
U.S. Census Bureau
26. Number of Homes Sold in Orange County
2000 185918861797
1686 1749
1800
1543
1600
1400 1271
114011421126
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Triangle Multiple Listing Service
27. 2011 Average Home Price by County
$325,020
$350,000
$299,874
$300,000
$247,090
$250,000
$185,311
$200,000
$150,000
$100,000
$50,000
$0
Durham Wake Chatham Orange
Triangle Multiple Listing Service
29. 600
Resident Building Permits
500
400
300
200
135
100
45
0 41
Carrboro Chapel Hill Orange County (incl. Hillsborough)
Home Builders Association of Durham, Orange, & Chatham
30. Chapel Hill-Carrboro School District
Residential Average Sales Price
$360,000
$340,000
$325,000 $325,000
$320,000
$305,000
$300,000
$296,000 $297,000
$280,000
$260,000
$240,000
$220,000
$200,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Triangle Multiple Listing Service
31. Chapel Hill-Carrboro School District
Average Sales Price per Sq Ft
170
160
$164 $160
150 $157 $154 $149
140
130
120
110
100
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Triangle Multiple Listing Service
32. Community Home Trust: Meet our average homeowner
58% work for
UNC/UNC
Healthcare,
our local
governments
or our local
school 45
districts families
are led
by single
mothers
Earns an average
The average
household income of
homeowner is 43
years old $36,770
33. Community Home Trust
Fiscal Year 2011-2012 Snapshot
•196 Permanently Affordable Homes
•36 Single Family Homes, 91 Townhomes, 69 Condos
•27 More Homes 2012-13
•65% increase in applications received over 2010-2011
• Average household size of buyers decreased from 2.29
in 2007-08 to 1.58 in 2011-12
34. Cost of Living Index
120%
Chapel Hill/OC
104.8%
100%
Charlotte 94.1%
Burlington Raleigh 88.5%
95.1%
Durham 91.9%
Winston Salem
80% 87.0%
ACCRA Cost of Living Index
37. 39,540 Live outside Orange County and drive in for work
33,850 Live in Orange County and drive out of the County for work
20,662 Live in Orange County and work in Orange County
39,540 20,662 33,850
U.S. Census Bureau
38. Percent of Town of Chapel Hill
Employees Living in Chapel Hill Zip Codes
45%
41%
40%
35%
30%
30% 27%
25% 22%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
1995 2004 2008 2010
Chapel Hill Data Book
39. Distribution of UNC Chapel Hill’s
11,900 employees by home address
7000
6000
5820
5000
4000
3000
2276
2000
1242 1158
1000 593
85 72 60 31 13
0
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
40. Orange County Commuting to Work
Other means, Work at
3.8% home, 6.4%
Walked, 5.3%
Public
Transportation
8.3%
Carpooled, Drove Alone,
9.5% 66.8%
U.S. Census Bureau
42. Mean Travel Time to Work (Minutes)
26
25.3 25.4 25.1 25.3 25
24
23.2 23.4 23.2 23.4 23
22.5
22
21.4 21.3 21.4
21
20
19
2007 Estimate 2008 Estimate 2009 Estimate 2010 Estimate
Orange County United States North Carolina
U.S. Census Bureau
47. Orange County Income Levels by
Household
$200,000 or Less than
$150,000 to
more, 9.0% $10,000, 10.8%
$199,999, 5.1%
$10,000 to
$14,999, 5.7%
$100,000 to
$149,999, 11.9%
$15,000 to
$24,999, 10.5%
$75,000 to $25,000 to
$99,999, 10.8% $34,999, 10.8%
$35,000 to
$50,000 to $49,999, 13.9%
$74,999, 11.5%
U.S. Census Bureau
48. Percent Change in Income 2008 v 2010
$200,000 or more 11.2%
-16.4% $150,000 to $199,999
-14.1% $100,000 to $149,999
$75,000 to $99,999 5.9%
-20.8% $50,000 to $74,999
$35,000 to $49,999 22.5%
$25,000 to $34,999 6.7%
-6.5% $15,000 to $24,999
$10,000 to $14,999 26.1%
Less than $10,000 7.9%
-30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30%
U.S. Census Bureau
49. Median Annual Earnings by Sex
(Full Time)
$60,000
$55,000
$49,937
$50,000
$46,500
$45,000
$45,529
$40,000
$36,551
$35,000
$30,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Orange Co. Male Orange Co. Female US Male US Female
U.S. Census Bureau
50. Unemployment Over Time
12.0
9.8%
10.0
8.0 7.1%
6.0
6.5%
4.0
2.0
-
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
July
Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina
NC Employment Security Commission
