1. Hub Futures Explorers Input Session 26 Feb 2013
#hubfutures
Adam Jorlen, Futurist & Helen Palmer, Change Facilitator

2. CHECK IN
…in one word or with one breath -
How am I?

3. Generic Foresight Process
Copyright: Joseph Voros

4. Inputs
Things happening…
 Delphi – expert panel
 Environmental scanning – how will the
future be different?

5. What is scanning?
Scanning is the art of systematically
exploring the external environment to:
1. better understand the nature and pace of
change in that environment, and
2. identify potential opportunities,
challenges, and likely future
developments relevant to your
organization.
Dr. Michael Jackson, Chairman, Shaping Tomorrow

6. Why scan?
time
Copyright: Wendy Schultz, infinitefutures.com

7. How to scan
 "Out of the box" thinking, an open mind,
and a desire to discover new things.
 Exposure to many sources, ideas, and
challenges.
 Identify and tear down "taboos" ghosting
the organisation
 Meta-scanning - Bring self-awareness into
scanning the world. What are my filters?

8. 10 minutes in pairs…
1. What are three “things” which may impact
the future of Hub?
2. Discuss Zia Sardar‟s questions:
a) Does it make sense?
b) Who benefits?
c) Where is this going?
3. Put all scan-hits on separate post-it
notes.

9. V-STEEP
 Values
 Social
 Technological
 Economic
 Environmental
 Political
Marcus Barber - Looking Up Feeling Good -
lufg.com

10. Ken Wilber‟s four quadrant
model

11. Homework – Hub Ethos
 What stood out for you?
 What resonates with you?
 What didn‟t sit right with you?
 What do you think wasn‟t said? (reading
between the lines)

12. Make Framing Decisions
 Framing enables us to define the scope
and focus of the journey
 Clarify objective for input
 Framing prevents misunderstandings that
generate confusion and wasted work

13. Purpose / Objective
 We are the future of the Hub
 A four-month foresight process to:
 crowd-source a couple of scenarios or
options for the future of Hub Melbourne,
and
 increase / deepen awareness of futures
thinking in the Hub community.
 Use the wisdom of the crowd
 Build on Hub Ethos / shared meaning

14. Framing
 Adjust Attitudes
 Know the Audience
 Understand the Rationale and Purpose
 Set Objectives
 Select the team and roles
(From Hines & Bishop - Thinking about the Future)

15. Scale
How far ahead do we look?
Today
1926 1975 2000 2025 2050 2100

16. #HUBFUTURE
S Beyond Hub
HUB Global
OUTPUT INPUT
HUB Australia
National National
Field HUB
Field
# Melb
#
F- F-
WALL WALL
ANALYSIS
PROSPECTIO
N
INTERPRETATIO @adamjorlen
N

17. Beginners and Experts
Who do we ask?
"The beginner's mind includes - the expert's
mind excludes"
Shunruy Suzuki

18. Types of Futures
 Potential – all possible futures
 Possible - “might” happen (future knowledge)
 Plausible – “could” happen (current
knowledge)
 Probable - “likely to” happen (current trends)
 Preferable - “want to” happen (value
judgments)

19. Types of futures

20. Wisdom of Crowds
“[if] you put together a big enough and
diverse enough group of people and ask
them to „make decisions affecting matters of
general interest‟, that group‟s decision will,
over time, be „intellectually [superior] to the
isolated individual‟, no matter how smart or
well-informed he is.”
James Surowiecki, The Wisdom of Crowds

21. Why would Hubbers help to
scan?
How can we involve and engage other
Hubbers in the scanning process?
 a) They help other Hubbers in the
community
 b) They get data/info/knowledge/wisdom
for themselves and their businesses.
 c) Gamification (defined target of weak
signals each fortnight? Identify good
spotters)

22. Wish list
 Collaborative – Involve and as many
people as possible within and beyond the
Hub community to capture the wisdom of
the group.
 Creative – Novel, valuable approaches
 Participatory: Ensure individuals
participate, communicate, render
opinions, finding commonality and areas
of difference.

23. Scanning objectives
1. Arranged a Delphi in the community on
Yammer with #hubfutures
2. Made physically visible the #hubfutures
exploration for other Hubbers to contribute to
on the physical Futures Wall
3. Involved and sourced wisdom from the Hub
Wisdom Council in person or via email
4. Gained a broader perspective from the world
(open foresight) via Twitter #hubfutures
5. Engaged and involved global Hubbers
through National Field.

24. Roles
 Helen - Facilitates adventures into the future,
Cruise Manager
 Michael – Foreign correspondent
 Neil – Ship Mentor
 Tony - How can Hub spill out in Melbourne?
 Julien - a. Check multiple perspectives - reflecting
around languages and cross-cultural views. b.
Bridge the abstract and concrete.
 Adam – Navigator + Reporter + Captain etc
 Brad - Shipping magnate (three ships heading out
from Sydney + Melbourne + Adelaide)
 More? Metaphor or other...

25. Hub Futures
REPORT
SIGNAL!
Twitter hash tag + Yammer topic :
#hubfutures

26. CHECK OUT
 What‟s sitting at the top of your mind?
 What will you do next as a result of
today‟s session? Part of the scanning as
decided in the session…
 Expected time for participants...