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EQUIPMENT PRICES LAG BEHIND COMMODITY PRICES SWINGS
Today’s economic climate is creating exciting opportunities for forward-thinking energy
producers and distributors. Despite our current upheaval, the long-term demand for energy
infrastructure continues to grow. Hundreds of billions of dollars in investments will be
needed to meet the U.S. demand for the next 15 years.
And in today’s commodity markets, volatile price swings are creating opportunities for
savvy buyers to capitalize on prices that have fallen anywhere from 20–60 percent in the
past several months. Market pricing is not reflecting this shift and therefore, buyers are not
necessarily getting fair prices on purchases.
Delays in infrastructure projects — because of financing challenges or credit issues — could
lead to price escalation when the economy (and, of course, underlying commodity prices)
begin to rebound. To capitalize on this short-term window, you need insightful market
visibility into the true nature of the costs of your planned capital purchases to identify,
quantify, and evaluate your opportunities to achieve a better cost position.
SHOULD-COST ASSESSMENT
Identifying Cost Structure Independent of Pricing
Industry Intelligence • Innovative Technology • Expert Solutions
In a volatile market, historical pricing data and trends offer little value. Before you initiate million- or billion-dollar capital
investments in energy facilities, make sure you are fully informed with up-to-date cost information. The PowerAdvocate Should-
Cost Assessment gives you robust market intelligence about the true current costs of equipment and components that are
recalibrated to reflect today’s softer market for commodities. With greater visibility into current market conditions and a specific
item’s underlying cost drivers, you have the information and insight you need to know what an item “should cost” — and why.
The Should-Cost Process PowerAdvocate’s Intelligence products provide the data
and visibility needed to determine Should-Cost pricing to capture market opportunities
Trust but Verify
Spend and Cost Intelligence tools
identify specific sub-components to
determine the Should-Cost opportunity
Market Price
Should-Cost Price
Adjusted for market
conditions and
material components
Cost Indices tracks both commodity
prices and demand impacting energy
infrastructure equipment pricing
Should-Cost assesses both the quantitative factors
applying the Should-Cost calculator and qualitative
factors using Market Intelligence to optimize savings
Demand
Commodity Prices
Commodity Costs
Demand Impact
Electrical Equip. Manufacturing
Fabricated Metal Parts
Lubricating Oils and Greases
Machinery Manufacturing
General Freight Trucking
Market Intelligence Should-Cost CalculatorCost Indices Spend Intelligence
Commodity prices have fallen anywhere
from 20–60 percent. What’s the impact
on your capital-purchasing plans?
ACCELERATE THE SPEND AND COST REDUCTION	
Without changing your procurement processes, the Should-Cost
Assessment analyzes relevant cost components and an item’s
associated demand factor to determine the appropriate cost for
equipment and services. Should-Cost integrates quantitative
cost intelligence with qualitative market analysis and negotiation
strategies to make better informed decisions to accelerate and
expand your capital construction plans and O&M purchases.
The service encompasses several steps and milestones:
• Information Collection — We aggregate relevant category
information and integrate our market intelligence and market
trends to form the baseline objectives for the assessment.
• Customized Cost Modeling — PowerAdvocate’s Cost Indices
tool applies cost modeling and customizes the cost drivers to
meet your unique requirements and cost structures for any
technical specifications. We increase accuracy by monitoring
more than 8,000 indices and constantly updating the cost
drivers of more than 740 items. That enables you to verify
the contribution of key commodities to the equipment or
service you are buying.
• Component Indexing — We evaluate your options for locking
in future contracts to hedge the difference in component
prices (raw materials) with the premiums associated with
future contracts. Our Should-Cost Assessment determines
the savings opportunities with long-term contracts.
• Quantitative Analysis — Drawing on our thorough
knowledge of cost modeling for each category as well as
tight commodity forecasts, our Should-Cost Calculator
translates price movements into meaningful and measurable
savings. We help answer the key questions: What should
that equipment cost today? And what will it cost over the
next three to 60 months?
• Market Assessment — PowerAdvocate analyzes the influence
of current and projected demand to identify price elasticities.
We account for numerous variables, including existing
contract spend, regional considerations, supplier pricing
power, benchmark data, current market conditions, current
production capacity, expected global demand, delivery
schedules, logistics, previous performance, and more.