51. Unemployed Individuals
6,000
5,175
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000 2,200 1,944
1,000
-
772
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 July
Chapel Hill Orange County
NC Employment Security Commission
52. Orange County Percent of
Government Workers (2006-2010)
35%
30%
25%
23.7% 22.8%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate
U.S. Census Bureau
53. Orange County Percentage of Private
Sector Workers (2006-2010)
69%
68.6%
68%
66.7% 67%
66%
65%
64%
63%
62%
2006 Estimate 2007 Estimate 2008 Estimate 2009 Estimate 2010 Estimate
U.S. Census Bureau
54. Orange County Percentage of Self
Employed (2006-2010)
10%
9.5%
9%
8.5%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
2006 Estimate 2007 Estimate 2008 Estimate 2009 Estimate 2010 Estimate
U.S. Census Bureau
55. Projected New Job Growth 2009-2014
Public Administration 185
Accommodation/Food Services 481
Arts/Entertainment/Rec 124
Health Care/Social Services 2,045
Educational Services 1,845
Admin/Supp/Waste Mgmt Services 259
Prof/Scientific/Tech Services 736
Information 266
Construction 153
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500
57. County “Physical Environment” Rank
2010 2011 2012
1
11
21
31 36
41 37
51 49
61 62
71
81
91 93
Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake
County Health Rankings, Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
58. Orange County Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Sector
Solid Waste, Industrial ,
1% 2%
Commercial/
Institutional, Transportation,
29% 49%
Residential,
19%
Orange County State of the Environment Report
61. Water Sales and Accounts
10.0 22,000
Drought
Water Sales (Million Gallons Per Day Average)
2001/02
9.0 20,000
Drought
8.0 2007/08 18,000
Customer Accounts
7.0 16,000
6.0 14,000
University’s use of
reclaimed water
5.0 beginning 2009 12,000
4.0 10,000
Actual Water Sales Projected Water Sales Customer Accounts
Orange Water and Sewer Authority
62. Monthly Water & Sewer Bills
$100 18%
Average Monthly Bill Based on 4,000 gallons per month
$90 16%
$80 14%
$70
12%
Rate Increase
$60
10%
$50
8%
$40
6%
$30
$20 4%
$10 3% 3% 2%
2% 0% 2%
$0 0%
Average Bill Projected Average Bill Rate Increase Projected Rate Increase
Orange Water and Sewer Authority
63. Orange County Pregnancy Rate
Girls Age 15-17 (per 1000)
30
25 26.1
20
14.7
15
10
5
0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
NC State Center for Health Statistics
64. Orange County Infant Mortality Rate
(per 1000 live births)
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Orange County County: White County: Minority
NC State Center for Health Statistics
65. Infant Mortality Rate
(per 1000 live births)
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Orange County State
NC State Center for Health Statistics
66. Orange County Families Receiving Food and
Nutrition Services (Formerly Food Stamps)
7000 6304
6090
6000
5000 4503 5453
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
1390
NC Division of Social Services
67. Percent of Economically Disadvantaged Students
(Formerly Free or Reduced Lunch)
45%
40%
39.82%
35%
32.60%
30%
23.54%
25%
20%
15% 21.67%
10%
5%
0%
2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11
Orange County CHCCS
N.C Dept of Public Instruction
68. Percent of Orange County Schools Students
Receiving Free and Reduced Lunch
2010-2011
100%
90% 82%
80%
70% 64% 57%
60%
50% 41% 37% 41% 42% 47%
40% 33% 33%
30% 24%
20%
16%
10%
0%
N.C Dept of Public Instruction
69. Percent of Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools Students
Receiving Free and Reduced Lunch
70%
2010-2011
60%
50% 47%
40% 42%
40%
32%
30% 24% 26% 24% 23%
21% 19% 22% 20%
20% 18% 20% 16% 15%
19%
10%
0%
N.C Dept of Public Instruction
72. Percentage of Students Performing at or Above Grade
Level in End of Course Tests (ABC) in CHCCS
95%
89.2% 90.5% 90.2% 89.3% 89.5%
90%
85.6% 85.0%
85% 82.3%
80.6% 81.5%
79.9% 80.0%
80%
76.7% 76.5%
75%
70%
65%
English I Algebra I Algebra II Biology Physical Civics & US History
Science Econ.
