Hub Futures Explorers Input Session 26 Feb 2013     #hubfutures   Adam Jorlen, Futurist & Helen Palmer, Change Facilitator
CHECK IN…in one word or with one breath -           How am I?
Generic Foresight ProcessCopyright: Joseph Voros
InputsThings happening… Delphi – expert panel Environmental scanning – how will the  future be different?
What is scanning?     Scanning is the art of systematically     exploring the external environment to:     1. better under...
Why scan?                                                timeCopyright: Wendy Schultz, infinitefutures.com
How to scan "Out of the box" thinking, an open mind,  and a desire to discover new things. Exposure to many sources, ide...
10 minutes in pairs…1. What are three “things” which may impactthe future of Hub?2. Discuss Zia Sardar‟s questions:       ...
V-STEEP Values Social Technological Economic Environmental PoliticalMarcus Barber - Looking Up Feeling Good -lufg.com
Ken Wilber‟s four quadrantmodel
Homework – Hub Ethos What stood out for you? What resonates with you? What didn‟t sit right with you? What do you thin...
Make Framing Decisions Framing enables us to define the scope  and focus of the journey Clarify objective for input Fra...
Purpose / Objective We are the future of the Hub A four-month foresight process to:   crowd-source a couple of scenario...
Framing Adjust Attitudes Know the Audience Understand the Rationale and Purpose Set Objectives Select the team and ro...
Scale How far ahead do we look?                       Today1926         1975   2000     2025   2050   2100
#HUBFUTURES                              Beyond Hub                               HUB Global   OUTPUT                     ...
Beginners and ExpertsWho do we ask?"The beginners mind includes - the expertsmind excludes"Shunruy Suzuki
Types of Futures Potential – all possible futures Possible - “might” happen (future knowledge) Plausible – “could” happ...
Types of futures
Wisdom of Crowds“[if] you put together a big enough anddiverse enough group of people and askthem to „make decisions affec...
Why would Hubbers help to         scan?How can we involve and engage otherHubbers in the scanning process? a) They help o...
Wish list Collaborative – Involve and as many  people as possible within and beyond the  Hub community to capture the wis...
Scanning objectives1.   Arranged a Delphi in the community on     Yammer with #hubfutures2.   Made physically visible the ...
Roles Helen - Facilitates adventures into the future,    Cruise Manager   Michael – Foreign correspondent   Neil – Ship...
Hub Futures            REPORT            SIGNAL!Twitter hash tag + Yammer topic :           #hubfutures
CHECK OUT What‟s sitting at the top of your mind? What will you do next as a result of  today‟s session? Part of the sca...
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20130226 hub futures input workshop presentation

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20130226 hub futures input workshop presentation

  1. 1. Hub Futures Explorers Input Session 26 Feb 2013 #hubfutures Adam Jorlen, Futurist & Helen Palmer, Change Facilitator
  2. 2. CHECK IN…in one word or with one breath - How am I?
  3. 3. Generic Foresight ProcessCopyright: Joseph Voros
  4. 4. InputsThings happening… Delphi – expert panel Environmental scanning – how will the future be different?
  5. 5. What is scanning? Scanning is the art of systematically exploring the external environment to: 1. better understand the nature and pace of change in that environment, and 2. identify potential opportunities, challenges, and likely future developments relevant to your organization.Dr. Michael Jackson, Chairman, Shaping Tomorrow
  6. 6. Why scan? timeCopyright: Wendy Schultz, infinitefutures.com
  7. 7. How to scan "Out of the box" thinking, an open mind, and a desire to discover new things. Exposure to many sources, ideas, and challenges. Identify and tear down "taboos" ghosting the organisation Meta-scanning - Bring self-awareness into scanning the world. What are my filters?
  8. 8. 10 minutes in pairs…1. What are three “things” which may impactthe future of Hub?2. Discuss Zia Sardar‟s questions: a) Does it make sense? b) Who benefits? c) Where is this going?3. Put all scan-hits on separate post-itnotes.
  9. 9. V-STEEP Values Social Technological Economic Environmental PoliticalMarcus Barber - Looking Up Feeling Good -lufg.com
  10. 10. Ken Wilber‟s four quadrantmodel
  11. 11. Homework – Hub Ethos What stood out for you? What resonates with you? What didn‟t sit right with you? What do you think wasn‟t said? (reading between the lines)
  12. 12. Make Framing Decisions Framing enables us to define the scope and focus of the journey Clarify objective for input Framing prevents misunderstandings that generate confusion and wasted work
  13. 13. Purpose / Objective We are the future of the Hub A four-month foresight process to:  crowd-source a couple of scenarios or options for the future of Hub Melbourne, and  increase / deepen awareness of futures thinking in the Hub community. Use the wisdom of the crowd Build on Hub Ethos / shared meaning
  14. 14. Framing Adjust Attitudes Know the Audience Understand the Rationale and Purpose Set Objectives Select the team and roles(From Hines & Bishop - Thinking about the Future)
  15. 15. Scale How far ahead do we look? Today1926 1975 2000 2025 2050 2100
  16. 16. #HUBFUTURES Beyond Hub HUB Global OUTPUT INPUT HUB Australia National National Field HUB Field # Melb # F- F- WALL WALL ANALYSISPROSPECTION INTERPRETATIO @adamjorlen N
  17. 17. Beginners and ExpertsWho do we ask?"The beginners mind includes - the expertsmind excludes"Shunruy Suzuki
  18. 18. Types of Futures Potential – all possible futures Possible - “might” happen (future knowledge) Plausible – “could” happen (current knowledge) Probable - “likely to” happen (current trends) Preferable - “want to” happen (value judgments)
  19. 19. Types of futures
  20. 20. Wisdom of Crowds“[if] you put together a big enough anddiverse enough group of people and askthem to „make decisions affecting matters ofgeneral interest‟, that group‟s decision will,over time, be „intellectually [superior] to theisolated individual‟, no matter how smart orwell-informed he is.”James Surowiecki, The Wisdom of Crowds
  21. 21. Why would Hubbers help to scan?How can we involve and engage otherHubbers in the scanning process? a) They help other Hubbers in the community b) They get data/info/knowledge/wisdom for themselves and their businesses. c) Gamification (defined target of weak signals each fortnight? Identify good spotters)
  22. 22. Wish list Collaborative – Involve and as many people as possible within and beyond the Hub community to capture the wisdom of the group. Creative – Novel, valuable approaches Participatory: Ensure individuals participate, communicate, render opinions, finding commonality and areas of difference.
  23. 23. Scanning objectives1. Arranged a Delphi in the community on Yammer with #hubfutures2. Made physically visible the #hubfutures exploration for other Hubbers to contribute to on the physical Futures Wall3. Involved and sourced wisdom from the Hub Wisdom Council in person or via email4. Gained a broader perspective from the world (open foresight) via Twitter #hubfutures5. Engaged and involved global Hubbers through National Field.
  24. 24. Roles Helen - Facilitates adventures into the future, Cruise Manager Michael – Foreign correspondent Neil – Ship Mentor Tony - How can Hub spill out in Melbourne? Julien - a. Check multiple perspectives - reflecting around languages and cross-cultural views. b. Bridge the abstract and concrete. Adam – Navigator + Reporter + Captain etc Brad - Shipping magnate (three ships heading out from Sydney + Melbourne + Adelaide) More? Metaphor or other...
  25. 25. Hub Futures REPORT SIGNAL!Twitter hash tag + Yammer topic : #hubfutures
  26. 26. CHECK OUT What‟s sitting at the top of your mind? What will you do next as a result of today‟s session? Part of the scanning as decided in the session… Expected time for participants...

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