Presentation discusses these Internet future developments: 1. Social computing will expand to business 2. Internet access will be ubiquitous 3. The Web will become faster 4. The Web will become smarter 5. Security will improve 6. IT products will morph into services

1. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion

2. The Futureof the Internet ARMA CalgaryFebruary 10, 2010 2

3. Yogi SchulzBiography Partner in Corvelle Consulting Information technology related management consulting Microsoft Canada columnist & CBC Radio host PPDM Association board member Industry presenter: Project World - 5 years CIPS Informatics - 7 years PMI - Information Systems SIG - 2 years Convergence - 4 years PPDM Association - several years 3

4. The Future of the Internetat various points in the past Secure communication system for US political and military leaders during nuclear war System to conduct business Cheap, fast, shared communication systemfor everyone A whole new media channel System to improve social life Basis for warfare Estonia urged NATO to develop a unified strategyagainst "cyber-terrorists" today after suspectedRussian hackers launched a third wave of attackson leading government, banking andmedia websites this week. 19 May 2007 4

5. Cyber War:Sabotaging the System Brazilian disruption of electrical power networks initiated by hackers China Expands Cyberspying in U.S. The New E-spionage Threat 5

6. Close toHome “Great news, Mrs. Janoski! We put a video of your tummy-tuck surgeryon YouTube, And it’s currently ranked second!” 6

7. Evolution from Web 1.0to Web 2.0 End-user input Web 1.0 Mostly text content Internet Web 2.0 End-user generated content Multi-media content 7

8. Increasing Online Sales 8

9. Over 72 million active sites 9 World Wide Web map Number of Web Siteson the Web

10. The Future of the Internet Outline Social computing will expand to business Internet access will be ubiquitous The Web will become faster The Web will become smarter Security will improve IT products will morph into services Recommendations Questions & Answers 10

11. Social ComputingSurvey created a personal profile onFacebook, MySpace, Second Life? played FarmVille? written personal blog entries? written a review at Amazon? posted pictures at Flickr? posted video at YouTube? produced content for the Web? Who has . . 11

12. Daily Weblog Postings Daily Weblog Postings 1.4 million posts per day 12

13. New Hobbieson the Internet How did anyone survive before the Internet? Isn’t it truly amazinghow a day after Matthewtakes off his shirt, wecan all enjoy it? 13

14. The future of Social Networks Companies: operate FaceBook groups & YouTube channels offer chat to customers host discussion forums Individuals: stay in touch with family & friends promote causes participate in political action 14

15. Internet AccessSurvey Who has . . abandoned phones for VOIP? used wireless access at Starbucks? found Internet access in remote corners of the world? mooched Internet access froman open WiFi access point? surfed the Web using a phone? 15

16. InternetEverywhere 16

17. T-Mobile HotSpot @Home + $ 20.00 per month In a Wi-Fi wirelessInternet hot spot,all your calls are free Phone hands offyour calls fromWi-Fi network to cell networkseamlessly and automatically Includes a wireless router for your home 17 NovatelMiFi

18. PCs vs. Cell PhonesProjected Shipments Over 700 million phones 18

19. Internet-CapableCell Phones 19

20. 20 Chinese InformationHighway

21. Revenge of the PCs? 21 Netbook

22. The Future of Internet Access Internet 2 Cable/ADSL Rural Internet Satellite services Municipal WiFi Device convergence 22

23. Faster Web Survey waited and waited for web pages to load? noticed significant variability when loading the same web page? rented movies because the download time takes hours? abandoned an online purchase because the hour glass stayed on forever? 23 Who has . .

24. Internet speed by country 24

25. The Future of Internet Speed Internet 2 Faster web browsers Higher speed Cable/ADSL Higher speed cell phone network Higher speed in-home network 25

26. Smarter Web Survey not found what you were searching for? failed to re-find a page you’ve seen before? become tired of typing the same personal information over and over and over? received unexpected/embarrassing pages in the results set? found exactly what you were looking for; only it’s in Chicago? 26 Who has . .

27. Mobile agents RosettaNet ebXML UDDI WS-<alphabet soup> Web Services willconnect organizations } WS-Trust WS-Security Web Services Interoperability WS-MetadataExchange WS-Addressing WS-Eventing WS-ServiceGroup WS-BaseFaults 27

28. The Future Semantic Web

29. SecuritySurvey actually produced a disaster recovery plan after deferring the work for many years? been hesitant about creating a profile? a paper shredder in use at home? their social security number with them? their password written on a sticky note? a firewall, anti-virus and anti-spyware installed at home? Who has . . 29

30. The Future of Security Biometric identification: Technical identification: Less total freedom to be irresponsible: 30

31. Software &Hardware Survey implemented virtualization technology contracted for on-demandserver computing? used open source software? installed OpenOffice? developed softwarethrough crowdsourcing? 31 Who has . .