District State
75. Growth of UNC Chapel Hill
Item Growth Since 2011 Total
1980
Full Time Students 33% 24,222 students
Total Students 36% 29,137 students
Total Employees 69% 11,909 employees
Gross Square Feet 139% 18,781,849 sq feet
State Appropriations 382% $520 million
Total Annual Revenue 831% $2.74 billion
Value of Endowment 5,544% $2.24 billion
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
76. Percent of Undergrads Housed on
Campus (Fall 2011)
East Carolina University 24%
University of California at Berkeley 25%
University Wisconsin at Madison 30%
North Carolina State University 34%
University of California at Los Angeles 36%
University of Michigan 39%
Indiana University Bloomington 40%
University of Virginia 52%
UNC- Chapel Hill 55%
84%
Duke University
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Association of College and University Housing Officers International
77. State Appropriations (UNC Chapel Hill)
$600,000,000 $520,198,494
$500,000,000
$400,000,000
$300,000,000
$200,000,000 $107,782,727
$100,000,000
$0
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
78. UNC Chapel Hill Annual Revenue and
$3,000,000,000
Endowment
$2,737,783,213
$2,500,000,000
$2,000,000,000
$2,239,085,128
$1,500,000,000
$1,000,000,000
$520,198,494
$500,000,000
$0
1984
1980
1981
1982
1983
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Total State Value of
Revenues Appropriations Endowment
UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment
84. Orange County Hotel Occupancy
69.9%
67.1% 67.3%
65.0%
64.1%
58.9% 59.5%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
(through
June)
Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
85. Orange County Hotel Average Daily Rate
$116.37
$114.77
$108 $107.35
$103.74
$101.94 $102.12
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
(Through
June)
Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
86. Chapel Hill/Orange Co. Revenue per
Room (RevPar)
$69.8
$65.2
$63.3
$60.9
2009 2010 2011 2012 YTD June
Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
87. Orange County
Tourism Spending (millions)
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
NC Department of Commerce
88. State and Local Tax Revenue from
Travel to Orange County
$11,640,000
$3,680,000
1993
1991
1992
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
NC Department of Commerce
89. Orange County Tourism Related Jobs
2,000
1,650 1,800
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,220 $28,720.000 in 1,000
Annual Payroll 800
600
400
200
0
91. County Mortality Rank
2010 2011 2012
0
2
1
2
4
6
8
10 10
12
14
13
16
18 18
20
Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake
County Health Rankings, Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
106. Percentage of Obese Adults by County
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Orange County 23%
Alamance County 34%
Chatham County 25%
Durham County 30%
Wake County 26%
North Carolina 29%
NC State Center for Health Statistics
107. Percentage of Adults Who Smoke
by County
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Orange County 13%
Alamance County 24%
Chatham County 20%
Durham County 16%
Wake County 15%
North Carolina 22%
NC State Center for Health Statistics
108. County “Health Behaviors” Rank
2010 2011 2012
0 1
2
10 11
15
20
30
40
50
55
60
Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake
County Health Rankings, Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
109. County “Social and Economic Factors”
Rank
2010 2011 2012
0 2 3
7
10 12
20
30
40
50
60 58
70 Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake
County Health Rankings, Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
110. County “Health Factors” Rank
2010 2011 2012
0 1
5
8
9
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
47
50 Orange Alamance Durham Wake
County Health Rankings, Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
111. County “Health Outcomes” Rank
2010 2011 2012
0
1
2
5
8
10
15
20 20
21
25
30
Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake
County Health Rankings, Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
112. Some takeaways…
• We have a strong, well-educated work force and
diverse population.
• Local municipalities share attributes but have key
demographic differences.
• We are growing and will grow, but slower than our
neighbors as we take a small portion of regional
growth and state population growth.
• We have a large disparity in wealth and continue to
see increases in children in poverty and food stamp
recipients.
113. Some takeaways…
• Growth in Chapel Hill and Orange County employed
residents and growth in retail sales indicate
economic improvement.
• While we have enough water for the next 50 years,
price continues to increase and a permanent
emergency supply must be secured.
• Housing prices have held steady but price per
square foot and number of units sold is decreasing
114. Some takeaways…
• Our two school districts continue to out perform
their peers and state averages
• Tourism and visitor spending are strong and
growing .
• Orange County per capita income is the highest
and unemployment is one of the lowest in the
state, but per capita retails sales continues to lag
substantially.
115. Some takeaways…
• Health indicators put Orange in the top five
percent of NC counties
• Education in general and UNC research funding,
in particular, are key to our economy and with
their large economic multiplier continues to have
a big community impact.
• Our economy and community are resilient. We
were late into the recession and first out.
116. Connect With Us
• Facebook.com/ChapelHillCarrboroChamber
• Twitter: @CarolinaChamber
• Flickr.com/photos/carolinachamber
• LinkedIn: Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber group
• www.carolinachamber.org