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Big Data Meets Learning Science
Apache Spark Summit East 2017
Alfred Essa
VP, Research and Data Science
McGraw-Hill Education
@malpaso
Our Journey from Print to Digital
2 McGraw-HillLearning Science
3 Spark, DataBricks
1 Innovation Pipeline
Speed of innovation, not
data, is the differentiator.
Technology Time to Market
Spark Factor
People Process
Apache Spark
DataBricks
Innovation Pipeline
Research
Product
Validation
Product
Development
Databricks underpins our
innovation pipeline and
workflow.
2 McGraw-HillLearning Science
From Print to Digital: 128-year Journey
K-12, Higher Ed &
Professional
businesses
~4,800
employees
Parking Lot
Adaptive Platform Leverages MHE Reach and Scale
How do we learn and how can we learn better?.
Introduction of
SmartBook
May 2013 1,500+ adaptive
products available
Now
Learners who have used MHE
Adaptive
~5,500,000 ~10,000,000,000
Student interactions
Authors trained to use MHE Adaptive
~4,000
Parking Lot
Research Phase
Research Step: Build Models and Algorithms
Model Iteration: Ship “Data Instrumented” product
to improve and tune models
Product Focus: Iterate prototypes with business
and customers
.
Research Question: How do we learn and how
can we learn better?
Stacked
Algorithm
Learning Tool for Optimizing Acquisition and Recall
2 31
Learning
Science
Principles
Effortful Recall
Spaced
Practice
Interleaving
Cognitive
Science
Model
Mobile App
3 Spark, DataBricks
The Problem
Students drop out or fail
their course
1
2 At-risk students can be difficult
to identify by instructors
Identify at-risk students
pre-emptively
The Solution
A classifier to
predict
abandonment
Jacqueline	 Feild
Data	Scientist
Nicholas	 Lewkow
Data	Scientist
Solution: A Classifier to Predict Abandonment
F1 F2 F3 F4 F5 F61
F1 F2 F3 F4 F5 F61
F1 F2 F3 F4 F5 F60
F1 F2 F3 F4 F5 F61
F1			F2			F3			F4			F5		F6
Classification	
algorithm
0
• Logistic	Regression	used	for	initial	
classification	 algorithm
• Simple	algorithm	to	interpret
• Provides	probability	estimates	
instead	of	hard	classification	 label
• Allows	for	simple	interpretation	 of	
feature	importance
• One	classifier	works	for	all	disciplines
Parking Lot
Companies that we havemet with
and completed Stage One, but there is
no immediate partnership opportunity
Parallel Pipeline for Creating Classifier
How do we learn and how can we learn better?.
Models and Algorithms
Ship “Data Instrumented” Product
Iterate Prototypes with Customers
Parking Lot
Companies that we havemet with
and completed Stage One, but there is
no immediate partnership opportunity
Spark Transformation
How do we learn and how can we learn better?.
Models and Algorithms
Ship “Data Instrumented” Product
Iterate Prototypes with Customers
Parking Lot
Companies that we havemet with
and completed Stage One, but there is
no immediate partnership opportunity
Speedup with Spark
How do we learn and how can we learn better?.
Models and Algorithms
Ship “Data Instrumented” Product
Iterate Prototypes with Customers
Sn:	Speedup	from	n cores
t1:	Time	to	run	on	1	core
tn:	Time	to	run	on	n	cores
Parking Lot
Companies that we havemet with
and completed Stage One, but there is
no immediate partnership opportunity
Evaluate Model Accuracy
How do we learn and how can we learn better?.
Models and Algorithms
Iterate Prototypes with Customers
• Use	area	under	the	receiver	operating	characteristic	
curve	(AUC-ROC)	 as	another	measure	 of	model	
accuracy
• 0.9	- 1.0	=	excellent
• 0.8	- 0.9	=	good
• 0.7	- 0.8	=	fair
• 0.6	- 0.7	=	poor
• 0.5	- 0.6	=	fail
• Look	at	how	the	AUC-ROC	for	a	model	changes	
throughout	the	semester
22
Evaluate Intervention Window
Intervention	Window:
How	much	 time	in	
advance	can	we	provide	
for	an	intervention	 to	
occur	prior	to	
abandonment?
Conclusions
Technology	is	important,	but	
build	an	agile	innovation	
workflow	with	Databricks.

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Big Data Meets Learning Science: Keynote by Al Essa

  • 1. Big Data Meets Learning Science Apache Spark Summit East 2017 Alfred Essa VP, Research and Data Science McGraw-Hill Education @malpaso
  • 2. Our Journey from Print to Digital 2 McGraw-HillLearning Science 3 Spark, DataBricks 1 Innovation Pipeline
  • 3. Speed of innovation, not data, is the differentiator.
  • 4. Technology Time to Market Spark Factor People Process Apache Spark DataBricks
  • 6. Databricks underpins our innovation pipeline and workflow.
  • 8. From Print to Digital: 128-year Journey K-12, Higher Ed & Professional businesses ~4,800 employees
  • 9. Parking Lot Adaptive Platform Leverages MHE Reach and Scale How do we learn and how can we learn better?. Introduction of SmartBook May 2013 1,500+ adaptive products available Now Learners who have used MHE Adaptive ~5,500,000 ~10,000,000,000 Student interactions Authors trained to use MHE Adaptive ~4,000
  • 10. Parking Lot Research Phase Research Step: Build Models and Algorithms Model Iteration: Ship “Data Instrumented” product to improve and tune models Product Focus: Iterate prototypes with business and customers . Research Question: How do we learn and how can we learn better?
  • 11. Stacked Algorithm Learning Tool for Optimizing Acquisition and Recall 2 31 Learning Science Principles Effortful Recall Spaced Practice Interleaving Cognitive Science Model Mobile App
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 16. The Problem Students drop out or fail their course 1 2 At-risk students can be difficult to identify by instructors Identify at-risk students pre-emptively
  • 17. The Solution A classifier to predict abandonment Jacqueline Feild Data Scientist Nicholas Lewkow Data Scientist
  • 18. Solution: A Classifier to Predict Abandonment F1 F2 F3 F4 F5 F61 F1 F2 F3 F4 F5 F61 F1 F2 F3 F4 F5 F60 F1 F2 F3 F4 F5 F61 F1 F2 F3 F4 F5 F6 Classification algorithm 0 • Logistic Regression used for initial classification algorithm • Simple algorithm to interpret • Provides probability estimates instead of hard classification label • Allows for simple interpretation of feature importance • One classifier works for all disciplines
  • 19. Parking Lot Companies that we havemet with and completed Stage One, but there is no immediate partnership opportunity Parallel Pipeline for Creating Classifier How do we learn and how can we learn better?. Models and Algorithms Ship “Data Instrumented” Product Iterate Prototypes with Customers
  • 20. Parking Lot Companies that we havemet with and completed Stage One, but there is no immediate partnership opportunity Spark Transformation How do we learn and how can we learn better?. Models and Algorithms Ship “Data Instrumented” Product Iterate Prototypes with Customers
  • 21. Parking Lot Companies that we havemet with and completed Stage One, but there is no immediate partnership opportunity Speedup with Spark How do we learn and how can we learn better?. Models and Algorithms Ship “Data Instrumented” Product Iterate Prototypes with Customers Sn: Speedup from n cores t1: Time to run on 1 core tn: Time to run on n cores
  • 22. Parking Lot Companies that we havemet with and completed Stage One, but there is no immediate partnership opportunity Evaluate Model Accuracy How do we learn and how can we learn better?. Models and Algorithms Iterate Prototypes with Customers • Use area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) as another measure of model accuracy • 0.9 - 1.0 = excellent • 0.8 - 0.9 = good • 0.7 - 0.8 = fair • 0.6 - 0.7 = poor • 0.5 - 0.6 = fail • Look at how the AUC-ROC for a model changes throughout the semester 22
  • 23. Evaluate Intervention Window Intervention Window: How much time in advance can we provide for an intervention to occur prior to abandonment?