• Negotiation Strategy — PowerAdvocate brings all of the data
together and helps you apply it in the most important ways:
strengthening your negotiating positions and determining
your maximum acceptable contract price. We collect,
review, and analyze your current spend and contracts,
benchmark your data, develop accurate cost models,
develop appropriate price points/breaks, and highlight the
opportunities available to you.
The time to act — to achieve these significant savings in capital
investments — is NOW, while equipment pricing continue to
lag commodity prices. Cost modeling is imperative for your
capital investments and PowerAdvocate has the products and
capabilities to expedite the process of discovering true costs.
For more information on PowerAdvocate Should-Cost
Assessment, please visit www.should-cost.com
(or www.poweradvocate.com).
Wind Turbines
Distribution Transformers
EHV Transformers
Cable
Conductor
Heat Exchangers
Steel Monopoles
Wood Poles
MARKET IMPACT
FROM PEAK
MARKET
OPPORTUNITIES
EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT 12 MONTHS
5–12%
4–13%
0–4%
8–18%
10–25%
4–8%
5–15%
6–12%
Demand Supply
PowerAdvocate’s Should-Cost Analysis Based on market
conditions and material components, these identified categories
have fallen from their peak pricing
What are the uses for Should-Cost?
• Independent Bid Analysis
• Strategic Negotiation
• Contract Indexing
• Capital Project Planning
• Commodity Exposure
• Cost Estimation Validation
179 Lincoln Street
Boston, MA 02111
T 857.453.5700
F 857.453.5656
info@poweradvocate.com
www.poweradvocate.com
© 2009 by Power Advocate, Inc. All rights reserved.
About PowerAdvocate
PowerAdvocate provides supply market insight and
solutions to energy companies to optimize financial
results. We combine best-in-class information, innovative
technology, and expert services to save our customers
money. PowerAdvocate’s Energy Intelligence Platform and
advisory services span the energy value chain in oil  gas,
TD, and generation, including renewables.
PowerAdvocate Should-Cost Assessment Helps a
fortune 500 Utility Company Save $10 Million
As economic conditions deteriorated in fall of 2008, a
major utility went to market for distribution transformers.
The entire market was changing drastically, and our client
wanted to determine the impact of the commodity-price
collapse on pricing of distribution transformers.
Solution
PowerAdvocate started by breaking down the transform-
er’s cost components and developing accurate, custom-
ized, breakdowns for one-phase overhead, one-phase
pad mount, and three-phase pad mount transformers.
PowerAdvocate adjusted these models to account for
current market conditions and produced Should-Cost
Assessments for each of the transformer contracts.
Using Cost Intelligence, Market Intelligence, benchmark-
ing data, and a demand-driver analysis, PowerAdvocate
developed a range of high, medium, and low price points.
This price range helped the customer negotiate through a
range of possible market prices.
PowerAdvocate and the utility constructed negotiation
grids incorporating all possible scenarios of their priori-
tized options by identifying strengths and weaknesses
of each proposal. Collectively, this provided a structured
“playbook” for negotiations.
Results
The utility saved 20 percent on their distribution trans-
former spend contract — or $10 million over the five-
year contract.
