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GLOBALFINANCIAL
C R I S I S
2007 -
2009
EVERYONE
homeowners INVESTORS
homeowners INVESTORS
BANKS
BROKERS
TREASURY
BONDS
September11,2001
Lower Returns
Cheap Lending or CheapCredit1% =
INVESTORSLOOKFORSECURITIES
WITHHigher returns than
the FED’s 1%.
Causes
ofthe FinancialCrisis
DATA MINING
Securitization
Lewis
Ranieri
Mortgage broker
lender
mortgage
Mortgage broker
lender
mortgage
Investment
bank
Box of
mortgages
COLLATERALIZED DEBT
OBLIGATION(CDOs)
aaa
bbb
INVESTOR 1 INVESTOR 2 INVESTOR 3
Buys aaa Buys bbbBuys aa
Mortgage broker
(AGENT)
INVESTORS
(PRINCIPAL)
ORIGINATE-TO-
DISTRIBUTE MODEL
PROBLEM=Broker


  
WIN-WIN
Credit default swapsCommercial and
investment banks
CDS
CONFLICTS OF
INTEREST
Financial Innovations
Emerge in the Mortgage
Market
Agency Problem in the
Mortgage Markets
Asymmetric Information
and Credit-Rating
Agencies
1
2
3
EFFECTS
onthe FinancialCrisis
Residential Housing Prices:
Boom and Bust
Deterioration of Financial
Institutions’ Balance Sheets
High-Profile Firms Fail
Crisis Spreads Globally
Run on the Shadow Banking
System
1
2
3
4
5




SUPPLY > DEMAND
HOUSING PRICE
Mortgageprice > Housingprice
 DEFAULTS
SALE


’

BANKRUPTCY
ASSETS=$600 BILLION
25,OOO EMPLOYEES
DEBT: $619 BILLION
LARGEST BANKRUPTCY IN US HISTORY
Issued$5 Trillion
mortgage-backed assets
bailout: $189BILLION
BIGGEST BAILOUT IN US HISTORY
fifth-largest investment bank
bailed out by the NY Fed
forced to merge/sold itselfto JP Morgan.
Merrill lynch
3rd largest Investment Bank
Sold itself to Bank of America
ASSET:
$1 Trillion
Cds issued:
$400 billion
Bailout:
$85 billion
Insurance giant
ShadowBanks
Funded by REPOS (repurchaseagreements)



’

•
•
•
height
ofthe FinancialCrisis
Credit
Spread Peak
(December 2008)
Government
Intervention
and the Recovery
Massivebail-outs:
Troubled Asset Relief Plan(TARP)
’
Economic Recovery Act
Bush Administration Economic
Stimulus Act(2008)
Obama’s American Recovery and
Reinvestment Act(2009)
’

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Global Financial Crisis (2007 - 2009)