32. IT products will morph into servicesSoftware as a Service Open source software Pay for software usage by the month Web-accessible office software IT infrastructure management 32 Qbyte online Java Enterprise System

33. IT products will morph into servicesHardware as a Service Commodity computing Service oriented architecture Cluster Grid 33

34. What will the future of the Internetmean to business? Enhance distributed collaboration Enhance supply chain performance Improve work/life balance Improve integration of field andhead office business processes Address the potential ofknowledge management 34

35. Conclusions The future of the Internet will surprise us We tend to under-estimate the pace of progress in technology We tend to over-estimate the pace at which people are prepared to adopt technology 35

36. KeepingUp Don’t languish behind, The Internet offersmany possibilities! 36

37. Recommendations Monitor Internet technology developments Experiment using emerging Web services Match technology to business problems and opportunities Pilot Web services in modest ways Don’t over-commit 37

38. Questions & Answers Elroy will explain it to you 38

39. Future of the Internet Corvelle Consulting 700, 205 - 5 Ave. S. W. Calgary, Alberta T2P 2V7 Phone: (403) 249-5255 E-mail: YogiSchulz@corvelle.com Web: www.corvelle.com Yogi Schulz Partner of Corvelle Consulting Information technology related management consulting Microsoft Canada columnist& CBC Radio host Industry presenter PPDM Association board member 39

40. Man – ComputerIntegration 40

41. searched for Open Source software components? contemplated installing the Compiere Open Source ERP software application? read about the Open Source Website Content Management System? participated in an Open Source community? considered an open source application? SoftwareDevelopmentSurvey Who has . . 41

42. Software development will rely heavily on module re-use Microsoft modules Java modules Applications built on tools Reducing what developers have to code 42

43. Supplemental Slides 43

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46. Top 10 Sites 46

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49. Mobile Web-surfingGrowth 49

50. Websitesvisited afterTwitter 50

51. 51 Top-10 Malware Sites

52. Internet speed by country 52

53. Number of Weblogs Number of Weblogs Over 70 million blogs 53

54. USA HolidayOnline Spending 54

55. Web SearchActivity Share 55

56. Future ofelectronic books 56 AmazonKindle MSI Dual screen slate Sonyereader Barnes & NobleNook Apple iPAD

57. Bibliography - 1 A Brief History of the World Wide Web www.walthowe.com/navnet/history.html A Little History of the World Wide Web www.w3.org/History.html Biometric Identification et.wcu.edu/aidc/BioWebPages/Biometrics_Eye.html Classmate PC by Intel www.classmatepc.com/index.html Creative Licensing Erik Heinrich, EDGE, September 2004, p. 14 Digital dilemmas The Economist, Jan 23rd, 2003 www.economist.com/opinion/displayStory.cfm?Story_id=1534303 Eight business technology trends to watch http://www.mckinseyquarterly.com/High_Tech/Strategy_Analysis/Eight_business_technology_trends_to_watch_2080?gp=1 Electrolux Screenfridge www.electrolux.com/screenfridge 57

58. Bibliography - 2 Future of the Internet and Web www.cs.purdue.edu/homes/bxd/inter/futureineweb.html Hardware, On Demand Help Drive IBM's Profit Erin Joyce, January 15, 2004 www.internetnews.com/bus-news/article.php/3299631 Histories of the Internet www.isoc.org/internet/history en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Internet_history www.let.leidenuniv.nl/history/ivh/frame_theorie.html Hobbes' Internet Timeline v7.0 www.zakon.org/robert/internet/timeline How the internet has woven itself into American life www.pewinternet.org/PPF/r/148/report_display.asp How big brother and big media can put the Internet genie back in the bottle John Walker, Revision 4 -- November 4th, 2003 www.fourmilab.ch/documents/digital-imprimatur 58

59. Bibliography - 3 IBM - Capacity on demand www-1.ibm.com/servers/eserver/iseries/ondemand/cod/ IBM Makes Social Computing Push For Business Internet News, January 23, 2007 www.internetnews.com/ent-news/article.php/3655391 www-142.ibm.com/software/sw-lotus/products/product3.nsf/wdocs/connections Inside Reality - Improve collaborative decision making www.slb.com/content/services/software/virtual Internet histories www.isoc.org/internet/history Internet Society www.isoc.org Internet2 www.internet2.edu IPhone-Free Cellphone News By David Pogue, New York Times. July 5, 2007 www.nytimes.com/2007/07/05/technology/circuits/05pogue.html?ex=1186459200&en=45706190e9cee2fb&ei=5070 59

60. Bibliography - 4 Mobile Agents and the Future of the Internet www.cs.dartmouth.edu/~dfk/papers/kotz:future2/ NASA Research and Education Network (NREN) www.nren.nasa.gov/about/index.html On-Demand Computing www.computerworld.com/hardwaretopics/hardware/report/0,11188,06282004,00.html One Laptop per Child (OLPC) laptop.org Pattie Maes and PranavMistry demo SixthSense http://www.ted.com/talks/pattie_maes_demos_the_sixth_sense.html Rich Internet application en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rich_Internet_application www.adobe.com/devnet/ria/ theopensourcery.com/xmlria.htm Software as a Service: Choosing an Effective Model www.accelacomm.com/jlp/BellSaas-txtEm2/22/10002557/ 60

61. Bibliography - 5 Taming the World Wide Web A rising tide of companies are tapping Semantic Web technologies to unearth hard-to-find connections between disparate pieces of online data by Rachael King www.businessweek.com/technology/content/apr2007/tc20070409_248062.htm?chan=search 61

62. Bibliography - 6 Utility Computing www.utilitycomputing.com Unveiling the genius of multi-touch interface design Jeff Han www.ted.com/index.php/talks/view/id/65 Voice over IP 101 - Juniper Networks whitepapers.informationweek.com/detail/RES/1099072997_513.html?src=mu_p_j2e W3C - One Web: Going Mobile Steve Bratt, W3C - One Web: Going Mobile www.w3.org/2006/Talks/1106-sb-OneWeb-Mobile2/#(1) Web 2.0 Directory : eConsultant World Wide Web Consortium 62

63. The Future of the Internetat various points in the past - 1 Secure communication system for US political and military leaders during nuclear war Fast communication system for US Department of Defense and its military contractors Global system of hypertext linkages to cross-reference academic documents across computers Fast, shared communication system for large corporations A way to apply computing without sending vast sums of money to Microsoft 63

64. The Future of the Internetat various points in the past - 2 Replacement for Fedexing documents A whole new media channel for: Distributing information Delivering entertainment & education Collaborating for business or pleasure System to: Perform rapid research (with limitations) Conduct business with consumers – B2C Improve social life Get rich quick scheme based on dubious products & services 64

65. The Future of the Internetat various points in the past - 3 A software distribution/update mechanism Cheap, fast, shared communication system for everyone System to conduct business: Among businesses – B2B With government A turbo-charged way to: Defraud the innocent & the naive Aggravate & disrupt the lives of many Operate a global casino without spending billions 65

66. The Future of the Internetat various points in the past - 4 Basis for warfare: Disrupt enemy communication Disable enemy weapons Freeze enemy financial assets Avoid casualties on the evening news Replacement for: The telephone system Video conferencing A shared infrastructure to enable: Media convergence Wireless communication system On-demand television 66

67. A Brief History of the Internet 67

68. A Brief Historyof the Internet - 1 1957 U. S. government forms Advanced Research Projects Agency (ARPA) as a defense initiative 1968 ARPANET, the precursor of the Internet, is launched to connect Department of Defense (DoD) with military contractors 1970s ARPA and Stanford develop packet switching - TCP/IP 1971 Ray Tomlinson of ARPANET sent the world's first e-mail 1972 Scientist start to use ARPANET for E-mail 1973 The term Internet is first used 1981 ARPANET grows to 213 hosts 1982 first Newsgroups established 1983 TCP/IP becomes the standard protocol 1984 The term cyberspace is coined by author William Gibson 1984 ARPANET grows to 1,000 hosts 68

69. A Brief Historyof the Internet - 2 1985 NSFNet begins; takes over Internet 1985, 15 March – first registered domain name was symbolics.com 1989 Tim Berners-Lee wrote the first web client and server 1990 Tim Berners-Lee’s specifications of URIs, HTTP and HTML refined as Web technology spread 1990 The phrase World Wide Web is coined by Tim Berners-Lee. He is considered the inventor of the Web 1990 NSF lifts ban on commercial hosts on Internet 1990 Archie, first search engine, developed at McGill University 1991 PSI Net begins as first commercial ISP 1991 Gopher system - improvement on ftp retrieval developed 1992 Network Solutions wins bid to register domain extensions 1992 Internet reaches 1,000,000 hosts 1993 MOSAIC browser developed at University of Illinois under federal grant 69

70. A Brief Historyof the Internet - 3 1993 Internet reaches 2,000,000 hosts 1993 Netscape Communications is founded 1994 The first bank opens online 1994 Pizza Hut offers online pizza order and delivery 1994 first International World Wide Web Conferences held 1994 Yahoo starts as "Jerry's Guide to the World Wide Web" 1994, 7 July – Fraunhofer Society released the first MP3 software 1995 Internet access providers Compuserve, Aol and Prodigy began 1995 PC-to-PC Voice over IP began by hobbyists in Israel 1995, 3 September – eBay launched 1995, 15 December – AltaVista launched as an Internet search engine 1995 Amazon.com launched 1996 Microsoft feels threatened by Internet growth in importance; re-prioritizes software development 70

71. A Brief Historyof the Internet - 4 1996 Yahoo Internet search engine is launched 1997 The one millionth domain name is registered 1997 Net2Phone Direct (Phone-to-Phone Over IP) launched in the USA 1998 More than 300 million web pages exist; growing by 1.5 million pages per day 1998 VOIP first PC-to-Phone and later Phone-to-Phone connections 1998, 7 September – Google Inc.opens for business 1999 B2C E-commerce, portals and electronic auctions become popular 1999 Consumer high-speed access widely adopted 1999 MySpace.com is launched 1999 wireless technology called 802.11b or Wi-Fi is standardized 2000 B2B E-commerce gains momentum 2000 AOL Time Warner merger announced 71

72. A Brief Historyof the Internet - 5 2001 B2B Marketplaces experiment with mixed success 2001 Internet startup frenzy implodes 2001 eBay reaches $10 billion sales; exceeds 35 million users 2001 W3C Publishes Web Services Description Language (WSDL) 2001 Napster litigation forces it to suspend service 2001 The first live distributed musical 2001 SETI@Home launches 2001 European Council finalizes an international cyber-crime treaty 2001 Code Red worm and Sircam virus infiltrate thousands of web servers and email accounts 2002 Having your own Blog becomes hip 2002 A distributed denial of service (DDoS) attack struck the 13 DNS root servers 72

73. A Brief Historyof the Internet - 6 2003 Spam, unsolicited email, becomes a server-clogging menace. It accounts for about half of all emails 2003 The first official Swiss online election takes place in Anières 2003 SQL Slammer worm causes one of the largest and fastest spreading DDoS attacks 2003 Flash mobs, organized over the Net, start in New York and quickly form in cities worldwide 2003 first Weblog site launched 2003 Second Life launched 2003 May LinkedIn launched 2003 Taxes make headlines as larger US Internet retailers begin collecting taxes on all purchases 2003 The Recording Industry Association of America (RIAA) sues 261 individuals for distributing copyright music files 2003 Internet users illegally download about 2.6 billion music files each month 73

74. A Brief Historyof the Internet - 7 2003 Apple Computer introduces Apple iTunes Music Store 2003 Last Abilene Internet segment upgraded to 10Gbps 2004 WS-Security 2004 February - Facebook was founded by Mark Zuckerberg 2004 Google IPO 2004 more instances of DNS root servers outside the USA 2004 VeriSign (VNDS) begins updating authoritative name servers in near real-time 2004 CERNET2 – first backbone IPv6 network in China 2004 Internet Worm, called MyDoom or Novarg, spreads through Internet servers 2004 Online spending reaches a record high - $117 billion, a 26% increase over 2003 2004, 9 November – Firefox Internet browser released 74

75. A Brief Historyof the Internet - 8 2005 One Laptop Per Child project begins 2005 YouTube.com is launched 2005 News Corporation's Fox Interactive Media buys MySpace 2006 Estimated 92 – 100 million Web sites online 2006 July Twitter launched publicly 2006, 14 November Microsoft launches Zune 2006 Google acquires YouTube for $1.65 billion in a stock-for-stock transaction 75

76. A Brief Historyof the Internet - 9 2007 February Apple surpasses one billion iTunes downloads 2007 March 1.1 billion people use the Internet according to Internet World Stats April 2007 Search engine giant Google surpasses Microsoft as "the most valuable global brand," and also is the most visited Web site 2007 – Amazon.com sales exceed $ 3 Billion 2008 - Hulu launches; an online video site for copyrighted work by major networks, December 2009 Ciplex Builds World's First Multi-Touch Website Using Silverlight Internet Archive: http://www.archive.org 76

77. Social Computingin Business Example product IBM's new social computing platform, Lotus Connections, includes five basic components: Profiles - Find the people you need Communities - Work with people whoshare common interests and expertise Blogs - Present your own ideas andlearn from others Dogear - Save and share bookmarks Activities - Organize your work andtap your professional network 77

78. Mobile Subscriptionsby Region 78