CASESTUDY
Transmission  Distribution Generation Corporate
• Engineering
Services
• Construction
Services
• Power Transformers
• Distribution
Transformers
• EHV Conductor
• XLPE Conductor
• Switchgear / Circuit
Breakers
• Transmission Poles
 Towers
• Wire and Cable
• Pole Line Hardware
• Distribution Poles
• Gas Meters
• Electric Meters
• Fleet  Vehicles
• Vegetation
Management
• Engineering
Services
• Construction
Services
• Engineering
Services
• Construction
Services
• Piping
• Pumps (Boiler
Feed)
• Valves
• Motors (100 Hp)
• Caustic Soda
• Urea/Ammonia
• Structural Steel
• Heat Exchangers
• Ash Handling
System
• PV Solar Modules
• Solar Inverters
• Wind Turbines
• Instrument 
Controls
• Lime  Limestone
• ID Booster Fan
• Boiler Equipment
• Baghouse
• Chimney
• Dampers
• SCR
• MRO
• Fleet  Vehicles
• Industrial Cleaning
• M  R Services
• Bulk Gases
• IT Hardware
• Security Services
• Office Supplies
• Office Equipment
• Printing Services
• Business Process
Items (BPI)
• Legal Services
Sample Categories for Should-Cost Assessments
While PowerAdvocate monitors over 740 key items, below is a selected group of key categories for Should-Cost Assessment:

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PowerAdvocate Should-Cost Assessment

  • 1. EQUIPMENT PRICES LAG BEHIND COMMODITY PRICES SWINGS Today’s economic climate is creating exciting opportunities for forward-thinking energy producers and distributors. Despite our current upheaval, the long-term demand for energy infrastructure continues to grow. Hundreds of billions of dollars in investments will be needed to meet the U.S. demand for the next 15 years. And in today’s commodity markets, volatile price swings are creating opportunities for savvy buyers to capitalize on prices that have fallen anywhere from 20–60 percent in the past several months. Market pricing is not reflecting this shift and therefore, buyers are not necessarily getting fair prices on purchases. Delays in infrastructure projects — because of financing challenges or credit issues — could lead to price escalation when the economy (and, of course, underlying commodity prices) begin to rebound. To capitalize on this short-term window, you need insightful market visibility into the true nature of the costs of your planned capital purchases to identify, quantify, and evaluate your opportunities to achieve a better cost position. SHOULD-COST ASSESSMENT Identifying Cost Structure Independent of Pricing Industry Intelligence • Innovative Technology • Expert Solutions
  • 2. In a volatile market, historical pricing data and trends offer little value. Before you initiate million- or billion-dollar capital investments in energy facilities, make sure you are fully informed with up-to-date cost information. The PowerAdvocate Should- Cost Assessment gives you robust market intelligence about the true current costs of equipment and components that are recalibrated to reflect today’s softer market for commodities. With greater visibility into current market conditions and a specific item’s underlying cost drivers, you have the information and insight you need to know what an item “should cost” — and why. The Should-Cost Process PowerAdvocate’s Intelligence products provide the data and visibility needed to determine Should-Cost pricing to capture market opportunities Trust but Verify Spend and Cost Intelligence tools identify specific sub-components to determine the Should-Cost opportunity Market Price Should-Cost Price Adjusted for market conditions and material components Cost Indices tracks both commodity prices and demand impacting energy infrastructure equipment pricing Should-Cost assesses both the quantitative factors applying the Should-Cost calculator and qualitative factors using Market Intelligence to optimize savings Demand Commodity Prices Commodity Costs Demand Impact Electrical Equip. Manufacturing Fabricated Metal Parts Lubricating Oils and Greases Machinery Manufacturing General Freight Trucking Market Intelligence Should-Cost CalculatorCost Indices Spend Intelligence Commodity prices have fallen anywhere from 20–60 percent. What’s the impact on your capital-purchasing plans?
  • 3. ACCELERATE THE SPEND AND COST REDUCTION Without changing your procurement processes, the Should-Cost Assessment analyzes relevant cost components and an item’s associated demand factor to determine the appropriate cost for equipment and services. Should-Cost integrates quantitative cost intelligence with qualitative market analysis and negotiation strategies to make better informed decisions to accelerate and expand your capital construction plans and O&M purchases. The service encompasses several steps and milestones: • Information Collection — We aggregate relevant category information and integrate our market intelligence and market trends to form the baseline objectives for the assessment. • Customized Cost Modeling — PowerAdvocate’s Cost Indices tool applies cost modeling and customizes the cost drivers to meet your unique requirements and cost structures for any technical specifications. We increase accuracy by monitoring more than 8,000 indices and constantly updating the cost drivers of more than 740 items. That enables you to verify the contribution of key commodities to the equipment or service you are buying. • Component Indexing — We evaluate your options for locking in future contracts to hedge the difference in component prices (raw materials) with the premiums associated with future contracts. Our Should-Cost Assessment determines the savings opportunities with long-term contracts. • Quantitative Analysis — Drawing on our thorough knowledge of cost modeling for each category as well as tight commodity forecasts, our Should-Cost Calculator translates price movements into meaningful and measurable savings. We help answer the key questions: What should that equipment cost today? And what will it cost over the next three to 60 months? • Market Assessment — PowerAdvocate analyzes the influence of current and projected demand to identify price elasticities. We account for numerous variables, including existing contract spend, regional considerations, supplier pricing power, benchmark data, current market conditions, current production capacity, expected global demand, delivery schedules, logistics, previous performance, and more. • Negotiation Strategy — PowerAdvocate brings all of the data together and helps you apply it in the most important ways: strengthening your negotiating positions and determining your maximum acceptable contract price. We collect, review, and analyze your current spend and contracts, benchmark your data, develop accurate cost models, develop appropriate price points/breaks, and highlight the opportunities available to you. The time to act — to achieve these significant savings in capital investments — is NOW, while equipment pricing continue to lag commodity prices. Cost modeling is imperative for your capital investments and PowerAdvocate has the products and capabilities to expedite the process of discovering true costs. For more information on PowerAdvocate Should-Cost Assessment, please visit www.should-cost.com (or www.poweradvocate.com). Wind Turbines Distribution Transformers EHV Transformers Cable Conductor Heat Exchangers Steel Monopoles Wood Poles MARKET IMPACT FROM PEAK MARKET OPPORTUNITIES EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS 5–12% 4–13% 0–4% 8–18% 10–25% 4–8% 5–15% 6–12% Demand Supply PowerAdvocate’s Should-Cost Analysis Based on market conditions and material components, these identified categories have fallen from their peak pricing What are the uses for Should-Cost? • Independent Bid Analysis • Strategic Negotiation • Contract Indexing • Capital Project Planning • Commodity Exposure • Cost Estimation Validation
  • 4. 179 Lincoln Street Boston, MA 02111 T 857.453.5700 F 857.453.5656 info@poweradvocate.com www.poweradvocate.com © 2009 by Power Advocate, Inc. All rights reserved. About PowerAdvocate PowerAdvocate provides supply market insight and solutions to energy companies to optimize financial results. We combine best-in-class information, innovative technology, and expert services to save our customers money. PowerAdvocate’s Energy Intelligence Platform and advisory services span the energy value chain in oil gas, TD, and generation, including renewables. PowerAdvocate Should-Cost Assessment Helps a fortune 500 Utility Company Save $10 Million As economic conditions deteriorated in fall of 2008, a major utility went to market for distribution transformers. The entire market was changing drastically, and our client wanted to determine the impact of the commodity-price collapse on pricing of distribution transformers. Solution PowerAdvocate started by breaking down the transform- er’s cost components and developing accurate, custom- ized, breakdowns for one-phase overhead, one-phase pad mount, and three-phase pad mount transformers. PowerAdvocate adjusted these models to account for current market conditions and produced Should-Cost Assessments for each of the transformer contracts. Using Cost Intelligence, Market Intelligence, benchmark- ing data, and a demand-driver analysis, PowerAdvocate developed a range of high, medium, and low price points. This price range helped the customer negotiate through a range of possible market prices. PowerAdvocate and the utility constructed negotiation grids incorporating all possible scenarios of their priori- tized options by identifying strengths and weaknesses of each proposal. Collectively, this provided a structured “playbook” for negotiations. Results The utility saved 20 percent on their distribution trans- former spend contract — or $10 million over the five- year contract. CASESTUDY Transmission Distribution Generation Corporate • Engineering Services • Construction Services • Power Transformers • Distribution Transformers • EHV Conductor • XLPE Conductor • Switchgear / Circuit Breakers • Transmission Poles Towers • Wire and Cable • Pole Line Hardware • Distribution Poles • Gas Meters • Electric Meters • Fleet Vehicles • Vegetation Management • Engineering Services • Construction Services • Engineering Services • Construction Services • Piping • Pumps (Boiler Feed) • Valves • Motors (100 Hp) • Caustic Soda • Urea/Ammonia • Structural Steel • Heat Exchangers • Ash Handling System • PV Solar Modules • Solar Inverters • Wind Turbines • Instrument Controls • Lime Limestone • ID Booster Fan • Boiler Equipment • Baghouse • Chimney • Dampers • SCR • MRO • Fleet Vehicles • Industrial Cleaning • M R Services • Bulk Gases • IT Hardware • Security Services • Office Supplies • Office Equipment • Printing Services • Business Process Items (BPI) • Legal Services Sample Categories for Should-Cost Assessments While PowerAdvocate monitors over 740 key items, below is a selected group of key categories for Should-Cost Assessment: